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5 Nov 2009 : Column 1127W—continued

Departmental Public Expenditure

Mr. Todd: To ask the Secretary of State for Energy and Climate Change what steps his Department is taking to implement the efficiency recommendations of the Operational Efficiency Programme relating to his Department; and what training is available to (a)
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Ministers and (b) officials in his Department in respect of the delivery of value for money savings. [296059]

Joan Ruddock: DECC has a target to find £20 million of savings in 2010-11 as part of the £5 billion Operational Efficiency Programme (OEP). £17.5 million of this will be found from the Nuclear Decommissioning Authority's non-programme budgets and £2.5 million from core-DECC budgets. These targets will be met through a combination of innovation and strict control of expenditure. DECC has also contributed to the OEP work on the benchmarking of back office costs.

My noble Friend the Minister of State has been appointed as DECC's Value for Money (VfM) Minister and as such participated in a Treasury-led seminar in the summer. DECC officials are members of the cross-government VfM Group. Additionally, a wide range of learning and development opportunities are available for officials, many of which are focused on driving VfM.

Energy Supply

John Hemming: To ask the Secretary of State for Energy and Climate Change what his most recent estimate is of the likely level of consumption of (a) gas, (b) oil and (c) coal by the UK energy supply industry in each year from 2009 to 2020. [297152]

Mr. Kidney: The following tables show the central scenario produced by modelling carried out for the July 2009 Low Carbon Transition Plan. It should be stressed that this is one of many possible scenarios based upon a number of assumptions. There are necessarily significant uncertainties around this scenario, and a range of sensitivities could be considered. Ultimately the level of fuel demand will be determined by the market.

Projected fossil fuel uses in electricity generation
Million tonnes of oil equivalent
	2009	2010	2011	2012	2013	2014	2015	2016	2017	2018	2019	2020
Coal	29.4	26.9	26.9	25.6	25.6	22.7	24.6	23.1	21.0	22.7	20.3	19.1
Oil	0.8	0.7	0.7	0.7	0.7	0.7	0.7	0.7	0.7	0.7	0.7	0.7
Gas	29.3	27.5	28.4	29.1	28.2	28.9	25.8	24.5	25.6	21.5	21.3	18.3

P rojected t otal f ossil f uel u se
Million tonnes of oil equivalent
	2009	2010	2011	2012	2013	2014	2015	2016	2017	2018	2019	2020
Solids	35.7	33.1	33.0	31.7	31.8	28.8	30.6	29.0	26.9	28.5	26.1	24.7
Oil	80.1	80.6	81.1	81.5	81.5	81.1	80.7	80.3	79.9	79.5	79.0	78.6
Gas	89.1	85.7	85.3	85.0	83.3	83.1	79.0	76.9	76.9	71.9	70.6	66.1

The category "solids" consists of mainly coal, but includes a small amount of solid manufactured fuel.

Modelling results from the DECC Energy Model may differ slightly from the results of other DECC analysis. See for example, the analysis for the Renewable Energy Strategy which shows an illustrative mix of renewable technologies for meeting the 2020 RES target:

www.decc.gov.uk/en/content/cms/what_we_do/uk_supply/energy_mix/renewable/res/res.aspx

The DECC energy projections published alongside the Low Carbon Transition Plan can be found at:

http://www.decc.gov.uk/en/content/cms/statistics/projections/projections.aspx

John Hemming: To ask the Secretary of State for Energy and Climate Change what his most recent estimate is of the proportion of the UK's energy supply likely to be generated by (a) coal, (b) oil, (c) gas, (d) wind power, (e) solar power and (f) nuclear energy in each year from 2009 to 2020. [297154]

Mr. Kidney: The following tables show the results of the central scenario modelled for the July 2009 Low Carbon Transition Plan. It should be stressed that this is just one possible scenario based on a number of assumptions. There are necessarily significant uncertainties around this scenario, and a range of sensitivities could be considered.

Ultimately, the future generation mix will be determined by the market.

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Projected shares of electricity supply
Percentage
	2009	2010	2011	2012	2013	2014	2015	2016	2017	2018	2019	2020
Coal	32	30	30	29	29	25	28	26	24	26	23	22
Oil	1	1	1	1	1	0	1	1	0	1	1	1
Gas	41	39	41	41	40	42	38	37	39	33	33	29
Wind	2	3	3	4	6	8	10	12	14	16	18	20
Solar	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Nuclear	16	19	16	16	16	15	12	11	8	8	7	8
Notes: 1. The percentages shown in the table are those fuels specifically referred to in the question and the shares of other sources of supply make up the balance of 100 per cent. 2. Figures are rounded to the nearest per cent.

Projected shares of primary energy demand
Percentage
	2009	2010	2011	2012	2013	2014	2015	2016	2017	2018	2019	2020
Coal	16	15	15	14	14	13	14	14	13	14	13	12
Oil	35	36	37	37	37	37	37	38	38	38	38	38
Gas	39	38	38	38	38	38	37	36	36	34	34	32
Wind	0	0	0	1	1	1	1	2	2	2	3	3
Solar	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Nuclear	6	7	6	6	6	6	5	5	3	3	3	4
Notes: 1. Primary energy demand is measured in terms of fuel inputs and is equal to the sum of final consumption, energy industry demand, transformation demand and energy losses. 2. The percentages shown in the table are those fuels specifically referred to in the question and the shares of other sources of supply make up the balance of 100 per cent. 3. Figures are rounded to the nearest per cent.

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