The impact of the current economic situation on the North West and the Government's response - North West Regional Committee Contents


Memorandum from the Federation of Small Businesses (NW 05)

SUMMARY

    — Trading levels continue to get worse and at a faster rate.

    — Invoice payment times are getting longer and public sector not yet delivering on 10 days promise.

    — Credit insurance costs increase as does the cost of existing and new credit through banks.

    — North West banks are turning down half of all small business applicants for credit.

    — Too few banks are making Enterprise Finance Guarantee Funding available.

    — Some sectors doing better than others—tourism, repair & maintenance and those providing services previously done "in house".

    — Small businesses in supply chains for defence and motor industries will be suffering.

    — Construction has been badly hit but more, smaller contractors trying the domestic market.

    — Most vulnerable sector is the small, independent high street retailer.

    — Federation of Small Businesses (FSB) enjoys a good relationship with Northwest Development Agency (NWDA) & Business Link Northwest (BLNW) but there is room for improvement and great benefits if fully exploited.

    — Better use could have been made of NWDA in managing the Enterprise Guarantee Funding.

    — North West Joint Economic Commission (NW JEC) in danger of being a talking shop, needs better public sector/private sector balance and improved feedback from national.

    — BLNW is improving all the time and is open to new ideas but still poorly utilised, better marketing would help.

    — The Boards of both NWDA and BLNW are missing the benefits of have representatives of business organisations on them.

    — Need to look at the composition and role of 4NW; it is not valued by the independent private sector.

    — Make taking on an apprentices easier for small businesses.

    — Small businesses disillusioned by government promises of help that are too slow to roll out.

    — The last budget was not very helpful for small businesses, many excellent opportunities missed.

    — Initiative such as Real Help Now and the joint response on redundancies needs to be better marketed.

    — Dangers in too much decision making at local authority level resulting from Sub National Review of government. Have they the capacity? And will they be inclusive in their consultations?

    — VAT reduction cost small business more than they gained.

1.  INTRODUCTION TO THE FEDERATION OF SMALL BUSINESSES

  1.1  The Federation of Small Businesses (FSB) has around 215,000 members nationally and is the UK's largest business lobbying group—approximately 22,000 of those members are in the North West. The FSB's principal aim is to protect and promote the interests of its members and the small business sector in general.

2.  The effect of the economic situation on the region; including the effect on different sectors and on different sub-regions

  2.1  According to FSB members in the region the volume of trade has continued to decrease at a growing rate over recent months. In February, 46% of members reported reductions in trade levels. By April this had increased to 55%. Those experiencing an increase in trade have slipped from 24% to only 18% over the same period. (note i)

  2.2  Adding to the difficult trading conditions members are reporting a huge and unsustainable, from their perspective, rise in the time it takes the private sector to pay invoices. The most recent figures show nearly 38% of our members are now waiting longer than they were in February for settlement.

  2.3  There are very few signs that the 10 day payment scheme for the public sector, promised by government, is being adhered to with a massive 83% reporting longer payment periods.

  2.4  In the last six months over half of those respondents applying for credit insurance have seen the cost increase.

  2.5  Increases in the cost of existing and new finance have also increased by more than 50% and 72% respectively over the last two months. Almost half of those who applied for a loan or overdraft in the same period were refused.

  2.6  A significant number (22%) of small businesses remain unaware of the government's guaranteed finance schemes. Less than 40% of those who are aware believe it will encourage increased bank lending.

  2.7  When asked about the Enterprise Finance Guarantee, of those who were aware of their bank's position, only one in four said their bank was making it available.

  2.8  The rural economy is almost entirely reliant of small businesses and their situation during this recession is even more critical than ever. The decline of services in rural areas, mainly banks and post offices, has had an undesirable knock on effect on the rest of the community these served. The FSB proposes setting up Post Banks similar to those operating successfully in some other European countries. Based on the Post Office network it is felt that the Post Bank system would provide the necessary banking and investment opportunities to survival and perhaps revival of rural areas. Details on the FSB's website at www.fsb.org.uk

  2.9  Anecdotal evidence on the effects of the recession on different sectors reveals that:

    — Tourism, so far this year, is benefiting from a weak £ in Europe and an uncertainty about continued employment in some sectors.

    — Businesses in repair and maintenance sectors eg motor repair appear to be less seriously affected as are those in businesses where services were provided "in house" and are now contractors out to them.

    — As projects in the defence sector are put back the small business supply chains, particularly in Cumbria and Lancashire, will themselves find trading difficult.

    — Smaller companies in the motor industry supply chain will suffer considerably unless they too benefit directly from any government initiatives.

