Policy and delivery: the National Curriculum tests delivery failure in 2008 - Children, Schools and Families Committee Contents


Examination of Witnesses (Questions 320-339)

22 APRIL 2009

DR KEN BOSTON

  Q320 Mr Chaytor: There are two separate issues here. One is the relationship between yourself and the QCA and Ministers in the context of the appropriate degree of independence for the QCA and its successor bodies. The other is the responsibility for the events that led to the failure of ETS to deliver the tests on time by 8 July. You are trying to conflate the two and to suggest that there was a hidden agenda that led the Sutherland inquiry to focus only on your responsibility in not delivering the contract to time. In retrospect, do you not accept that there was a responsibility on the QCA and the NAA, as the agency directly responsible for supervising the contract, to inform the Government at an earlier stage of the scale of the risk that you had identified? You said in your evidence last year, and you say again in your letter,[3] that there had been weekly meetings from September with ETS and daily meetings from the beginning of May. Surely that is exceptional—if there was no problem or if the problems were being dealt with, why was there a need to have daily meetings from 1 May?

  Dr Boston: No, that was not exceptional. That was in fact the plan, and it was very good management and was similar to previous years. The daily meetings in the final few weeks are the norm. It was not because there was any particular crisis. As I have said in evidence before, right up until late May and the start of June there were some problems with getting papers out to markers. There were problems with distribution and return. They were fixed, and by 6 June 50% of the marking had been done. We were on target, just as we had been in previous years. The signs then were very good. It was not until, in my case, 25 June that it became clear that we were not going to make this.

  Q321 Mr Chaytor: Given the scale of the problems described by yourself and by Sutherland and acknowledged by ETS in its evidence to the Committee, it seems incredible that as late as 24 June there could have been a general acceptance that the target date of 8 July was going to be met. You refer, for example—I have the transcript of your evidence last year—to this backlog of 10,000 e-mails that ETS had not responded to. This led to an identification of the support provided by the NAA. This is exceptional, is it not? Which organisation, operating normally, has a backlog of 10,000 e-mails?

  Dr Boston: Yes. The Department was fully aware that that was the backlog, fully aware that we were coping with it, fully aware that we had put in resources to deal with it. It was a problem, and we were working to fix it. In fact, the backlog was removed. It is not a matter of the Department not being aware of issues from day to day. The contact we had through the NAA and elsewhere was very close. Department observers attended the meetings we were having with ETS and others. The broader question is that every year this has been a high-wire act. It is to do with the extraordinarily large scope of the job, done manually, and packed into eight weeks. We failed in 2004 when Key Stage 3 was late. We were within hours of failing in 2005, even though we had extended the Key Stage 3 results date. In 2006 and 2007 we were fine. In 2008 the whole thing collapsed again. The enterprise, the whole archaic nature of this thing, is incredible, and we are persisting with it for 2009. Lord Sutherland has made recommendations about end-to-end testing which simply cannot be met for 2009. Key Stage 3 is not being run this year but that does not halve the risk. It simply means that there will potentially be more markers who will be able to do Key Stage 2. In the general qualifications where the major awarding bodies have applied technology, are doing onscreen marking, producing valid and reliable results and identifying aberrant marking quickly and delivering a top-quality product securely, an enormous achievement has been made. Key Stage 2 and Key Stage 3 is still the cottage industry it was in 2002. The only change is that papers are now no longer left on doorsteps and post office counters—they are barcoded and tracked. That is the only change that has occurred in this period.

  Q322 Mr Chaytor: You said earlier to the Chairman that you had recommended four years ago that onscreen marking should become the norm for Key Stage 2 and Key Stage 3. What was the Minister's response to that recommendation?

