Securing food supplies up to 2050: the challenges faced by the UK - Environment, Food and Rural Affairs Committee Contents


Examination of Witnesses (Questions 1 - 19)

WEDNESDAY 28 JANUARY 2009

PROFESSOR TIM LANG

  Q1  Chairman: Ladies and gentlemen, may I welcome you to the first evidence session in the series to open the Committee's inquiry into securing food supplies up to 2050: the challenges for the United Kingdom. The Committee launched this inquiry at a meeting in Borough Market—I think it is the first time that we have ever called a public meeting to launch an inquiry, but I think that went very well; and it was certainly helped by our first witness here today, an old friend of the Committee, Professor Tim Lang, who is the Professor of Food Policy at the City University. He is well known to anybody who follows food matters; he is a regular broadcaster and commentator in this area and I am delighted that you are here, Tim, to help us in our first evidence session. Looking to the future, I am very conscious that in terms of the outcome of the World Food Summit in June last year, in Rome, two targets were set: one that we should have as a globe 50% increase in food production by 2030 and that by 2050 we should have doubled our food production. It may sound like a long way off but it is amazing how quickly time passes. Perhaps I might open the batting by asking the question because what we are trying to do in the first series of our inquiries is to identify what are the challenges, what are the things that are on our list that we have to attend to if the United Kingdom is to make its contribution to hitting those two targets. So what threats in that kind of scenario timescale do you see that we have to address if we are to have a secure food supply along the timeline I have identified?

  Professor Lang: It depends what you mean by threats. One of the problems with the notion of food security as you know, we all know, is that it means all things to all people. The issue is who is the "we" and what is the threat and how do you define what you mean by food security? At one end you can have, if you like, a military approach, of food resilience—not that they colonise that word but you know what I mean—and on the other hand there is a notion of food security which says that the only way we can actually produce the right foods by 2030 and 2050 is by sustainability. They are rather different approaches; one is concerned about buffer stocks, stocks—do we have we five days or eight days or is it only three days in the pipeline down motorways; and the other is saying how can we protect soil and water in an era of climate change and deliver public health? So my answer is actually to bat it back to you. I think one of the problems and one of the things that I would very much welcome from your inquiry is some clarification of what do we mean by food security because it means all things to all people. To answer that problem myself I think we have to clarify what level of production we want to have in Britain or the UK and how could we deliver that and at what environmental cost or not cost; and for what purpose? Is it just to ensure that we are okay or is it to deliver public health gain? Or is it to deliver cheaper food or is it to deliver enough food, it does not matter whether the costs go up? There are some complicated issues of political objectives behind your question.

  Q2  Chairman: Let us focus for a moment on what Defra says. In the Ensuring the UK's Food Security in a Changing World discussion document published in July last year in one of the conclusions they reached on this subject they said: "One of the most important contributions the UK can make to global, and our own food security is having a thriving and productive agriculture sector in the UK, operating in a global market and responding to what consumers want." Does that strike you as a rigorous statement that the government know what food security is?

  Professor Lang: No, I think they do not know what they want.

  Q3  Chairman: Have you read nowhere in any text from the government—

  Professor Lang: Nowhere.

  Q4  Chairman: ... that delights your fancy?

  Professor Lang: No. Firstly the 2006 Defra statement and the 2008 Defra statement were, if you like, the classic: "Do not worry, we are a rich country, we can buy on world markets; we can afford to feed our people; there is not a real problem of food security." That is the classic Defra/Treasury line. Then you start getting things like the December written ministerial statement to try and clarify this, which said, and I quote: "The majority of Respondents to the July consultation paper ..."—from which you were quoting—"said, `We should not base our food security policy on the pursuit of self-sufficiency.'" And the written ministerial statement went on; they proposed in fact a more complex process—quote: "It seems clear that food security is most usefully looked at in terms of the resilience of our food supply chains, access to safe, nutritious, affordable and diverse foods and ensuring the long term environmental sustainability of the food and farming sector. The UK's food security is strongly linked to global food security." That is quite interesting. Then Mr Benn, the Secretary of State, in his speech to the Oxford Farming Conference exactly a month later made the following statement—and I quote: "The best way for the UK to ensure its food security in the 21st century will be through strong, productive and sustainable British agriculture, and trading freely with other nations. And just so there is no doubt about this at all, let me say the following. I want British agriculture to produce as much food as possible. No ifs. No buts." I think you see there an illustration of exactly what I was getting at. It sounds clear but then there is a bit of "We will leave it to trade"; but then Mr Benn's statement in January—"No ifs. No Buts," which has been much cited. I still do not think we have a clear, concise commitment to stopping the decline of British food consumption, production of foods which could be sustainably produced. That is what I personally think we need; we need a definition of food security which is linked to sustainability because ultimately the only secure food system is one which is sustainable. So we have to have sustainable development as a goal at the heart of whatever we mean by food security.

