The impact of the current economic and financial situation on businesses in the West Midlands Region - West Midlands Regional Committee Contents


Memorandum from the West Midlands Business Council (WM 28)

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

  The West Midlands region is suffering disproportionately from the recession as compared to other regions of the United Kingdom. As a consequence, the need for a joined up approach to economic policy is sorely needed but aspects of national policy are holding back on effective delivery.

  In particular, we propose that Department for Business, Enterprise and Regulatory Reform (now the Department for Business, Innovation and Skills) processes are speeded up to ensure the continuation of a regional bridge funding scheme for SMEs and the continuation of a gap funding scheme for the construction sector.

  We also propose that national actions need to complement regional actions in terms of introducing wage subsidies for strategic sectors and underwriting credit insurance for strategic sectors.

INTRODUCTION

  1.1  The West Midlands Business Council brings together over 20 mainly business representative organisations from across the West Midlands region. Via our member organisations, we are able to speak for approximately 200,000 businesses across the region.

  1.2  Further information regarding the West Midlands Business Council can be found under Annex A.[52]

  1.3  This submission focuses on the issues the Committee has requested evidence for further to its call for evidence of 19 March. This submission will respond to each subject heading as identified by the Committee in detail and, in addition, will identify how national policy considerations have a bearing on actions taken at a regional level.

EFFECT OF THE ECONOMIC SITUATION ON BUSINESSES IN THE REGION

  2.1  According to statistics from a number of sources, it is virtually beyond dispute that the West Midlands region has been one of the worst hit regions in the United Kingdom by this recession.

  2.2  As analysis from the Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) has demonstrated, 50% of the regional economy is in the following areas:

    — Property

    — Manufacturing

    — Retail

  2.3  These are three of the sectors that have been particularly damaged by the recession and the credit crunch when national indicators are also taken into consideration.

  2.4  The EEF Engineering Outlook of December 2008 in its analysis of the state of engineering across the country, stated:

    Job losses were particularly marked in the Midlands as the East and West Midlands balances fell to -24% and -29%. Employers in the West Midlands were particularly pessimistic about the next three months as 58% of firms expected to reduce their workforce compared with only 7% planning to recruit new workers.

  2.5  The recession has also directly impacted upon the ceramics sector and the economy of north Staffordshire. There have been changes in ownership such as Waterford-Wedgewood, Spode/Royal Worcester, Hudson & Middleton and Jesse Shirley, a supplier to Wedgwood. Short time working has been introduced in the ceramics sector such as at Steelite International plc.

  2.6  The British Ceramic Confederation (BCC) has reported that the number of people employed in the brick industry is at an historic low. At the start of 2009, 90% of brick factories were temporarily closed or on short time working. The BCC anticipate that brick sales in 2009 will be only 60% of those in 2008. Support services to the ceramics sector have also been adversely affected by the downturn as exemplified by the kiln maker, Drayton Beaumont ceasing trading in February.

  2.7  In terms of the property and construction sector there has also been a steep decline in activity. This was demonstrated again in February 2009, when the Royal Institution of Chartered Surveyors (RICS) produced their own survey data that showed that the decline in construction in the West Midlands region reflected the national decline.

  2.8  They found that total workloads have slipped to a new low driven principally by weakness in the private sector. New enquiries about starting projects are also continuing to slide particularly in the housing, commercial and industrial sectors. Ominously, there has also been some deterioration in the response from RICS members regarding new enquiries in the infrastructure sector. Significantly, expectations on future workloads and profits margins are now under heavy pressure.

  2.9  In the last downturn in the early 1990s, construction output fell, peak to trough, by roughly 15%. Given the current macro backdrop and the increasing problems surrounding the PFI programme, it would not be unreasonable to expect a broadly similar decline this time around.

  2.10  The national decline in retail sales has been mirrored in the West Midlands region. The fact that Cannock shopping centre, for instance, has very recently gone into receivership may relate more to the investment company linked to the shopping centre than retail flows in Cannock itself. Nonetheless, this indicates the strains that the retail sector is facing.