  Dr Boston: There was extensive discussion with Ministers and officials particularly over a long period of time about introducing onscreen marking. We wanted to introduce onscreen marking for security, better quality and greater validity of results. The Department was pushing continually for a trial that would have had some papers marked manually and some marked onscreen and, provided that the results were the same, onscreen marking would be gradually phased in. The whole point is that the results would not be the same because the onscreen results would be better. I do not know whether that would make the league tables look better or worse, but the one thing you can absolutely bank on is that you will get a different, better and more valid result with a process that identifies aberrant marking and other errors early, does item level data collection automatically and eliminates all that manual stuff. You will get much better results, but they will be different. The compelling argument, finally, behind closed doors where all of this was thrashed out was, "Well, it's too risky—the results might look different."

  Q323 Mr Chaytor: Can I ask also about the role of the DCSF observers, because your argument is that they were involved with the NAA and the delivery of the contract at every stage? They were present at the weekly meetings from September. They were present at the daily meetings from 1 May. Why did they not report to Ministers earlier the scale of the risk and the likelihood of failure?

  Dr Boston: I cannot answer that. I don't know. But it is true that they were present at every level, including board level. They were aware fully of decisions being made and in fact were participating and contributing to that. The ETS contract was not even signed by the QCA chairman until we had the then Secretary of State's approval for it to be signed. She was being briefed by officials on, presumably, where this whole thing was heading throughout. I am not objecting to that, nor am I absolving the QCA from responsibility. It was the management agent. I am not saying that we should not have taken the rap on this. It happened on our watch, but it cannot be said that it came out of the blue or that the warning signs of continued briefings were not making it apparent when difficulties arose.

  Q324 Paul Holmes: I have two questions. First, in the letter that you sent to the Committee on 15 April[4] you say, "I was not asked to meet directly with the Schools Minister in the months leading up to the delivery failure." We have already talked a bit about that. Why were you not asking to meet the Minister? Why had you not spotted that problems were emerging? You have just said that it did not become apparent until 26 June. How come you did not spot that at an earlier stage?

  Dr Boston: We were certainly spotting the problems and dealing with them. As I said in my evidence to Lord Sutherland, it is a fraught process. There are difficulties the whole time. Our approach was to roll up our sleeves and get on with solving it, rather than running round telling people that there was a problem. If I had had a meeting with Jim Knight every week for the last eight weeks in the run-up to the closure, it would not have made him accountable for the tests. It was still my accountability. It would not have helped simply to put problems on his desk. Our objective was to keep him and his people briefed, but solving the problems and addressing them and bringing the tests in. We have done that year on year on year, except in 2004 and 2008. It has worked before. Our anticipation was that it would work again, but the risks in this are so high. Sutherland is critical of the QCA board having the tests at an amber risk on its risk register for 14 months. Amber means that likelihood is possible and the impact would be very high. I cannot see these tests ever having a risk rating less than amber. They could always fail, given the eight weeks in which the delivery occurs when they are done manually. And the impact when they fail is—well, we saw it in 2008.

  Q325 Paul Holmes: We will come back to the lines of accountability in a minute. Given that you are saying that it is always on a knife edge because of the sheer volume of tests and the short time scales, why were you not banging alarm drums much earlier, both last year and the year before, and the year before for that matter? Both you and I were at an educational seminar—this was in the early stages of the development of diplomas. When we were chatting, you said you were worried about what was happening with the development of diplomas, and that you thought the Government were being too complacent and that there was not enough feed through from those people developing diplomas to the schools and employers. You asked me to urge the Committee to look at that. I think you also talked to the Chairman separately and probably to other people. The Committee looked at the matter at that stage, and it did gee the Government up to get their act together a bit more. In that case you were really on the ball. Because you were not getting the response that you wanted from the Government, you used the Committee to try and push things along. If you were very much on the ball in the early stages regarding concerns about diplomas, why if year after year the marking was such a problem were you not banging the drum year after year? If you were not getting anywhere with the Ministers, why did you not raise the matter more widely?

  Dr Boston: That is a good question, and it is one that I have asked myself. I have frequently spoken publicly about different approaches to testing and the problems with this particular approach and how it was administered. I have also pressed privately for reform with Ministers and officials—there is no question about that. Over the past few months I have asked myself why I did not resign in 2006. At that point it was clear to me that I was not going to get Government buy-in to necessary reform. I continued through 2007 and 2008 to run an organisation that was faced with close to an impossible task, which I had seen go belly up in 2004 and had the prospect of doing so again. Probably my greatest regret in all of this is that I was not more honest with myself at that time and did not simply say, "It can't be done."

