The impact of the current economic and financial situation on businesses in the West Midlands Region - West Midlands Regional Committee Contents


Memorandum from the Regional Finance Forum (WM 30)

SUMMARY

1.  Economic effect

    — The economic effect has been severe in the region particularly in the manufacturing supply chains for vehicles and consumer goods. Other responses will be more detailed.

BANK LENDING AND ACCESS TO CREDIT

2.  Historical Background

    — Access to loan funds has been a problem for SMEs for some time but has not been fully recognised by the financial and economic establishment. The current situation is a further deterioration of that problem, which needs new action, but it will persist even when demand returns.

    — The current UK based clearing banks have over a period improved their profitability, by credit scoring, reduced manning at local level, use of personal guarantees, and arbitrary power, leaving a gap for community and development banking, which is arguably greater than in other developed economies, which have different institutions.

    — Some responses emerged to help fill this gap, including ICFC (later 3i), SFLG, regional equity funds, CDFI and latterly the occasional loan fund. However the mainstream system does not seem really equipped to deal with the banking needs of all SMEs. Current economic conditions have started to emphasise and exacerbate this situation.

3.  Autumn 2008

    — As banks became weaker and under pressure there was much sudden, arbitrary and unprofessional action. West Midland Regional Finance Forum (RFF) produced a fully-evidenced report quickly for the Secretary of State that enabled him to refute the innocence protestations nationally.

    — West Midlands succeeded in making the case for reopening the MG Rover Advantage Transition Bridge Fund (ATBF) which could lend up to £250k (previously £500k).

    — Regional CDFI funding was augmented by over £2 million to provide access to high interest loans under £50k.

4.  Late 2008

  Many national announcements were made about financial support but most of it is of little relevance to SMEs. The two key ones were:

    — Potential deferment of PAYE, NI and VAT bills as for MG Rover suppliers but now on a "blanket" basis. This has been a lifeline to many companies.

    — An Enterprise Finance Guarantee Scheme (EFGS), which replaces the former SFLG with greater scope but otherwise similar or worse conditions. Similar guarantee of 75%; and instructions about use of normal banking criteria; but 10% cap on claims in the event of default and discretion on use of personal guarantees. The RFF discussed the position with all regional participants before its announcement, and made strong, unaccepted, cases for a larger guarantee of 90% (as now allowed by EU), no cap and reduced personal guarantees (with a likely overall extra cost nationally of less than £50 million).

5.  First Quarter 2009

    — EFGS starts to lend, but, even though eligibility is at about the expected annual rate of £1.5 billion, currently, loans are about one quarter of that and average below £100k. West Midlands is almost the highest region for both loans and value compared with business population. This lending rate will probably increase, as offers become reality.

    — There is controversy over the use of personal guarantees, with severe objections from individuals. It appears against the principle of limited liability companies and puts SME directors in a uniquely personal exposed position in this current credit crunch.

    — There is belief that a major reason for the low total loans, besides the high personal guarantees sought, is the current BERR (now the Department for Business, Innovation and Skills) Guidelines to use normal bank criteria for acceptability, with guarantees where there is risk in security. The real reason why government guarantees are required is the high market risk, which causes divergence in economic and financial objectives.

    — ATBF is likely to use its current £10 million in about six months, in chunks of about £160k average, at a loan of around £2,500k per job saved. Extremely good value for public money as that is recouped from about three months of individual activity.

    — There is concern now that HM Treasury (HMT) will discourage further use of this fund. That is clearly not an acceptable position. ATBF needs to continue alongside EFGS. They are fulfilling different purposes, with over 55% of ATBF loans to manufacturers, as a result of the greater experience and more skilled resources available to ATBF and their attitude to lending.

6.  Effectiveness of AWM and Business link in enabling access to funds and banks

    — RFF has been active for seven years to advise AWM on priorities for both the development of financial products and access to them and private sector funds—the RFF has been particularly active recently in driving need for loan fund.

    — New partnerships have been developed with banks in the presence of Regional Minister to encourage more normal lending and use of new government products. These have also enabled knowledgeable feedback to government before and after the announcement of new products. However, Whitehall response to this is weak.

7.  Role of regional task force, other public bodies and partnerships

  New bodies have been established with all speed to coordinate action and communication. RFF input has been provided to all the regional discussions and emphasised the overwhelming need for survival finance, without which investment and training objectives cannot occur.

SUBMISSION DETAIL

1.  Economic effect

  Economic effect is covered in more detail by other submissions but overall economic activity is down and unemployment is up by more than other regions. This excessive effect is believed to be due to the particular issues of manufacturing, where:

    — Individual private consumers can and do make choices on their purchases

    — There are long supply chains, which are susceptible to de-stocking

    — The international nature is a special case of this long supply chain with added problems of financial uncertainty and potential to buy locally produced goods.

    — Credit has dried up in many parts of the supply chain as financial institutions become concerned at medium term viability.

