DFID and China - International Development Committee Contents


Examination of Witnesses (Questions 44-59)

DR SARAH COOK, DR GERRY BLOOM AND MR DAVID DANIELS

21 MAY 2008

  Q44 Chairman: Good afternoon and thank you very much for coming in. We are having a slightly intensive China day, having had evidence this morning, but this morning was about China's engagement in Africa. This afternoon we are looking at DFID's engagement within China in terms of poverty reduction and we do appreciate your coming in to share your expertise and knowledge with us. I will say the same as I did this morning: that we were intending and were scheduled to be going to China the week after next, but because of the earthquake (because we were actually going to Chengdu, or some of us were), we have postponed it until autumn because clearly the important thing for the key players in China is to deal with that crisis, for which we have extended our sympathies as well as our appreciation of the way they are dealing with it. Nevertheless, we are going and this information will obviously be on record and be helpful to us, but it is not quite as immediate as was originally intended. For the record, I wonder if you could introduce yourselves just for the benefit of the shorthand writer.

Dr Bloom: I am Gerry Bloom. I am based at the Institute of Development Studies. Perhaps I should say for the purposes of this discussion, I was on the core supervision team of a DFID- World Bank-Government of China project for about ten years and I co-chair the China Health Development Forum.

  Dr Cook: My name is Sarah Cook. I am also a Fellow at the Institute of Development Studies and I have lived and worked extensively in China and my own research is focused on China's economic and social development.

  Mr Daniels: My name is David Daniels and I work for a company called YozuMannion, and in terms of personal involvement with DFID, I was involved in the design of the HPSP project, the Health Policy Support Project, some years back and I followed that through the last few years.

  Q45  Chairman: Thank you very much for that introduction. As you know, China has now been designated as a middle income country and on the basis of that DFID has said its bilateral programme will end by 2011 in accordance with the current 90:10 split. I think particularly in the context of China, I suppose the first question is, does this middle income classification and its rather rigid application apply appropriately, given that there is still a huge number of people living in very basic poverty, indeed more in China than in the whole of Africa, and obviously the significant variations across China as to where the poverty applies. Do you have a view as to whether or not saying it is now a middle income country and that we should be disengaging is an appropriate application?

  Dr Cook: Let me start. I think obviously at an aggregate level looking at figures you get China as being a middle income country. But clearly there are huge issues of poverty that I think we are aware of, and I think from that point of view it is problematic if we really want to keep poverty reduction as our core focus for DFID and for our engagement. But it also means that China does have resources. China, we know, is so huge with so much variation that it does have the capacity and the resources to address its internal poverty and development issues from a financial point of view. So in terms of DFID or development assistance and financial assistance, resource assistance, I think there is probably some justification in saying that it is beyond the stage where we need to put huge resources into it, but there is a lot we can do to assist China in reducing its own poverty and in promoting a more equitable development. I think it depends on the nature of the role that international development assistance would play rather than the absolute resources.

  Q46  Chairman: Even now, our contribution to China in aid and development is about a tenth of what we are putting into India, so it is not on the same scale.

  Dr Bloom: Yes. I think you have got to separate, let us say, the size of the budget and the commitment, the Chinese Government is committed to health reform, but they certainly do not have the answers. For instance, I was involved in a World Bank project. The Chinese Government has designed a second one. They are having to borrow money from the World Bank at commercial rates. DFID is part of that project, but I think it has a very, very modest budget. So you have to ask, why does China want to have such a project? I think there are several reasons why they want it. One is, if they borrow this money they can have innovative ways of using money that are not determined by their government resource management systems. They can enable people to experiment and test things, so it gives people room in a situation where they do not really have the answer. The other clear thing as to why they would want the World Bank and DFID is that I think it is because they want to find a channel for getting access to international and British experience. So in the sense of a country which is still really just developing its social structure, if they want to engage with DFID I think there are good grounds for engagement. I think then the question is, how much money comes from the British taxpayers and how much from the Chinese Government? It should be negotiated.