  Q326 Paul Holmes: Is there a wider institutionalised problem about lines of accountability in general between the Government and different arms of business that are being hived off? For example, in this case a private company, ETS, was brought in, and it was a disaster. We had a similar thing some years ago with the delivery of individual learning accounts and Capita and so on. We get private companies, and the Ministers say, "It's up to them now—don't ask us about it, ask them." The companies say that it is commercial confidentiality and it all collapses and is a disaster. That seems to happen over and over again. My second point concerns quangos, whether it be the QCA or NAA or whatever. We have seen the Learning and Skills Council make a total disaster of sixth-form funding allocations and of funding for college buildings. However, the Minister keeps saying, "It's nothing to do with us, you'll have to ask them." Have we got an institutional problem, which has developed over the last 10, 15 or 20 years, about what the lines of accountability are between the Government and the private sector and quangos, who are delivering things further down the system?

  Dr Boston: Yes, I think we do. From my experience, I certainly think that there is a problem. Looking forward, that is a critical reason why Ofqual must be completely separate from Government and report to Parliament through the Select Committee. The QCA's problem has been that it is not at arm's length—to use the Government's term—yet it can end up carrying the blame for a whole set of decisions over which it had no control. In my statement I pointed out all the things to do with national testing that the Government determine, and it is virtually everything except what the standard is and responsibility for the marking. If one goes further, and looks at awarding bodies, one sees that the delivery relationship works effectively because awarding bodies are quite remote. They do not work with Government even on a contractual basis. They deliver a public service and are funded through schools to deliver that service, and it works. Distance, with Ofqual, is going to be critical. If it does not get that distance, there will be a problem. As I said, I believe that Ofqual was made to stumble at its first hurdle. That is not an auspicious sign for the future of independent regulation.

  Q327 Mr Stuart: As you have described it, the system effectively has been specified by Government—they are the architects of the system in almost all its components, except for the content of the exams and the style of the marking. We have a constitutional system, where Ministers are always responsible. You said that if you had met every week with the Schools Minister, he would not have been accountable—you would have still felt accountable. To follow up the last question, do you feel that the constitutional convention of Ministers being ultimately responsible for delivery, particularly when the system is not genuinely independent, has failed to be honoured in this instance?

  Dr Boston: Yes, I do. There comes a point where you have to accept your accountability. From my own point of view, I accept the accountability and I accept the responsibility. On matters of detail, I was not at fault, because I was not doing those detailed things, but I was responsible for the management of the people who were delivering them and for the overall result. It would seem to me that a time does come with all Ministers—over my career, I have worked with more than 40 Ministers—when a Minister has to accept accountability and go.

  Q328 Mr Stuart: The evidence that Sutherland quotes, particularly paragraph 4.137, says: "In practice in 2008 what happened was that DCSF observers escalated their own assessment of risks to the DCSF ministers on a number of occasions. On this basis, ministers usually pressed the QCA Chief Executive for answers." Is that an accurate account of what happened?

  Dr Boston: No, it is totally false. I was pressed, if asking a question is being pressed, by Ministers—Ed Balls and Jim Knight—on 2 June, at the start of a meeting, as the first agenda item in a meeting that covered a series of agenda items. I am aware that in the House of Commons two Members sought clarification of what "usually pressed" was, and the Secretary of State referred to that as meaning "frequent pressing"—those were not his exact words, but that was the clear implication.

  Q329 Mr Stuart: So Ministers' role in the system was to ensure, the Schools Minister told Sutherland, that "the reality clearly is that some of these tasks that they are doing are so mission-critical that we need alongside that arrangement to be satisfied for ourselves that things are going well." That was the responsibility on Ministers. Is it your evidence to us that they falsely maintained to the House of Commons that they had carried out that duty when in fact they had not done so?

