Securing food supplies up to 2050: the challenges faced by the UK - Environment, Food and Rural Affairs Committee Contents


Examination of Witnesses (Questions 523 - 539)

THURSDAY 7 MAY 2009

HILARY BENN MP, PROFESSOR ROBERT WATSON AND MS SUSANNA MAY

  Q523  Chairman: Good afternoon, ladies and gentlemen, to what, I think, will be the concluding public evidence session in the Committee's inquiry into food security. May we welcome the Secretary of State, Hilary Benn, Susanna May, who is the Deputy Director, Food Security and Prices Project, and Professor Robert Watson, who is the department's Chief Scientist. You are very welcome indeed. Secretary of State, I know you know everything there is to know about this subject, because you have been on many public platforms, but the Committee would certainly welcome the opportunity of hearing from your two colleagues at moments you consider to be appropriate to perhaps bring their own dimension to bear on the subjects that we are going to discuss. Food security came to the fore in 2008 with the rapid rise of certain commodity prices and the reaction in certain countries, for example Argentina, who imposed export restrictions on grain crops, and suddenly the world woke from a long period of slumber on the subject of food and started to worry about food security, and that has triggered, certainly on both a global, European and national level, a great deal of activity and we certainly welcome that. Could I start, Secretary of State, by asking you one question? Keeping the nation fed is one of the most important things that Defra has responsibility for, and so, when you are thinking in those private moments about food security, what keeps you awake at night?

  Hilary Benn: Heavens. First of all, can I say, Chairman, that I very much welcome this inquiry, because I agree entirely with what you said in your opening remarks about the events of last year having caused a lot of people to say, "Hang on a minute: if this is what can happen when these events come to pass, what is it, indeed, that we should be worried about as we think about the future?", and I think it really was a wake up call, and that is a phrase that I have used. What worries me is how we are going to feed the growing population of the world—another two and a half to three billion people in the next 40 to 50 years—and how we are going to do that in a sustainable way, given that we know that the climate is changing and water will be in scarce supply in some parts of the world. We know that natural resources, particularly oil, will eventually diminish, and given that, I think, Mark Twain said, "Buy land because they've stopped making it", we have got a finite quantity of land with which to do that. We have to make sure that the system is resilient to the shocks and crises that may come our way, and we saw some examples of that with the rise in prices, the food riots and the export bans last year. Is food available? It is one thing to have enough food. We do wrestle in the world with the fact that we have got about a billion human beings who are overweight in some respect and a billion people who go to bed hungry every night, so we have got an inequitable distribution of the food that we have got, and from my days as the International Development Secretary, in countries where people were going really short of food, there was enough in the country, but it was not available either because it physically was not where they could get to it or they did not have the money, the means, to buy it, and so affordability is, I think, a really important part of it. In the UK at the moment we are food secure, but I think there are some big challenges as we look towards the future. Fundamentally it is about making sure that people have enough to eat.

  Q524  Chairman: I was intrigued. On your department's website, from my looking, there is not a page that says, "Food security". To find your comments on food security you have to go to the page that is headed, "Food and drink", and it does worry me a little bit that you have attached a lot of priority in what you have said to the importance of the subject but there is not actually a specific bit on the very comprehensive Defra website that actually deals with what you are doing on food security. The boundaries of this inquiry to a degree were established by the FAO[8] at their Rome Food Summit last year. Gladly, I attended, but I could not find anybody from Defra. There may have been somebody there under cover, but I could not find any representative there, which concerned me a little bit, because there were two targets that emerged: an increase of food production by 50% by 2030 and the doubling of the world food supply by 2050. Nobody at the time demurred that those were not sensible projections. How does Defra see those targets? Does it recognise them, does it think they are valid and are they guiding the work that you have now initiated?

