Impact of the economic downturn on the South West and the Government's response - South West Regional Committee Contents


Examination of Witnesses (Questions 90-99)

SIMON NUNN, HELEN SCADDING, KAREN STALBOW AND DAL WARBURTON

8 JUNE 2009

  Q90 Chairman: Could you all identify yourselves by name and organisation for the tape? You need, I am afraid, to speak up because the microphones are not picking up and whoever has to transcribe this at a later date will have difficulty if you do not. So, Karen, would you please start?

  Karen Stalbow: I am Karen Stalbow. I am a Senior Regional Campaign Officer for Shelter.

  Simon Nunn: I am Simon Nunn and I am the Head of the South Region for the National Housing Federation.

  Helen Scadding: My name is Helen Scadding. I work for the national organisation of Citizens Advice Bureaux and I am the Partnership Development Manager for the south-west.

  Dal Warburton: My name is Dal Warburton. I work for AdviceUK as their regional Development Consultant for the south-west.

  Q91 Chairman: Thank you all for coming. Your evidence, collectively, has some common strands running through it. Karen, would you start by setting out the nature of the problems that you are seeing and how different they are from, say, two or three years ago?

  Karen Stalbow: As our briefing summarised, there were high housing costs throughout the region for quite some time. I think that they reached their highest level during the third quarter in 2007. Obviously, in relation to income, they required people to overstretch themselves to access housing. The rate of repossession within the region has really rocketed since about 2004—well over 10,000 orders were made in 2008. Although those will not necessarily lead to repossession, they are a very good indicator of what is happening. We consider that to be one of the key issues within the region, as well as the fact that it puts quite a huge amount of pressure on an already pressurised social housing stock. We showed clearly that, at the beginning of April 2008, over 160,000 households were on council housing waiting lists in the south-west. This has risen by about 46% in five years. At the same time, supply has not been keeping pace with that level of demand, and affordable housing delivery has been quite low in the region. In 2007-08, only 5,570 affordable homes were delivered. In a sense, we made very clear the dramatic effects that the recession is having on the construction industry as a whole. We know that building starts are very heavily down, and, of course, affordable housing is very much tied in to what developers can contribute through the increase in land values when they build. We know that the national figure is about 60% and that there is quite a strong reliance—local authorities, certainly within the south-west, have been very successful in using this as a mechanism for affordable housing delivery. There is a risk to how much affordable housing can be delivered in the current economic climate. Although there has absolutely been increased funding, it falls within 2008-11, and we don't know what will happen after that. A lot of the money has been brought forward to enable grant flexibility, so we are not certain that we can maintain the necessary levels of affordable housing delivery. Those were some of the main issues that I think both Simon and I highlighted in our briefing. I don't know whether Simon wants to add to that.

  Q92 Chairman: There is a progression across to Simon at this point. Do you see any optimism in developments coming out of the Homes and Communities Agency?

  Simon Nunn: It is a mixed picture. There are a couple of positives. First, as we said in our report, the HCA in the south-west has been very responsive and was very quick to be flexible and recognise the need for flexibility. Karen has touched on this. I represent the housing association sector and its ability to deliver the necessary affordable housing in the south-west. As you probably know, the housing association model relied upon cross-subsidy from market sales, low-cost home ownership and, in recent years, the availability of quite cheap credit. That took grant rates or subsidies on developments down, in some cases, to 25% or 30%. Now, of course, that is not possible. Housing associations' business plans are under pressure for a number of reasons, and—understandably—that is making them more risk-averse. First, low-cost home ownership has been very hard to shift. The HCA has been helpful in converting low-cost home ownership units to rented accommodation. Obviously, the opportunity for market sales to cross-subsidise the provision of social rented housing has disappeared altogether in the declining property market. Importantly, lender behaviour has changed, which has impacted massively on low-cost home ownership, for example, where the demand remains, but banks will simply not lend to low-income families because they regard them as sub-prime—much against the evidence, but there you go! Additionally, lending has become a lot more expensive for housing associations in terms of raising the capital to develop. There are those pressure points in the south-west but we have a good working relationship with Colin Moulton at the HCA. The HCA has been flexible and has been quite fast out of the traps—in the south-west, maybe quicker than some other regions. So developments are going ahead but, as Karen pointed out, section 106 agreements have been responsible for the vast majority of affordable housing. We have one in 14 families in the south-west on social housing waiting lists, which is an extraordinary figure. If we are not careful we are going to be talking about one in 10 families quite soon I think.

