Urbanisation and Poverty - International Development Committee Contents


Examination of Witnesses (Questions 20 - 39)

TUESDAY 12 MAY 2009

MR PAUL TAYLOR AND MR MICHAEL MUTTER

  Q20  Andrew Stunell: Specifically what do you want them to be contributing in terms of ideas, manpower, person power, whatever? Sending a few extra people on aeroplanes is not a solution but what exactly are you looking for?

  Mr Taylor: It is always good to get financial support because it is pretty much a high-wire act sometimes. We always rely on quite a lot of money from the host government; that is a significant criterion for how we select the venue for the World Urban Forum. Typically speaking, we often have difficulties in getting sufficient finance to get people to the World Urban Forum from less developed countries. It is expensive to get people there. I would have to say that the Scandinavians in particular have always proven to be generous in that particular area, but I would say also that the involvement in the discussion that takes place there to put forward positions, to argue for them, to debate with people who disagree with you or have different viewpoints, is really important. The World Urban Forum is not a forum at which we present UN-Habitat propaganda and try to sell it. It is a forum at which we open up a space for everybody to make a contribution and have an opportunity to influence the global context of debate but also specifically what Habitat does in future. Finally, it is the opportunity to make important contacts. What we have seen is that many initiatives have come about and resulted from what people meeting together at the World Urban Forum agree to collaborate on and move on in the future to do practical things about on the ground, and that is something we feel is extremely valuable.

  Q21  John Battle: Can I say I welcome that? I think it was at the third one that there was a suggestion that we build for the World Urban Forum at the local level, so there is a series of regional urban forums and we build, like future cities in Britain, on the urban councils and they have workshops in between the years and that is fed through with delegations rather than it just depending on one minister going. Has UN-Habitat been able to take that forward as a process for broadening the forum and building it up from the base?

  Mr Taylor: We are a very small agency and, frankly, we could not cope with too many more conferences of that nature even on a regional basis. What we do though is that on a political level we convene regional conferences of ministers who have in their portfolio responsibilities for urban development. We have one for Asia, we have one for Africa, we have one for Latin America, and these make a powerful contribution, but generally speaking those meetings do not have the financing requirements on the scale that we have for the World Urban Forum, which is pretty onerous and in organisational terms is pretty onerous as well. What we do also though is that we are trying to regionalise in the sense that you may have seen in the Habitat State of the World Cities report, which tries to set out some of the key issues of the urban agenda. What we are increasingly doing is producing regional forums on that State of the World Cities report so that issues specific to, say, Africa or Asia or Latin America are represented in those reports and then we can make certain those issues do not drop off the agenda at the annual World Urban Forum, because the State of the World Cities report, the global report, is always released at the World Urban Forum. We are trying to create a situation of connectedness.

  Mr Mutter: In relation to your question on what kinds of subjects should the UK and DFID in particular address, I would suggest that housing and finance, especially the commercial finance aspect, would be something that would be really useful to have as a backing for the Rio conference, especially in terms of galvanising the international commercial banks, or, shall we say, the ones that are still surviving by March next year? For example, HSBC has been remarkable in its ability at the local level to invest in providing commercial loans into the kinds of housing schemes that we are promoting, firstly in Sri Lanka but in other parts of the world as well. There is a lot of goodwill backed up there in the finance houses that I think is currently untapped and unheard of by the national governments who may be attending the World Urban Forum.

  Q22  Andrew Stunell: That is interesting. We will take that further forward perhaps. Can I turn to the Cities Alliance and "Cities Without Slums" agenda. Earlier on you said that "slum" was unambiguous and that was one of its advantages, but it is also an unachievable slogan, is it not, to get rid of slums? We have cut away 100 million, we have achieved the target for 2020, but we have still got an extra 400 million people in slums, so are we not chasing our own tails here? What are we actually trying to do and can you have a city without slums?

