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Clause 8

Maturity payments
Mr. Hoban: I beg to move amendment 32, in clause 8, page 4, line 31, leave out from ‘is’ to end and insert ‘50 pence’.
It would help if the Minister put on record the Government’s rationale behind the 50p rate. He was not a witness last Tuesday, so this is the first chance since Second Reading that the Committee has had to probe his rationale. I sensed from last week’s witnesses, with the exception of those comments about 50p being extremely generous, that they thought it a sufficiently attractive rate to encourage people to save and to keep their money in the accounts for as long as possible. It would help if the Minister set out clearly the Treasury’s thinking behind that amount.
Mr. Browne: I rise to give my wholehearted support to the amendment for both reasons that the hon. Gentleman touched on. First, it is unacceptable to invite the Committee to endorse a Bill with all the numbers and details stripped out, leaving them able to be adjusted at any point by the Minister. That makes a mockery of the entire process of parliamentary scrutiny that we are sent here by our constituents to undertake. If the rate is to be 50p, and that is the amount of public money that the Government are committing, it seems reasonable that we should be able explicitly to endorse that.
I should also be interested to know how much the Economic Secretary thinks the overall scheme will cost. I appreciate that that will be an estimate, but it is necessary for us to be able to tell our constituents, and others who are interested, what the implications are for public spending, so that they can make a judgment, if they are interested in these matters, about whether the 50p rate is appropriate, not only as an incentive to savers, but in terms of cost to the taxpayer.
The hon. Gentleman’s second point about the 50p rate is whether it is the minimum level at which we can maximise incentive. Is it providing value for money, or could we persuade as many people to save if it were 40p, therefore doing so at lower cost? Would there be a noticeable bounce in the number of people who would save if it were increased to 60p? If so, the scheme could be made much more attractive without reaching much further. That territory has not been explored sufficiently.
My final point, which I shall address in more detail when we discuss my amendments to this clause, is about how the 50p is triggered. That 50p, when put against a pound in the 24th of the 24 months, provides a good return in comparison with the 50p matched against a pound in the first of the 24 months. It might be possible for the Government to devise a scheme, which would admittedly be more complicated, whereby a pound that stayed in an account for the duration of the 24 months attracted the 50p, whereas a pound that was there for a shorter period would accrue at a monthly rate and therefore would not make up the full 50p. That system might or might not have merit, but we are currently being invited to endorse a measure that contains no figure whatever. We therefore cannot discuss the merits of the Government’s proposal because they have not deemed it suitable to give us a proposal to support or vote on.
Ian Pearson: At the risk of starting a competition on how many music titles one can get into a speech, let me say that the song remains the same when it comes to whether matters are put into the Bill or are contained in secondary legislation. We think as a matter of principle that the match rate is more appropriately dealt with in secondary legislation, because in the light of events, as we evaluate how the saving gateway programme develops, we might want to increase or reduce it.
Mr. Browne: The Economic Secretary said that he might wish at some point to increase or decrease the 50p match rate. Just to be clear, would that apply to new account holders, or would it be possible for someone to embark on a saving gateway account with a 50p match rate and then, at some point during that two-year period, for the Government to decide that it was wise to reduce it, for example, to 25p?
Ian Pearson: Again, the song remains the same. We do not want to speculate on what a future Government might want to do. I am just saying that as part of sensible contingency planning, any Government would want to include the match rate issue in secondary rather than primary legislation so that if circumstances and evidence indicated that the match rate was not generous enough or too generous, they could alter it without the need for primary legislation. We want to be clear that that would not be done retrospectively, particularly if a lower match rate was being introduced.
To return to the basic question about the 50p match rate—whether it is too high or too low, and why the Government came up with that figure—the first point to make is that our overall policy objective is to kick-start the savings habit. Then it must be asked what the most effective way is to do that. What level of incentive is required to encourage people to save? As the Committee will be aware, we gained information on that matter from the pilots. The second pilot showed that savers found a match rate of 50p for every pound to be a strong incentive to save. A lower match rate would clearly provide less of an incentive to save and would be likely to lead to lower take-up of saving gateway accounts.
