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The Chairman: At this stage I shall suspend our proceedings for an hour. Members should return at 7.58 pm.
6.58 pm
Sitting suspended.
7.58 pm
On resuming—

Clause 125

Objectives
Mr. Laws: I beg to move amendment 60, in clause 125, page 71, line 18, at end insert—
‘(f) the educational standards and performance objective.’.
The Chairman: With this it will be convenient to discuss the following: amendments 334, in clause 125, page 71, line 18, at end insert—
‘(f) the timeliness objective.’.
Amendment 36, in clause 125, page 71, line 23, at end insert—
‘(c) maintain standards.’.
Amendment 41, in clause 125, page 71, line 23, at end insert—
‘(c) set out a range of comparators with qualifications in other countries specified by regulation.’.
Amendment 139, in clause 125, page 71, line 26, after ‘achievement’, insert ‘and knowledge’.
Amendment 37, in clause 125, page 71, line 28, at end insert—
‘(c) maintain standards.’.
Amendment 42, in clause 125, page 71, line 28, at end insert—
‘(c) sets out a range of comparators with qualifications in other countries specified by regulation.’.
Amendment 38, in clause 125, page 71, line 28, at end insert—
‘(3A) For the purposes of subsections (2)(c) and (3)(c), Ofqual shall publish annually its methodology for determining whether standards have been maintained over periods of (a) 20 years, (b) ten years and (c) five years.’.
Amendment 62, in clause 125, page 71, line 28, at end insert—
‘(c) allow for an objective assessment of how educational standards have changed over time.’.
Amendment 63, in clause 125, page 71, line 28, at end insert—
‘(3A) In order to deliver the assessments standards objectives, Ofqual shall undertake, within 18 months of its establishment, a full review of changes in assessment standards since 1988.’.
Amendment 64, in clause 125, page 71, line 30, at end insert
‘and in the independence, objectivity and credibility of Ofqual.’.
Amendment 219, in clause 125, page 71, line 30, at end insert ‘over time’.
Amendment 65, in clause 125, page 71, line 30, at end insert
‘and in pursuit of this objective Ofqual shall carry out each year sample testing of cohorts at Key Stage 2, 3 and 4 in English and Maths on a basis that will facilitate credible evaluation of changes in levels of achievement in these subjects over time.’.
Amendment 427, in clause 125, page 71, line 34, leave out ‘and’.
Amendment 428, in clause 125, page 71, line 36, at end insert ‘, and
(d) the range of criteria and indicators which underpin any attainment and achievement tables published by Ofqual.’.
Amendment 557, in clause 125, page 71, line 37, leave out ‘regulated qualifications are provided’ and insert ‘the market for regulated qualifications operates’.
Amendment 32, in clause 125, page 71, line 37, after ‘provided’, insert ‘on a timely basis and’.
Amendment 335, in clause 125, page 72, line 2, at end insert—
‘(7) The timeliness objective is to ensure that Ofqual carries out its functions in a timely manner that facilitates the delivery of qualifications on time.’.
Amendment 61, in clause 125, page 72, line 2, at end add—
‘(7) The educational standards and performance objective is to monitor educational standards and performance as a whole in England, to report on how standards and performance are changing over time, and to make comparisons between educational standards and performance in England and in other OECD countries.
(8) In order to deliver the educational standards objective, Ofqual shall carry out sample testing on an annual basis in selected subjects, and shall report annually on changes in educational standards and performance in England and between England and other OECD countries.’.
Amendment 31, in clause 125, page 72, line 2, at end add—
‘(7) Ofqual shall conduct annually a poll of a statistically significant sample of secondary school students to determine the proportion of students who believe that students work harder than ever to gain specified qualifications.’.
Amendment 39, in clause 125, page 72, line 2, at end insert—
‘(7) Ofqual shall conduct annually a poll of a statistically significant sample of secondary school teachers to determine the proportion of teachers who believe that students work harder than ever to gain specified qualifications.’.
Amendment 43, in clause 125, page 72, line 2, at end add—
‘(7) For the purpose of assessing the effectiveness of Ofqual in carrying out its duties in subsection (1)(a), (b) and (c), Ofqual shall establish specific and measurable success criteria for these objectives.’.
Amendment 81, in clause 125, page 72, line 2, at end add—
‘(7) In delivering its efficiency duty, Ofqual shall publish annually the criteria that will be used to make judgements about the efficiency of regulated qualifications.’.
Amendment 35, in clause 162, page 88, line 37, at end insert
‘and the outcome of the specific and measurable success criteria established in section 125(7)’.