  Q5  Chairman: Interestingly, when the Secretary of State came before this Committee I asked him what was the current priority for the Department now that climate change had gone to the new Department of Energy and Climate department, and he hesitated just for a fraction and then said "Food", and it was as if after a long period of time his department had re-engaged—

  Professor Lang: Rediscovered food.

  Q6  Chairman: ... to play a key part with the department's name. Perhaps you might give us your views about how well Defra has performed as a department, which has had food in its title since its inception, and whether because it has now suddenly, if you like, re-engaged with food is it doing it from the point of view of a modern, forward looking idea of what a department in government should be doing about food issues, or is it coming at it from a slightly retro point of view?

  Professor Lang: I think that is a very good question. A short answer—I will be very harsh—I think it is making some very good and to be welcomed moves to connect production and sustainability but it is not doing it dramatically enough and quickly enough. I do not think it has yet quite got the sustainability of food message; that is the heart of what I think it should and could be about. But compared to, say, 20 years ago and the old MAFF, I think Defra is very definitely a step in the right direction and I would not like us to lose sight of that. Those of us with long memories who have looked for a long time at the food system and how government and governance of food occurs, Defra undoubtedly is allowing a more complex notion of the criteria by which you would judge a good food system to creep into public policy.

  Chairman: You hinted in your answer earlier that there is a lot of potential to produce more food in the United Kingdom and you touched on, in your last answer, the role of Defra in realising that potential. Perhaps as we go through perhaps you could, in reply to colleagues' questions, say what elements Defra should be picking on to ensure that we do have a thriving food sector up to 2030 because, in closing, I am just very conscious that for a long time now—if you like, in post-war Britain—we have gradually subcontracted the supply of food to the non-government sector, so that supermarkets, food service companies and food manufacturers take the day to day decisions about what arrives here for us to have on our plates and Defra has somewhat rowed back from that. Perhaps part of our discussion says how much should it re-engage with an agenda from which it has been absent. Before I move on, David Drew.

  Q7  Mr Drew: Can we go one stage further that this is, in a sense, the epitome of Europeanisation because in food there is a federal policy. It may be that that is not always seen through in every country but in no other area has there been the same history of the European movement, if you like, in actually trying to design a policy which may not be one size fits all but it is trying to make one size fit as many different types of food system as you can possibly incorporate, and that must have had a profound impact on the way that government operates.

  Professor Lang: I submitted through the clerk's office to you a couple of reports that my colleagues at the Centre for Food Policy have done recently.[1] One of those reports makes it very clear in fact that although there is a decline and, I think, a rather worrying and unnecessary decline in home production of food in the UK, the bulk of the sourcing of the food that is imported comes from other European Union members, in which case the issue that you are raising is critical, which is that if we had a notion of food security it must be at the European level. One of the things that my colleagues are championing is a view that there is a new direction for the Common Agricultural Policy to become a common sustainable food policy and that that actually offers the UK Government very beneficial points of engagement with other Member States, with which over food and agricultural matters, frankly, it is seen as an outsider. What that also means is that it is very complex—back to the Chair's issue before handing over to you, Mr Drew—that there has been a tacit handing over of responsibility for food policy and food security generally to the corporate sector, yet the corporate sector cannot possibly resolve it because it has been driving efficiencies into the market place through the supply chain as its number one goal to try and drive down prices for consumers. That is the long term 60-year task it was given after the 1947 Agriculture Act. Decline in food prices means more money to spend on other things. That level of policy is now being set at the European Union level, in which case Britain has to engage with that. The corporate sector actually, through its contracts and specifications, does have a very tight control over its supply lines, but it is doing it in order to maximise efficiencies within those supply chains; what it is not doing is looking at the big issue, which I think follows from the sustainability approach to food security—water, the energy dependency, the oil dependency in particular, which is showing up in fertiliser costs and so on—all those issues that in our report we call the new fundamentals. Those also are addressable at the European level but the British Government could take more of a lead on. So we have the problem in food security which is general in the food policy area of multi-level governance of who has responsibility for dealing at different levels of governance with delivering the appropriate outcome.


  Q8  Dr Strang: You have spoken of a moral responsibility to maximise food production appropriately.

  Professor Lang: Because of land use.

  Q9  Dr Strang: So the question is, should we be producing—"we" being the UK—more food?

