A way forward for nuclear engineering
53. During our visit to China and Japan, we were
impressed by both administrations' approach to large scale engineering
projects. The most impressive characteristic of the Chinese and
Japanese Governmentsin stark contrast to the UKwas
an unwavering confidence that whatever was decided should be done
would be done, on time and to budget. We noticed that the Chinese
and Japanese officials referred to engineering projects with confidence
in part because each project is accompanied by a detailed roadmap
for delivery. Such roadmaps form the bedrock of the policy formulation
and project delivery processand their existence is linked
to an unambiguous emphasis on the provision of skills and also
the importance of engineering advice that exists in those administrations
(an issue to which we return later). If a person worked in an
environment in which each project has a comprehensive plan for
delivery that is acted upon and is always met, he or she would
become confident in the ability of that administration to deliver
complex engineering projects. This is not something that happens
in UK Government. We have outlined above our concerns regarding
uncritical optimism regarding the provision of skills for nuclear
new build. Further, when we asked the Minister on the Government's
plan to deliver an 80% reduction in carbon emissions, he said
of the role of nuclear power:
We do not have a statistical 'we want this percentage
generation' but we have dropped over the last few years from about
19 per cent to about 15 per cent. We certainly would want to replace
that sort of area with nuclear generation of electricity.[69]
54. When asked if he wanted eight stations as
a hard and fast number, as had been reported in the newspapers,
he replied:
No. What we are looking at is how we can get a number
of nuclear power stations going. Whether we get to the target
we are aiming for will depend on a number of factors. You have
already seen the significant announcement of EDF and British Energy
which suggests we will get some development fairly quickly. By
"fairly quickly" we are talking about 2017/2018.[70]
55. The Chairman summarised the Minister's performance
during oral evidence: "With respect, you have not said a
single thing about what you are actually going to do, other than
that you are going to do it."[71]
56. Despite the lack of a plan, there is an acceptance
that there should be a plan:
Mr Boswell: Just
to pursue the various players in this orchestra: the National
Skills Academy for Nuclear, the National Nuclear Laboratory, the
Nuclear Decommissioning Authority, Cogent, the Royal Academy of
Engineering [
], the universities [
] and [
] the
new Nuclear Institute which is going to be formed out of the Institution
of Nuclear Engineers and the British Nuclear Energy Society. You
have added in two new bodies [
]: the Office for Nuclear
Development and the Nuclear Development Forum. How on earth is
the Government going to conduct this particular orchestra, make
sure it is all playing in tune and gets to the end of the piece
at the right time?
Mr O'Brien: Because
we have set up the OND, the Office for Nuclear Development, it
is their job in a sense to ensure that the conducting of the orchestra
is done in a way that produces the tune that we want.
Mr Boswell: They are in
the driving seat?
Mr O'Brien: They
are essentially there to make sure everything works effectively.
I demur slightly from being in the driving seat, they do not directly
control companies or anything like that. It is their job to say,
"This is where we are. That is where we want to be. This
is how we get there." If somebody is going off at the wrong
angle, then we tell ministers and ministers will have the job
of pulling them back.[72]
57. We support the formation
of the Office for Nuclear Development, but remain concerned about
the lack of a clear and detailed plan for delivering the next
generation of nuclear power stations.
There should
be a master roadmap for all major engineering projects, including
nuclear new build. The Office for Nuclear Development should take
ownership of the roadmap for nuclear. The roadmap should include
consideration of: what skills are required over time and what
will be needed to deliver the skills capacity ahead of time; other
general engineering programmes and nuclear engineering programmes,
both national and international; potential bottlenecks in the
supply chain; and who is responsible for the delivery of each
part of the roadmap. There should be six-monthly progress reports
against the roadmap. The roadmap should be in place by the end
of 2009.
Case study conclusion: skills
58. The exploration of skills issues through
the lens of nuclear engineering has proved a useful exercise.
The key points we took out of this case study relating to skills
were that:
the
consideration of skills shortages is a critical issue for the
nuclear engineering sector;
the Government must continue its investment
in engineering and nuclear engineering skills and maintain a watching
brief on the development of skills pertinent to its nuclear new
build ambitions; and
there should be better clarity from industry
and Government across each engineering sector about which institutions
do what in terms of skills provision.
59. Skills requirements will vary from sector
to sector and we consider broader skills issues for the engineering
community in Chapter 6. We are particularly mindful of the fact
that the nuclear engineering sector has a long history of skills
provision and that that is not the case in all engineering sectors.