  Chairman: Before I go to Helen, Mr Drew would like to ask a question.

  Q93 Mr Drew: Can I concentrate on housing? Is there some frustration among the two of you that it is now clear that the way to regenerate the housing market is entirely through public sector-led delivery? There is a great myth out there that the private sector will be doing it and has always done it, but that is simply not true. Are you conveying that to the HCA and Government further up the chain, or am I wrong in what I am saying?

  Simon Nunn: No, you are right. There have been those who have said that public sector provision—housing association and even local authority provision—is the only game in town at the moment. We have conveyed that nationally, to the extent that much higher levels of public subsidy are required if the Government are going to achieve anything close to their targets around social housing.

  Karen Stalbow: I would add that public subsidy, if it is accessible to private developers, provides an opportunity to maintain skills and jobs within the construction industry. That would be incredibly valuable in preparing us for the upturn because if housing starts go down even further than currently, when the upturn does arrive it is going to take a very long time to get back to the levels of housing delivery needed to ensure that we are supplying enough housing to meet demand.

  Helen Scadding: I made it clear in my briefing that the Citizens Advice service across the south-west and indeed the whole of the country has seen a significant increase in client inquiries in the last year, particularly in quarters three and four. The main area we have been focusing on in the recession is inquiries about jobseeker's allowance and redundancy. Employment is the third most common inquiry that clients bring to bureaux and that tranche of inquiries has increased significantly. While many people see citizens' advice bureaux as providing information around debt, money advice and benefit take-up—and those do make up more than 60% of our inquiries—they are increasingly handling employment inquiries, not just from employees but also small employers. That is one of the big highlights that we have seen. The south-west and the east regions have seen the greatest increase in inquiries about jobseeker's allowance and redundancy. It will be interesting to see the extent to which that continues into quarters one and two of this financial year. Some of the broader points that we are particularly interested in exploring with you today in the south-west include what we see as a lack of a strategic approach within the region to financial inclusion in general. That is quite critical for us. We are grateful as a voluntary sector organisation for the opportunity to work on social policy with a number of agencies within the south-west, including the RDA, the Government office and some of our colleagues you are seeing today such as Jobcentre Plus and other agencies in the public sector providing direct services to the public. One great concern we have is that there is no overarching strategic approach to the delivery of services around financial inclusion across the south-west. We are members of some of the sub-groups of the taskforce. We have, for example, been asked to write a report about financial capability, which is around encouraging clients to have a preventive approach to their situation. Rather than dealing with advice as a crisis management approach—something difficult happens to you, you are made redundant, a life event occurs, you have a serious illness—a lot more of our work is put into skilling and giving competence to individuals on financial capability. It is financial education in its broad sense. We are particularly interested in working with the Learning and Skills Council and with employers in a more proactive way. Those are some of the key points that we are interested in exploring to do with the economic recession and the impact of both regional and national Government.

  Dal Warburton: I echo what Helen has been saying on the trends that we have seen, and the reports that we have had coming in from AdviceUK members. People have seen increases in demand for advice. In debt advice, for example, we have seen increases of between 30% and 300% in inquiries, with people coming in because they are worried about redundancy. Increasingly, people are already on the margins of unmanageable debt and finding that they are no longer able to service their debt-management plans. The reports that we have coming in are that debt collection is becoming more aggressive, and that it is potentially linked into the fact that companies themselves are having issues with cash flow; they are not able to be as flexible with people who are defaulting or who are not keeping up with payments. One of the strong pieces of feedback that we had from our members was that the financial inclusion fund was a good way of distributing resources to enable the provision of debt advice and financial capability work. LSC-funded work wasn't such a good way of responding to demand. It wasn't as flexible in terms of responding to demand.

