Pre-Budget Report 2008: Green fiscal policy in a recession - Environmental Audit Committee Contents


Memorandum submitted by the Combined Heat and Power Association

OVERVIEW OF THE COMBINED HEAT AND POWER ASSOCIATION

  1.  The CHPA is a long-established not-for-profit trade association that acts as a focus for the combined heat and power (CHP) and community heating industry in the UK, providing support across our membership and working to establish and maintain the strong and stable market conditions necessary to grow the application of these technologies. The CHPA has over 90 members and represents a significant proportion of the total CHP capacity within the UK. Our membership comprises of CHP developers (small and community scale, large scale industrial and utility companies), end users, suppliers, public sector bodies and professional services providers.

WHAT IS CHP?

  2.  Combined Heat and Power (CHP) is a highly efficient process of energy conversion, which maximises the value of the energy that can be provided from a given quantity of fuel. The efficiency of the CHP or "cogeneration" process means that the technology has the potential to deliver major benefits through savings in fuel consumption and reduction in carbon emissions.

BACKGROUND TO THIS RESPONSE

  3.  The CHPA welcomes the Environmental Audit Committee's (EAC) inquiry. As the Committee has rightly noted, the Chancellor's 2008 Pre-Budget Report was set against a backdrop of a crowded policy agenda, a worsening fiscal outlook and competing calls from both the private and public sectors for assistance in addressing the consequences of the economic downturn. Within this context it is critical that the Government maintains and strengthens its commitment to improving the competitiveness in UK manufacturing, whilst mitigating climate change. HMG and in particular, HM Treasury, should demonstrate this by prioritising measures that are aimed at stimulating economic recovery but simultaneously provide the confidence for the private sector to invest in sustainable energy infrastructure which in turn facilitates "green collar jobs".

  4.  The Government has a target to achieve an installed capacity of 10 GWe of CHP capacity by 2010. Current installed capacity is 5.47 GWe and there is now no prospect of securing this capacity target in the proposed timeframe. However, the Government's own analysis[36] indicates that there is significant potential for further investment in new CHP capacity over the period top 2015, over which timeframe there is urgent need for investment in new UK power generating capacity.

  5.  The Government has previously established a package of measures that historically has provided a stimulus to CHP investment, under sympathetic market conditions. As the CHPA has previously highlighted to the Committee,[37] a major proportion of the value of this package accrues from an exemption from the Climate Change Levy for power exported from a qualifying CHP plant, a benefit which is subject to a European Commission State Aid approval which expires in March 2013. The value of this incentive as a stimulus to investment requires a clear an unequivocal commitment from the Government that it intends to retain this benefit in the period post-2013. Similarly, the benefit of Enhanced Capital Allowances is not currently available to Utilities, owing to State Aid constraints. This discriminatory arrangement undermines prospects for investment in CHP by preventing a major class of investor from accessing the benefit.

  6.  Since both incentives described are subject to the Finance Act, the Budget and Pre-Budget Reports provide an appropriate opportunity for the Chancellor to signal a commitment to address the uncertainty that is presently blighting investment prospects for large and industrial CHP. While this uncertainty persists, the prospects for growth in the CHP supply chain are likely to remain compromised. The UK retains significant capacity in the design and manufacture of industrial gas turbines, a major component of larger CHP plants, in both Lincoln and Newton Abbott. The uncertainty will also undermine the commercial opportunity to exploit CHP as a means of managing ongoing energy costs in the UK manufacturing sector. CHP is an important means of delivering energy savings in industries such as papermaking, refining and petrochemicals and food and drink.

  7.  In his Pre-Budget Report, the Chancellor delayed a decision on fiscal incentives until the forthcoming heat and energy saving consultation.[38] The CHPA considers that this move presents further delay in an aspect of energy, climate and economic policy that demands prompt resolution.

  8.  This submission sets out the rationale presented to the Government for a further extension, in terms of time and scope, of existing fiscal incentives for CHP.

CONTRIBUTION OF CHP TO THE UNITED KINGDOM'S ENERGY POLICY PRIORITIE

  9.  CHP can achieve an overall efficiency of 80% or higher compared to a centralised power station efficiency of between 30-50%. In addition, CHP is located close to sites of heat loads and demand for electricity, and therefore avoids the bulk of the losses normally associated with the transmission and distribution of electricity. CHP delivers a range of economic, environmental and other benefits—some accruing to its users, some to operators of the electricity grid and yet others to the wider community:

    (a) Reduced carbon emissions

    CHP reduces carbon emissions, typically by up to 20%. The Government's latest statistics show that every 1 MW of CHP operating in the UK reduces carbon emissions by between 510 and 760 tonnes every year. Across the UK economy, Government estimates indicate that CHP saved between 10.6 and 15.4 million tonnes of CO2 in 2006. CHP thus represents one of the largest single carbon reduction measures in the Government's Climate Change Programme.

