Draft Guardian’s Allowance Up-rating Order 2009


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Mr. Timms: I, too, have been a member of the Public Accounts Committee during a couple of my previous tenures as Financial Secretary, as, I suspect, the right hon. Member for Fylde will have been. That is a standard procedure for such Ministers, but we do not actively take part in the Committee’s meetings. I recall turning up on one occasion, as a largely ceremonial duty. However, I am grateful to him for pointing that out to the Committee.
Mr. Gauke: I am grateful to the Minister for that clarification.
Mr. Ian Davidson (Glasgow, South-West) (Lab/Co-op): I am a member of the Public Accounts Committee who attends regularly, and I would be more than happy to expound, at length, on the subject of the report. Indeed, I did a radio interview on it this morning on “Good Morning Scotland”, for which I got up at 6.45 am, but perhaps I should leave those comments until later in our discussions.
Mr. Gauke: I am grateful to the hon. Gentleman for that. It is an excellent and thoughtful report, and I suspect that he made a significant contribution to it. I think that I have now said enough about the hon. Gentleman, if not the report.
Mr. Davidson: Tell them more!
Mr. Gauke: I am conscious that we are discussing the narrow issue of the tax credit up-rating. I have one further question because we want to ensure that the additional money spent on tax credits goes where it should and does not fall into the hands of fraudsters. That is the point made by the Public Accounts Committee, which raised the concern that compliance teams at Her Majesty’s Revenue and Customs had identified incorrect payments worth some £337 million from a check of 157,000 of the highest-risk claims, and that was less than 3 per cent. of the claimant population. Given that we want to ensure that the additional money goes to the right place, what consideration will the Minister give to increasing the level of checks?
Will the Minister also consider the point made by the Public Accounts Committee that the HMRC’s definition of fraud appears to be very narrow? It just relates to
“risks overstating the level of genuine error and understanding these cases where claimants are setting out to exploit the scheme.”
It is only fraud if HMRC has evidence that the claimant deliberately set out to misrepresent the circumstances. Does the Minister accept that that is too narrow a definition and that we need to ensure that the money, which will arise as a consequence of such regulations being passed—I suspect that we will all support them, depending on the Minister’s comments—will not end up in the wrong hands? That concern was raised most forcefully by the Public Accounts Committee.
The Chairman: Before I call the next speaker, may I remind hon. Members to ensure that their comments are in line with what is before us on this Committee?
4.52 pm
Mr. Jeremy Browne (Taunton) (LD): Thank you, Mr. Fraser, for that guidance in anticipation of my straying off the beaten path. Moreover, I am grateful to have the opportunity to welcome you to the Chair for the first time in any Committee that I have attended and participated in. I want to make a number of fairly brief points, some of which are related to the ones made by the Conservative spokesman.
I wish to reiterate the hon. Gentleman’s first point. It will be a point of great interest to Members of Parliament and to the public as a whole as to what approach the Government will take to up-rating benefits in line with either inflation or earnings in future years. What calculation of inflation will be used? Today, we saw inflation going up on one measure and going down on another. There is widely anticipated deflation coming. Obviously that will cause problems for many people, perhaps not in reality but in perception terms. It may well cause even more difficulty for the Government in perception terms. Does the Minister anticipate changing the method of calculation for these up-ratings so that potential political pitfall is avoided in the future?
My second point relates to cost. We are told that the total cost of these measures will be £1.77 billion in the financial year 2009-10. Does the Minister really think that at a time when we have a budget deficit of £118 billion, which could be substantially revised upwards in the Budget on 22 April, it is money well spent to be giving tax payments to people who are earning in the region of £50,000? When the public finances are under that sort of strain, it seems extraordinary that the Government are still so keen to have such a wide client state that it includes people who most members of the public would not feel were in dire financial need of that type of assistance. I wonder whether the Minister wishes to offer the Committee his thoughts on whether the £1.77 billion that we are being asked to approve today offers the best value for money for the taxpayer.
