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Mr. Timms: The world economy is certainly facing grave difficulties and major challenges, and we are putting in place the right measures to address those in Wales and across the UK. The hon. Lady’s difficulty is that her party’s policy, in reality, is to do nothing.
Mrs. Gillan: That is rubbish.
Mr. Timms: Some of the hon. Lady’s colleagues have made it clear that they would let the recession run its course. That is the view being expressed on the Opposition Benches, and in particular they have insisted that there should be no spending in response to the recession. That is not our view. Our view is that it is the right time to support families and businesses in what we can all see from conditions in the world economy will be an exceptionally difficult time. That is the reason for the stimulus announced in the pre-Budget report and the VAT reduction, which, contrary to what she has said, is already having an impact on spending. John Lewis reported only the other day a significant impact on sales in their shops—
Mrs. Gillan: It is Christmas.
Mr. Timms: —thanks specifically to the VAT reduction, a point that it made.
The hon. Lady is absolutely right that too many people in Wales are still economically inactive, a number that has been brought down sharply by the Government’s policies. Far too many people were left economically inactive in Wales because of the policies of the last Conservative Government, who at one stage were deliberately encouraging people to move from jobseeker’s allowance to incapacity benefit because that reduced the headline rate of unemployment. In contrast, we have been ensuring that those people have been able to get back into work, and that commitment remains undimmed and will continue to be extremely important in the coming months.
The hon. Lady rightly asked me about the priority for skills development, and I agree with her that that is an important priority in the coming period. That is why my right hon. Friend the Secretary of State announced in the pre-Budget report additional spending from the European social fund and from the Department for Innovation, Universities and Skills through the Train to Gain programme, which has been doing excellent work, so that people who lose their jobs are able to get access to the training they need and return to work as quickly as possible. Across the UK we have more than half a million vacancies, so now the key is to ensure that people can move into new jobs as quickly as possible if they become unemployed. That is why we will be working with employers, including the Royal Mail and the others listed by my right hon. Friend, and ensuring that we navigate a path that gets Britain through in the best possible shape and in a way that is fair to everybody in Britain and Wales.
Mr. Don Touhig (Islwyn) (Lab/Co-op): I welcome my right hon. Friend’s statement. I am fully supportive of the package announced by the Government in recent weeks and the recapitalisation of the banks in particular. Unfortunately, the banks have not responded; small businesses in Wales are still being starved of essential cash to invest and to grow our economy. Will the Government set a deadline to compel the banks to free up their lines of credit, and if not will they take the advice of our right hon. Friend the Member for West Dunbartonshire (John McFall), the Chairman of the Treasury Committee, and take the banks into public ownership?
Mr. Timms: My right hon. Friend is right about the importance of ensuring that businesses are able to borrow to meet their essential needs, which has been greatly helped by the measures already announced. We will continue to work closely with the banks, including those partly in public ownership, to ensure that small businesses get the help that they need. In addition, in the pre-Budget report a new small firms financing programme of £1 billion was announced, the details of which will be announced at the beginning of the new year.
Mr. Roger Williams (Brecon and Radnorshire) (LD): We believe that the Government should use a fiscal as well as a monetary stimulus, but they have taken the wrong decision in cutting VAT. If £12 billion was available, it should have been invested in improving infrastructure and in sustainable social housing and affordable housing. That would have created jobs in the construction industry and taken us through the recession while improving the outlook for that industry, which is suffering so badly at the moment.
Today the House will have the opportunity to vote on the Government’s proposals for VAT. In coming to the decision to cut VAT, which part of the economy did the Minister think would benefit most, apart from John Lewis? It does not have a shop in Wales at the moment, but we hope that it may be able to invest there shortly. What effect will the VAT cut have on the economy? At the moment, we do not believe that there is any effect and any in the future will be very small indeed. Throughout Wales, banks have been writing to their customers and altering the terms of overdraft facilities. That was in the middle of the year when those customers believed that they had those facilities on those terms for the whole year, thus undoing all the good work that the interest rate cuts had achieved.