The second pilot appears to show that a match rate of 50p for each pound saved made people 10 to 15 percentage points more likely to open an account than a match rate of 20p. Again, in designing saving gateway accounts, as a matter of policy, we had to make judgments about what level would be most likely to get people to participate. As hon. Members will be aware, one pilot looked at a pound-for-pound match rate. I do not think that the evidence suggested that the more generous match rate would produce significantly more savings. We thought that it was poorer value for money for the taxpayer in terms of encouraging our policy objective.
We are at the 50p rate, we believe that that is attractive and we want to continue on that basis. It will be in secondary legislation, which we will debate in due course. Undoubtedly we can rehearse the arguments again, but on the best evidence available from the pilots, our judgment is that 50p is the rate most likely to help kick-start the savings habit.
The hon. Member for Taunton finally asked how much it is likely to cost. That will clearly depend on take-up rates, but we currently score the cost of making the match payments at £130 million in 2012-13, £110 million in 2013-14 and £100 million in 2014-15. I hope that that provides him with the information he requested and that I have been able to clarify some of the Government’s thinking behind our decision to have a 50p match rate. We continue to believe that that will be attractive to the target group, which is people of working age on low incomes. We want them to save and we believe that this will help them to do so.
6 pm
Mr. Hoban: I thank the Economic Secretary for his response. It is interesting to understand how the match rate incentivises people and the point at which the level of the match rate ceases to act as an incentive to people to save more. The fact that the pilots have confirmed that 50p is as effective in encouraging saving as £1 is useful evidence. That means that the cost to the Exchequer of introducing the measure will be less, and demonstrates that even at that lower cost, we still hope to have an effective result.
Mr. Browne: I would be grateful if I could draw on the hon. Gentleman’s greater experience as a Member of Parliament. His amendment asks the Government to put the 50p figure in the Bill and the Minister says that that will be dealt with by regulations and has justified the 50p level to the Committee. However, after the Bill has gone through all its stages in Parliament, will anything stop the Minister turning around and changing that figure to something else with a waft of his pen? If that is the case, why are we bothering to have this conversation about 50p, because we have been completely bypassed and the Minister need not pay any heed whatsoever to anything we say?
Mr. Hoban: The hon. Gentleman makes an important point. Having raised the issue earlier about the difference between the first and second use of power in respect of an earlier debate, I have checked the matter. Each time the Government change the match rate they will have to bring forward a statutory instrument under the affirmative resolution procedure, so at least there is some parliamentary scrutiny in that way.
As the hon. Gentleman knows, we will not be in a position to amend the statutory instrument if we have different views about the level of the match rate, whereas if the measure were introduced through primary legislation, we could seek to make such an amendment. However, there is at least some parliamentary scrutiny through the affirmative procedure, which will ensure that the Minister cannot change the rate without having to come back to the House and explain his motives. A fail-safe is in place and we can take reassurance from that. I beg to ask leave to withdraw amendment 32.
Amendment, by leave, withdrawn.
Mr. Browne: I beg to move amendment 8, in clause 8, page 4, line 32, leave out from second ‘the’ to ‘the’ in line 33 and insert
‘final account balance at the end of’.
My amendments have been grouped so as to have a discussion on amendment 8, a separate discussion on 9 and 11 and a separate discussion on 10. I certainly wish to deal with amendment 10 separately because that is very much a different issue, but there is a degree of overlap between amendments 8, 9 and 11. I will try not to test your patience, Mr. Taylor, but if I touch upon those, I may not require to speak specifically to them when that moment comes.
The amendments are probing because what I am really seeking to explore is the incentive for people to save and feel that they are participating in a scheme that is “fair” in terms of their expectations. People should also feel that the scheme is fair when they make comparisons with other people in their community who they know are also participating, and it should offer the best value for money to the taxpayer.
