Managing Migration: Points-Based System - Home Affairs Committee Contents


Supplementary memorandum submitted by Migrationwatch

INTRODUCTION

  1.  At the Committee's session on 8 July certain members raised a number of questions concerning Migrationwatch, some implying doubt about the validity of our research. They are answered below.

STRUCTURE

  2.  Migrationwatch is a private company limited by guarantee. The relevant details and accounts, as required by law, are available from Companies House.

3.  Migrationwatch is financed by donations from the public. Unlike most organisations in this field, it receives no money from the government in any form, either directly or indirectly.

PURPOSE

  4.  Migrationwatch is an independent voluntary organisation which seeks to improve understanding of migration issues. It regards a reasonable flow of migration in both directions as a natural part of an open economy. It is, however, opposed to the present very high levels of immigration which will, on the government's own projections, add seven million to the population of England by 2031; this is over seven times the population of Birmingham.

TRACK RECORD
2002:MW estimated that immigration would run at about two million per decade, including an allowance for illegal immigration. The official projection for legal immigration between 2006 and 2015 is now over two millioni.
2003:MW described the government's estimate of 13,000 immigrants from Eastern Europe as "almost worthless". The estimate proved to be wrong by a factor of at least four and possibly 10ii.
2004:MW pointed to the government's failure to remove failed asylum seekers. This led eventually to the Prime Minister's "tipping point" pledge"iii.
2005:MW described the weaknesses in the government's economic case for immigrationiv. All of these were confirmed by the report of the Economics Committee of the House of Lords in April 2008v.
2006:MW called attention to the failure to deport foreign prisoners. A year later a programme was put in place to correct thisvi.
2006:MW calculated that the impact of immigration on household formation was 33%vii. This was denied by many, including the Town & Country Planning Association but has now been accepted by the governmentviii.

STATISTICS COMMISSION

  5.  Migrationwatch has taken issues to the independent watchdog, the Statistics Commission, on two occasions, both were successful.

    —  In September 2004 the Statistics Commission agreed that the proportion of population growth due (at that time) to migration was 85% and advised the ONS to make the position clearerix.

    —  In January 2008, the Statistics Commission agreed that, excluding British citizens, the proportion of migrants from outside the EU was 68%, not 52% as the government had claimedx.

HOME OFFICE E-MAIL

  6.  Finally, in 2004, the Home Office were obliged by the Freedom of Information Act to release their e-mails regarding Migrationwatch. They were heavily censored but following is an e-mail from a Home Office expert to his colleagues:

    "I have made this point many times before but can we please stop saying that Migrationwatch forecasts are wrong. I have pointed out before that Migrationwatch assumptions are often below the Government Actuary's Department high migration variant. (29 July 2003)"

      No more needs to be said.

    July 2008

REFERENCESi  MW Briefing paper 9.3 30 July 2002

ii  MW Briefing paper 4.1 27 July 2003

iii  MW Briefing Paper 9.14 15 April 2004

iv  MW Briefing Paper 1.1 7 March 2005

v  House of Lords Paper HL 82-I

vi  MW Briefing Paper 10.14 2 Jan 2006

vii  MW Briefing Paper 7.5 14 March 2006

viii  Hansard Written Answers 20 June 2007 Col 1860 W

ix  Letter from the Chairman of the Statistics Commission, 27 Sept 2004

x  Letter from the Chairman of the Statistics Commission, 29 Jan 2008





 
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