    (b) Enhanced energy security

    CHP reduces primary energy consumption, typically by more than 10%. Conventional gas-fired power generation is set to expand, with an estimated 15 GWe of new capacity to come on line in the period to 2020. If this new capacity was developed as CHP plants, heat supplies from conventional boiler plant could be displaced thus reducing national fuel demand and improving the security of natural gas supplies. Similarly, ambitious renewable energy targets will place enormous stresses on scarce resources of biomass, recovered fuels, and wastes. Under these conditions, CHP has the potential to deliver more useful energy for the restricted quantities of fuel inputs, increasing the likelihood of securing renewable generation targets, reducing import dependency and mitigating the impacts of exposure to global energy markets.

    (c) Lower energy costs

    Making more efficient use of fuel reduces overall energy consumption and with it the costs of energy. CHP plants that are "Good Quality" under the government's CHPA Quality Assurance programme save a minimum of 10% of the primary fuel that would be required to provide energy under the alternative boiler and grid electricity scenario. Economic analysis undertaken by the Government in its Heat: Call for Evidence indicates that the majority of CHP investments can be considered as a `no regrets' measure for policy makers, since they present negative costs.[39] These cost benefits are manifested as carbon savings, enhanced security of supply and reduced energy costs over the 20 year life of the project.

    (d) Green Collar Jobs

  The CHP industry is an established element of the green economy. From Local Authority members involved in strategic planning, energy and planning consultants, energy service companies, legal and financial services and CHP manufactures and the majority of the major energy utilities, the CHPA represent a substantial part of the supply chain of low carbon development. CHP applications at different scales require varied skill sets and abilities from highly skilled engineering contractors to apprentices that help install heat networks.

CURRENT STATUS AND FUTURE POTENTIAL OF CHP IN THE UK

  10) The Government's analysis, presented in DUKES 2008,[40] indicates that:

    (a) Installed CHP capacity at the end of 2007 stood at 5,474 MWe. This represents a net increase of 50 schemes between 2006 and 2007, but a net decrease of 10 MWe in installed capacity.

    (b) The electricity generated by CHP schemes in 2007 was 28,677 GWh. This represents a little over 7 per cent of the total electricity generated in the UK.

    (c) Across the commercial and industrial sectors (including the fuel industries other than electricity generation) electrical output from CHP accounted for around 12 per cent of electricity consumption.

    (d) CHP schemes in total supplied 53,050 GWh of heat in 2007.

    (e) In 2007, DEFRA produced a report setting out the economic potential for developing CHP in the UK and the benefits this could deliver. The results can be seen in Table 1 below.

OBSTACLES TO EXPANSION OF CHP

  11.  In spite of this considerable potential for expansion of CHP within the UK, we have not seen the increase in capacity of CHP necessary to realise the benefits described above, and the evidence from the marketplace is that we are not on track to meet the Government's target of 10GWe by 2010.

  12.  The principal constraints are market-related. From a commercial perspective, CHP presents a relatively complex and risky investment prospect, as plant owners must negotiate contracts for fuel supply, power and heat sales. Interacting with an electricity market designed to accommodate major, integrated energy companies also brings additional cost and risk. Investors demand additional returns to reflect these conditions and certainly higher returns than a more straightforward investment,in a conventional combined cycle gas turbine, which is the "default" investment in today's electricity market. While current sparks spreads suggest strong returns for CHP plant, future spark spreads are less attractive, and investments are made on the basis of this view of the future and not current prices. Therefore, establishing a policy framework to deliver adequate returns and manage these risks is a necessary step towards securing these important benefits of carbon savings.

  13.  The result is that while there is considerable interest in acquiring existing CHP assets, current investment in large scale CHP has stalled. The CHPA is aware of a number of major projects which are at an early stage of development but without greater certainty of adequate returns these are considered unlikely to proceed, further compromising efforts to maintain security of electricity supplies.

HISTORIC INCENTIVISATION OF CHP

  14.  The Government has already seen fit to incentivise CHP, and between 2000 and 2003 introduced a package of measures designed to support the expansion of CHP capacity. Plant commissioned under this regime included the 730MWe CHP plant at Immingham, Europe's largest industrial CHP plant. These incentives included:

    (a) Climate Change Levy exemption on CCL for fuel input and electricity output.

    (b) Enhanced Capital Allowances (restricted to non-Utility companies).

    (c) Business rate relief.

IMPROVING THE PROSPECTS FOR CHP INVESTMENT

  15.  There are a number of actions that must be taken to address the situation and improve prospects for the deployment and operation of CHP:

    (a) Extend the Climate Change Levy exemption on all supplies of electricity from Good Quality CHP, including power exported from a site. This important benefit is only available until 2012; thereafter the Treasury has provided no guarantees that the incentive will be retained. Investors cannot, therefore, value the incentive when making new investment decisions. Providing an unequivocal statement of the Government's commitment to retain this CCL exemption for CHP until at least 2027 would thus provide greater investment confidence.

    (b) Make Enhanced Capital Allowances universally availability to both Utility and non- Utility companies.

    (c) Continue to provide Business Rate relief on CHP plant.

