The impact of the current economic situation on the North West and the Government's response - North West Regional Committee Contents


 Memorandum from Wirral Council (NW 10)

  Wirral welcomes the opportunity to feed into the North West Regional Committee in its call for evidence into the impact of the economic downturn. This response is intended to be in support of the Liverpool City Region response, but providing some specific points on behalf of Wirral and its key partners at a local level.

  The following summarises the impact of current economic conditions and also sets out briefly our key responses. It is important to note the limitations of many official data sources. For example, data may not be available at the Wirral level or lower. Furthermore, much of the data has a significant time lag—thereby not accurately reflecting more recent worsening conditions.

1.  EFFECTS OF THE DOWNTURN IN WIRRAL

1.1  Employment rate

  Latest data for September 08[19] indicates that Wirral's overall Employment Rate has decreased by 3.1% points from its December 2007 position of 71.4% to 68.3%. This compares with a NW rate of 72.1% and a GB rate of 74.5%.

1.2  Worklessness

  The proportion of Wirral's working age population claiming Job Seekers Allowance (JSA) in April 2009 has gone up to 5.3% (9,806). This has increased over the last 12 months from 3.5% (April 2008)—an increase of 3,382 people. The current Wirral rate of 5.3% compares with a regional rate of 4.6% and an England rate of 4.1% for April 2009.

1.3  Job Density

  Latest data from 2006 indicates that Wirral's job density is 6.8. This means that there are 68 jobs for every 100 working age people. This is an increase from the previous year's rate (2005) which was 6.1.

1.4  Redundancies

  Analysis of HR1 redundancy notifications provided by Jobcentre Plus has demonstrated a relatively high volume of redundancies in the borough. In 2007-08, 5 employers notified a total of 1,051 redundancies (821 of these were attributable to job losses at Burtons). Analysis of HR1s from April 2008 to January 2009 shows a further 20 employers notifying an additional 942 job losses.

Recent announcements include Tulip Foods in Bromborough, who recently confirmed the closure of the plant with over 300 job losses. Cammell Laird announced up to 200 redundancies in March 2009. Bromborough based chemical plant Croda International have recently announced the closure of the Wirral site with the loss of 115 jobs.

1.5  Business Rates (National Non Domestic Rates)

  A significant impact has been felt over the last 12 months in respect of Wirral's business rate collection. For example, figures for end of financial year March 2009 indicate that the collection rate had dropped from 97.7% (2007-08) to 93.4%. Although collections are ongoing for these arrears, it is clear that businesses have found it harder to meet their liabilities this year.

2.  ADDITIONAL IMPACT

2.1  Housing market

  The economic recession exists alongside a slowdown in the housing market across Wirral. This is evidenced by reducing house prices, lower sales numbers, less new-build housing, more empty homes including unsold new homes and greater financial difficulties for mortgaged owner-occupied. This slowdown has had an impact on the construction sector of Wirral and has increased demand for affordable housing whilst loss of economic confidence has dented housing market confidence slowing down interest in moving home or investing in home improvements.

  Housing market expectations are that we do not anticipate a marked recovery in the short term. Much will depend on the recovery of the economy generally. Therefore the housing market will continue to be under pressure for the remainder of 2009 and into 2010. This will increase demand for affordable housing, demand for innovative solutions to see new homes built and occupied such as more shared equity schemes. Until economic confidence improves, the housing market is likely to struggle. This will place continued pressure on products designed to stave off repossession.

2.2  Feedback from health partners

  It is anticipated that the recession will have an adverse impact on the lifestyle of the population, particularly those adversely affected such as people losing employment and experiencing economic and social problems. This could increase numbers of people smoking, drinking above safe recommended levels, being inactive, eating poor diet etc.

  The North West Public health Observatory has been commissioned by the Directors of Public Health to model the expected impact of the recession.

2.3  Feedback from welfare services

  It is anticipated that there will be an increased number of people using Welfare Rights Unit (DASS) services and this has been the case in the last quarter compared to same period last year.

2.4  Debt and Financial exclusion

  Feedback from voluntary sector organisations demonstrates a substantial increase in service users. Wirral Advice Network indicates significantly increased demand for debt advice over the last year, with Wirral CAB reporting that 25% increase on the same time last year. The CAB have recently accessed government resources to enable additional opening hours for debt advice, in response to the increased demand.