  2.11  In addition, the rural economy has also taken a knock from the recession. Poor infrastructure needs, such as poor broadband connections in a number of areas in the region, have exacerbated the problems that rural businesses are facing due to the recession.

  2.12  Fortunately, the food and drink sector and agriculture are less badly affected than others, though many pubs and restaurants have suffered a loss of turnover. The dairy sector is under pressure in part because of large stocks of cheese; the price paid to farmers for their milk has dropped significantly in recent months.

  2.13  Rural areas have a significant manufacturing sector, which is suffering in the same way as manufacturing elsewhere. Currently, tourism is shielded by the weakness of sterling, though there are fears that if the pound strengthens against the euro the number of foreign tourists will dwindle; unless by then there has been a domestic recovery the sector will be badly affected.

  2.14  The West Midlands Minority Ethnic Business Forum have stated that minority enterprise is still predominately a disadvantaged business community with low levels of capitalisation and low value, marginal enterprises. BME firms can be located in areas with a low spending base in often disadvantaged communities. Minority ethnic businesses, because of this context, may be disproportionately affected.

  2.15  This is snapshot of the problems the business community is facing and we would be willing to provide the Committee with more detailed information, if requested.

ROLE OF ADVANTAGE WEST MIDLANDS AND BUSINESS LINKS IN ASSISTING BUSINESSES

  3.1  Two specific steps were taken by Advantage West Midlands that were focused specifically with this recession in mind.

  3.2  The first was the establishment of the Advantage Transition Fund. This specifically aims to help businesses whose normal bridge funding has been affected because of the changes in the banks' behaviour caused by the credit crunch. This has proved to be a critical policy vehicle in addressing the immediate crisis and the West Midlands region was the first region of the UK to launch such a scheme in November 2008.

  3.3  The Advantage Transition Fund builds on the lessons learnt from the collapse of MG Rover and the Government commissioned Taskforce that was established at that time as a direct consequence.

  3.4  Until normal bank lending resumes to small and medium sized enterprises (SMEs), this scheme will be needed. We are aware that processes within the Department for Business, Enterprise and Regulatory Reform (BERR) have not enabled the regular re-capitalisation of the scheme from funds provided by the European Investment Bank as is required. We would propose to the Committee that it recommends that BERR review their procedures so that effective and adequate re-capitalisation can take place.

  3.5  In addition, we are disappointed at the stance of the Government in not allowing an extension of time for European funds allocated to the West Midlands region to be expended. In a letter to the West Midlands Business Council in April 2009 from the Government Office for the West Midlands, we were informed of the following:

    As you are aware the West Midlands has benefited from substantial resources from the European Regional Development Fund (ERDF) and the European Social Fund (ESF) under the Objective 2 and Objective 3 Programmes 2000-2006. The final date for eligible expenditure was 31 December 2008. In late November the Commission offered Member States the opportunity to continue spending ERDF and ESF resources for a further six months because of the economic downturn. Let me make it clear that no new money was offered, nor did the Commission allow any additional flexibilities in terms of the Programmes' financial profiles. This was simply an extension to the final date for eligible expenditure, thus allowing projects to continue spending their grant where they had slipped, or to spend more grant where they could deliver additional activity.

    Ministers decided in January in respect of the English programmes that they would not take advantage of the Commission's offer. It had come very late in the day, at a time when projects were compiling their final claims and winding down and when Government Offices and central Departments were well advanced in implementing programme closure. It would have been difficult, though not impossible, to turn things around at that late stage. However it is not simply a question of projects spending more money—additional expenditure would have been subject to Article 4 monitoring and Article 10 inspections and it would have been difficult and expensive for Government Offices to find the resources to carry out that unplanned extra work.

    Also due to the lack of financial flexibility offered by the Commission, it is doubtful whether any of the English programmes, including our own, could have spent very much more grant. Projects would have had little time to secure additional match funding at a time when there are limited opportunities to secure match and pressures to secure funding for the 2007-13 spending round.

  3.6  We do not agree with the Government's analysis for this, as there was at least one ready vehicle which could be used effectively for European funds to help the region overcome the recession—and that is the Advantage Transition Fund.