  Professor Lang: Forgive me for interrupting you. Not at all costs. That is why I came back—and I want to stress it again—we need a proper definition of what do we mean by food security; it is too plastic—it means all things to all people. We must have a new national definition of food security, what it means and also what our position is within that. To answer your question within that context, it is about land use. I do not think that anyone I know at all or have read ever thinks that we should be producing mangoes, papayas, pineapples or bananas. In theory you could do so, but what it the point? The point is to produce as much and as appropriately and sustainably of what you could produce. In both of the reports that I have given to the Committee we have stressed the issue of fruit. We are actually producing a huge amount of cereals—a large amount goes to feed animals, let us put that to one side—but only 10% of the inadequate levels of fruit that the British are consuming is produced in Britain; we could be producing an awful lot more apples and pears. So my answer to your question is in general yes we could and should produce more food but we need to be specific about which foods and how, but there are some areas of food production which warrant high priority. I think horticulture is crying out for extra production; it is ridiculous that a country that has 1,900 varieties of apples in the national collection of Brogdale produces almost none of the apples that are consumed in Britain, at inadequate levels of public health consumption. As we know, we should be consuming five portions of fruit and vegetables a day—actually, many of us think it should be seven, eight or nine—and we are only consuming about 2.3. If you translate it into those levels there is a missed market. So the question you are asking is a fundamental one and I think that although Mr Benn's statement to some extent was to be welcomed it was merely a speech; it was not coordinated policy driven by Defra to encourage the big corporate powerhouses, the supermarkets, the buyers, to take the long-term investment to encourage farmers and growers to plan. Then there are the other problems that follow from my answer, which is issues like skills and can we do it.

  Q10  Dr Strang: Thank you for anticipating my second question, which was going to be to ask you what we should we concentrate on producing and you have given us an answer there, so (a) would you like to add to that; (b) would you like to say something about how we should go about encouraging that production?

  Professor Lang: A: I work in a public health department. Even if I did not you would have to say that a good food security policy has to deliver public health goals while looking after the land to enable it to be used for long term, for future generations—that is the overarching goal. I have said already that I think fruit and vegetable consumption ought to be prioritised. In one of the reports that we gave you we showed our extreme concern at the precariousness of British horticulture, the science, the R & D base for supporting that is problematic. The skills on the land, as you know from your former roles in government let alone outside, are immensely sophisticated that need to be put in place. So it is not just saying, "We want more fruit and vegetables," but the issue is how and do we have the right infrastructure, do we have the right skills base? Not just at the science and R & D level, but in fruit do we have enough people trained in grafting, pruning? You cannot just plant orchards you have to run them and who is going to do that? At a time of job insecurity and jobs going agriculture and land offers a huge opportunity for long term employment.

  Q11  Chairman: Are you doing anything on Sunday afternoon because I could do with a hand on my allotment to dig in the remainder of the manure—I am doing my bit!

  Professor Lang: I know you are a keen allotment holder—I am too busy doing my own!

  Q12  Dan Rogerson: I will come back to an issue that you parked in your last answer, which is about livestock and there is this question of sustainability and where we should be going and all the rest of it. What is your view for the future for my constituents in Cornwall and what do you think food policy is doing?

  Professor Lang: This is contentious but I have to say it—and you know I am going to say it, probably—the strong evidence on climate change, greenhouse gases emissions alone is that we need to reduce meat and dairy consumption—and note I say consumption. That therefore implies that we have to reduce production. Again, it is back to who is the "we". If British dairy production went down or meat production went down would the British consumer demand it and merely get it from elsewhere? So there is a production and consumption balance and imbalance proper, which I merely park back. I think it is and it has to be addressed—actually Britain is producing too much meat and dairy and we should lower it if we want to, in line with the Stern Report, in line with all the scientific advice, and treat meat and dairy as one of the quickest and most fundamental ways in which we can lower our carbon emissions, our greenhouse gas emissions through food, which is what Stern called for. We cannot make an omelette without cracking eggs—we have to grasp this. In your constituency—I should have checked I cannot remember exactly the terrain, the topography of your constituency, but let us stick to Cornwall—Cornwall used to be a main producer of potatoes; the potato production has dropped. It used to be a main producer of herbs—it has dropped. It used to have a very large agricultural and field ...

  Q13  Dan Rogerson: Cauliflowers.

  Professor Lang: Cauliflowers, exactly. All of those markets ought to come back with more diversity. The British public, the consuming public has become more literate, more omnivorous in what it eats; it is used to a wider variety of fruit and vegetables. Terrific. Allotment growers, gardeners know only too well we can grow them but they are not being grown in field circumstances. I see a completely beneficial and new role for clutches of agriculture, for further education, for skills enhancement to work with and revitalise farming and growing in Britain. Your constituency is classically in a wet part of Britain where it is seen as only meat and dairy can come out of it. Historically, not true. Also climate change will make it probably less true.