  Mr Taylor: We would like to parse this term "Cities Without Slums" because generally speaking what has happened in the past, particularly but not exclusively in Africa, is to try and play catch-up. What has happened is that the slum population has increased faster than action (if indeed there is any action) to address slum formation. What we would argue is that cities have to get ahead of the game, that what they have to do is make sure that there is sufficient infrastructure services, housing blocks, available to cater for projected increases in low income housing populations. You might say that sounds pretty Utopian. It is not. One of the things that really impresses you if you go to China is the way they use their planning process to think ahead of the formation of slums and other kinds of urban development, and that is not only in terms of physically making land available but also linking the planned allocation of land with investment in services and budgeting for that investment in services. In our view "Cities Without Slums" does not mean eradication; I do not think anybody seriously thinks we are proposing that, nor does it necessarily mean that within a short timescale we can get rid of all the slums in the world, rather that we get governments, local authorities and other players to start thinking about the ways in which they can proactively plan for their low income housing populations to try and make certain that you are not the victim of circumstances but rather that you are ahead of the game.

  Q23  Mr Hendrick: Is it something they are trying to do with birth control? The elephant in the room on this subject is whether or not you can get rid of the population growth. As fast as people want to build property, if people are having children even quicker, as Andrew puts it, you are going to be chasing your tail. You present China as an example but it is not a typical example, is it?

  Mr Taylor: Certainly that has been one element of their success. There is also a very interesting phenomenon which is emerging in China which reflects the points which you have made. In a number of cases we are seeing declining cities, where cities are not growing but reducing in the number of their inhabitants. That is partly a reflection of the greying of the population, but it is also a matter of whether you see people as a resource or a problem. I think there is an increasing inclination, if only in economic terms, to look at a relatively young population as something which is at least of economic advantage, certainly when you are comparing, let us say, the economic prospects for India as compared to China. The relatively large number of people in the younger age cohorts seems to suggest that you will have higher levels of economic activity, and so in many ways the slum issues are also dependent, obviously, on economic productivity and economic growth. Generally speaking, the younger the age profile of your population the more potential you have for economic growth. I am not saying in terms of aggregate numbers it makes solving of the issue of the backlog of slums a lot easier, but what it does do is give an economic context within which things may not be as difficult as they might otherwise be.

  Mr Hendrick: It does not make it easier; it actually makes it worse, because if you are going to get huge growth in population you are going to get growth in slums.

  Q24  Andrew Stunell: Can I just bring us back to the discussion before? If the target to get rid of slums is in the hands of national governments the obvious way of getting rid of slums is to send some bulldozers in. The less obvious and far more expensive way is to put in infrastructure on plots of land so that the next wave of people will have un-slum-like conditions to move onto.

  Mr Taylor: Correct.

  Q25  Andrew Stunell: There is a major disincentive for a national government to go down the second route, particularly if in any case its main policy aim in this respect is to retain its population in the rural areas. If it makes it really comfortable to flock to the big cities it will actually accelerate something that it sees as being a problem. That brings back this rural fashionable/urban unfashionable discussion which we did not quite get to before. Do you have a view about whether urbanisation is collectively a good thing or is it something which national governments are right to be working to resist? Should national governments be focusing on carrots or sticks to solve the slum problem?

  Mr Taylor: You have set a lot of hares running there.

  Q26  Andrew Stunell: I am a novice.