In the next chapter we consider an emerging industry that does
not have such a history in skills provision: plastic electronics.
The chapter focuses on issues relating to innovation and commercialisation;
skills issues in relation to plastic electronics are considered
in Chapter 6.
14 Q 49 [Ev 375] Back
15
Engineering UK 2007, p 60 Back
16
Engineering UK 2007, p 63 Back
17
2006 Labour Market Survey of the GB Engineering Sectors, April
2007, p 11 Back
18
Ev 335 [CBI] Back
19
From the e-consultation 'Engineering in the UK' , Ev 792-799 Back
20
Ev 131 Back
21
Ev 150 Back
22
www.guardian.co.uk/environment/2008/jul/14/nuclearpower.gordonbrown Back
23
www.world-nuclear.org/info/reactors.html Back
24
www.world-nuclear.org/info/reactors.html Back
25
Most of the power stations have 2 reactors. There are a similar
number of reactors associated with the naval nuclear propulsion
programme. Back
26
Ev 421 [British Energy] Back
27
This is a conservative estimate: the National Skills Academy for
Nuclear estimates that 1,500 people need to be replaced each year,
with an additional 11,500 over the next 20 years to complete the
task of decommissioning, and 6,500 in other civil/defence sectors,
which includes new build (Ev 431). Back
28
Ev 464 [Institution of Engineering and Technology] Back
29
Ev 416-417 Back
30
www.hse.gov.uk/nuclear/reactors/index.htm Back
31
BERR (2008) 'Meeting the Energy Challenge: A White Paper on Nuclear
Power', p 10 Back
32
Health and Safety Executive website, UK Nuclear Regulators New
Reactor Assessment, www.hse.gov.uk/newreactors. Back
33
www.hse.gov.uk/newreactors/index.htm Back
34
www.world-nuclear-news.org/print.aspx?id=23046 Back
35
www.guardian.co.uk/world/2008/jun/23/nuclear.greenpolitics Back
36
Q 174 [Ev 394] Back
37
Q 240 [Ev 404] Back
38
As above. Back
39
Ev 410 [BERR & DIUS]; Ev 454 [RAEng] Back
40
Ev 436 [Cogent & NSAN] Back
41
Ev 438 [Cogent & NSAN]. Cogent, in collaboration with other
Sector Skills Councils, Skills Academies and Government bodies,
has started a new labour market intelligence survey to update
data across the nuclear industry, including new build and capturing
the full capability in the nuclear defence sector. Back
42
Nuclear Employers Survey, Cogent, 2005, p ii Back
43
Ev 451 [University of Central Lancashire]; Q 79 [Ev 380] [Clive
Smith] Back
44
Ev 454 Back
45
Q 10 [Ev 369] Back
46
Q 94 [Ev 383] Back
47
Q 96 [Ev 383-384] Back
48
Qq 186-187 [Ev 395] Back
49
Ev 419 Back
50
Ev 453 Back
51
Q 243 [Ev 404] Back
52
Innovation, Universities, Science and Skills Committee, First
Report of Session 2008-09, Re-skilling for recovery: After
Leitch, implementing skills and training policies, HC 48-I,
para 98 Back
53
Skills 'gaps' and 'shortages' mean different things to skills
specialists. Skills gaps exist when an existing workforce requires
additional training: skills shortages require recruitment. Back
54
National Occupational Standards describe what an individual needs
to do, know and understand in order to carry out a particular
job role or function. Back
55
www.nuclear.nsacademy.co.uk/about-us/about-skills-academy Back
56
Ev 498 Back
57
Q 239 [Ev 404] Back
58
Q 9 [Ev 369] Back
59
Joint European Torus Back
60
A torus-shaped magnetic chamber Back
61
Q 5 [Ev 369] Back
62
Q 11 [Ev 370] Back
63
Same as above. Back
64
Introduction to Generation IV Nuclear Energy Systems and the International
Forum, www.gen-4.org/PDFs/GIF_introduction.pdf Back
65
Ev 475 [Royal Society] Back
66
Q 266 [Ev 408] Back
67
Ev 426-427 Back
68
Q 35 [Ev 374] Back
69
Q 264 [Ev 408] Back
70
Q 237 [Ev 404] Back
71
Q 245 [Ev 405] Back
72
Qq 255-256 [Ev 406-407] Back