    — Companies ensuring their own financial survival, inevitably, having knock-on economic effects on others, particularly affect long supply chains.

2.  Bank lending and access to credit

2.1  Historical Loan gap

  Access to credit and bank lending is not a new problem for SMEs. It has been a concern of the Regional Finance Forum since its institution in 2002. This "loan gap" unlike the "equity gap" is a contentious issue but is broadly driven by same issue of profit maximisation. High transaction costs tend to spawn use of credit scoring rather than individual assessment, Consequent categorisation excludes groups and specific activity, only alleviated by "pawn broking" ie taking charges on personal assets (overturning the basic concept of the limited liability company). Banks are, understandably, much less concerned about missing a good investment (and economic) opportunity than failing with a bad debt This credit weakness is in contrast to the sloppy credit availability to other sectors such as mortgages, personal credit cards, private equity houses, commercial property, large and even mid range coporates. It is generally unrecognised by HM Treasury, central financial institutions and the public. Arguably, the wish of many SMEs to remain very small and therefore content with a weak availability of cash has also disguised the problems for the ambitious.

2.2  Introduction of specialised loan instruments

  There has been a continual pressure from growing SMEs to improve access to the SFLGS where the government provides some support for activities, which are potentially economically sound but not financially supportable within tight credit worthiness rules. It has been lending above £300 million for many years with a net cost of about £50 million. Arguably, extremely good value for public money but attacked by economists for its intervention in our market economy.

  In the last few years there has been a growth in CDFIs, lending a max of £50k to more exclusive groups.

  The West Midlands has also been trying to develop publically supported loan funds, similar to the ATBF set up at the time of the MGR problem. It would lend at EU acceptable high rates, higher than that for normal bank lending and done by experienced lenders with discretion. A review of the MG Rover initiative demonstrated that most of the money will be returned to the lenders and many jobs that otherwise would have lost have been saved. A marvellously effective use of public money. (An independent assessment is available) This fundamentally demonstrates the point about economic investment opportunities being missed by the clearing banks, which indeed support this AWM initiative.

2.3  Credit impact autumn 2008

  At the time of the banking failure, some banks almost seemed to panic with SME banking facilities. This took the forms of arbitrarily reducing overdrafts, upping rates, introducing new charges etc many with immediate effect. It was the subject of a quick survey by RFF in November 208 and a paper produced for the Secretary of State. There was evidence of this action from virtually all banks across the region. The banks denied it but the evidence from intermediaries was absolutely clear. Many were acting with total disregard for accepted banking practice, the consequences were severe and we know of many insolvencies, judged unnecessary by experienced intermediaries

2.4  Late 2008

  After regional and national protests this arbitrary banking action seems to have reduced, or maybe we just got used to it. However banking support was still weak. There were claims from banks that they were lending as much but we believe that much of their increase was taking up opportunities for secure lending where some of the withdrawing foreign owed banks had a large market share. Other problems started to emerge of withdrawal of invoice discounting, credit insurance and banking from various suffering industries such as car manufacturing, retail and construction.

  Regional loan fund ATBF with £5 million available (later £10 million) re-opened in the West Midlands and received immediate demand. It has satisfied around one third of the serious requests.

  Nationally a number of initiatives were announced but the only ones with a real direct influence on the SME market were the excellent Tax deferment on PAYE, NI and VAT, now over £1 billion, and what was later called the Enterprise Finance Guarantee Scheme (EFGS)

  EFGS Structure was very similar to the SFLG, which it was supposed to replace but:

    — Open to larger businesses and loans up to £1m compared with a previous limit of £250k.

    — Guarantee remained at 75% in spite of the fact that the EU now allowed 90% since late 2008. (Note the difference in cost to the government of this change would have been about £200 million in guarantee and £20 million in maximum cost and for such a small amount was a potentially excellent initiative hampered)

    — An overall cap on claims of around 10% was introduced which did not exist previously

    — Banks were allowed to take discretion on personal guarantees, rather than instructed to take them if available. This seemed to be an improvement but in practice many banks seem to have retreated to previous practice.

    — Banks are guided to use normal lending criteria but use guarantee if security not available, or other circumstances, ie, broadly it was to be used as a support for security risk rather than market risk, which is the phenomenon of this current economic climate. A debate with BERR has produced an email, which agree it can be used for such risk but it is not in the explicit guidelines.

2.5  Quarter 1 2009.

    2.5.1  EGS Lending rate?

    The evidence of lending to businesses is still confused. The EGS is claimed to be succeeding with the amount of eligible applications being quoted, which is about the predicted rate of around £30 million a week. However the amount lent is currently around a quarter of this with some expected delay in actually delivering cash to companies. Will it catch up? The current lending rate is about the same as the old SFLG scheme and the average loan less than £100k.