  Mr Daniels: I would concur with much of what has been said. I think we are dealing with a country where numbers are huge. That is the first thing to remember there. I think also the government of China has huge capacities. It has financial resources to tackle many of the challenges and in fact in their own development plans, the 11 and 5 year plan for instance, they actually highlight very clearly the need for making progress on environmental, economic and social equality issues. So these are very much in their own planning. I think again there are clearly challenges which they have identified, challenges around the western provinces being left behind, challenges of an ageing population, challenges of huge migrating populations. These are all very difficult issues which the government now is very conscious they have to make progress on. So I think there is a role, bringing international best practice into this, and I think that is why the Chinese Government is still interested in a dialogue with DFID or with the UK as a whole, as well as other donors. Just one of the things that I would say is that the scope and direction of DFID's work and the UK's inputs to China mainland is really supporting the development of effective strategies to tackle those issues. It is not about money, it is about ideas, and I think importantly it is not so much about perhaps what DFID still thinks in its country plan, donor/recipient type language. I think that has to go, and it is about what are the interesting experiences which can be brought in from the UK and the European Union, and elsewhere.

  Q47  Chairman: We might want to explore that a bit more, but just on this section, in that context, given it is a relatively small budget, £33 million or something, do you think DFID in its current programme is focusing enough on poverty reduction, first of all on the basis that that is the UK Government's stated priority, but presumably in that context that is not a problem—it presumably also is a significant part of China's priority. From what you have all said, there might be a temptation to actually use almost the cover of development to be engaged in something different, which might be where it ought to go, but right now do you think they really are focusing on poverty reduction as the prime responsibility?

  Dr Bloom: From what I have seen, it is focused upon poverty reduction. I think actually what happened, certainly in the project in which I was involved, is that DFID supported the Chinese experts and the project managers in implementing change. Let us say 80% of their effort was in helping people to solve problems and in giving people room to test new things. But very early on DFID said that it had a focus on poverty reduction and was perceived that way. There was therefore some flexibility to test things which particularly focused on meeting the needs of the poor, or I guess in that project particularly how you would measure it, how you would assess your success. So I think the engagement has to be around those aspects of Chinese Government policy which are focusing on the poor and then to say that there is a particular interest where people are looking at particularly vulnerable populations or particular poverty-related problems, if it might provide more support. I think that is how it has to be, and then you are talking about the earthquake. The more that one is engaged with projects like the health project, the more possible it is for the Ministry of Health then to seek support for specific crises or a specific issue as it arises. I think the main thing is to keep in the agreement the focus on poverty.

  Q48  Mr Singh: I think, Mr Daniels, you mentioned that DFID should be moving towards a different relationship with China so far as development strategy is concerned in 2011, that is only two and a half years away, three years away. If they are not doing it already in terms of changing that relationship, what is stopping them? Why are they not working on that exit strategy and preparing for a new one now?

  Mr Daniels: I think what you say is right. What I feel when I listen to DFID or read their papers is that we are looking at the winding down of the aid programme to 2011 and it sort of has a negative connotation to it. You are sort of stopping things. The programmes are coming to an end, we have done the last round of disbursements and programming, at the very time when our Prime Minister has gone in there saying that we are ushering in a new era of collaboration, and those two things for me are just not quite right at the moment. Whether it is DFID or DFID plus a wider departmental approach, I think it needs to be more positive. There are things which DFID can do now, and is doing, and I think it very much is quality-focused and it brings that dimension to debate and dialogue with government, and I think it is good and is actually having some interesting effects on the way some of the Chinese Government is thinking. Having said that, why finish in 2011? There will still be a number of issues which are outstanding after 2011, we know that, and still DFID with its experience, international experience, can bring that to bear on some of these major issues, whether it be migration or other issues to do with poverty reduction. So I would say that in a way it is the intention and the way that dialogue can be brought forward into a more positive forward looking approach rather than this concentration on, "We need to finish the aid programme by 2011," because people say, "Why?" and "What is next?" because there are so many things we are talking about at the moment. There are so many interesting elements to the programme which we have, and there are so many more things that could be done, whether it is looking at performance frameworks for the new policies on social care issues.

  Q49  Mr Singh: One of the reasons, I think, why China goes to the World Bank for loans is not necessarily to borrow the money from them but that along with that comes a package of expertise?