  Q14  Dan Rogerson: You have answered one part of it but what should be happening with the land if it is not doing livestock, in your opinion. Mr Drew earlier on was talking about the European context. If we are talking about things across the whole of Europe—and climate change will obviously lead to other areas where perhaps livestock and dairy are even more impractical and marginal and hard to justify—do you think that that will have an effect and therefore the sorts of things we are talking about, about whatever we might do with our diets in terms of exports and so on, will have an effect?

  Professor Lang: It is, and I know that your next witness is John Beddington but if you had the Chief Scientist of Defra, Bob Watson, who was the Chief Scientist at the World Bank, he would give you extraordinarily complex and persuasive data on the need to address the issues that I have been talking about, and that Britain has a moral and political responsibility as co-signature to Kyoto, etcetera etcetera, let alone what happens in Copenhagen at the follow-up to Kyoto to deliver on that. I think what I would like from Defra, why I am broadly sympathetic to Defra but want it to do more and faster is because I think this is an example of what I would want from Defra. I would want it to be working in Suffolk, in Norfolk, in Cornwall, in Yorkshire, in the mountain areas of Wales to say, "How can you do your bit to address greenhouse gas emissions?" It would be different answers for different locations.

  Q15  Chairman: Before I bring Roger Williams in I want to pin you down a little bit because what you have done is to paint the picture of potential, but you have also been saying that Defra's current descriptions of what food security is are not detailed enough. I am reminded from the government's evidence to this Committee that they said that the government's definition of UK food security is for people to have access at all times to sufficient, safe, sustainable and nutritious food at affordable prices so as to help ensure an active and healthy life. In your response you started to say that there were certain things we ought to diminish the production of and other things we ought to increase the production of. That is a fairly general statement which still says that people can have basically what they want when they want and at whatever price that they can afford. How would you make that more specific? If you were given the task of redefining it what would it look like?

  Professor Lang: What would the farming look like or what would the diet look like?

  Q16  Chairman: What would the definition look like because I am interested to know how far you want to get Defra to go beyond the statement of the general? Does it have to become more prescriptive, more directive, more interventionist if it is going to achieve the level of detail and the definition that you would be happy with?

  Professor Lang: That is a good question. The answer is I would like it to be more prescriptive. I think it does not need to impose that but I would like it to give a new direction of travel. I do not think it has been clear enough in saying what is a sustainable diet and how can farming and horticulture help produce that and what is the mismatch? That is actually the information we need to have but we can only do that if Defra grasps the nettle, if it will say let us take some specific—

  Q17  Chairman: I am going to give you some homework because I know you normally give your students homework and so I hope you do not mind if I give you some. Would you like to, after this is finished, let us have your definition. If you were saying to Hilary Benn, your student, "Mr Benn, go away and write down in more detail what you mean by that?" could you write in the answer?

  Professor Lang: Yes, I will.

  Chairman: Thank you very much.

  Q18  Mr Williams: You have clearly laid out how you would like agricultural production to be modified to have a healthier diet and we have heard you on that theme before. We have a little prompt here which says how should such production be encouraged because at the moment farmers are being told to respond to the market place and the market is saying "We want more high quality meat and dairy," and the policy at the moment is not to encourage any particular sector of agriculture but just to ensure that the potential for production is secured for the future. Are you saying now that the government should intervene in the market place and to try to say to farmers, "Do not produce what the market wants, produce what we want, what we have decided is the best"?

  Professor Lang: I think the short answer is that you cannot do it that way any more and attempts to do that in the past have only both been experimented with and also delivered in wartime circumstances; in other words, when the framework of existence has given governments legitimacy to do that. You could not do the scenario that you have just sketched. The only way we could get the change from the situation we are in at the moment, where we have a high carbon unhealthy diet, high carbon unsustainable food production system from farm to the point of consumption, is that we have to shift that to something which ticks all the right boxes. The only way we will be able to do that, the Sustainable Development Commission argued in its now very classic report I Will If You Will, is by getting government to take the lead, working with industry and the supply chain but ensuring that consumers both are with it, are pulling it and also being pushed. You have to have a mutual work across the triangle of change. No one can impose on any one corner of the other corners of the triangle. There has to be a virtual circle going on. But back to the Chair's initial questions, what I think the role of government is about—this is my opinion—is that government is about setting a direction of travel; it is not imposing that, it is saying broadly "Dear Britain, dear food supply, dear consumers, dear companies, we actually have to shift from the position that we are in at the moment to over there and the only possible way that we can do it is by working together but we have to do it very fast indeed. The greenhouse gas emission levels have to come down, or else it is bye-bye to climate change stabilisation."

  Q19  Dr Strang: We are going to pursue this about encouraging has to be the fully maximised production of where we are self-sufficient.

  Professor Lang: Where appropriate.

  Dr Strang: Yes, where appropriate. I think you have covered that.

  Chairman: David, is there anything that you wanted to add on that.


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