Russia: a new confrontation? - Defence Committee Contents


Examination of Witnesses (Questions 240-259)

21 APRIL 2009 RT HON BARONESS TAYLOR OF BOLTON, GROUP CAPTAIN MALCOLM CRAYFORD, MS GLORIA CRAIG,   RT HON CAROLINE FLINT MP, MR NICK PICKARD AND MR JUSTIN MCKENZIE SMITH

  Q240  Chairman: Since we are starting half an hour earlier than we normally do, let us aim to finish by about 12 o'clock. We have a number of witnesses and each of them does not have to answer every question. Perhaps you would introduce your teams.

  Caroline Flint: On my right is Mr Justin McKenzie Smith, Deputy Director of RUSCCAD at the FCO, and on my extreme right is Mr Nick Pickard, Head of Security Policy Group at the FCO.

  Baroness Taylor of Bolton: I have with me Group Captain Malcolm Crayford, sometimes called "Ginge", Deputy Head Security Co-operation, and Gloria Craig, Director of International Security Policy.

  Q241  Chairman: Perhaps I may begin by asking about the issue of spheres of interest. In our inquiry so far, it has appeared that Russia would be keen on maintaining privileged interests in countries which were formerly members of the Soviet Union, if they considered them to be their "near abroad" over which they should have greater power than over other countries. Is that legitimate?

  Caroline Flint: We do not accept that Russia per se has spheres of influence or interests in the way they would see it. We accept that they have legitimate interests in a number of the countries that once formed part of the Soviet Union. However, insofar as "spheres of influence or interests" somehow suggests that they have some sort of high authority to influence what those countries may want to do in relation to NATO and the EU we do not accept that. I give the example of the Eastern Partnership which the EU supports. We recognise that for some of the matters that partnership might look at, for example energy, there is a potential opportunity for joint co-operation also with Russia, but we do not accept that there is some sort of post-Soviet space that Russia above anyone else should dominate or occupy in terms of what those countries may or may not want to do in future for their security or economic interests.

  Q242  Chairman: Do you think Russia understands the notion that these countries should be entitled to their own sovereignty?

  Caroline Flint: Russia is concerned and defensive about why these countries might want to work with NATO or the EU. In many respects in our discussions, it is about trying to allay some of those concerns. We believe that in relation to both organisations a number of the countries that have become members of them have contributed to greater stability in Europe. That is a plus not only for countries that were already in the European Union or NATO but also for Russia. We do not believe that these countries, which vary enormously in terms of what they want to do, should be seen as a threat. We see Russia as a very important partner, bilaterally, but also within the organisations of which we are part. Part of it is about a better sense of partnership and trying to find some way to deal with what is evident, that is, a certain amount of distrust of the present relationship and attitudes to NATO, the EU and so forth.

  Q243  Chairman: But that is what you would like to persuade Russia of. How are you doing it?

  Caroline Flint: It will always be work in progress; I do not think it will ever be particularly easy, but that is why we have to find mutual interests, whether in terms of the economy or stability. There are maters on which clearly we want to engage with Russia, but at the same time, despite that multilateral and bilateral co-operation, there are matters on which we do not agree, and of which we don't have the same common ground, and Georgia is an example of that, where not only ourselves but other countries and organisations, have had to say that we don't accept Russia's actions in regards to that.

  Q244  Chairman: We will come to those matters on which we agree and disagree and to Georgia. I want to press you not on what British policy is towards those countries but whether Russia understands what you have just said. You have been talking in terms of what we hope they will see, but do they see it?

  Baroness Taylor of Bolton: In recent speeches President Medvedev has talked about the primacy of international law and issues of that kind. He is trying to persuade us that there is scope to look again at a European security architecture. I think it is incumbent on all of us at the different levels that Caroline Flint has been talking about to remind him that if international law has the status which he claims he must understand all of the ramifications of it. There is a slight dislocation in terms of what Russia wants to sign up to and its belief in the principles of international law and yet it clearly breaches them on other occasions. We must show that difference in attitude and ensure that in all the discussions held at different levels that point is brought home to them, and that they cannot proclaim a belief in international law and flout it at the same time.

  Q245  Chairman: What would be your answer to the suggestion that Russia does not really give the right to its near neighbours to their own independent sovereignty?