  Dr Boston: I am not certain about that, because I am not privy to the amount and detail of briefing that Ministers were given by DCSF observers at our own meetings. I cannot really comment on that. Presumably, the briefings were sound. That is why I find it so curious, for example, that the senior DCSF official who took the note of the meeting of David Gee and Knight on 17 June did not draw the Minister's attention to this mistake a few days later when the transcripts came back from Sutherland. The relationships between Ministers and DCSF officials over this I cannot fathom.

  Q330 Mr Stuart: I know that it was a complex set of circumstances that led to the failure of delivery. However, do you believe that if the Government had accepted your advice and brought in phased onscreen marking rather than manual marking the deadlines would have been met?

  Dr Boston: I am certain of it. The evidence for that is what we see with the awarding bodies and the general qualifications. There is no question that these tests could be delivered effectively and well within eight weeks using technology, giving us much more valid and reliable results than we get at the moment.

  Q331 Mr Stuart: So the chief author of this failure, in your opinion, was the Department, because of the specification that it set for the way that these tests were to be assessed. And, in the evidence to the Sutherland inquiry, the Department failed to accept that responsibility.

  Dr Boston: I certainly believe that, if we had been successful in introducing onscreen marking several years ago, 2008 would not have happened.

  Q332 Chairman: I have just listened to your replies to Paul Holmes and Graham Stuart. Are you not trying to have it both ways? On the one hand, you are complaining that the record is not straight and that you hardly ever saw Jim Knight or Ed Balls. In other words, you were left alone to get on with the job. On the other hand, you are saying that there should have been greater ministerial responsibility, because when everything went wrong Ministers should have said, "Hands up, it's all our fault, because of decisions that we made, or failed to make, some years ago." So let us get this straight. You are complaining: you said that Jim Knight made a mistake, saying that you were at a meeting that you were not at. It seems to me that someone could interpret what happened as the Government saying, "Get on with the job, Ken. Hire someone to do this job. You are responsible. You're a good guy and you've got a good reputation, so get on with it." Actually, Ministers do not really get involved until everything seems to be going wrong. That is true, is it not?

  Dr Boston: Yes, that is certainly true. Ministers were not getting involved in the detail of it at all. Look, I don't think I am trying to have it both ways. I have very clearly fallen on my sword over this. I have taken responsibility, taken accountability, and that is the end of it.

  Q333 Chairman: But I am talking about the ministerial responsibility, Ken. On the one hand, you are saying that the Ministers were never there, because they left you to get on with the job, and now you are saying, "But we need clearer ... ", and we need Ministers to stand up and say that they got it all wrong.

  Dr Boston: If I had met weekly with Jim Knight, I think that this problem would still have emerged. I am not saying that his failure to meet regularly was the cause of what happened. I take your point. However, I certainly do not think that I am, in any way, trying to diminish, reduce or explain away my own responsibility. I was foolish enough to continue running an organisation doing this high-wire act, when I knew fundamentally that it was deeply flawed and that the only way that I could have made it secure was to get ministerial agreement to do so several years ago.

  Q334 Fiona Mactaggart: When did you first learn of the public account by Jim Knight that was wrong, and what attempt did you make to correct it? Was it the letter that you wrote a few days ago to our Chairman?[5]

  Dr Boston: Yes.

  Q335 Fiona Mactaggart: Why?

  Dr Boston: I believed that I was unable to do anything prior to that. Let me say that I first became aware of this error—the flawed evidence—on 11 December, when I had a pre-release copy of the Sutherland report to read in the Department, and these three paragraphs just stood out as absolutely flawed. I resigned the following day. I would have resigned even if those three paragraphs had not been there. On the following Monday, 15 December, the day before the Sutherland report was released, I was then suspended by the QCA board at the proposal of the DCSF permanent secretary. I have contested that suspension, or reserved a right to contest it, because I believe that I simply should have been put on gardening leave, rather than receiving some sort of ill-defined suspension. I certainly was astonished to be suspended before the report had even come out and before anyone had even read it. Once that suspension had occurred, I received a letter setting out what a suspension meant. The letter did not explicitly state, "You can't speak to the Select Committee or write to newspapers," but that would clearly have been inconsistent with the spirit of the letter, which set out that I was not to contact the QCA or do a host of other things. I simply felt that the proper thing was not to make a media issue or anything else out of it, but to come back to the Select Committee in due course when the suspension was lifted and deal with the issue in the forum in which the faulty evidence was used against me. That was my decision.