  Mr Taylor: Let us see if we can track a few of them down. We are unambiguous that urbanisation is a good thing. What we see is that urbanisation has always been the motor of national development. We do not see any good examples of models which are rurally based. Secondly, it is inevitable. You talked about using forced evictions to send people back to the countryside, just supposing morally and ethically you could bite on that particular bullet. It does not work. We can take some obvious examples. There is the famous case in Zimbabwe, for example, where 800,000 low income residents had their houses bulldozed in precisely the fashion which you describe and many of them were trucked back to the rural areas. They are now back in the urban areas. This is what happens. You have in Tanzania the famous example in the 1970s of village-isation policies, perhaps a lot more humane than was undertaken in Zimbabwe but also some of it had a bit of a prod behind it as well. That completely ended in failure. Even the worst-performing cities, and you can pick whichever city you care to name, and I am talking here particularly about primate cities, the large cities; but we can create even better arguments for intermediate cities, even some of the most difficult and dysfunctional cities contribute a higher share of gross domestic product per capita than do rural areas. Let us take Lagos, an extremely difficult city. It contains about one eighth of the population of Nigeria. It produces about 60% of GDP. You can find countless examples like that from around the world, so we would regard urbanisation as both inevitable and desirable. The trick is to make certain that the form of urbanisation you get is as successful as it can be. There can be many dysfunctionalities, there can be many people who are excluded from the development process in cities, either by accident or design, in most cases a combination of both, who cannot contribute as fully to city life as they otherwise could because there is a philosophy around if you have a world-class city that the poor have no place in it, that they should be hidden away, they should be excluded, that indeed, if I were to exaggerate somewhat but not much, that exclusion is a price worth paying for economic development. Our research, as you will see in the latest State of the World Cities report, shows quite conclusively that cities that have higher degrees of equality are also amongst those that are more economically efficient, so (a) cities, even if badly run, make a disproportionate contribution to the share of national income, and (b) they can do even better if they are equitable and well run and then they can do a lot better than those that are left to their own devices. Yes, we are unambiguous about it. I will make one final point here, if I am not going on too long: it is very difficult to get statistics on forced evictions. Anticipating a question on that I had a bit of a root around with our people in Nairobi on this and they said it is very difficult to get numbers. In the last period on which we are able to get some sort of numbers— the period 2000-02—there were something like something over six million forced evictions around the world, as best we could tell. In the preceding two year period there were about four million forced evictions. These are very, very spongy figures but they are the best we could get. On our not-evidence-based assertion, but in terms of our witnessing of forced eviction events around the world, we would say that forced evictions are increasing and often used as a sort of alternative method of town planning. Often, low-income populations, in order to have access to employment opportunities, are located on extremely valuable areas of land close to the centres of town. These areas are often coveted by real estate developers who will then get into league with government and arrange for those residents to be evicted, often under the harshest possible circumstances. So we argue very strongly against forced evictions. We are not saying that evictions can never be done; often for very good public purposes you have to displace people, but it should be done with due process and there are international standards which prescribe what the due processes are. Unfortunately, at the moment, we see many cases where forced evictions are on the increase.

  Mr Mutter: Could I just add a little bit about the processes of urbanisation and, also, population expansion? Most countries that urbanised some time ago display higher GDP per capita levels, and with that rise in affluence there is a tailing off of family size, generally speaking. So there is a pattern that you could say is the good side of urbanisation, which is that given good investments in the urban structure people tend to have a higher income level, GDP per capita. The UK, for example, with 90% urban living, is an example, but it is true that most developed countries are extremely urban by comparison to poor countries. So there is a growth in per capita income levels with structured urbanisation, and there is a tailing off of growth of population as a whole, as a result of that. That is the model we are trying to encourage. I might just cite the case of Singapore. I know people did not have an option to go and live in the countryside, because there was not any, but they structured their investments in the standards of urban development in a very proactive way. I know it seems, maybe, difficult to remember, but in the 1950s Singapore was riven with slums and the government took a very bold step. They tried various models but the model they came down to was to say, okay, the private sector should build all the new housing but the government would pay the 40% deposit on anyone relocating from the slum to a high-rise apartment block. People were very sceptical that this could ever work; people said they did not want to live in the air and they preferred their little shack with their boat and all the rest of it, but in the end people complained if they were not given an opportunity. That model has, by and large, worked and it is private sector-driven, but with a very decent slug of government money going in, but into the model of private development housing but for the lowest income groups.

  Mr Taylor: I think, on the point of urbanisation, we would tend to argue that there is quite a clear mathematical relationship between the rate of urbanisation and GDP. In terms of examples, we would cite the fact that China, once again, embraced urbanisation very early, and we can see a clear relationship between economic growth in China and the rate of urbanisation. Those countries that are in urbanisation denial tend to perform the worst in terms of economic growth.

  Q27  Chairman: You have made that point a number of times, and Mark Hendrick has asked you the population questions. When you put the two together, you have got people living in urban "slums" but they are also multiplying. Michael said that as living standards rise family size tends to get smaller but your own figures suggest that the growth of urban slums is going to be natural generation within those slums. What is your policy on trying to manage that?

  Mr Taylor: First of all, I would say, in overall terms, the rate of urbanisation is slowing globally. It is still happening and the only area of the world where you are seeing rates of urbanisation decreasing, I think, are in Western Europe. The rate of increase is slowing down. I think the second point we would say is that what you, essentially, have to do, as we have been arguing already, is to release a variety of resources into the housing market which, at the moment, are not being fully exploited. Michael has talked about the availability of domestic finance. We find that in many countries there are surprising amounts of domestic finance looking for a home (Michael can probably give you better information on that), even in relatively poor countries. Secondly, we find that there are enormous opportunities for generating funding from savings of slum dwellers themselves, and there are many well-documented examples of this, where slum dwellers put away small amounts of money on a periodic basis and this proves enough—and they do it through savings organisations which are run by themselves—to generate capital for investment in housing. So, yes, you are seeing increasing population but we also believe that there are under-utilised resources which can be unlocked through innovative schemes of housing finance. So we do not believe that it is, by any means, a hopeless situation.

