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Dr. Francis: I have just given the hon. Gentleman a very good explanation on the importance of recognising that we cannot simply accept all the adverse characteristics of globalisation. We can engage through solidarity, recognise that we can make a difference and bring about social cohesion and a reasonable change in our circumstances by those internationalist connections.
Dr. Francis: As ever, I am very grateful to the hon. Gentleman.
David T.C. Davies (Monmouth) (Con): Will the hon. Gentleman give way?
Dr. Francis: I thought that I had finished this speech, but it is beginning to warm up. I welcome the interventions and hope that this one will be about the miners’ strike.
David T.C. Davies: Actually, I was going to ask the hon. Gentleman whether Milton Friedman was also responsible for the chaos in 1979, the devaluation of the pound under Harold Wilson, the new Jerusalem of 1947, which was built on the back of American war loans, the great crash of the 1930s and every other depression going back to the south sea bubble.
Dr. Francis: I think I welcome that intervention. I would not say that the debate is degenerating into a seminar, but there are occasions where we can learn from history. In praise of the hon. Member for Carmarthen, East and Dinefwr, I think that he was endorsing the main thrust of Government policy, which is in the great tradition of Roosevelt. The sense that the Government need to intervene in a critical situation, both nationally and internationally, should be warmly endorsed. It is in that great benign tradition of Roosevelt that the Government are now responding positively to the global crisis, and that is being endorsed both in this country and internationally.
Several hon. Members rose
The Chairman: Order. The predicted time of the vote this afternoon falls particularly inconveniently for our debate. I will try to bring matters to a conclusion by five minutes past four, which is when we expect the vote to be. I will call the Front-Bench spokespeople to begin winding up from 3.45. That will allow both of them only 10 minutes. If everybody can be brief, more hon. Members will be able to speak.
2.54 pm
Mr. Roger Williams (Brecon and Radnorshire) (LD): It is a great privilege to follow the hon. Member for Aberavon. I commend him for his role as Chairman of the Welsh Affairs Committee—together with other members of that Committee—in holding to account Government Departments that are still of great relevance to Wales on reserved matters, and in helping in the clumsy and complicated system of legislation that involves the Welsh Assembly. I hope that in future we shall have a system that is simpler, more direct and more readily understandable by politicians and the public.
This debate falls just before the festive season, but it will be a time of great sadness and misery for individuals and families who have been, and continue to be, affected by the recession in Wales. If the problem were theoretical, it might be fun to set out the global and national situation, which no one could have guessed a year ago, and have a competition to provide the best solution. But it is not like that for the many people who are affected. The people of Wales and of the United Kingdom are not much taken with the spectacle of political knockabout in these circumstances. Anything that I say today—I do not agree with everything that the Government have proposed—should be taken as constructive criticism. Together we can perhaps formulate a successful solution, rather than try to score political points.
The pre-Budget report came at a crucial time for the Welsh economy. There were some welcome measures in it, but some disappointments. Wales is in the grip of worrying news about job cuts—Hoover, Bosch and others have been mentioned today. My hon. Friend the Member for Ceredigion is not here because he is meeting Protherics, a pharmaceutical company in his constituency, which is planning to cut 25 highly skilled jobs at its manufacturing plant.
The issue that we take greatest exception to is the headline-grabbing VAT cut, which both we and Plaid Cymru Members believe will not stimulate the economy as the Government hope. We have already heard today that in shops prices have been cut by 20 or even 50 per cent. A further cut of 2.5 per cent. might put some money back into the economy, but I do not think that it will start the recovery that we all need.
I would like to mention two areas that the Government could have thought through more carefully—fuel, and beer and the pub trade. The cut in VAT to businesses does not mean much because they are recovering VAT anyway through the VAT system. However, the Government have increased the fuel duty by the same amount as the cut in VAT, and that represents a real increase in business costs. I know some transport haulier businesses. One of them, AE Gough, was represented in a group that I took to see the hon. Member for Ogmore when he was a Minister in the Wales Office, to discuss the problems caused by the crippling cost to transport companies of the then very high fuel prices. That problem has been relaxed a little, but it does not help the transport industry for the Government to increase fuel duty in these circumstances. Wales, like any country—perhaps more so than others—needs to get goods and services around an often rural and dispersed community.
The hospitality and tourism trade is particularly important to Wales. When I travel around Wales, I am sad to see more and more pubs closed down, with their shutters up and their windows boarded up. That does nothing to make Wales an attractive place to visit. We hope that one of the consequences of the change in the value of the pound against the euro and the dollar will be that more people come to Wales and the UK, and that more people in the UK stay in the UK and take their holidays at home. The sight of boarded-up pubs does not help, and increasing the duty on beer and spirits does nothing to support the hospitality trade, which is one of the fundamental and successful industries in Wales.