    — Construction's problems are well documented and businesses, large and small, in this sector are desperate for a revival. Some smaller contractors have widened their markets to include domestic repair and maintenance in order to stay in business and retain experienced workers.

    — The IT sector presents a mixed picture as projects like Media City in Salford increase demand. This is counterbalanced with a reduction by businesses in general to purchasing new equipment—it's make do and mend for the time being.

    — Most vulnerable are the independent retailers. Even before the recession the continuing and unchecked growth of larger, multinational retailers was causing many closures. This has worsened considerably in the last year. Some estimates suggest that, by 2015, there will be few, if any, traditional family run shops left. It is also estimated that, for every job created in a major retail outlet, three jobs will be lost due to closures on the high street. The FSB is to conduct research on this subject later this year.

    — According to figures published by BDO Stoy Hayward, there are around 120 small businesses closing each day, many of these will be on the high street. Research by Experian shows that four of Britain's worst hit high streets (by percentage of empty shops) are in the North West:

    — Rochdale—29% (the 3rd worst in the whole country)

    — Congleton—22%

    — Ulverston—21%

    — Bootle—21%

3.  The effectiveness of Northwest Development Agency in assisting businesses in the current economic downturn

  3.1  The FSB's relationship with NWDA and BLNW has improved significantly in recent years. Both independently and as a member of the Private Sector Partners NW Ltd (note ii) the FSB has opportunity to discuss issues with the NWDA's chief executive, his senior managers as well as the managing director of BLNW.

  3.2  However, this does not mean the system of communication is perfect and it is sometimes felt that communication and agreement at senior levels does not always reach more practical operational levels within the organisations.

  3.3  There is a great and untapped capacity within the private sector to support and advise not just the NWDA but all other government agencies in the region. This opportunity is weakest when agencies assume the private sector has the resources to respond to lengthy and technically papers in anything but a cursory manner.

  3.4  In our opinion, BLNW has responded quickly and effectively to meet the changing need of businesses. Their move to put great emphasis and resources into supporting access to finance has been welcomed.

  3.5  The FSB feels it is too early to pass judgement on the NWDA's effectiveness in the current economic situation. However, it is our belief that they should have been allowed a more prominent role in managing the allocation of Enterprise Guarantee Funding. Their understanding of the region and where the funding would do the most good is better than the banks who are inclined to consider their own commercial position before that of businesses they might loan to.

4.  The response of the Joint Economic Commission

  4.1  The intentions of the NW JEC are good and worthwhile. However, bringing together, as it does, representatives from a wide cross section of sectors and interests in the region, the JEC is in danger of attempting to solve all ills and not achieving anything substantial. The FSB has attended four of the five JEC meetings and is concerned that it has gathered a tremendous amount of information and appears to have done little with it.

  4.2  There appears to be a disproportionate amount of focus on the public sector. The JEC would benefit from a more balanced membership between the private sector and the public sector.

  4.3  The meetings themselves would benefit from more feedback on what issues are discussed and resolved at the national meeting of regional ministers.

5.  The capacity of the Government Office for the North West, Government agencies such as Business Link, Learning and Skills Council, and Jobcentre Plus, and other partnerships to respond effectively to the economic downturn

  5.1  There is strong evidence that the changes, two years ago, to Business Link Northwest have been welcomed by small businesses. The information, diagnosis and brokerage model is seen, by the FSB, as the most effective means of supporting small businesses.

  5.2  A joint FSB/CBI/BLNW survey in late 2008 showed improvements in accessibility, service levels, quality of support and relevance of support. Despite this BLNW's services are only used by 15% of those seeking advice and support. Accountants at 50% are the most likely first port of call for business advice and BLNW should put greater emphasis on using them as an access point. Marketing of their services is still weak.

  5.3  BLNW have shown willingness to accept criticism and do everything they can to address fundamental problems with their services. This was clearly shown when, following an FSB report criticising advisor/broker abilities, they worked with the FSB on a scheme that partnered brokers with small business owners in order for them to better understand their "customer". The programme was considered a great success by both parties. Consideration is being given to extending this programme into Train To Gain.

  5.4  The Board of BLNW has recently been selected and the FSB was disappointed that its representative was not successful in being selected. Whilst appreciating that there are recommended criteria for such positions we believe that the exclusion of representative body, such as the FSB, simply because it is a business organisation, is a fundamental error. Without commenting on the abilities of those chosen it needs to be recognised that, as individual business people, they are less likely to bring the same depth and scope of information on business needs to the table than those from business organisations. The FSB have recommended to BLNW that they set up an advisory group, from the region's business associations and professional bodies, to sit in a formal advisory capacity to the main board.