  Baroness Taylor of Bolton: I think it is a question of dislocation. In theory they would say they respect international law but in practice, as we saw in Georgia, clearly they did not and took several steps that were incredibly difficult from the point of view of anybody who accepts international law. It is a question of getting the right levels of engagement. We have to talk to the Russians and discuss things with them but we must repeatedly make clear what the ground rules are. It will not surprise you to know that we talked about this amongst ourselves earlier. We thought that in the 15 years after the end of the Cold War—it took a little time for that to settle—we in Britain, the EU and NATO were having discussions with Russia about the future as a partner, that they accepted the principles of international law and we were talking the same language. The credibility of Russia in terms of that partnership has been severely dented by events in Georgia. That dislocation is something that we must work through. We are pretty clear about the damage that has been done. I am not convinced that as a whole the Russians are clear about it, but I suspect that within Russia there are people who see things in different ways. There will be internal tensions and not just one view.

  Q246  Mr Crausby: The former Prime Minister, Tony Blair, told the House in 2007 that, "A close relationship between Europe and Russia is important", but he went on to say that it was sustainable only if it was based on shared values. The evidence we have heard on our visits to Estonia, Georgia and Russia is that many people believe the existing regime in Russia does not share many of our values. That certainly appears to be going in the wrong direction. Is it possible for the West to engage in the way it had hoped on the basis of shared values?

  Caroline Flint: Russia does sign up to a number of international agreements in which we are meant to share values, so as a starting point as an important country they have on the surface signed up to them, whether it is the United Nations or various treaties. The problem arises when they take actions that go against the very obligations with which they have agreed. Part of the reason we look to continue to engage with Russia on a number of different fronts is that we recognise it has an important influence not only in terms of Europe but globally. There are a number of areas in which we can seek co-operation, but the reality is that there are some areas where we do not. Therefore, the relationship is not always straightforward. I do not believe there is an easy solution to it, but part of what we endeavour to do is to counter some of the concerns and distrust that clearly exist within Russian circles about our motivations or interests whether from a NATO or EU perspective. Later this year there will be further discussions on the proposals by President Medvedev about European security architecture. Those will be interesting in the sense that we are open to holding those discussions, but we must also recognise—again, this is where values come into it—that we would have disagreements, first that somehow organisations like NATO or OSCE are not up to the tasks that they currently perform. We think they are. Importantly, we also believe that when you talk about security you cannot consider just the hard security issues but also human rights, economic and geopolitical issues. I am afraid that the last two are areas that the Russians have not wanted to include as part of the discussion. It is not easy, but engagement is important and within that there must also be constructive criticism. We have to be clear about the standpoints and values in which we believe.

  Q247  Mr Crausby: Do you accept that effectively things have changed and they do not share many of our values? Which values do you think they do not share with the West?

  Caroline Flint: It is quite a difficult issue. In many respects the Russians might say they do share values around stability and peace; they want an economic connection to the EU and as a partner whose economy has grown and grown. For 15 years after the end of the Cold War we worked with Russia as a partner, but the incident involving Georgia last summer abruptly indicated how by their actions they went against the very principles and international obligations to which they had signed up. That is why they have found themselves isolated not only in terms of NATO and the European Union but also the OSCE. They isolated themselves because the members of those organisations and others did not feel that the Russians were abiding by the values to which they had signed up by the disproportionate action they took in relation to Georgia.

  Baroness Taylor of Bolton: When one asks if it is possible to engage it begs the question: what are the consequences of not engaging? There are many areas that make it essential we engage. Issues such as democracy, human rights and good governance underpin all of the agreements that we have entered into and should have underpinned all the agreements that the Russians entered into. Sometimes their interpretation of some of those issues is not the same as ours. I know that a number of Members of the Committee visited Estonia where there are shared interests but not shared values. That is one of the themes they often put forward. That cannot mean that you just do not engage because there are so many important issues, be it energy, climate change or stability. We cannot fail to engage; it is a question of how we make sure we have the right kind of engagement at both bilateral and multilateral level.

  Q248  Mr Jenkins: I always have a problem with regard to shared values. Am I right in thinking that after the collapse of the Soviet Union when Russia was in a weakened position, we made certain promises to them, which we did not deliver on and extracted the maximum penalties with regard to any contracts we entered into? We marched NATO right up to their border and threatened them with the force of NATO. Therefore, we do have a shared value, that strength is all that matters in this world?