  Q28  Chairman: You do not have a population policy; to some extent you think it will take care of itself?

  Mr Mutter: There are a whole range of reasons for urbanisation taking place. As towns expand they engulf villages that are around them, and those people become part of the urban scheme. Nairobi Metropolitan, for example, which has just been announced, will engulf fair-sized towns in a radius of about 50 to 80 kilometres from the current centre. So that will become a new city of 10, 15 or 20 million people in due course. Hopefully, it will be properly planned, the housing areas will be earmarked and investment will be made in those kinds of provisions and there will not be an expansion of the slum areas. However, even in rural areas, as happened in Europe and the UK in particular, villages grow until they take on urban characteristics. So, without moving, people become more urban than they were previously. Villages of 5,000 people, for example, become urban centres with the provision of schools and things like that. Just a quick word on reasons for people moving. Education has been a huge driver for rural people to gain access to education for their children. They may be uneducated themselves. We saw this very distinctly in South Africa. Eastern Cape was a predominantly rural region where, by the time the school was due to be brought to a rural population the village had already gone; they had gone to Cape Town; they had gone to Khayelitsha to find education opportunities, which they could only find by moving to an urban area. I would say there is a cut-off point below which you cannot provide the kind of provision urban areas offer in rural areas. They can be made better but only up to a certain extent. Eventually, the natural tendency of the human population throughout the world is to urbanise.

  Q29  Andrew Stunell: You have opened up an aspect of this which I was not fully familiar with at all. Are you saying that the majority of developing countries' governments are pro-urbanisation? I get a very different picture. I just wondered whether there is not actually a major policy gap between what you are trying to achieve at an international level, facilitating national governments carrying out a policy which actually they completely and fundamentally disagree with. Is there not a rather significant disconnect there?

  Mr Taylor: I think it is a reasonable comment that you are making, but I think the situation is changing. At the beginning of my time in UN-Habitat, the argument of many developing country governments was: "Urbanisation—bad; rural—good; people staying in rural areas, our policies ought to be to keep them there". Now that is still heard but it is not heard quite so commonly, I would say. We have it as our mandate from our governing council to actually promote the cause of urbanisation. Nobody at our governing council, which also includes developing countries, says: "No, you should not be doing this". What we are saying is that unless you address the urban problems that are being faced at the moment there are greater problems in store in the future, in terms of social consequence, social unrest, urban violence, in terms of increased forced migration, in terms of conflict over land and in terms of increased numbers of deaths from natural catastrophes. So there are things that are in the pipeline. I think governments now are less in denial than they were. I think that is, in part, a consequence of the arguments that have been presented by UN-Habitat over the years.

  Q30  John Battle: I want to follow up the Chairman's question and put it another way. I am passionate about urbanisation—I am an urban-addict—and I love the city of Leeds, where I live, but are there structural limits to mega-cities? Why I ask that is that I can see that if a city extends—in the 1500s Hounslow was a village miles away and it is now part of the conglomeration of a huge urban area. If you get people coming in informally to a city centre—let us call it that—and so you have mega-cities of more than one million people, which my own city is now, do you have structural limits, particularly in relation to, say, water and transport? What I found was the sewage system will not sustain that number of people and, also, people cannot get in and out because the roads and transport systems get clogged up. When the place where I was staying was cleared out and we were given land at the far end of Sao Paulo, it took three-and-a-half hours by bus to get back into the place of work in the morning and back out at night, and men and women never saw their children in daylight. So are there structural limits to a city, and are you tackling that issue?