  Hilary Benn: On the website, I am pretty sure the next time you look, and I do not know how long it will take us to do it, but if you do not mind me not waiting for recommendations to come out from the Committee in its report, we will get on and do something about this, because there is quite a lot of stuff that we have produced already that we can, I am sure, usefully put together in that place. Secondly, as you know, Douglas Alexander represented the UK Government at that particular conference. On the targets, they have, indeed, become the accepted figures that everybody repeats, although since we are talking about a population increase of potentially 50% and talking about a doubling of the food production, the aim of the target is to ensure that those who do not have so much to eat at the moment have more food to eat; so it is more than just keeping pace with the current distribution of food and who has access to it. I think it is also worth observing that the United Nations Environment Programme has produced some estimates that say, if you could halve the losses post harvest in distribution, because we know in parts of the world a lot of food rots before it gets anywhere near anybody, either because it cannot be stored properly or there are difficulties in transport, you could feed maybe another two billion people at current levels of nutrition. I suppose the Foresight Study which John Beddington is leading, which is one of the steps that we have taken in the light of what happened last year, and the really big focus there is on this work, which will help to answer that question. In the end a target is something that you aim for, and I think it acts as encouragement and an incentive. What is not in doubt is that the world is going to have to produce quite a lot more food.

  Q525  Chairman: To be specific, the question that I asked was: does Defra recognise those two targets, if you like, as valid benchmarks against which to judge what the United Kingdom, the European Union and others do as they set out on the road to deal with the agricultural challenge that is implicit in those targets?

  Hilary Benn: The international community, through those bodies, has set those targets. I answered the question by saying that they make certain assumptions, and also pointing out that there are other things that you could do to help to deal with the problem that would not on its own result in those kind of increases in production, and it is that target we are working for. I do not think anyone is going to mathematically sit down and say we did not get to 50%; we only ended up at 48%. The fact is we need to get our skates on, we need to make progress, and they are a guide to what it is we are seeking to do, but I do not think we should get hung up on the precise figures.

  Q526  Chairman: Given the implications of those targets, and your department takes the lead in the UK on food, would you describe to the Committee what Defra's role is in actually responding to the challenge of global food security as implied by those targets?

  Hilary Benn: First of all, it is not just a job for Defra.

  Q527  Chairman: But you hold the ring within government on food.

  Hilary Benn: That is correct, but when it comes to the contribution that we make to help other countries to grow more food, obviously the lead responsibility rests with Douglas Alexander and the Department for International Development. You will have seen last year, Chairman, the increased funding that we put in, as the UK, to deal with the immediate crisis, which is more money for the World Food Programme to ensure that people have enough to eat. There is a considerable investment we are making in international agricultural research, including through the CGIAR Programme (Consultative Group on International Agricultural Research). It is really a network of research centres. I do not know whether it began when I was at International Development, but, anyway, we are putting in a considerable amount of money. We are supporting the Global Partnership, the UK, which aims to match plans within country for improving agriculture and production with sources of funding. It is not a new funding stream, but it is trying to tap into bilateral funding from individual donors, money that is coming from the World Bank. I think the truth is that the world took its eye off agriculture, including development. I think there is no doubt about that. Some developing country governments took their eye off it, some of the international institutions took their eye off it, but that has begun to change, and, of course, there is the Framework for Action that was agreed jointly by the UN and the World Bank which is looking both at how you feed people who are short of food now and how you can grow more in the future. So that is, if you like, on the international side. It is pretty clear to me that within individual countries there is a range of things that need to happen. Farmers, first of all, need to feel secure on the land, because if you do not feel secure on the land do you have the incentive to invest in improving it? Secondly, you need better seeds; you need fertiliser you can afford. I remember visiting a group of farmers in northern Ethiopia some years back who told me, and it stuck in my mind, that a 100 kilogramme bag of fertiliser would cost the average family in that village half their annual income, and part of the reason was the huge expense of getting it there. Hence my point about transport, better storage, access to credit: because if you are going to buy fertiliser, or improve irrigation or better means of tilling the soil, you need money, you need a market, because in the end, as least year's record wheat harvest in the UK showed, if there is a price incentive, then you bring forth a lot of extra production. Part of the problem that some developing countries face is the lack of markets, and we make it difficult by dumping surplus produce, which is why progress on Doha is so important, and the agricultural revolution we saw particularly in parts of south-east Asia has not really got to Africa. As I think Douglas Alexander has talked about, 25 years ago the world came together and said we need to help to feed Africa. Africa is going to play a really important part in the next 25 years in feeding itself and actually helping to feed some other countries as well. That is on the international side; I could move to the UK if you would like me to do so.