  Caroline Flint: Stop me if I am going in the wrong direction, but if we are referring to the enlargement of NATO and how that is perceived clearly that has become a greater issue in the past year. As an organisation NATO does not have a policy of enlargement per se, but there is an opportunity for individual countries who wish to join NATO to do so. In doing so they have to meet a number of conditions before they are accepted. I think that is a difference. If you are coming from the perspective that NATO has a policy of enlargement, which may be the Russian perspective, that will affect your view of the Organisation, but that is not the case. If you look at the results of countries joining NATO in more recent times it has offered greater stability rather than less stability for the Alliance as a whole but also for those countries too, whether in terms of governance, human rights and the requirement to abide by international law, and in that respect it has been only a force for good.

  Q249  Chairman: Is it really possible to say that NATO does not have a policy of enlargement given the Statement at Bucharest that Georgia will become a member of NATO?

  Caroline Flint: In a sense that is subject to the caveat that there is no reason for Georgia not to become a member of NATO, but it must still undergo a number of different changes and reforms to meet the conditions to join NATO. It is not a green light to say that it can join regardless. They have applied to join and in principle they can become members of NATO but they must meet all the conditions.

  Q250  Chairman: There is a difference between saying Georgia will become a member of NATO and there is no reason in principle why it should not become a member of NATO.

  Baroness Taylor of Bolton: Yes, but there is an essential difference between trying to recruit Georgia as a member of NATO and responding to Georgia's desire to be a member. NATO has an open approach to countries that want to apply to join; it does not actively recruit members.

  Q251  Mr Holloway: Mr McKenzie Smith, you have spent time living in Russia. How do the Russians feel about a country right on their doorstep joining the EU and NATO?

  Mr McKenzie Smith: That is an interesting question. There are probably lots of different levels of Russian feeling as there are here. On an official level I would make a slight distinction between those two institutions. The European Union is seen as a neighbouring organisation that does not have the mythology or history of threat that NATO does in Russian minds. During the Soviet era, NATO was regarded as a direct threat to the soviet and Russian people. My impression is that that perception has not really changed. As both Ministers have said, part of the challenge for us is to try to change that perception within Russia, to demonstrate that NATO does not represent a direct threat and that the interest of NATO lies in working with Russia in partnership to achieve stability and security in Europe.

  Q252  Mr Hamilton: I had the opportunity of being in the Soviet Union some time ago and then going back. The mindset is exactly the same. When we talk of negotiation and discussion between Europe and Russia are we not talking of two different things? Germany's interests are not Britain's interests; Italy's interest are not Britain's interests, and France's interests are most definitely not Britain's interests. Is it not the case that the Russians talk with one voice and deal with Europe on a patchwork basis? They are taking us on one at a time. How difficult is it for you as Minister for Europe to go and talk to the Soviet Union knowing full well that you are not talking for Europe but part of Europe, and how easy is it for them to divide and rule?

  Caroline Flint: As a UK European minister there are bilateral issues in which we would want to engage with Russia in terms of the UK economy, trade and so forth. There is a whole number of bilateral issues, whether it is the British Council or other matters, that we take up with our Russian counterparts. You are right to point out that within the European Union there are different nuances in particular countries. They have different relationships, histories and legacies with Russia. To go back to Georgia and the action taken in August of last year, regardless of some of those different levels of relationship and views the European Union did come together in condemning that action.

  Q253  Mr Hamilton: Some of them were quieter than others.

  Caroline Flint: That may be so, but the fact is that there was a united position and the ceasefire proposals are still the backdrop to the Geneva talks that are under way and on which there is unity across the European Union. When you have 27 Member States it is difficult to get unity whether you are dealing with Russia or anybody else, but I believe that on this occasion people felt that Russia went beyond what was expected of a country the size and importance of Russia in terms of its international obligations. I do not think that it will necessarily always be easy, but it is something that we must deal with. In terms of the European Union and the partnership and co-operation agreement and in terms of NATO and the NATO-Russian Council discussions in those areas will still be affected by the backdrop of Russia's actions last year. How those discussions will progress will be affected by what Russia does as well as what it says it will do. Having said that, none of us wants an atmosphere of distrust and we want to work to reduce it.