  Mr Taylor: Yes, what we are seeing is that there are natural limits to growth of mega-cities. In fact, we tend to see too much concentration in international comment on mega-cities. In fact, 50% of the worlds' urban population lives in urban centres of 500,000 people or less (if I recall my statistics correctly), and it is around about 10% that live in mega-cities. So we can get the issue of mega-cities out of proportion. The second thing is that we are seeing that there are natural limits to growth, particularly in badly planned and badly integrated mega-cities, which is leading some of those mega-cities—even some of the most famous ones—to actually lose population to intermediate-sized cities; places like Mexico City, La Paz and Manila. They are experiencing this. What we would say is that any sensible government would put as much emphasis on the development of its intermediate cities as it would on its mega-cities and, also, to meet the objectives which Mr Stunell referred to, in terms of improving the living conditions of the rural population. Cities—and we use the American term "cities" but that refers to all human settlements—exist in order to provide services not only for the residents of those cities themselves but, also, of their surrounding hinterlands. Certain facilities, as Michael was hinting at, can only be provided when there are certain densities of populations and certain economies of scale—higher order facilities, such as tertiary education facilities and higher order medical facilities and so on. If you have a properly developed settlement strategy you can more easily provide these higher order services to rural populations if you can get some reasonable sized settlements developed with reasonable access to rural populations. So we should not overly concentrate on mega-cities. I would also say, in terms of what is actually happening in the cities, probably one of the more significant developments over the last 10 or 15 years has not been the mega-city but the city region. This applies to both developed and to developing countries. Typically, for example, now we would refer to almost the entire south-east of England as a city region that needs to be looked at in an integrated kind of way. The Pearl River Delta that you see in China, the North Eastern Seaboard of the US and the Rand area of South Africa. This is a development that you get in more mature stages of urbanisation. In Africa, for example, where urbanisation is still in its first throes—you are seeing the mega-city phenomenon—but the next stage will be the city region. What we are seeing now is that governments, realising, first of all, the economic powerhouse effects of these city regions but, also, some of the inefficiencies that are associated with bad planning for infrastructure, such as you have just mentioned, are also getting more and more involved in decision making at that kind of level. If we were crystal ball gazing for the future, I think one of the outcomes of the recent credit crisis has been that we might well see a change from the formal, Washington consensus, which is all about shrinking government, to expanding the role of government, and we would anticipate that you will have increasing government involvement and interest in these enormous conglomerations or city regions for developing in various places.

  Q31  John Battle: In fact, just this weekend in Leeds, in my city, the Government here in the last Budget a couple of weeks ago declared Leeds the city region for the whole of West Yorkshire. The theme is catching alight, if we cross-reference north and south. Can I ask you about water? In a sense, with electricity, you can throw a wire over a cable that is there already and "steal" electricity to get electric, but in terms of water you really have a problem with water and sanitation. You set up a fund, I think, the Water and Sanitation Trust Fund. How is it working out? What is it doing? Surely, land right rows—if you put the water in, authorities, civic or government, resent you sorting the water out because that makes settlements permanent. How are you managing that fund?

  Mr Taylor: First of all, we are trying to use the money that we receive, which is relatively modest (I think we have received something like $10 million into the fund so far) to work with international finance institutions, such as, in Africa, the African Development Bank and, in Asia, the Asian Development Bank, to leverage additional funds. So from that $10 million, I think, at the last count, we had leveraged something like around $1 billion for further investment. What we use our money to do is to try and improve the efficiency and effectiveness of the investment financing provided by the international finance institutions by doing a lot of the pre-investment work, by the involvement of communities in the designing of schemes, in terms of capacity building of some of the key players, particularly in water and sanitation utilities, through training and other measures, and also involving communities in the implementation of the schemes as well. We find all these measures taken together can give you overall a better result. Furthermore, what we are doing also is one of the problems we mentioned previously is when you do projects they often tend to remain as projects; that there are boundaries round them and when the project financing is finished it is back to business as usual. So what we have tried to do in our water and sanitation programme is go for regional approaches which involve a number of cities and go across national borders. For example, we have one big programme that is around the Lake Victoria region in East Africa (I forget how many cities it involves now—15 or 20) and we have another one in the Mekong area, which involves Thailand and Laos. What we are trying to do is ensure that whatever resources that we get in for water and sanitation do not go into direct provision, but we try and use that money to deliver increased efficiency and effectiveness of the totality of funds that we can make available for any area, and sustainability of the overall investment.

  Q32  Mr Hendrick: 70% of people living without improved sanitation and 80% of people living without improved water live in rural areas. DFID is focusing much of its efforts in those rural areas to improve sanitation and water. Given the rate of urbanisation, do you think DFID should shift its priorities?