  Chairman: I think we are going to explore that in more detail. I am going to pass the questioning to Anne McIntosh.

  Q528  Miss McIntosh: Does it worry you that your definition of food security, Secretary of State, is different to the World Trade Organisation's definition of food security?

  Hilary Benn: It does not cause me to lie awake at night, no.

  Q529  Miss McIntosh: Is it the case that we have gone from a position of being a net exporter of food to, now, a net importer of food? When you say that we are food secure, is that not a fact?

  Hilary Benn: In terms of self-sufficiency, as you will know, we are more self-sufficient now in the UK at about 60% overall, 73% of the food that can actually be grown in the UK, than we were in the 1930s and the 1950s, and it is quite interesting, if you do go back, to look at the degree of self-sufficiency. Clearly, during the Second World War the position was rather different, because our food supplies from other countries were greatly threatened by the U-boats. So we are in a better position than we were in the past and, of course, we export food as well, and that is very important to the farming and the food production industry.

  Q530  Miss McIntosh: What is the status of your Food Matters report? The vision and strategy for food, which we were tasked with delivering in the Food Matters report, is it a plan for agriculture and the food industry in the UK up to 2050? Is that still the case?

  Hilary Benn: We are making a lot of progress on implementing the recommendations that are in the Food Matters report. Just to give some very practical examples, the voluntary scheme on calorie labelling in restaurants and cafes will start in June. The pilot of the healthier food mark, which is in the public sector, particularly central government, the NHS and the Prison Service, will begin in July. We will talk about this, I am sure, more later, but we have pulled together all of the funders who are interested in agricultural research in the UK to ask the question: what are we all doing? Are there gaps? How do we fill them? The Foresight Study I have mentioned. The first meeting of the High Level Group we are hosting at Defra, we are co-chairing this with DFID, later on this month and, of course, we will be publishing both our vision and our plan on what are we trying to do and how are we going to get there in the autumn. Around the same time, we have not quite decided yet, we will be publishing the results of the assessment of food security that we have done because, having highlighted the issues in the consultation paper we published initially, I reflected on what was happening in 2008 and said we need to really start to think about this. We are doing a very detailed piece of work looking at all of the potential threats to food security here in the UK, understanding their nature and what we can do about them. It is work in progress and I think it is going to be a very comprehensive piece of work. I am not aware of any other country that is doing something on the same scale, and we probably have not done it in the UK in the same way since, no doubt, we had to do so in the Second World War.

  Q531  Chairman: Does that cover all aspects of the food supply chain?

  Hilary Benn: Yes, it does, from what might happen in terms of climate, of shocks that might occur, if you have trouble with fuel supply, what happens if ports cannot operate for some reason, because some ports have specialist facilities for inputting certain types of product. A lot of the soya bean comes into Liverpool, as I recollect, and a lot of bananas come into a port on the south coast. I cannot remember if it is Southampton or Portsmouth. So it is trying to look at all of the different risk factors which might impinge upon our food security.

  Q532  Miss McIntosh: The Government has a glittering array of chief scientific advisers. We had one scientific adviser that said climate change was the biggest challenge that the country faces; another scientific adviser has told us that food security is the greatest challenge. There is one area that is affected by both food security and climate change, and that is where we do have inundations. We saw the scale of the summer floods 2007, where farmers lost huge tracts of land and their produce, which of course was not insured for the most part, and, obviously, we lost our potential food supplies: peas, cabbage, grain and potatoes, in particular. How do you reconcile these different challenges? Is the department minded to look at the outcome measures, particularly to make sure that farmers will be compensated for this in the future?