  Dr Bloom: Certainly what I saw in China was that early on DFID was valued for a certain amount of money in the project, but they are putting a very small amount of money into the new World Bank project. It is not for the money they are valued, the government can afford that. I think what is valued is the capacity of DFID now in China to interact with government officials in a supportive way and bring in expertise when useful. So it is more a management capacity and a capacity to form a bridge than it is as a source of large amounts of money. I think that is the perspective which has to be changed. Now, whether DFID is the right agency or someone else is the right agency to carry out that function, I think that has to be decided, although ten years of experience is important.

  Q50  Mr Singh: But other donors are beginning to disengage as well, so I would have thought there needs to be some coordination between them. If we all disengage at once and go without any kind of proper exit strategy, there will be a vacuum.

  Dr Cook: I think all of this goes back to the middle income question. There are reasons why countries specifically cannot continue to put so many domestic resources in through bilateral programmes, and many countries are facing those pressures, but the engagement around ideas—I think if you look across the range of donor programmes there are very different focuses. DFID has been the key one which has really had a strong poverty reduction focus, and I while think we might question quite how far that has gone, I agree that it has actually been very strong, particularly at the policy level and in the selection of the areas in which it works. I think those relationships which are built up are then with particular sectors, water, sanitation, health, education, et cetera. The question then is, what is the role of one agency like DFID within the UK Government to build on those relationships, or does it really have to be that health sectors, education sectors, get involved to keep that relationship? I think in this transition process for DFID they really have been trying to create a sort of longer term transitional role. We do not see it on a very large scale because they do not have that many resources to devote to it, but their attempts to start that dialogue, learning from China, the role of China in Africa, I think that is all part of engaging with different parts of the Chinese Government bureaucracy around development issues and climate change issues on the sort of global development agenda, not just on the internal development agenda. So I see that there is part of the transition process in their thinking, but how far can one government agency take that, or does it have to be part of a broader initiative by the UK Government, and what would that look like, I think is probably a question for that transition process.

  Dr Bloom: There is one other thing you may want to think about. The first question was, is there still poverty in China? The fact is, there is, but the other thing you should think about is that over the past ten years probably the biggest single major development initiative was the western China development, the Chinese western China development, and it may well still be the case for the next five to ten years that that is where the biggest investment is going to be, of course, of Chinese money. If we want to engage with China in terms of the lessons they are learning from western China development and how they want to act as donors, the best way to do it is to be engaged in the western China development. I think, though, the question is, if they are middle income how many pounds should be allocated to that? Certainly what I am seeing is that it does not require large amounts of money, it requires what Dr Daniels said is a change of perspective of what we think the value added of DFID working with the Chinese Government departments is. I think it is more their expertise in certain management issues and it is access to expertise.

  Chairman: Thank you for that. We will in a minute want to explore a bit further the post-2011 relationship. It is my fault, I have slightly taken the questions out of order.

  Q51  Ann McKechin: I think we have all been struck by the comparison of the reaction of the Chinese authorities to last week's earthquake in contrast with the pathetic response of the Burmese authorities to the cyclone, but it also has been an unprecedented opportunity, I think, for the Chinese public to voice criticism of the Chinese authorities in terms of the structure of buildings and corruption, et cetera. I just wonder from your own experience what you think the major challenges are for the Chinese Government in rebuilding the basic services in that province but also the wider issues about clearly a constituency which now actually wants a greater say in decision-making.

  Dr Cook: Obviously, China is huge. I think it is hard for us, when we hear the numbers involved, just the scale of rebuilding five million homes, the resources, the infrastructure, the conflicts which are going to arise. Some of the areas of social tensions are things around land use. People have lost their livelihoods, their homes, everything, so there is that challenge of rebuilding. I think the reality in China is that what they are good at doing is precisely those kinds of things. They can mobilise resources on a massive scale. They have a construction industry which is just unbelievable. So while it is a huge challenge and they will need support and will need resources, they have the ability to manage it. I think the tensions will come because it is going to take time and because people have to be moved, re-settled, houses built, schools, the infrastructure. I think there are going to be a lot of questions asked, as you say, about the quality of construction and how one improves it and how one makes those processes more transparent and accountable. So there is scope within that process for dissatisfaction, unrest. There have already been a lot of experiments in China's policy-making process about public hearings for things, accountability mechanisms, more openness. They have got a new openness of information law which has just been put in place. These things do not necessarily work very well until they are made to work, and it may be that this provides an opportunity to make them work. It may be that given the sort of tensions and urgency of the task, that actually there is not time to really pay attention to those issues, which may lead to further tensions. We do not know, but maybe these are issues which would require some dialogue.