  Mr Mutter: No, would be the immediate answer because three billion people without access to sanitation is just incredible—that we can live in a world with that degree of deprivation. So it needs everything. I think there is still a good case to be made for the provision of water and sanitation measures in rural areas. Very often this, however, does relate to government strategies, in particular, especially with the Water and Sanitation Trust Fund we have set up. The power of convening, as Paul was saying, beyond national boundaries with different governments coming together around, for example, Lake Victoria, where there is a large rural population, is very important in getting the strategy right that then does provide for both the urban and the rural provision. One of the things that we have been able to do with the Water and Sanitation Trust Fund is provide a centre for the global water operators' partnership. This was seen to be something that had never been put together before, and water operators or utility companies that do make these provisions do so opportunistically to where there is the greatest return. To get them to then provide or broaden their scope so that they provide also for the less well developed parts of the geographical spread is very important indeed. Again, if you like, it is the value-added of having a UN department that is able to bring these various disparate groups together.

  Mr Taylor: Can I make another point here? Often provision of water supplies and sanitation services in rural areas is justified on the basis of delivering services to the poorest of the poor. There is a lot of evidence to suggest that the conditions of slum dwellers in cities is much worse than the conditions of rural dwellers.

  Mr Mutter: Especially for sanitation.

  Mr Taylor: Particularly for sanitation but, also, if you look at the morbidity and mortality statistics. It varies from city to city, of course, but particularly but not exclusively in Africa quite a clear picture is emerging, that the situation in the slums is often—not always—much worse than in rural areas.

  Q33  Andrew Stunell: Part of your mandate is to do with planning and land tenure. I wonder if you could just report back to us on how the UN Housing Rights programme is proceeding and whether you could actually say it was producing any results.

  Mr Taylor: Yes, we are working on the Housing Rights programme in combination with the High Commissioner on Human Rights. We find that the rights approach is one that is very good for advocacy; it allows you to make a case for doing something. This is part of the whole process of trying to increase the footprint of urban. Having said that, we do not believe that on its own it is sufficient. The danger always is that debates about rights also tend to disconnect from the other things that you should be doing in order to achieve practical improvement. In our view, rights is good but it is very important to connect with policies with regard to slum upgrading, with regard to investments in infrastructure, and with regard to land rights, and so on and so forth. So, yes, this is an important part of our armoury but it is not the most important part, by any means.

  Q34  Andrew Stunell: I guess that in most slums, even informal slums, the majority of people are actually tenants rather than landlords, if I can put it that way; they are paying to be there rather than owning land. I think you began to point to the fact that this is not quite the panacea solution—give everybody a square yard or two to put their shack on. What do you see as the balance of the land tenure argument against the other things which need to be done?

  Mr Taylor: We see land tenure as being extremely important. Indeed, it is the fear of eviction which probably is the strongest disincentive to investment in the improvement of shelter. There are a lot of arguments, principally put around by people like Hernando de Soto who argue that formal titling, as has been done in the West, is the solution to many problems; that if you get formal title you can release capital that can be used for other purposes. We believe titling, yes, is important, it can do what he says, but whether it is the appropriate solution, particularly for developing countries, we would tend to say that it is better that you have a range of solutions. We tend to find that titling is too cumbersome, too expensive and, frankly, not practicable in many countries, given the numbers of people who are living in slums. We would argue that, in fact, there is a continuum of land rights that need to be addressed, but at the most basic level it is a perception by residents of slum areas that they have security of tenure. That, even of itself, is one of the most important levers you can get for slum dwellers themselves to invest in the improvement of their own conditions.

  Q35  Andrew Stunell: Could you give any hands-on, practical example of where you can see an improvement having been made in the tenure situation which has led to that increased sense of security? You have asserted it as a theoretical point, but is there a practical example?

  Mr Mutter: Yes, the City of Solo in Indonesia has a very dynamic mayor and he set about a very specific programme, which is government promoted but, often, not implemented, of ensuring that in the pockets of slum areas that have been identified for improvement the land titling is the driver. In that particular set of circumstances it does release commercial loans from the local banks. It is an interesting case of a particular city having a political will from the leadership to ensure that this is carried out. Unfortunately, in many cases, there are so many vested interests entwined with politics that it becomes defeated. What is interesting about this city is that the next meeting of the Asian Ministers of Urban Development and Housing will be held there in July next year, so they will have a first-class example on their doorstep of being able to see how the effects of land titling have led to improved conditions.