2.5  Council Benefits

  (Housing & Council Tax Benefits plus Local Housing Allowance)—Over the past months it has become increasingly evident that the economic downturn is directly impacting upon Benefits service delivery locally. This is consistent with the national picture as authorities identify a trend of consistently increasing live caseloads, "footfall" and general workload. For Wirral, in the past twelve month period the caseload has increased by some 2,072 claims, and continues to rise. The rate of change is considerably more noticeable from January 2009 onwards.

3.  RESPONSE TO THE RECESSION: PARTNER ACTIVITY

3.1  Business Support

  In order to support Wirral businesses through difficult times, every effort is being made to ensure companies can easily access the national support available. This includes:

    — Invest Wirral working with Business Link to ensure that information is cascaded through and online business forums networks and Wirral Investment Network (WIN) which represents the Business and Professional Sector.

    — Setting up an online local business support/events calendar using a mixture of Working Wirral and European Regional Development Fund (ERDF) support which further promotes key support services.

    — Seminar with NWDA in January regarding access to finance held at the Floral Pavilion.

    — Businesses from across the borough benefited from a "Boost your Business" event at the Floral Pavilion, held on 25 and 26 March. The event aimed to inform the borough's business community of the support available to them during the current economic climate. Invest Wirral—the Council's business support and investment team—have produced a brochure with a breakdown of all of the support agencies that can help as well as their contact details. Feedback from the event has been positive—for example one company has reported a saving in excess of £6,000 in business rates as a result of advice from the event. The event included the North West Development Agency, Business Link North West and will include speakers from a number of other support agencies. Invest Wirral will host this type of event again over the course of coming months.

    — Introducing new financial support programmes and ensuring existing measure have enough flexibility to provide maximum benefit.

    — Development of a Wirral Apprenticeship programme. This will support the council and its partners to continue tackling worklessness and skills issues by offering support within a structured apprentice programme.

  3.2  A partners meeting to respond to the recession has been established with all key partners from across the LSP network. Additionally, Wirral Council meet monthly with the Wirral Chamber of Commerce and Federation of Small Businesses to ensure that regular and accurate feedback is received on the issues facing small businesses locally.

  3.3  In consultation with other partners, including the NWDA the Council is looking at providing enhanced business support. To complement existing business networking, every effort is being made to ensure companies can easily access the national support available.

  3.4  Small Firms Rate Relief—this is being followed up with additional awareness promotion of the scheme for eligible businesses to pursue. In addition, the Government announced changes to the Ratings scheme for empty properties as part of the recession budget which came into force from April 200— these will of course also be promoted by the Revenues section.

  3.5  Strong partnership working at an operational level is being supported and developed by the Wirral Economic Development & Skills (WEDS) partnership which is receiving regular updates on the downturn and partners share organisational intelligence and policy updates. Officers are also participating in Merseyside meetings to look at the effects of the recession, and agree some co-ordinated responses.

4.  OTHER ACTIVITY

  These measures complement work being undertaken by partners including:

    Jobcentre Plus (JCP)—In addition to their core services, JCP has brought down the eligibility for certain programmes from six months to day one to enable the newly unemployed to access their enhanced offer.

    The Learning and Skills Council (LSC)—the LSC works closely with JCP and to deliver an Integrated Employment and Skills programme across Greater Merseyside; and Train to Gain programme and the pre employment has been subsequent enhanced in response to the situation.

    Business Link—is working with Council service areas to increase access to business support services.

    VCAW annual conference, May 2009—this conference aims to identify the anticipated impact of the economic downturn, look at practical ways of moving forward and highlight the Government's Action Plan, "Help Right Now" and the support that is available through this initiative. The conference also aimed to identify how COMPACT can be fully utilised to support the sector through these turbulent times.

    Merseytravel—Merseytravel has frozen tunnel tolls at their current levels from 1 April 2009 to 31 March 2010, following a meeting of the Passenger Transport Authority. The decision means toll levels for all classes of vehicles will be maintained, with the aim to support businesses and the public during the current economic climate.

5.  HOUSING STRATEGY

  The recession has prompted a change in the targets for new-build housing as part of the HMRI programme, re-phasing of HMRI development programmes, changing tenure of new-build schemes. It has also led to changing priorities in using public resources, principally land values as in both Fiveways and Church Road the Council's financial stake in HMRI development has been used to pump-prime new-build and see new homes and shops being built. The recession has caused a shift in strategic housing priorities towards creating opportunities to support and enable the occupation of new-build housing particularly by first-time buyers. This has been in the form of developing options for shared equity, rent-to-buy and making the most of national initiatives such as Home Buy Direct.