  Q52  Ann McKechin: Are these issues which you think in any way the UK, as a partner, can try to influence based on its own experience? Do you have anyone from the international aid community even to provide that type of advice or help?

  Dr Bloom: I do not know the answer but I think the answer, though, is coming back to what is the role of DFID? If DFID has formed good relationships with the Ministry of Health it can have discussions now about what is going to happen to the emergency health funds. If there are good relations with the Ministry of Education, it can participate in the discussions of rebuilding and obviously about the design of schools. If it has good relations with the Ministry of Civil Affairs, which is the poverty relief agency, it can engage with them. I think then the question is, if DFID or the British Government wants to be involved, how does one signal to those agencies a willingness to listen to the problems and bring expertise from British experience in other emergencies and reconstruction efforts? I suspect if that engagement went well, there would be opportunities to basically say, "Okay, we have done this in a sector, now how do we apply the lessons in this emergency situation?" I think that relationship is how to explore it.

  Mr Daniels: Can I just say that I think out of this terrible tragedy which has happened, it will bring to the fore some of the shortcomings which exist and it will bring forward in time a lot of the challenges now confronting the government. What we have seen, I think, is an unprecedented reaction, an incredibly efficient first wave of support and very much an openness, which I think has surprised people from Europe and wider afield on the invitation to come and help. That is one thing, but it also brings to the fore all the social challenges, the lack of some of the infrastructure and the robustness of that infrastructure, and what will happen now is that because that has to be replaced, there will be the demand to replace that with quality services which will cover the population, perhaps in a rather different way from what is happening in some of the western provinces at the moment, where that is recognised but it is a longer term process of building. So that whole issue of quality of infrastructure, quality of services and things will be brought to the fore and the timescale will change, and I think DFID should reflect on how it can bring to bear some of those issues of looking at quality management, quality control issues, which will be really helpful. I think also we are seeing already the government beginning to look into issues of governance and other areas where it recognises that things have to be done properly in order to provide good public services. That is being talked about, I think, a lot as well.

  Dr Cook: Can I just add one thing on that? I think, as we have said before, DFID needs to build on the experience it already has, the kinds of areas which have been mentioned. The area of more accountability, governance, civil society voice, et cetera, is not something which DFID has really done a lot of work on. It comes in through programmes but it is not very direct and there are other agencies and institutions and donors which have done much more work on that, so I think it is also a question of donor coordination and knowing what other donors have done and where the comparative advantage is.

  Q53  Mr Crabb: I would like to ask you about the role played by economic growth in terms of poverty reduction in China and ask you specifically what your view is of the trajectory of Chinese economic growth and the extent to which it constitutes genuine pro-poor growth as having a genuine impact on tackling poverty and what you think is going to happen in the future. How safely can we assume, for example, that Chinese economic growth will continue to be very strong and that it will have a strong poverty reduction impact, and what do you see as some of the risks to that growth?

  Mr Daniels: I think we all know the figures and we have seen very, very strong growth over many years in China. That has brought with it considerable resources. It has increased its position in the world considerably as well. I think one of the things which it is interesting to reflect upon in answering that is that it has also created a lot of wealth but there are also areas which have been left behind. That is quite clear and it is recognised and it is quite openly discussed. I think one of the things about the development plans within China is that we have to look also at their strategies for providing balance in the system. They have these five balances which they talk about a lot in the context of development of the country, and that is looking at the urban/rural disparities, which is very clear, the disparities between different provinces and regions, it is looking at the whole issue of economic and social imbalance and the need to actually move much more towards a people-centred approach rather than just the economic growth model which has been there previously. So all of these things I think are things which are beginning to come to the fore. At the moment, of course, there is very strong economic growth, but whether that is going to be self-limiting through natural resources, the environment and these other problems which are being brought up more and more now, that is one side of it. The second is, how does it actually then start making sure that there is a much more even distribution of that wealth across the country? Those are the major challenges.