  Q94 Kerry McCarthy: In your submission—and Helen says it as well—the basic thrust is that there is increased demand upon you, that you need to respond to that demand and that you therefore need more funding. What efforts are being made within the sector to collate people-shared views on the underlying problems that lead people to get into a situation where they have to come to you? Are there things in the way that the benefits system works, or in how the courts, or collection and debt recovery, works? If those obstacles were removed, would the demand on your sector not be as high?

  Dal Warburton: I could say something about that.

  Q95 Kerry McCarthy: Do you not have the resources for that sort of work?

  Dal Warburton: We would like more resources to do that kind of work. A recently published report from AdviceUK looked at the provision of advice services from a systems-thinking point of view and the opportunities for dealing with some of the systemic causes of demand—if you like, what failure of demand is coming into advice services? Are people coming into advice services for avoidable reasons—for example, because they do not understand the letter that has been sent to them or because of a particular practice in the collection of rent arrears? That is something that we are investigating at various levels. In Bristol, one of our local members is working with Bristol City Council to look at how rent arrears advice is being dealt with and whether the way it is being dealt with keeps people in their home and enables them to find a way to pay, or whether it is counter-productive.

  Q96 Kerry McCarthy: Which organisation is that? Bristol Debt Advice Centre?

  Dal Warburton: Yes.

  Kerry McCarthy: It's in my constituency.

  Helen Scadding: I would say that it's a bit of a mixed picture. We've done a lot of work around tax credits—that aspect of the benefits system and how it creates difficulties for a range of people. That is not just to do with financial literacy; it's about how you put in an application for the previous year. That is extremely difficult to do if you are self-employed. You then have to pay money back if it is has been over-calculated. To be frank, a large majority of people using a voluntary service are often doing so because they have reached a point of crisis. A lot of our advice to the public would be to use agencies that Dal's organisation supports or bureaux, earlier rather than later. Often people wait until they are in a crisis before they recognise that they have not prioritised their debts. Issues are often linked, which is another big problem for the voluntary sector. People do not come in with a single issue. Usually, if someone presents an issue with debt, it's because a variety of things have occurred in their lives that need untangling and supporting. There is a clear link, which we are all here to represent, between employment, housing, family relationships and, often, health in the wider family. A critical range of issues come together.

  Q97 Chairman: May I quickly pick up on that? The evidence suggests that people don't come to seek help until about six months after having been made redundant. Therefore, could something be improved in the redundancy process—obviously, this is a question for the unions and the employers—that would encourage people, perhaps a little more strongly than at present, to seek advice the minute they were made redundant? Would that be welcome?

  Helen Scadding: Absolutely. A bureau in Liskeard is doing some innovative work with employers who are thinking about making people redundant. It is saying, "Look, think about short-time working. Think about limiting hours, because there is a range of benefits. Do you know about the working tax credit system?" They don't know, actually, and they don't see how that could possibly keep people in employment. That is just a small example of how working more directly with employers—perhaps around an employee training scheme bringing in modules for managing debt and looking at different housing options, which is the sort of work that we do—is really quite critical.

  Simon Nunn: There is some evidence, which we are picking up from our members, that there are delays in getting interviews and applying for jobseeker's allowance, which sometimes leaves people without money for four to six weeks. That causes those people to start to come to the housing association and money advice people with problems. I do not know whether you have picked up any of that.

  Helen Scadding: I have to say that our working relationships with Jobcentre Plus are excellent. Obviously, that service is under significant pressure and, as you all know, it has taken on a large number of new staff. It would not surprise me at all if in parts of the south-west there was a delay in processing, because we have seen a huge increase in the number of inquiries in relation to jobseeker's allowance.