Mr. Timms: On a point of clarification, the increase that we are agreeing today does not go that far up the income level, as the hon. Gentleman knows. We discussed earlier the family element and people in the upper part of the income range receiving the family element only, which is not being up-rated by this order.
Mr. Browne: I am grateful for that. The Minister is right on specifics. Perhaps I was over-reaching myself making a more general point. [Interruption.] The Whip says that he is obviously right on specifics because he is Minister. That is certainly so with this Minister, but it is not always so with other Ministers who will remain nameless.
The Chairman: Order.
Mr. Browne: Exactly. Our time is limited, Mr. Fraser. I cannot skip through the names of every Minister.
The third point on my list is that the £25 increase in the child element of the child tax credit was originally planned for 2010, but has been brought forward by one year. I want to probe the Minister on whether, as a result of that, its recipients can anticipate that it will be frozen next year. Have all the goodies been brought forward, or will that continue to be upgraded so there will be a double hit in one year but no clawback, in effect, in the subsequent year? That is a relevant consideration in our deliberations today.
My fourth point has also been touched on by the Conservative spokesman, the hon. Member for South-West Hertfordshire, but it is entirely reasonable: how confident is the Minister that the administration by HMRC of these credits and benefits is sufficiently robust to ensure good value for money? The figures that have already been given by the Conservative spokesman—they are the same figures that I have—show that overpayments resulted in some £1 billion in 2006-07. Just anecdotally, as a constituency MP, I think that I am being fair in saying—the figures back this up—that this is less of a problem than when I was first elected earlier in this Parliament, but it remains a problem nevertheless. We are being asked to approve large sums and the Committee may wish to be satisfied that they are being spent in the way that the Minister intends.
My final point is that the Minister talked about the importance of the measures with regard to eradicating child poverty. I, too, would be interested to know whether the Government will meet their targets on child poverty and also whether, because their definition of child poverty is not—
Dr. Ian Gibson (Norwich, North) (Lab): Clearly out of order.
The Chairman: Order. It is for the Chairman of the Committee to decide whether something is out of order. Having said that, I have given enough latitude on these points already. I ask the hon. Member for Taunton to come back, if he can, to the point that needs to be made regarding the order and make his comments brief, without necessarily bringing anecdotal evidence from his constituency to the sitting.
Mr. Browne: Thank you, Mr. Fraser. I will make my point briefly, because I feel that it is relevant. Child poverty is a relative, not an absolute, term. As the Government are presiding over a shrinking economy, they may achieve their child poverty targets merely as a result of overall wealth falling, even if the people remain at the same level of income. I should be interested to know whether the Minister sees that as part of his strategy on reaching these targets by 2010.
On that note, having made all those points relevant to the order, I conclude.
4.59 pm
Mr. Jack: May I, too, congratulate you on being in the Chair, Mr. Fraser? This is the first time that I have had the pleasure of being under your guidance. I will try hard to stick to the areas that you have outlined as appropriate and in order.
I should just like to take the Minister back to the guardian’s allowance, which he moved through quickly. At the beginning of the order we learn, with great interest, that the Treasury carried out a review and determined that the general level of prices was higher at the end of the period under review than at the beginning, which seems like a truism. However, we are not told what the period of review was. I am always intrigued when I see, as I do in the second paragraph of the order, the amount that is now deemed to be correct for the guardian’s allowance. It is to be set at £14.10. Why? When was the amount last reviewed to see whether it was sufficient for the task for which the allowance was originally intended?
There is a habit with social security simply to build on that which was there, as opposed to examining whether the allowance is fit for purpose. I see no explanation in the explanatory memorandum on the regulatory impact assessment of the order to give any comfort about what is simply a mechanical piece of up-rating. The up-rating percentage in the order is 4.8 per cent., which does not seem to tie in with any of the measures of inflation that were deployed in the discussions that we have had on tax credits.