  Dr Bloom: You do not have an economist here. We cannot make growth projections. I do not think any of us can and no one predicted what happened in China. I think what is clear is that I just think in a very practical way the places I visited remind me so much of my history, where a couple is working in the city, the grandparents are looking after the children and they visit maybe once a year. People are making enormous personal sacrifices to earn a living, to save money and to educate their children, and I think that is the basic ethos now in China and as long as growth continues that will be extremely successful. Of course, if there is a divergence from the growth path, then there is going to be a lot of adjustment and one cannot predict that adjustment, but I must say what one sees is extremely hard working people basically preparing for their children in a very systematic way, so I cannot predict.

  Dr Cook: There are a few issues. There was the first phase of growth where poverty was reduced, but whether it would be technically pro-poor in the sense of higher growth rates or at least equal growth rates benefiting the poorest population I think is questionable. The second phase of growth actually left a lot of people behind and the widening inequality, I think, rather than poverty is what really is going to entrench some problems, and it is the social tensions which arise from that inequality. That is what the government is having a much harder time addressing and I think there has been a real effort in the last decade, certainly in the last five or so years, through revising the fiscal transfer system, et cetera, to address those issues, but the extent to which it is succeeding is ultimately a political issue and I think those kinds of very structural fiscal systemic reform issues are still things which the government is having a hard time really reforming. There has been much more emphasis on the development of the manufacturing sector and those kinds of issues which lead to obviously the growth you need to be able to redistribute anything and the government does have the resources now, but it is only now beginning to really face the challenges of how to allocate those fiscal revenues in ways which are pro-poor.

  Q54  Mr Crabb: So if there was an abrupt diversion from the growth path, for example, through a sharp fall in demand for the consumption of goods in the OECD countries and that had a knock-on shock impact on China, to what extent is there social protection for the hardworking Chinese family which you have described, Dr Cook?

  Dr Cook: The system is being built and from the late nineties until now you have seen a basic minimum living standard through a safety net programme, which fundamentally recognises that people cannot guarantee their own livelihood through employment. So it recognises that this is an issue. There are low income workers or unemployed workers, so more people needing assistance, and this is now being rolled out to rural areas with new health systems put in place. They are all in the early stages. They need a lot more resources and they need to be strengthened, but there is a sort of basis for a social protection system which is being put in place. There is still the coverage issue, do migrants get covered when they move, things like that are still very problematic, but it is being built at the moment and the government has put a huge amount of emphasis on these issues in the last five years.

  Q55  Sir Robert Smith: We have already discussed the post-2011 relationship and I think you confirm generally this morning's witnesses' view that to maximise the exchange of views about development in Africa or elsewhere in the development relationship, the DFID presence in China is desirable. You also, Mr Daniels, in your submission talked about how the recent controversy surrounding Tibet and the Olympics mean we probably need a more clearly articulated and more formal and transparent framework. Is the current one somewhat ad hoc?

  Mr Daniels: No, I think the current framework for DFID based around their country assistance plans is fairly clear. What I would say is that it is still very much talking the language of donor/recipient. That comes through to me anyway when I read the current CAP.1[10] That is the sort of language which is being used. I actually think that we need to move on from that, at the same time as DFID doing pro-poor work, and it is very much based upon DFID's remit in addressing poverty around the world. There is a lot more we should be talking about in terms of cooperation with China, with that huge resource of scientific people, resources and capacity that is there, and we should be working in a forward looking way, looking at some of the solutions not just for China but for the world, whether that be in the health sector or other sectors. I think that is the sort of language we need to look at. I think within the relationship you are going to have areas where we are very clear and there is a very good basis for cooperation. I think there are also some other issues which we need to be very careful about how we discuss them, what those issues are and the sort of language we want to use. So I think that is where we need to move to.


  Q56 Chairman: There is also talk about obviously various UK departments, not just DFID involved, there is DEFRA and BERR. Obviously we have got an embassy representing the British Government, but do we need some kind of cross-departmental government office?