6.  NEW INTERVENTIONS

  The Council and its partners are currently in discussion as to the best ways to support Wirral residents and businesses in the current situation in addition to current activities. The interventions outlined below detail the opportunities are planned:

  6.1  BIG Support Grant/Consultancy Support: The Council is fully aware of the challenges that many businesses in our area are facing at the present time, and recognises the need for us to work collectively with our partners to minimise the adverse impacts of the economic downturn on businesses and their employees. Access to capital and cash flow has been identified as a major problem. Wirral's business makeup is dominated by micro-businesses (those with fewer than 10 employees) and a number of these have reported continued difficulty in speedy access to funds through current and indeed proposed arrangements. Therefore a programme has been designed to specifically support (SME's 250 employees and less) with a specific focus on micro businesses. The fund will be available for a wide range of support, including access to consultancy and grants. It is also hoped that the availability of such financial support will encourage banks and other lending institutions to also invest in these businesses.

  6.2  The "Think Big" Investment Fund currently supports exiting and inward investing businesses on a range of big projects that will support employment growth and business expansion. Given the current situation, Officers have drafted a new set of criteria for the fund which will allow businesses to safeguard jobs within a new set of defined criteria which will allow businesses to access finance for other outcomes rather than just growth.

  6.3  Apprenticeships—Officers have developed an apprenticeship programme for the borough, with access to all vocational areas. Apprenticeships will support the council and its partners to continue tackling worklessness and skills issues by offering support within a structured apprentice programme. Therefore a scheme has been developed across Wirral supported through Working Neighbourhoods Fund (WNF) resources to a maximum of £1.7 million. This activity will add value to recent national announcements on supporting apprenticeships with 100 new apprentice places in the workplace available for residents of Wirral.

7.  WORKING WITH THE NWDA

  Wirral is working extensively with the North West Development Agency (NWDA) within the Liverpool City Region and independently on responding to the economic downturn. Generally, the partnership working has been effective but there are a number of areas where Wirral would want additional dialogue/flexibility.

7.1  Business Support

  The NWDA has introduced its 30 business support products that have been developed in line with nation BSSP guidance. The Council has facilitated workshops with NWDA staff to promote the support products. However, the BSSP products developed by the Agency have intervention rates attached to grants and interest rates attached to repayable loan facilities that were set in a different climate. We would like NWDA to work with Liverpool City Region to review, where appropriate, these interventions rates on a short term basis using Merseyside ring-fenced ERDF allocations to plug deficits where appropriate. This needs to be overseen by National Government to support changes to the European Programmes currently agreed by DCLG.

8.  INFRASTRUCTURE

  Given the pressures to commit 85% of the North West Operational Programme ring fenced ERDF monies by December 2010 would allow a consistent City Region message to identify opportunities that cannot be realised at present. The NWDA have been flexibility in their approach to development and have put measure in place to apply flexibility in the use of ERDF.

  8.1  The use of grant intervention in gap funded schemes is determined by the development in question being classed as "speculative". Therefore, particular developments are deemed ineligible if there is an identified end user for that development. Given the current financial difficulties faced by developers in accessing financed for speculative developments, we ask that, for a limited period, gap funding can be used for schemes where an end user is identified. This is of particular importance to the Private Sector as the financial institutions are unwilling to borrow money to schemes where there may not be revenue generated at the instant a development is completed. Given the pressures to commit 85% of the North West Operational Programme ring-fenced ERDF monies by December 2010 would allow a consistent City Region message to identify opportunities that cannot be realised at present.

9.  POWER

  The power constraints facing the City Region as a whole will fundamentally restrict the scale of renewal planned for over the next 20 years. Most of the Strategic Sites identified for the long term regeneration of the City Region have limited, or no power supply. The NWDA undertook a study across the North West identifying the challenges that are faced as a region in respect of power over the next 20 years.

CONCLUSION

  Wirral partners are taking forward a co-ordinated and coherent response to the economic situation. The Council is co-ordinating a series of partners' meeting to respond to the recession with key partners from the LAA, businesses and communities.

  The underlying principle of responses is based on good economic intelligence and policy, with an understanding of business fundamentals and long term strengths. There is a need to maintain a long-term focus on skills, innovation and regeneration and it is important to keep a longer term strategy ready for when recovery starts.






19   Source: ONS Annual Population Survey. Back


 
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