  5.5  The same principle applies to the selection and make-up of the NWDA's Board. It is a missed opportunity to be better informed on what is happening in the private sector when representative organisations are excluded. The recent job description and person specification for new NWDA Board members are pitched at a level that would almost certainly exclude almost all business people running small companies. Given that around 98% of all businesses in the North West are small this means that it is highly unlikely for this majority in the business community to have adequate representation.

  5.6  The majority of the private sector representative bodies, including the FSB, were disappointed by the way the Regional Leaders Forum, 4NW, was appointed without proper consultation or negotiation. 4NW was formed from the executive committee of the North West Regional Assembly (NWRA), a body that was not supported by the independent private sector in the region. In the eyes of the FSB, the NWRA proved to be an ineffective and counterproductive. We believe that accepting the executive as the regional leaders forum is a mistake. The inclusion of a small number of non politicians in the hope of convincing an outside world that it is inclusive only adds to its lack of appeal. If there is to be a leaders forum then it needs to comprise equal partners with a balance between the political and the non political.

6.  The usefulness of government initiatives such as Real Help Now, in providing support and enabling access to finance, for businesses in the North West

  6.1  Small businesses were initially encouraged by government announcements regarding access to finance but have become disillusioned by the delay in getting these programmes into place.

  6.2  There is no real evidence to show whether Real Help Now has been useful other than one comment that a business had seen it and thought it might help. It is generally felt that it needs better marketing and promoting.

  6.3  The government missed several opportunities in the last budget announcement to support small companies. These are detailed in the FSB's Budget Submission document at www.fsb.org.uk but principal amongst these missed opportunities were: the granting of automatic rate relief, creating a corporate mediator and the reduction and simplification of the taxation burden.

  6.4  The government's decision to reduce VAT may have looked good, but, in reality, it appears to have had very little positive impact on trade volumes. In fact, many small businesses saw an increase in their costs as they coped with this change.

  6.5  The FSB were dismayed by the recent Funding Roadshow, hosted by Ian Pearson MP, which appeared to be an attempt to disprove what small businesses are actually experiencing regard difficulties accessing finance. This feeling was exacerbated by the fact that it was largely delivered by a senior representative from a partially government owned bank who was trying to convince a better informed private sector that it was lending to the small business sector. This event also had the purpose of asking business representative organisations to carry out marketing of government initiatives on their behalf. PR events of this nature should be reconsidered by government.

  6.6  The initiative between Jobcentre Plus, LSC, NWDA, BLNW and ACAS to work together in response to redundancies is welcomed. The FSB is worried that small businesses are in danger of slipping through the net and missing out on this opportunity as they would not normally have to report less than 20 redundancies. We urge all the participating agencies to give this initiative the widest possible circulation so that small businesses can also benefit.

  6.7  The new apprenticeship scheme is in danger of becoming every bit as complicated for employers as previous schemes. Small companies in particular will be less inclined to take on trainees at any level if it involved too much red tape.

7.  Whether the approach of regional government and its agencies during the current economic situation strike the right balance between short term need and planning for the future

  7.1  The provisions, within the Sub National Review of Government, to allocate more decision making at local authority level sounds good in theory. In practice this could lead to a confusion of local schemes and initiatives that will make management of the regional economy very difficult. It also relies heavily on local authorities having or being able to obtain the capacity to take on these new roles. The FSB is concerned that, in many North West local authorities, this capacity does not exist and it would be costly to introduce it.

  7.2  Scrutiny of the single regional strategy at this local level also makes it far more difficult for regional partners, like the FSB, to participate in effectively because of the number of meetings likely to come out of this. The FSB is concerned this will give an inconsistent approach, using only those partners able, willing or allowed to take part in decision making.

  7.3  This could well lead to the type of situation that occurred last year in Greater Manchester when the Association of Greater Manchester Authorities (AGMA) attempted to force through their Transport Innovation Fund bid without proper consultation with the independent business sectors. Using only selected advisors chosen by themselves and the Manchester Chambers of Commerce, and all known to be pro the congestion charge, they approved a scheme that was, in our opinion, neither cost effective nor fit for purpose. The result of this was a massive defeat in a referendum with 80% of the voters rejecting congestion charging. It is hoped that the lessons learnt by this very costly and embarrassing episode will not be repeated and a more inclusive consultation process will be used in future.

NOTES

i  The figures quoted in paragraphs 2.1 to 2.7 are taken from polls of FSB members conducted in February and April 2009.

ii  Private Sector Partners NW Ltd brings together around 25 of the regions' business associations and professional bodies and combined membership has approximately 120,000 North West businesses.





 
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