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16 Dec 2008 : Column 641W—continued
Table 1. attached, shows the number of people aged 16+ resident in England and the East of England who were in employment in the three month period July to September 2008. which is the latest period for which figures are available, and the change from one year earlier using LFS.
Table 2. attached, shows the number of people aged 16+ resident in Cambridgeshire. Peterborough (UA) and North West Cambridgeshire who were in employment in the 12 month period ending in March 2008, which is the latest period for which figures are available, and the change from one year earlier using APS.
As these estimates are for a subset of the population in small geographical areas, they are based on small sample sizes, and are therefore subject to large margins of uncertainly.
| Table 1: The change in employment level( 1) for people resident in England and the East of England | ||
| thousand | ||
| Three month period | England | East of England |
| (1) Levels of employment are provided for persons aged 16 and over. (2) Coefficients of Variation have been calculated for the latest period as an indication of the quality of the estimates. See guide to quality as follows. Guide to Quality: The Coefficient of Variation (CV) indicates the quality of an estimate, the smaller the CV value the higher the quality. The true value is likely to lie within +/- twice the CV—for example, for an estimate of 200 with a CV of 5 per cent. we would expect the population total to be within the range 180-220. Key Coefficient of Variation (CV) (%) Statistical Robustness * 0 = CV< 5 Estimates are considered precise ** 5 = CV < 10 Estimates are considered reasonably precise *** 10 = CV < 20 Estimates are considered acceptable **** CV 20 Estimates are considered too unreliable for practical purposes Source: Annual Population Survey | ||
| Table 2: The change in employment level( 1) for people resident in Cambridgeshire, Peterborough (UA) and North West Cambridgeshire using the annual population survey | |||
| thousand | |||
| 12 month period ending | Cambridgeshire | Peterborough (UA) | North West Cambridgeshire |
| (1) Levels of employment are provided for persons aged 16 and over. (2) Coefficients of Variation have been calculated for the latest period as an indication of the quality of the estimates. See guide to quality as follows. Guide to Quality: The Coefficient of Variation (CV) indicates the quality of an estimate, the smaller the CV value the higher the quality. The true value is likely to lie within +/- twice the CV—for example, for an estimate of 200 with a CV of 5 per cent. we would expect the population total to be within the range 180-220. Key Coefficient of Variation (CV) (%) Statistical Robustness * 0 = CV< 5 Estimates are considered precise ** 5 = CV < 10 Estimates are considered reasonably precise *** 10 = CV < 20 Estimates are considered acceptable **** CV 20 Estimates are considered too unreliable for practical purposes Source: Annual Population Survey | |||
Government Communications Network: Recruitment
Mr. Maude: To ask the Chancellor of the Duchy of Lancaster what criteria are used by the Government Communication Network to decide whether a government communications job is advertised publicly on the Civil Service Recruitment Gateway or internally only. [241755]
Mr. Watson: Individual Departments are responsible for advertising their communication jobs to the public and internally across Departments.
The Government Communication Network (GCN) advises that Government communications jobs which are open to the public are advertised on the Civil Service Recruitment Gateway and across the GCN.
Government Departments: Contracts
Mr. Maude: To ask the Chancellor of the Duchy of Lancaster what the timetable is for the commencement and review of the Public Services Forum’s Access to Skills, Trade Unions and Advice in Government contracting agreement. [241597]
Mr. Watson: The Public Services Forum Joint Statement on Access to Skills, Trade Unions and Advice came into force on the day it was launched: 15 July 2008. An initial review of the first six months of its operation will take place, as set out in the joint statement.
Immigration
Mr. Frank Field: To ask the Chancellor of the Duchy of Lancaster with reference to the Answer of 18 November 2008, Official Report, column 408W, on immigration, what the level is of net immigration at which the population of the UK would remain below 70 million on unchanged assumptions about birth rates, mortality and emigration levels and on the basis of the most recent population projections. [243465]
Kevin Brennan: The information requested falls within the responsibility of the UK Statistics Authority. I have asked the Authority to reply.
Letter from Karen Dunnell, dated December 2008:
As National Statistician I have been asked to reply to your question, pursuant to the answer of 18th November 2008 (Official Report, column 408W) on immigration, regarding what the level of net immigration is at which the population of the UK would remain below 70 million on unchanged assumptions about birth rates, mortality and emigration levels on the basis of the most recent population projections. (243465)
Migration assumptions for national population projections are conventionally expressed in terms of net migration (immigration less emigration) rather than for the gross flows separately. However, nominal immigration and emigration totals are used in the projection process mainly to enable plausible age distributions to be calculated for the assumed net migration totals.
The 2006-based principal (or central) projection assumed a long-term annual net inflow to the UK of +190,000 persons a year. In this projection, the population of the UK is projected to reach 70 million in 2028. To answer your question, further population projections have been produced by reducing the nominal immigration totals applied in the 2006-based principal projection, but leaving the fertility, mortality and emigration assumptions unchanged. Based on these assumptions, with a long-term net migration inflow of +60,000 a year, the population would reach 70 million in the 2070s. However, with a net migration inflow of +50,000 a year the population would be just below 70 million in 2081, although it would still be continuing to rise.
In practice, this may not be a realistic scenario. If immigration fell permanently to levels well below those experienced in recent years, it is likely that this would, in time, lead to a reduction in the level of emigration as well, it is possible to have a range of combinations of levels of immigration and emigration consistent with any particular level of net migration and these would lead to different projected population sizes.
National School of Government
Mr. Maude: To ask the Chancellor of the Duchy of Lancaster if he will place in the Library a copy of the brochures for courses run by the National School of Government. [241759]
Mr. Watson: This is a matter for the National School of Government. I have asked the Principal and Chief Executive to assist by writing to you.
Letter from Rod Clark, dated December 2008:
In the Written Ministerial Statement to the House on 9 January 2007 (Official Report Col 5WS), the then Parliamentary Secretary for the Cabinet Office (Pat McFadden MP) announced that the National School of Government was now a Non Ministerial Department. Consequently, the Chancellor of the Duchy of Lancaster has asked me to reply to your Parliamentary Question about the National School of Government.
In consideration of your request, I confirm that copies of the full National School of Government portfolio of courses for 2008-09 and other specialist brochures have been placed in the Library of the House. Latest information on courses and services is always available on the National School web site:
National Security
Jo Swinson: To ask the Chancellor of the Duchy of Lancaster what assessment has been made of the level of threat to national security from (a) an influenza pandemic and (b) a bioterror attack. [242466]
Mr. Watson: The National Risk Register, published earlier this year as part of the Government’s wider National Security Strategy, sets out our assessment of the likelihood and potential impact of a range of different risks that may directly affect the UK. The document is available in the Libraries of the House and is also accessible online via the Cabinet Office website at:
http://www.cabinetoffice.gov.uk/reports/national_risk _register.aspx
The assessments for pandemic influenza and ‘bioterror attack’ are detailed at paragraphs 2.27 and 2.104 of this document respectively.
Non-profit Making Associations: Finance
Mr. Maude: To ask the Chancellor of the Duchy of Lancaster how much funding the Office of the Third Sector is providing to regional Third Sector networks; and what the address is of each such network. [241594]
Kevin Brennan: Figures for funding to regional third sector networks during 2008-09 will be available when the Cabinet Office annual report and accounts are published and laid before Parliament. I expect this to be before summer recess in 2009.
In 2007-08 direct funding from the Office of the Third Sector to regional third sector networks was through the Regional Infrastructure programme. This is a three year programme, from 2005 until March 2009. Recipients during 2007-08 were as follows:
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