Therefore, to enlighten the guardians of this world, perhaps the Minister could tell us to what depth he has probed the allowance, and its use. Could he tell us how many people are currently in receipt of it, and what proportion of their income is made up of it? What justification does he have to decide that £14.10 is now the right amount, as opposed to the £13.45 that it is at present?
Might I briefly move on to a couple of issues that arise from paragraph 7.17 of the document? Other colleagues have spoken about some of the child poverty implications of the order. The total cost of the up-rating is £1.77 billion. I would be interested to know what assumptions were used for the unemployment rate, because there is clearly an interrelationship between those who are eligible to claim a tax credit because they are in work as opposed to those who, sadly, given current times, may fall out of work. I would like to know what assumptions were made.
Remarks have been made on the subject of child poverty. I merely wish to remind the Minister of the work that was undertaken by Mr. Donald Hirsch of Loughborough university on behalf of the Joseph Rowntree Foundation in which he alerts us to the fact that, to meet the 2010 target to which the Minister referred, the Government would have to invest an additional £4.2 billion a year in benefits and tax credits above their current plans. Perhaps when the Minister sums up he might enlighten the Committee as to how the Government view those future plans in the light of the up-rating to which they are now committed.
5.3 pm
Mr. Ian McCartney (Makerfield) (Lab): This is the first time I have served under your chairmanship, Mr. Fraser. I look forward to serving with you on future Committees from this side of the House for several years to come.
The last time I was on an up-rating Committee, I was a shadow spokesperson. I pointed out to the Minister at that time that the order had the previous year’s figures in it, not the up-rating figures. The Committee lasted for about 30 seconds and the order had to be reorganised and reprinted overnight.
In my constituency, the up-ratings will be extremely welcome as part of the interlocking policies of child benefit, the minimum wage and other Government polices to raise people out of poverty, to sustain them in the workplace and to make work affordable.
I would like to raise one point with my right hon. Friend the Minister. In passing the orders, will it be possible at some early stage to inform all Members of the House by letter of the details of the up-ratings, to assist their staff? Secondly, will it be possible to update staff on how to raise issues to resolve problems that still exist with wrongful payment, particularly if the mistake has been made by the Department and not the recipient of the tax credit, and particularly in the area of hardship? That would be extremely helpful to MPs’ constituency staff, who deal with such matters daily.
I ask my right hon. Friend to give some consideration to that, if not today, then soon, because it is very important. Will he write to Members within the next few days so that we can publicise those up-ratings to our constituents, because it is absolutely good news?
5.5 pm
Mr. Timms: I am grateful to all Members who have contributed to the debate and echo the acknowledgment by the hon. Member for South-West Hertfordshire of the high level of distinction on the Back Benches on both sides of the Committee, which has certainly enriched the debate. Responding to his points, I can tell him that we will update costings of the measures at the time of the Budget and set out in the Red Book a revised assessment of the costs being incurred, including revised views of future levels of unemployment.
We do have a target to halve child poverty by 2010. So far we have reduced relative poverty by 600,000 and have pretty much halved absolute poverty since that target was set, but we have not yet halved relative poverty. There are clearly several uncertainties on exactly where we will get by the end of the financial year 2010-11, including measures that might be announced at the pre-Budget report later this year, in the 2010 Budget and indeed, conceivably, in the pre-Budget report in 2010.
Mr. Browne: Is the Minister saying that the Government’s target for halving child poverty by 2010 stretches to the end of the financial year in April 2011?
Mr. Timms: The target applies to the end of the financial year 2010-11. The hon. Member for South-West Hertfordshire made several points about overpayments. I was pleased to see the Public Accounts Committee’s report published this morning, and I think that I can slightly trump my hon. Friend the Member for Glasgow, South-West by telling him that I was at GMTV at 6.40 this morning to talk about it.
 
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