  3.7  In addition, there are also Community Development Finance Initiatives (CDFIs), such as the Black Country Re-investment Society, that provide a vital revenue source for hard pressed SMEs. Their re-capitalisation is also a useful contribution to mitigating the impact of the recession.

  3.8  There is also another scheme these funds could be used for and which has been initiated by Advantage West Midlands in response to the economic downturn. The Regional Development Agency launched a £48 million gap funding scheme so that major construction work on key projects could continue despite the downturn.

  3.9  This has provided a significant contribution to stopping the region from declining further with additional job losses. The continuation of the scheme with the continuing slump in construction is critical for the state of the wider regional economy.

RESPONSE OF BANKS AND OTHER FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS TO STIMULATE BANK LENDING

  4.1  Concerns regarding the behaviour of the banks have continued to be expressed by businesses.

  4.2  For instance, the Institute of Chartered Accountants in England and Wales (ICAEW) reporting that one firm borrowing £3 million had an arrangement fee of £1,500. This arrangement fee has recently increased to £30,000. Another business seeking £15 million in borrowing now has a £2.5 million arrangement fee renewable in six months time.

  4.3  The ICAEW have also reported receiving reports from exporters who are facing greater difficulties in gaining indemnity insurance, with one example of a business with export interests to Portugal failing to get cover. This insurance firm also was reluctant to provide insurance for exports to the United States. The ICAEW also reported that it was now difficult for construction firms to gain indemnity insurance.

  4.4  One West Midlands chartered accountant made the following observation regarding the behaviour of the banks:

    The banks are taking longer and longer to make any decisions. In the old days, I used to have confidence and know what they needed. Now, you discuss it with them and they come back to me and want to change the whole ballpark and the game again, which is extremely frustrating

  4.5  The Federation of Small Businesses also reported problems with HBOS and Lloyds TSB. In particular this related to exit penalty charges with one charge raised from £12,000 to £35,000.

  4.6  While inevitably much of the data relating to access to finance from the banks is anecdotal as commercial confidentiality is required to avoid a collapse in market confidence in some firms, the popularity of the Advantage Transition Fund, mentioned earlier in this submission, is a clear indication that these problems are continuing.

  4.7  We are concerned that despite the statements from the banks and Government that normal bank lending will be on track, normal bank lending from all high street banks has not resumed and this is a drag on regaining confidence in the regional economy.

ROLE OF THE WEST MIDLANDS TASK FORCE

  5.1  The concept of a task force in dealing with urgent situations is warmly welcomed by business. It proved to be successful in the context of the collapse of MG Rover and the establishment of the MG Rover Taskforce.

  5.2  One of the key advantages of the MG Rover Taskforce was that business was fully represented on the Task Force. This gave the wider business community confidence in the work it was undertaking. Therefore, we are disappointed that, this time around, business is not represented on the Taskforce.

  5.3  We appreciate the counter argument to this is that business is represented on the Council of Regional Economic Advisers which is part of the chain of Government consultative forums on the recession. The Council of Regional Economic Advisers is a positive development that is welcomed by business. But to exclude business from a taskforce that is dealing with the practicalities of a downturn that is affecting business is, we believe, unfortunate.

  5.4  In respect of the day to day operations of the Taskforce, our experience of it was when we presented our detailed proposals to it to assist the construction sector. Further to this presentation, the West Midlands Business Council has received a letter from the Minister for the West Midlands that states that a construction action plan will be developed for the region. This is a positive development from the Minister and we look forward to the publication of the action plan.

ROLE OF OTHER GOVERNMENT AGENCIES AND OF PARTNERSHIPS

  6.1  The uncertainty surrounding the details of the package of measures to assist the automotive sector has affected market confidence in this strategically important sector. It was only in April 2009, several months after the initial announcement, that the details were made known. Even then, we understand that final details are still to be addressed.

  6.2  This uncertainty at this difficult time is undermining business confidence. In addition, there are at least two measures business is calling for where only direct Government action can assist.