  Mr Daniels: I think it needs to be one which can represent that wider departmental expertise and interest. For instance, the Department of Health, as an example, has superb experience in providing a health system to our population here and we need to have that expertise as well. It is not necessarily DFID's job to bring that voice in, I think it is the Department of Health's job, and DEFRA is the same and probably several other departments which are dealing with things like climate change and other things. So I would say that a DFID office could be at the core for now, but why not bring in a whole range of other departmental specialists and interlocutors who can actually build that relationship, which Gordon Brown has so clearly articulated during his visit there in January.

  Q57  Chairman: Would it be appropriate or inappropriate for it to be led by DFID? In other words, do you think the track record of DFID makes it the natural leader, even if it is drawing on other departments, or do you think logically it should move to the Foreign Office or a collection of departments.

  Mr Daniels: I do not think it really matters. It will be a UK office, will it not? DFID has got experience, it has got good networks and it has got a very good reputation, so DFID should be there and it should be there as a strong presence and continue its work both in terms of the work linked to poverty and the work linked to, for instance, the China-Africa issue and cooperation internationally, but bring into that office in a perhaps stronger way some of the other departments which you have in Whitehall.

  Dr Bloom: I think you have to build on the strength of DFID and the DFID relationship is about poverty reduction. I think the value of building normal relationships between several government departments and Chinese government departments goes beyond poverty reduction and it goes beyond having effective development in Africa. There are British Government interests in developing normal relationships, and normal relationships not at the highest diplomatic level but in health. There are obvious issues around drug regulation, around surveillance and disease control, around research, long term research, different kinds of interventions where it is very valuable to have inter-governmental relations in the same way that we want to normalise relations between private companies or research institutes. I think we need to think about a process by which we normalise relationships at all sorts of levels between British institutions and Chinese institutions, and DFID has made a start because we have defined that relationship. At the moment we have focused on the poverty reduction, but I think we cannot limit it to that, or it would be a mistake to limit it to that.

  Dr Cook: I think we need to also ask how the Chinese Government, administration and bureaucracy, interact. At the moment the DFID relationship is with one particular government department. Then it can build relationships with health, and other ministries, through programmes. But in terms of actually having direct access or a stronger relationship with multiple government ministries, I think then you would need to be looking at the different departments on the UK side. Then the question is, should those be channelled through the DFID counterpart in Beijing to those other ministries, which probably is not the best way of doing it. You have got a sort of gatekeeper there.

  Q58  Hugh Bayley: I am a party-pooper. So far you have convinced me this whole narrative is created within the aid lobby to justify its presence and I am just not convinced at all. Yes, of course the UK needs strong diplomatic, commercial, educational links with China, but if you want to talk about regulating pharmaceuticals, we have a Department of Health. You do not need to mediate that discussion through a department whose focus on the specialism is something completely different, and why on earth are we so arrogant to believe that even big donors—if you get all the donor community's money together it is 0.1% of China's GDP and our contribution is, what, 2% of that? The idea that our presence has any impact on poverty reduction in strategic terms—yes, we could put together some case studies, or on improving welfare—is monumental arrogance. Why on earth are we there? Here is a country with a bigger GDP than ours, with a space programme, with nuclear bombs and a gigantic army. They may need to cooperate with us and get expertise, but surely they should buy it on a consultancy basis? Why do we not have a completely different model where we say, with a partner like this, "Let's have a partnership". If they really want our expertise, they should buy it? Why are we diverting money from the DRC, from Nigeria, and handing it out to people who do not need the money? Everybody agrees they do not need the money. Why do we not set up a commercial office to sell them a local livelihoods consultancy and advice if they want to buy it?

  Mr Daniels: It is a forcefully put point. What I am saying is that we do need to bring in the non-DFID parts of the UK, and that is very important.

  Q59  Hugh Bayley: But who is "we"? "We" is the British Government, not DFID.

  Mr Daniels: No, I mean the UK. I think one should also look at the relatively small proportion of the UK aid programme which is also going to contract, but that is still pretty small as well, and there are some interesting areas for debate and dialogue which I think would probably justify that level of funding. But I think my point has been that we need to change from a DFID-focused approach in China to one which brings in a different relationship, which in fact, whether it is the actual mechanisms you mentioned or others, brings in the other parts of the UK's set-up to actually work with the Chinese on a different basis. I would agree with that.


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