Mr. Laws: For those who are keen to make rapid progress, that list of amendments suggests that clause 125 is another part of the Bill with which we have serious concerns that we want to raise this evening. Indeed, it is arguably even more important in its impact on Ofqual’s role as well as its governance and independence than schedule 9 and clause 124. Clause 125 addresses the crucial objectives that it must meet as a regulator, and subsection (1) sets out those objectives, which are:
“(a) the qualifications standards objective,
(b) the assessments standards objective,
(c) the public confidence objective,
(d) the awareness objective, and
(e) the efficiency objective.”
With all those objectives, one would have thought that the Government would have covered the main concerns relating to the standards that could be expected of a body such as Ofqual. Unfortunately, they have not set the right objectives for Ofqual and, in particular, they have defined too narrowly Ofqual’s role in assessing standards. It is for that reason that we do not believe that Ofqual, in its existing form, will be successful in doing what the Secretary of State seems to want and ending the annual debate about standards in British examinations and dumbing down.
As we have said on other occasions, we are particularly disappointed that the Government have not addressed many of the criticisms of standards set out in the excellent report by the Select Committee on Children, Schools and Families, entitled “Testing and Assessment”. The Committee was clear about the potential variation between the apparent education standards that are highlighted by the regulated qualifications that we have in this country and the underlying measures of educational performance, standards and effectiveness. In paragraph 250, the Committee concluded that
“the Government has failed to address the issue of the standards themselves. In the context of the current testing system, with its ever-changing curriculum and endless test reforms, no regulator, however independent, can assure assessment standards as they are not capable of accurate measurement using the data available. Until the Government allows for standardised sample testing for monitoring purposes, the regulator will be left without the tools required to fulfil its primary function.”
Essentially, the Committee argued that because examination standards and the nature of examinations had changed so much over time, and because of the pressure of comparability brought about by test reform, the targets set by the Government and the different assessment standards used at different times, it was impossible to use one examination, or even a number of examinations, to form an objective assessment of standards over time or at any point in time. It is because of the fundamental uncertainty in the public’s mind, and in the debate on education standards about whether the results of examinations tell us something about educational standards per se, teaching to the test, the dumbing down of qualifications and assessment, or some other change in the mechanism that creates test results—that includes the increased focus because of Government strategies to force school improvement—that we have the debate about dumbing down each year. Because of all that, the public have no confidence in results as a measure of educational standards.
In their response to the Committee’s report, the Government were commendably honest. In paragraph 50, on page 12, they say not only that they do not accept the Committee’s recommendations on sample testing but, in commendably clear terms, that
“Ofqual’s role is not to monitor education standards as a whole; it is to regulate the qualifications and assessments which are one of the means by which those standards are measured.”
That is extremely clear and one of the reasons why we are unhappy with these measures. Essentially, we believe that there needs to be a body that is able to monitor and track standards over time. That body should be able to ensure that different qualifications are consistent between themselves and over time through the way in which it measures standards as well as measuring those standards separately from changes in the qualifications.
One of our concerns when we took evidence on this matter a couple of weeks ago was whether Ofqual would be able—even over time—to develop into a more independent body capable of the wider role that the Government do not presently envisage in monitoring overall educational standards. Our amendments seek to address the wider role that we think Ofqual should have, giving it powers and duties to carry out the sample cohort testing that we think will be necessary to create an assessment of what is happening to underlying educational standards.
When we took evidence on this issue we had ambiguous and arguably mutually inconsistent statements from those who gave evidence. On 3 March we heard from Kathleen Tattersall of Ofqual, who indicated that Ofqual does not necessarily need an explicit power in this area. She said:
“My understanding of the legislation is that we are not precluded from such thoughts down the line”.——[Official Report, Apprenticeships, Skills, Children and Learning Public Bill Committee, 3 March 2009; c. 66, Q175.]
However, she did not think it necessary to put those powers in this particular Bill. I would hope that if Ofqual was determined to prove itself to be a regulator and watchdog with teeth, it would want to take those powers and would push to do so. I was reassured by Kathleen Tattersall’s view that the legislation did not preclude Ofqual pursuing that type of strategy over a period of time. That was not what we were told by the right hon. Member for South Dorset when we took evidence from him on 10 March. When he was questioned about sample testing, he said:
“As Ministers, we want to decide whether it is appropriate to hold standardised sampling tests whereby the same test is taken every year by different cohorts of children.”——[Official Report, Apprenticeships, Skills, Children and Learning Public Bill Committee, 10 March 2009; c. 163, Q375.]
In other words, the right hon. Gentleman did not think it appropriate that Ofqual should simply take such powers of its own accord. Clearly the Minister felt, for whatever reason, that it would be the duty and responsibility of Ministers to be clear whether cohort testing was used, as well as the existing qualifications testing, so that we could figure out whether standards were improving or declining over time.
