European Scrutiny Committee Contents


11 Enlargement

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6842/09

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COM(09) 79

Commission Communication: Five years of an enlarged EU — Economic achievements and challenges

Legal base
Document originated20 February 2009
Deposited in Parliament26 February 2009
DepartmentHM Treasury
Basis of considerationEM of 6 March 2009
Previous Committee ReportNone
To be discussed in CouncilNot known
Committee's assessmentPolitically important
Committee's decisionCleared

Background

11.1 It is almost five years since Cyprus, Czech Republic, Estonia, Hungary, Latvia, Lithuania, Malta, Poland, Slovakia and Slovenia acceded to the European Union.

The document

11.2 In this Communication the Commission marks the fifth anniversary of this enlargement by looking at the economic performance of these ten new Member States, with a view to exploring the policy challenges that lie ahead for them. The Commission looks at:

  • the achievements of the ten economies over the first five years of membership;
  • challenges that the current global economic and financial situation pose for these Member States; and
  • measures that can be taken to meet those challenges.

The Commission's conclusions are supported by an accompanying staff working document, which provides a detailed analysis underlying the conclusions.

11.3 Under the rubric Achievements of the first five years the Commission says that:

  • living standards in the ten new Member States have significantly improved, to the extent that income per person increased from 40% of the EU15 (the 15 EU Member States prior to enlargement in 2004) Member States' average in 1999 to 52% in 2008;
  • this is attributed to rapid trade integration and modernisation of the new Member States' economies;
  • the Community framework for product market regulation resulted in increased competition in new Member State markets, which benefited consumers. Investment opportunities created by enlargement have been instrumental in the re-structuring of new Member State economies. This has also brought benefits to the EU15 through new business opportunities; and
  • despite initial fears, there was no mass migration from new Member States to the EU15, and the overall benefits of migration have been judged to be positive. The recent level of intra-Community labour mobility adds about 0.3% to the GDP of the Community as a whole in the medium term. New Member States have benefited through increased remittances and the enhanced skills of returning migrants.

11.4 In relation to Challenges ahead amplified by a severe global crisis the Commission says that:

  • the ongoing financial crisis has exposed vulnerabilities among the new Member States;
  • openness to trade was key in the rapid growth rates experienced in the new Member States since accession — however, the onset of the global financial crisis has resulted in sharp contractions in demand from export markets, acting as a drag on growth;
  • in addition, some new Member States have accumulated credit-fuelled imbalances that are unsustainable and have been exposed by a sharp reduction in credit availability more recently;
  • EU membership provided protection and a stable anchor to new Member States, which is even stronger for those who joined the single currency (Cyprus, Malta, Slovakia and Slovenia);
  • the Community has a role in restoring stability, transparency and confidence in the financial markets of all the Member States' economies, including the new Member States, by addressing not only the most prominent failings but also tackling the need for a more profound reform of the regulatory and supervisory system;
  • new Member States are showing signs of reform fatigue following earlier reform success to meet the accession targets; and
  • remaining challenges are 'strengthening the rule of law', 'increasing public administration efficiency' and 'judiciary reforms' if these countries are to reap the full benefits of the single market.

11.5 On Addressing the challenges the Commission says:

  • sound fiscal policy is essential to maintaining macro-financial stability; and, as such, it recommends that new Member States follow best practice for fiscal governance — this includes the implementation of transparent and credible medium-term frameworks;
  • in addition, reforms of healthcare, pension and education systems are crucial in ensuring long-term fiscal sustainability and economic efficiency;
  • the Lisbon Strategy for Growth and Jobs should act as a powerful catalyst for structural reforms, where productivity growth remains the Community's key long-term challenge;
  • progress in enhancing the research and development and innovation activities is insufficient;
  • continued implementation of Community cohesion and rural development policies should help new Member States realise more of their regional growth potential; and
  • "Enhanced country surveillance … in the context of the Stability and Growth Pact and the Lisbon Process" will be undertaken by the Commission and the Council — such surveillance will have to play a central role in the early identification of future risks.

11.6 The Commission concludes its Communication by saying that:

  • overall, deep structural reforms can be made now to underpin a quick and sound recovery;
  • these, coupled with sound macroeconomic management, will be essential to reduce the likelihood of a major financial crisis in the future; and
  • these should see income convergence of new Member States towards the Community average as the integration process continues.

The Government's view

11.7 The Economic Secretary to the Treasury (Ian Pearson) says that:

  • there are no direct policy implications in the document for the UK; and
  • although the focus is on the new Member States and the Commission makes a number of recommendations to those countries, the report and its recommendations have not been approved by Member States and are non-binding.

Conclusion

11.8 This Communication and the accompanying staff working document usefully describe developments in the economies of the ten Member States since they acceded in 2004 and their prospects for the future. As such, whilst clearing the document from scrutiny, we draw it to the attention of the House.





 
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