I have already questioned the Secretary of State on the burden that business rates place on small businesses. Can the Treasury put measures in place similar to those that Her Majesty’s Revenue and Customs has on phasing tax payments, to extend phasing to business rates?
On fuel poverty, many people in Wales are off the gas mains and depend upon fuel such as liquid petroleum gas, heating oil and coal, which are completely unregulated by Ofgem. Can the Government or the Treasury ensure that the cost of fuel is regulated and that those people off the gas mains are supported through what appears to be a very cold winter?
Mr. Timms: As the hon. Gentleman knows, we are bringing forward capital spending as well as taking other steps for fiscal stimulus. As the Secretary of State has pointed out, opportunities are being taken up in Wales, as elsewhere. We will be debating the VAT reduction later on the Floor of the House. The reduction is a very effective measure for providing the stimulus that we are looking for. It meets the readily acknowledged criteria for an effective stimulus in being timely—it came into force very quickly after the announcement—targeted and clearly temporary. People can see that it is time-limited and that VAT will return to its former rate at the beginning of 2010. It will inject more than £12 billion into the economy. For example, if a typical family spends £900 per month on household VATable goods, it will, thanks to the reduction, find itself with an extra £20 at the end of each month, which is £275 over the full duration of the cut. That is exactly the stimulus that we need, particularly for hard-up families, who will be able to use that extra cash as they choose.
I am glad that the hon. Gentleman acknowledged the good time-to-pay arrangements that HMRC introduced. I am pleased to tell the Committee that they have been well taken up by businesses in Wales and elsewhere. I am sure that he also welcomes the sharp reductions in fuel prices. He is right in saying that it is vital that those reductions are passed on to consumers.
Mr. Peter Hain (Neath) (Lab): Will my right hon. Friend confirm that the £140 million that he is allowing the Welsh Assembly Government to bring forward is for 2009-10, and that that could be deployed by the Plaid Cymru Minister for Economic Development and Transport to invest in the Welsh heads of the valley road, which has, regrettably, been postponed or, indeed, shelved?
Mr. Timms: My right hon. Friend is absolutely right that funding is being brought forward to this year and next year. How it is deployed is a matter for the Welsh Assembly Government.
Mr. Elfyn Llwyd (Meirionnydd Nant Conwy) (PC): I welcome the Minister to the Welsh Grand Committee. His arrival was as eagerly awaited as that of Santa Claus, and we were all scratching our heads and looking around.
The right hon. Member for Islwyn referred to the banks, and he is right in saying that the credit guarantee scheme is a useful tool, but it is useful only if the banks lend in the first place. The hon. Member for Brecon and Radnorshire also referred to that good point. Unless the banks are prepared to lend, there is no point in having a credit guarantee scheme. What are the Government doing about their apparent dual message that on one hand the banks must ensure higher capital-to-lending gearing, and on the other they must lend more freely? Which is it to be? It must be one or t’other.
My second point is about small and medium-sized enterprises and the VAT changes to which the Minister referred. The VAT change, with the tax change, means that an average SME with a turnover of £100,000 is £500 worse off, and those figures have been verified. What is being done about that?
Mr. Timms: I am grateful to the hon. Gentleman for his welcome, and I apologise again for my delayed arrival. I shall comment on his specific points.
We must stabilise the banking system; there is no question about that. That job must be done, and we have taken action to do so. A key benefit must be that lending will be available to small businesses and others. We are working with the banks to ensure that it is, and on the new facility that was announced in the pre-Budget report, the details of which will be published shortly. The hon. Gentleman is absolutely right in saying that that facility needs to be taken up by the banks, and I am confident that it will be. There have been some helpful moves already, and I have no doubt that there will be more.
The hon. Gentleman made a fair point about the work that the VAT reduction has imposed on businesses. He is right, and I take this opportunity to pay tribute to all those businesses in Wales, especially small businesses, that have worked extremely hard to ensure that they have been able to deliver the reduction, which has been widely welcomed. That work was required during a very short period—a week—and was a remarkable achievement on the part of businesses. There will be more work when VAT increases at the beginning of 2010, but the reduction is providing a vital and valuable stimulus to businesses throughout Wales, and I know that they appreciate that.