Amendment 8 deals with the point at which the balance is calculated for the purposes of the 50p matching figure. If it is paid on the highest amount that was ever in the account, one could build up £300 in the first year, withdraw all of it or leave in a nominal sum of £1, put nothing in during the second year, and have the money coming later. However, that money would not be due until the whole two years have expired and a further unspecified period has lapsed, which is what we talked about in amendment 10.
However, if someone put £1 a month in for the first 18 months, for example, and then £25 a month in for the last six months, they would come up with a total of £168, which would provide an extremely generous return, given that the vast majority of the money had been tied up in the account for a limited period of time. That would not be a 50 per cent. annual return; it would be far more generous. That does not compare with how normal accounts reward people, because the £25 put in at the end of the last month would come up with a return of £12.50 within days of being deposited. The purpose of the amendment is to find the thinking behind how the Government calculate a reasonable means by which to calculate the 50p rate.
Amendments 9 and 11 look at a slightly different aspect. On Second Reading and at other points during our deliberations, we have said that the legislation has two related, if different, purposes. It tries to encourage people on low incomes to be more enthusiastic about making savings, even if they are modest. That gives people a stake in society, and allows them to build up some money to spend in their retirement or to make some other provision for the future. However, we also say that it would be inappropriate for that money to be tied down for the two-year period, not only because people might be disincentivised to participate, but because the money is meant to provide some sort of buffer against unexpected events. If a person’s washing machine breaks down six months into the scheme, they might think, “Crikey! I haven’t got any money to get this washing machine mended.” They might then think, “Wait a second. How fortunate. I’ve got £150 because I’ve saved up to the maximum for the first six months, and the washing machine repair man is charging £150 to put it right. Thank goodness I have that security that I wouldn’t previously have enjoyed. What’s more, there are no restrictions on my ability to withdraw that £150 instantly.” In that way, the scheme does not encourage people to have a long-term savings mentality, but it guards against shocks to the system in people’s short-term finances.
However, someone could be disadvantaged if they take such an approach because of how the 50p matching rate is attracted. If the rate could be calculated on the amount in the account on a monthly basis, or if there was a halfway point at which people could in effect bank the money that they had attracted in the first half of the two-year period, the scheme would be more complicated, but it would have the virtue of being fairer or less anomalous when people in different circumstances compared how they are treated by the 50p payout.
Amendments 8, 9 and 11 are all intended to tease out the Minister’s thinking on that, and to give the Committee an opportunity to discuss the matter. I do not necessarily think that there is a right or wrong answer, or that I have arrived at such an answer, but I anticipate that if we do not explore the matter in some detail, some people may feel that the scheme is unreasonable when it comes into effect, and others may feel that they have benefited from it by rather more than the Government intended when the legislation was drafted.
The Chairman: Order. I allowed the hon. Gentleman to refer to other amendments in the interests of flexibility, but also in the expectation that when we come to those amendments, his contribution will be correspondingly reduced.
Mr. Hoban: At the risk of the harmony between the hon. Member for Taunton and I, I am not sure that I support the amendment. One point that I have borne in mind from an evidence session last week—it crops up time and again from people working in the field of financial exclusion—is the need for simplicity. People need to understand what they are signing up to, and the terms. That rubs up against the issue of fairness and the anomalies that he raised, and we need to take on board the fact that there may be some unfairness about the way in which the account might work. At the same time, we want to ensure that people understand what they are signing up to.
The greater the complexity about the allocation, matching and such things, the harder it will be for people to understand and the less willing they will be to take up the accounts. Someone who, through force of circumstances, was required to withdraw their funds early might be encouraged to leave in just £1. The account providers might remind people of that. At least such people would still qualify for the matching contribution at the end of the two years, even if they had to withdraw their money after nine months. There are mechanisms in place to ensure that they would still benefit from the measure, and one obligation that runs alongside the Bill is the duty to ensure that the account provider, or the third-sector organisations that encourage take-up, explain to people how they can avoid losing all their matching benefit.
 
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