  Q254  Mr Borrow: I want to move on to the violation of UK and NATO airspace. It was reported in The Times in July 2007 that two Russian bombers had attempted to violate UK airspace. How many similar attempts were made in 2008?

  Baroness Taylor of Bolton: There has been a lot of misreporting on this issue. People need to remember that NATO airspace is all NATO territory plus 12 miles around a coastline. The problem is not specifically that it is considered as a military threat but that there are safety and air traffic control issues. As I understand it, civil air traffic control relies on secondary radar and getting signals back from aircraft to stations. The flights coming from Russia are often without flight plans and pass through the busiest air routes and that could cause difficulties and concern. They can be tracked from an MoD point of view but not necessarily easily from the point of view of civil aviation. That is where the difficulty lies. The Ministry for Transport is particularly involved in this. Alarming headlines appear in the press despite the fact that when they contact the MoD they are told a different story, but that is the press for you and it is what you learn to expect. Therefore, the problem is really one of air safety and problems for civil aviation. I do not know whether my colleague Group Captain Crayford with his hands-on experience wants to add anything.

  Group Captain Crayford: That is entirely right. Back in August 2007 the then President, Putin, announced the resumption of long-range aviation flights as much for symbolism in terms of domestic and international consumption, if you like that Russia was back. From August to December 2007, the RAF launched its Quick Reaction Alert Force on 15 occasions to intercept Russian military aircraft approaching or entering NATO's Air Policing Area. One must remember that they are unidentified at that stage. In 2008, the RAF launched on 11 occasions[1]; and so far in 2009 the RAF has launched three times, of which the latest occurred last Tuesday when aircraft circumnavigated Iceland. The flights do not pose a threat to the UK; they are flying in international airspace but, as the Minister says, we are concerned on flight safety grounds as these aircraft cut across some of the busiest air routes in the world. Whilst we intercept them with RAF aircraft, the UK's air defence system can track Russian aircraft throughout and we liaise with our civil air traffic control counterparts in terms of safety. It is that issue with which we are concerned, not any military threat from what is, if you like, symbolism that Russia is back.

  Q255 Mr Borrow: There has been a suggestion that those aircraft movements were part of military action by Russia against NATO and were more of a probing exercise.

  Baroness Taylor of Bolton: I think it is seen more as a demonstration of presence for internal and to a certain extent external consumption, not as a threat.

  Q256  Mr Borrow: Some people have expressed surprise at how little reaction there has been by the UK Government concerning those flying exercises. They are not the sorts of things one would expect to happen between friendly states. Whilst there may be legitimate reasons to have aircraft movements one would normally let one's close friends know what one was planning in this situation.

  Baroness Taylor of Bolton: There are no flight plans and that is our real concern rather than seeing them as a threat. We have the opportunity to do exercises ourselves and we respond in that situation when there is an unidentified flying mission, but I think the situation is very much as we see it. We do not see it as a threat. If they are in international airspace that is legitimate.

  Group Captain Crayford: These (Russian military aircraft) are infringing the rules and procedures laid down by the International Civil Aviation Organisation and it is within that body that these are being addressed.

  Q257  Mr Borrow: Would it be possible for the Ministry to inform Parliament on a regular basis of any similar exercises or movements in future?

  Baroness Taylor of Bolton: Obviously, if Members table PQs we answer them correctly, but we are not withholding information. It is not always considered to be sufficiently significant to have a written statement or something of that kind, but if there is a desire for information it is not classified.

  Q258  Mr Borrow: Given that earlier the press have on occasions misinterpreted certain movements, would it not be better for the Ministry to issue a statement rather than that reporters should hear something on the grapevine and run with the story?

  Baroness Taylor of Bolton: I think reporters will run with the story. We did correct the story and they still ran with it.

  Q259  Chairman: There was a request made by The Sun under the Freedom of Information Act about the number of Russian incursions between July and December 2007, was there not?

  Baroness Taylor of Bolton: I do not recall; we get so many.



1   Following the evidence session, the Ministry of Defence confirmed that the correct figure is 10. Back


 
previous page contents next page

House of Commons home page Parliament home page House of Lords home page search page enquiries index

© Parliamentary copyright 2009
Prepared 10 July 2009