  Q336 Fiona Mactaggart: So the correction that Jim Knight made in February to Lord Sutherland and to this Committee was not because you raised any query; it was just done by him.[6]

  Dr Boston: I am uncertain about that. The QCA board had to set up a panel to conduct a review in light of the Sutherland report, and that panel met on 14 January. On that date, I gave the panel, in a confidential meeting, an account of my performance, as well as an analysis of it in relation to the Sutherland report. The QCA panel, and subsequently the QCA board, then became aware that I had not been at that meeting.[7] The panel then contacted the Department to obtain a copy of the note of the meeting, which confirmed that I was not in fact present and had not made a contribution. It seems clear to me that that action, and the QCA board getting on to the case with the DCSF, must have led to this letter being written.[8] As I have said, I have been totally unaware of this letter until today, and of the fact that there had been a statement until 2 o'clock this morning. I think, in all fairness and decency, that I should have been given at least this letter and an explanation as to why I was so misrepresented.

  Q337 Fiona Mactaggart: That is a reasonable request, but one of the things that you have alleged in your evidence to the Committee today is that Ministers—in the phrase you used—"sexed up" the issue. I am slightly tempted to use the same phrase to describe the way that you have dealt with it, because you have made much of the "fiction" of Ministers. But as you now know—I am quite prepared to accept that you did not know this when you started—Ministers had made a correction to the Committee and to Lord Sutherland. I am concerned that, although you have raised some serious issues before the Committee, they might be designed to, if you like, divert the attention from the very substantial criticisms of your role in the Sutherland report.

  Dr Boston: Let me say this: if there has been an edge to my remarks, there is a reason for it. I gave evidence to Sutherland on 18 September 2008. On 24 September, which was six days after I gave evidence, three weeks before Balls and Knight gave evidence and nearly three months before the Sutherland report was published, which was certainly before Sutherland had even put pen to paper, the permanent secretary sought to negotiate my early resignation on the grounds that the Sutherland report would be bad for me. The Ministers had not even given their evidence. The permanent secretary said to me on that date that he wanted me out of the job before March 2009. I engaged an employment lawyer who wrote to the permanent secretary. I made it clear that my intention was to remain in post until the end of the contract and that I would be willing to consider departure only on the basis of the contract being paid out. That was, in fact, the end of the correspondence—once the permanent secretary had replied to Lewis Silkin. The Ministers' evidence came after that—Knight on the 14 October and Balls on the 15 October. On the 11 December, as I said, for the first time I became aware that there was a problem.[9] I make no allegations or assertions, but it was very clear that, by the time the two Ministers gave their evidence, the skids were under me—or it was proposed to put the skids under me—at Department level. That goes back to the meeting on 18 March and the whole issue of the future of the QCA.

  Q338 Fiona Mactaggart: So your contention is that this is—I am going to use the word "plot", but I am not saying that you are saying it is a kind of secret plot—a plot devised well before the failure of the curriculum tests to get rid of you from your role, with the failure of the curriculum tests being used as an excuse.

  Dr Boston: I think that I was seen as a troublesome priest, and the failure of the tests was perhaps a catalyst seen to offer an opportunity to allow those events to move forward.

  Q339 Chairman: When would your contract have run out anyway?

  Dr Boston: On 30 September 2009.



3   See Ev 48 Back

4   See Ev 48 Back

5   See Ev 48 Back

6   See Ev 77 Back

7   Note by Witness: The meeting which took place on 17 June 2008 between David Gee and the Rt Hon Jim Knight MP. Back

8   See Ev 77 Back

9   Note by Witness: On the 11 December I read the final pre-release Sutherland Report, and for the first time I became aware that there was a problem. Back


 
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