  Hilary Benn: I would say in answer to your first question, Miss McIntosh, the truth is they are both big challenges, because climate change impacts upon our ability, potentially, to grow enough food for the world. So it is not a competition between the two; they both matter hugely. On agricultural land, as a society we have a choice to make about how much money we invest in flood defence and, as you know, because you follow these matters very closely, the investment is going up. How do we prioritise where the schemes are going to be put in, where we can protect property? How do you value residential homes, how do you value businesses, commercial as against agricultural businesses? And there are cost-benefit analyses that have to be done. In the end you can change the formula for distributing the money if you want to, you can come up with any formula that you like to do that, it is the amount of money that we are putting in, but also recognising that, in some cases, in some places, while our policy is to do our darndest to defend as much as possible, depending on what happens to sea level rise (and that depends what happens to the climate) we may find it difficult to protect everywhere, and that is a serious issue for food: because if (and it is not unique to Britain) agricultural land started to disappear under the waves around the world, by definition we have got less land on which to grow a greater amount of food, which will put an even greater onus on trying to get productivity on the land up, which is going to be a very big task both for research and for farming practice.

  Professor Watson: Just to show how we are connected, as you know, as you have just said, there are several CSAs, and under John Beddington's leadership we actually started off saying there were three main issues that we needed to work across government as CSAs, one was climate change, one was counter-terrorism and one was pandemic flu. We then added a fourth, which was food security, and we embedded it in the climate change group. So we actually recognise climate change is a separate issue from food security and vice versa, but they are intimately coupled, and, as John and I would both say, we have to look at the nexus between food, water and energy security and its relationship to climate change and other issues such as ecosystem services. So, absolutely, they are one of the same issue and we recognise that. Climate change is one of the key threats and, as was pointed out right at the beginning by Michael Jack, the challenge is not only doubling the production of food over the next 50 years, it is how do we do it in an environmentally and socially sustainable manner? The International Assessment on Agriculture that I directed recognised that we were increasing our food production and it was coming at the major expense of destroying many other ecological systems, and so we have to look at the question of, not how you double it, but how do you double it and make it socially and environmentally sustainable, and one of the big threats is climate change; not the only one, but one of the big ones.

  Q533  Miss McIntosh: How do you reconcile the inevitable short-term political cycle with the long-term vision that you would like to set out for delivering a UK food system?

  Hilary Benn: Heavens. I think by being straightforward and honest about the nature of the challenge that we are faced with, because, frankly, whoever is in government anywhere in the world, this is going to be a really important issue that they are going to have to deal with. To tell the truth about this, it covers a whole host of things, and actually the evidence sessions that you have been undertaking, if I may say so, and the fact that we are genuinely looking forward to what you have to say in your report, is part of the conversation between us about what is the right thing to do: because it is not immediately obvious that you look and say, "Right, if you just press those three buttons, we have got the problem sorted for the next 50 years". It is much more complex than that. The question, I suppose for each of us, because everybody has to play their part, it is not just a job for government, is what is the contribution that we can make? What is the thing that we can influence? How can we get the incentives right? How can we build the understanding? How can we get people to change the way in which they do things? We cannot do this by direction alone, both because we have a much more diversified system now and partly because you do need change from the bottom up. If you take a really practical example of farmers and the way in which they apply fertiliser, we know that you can be more selective if you have information about what is the nitrogen content of the soil already, and having talked to farmers who are using that practise, analysing the soil, using high-tech equipment, GPS, to then go round and put the right amount of fertiliser on the right bit of the field. There is a really practical example of how you can reduce the imports; it has a benefit in terms of climate change; it means it is less costly for the farmer because fertiliser costs a fortune now. So we need a combination of leadership from the top, the right kind of advice, the right science and also the choices that we make as individuals about what it is that we eat, because the demand comes from people.

  Q534  Chairman: May I pull you back to the question that Anne asked. If we look at the organisational, the institutional framework, politicians come and go on a four to five yearly cycle, but some of the work that is going to have to be done will have to be long-term and continuing. We are going to have a session and some questions on the science base, but what I want to know is, if we are going to put in train (and that is what the question asking) programmes, policies and approaches which recognise the break-point of 2030 and 2050 and do all we have to do meet those targets, what are you going to put in train that will be of a lasting nature which is almost outwith the cyclical nature of politics but where the work has to carry on?