Then, however, a couple of questions later we heard from the Under-Secretary of State, the hon. Member for Portsmouth, North, who was much more open to the possibility of using the type of standardised sampling testing that her colleague, the Minister for Schools and Learners, the right hon. Member for South Dorset, appeared to have ruled out just a few questions before. The hon. Lady had said:
“There is nothing in the Bill preventing Ofqual from doing standardised sampling if that is the way that it wishes to fulfil its duties. It will be up to Ofqual to decide whether that is the best way.”——[Official Report, Apprenticeships, Skills, Children and Learning Public Bill Committee, 10 March 2009; c. 163, Q378.]
The hon. Lady went on to make it clear that there is nothing to stop Ofqual carrying out sample testing if it wishes to do so. I was encouraged by the hon. Lady’s openness to the possibility that Ofqual might want to do that, because it indicates that she might have in the back of her mind the possibility that Ofqual may over time develop into a body that is able to take a wider view of its responsibilities in relation to monitoring standards. Some amendments touch directly on this. However, I would appreciate clarification from Ministers on what the actual position is. Is it the Portsmouth, North position, which is that—though this is not embedded in the Bill—it is perfectly acceptable if Ofqual want to carry out this type of standardised testing? Or is the position as described from Dorset South, which is that it is appropriate only for Ministers to make such decisions?
When I had a conversation with Ofqual some months ago, it seemed to me that although it had not necessarily thought through this issue in detail it was at least open to the possibility that, in time, it might use such measures. At the very least, I want to ensure that the Government are clear that if Ofqual wishes to do so then it should be allowed to do so.
One issue that is crucial and ties together a number of these amendments is what we mean by educational standards. We have heard from the Government’s response to the Select Committee report, that the Bill and the establishment of Ofqual is designed to create a body not to objectively look at educational standards as a whole, but to regulate the existing qualifications framework. The potential for differences between what is implied from changes in exam results in terms of regulator’s qualifications and what might be assumed about underlying standards is very important and quite topical.
I noticed at the end of last week that Mike Creswell, the director-general of the Assessment and Qualifications Alliance, issued a number of public comments and warnings about the introduction of the modular system for GCSEs, which is being brought in from September. The modular system will allow the GCSEs to be taken over a period of time, module by module. Moreover, it will allow for quite a number of retakes. I cannot remember exactly how many, but potentially quite a few. Dr. Creswell said that pass rates rise when a modular system is introduced. He said that such a rise would lead to direct concerns about standards. He referred to the widespread view that standards are being eroded.
“expect a cohort with the same abilities that had previously gone through under the old qualification to get the same broad distribution of grades in the new examination, even if its composition, modules and coursework has changed?”
Kathleen Tattersall’s first answer was rather ambiguous. However, once I said that she could assume that the abilities of the cohort were identical to those of the previous cohort that had taken examinations under a non-modular system, Kathleen Tattersall replied by saying:
“Assuming that they are identical”—
in other words, the cohort—
“in a very large cohort, you would expect a broadly similar pattern, even if there are some shifts because of the nature of the curriculum change or the accessibility of the examination, modules or whatever.” [Official Report, Apprenticeships, Skills, Children and Learning Public Bill Committee, 3 March 2009; c. 78, Q204.]
That was a relatively clear answer with studied ambiguity around the edges. It was a lot clearer than the Minister’s response to the same question. This is not some sort of theoretical question that is not going to emerge in the very near future. This is an issue that will arise in the very near future when the modular qualifications come in. If exam results rise, there is bound to be the suggestion that it is due to a “dumbing down” and a change in the assessment for these particular examinations. If we cannot get a clear view from the Minister on whether or not the intention is, as Kathleen Tattersall said, to keep the broad grade distribution similar after modular examinations come in or on whether the Government will allow the examination results to rise, as Mike Creswell suggested last week, we really will be in a horrific muddle in terms of what we mean by examination standards. Moreover, it may erode confidence in examination standards and in the job that Ofqual does to maintain those standards over a period of time. That challenge will arise very early in Ofqual’s period as an independent regulator, so meeting it will be crucial in determining if there is going to be confidence in the job that Ofqual does.
8.15 pm
In that regard, I would like to draw attention to the explanatory notes to the Bill and to some of the comments in them about the job that Ofqual will be expected to do. In particular, I would like to draw attention to paragraphs 342 and 343, where there are extensive comments on what the duties of Ofqual will actually mean in relation to maintaining standards.
If you do not mind, Mrs. Humble, I will just read briefly some of those comments for the convenience of the Committee and for the record. Paragraph 342 of the explanatory notes says:
“Ofqual must perform its functions with the aim of ensuring that comparable qualifications and assessments — whether they are contemporaneous or delivered at different times — indicate a consistent level of attainment. If the requirements of a qualification have changed over time, perhaps because the requirements of the industry they relate to have evolved (this will be a particular issue in the IT industry, for example), it may be that a modern qualification is not comparable with its predecessor and therefore that Ofqual does not have to secure a consistent level of attainment. But if two qualifications are comparable, Ofqual must act to ensure that they do indicate a consistent level of attainment.”