  Q98 Mr Drew: I'm intrigued, because we were given a message that there is a tsunami of private indebtedness out there. Given what we have been through in the last six to nine months, I would have expected you to be overwhelmed. Now, I'm not saying that your figures are anything other than deeply concerning, but do you think that there are two things going on? First, people are much more resourceful than we think. They have hidden depths and reserves that get them through. Secondly, there is a danger that we will have the recession and get through the worst of it only for people to find jobs—perhaps not such good jobs as they lost—and begin to realise that the indebtedness, housing costs and other things they are obliged to pay for are crippling them. I wonder what your take is on that, because I'm not sure whether we are living through the depths. We may face more difficulties later.

  Helen Scadding: I think you might have misinterpreted what we said. We have seen a 130% increase in inquiries around redundancy, and as I said at the beginning, we are not necessarily a service that people would turn to immediately for employment-related issues. I'm not saying there isn't a significant client crisis out there. We have bureaux—Exeter, for example—that can normally manage their client numbers, but they have queues like you might traditionally see in an area such as Hackney. That is relatively new. We have a gateway system. We are trying to give appointments to people rather than people queuing up outside bureaux in the early hours of the morning to make sure that they get an appointment. We are seeing that now. We were given additional hours money. The financial inclusion fund is critical, but there are very few FIF advisers in the south-west region. The additional hours money was critical and really useful because it went directly to the front line in additional hours for the bureaux—£10 million was given because of the recession. The type of local authority money or Government scheme that goes directly to the front line is critical for the voluntary sector. What we have seen more and more is funding going into the infrastructure. We are an infrastructure organisation to a certain extent. What I believe is suffering very much is direct face-to-face front-line advice.

  Simon Nunn: I have an e-mail here from one of our members in Bristol. It says, "We are getting increasing numbers of people wanting help managing their finances. It is often people who have been working and either lose their jobs or have their hours cut so they cannot manage their usual bills and expenses in the way they always have done. The advice centre is inundated with people, so our tenants are having to wait several weeks to get an appointment for more in-depth help such as contacting creditors" and so on. Housing associations are seeing a big increase in tenants approaching them for debt and financial advice.

  Karen Stalbow: I would say that Shelter's services throughout the region are also seeing a dramatic increase. I have the benefit of having our Regional Services Manager here—Jackie Beech—who would be more than able to provide greater detail on that. Is it possible for me to refer to her to do that?

  Chairman: Could we have it in writing?

  Karen Stalbow: Yes, of course.

  Q99 Mr Drew: May I come back in? I always feel I am being provocative, but I think it can get a lot worse and the danger is that you will not necessarily track this in terms of just the recession. I suppose I would take it forward. If people are indebted, how do we persuade them—as you say, Helen—to seek help early? We need to try to prevent them from getting in this mess. I suspect the problem is the combination of factors. You lose your job, your health goes, there's a family crisis. That's what really brings it all crashing down. That is something you were saying, Dal, in terms of the advice structures we need to put in place on financial capability. That is vital to any message that we give out from our report.

  Karen Stalbow: In a sense, the process of indebtedness began prior to the recession. What is happening within the recession is having further impact on that. We know that in 2004 repossession figures were already beginning to rise greatly. A lot of people questioned why that was necessarily the case. The Legal Services Commission had a theory that it had a huge amount to do with secondary debt and that people were taking on debt with their homes as security, putting their homes at risk as a consequence. We are now in a position where people have overstretched themselves financially. Their housing costs in relation to their income over quite some period have put people in a precarious position with their levels of debt. That is being exacerbated by the risk of unemployment and the health stress associated with being in debt. We had quite a run-up to the recession. With falling house prices and certain other factors, it is having greater impact, so we are seeing people in a worse position than they may have been in.


 
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