  6.3  The first of these is that some underwriting of the credit insurance market is needed. Credit insurance is critical for ensuring an export led growth strategy to moving out of the recession. In addition, credit insurance is also important for the retail sector as goods sold in shops are first, usually, underwritten by credit insurance before the goods are sold to customers. Therefore, normal business activity can not resume without a normal credit insurance market being in operation.

  6.4  Secondly, in previous downturns, short time working assistance or wage subsidies were introduced. This prevented mass redundancies from taking place. It also saved the Government money as it is cheaper to pay wage subsidies than to pay benefits to unemployed people and their families. It also means that consumer spending can be kept going at a certain level to help the economy overcome the recession.

  6.5  Germany, the Netherlands and Wales have focused short time working assistance for strategic business sectors and this has helped their economies. At the time of writing, it was expected that a form of short time working assistance for strategic sectors will be introduced in Japan. We consider short time working assistance is also required for strategic sectors in the West Midlands region.

  6.6  While we are aware of a comprehensive report from the West Midlands Local Government Association (WMLGA) detailing the many initiatives local authorities are undertaking across the region to address the impact of the downturn, we receive regular reports from business and business representative organisations of different levels of business engagement by councils across the region.

  6.7  We would propose to the Committee that best practice for how councils could work with business could be distributed to local authorities by the Government Office for the West Midlands. We make this proposal as engagement with the local business community is essential if some form of local fiscal stimulus can exist to help the local economy weather the recession.

  6.8  The work of the Learning and Skills Councils (LSCs) is important to address the skills issues arising out of the recession. As business representative organisations have rightly stated, a skilled workforce is critical for a business to reach new markets and overcome the recession. The work of the LSCs is being hampered by the fact that they are due to be abolished by April 2010 with their responsibilities being split three ways—between two new Government quangos and local authorities.

  6.9  Whatever the rights and wrongs of these changes, this is the worst possible time for these changes to take place when all the focus should be on helping people stay in work and get people back into work. We would urge the Committee to recommend that these changes are put on hold until the worst of the impacts of the recession is over, at the very least.

  6.10  In terms of the performance of Jobcentre Plus, business—on the whole—has yet to fully embrace the services that are provided and there is still a reliance on private recruitment agencies. We have encouraged Jobcentre Plus to work with housing associations as housing associations train their tenants in some areas so synergies can exist here. We have so far been unsuccessful in this call.

CONCLUSION

  7.1  Positive steps have been taken in the region—such as the Advantage Transition Fund and the gap funding scheme for the construction sector. Their continuing popularity is a strong indication of the necessity for these schemes to continue while we are still in the midst of the downturn where normal business activity is not taking place.

  7.2  Full engagement with the business community at the regional and local level is necessary to help local communities and the West Midlands region overcome the economic crisis. There is a strong need for such engagement to take place across the region to help families overcome the recession.

Annex A

WEST MIDLANDS BUSINESS COUNCIL

  The West Midlands Business Council (WMBC) is a UK First—the first time independent business representative organisations have chosen to come together to speak with one voice on the key regional business issues. No other region of the UK has such an organisation;

  WMBC is an umbrella organisation for the whole West Midlands region—covering Herefordshire, Shropshire, Staffordshire, Warwickshire, & Worcestershire together with Birmingham/Coventry/Wolverhampton and the West Midlands conurbation.

  The member organisations of WMBC are:

    Asian Business Forum

    Association of Colleges

    British Ceramic Confederation

    Business in the Community

    Chartered Institute of Building

    Civil Engineering Contractors Association

    Co-operatives West Midlands

    Country Land and Business Association

    Engineering Employers' Federation

    Federation of Small Businesses

    Institute of Chartered Accountants in England and Wales

    Institute of Directors

    Institution of Civil Engineers

    Midland Association of Restaurants, Caterers and Entertainment

    National Farmers' Union

    National Federation of Retail Newsagents

    National Housing Federation

    Royal Institution of Chartered Surveyors

    Stratford upon Avon Town Management Partnership

    UK IT Association

    West Midlands Chambers of Commerce

    West Midlands Developers Alliance

    West Midlands Higher Education Association

    West Midlands Minority Ethnic Business Association






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