  Q36  Mr Singh: What is the Slum Upgrading Facility? What does it do? What problems are you experiencing? What successes have you had?

  Mr Mutter: This came about from a lot of ideas that had been put together from the year 2000, but it was not until the 19th session of the Governing Council of UN-Habitat in 2003 that the idea was formalised and it was not until 2004—and largely with DFID's foresight to put money up front for this Slum Upgrading Facility—that it could get off the ground. The very basic idea is that through proper planning and technical assistance and through, ultimately, the availability of a guarantee system at the local level that the commercial banks will be attracted into slum upgrading projects that are put together, largely, by the slum dwellers. In these cases, slum dwellers become not beneficiaries, as a terminology, but clients, because they are the ones who will be making the repayments on the commercial loans. So this whole notion turns round the idea of someone waiting for someone else to come along with a dollop of money to improve their life; this is a real enabling process for those slum dwellers, and they respond very well. The other interesting aspect of that market segment, shall we say, is that they are very much better at repayments than their middle income counterparts who tend to have a default rate that is much higher. It is very similar to the kind of experience that the world has witnessed with microfinance, and the way in which the peer group ensures that the major repayment is made regularly and on time, and if there is a problem with a member of the group that problem is resolved at the group level before it becomes a problem with the financial institution or the bank at a formal level. Savings, also, provide that very initial stimulus at the local level. However, as a facility (and we are only coming towards the end of our first three-year pilot programme in four countries: Indonesia, Sri Lanka, Tanzania and Ghana), we are beginning to see the commercial banks participating. They do it, very largely, when they are involved in the process at the local level. So in order to facilitate the process locally we have developed a methodology of what we call local finance facilities, multi-stakeholder groups in a not-for-profit company, where everyone can be involved. You may ask about the longer-term sustainability of such groups, and where we have had these established at an early stage, after a number of years governments are dedicating national budget lines (for example, in the case of Sri Lanka the Government of Sri Lanka has dedicated a national budget line to permanently sustain this local finance facility there). It is then able to pick up the pockets of slums in cities like Colombo, but across Sri Lanka, and, hopefully, also, in due course, in the North where there are going to be a lot of displaced people needing access to reconstruction activity. What we find is because the expertise is contained locally and is stimulated locally they become a problem-solving institution in their own right. If you have got a land problem it is more likely to be solved by this finance facility. The banks are happy to be involved from the very beginning in these processes and we are absolutely amazed by the speed with which both the slum dwellers and the commercial banks and government are able to come together and see the value of this kind of local facility.

  Q37  Mr Singh: Have you come across any obstacles?

  Mr Mutter: There is an obstacle to expansion through not having the longer-term finance available, and that is what I would still stress; to have a 10-year window of funding would enable it to expand before the guarantees that are placed are absolved. There is a need for five- to 10-year money as capitalisation of that process. We have started, and it is looking good. The only other obstacle that takes time is the land issue, but with persistence over the period of time, even the land issues can be resolved.

  Q38  Mr Singh: Do you have any plans to generalise this model when the pilots come to an end?

  Mr Mutter: As I say, we are coming towards the end of the third year—by the end of this year will be the end of the third year of the experiment. We have had a mid-term review that is encouraging, and the group that oversees this process have said they would like to see another two years carry on of the pilot—another three year period. We have not got the funding secured for even that period yet, but there is optimism in the process. I think, when we have been able to evaluate all of the different characteristics of different countries, there will be an opportunity to say, okay, this now needs expanding with the 100 million—

  Q39  Chairman: How many people were covered by the four pilot schemes?

  Mr Mutter: For example, one of the pilot schemes is the whole of Sri Lanka. Of the individual projects, there are six individual projects within Sri Lanka being covered, and that is covering about 6,000 people all together. That is typical in each of the four countries. The requirement, especially if it is going to keep pace with preventing slum formation, is going to be quite large, but the commercial banks do see this as a market system that they ought to be into and the reflection of that is in what we call the gearing ratio. In other words, for a given guarantee, how much more money is the commercial bank willing to put it? At the moment, it is 2:1 in Sri Lanka, in one case, it is 4:1 in Tanzania, but we would like to see 10:1 being the norm going forward. It will only come about with the banks being able to see that this is a workable process and gaining confidence that there will not be massive defaults in the process.


 
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