  Hilary Benn: All I can do for the period that I have got responsibility for this is to take the right decisions and put in place the work that I think is going to start the process of dealing with this. It is for others who come afterwards to take it forward. The more that we can build a consensus, frankly, about what needs to be done, the better chance the ebb and flow of the political cycle will not get in the way of carrying on with it afterwards, would be my answer.

  Professor Watson: I think what we have to recognise, and we could ask ourselves the question, is "What was the cause?", and it was implied in your opening remarks about the food price increases. It is really about six factors. It was very poor harvests, especially in the US and in Australia; it was the use of food crops for biofuels, especially maize in the US, where one-third of last year's crop was used for biofuels; it was the energy price which caused the high cost of fertilisers and the costs of mechanisation; it was the increased demand and the type of demand for China for more meat, export bans and speculation. What we have to realise is things go on and off the boil. These are issues that will stay with us for decades, so it is our climate change policies, our energy policies; it is to do with the use of biofuels; it is how do we do trade, as Hilary has already said. What we have got to recognise is that because the food price has come down in many parts of the world, it does not mean to say the problem has gone away. Part of it is energy—oil prices have come down drastically—the economic slow down. So we have got to recognise these are long-term issues. They cut right across sectors—it is not just Defra, it is DECC, it is the international organisations like the World Bank—and, as has been already pointed out, a few years ago the issue that was food prices were so low that farmers were going out of business because they could not make a profit. So we have a twin challenge: how do we make food affordable for the poor and everybody and, at the same time, a profit for the farmer? I think these are the twin challenges we have to keep our eye on.

  Q535  Miss McIntosh: What working relationship have you established with the devolved administrations to ensure that the Food Strategy is coherent across the whole of the United Kingdom?

  Hilary Benn: Food policy is, as you know very well, a devolved matter, but we are working with the devolved administrations both on the food security assessment, because that is looking at the UK as a whole; we are also working with them on what will be our shared view of what a sustainable and secure food system is going to look like. That is the first thing. Secondly, the Council of Food Policy Advisers, which you know I have established, is going to be holding a joint session with the devolved administrations in November to take their mind. Obviously we work closely together on matters European, as they affect what we are discussing here today. There is, in fact, going to be a ministerial meeting in Edinburgh on 11 May, which Jane Kennedy is going to, where the ministers are going to come together to talk about this. So one has to respect the devolution settlement, but in the end, of course, we have a shared interest in doing this.

  Q536  David Taylor: Secretary of State, you probably recognise this quote. For the avoidance of doubt, "No ifs, no buts, I want British agriculture to produce as much food as possible", which is what you said at the Oxford Farming Conference. Others have observed that that, in a sense, is a political slogan, a statement of priority, but it is rather incoherent as far as being an actual detailed plan, bearing in mind the problems, as you have referred to them in your earlier remarks, in pulling together the agri-business and the big five supermarkets, including the Co-Op I am now pleased to say, to take the necessary steps to encourage farmers and growers to plan. What do you feel does need to be done to flesh out that particular statement you made back in January?

  Hilary Benn: I said that, in part, because there was some debate about whether there was a conflict between production and sustainability. People would sometimes say to me, "Why do you keep going on about the environment and sustainability? It is about production, surely." To which my answer is that it is not a competition; you are going to have to do the two together. That is the first point. Secondly, what is going to determine the level of production? I noted with interest that when Peter Kendall came before you, he did say that it is not about setting targets for production, because I know there has been some debate. Very few people have said, "Let us go for self-sufficiency", some have said we should have targets. To be honest, I do not know for the life of me how you would set a target for potato production in the UK, and what the policy would be if you did not meet the target I do not quite understand either. Clearly price acts as a very powerful incentive to production, and we saw that with the wheat prices last year. I think, secondly, there is more we could do on productivity. We have not talked a lot about that. By and large British agriculture is pretty productive compared to some other systems in the world, but there are still gaps between the most productive and the less productive and, therefore, what can be done to spread good practice to try and raise the overall standard—

  Q537  David Taylor: Can I interrupt briefly and return to the core of this. How do you get, in a very competitive market, agri-business and the big farm retailers and others to work together in a way which will provide the necessary price signals and messages so that farmers and growers will adjust accordingly?