Albert Owen: I do not disagree with what the hon. Gentleman is saying about putting tax into the pockets of those on the lowest income, but does he not accept that the Chancellor has done that, by altering the tax bands and by giving pensioners a one-off payment and increasing their pensions well in line with inflation? That is real help for real people at real times.
Mr. Williams: I welcome those proposals. In some ways, the equivalent to a 4p cut in the basic rate of income tax could have been achieved by an even bigger increase in personal allowances. Increases in personal allowances are a good way forward and something I would not argue against.
However, I am concerned that, being unable to make a taxation gain in other areas by taxing capital gains and taking away some of the tax allowances from those on the higher rate of income tax, we shall end up with a huge amount of borrowing for future generations to service. People who pay a higher rate of income tax have a greater incentive to save for a pension than those on the basic rate of income tax. They have the most resources and the greatest capacity to save for a pension, yet they are given the greater incentive. That seems very strange.
Nia Griffith: Is the hon. Gentleman aware of the Saving Gateway Accounts Bill, which is being brought in during the Session, and the immense help that it will give to savers on low income?
Mr. Williams: Indeed. I do not know the detail, but in general I have no difficulty with the principle.
I am concerned that the Chancellor has effectively forced the hand of future Governments on their tax plans. An unprecedented level of borrowing will inevitably mean taxes rising in the future. It will not be just the 45 per cent. rate that the Government pledged to introduce after the election; that will not come near to filling the black hole that the pre-Budget report measures are creating.
How much confidence can we have in the Chancellor’s forecast that borrowing will return to normal by 2015-16? If that is the case, notwithstanding that it is hard to predict what will happen with the economy in its current state, we need to know on what basis those figures were given. The recession has, if anything, highlighted the need to examine seriously what we do on tax. The tax system needs to be fundamentally rebalanced in favour of those on lower and middle incomes.
The difficulty in securing lending from banks has been well documented, and the need to look at ways to increase lending has been well discussed today. I am pleased that the Government are introducing another Bill to meet that objective, but it would be good to hear the Minister acknowledge that we might have to take extreme measures to achieve the increased lending facilities. Aside from businesses being unable to get new lending, some have found that the terms of their lending have been changed overnight and are facing new charges. That is unacceptable, and I hope that the Government will take action to address that.
Energy bills are a problem for businesses and individuals alike, and I was disappointed not to see more action to address that outlined in the pre-Budget report and the Queen’s Speech. I welcome Ofgem’s announcement that energy companies have dropped £300 million of unfair charges, mostly on prepayment meters, and are set to add a further £200 million to assist those who are not on the mains gas network. What action will be taken against companies that have been shown to have been operating what some would describe as unfair charges but that are not reducing their charges alongside wholesale prices?
Mr. Llwyd: I agree with what the hon. Gentleman is saying. It was mentioned earlier that one thing that seems to have been forgotten is the huge increase in the cost of liquefied petroleum gas and, crucially, coal. One coal merchant in my constituency was desperately worried about that because he knew of an old lady up in Penmachno who usually bought two sacks of coal a week. The price of that coal had gone up by around £9 for a single week and the payment came out of a small pension, so we need to look at regulation in that regard.
Mr. Williams: I thank the hon. Gentleman for his intervention. LPG is of particular interest to me, and the Competition Commission has already looked at that and proposed some regulation. Whether that regulation will have the effect of making the market more competitive I do not yet know, but it certainly needs to be looked at. Coal is another issue that is not often approached. There are people in old mining communities who receive free or subsidised coal, but there are some who have kept to a system of solid fuel central heating because coal had always been available and now find themselves facing very high prices.
Mr. Williams: I thank the hon. Gentleman for those comments. In fact, together with the Assembly Member for Brecon and Radnorshire, I have investigated how we could get mains gas into a village in my constituency called Abercraf, which lies at the head of the Swansea valley. The amount of money involved would be very large, but if the Government are serious about attacking fuel poverty, that would be a real way to do so, because those are the areas that do not have mains gas and that also have people on relatively small incomes. Obviously, the cost of fuel would be cheaper, but they would also get the benefit of the rebate for having electricity and gas supplied together to the same house. I welcome those comments, and anything that can be done to achieve enough support and subsidy for that project is very welcome indeed. We are still looking at it.
Nick Ainger: May I suggest that the hon. Gentleman looks at this morning’s edition of Hansard, because there was an interesting debate yesterday on energy prices and the report by the Business and Enterprise Committee. Much of that focused on the issue of fuel poverty but also the issue, which I raised as did many hon. Members, that there is no social tariff for LPG, heating oil or coal. Something like 5 million households are dependent on LPG, heating oil or coal for their main source of heat and hot water. The issue is, should Ofgem now be regulating those? There is a real case for that, because there is plenty of evidence that oil companies in particular are refusing to drop the price of heating oil and LGP as quickly as they are prepared to put it up when crude oil prices rise. There is also the issue of the social tariff. Does the hon. Gentleman agree that those two issues are essential if we are to get a fair deal for those 5 million people, living in rural Wales?
 
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