When the Minister responds later, I would be particularly grateful to know if this paragraph should be interpreted as meaning that, for example, in the case of modular qualifications there would be a duty to act to ensure a consistent level of attainment between the modular qualification and the predecessor non-modular qualification, or if the modular qualification in some way constitutes a new qualification, where there might be a permanent ratcheting up in the results that are accepted.
In paragraph 343, there is a description of the job that Ofqual will have to do, which is just as intriguing when it says:
“The standards of qualifications and assessments — the benchmarks against which learners are measured — are not the same thing as the standards of education more broadly. “Standards” in this first sense are like the height of a hurdle, and Ofqual’s objective is to keep that height consistent between comparable qualifications and assessments. Whilst it is generally a policy objective of the Government to improve the quality of teaching and learning such that the number of people able to jump the hurdle increases (which is how the term “standards” is more commonly used), that is not a concern of Ofqual’s under its standards objectives.”
So I would also like to be clear about precisely what that means and to what extent Ofqual will concentrate on comparability between qualifications that are available at any point in time, rather than ensuring that there is confidence about the general level at which the hurdle is being set and whether or not that hurdle is changing, in terms of its height, over time.
Those are two of our principal concerns. First, there is the fact that Ofqual’s role has been defined in such a narrow way, regulating specific qualifications rather than standards as a whole. Secondly, I would suggest that there is ambiguity and confusion in the Government about what the maintenance of standards, even in regulated qualifications, means over time.
Therefore, I would like to address some of the specific amendments, taking into account the fact that some of the comments I have already made really explain why we have tabled some of them.
Amendments 60 and 61 would add an overall responsibility for maintaining educational standards to Ofqual’s objectives. In other words, they would add to the five objectives, which are currently set down in clause 125(1)(a) to (e), a clearer objective for maintaining educational standards over time. We think that that is absolutely crucial if Ofqual is to do the job that most people would expect it to do, rather than this much narrower job that the Government have given it to do.
Amendment 61 would not only make it clear that there had to be an educational standards and performance objective, but would place a duty on Ofqual to carry out sample testing annually in selected subjects and to report on the changes in educational standards over time, comparing not only the standards in any one year with those of previous years, but standards in the United Kingdom with those in other OECD countries. We know that the Government’s line on that is that Ofsted is supposed to be carrying out an evaluation of school standards, but if the Minister is fair-minded and reasonable, she will not consider that Ofsted is remotely carrying that out or trying to carry it out in the way envisaged in amendment 61, nor will she try to argue that the international surveys of educational performance are carried out on a reliable and consistent enough basis to serve as an excuse for Ofqual not doing the work itself. Those two amendments are extremely important to the wider role that we want Ofqual to have.
Amendment 62 would add to Ofqual’s objective for assessment standards a duty to ensure that its regulated assessments allowed for the monitoring of changing standards. In clause 125(3)(b), the objective set down in relation to assessment standards is that there should be
“a consistent level of attainment (including over time) between comparable assessments.”
Our point is that those assessments need to be not just about comparable assessments and comparable qualifications; they also need to be invariant to the changes in the composition or assessment standards for particular qualifications.
Amendment 63 would add the duty that Ofqual should review changes in assessment standards to date as part of its objectives. That is a very important point if Ofqual is to have any credibility in relation to the debate about what has happened to educational standards in the last decade or so. The hon. Member for Bognor Regis and Littlehampton mentioned a number of studies that have commented on the change in educational standards in the last decade or so and he cited some quite important and independent evidence from commentators who believe that grades in GCSE, A-level and other qualifications today are not comparable to the grades from five, 10 or 15 years ago. For Ofqual to do its job effectively, there must be an expectation that it will not only try to make sensible judgments going forward, but will be able to inform us about what has been happening to standards in recent years, which is bound to be of public interest for a long time.
Amendment 64 would ensure that Ofqual had to demonstrate its independence and objectivity as part of the public confidence objective. In clause 125(4), there is a duty
“to promote public confidence in regulated qualifications and regulated assessment arrangements.”
It is vital that Ofqual delivers confidence not only in regulated qualifications, but in Ofqual as a body in terms of its independence, the integrity of those who work for it and its ability to challenge the Government, and in terms of the judgment that it makes about standards being broad and meaningful, not narrow and restricted in the way that the Government seem to envisage.
Amendment 65 would place an additional duty on Ofqual to carry out cohort testing to assess changes in standards over time. Depending on one’s point of view, it either complements or overlaps with amendment 61. Amendment 219, which—
8.24 pm
Sitting suspended for a Division in the House.
8.40 pm
On resuming—
 
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