  Hilary Benn: The third point I was going to come on to, which seems to me to be a fundamental part of this, is what we as consumers choose to buy. One signal which the supermarkets and the food companies pay very, very close attention to is what customers want. If people say, "I would like to buy UK produce. I am interested in where the meat comes from", or apples, or cheese, that is a powerful way of supporting the industry, and I think there is a growing interest, with farmers markets and lots of other things that are happening, in where food comes from and consumers are in a very powerful position to help answer the question: how can British agriculture produce more? I think we have to think about regulation, because the regulation has got to be smart. If I take two examples of things that I have been fighting in Europe on recently, one was the pesticides regulation where we did the assessment, in the end we thought it was, frankly, over the top and could have a potential impact, depending on what substances are ruled in or out when they finally come to do that: the triazoles in particular which help to deal with septoria in wheat—very important for controlling that particular fungus, I think it is—and the second example would be electronic identification of sheep, where we have been hard at work. There is a slightly greater awareness now in Europe of the practical implications of that, and we have had some success in mitigating the way in which that is going to be implemented. Lastly on my list, I would say skills. Going back to the point I was making earlier, before you rightly called me to order, Chairman, what farmers do on the ground, making sure that we have the skills to grow more food sustainably, is really important, and that is why I recently called together all of those who have an interest in skills for a "round table" at the Royal Agricultural College in Cirencester, and the Agri-Skills Forum, which is the industry lead on this, is going to come back to me and say, "Here is our plan", because I think the industry has to take a lead, the Government then has to look at what part it plays.

  Q538  David Taylor: You say the strongest signal for retailers, of course, is consumer preference, and marketing is partly shaping consumer desires and partly responding to them, but should not labelling be in there somewhere, because that is a chronic problem that has been raised with this Committee in the eight or nine years that it has been in existence whenever we have talked to the NFU[9] and others. What more are we doing on that, briefly?

  Hilary Benn: I agree with you completely. We are pressing in Europe, in the changes that Europe is considering, for better labelling to give that information to consumers. It is very striking, if you take the pig industry, that they have had a difficult time. Their central argument has been not to come to Government to say, "Can you sort things out?" We set up the Pig Taskforce, which was a recommendation from this Committee, and we have got on and done it, and Jane is chairing it. They said to consumers, "Look, if you want to be able to continue to buy pork and bacon from British producers, buy our product", and I thought that was a very effective way of trying to deal with it, because I think it is right that people should be able to know where stuff comes from and then they can make a choice as to what they buy. It is a very practical way of supporting production in the UK.

  Q539  David Taylor: A final question from me. It relates to incentivisation. You quoted Peter Kendall earlier on. At another point he pointed out that farmers will respond quite frequently and effectively to tax incentives when looking at trying to encourage them to expand capacity, but at this very time the agricultural funding allowances have been removed. That seems to be sending a bit of a mixed message, would you not say?

  Hilary Benn: That is a step which the Government has taken in order to try and simplify the system. We are in the process of talking to HMRC[10] about the definition of plant and machinery, because there is a continuum—I see you smiling, Chairman—between just a physical building and plant and machinery that is part of a building, which is part of an agricultural process, bluntly, to try and get the most flexible and reasonable interpretation of that. Some farmers will be able to take advantage of the further changes relating to investment you can set against tax that were announced in the budget by the Chancellor, but I know it is an issue which the NFU has been vigorously campaigning on.



8   Food and Agricultural Organization at the United Nations Back

9   National Farmers' Union Back

10   Her Majesty's Revenue and Customs Back


 
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