Nick Ainger (Carmarthen, West and South Pembrokeshire) (Lab): I welcome my right hon. Friend’s statement and the fact that now, as with virtually every other bloc or large economy in the world, a policy of both monetary and fiscal stimulus is being followed. It would appear that the Conservative party is possibly the only party in the world that is opposed to that policy.
On the issue of bank lending, there is obviously the £7 billion, which is now available to small and medium-sized businesses in the form of the small business finance scheme, the European Investment Bank funding and the export guarantee scheme, but we are hearing now from the banks themselves. In a brief interview on the “Today” programme this morning, Sir Victor Blank claimed that Lloyds TSB was maintaining the same level of credit to small businesses as last year. RBS has basically said the same thing and so has HSBC.
The lending panel has been set up to monitor the performance of the banks, particularly in this sector. I know that it met recently. What monitoring is being done by the lending panel, the Treasury, the Financial Services Authority and the Bank of England to ensure that the banks’ claims that they are honouring the deal that has been done with the Government and that they will continue with the credit flow to small businesses are correct, accurate and true?
Mr. Timms: I am grateful to my hon. Friend for his welcome. He is absolutely right about the importance of ensuring that those commitments are honoured. We shall monitor what happens very carefully, particularly in the case of those banks that have benefited from recapitalisation. But more widely, as he said, we have set up the lending panel to bring together the Government and the banks and others to monitor lending and to identify areas of concern. The British Bankers Association is also working with business representatives to put together a new statement of principles to set out how banks and businesses should work together. We have in the PBR—my hon. Friend sets out the figures correctly—announced major additional help to small businesses. It will be vital over the next few months to ensure that help is delivered to businesses in Wales. We are determined to do that.
Mr. David Jones (Clwyd, West) (Con): The Financial Secretary acknowledged in his statement that the Government expect the construction sector to be disproportionately affected by the economic downturn. In fact, as I think he would acknowledge, it already is. Shortly before he arrived I raised the issue with the Under-Secretary of State for Wales. I pointed out that in my constituency construction companies are finding it difficult to obtain credit because of a blanket policy on the part of banks to refuse that credit. I was very encouraged to receive the response from the Under-Secretary that the Government are now looking carefully at Conservative proposals for a national loan guarantee scheme. Is that indeed the case and when does he propose to make a further statement?
Mr. Timms: My right hon. Friend the Secretary of State announced in the PBR a new small firms lending facility, the details of which, I have said on a number of occasions, will be set out at the beginning of the new year. Because of the current vulnerability of the construction sector, that is a key argument for the measures we have taken to bring forward capital spending and which the Welsh Assembly Government have announced to bring forward capital spending in Wales. That will support the construction sector and the economy as a whole.
Paul Flynn (Newport, West) (Lab): Does the Minister agree that manufacturing industry has been the bedrock of the Welsh economy for generations, and provided many jobs, particularly multiplier jobs outside the industry itself? There is a particular crisis at the moment because of the lack of demand from the construction and motor industries for the steel and aluminium industries. The Novelis plant in my constituency in Newport and Llanwern and the other plants in other constituencies in south Wales face similar problems. The problems are not internal. Those industries are highly skilled, and profitable. They have been doing a good job for a many years. There is a need for a bridge to make sure they get through the downturn. The great fear is that permanent damage could be done to the viability of those industries because of a short-lived problem.
Mr. Timms: My hon. Friend is absolutely right about the importance of the manufacturing sector. It is interesting that at the beginning of this calendar year the Engineering Employers Federation was talking about the renaissance that had unfolded in UK manufacturing, and we have seen very impressive improvements in manufacturing productivity in Wales. There are now export opportunities for manufacturers, given what has happened with the exchange rate. He is absolutely right about the importance of those industries. My colleagues in the Department for Business, Enterprise and Regulatory Reform are watching closely what is happening in the manufacturing sector, and will ensure that what support can be provided is provided, so that businesses can get through this difficult period and be in a good position to benefit from the pick-up in the economy that will follow.
 
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