  16.  Concern over the adequacy of investment support measures have been reflected by major industrial CHP operators. At the CHPA's Annual Conference in November 2008, Andy Duff, CEO of RWE npower stated that his company was capable of making major steps forward in CHP investment. He presented the case for a simple and transparent investment framework to be put in place by the Government:

    "We need clear and unequivocal signals which would include the extension of the exemptions from CCL until 2027, universal availability of Enhanced Capital Allowances, exemption from the new heat levy for Good Quality CHP and finally a genuinely level playing field under the EU ETS, which would guarantee that CHP will not be disadvantaged by the allocations regime".

  17.  The International Energy Agency (IEA) is presently undertaking a major review of CHP and District Heating and Cooling, which includes comparative analysis of the incentive and policy framework for CHP in OECD member countries, using a scorecard approach.[41] Each scorecard provides a rating and issues recommendations to that country. The IEA have scored the UK at 2.5 out of a possible maximum of 5, and have made several notable recommendations. Amongst these are the establishment of locational signal for CHP investment, continued emphasis on the potential for efficient CHP for large power station developments, and creation of a national CHP target and strategy beyond 2010. Most notably, it calls for "further investor confidence in support mechanism longevity and accessibility", in reference to Climate Change Levy exemption for Good Quality CHP.

  18.  Publication of the scorecard also provided the opportunity to benchmark the UK's record on CHP against that of other industrialised nations. It is notable that the UK lags behind many competing economies in its adoption of CHP, see below.


IMPACT OF EXTENDING CHP BENEFITS

  19.  Impact on Investment and Operation of CHP:

    (a) Recognising the wider factors affecting today's economy, it would be misleading to suggest that extending the existing CHP benefits would have an immediate impact in delivering an expansion in CHP capacity and outputs. However, it is possible to demonstrate how the measures would affect the investment outlook for a typical CHP projects. This will affect investment sentiment and in turn the probability that new plant will be developed.

    (b) The CHPA has undertaken analysis, in collaboration with our members, to determine the returns made when investing in CHP as an alternative to a conventional boiler and power purchase arrangement that is typical in most industrial, commercial and domestic applications. We estimate that if the existing package of CCL exemptions is extended to 2027, then the Internal Rate of Return (IRR) for the CHP project is extended by about 3-5%. For an industrial site investing in its own CHP plant, this would see the IRR increase to a point where it is likely to warrant serious consideration. What constitutes an acceptable return will vary between parties, however it is considered that the 5% increase that can be demonstrated from this measure is material and is likely to present a significant change in investor sentiment towards CHP.

  20.  Impact on the Exchequer:

    (c) The CCL exemption is, in effect, a tax credit on the production of low-carbon energy. In stark contrast to measures such as the Renewables Obligation, the CCL exemption programme only presents a cost when the low-carbon energy is produced (the RO imposes a cost on customers irrespective of whether any renewable electricity plant is constructed or operated).

    (d) It is therefore possible to determine a direct relationship between the carbon saved and any tax revenue foregone. The principal variable is the carbon content of the electricity and heat that is displaced when a CHP plant is in operation. If it is assumed that a CHP plant displaces natural gas in a conventional boiler, and a "grid average" electricity supply, then the cost of the carbon saved, in terms of lost revenue from CCL exemption is equivalent to between £31 to £54 per tonne of CO2 saved.

CONCLUSIONS

  21.  Under current market conditions, which present a high degree of risk and uncertainty, it is unlikely that new large-scale CHP investment will be forthcoming. This is a direct consequence of commercial conditions, where the anticipated returns that accrue to a CHP investment—based on the best knowledge of future energy prices—are insufficient to support this class of investment. The Government has previously established a comprehensive package of measures that historically provide a stimulus to CHP investment under appropriate prevailing market conditions. Extension of these benefits, with extension of the CCL exemptions to 2027 and universal availability of ECAs, presents a "no-regrets" approach to incentivising new CHP investment.

ANSWERS TO QUESTIONS:

The risks and opportunities of an economic downturn—and of the policy response to it—for environmental taxation and investment policy;

  The current economic downturn coincides with a period of necessary investment in energy infrastructure. There is an opportunity to ensure that this investment meets both competitiveness and environmental objectives. However, as is noted throughout this response, this will not occur without the correct incentives.

The announcement of a forum on skills for a low carbon economy

  The CHPA welcome the announcement of a forum on skills. The CHPA believe that without the appropriate skills capacity, the politically attractive concept of green collar jobs will never be fully realised.

January 2009






36   DEFRA: Analysis of the UK potential for Combined Heat and Power, October 2007. Back

37   EAC: Reducing emissions from UK Businesses: The role of the Climate Change Levy and Agreements, p 38, March 2008. Back

38   HM Treasury : Pre-Budget Report 2008, Facing global challenges: supporting people through difficult times, November 2008. Back

39   BERR, 2008: Heat Call for Evidence. Back

40   BERR, 2008: Digest of UK Energy Statistics 2008. Back

41   International Energy Agency (IEA), Event Notice, International Energy Agency Announces Release of UK CHP/DHC Scorecard, 19 November 2008. Back


 
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