    2.5.2  Personal Guarantees

    Around 40% of the loans offered seem to require the SME directors to heavily guarantee them. This is enough to cause headlines, but actually is a continuation of what banks have been doing for some time as a demonstration of commitment, a fallback security and a substitute for considered assessment. However the SME community is now much more annoyed, as they appear to be the only members of society being called upon to mix personal assets and business life (not bankers, public companies, regulators, or bonus recipients) when they have not been the cause of the credit problems and they also believed that government was going to share some of the market risk. Who wants to be an entrepreneur? Society is now also tending to ask questions.

    2.5.3  Industry wide exclusions and credit restrictions?

    It is quite clear that some banking takes a "blanket" sectoral negative approach in lending criteria, of which automotive is key in the West Midlands region but other supply chains are also being affected such as construction and consumer goods.

    Credit insurance and invoice discounting is also difficult in these chains for component manufacturers and exporters.

    Some help from Government. as in other countries. in being a further insurer such as for ECGD, or the extension of guarantees, would be very useful.

    2.5.4  ATBF

    ATBF is still proving very active. The pattern of lending is changing a little with more consideration in the sectors which mainstream banking is avoiding but where ATBF can try and take a more intelligent and a balanced view. It has now approved in total £8 million loans with £6 million drawn—over 30% for Automotive and over 55% for manufacturing in total. The average lending per job saved is around £2,500—very good value for money, as that is about what a business generates for government coffers in three months existence in current circumstances. Committed loans and appraisals in progress nowexceed the £10 million available. The case is being made for further investment in the fund but it is believed that HMT will resist in spite of the evidence that ATBF is a major weapon in the West Midlands armoury, supplementing rather the replacing the EFGS activity.

    2.5.5  Labour reduction

    Many companies are trying to survive by cutting their labour force, or reduced working or both. In some cases this is involving highly skilled workers who may not be replaceable in any upturn. We believe that some form of support for retention of skilled workers would be much more effective than training subsidies for potential future theoretical jobs. European mainland has of course done both.

    2.5.6  CDFIs

    The demand continues to be high in the local CDFIs, which operate in every sub region of the West Midlands lending up to £50k. Currently the support has come from the AWM but there is scope for support from local authorities matched by EU money, as yet unrealised. Central government could also provide additional support to RDAs which could by matched with EU money.

    2.5.7  Insolvency

    RFF believes that the present insolvency regime requires review, as some of the catastrophic failures that we are witnessing are not in the best interests of the national economy. The MG Rover Task Force made such a recommendation but it was not accepted.

    In the meantime some minor adjustments particularly to the process for CVAs would be welcome.

3.  Effectiveness of AWM and Business Link in helping to gain access to funds

3.1  Historically

  The RFF has been an advisory body to AWM, for seven years, to ensure potentially viable SMEs have access to suitable funding. It has helped to create an escalator of finance availability up to £2 million, including grants, public supported venture capital and loan funds covering various risk levels and available amounts. It has been trying to create a regional development bank for SMEs "brick by brick". It has also supported other market initiatives such as Business Angels and Investbx, joining sources and needs of funding. However it fundamentally recognises that private sector financing is far more important than public intervention. Private sector providers and intermediaries such as VCs, bankers, accountants etc are fully involved in the RFF. For five years, breakfast meetings have brought together representatives from all the banks, with lending practices and the SFLG under constant discussion.

3.2  Currently

  The RFF has driven the reinstitution of ATBF and submitted many documents to ministers regarding requirements for national financing initiatives. In particular it provided a comprehensive document over a weekend to support the Secretary of State in his meeting with national bankers regarding unacceptable and arbitrary behaviour of banks, and it has produced monthly checklists of actions for the Regional meetings in London. It has recommended many actions to AWM and Business Link regarding the business support associated with finance.

  The RFF has also been particularly active with the banks. The RFF chair, with the Regional Minister, has lead meetings with representative of all the major banks and business organisations. The third such meeting is due next week. These have discussed potential and actual national initiatives, such as EFGS, but also the local performance where West Midlands is now highest in lending related to company population. There is now an established regional appeal mechanism in all the major banks whereby companies or their representatives can pursue banking issues to higher level with Business Link support. In addition the executive staff and chair have held individual meetings with various banks. Civil servants and politicians have been briefed with suggestions for national action and reports of agreed region action. However the positive response from Whitehall to this intense action has been limited.

  Business Link has a Credit Crunch hot line and has been a key route for advice but much of that distribution has been via local banks, ATBF, appropriate CDFIs, AWM, or skilled intermediaries. They of course have also been able to provide traditional but expanded Business support. Accelerate brand has been reintroduced via MAS for Automotive contact.

4.  The role of West Midland task force, other public agencies and regional partnerships.

  The Chair of the RFF is a member of most of the regional groups established to help the Crunch and has thus been able to emphasise the importance of survival finance for business. Without that, all objectives, such as training, investment in R&D and green issues, disappears. An obvious point but not apparent from much of the public sector and indeed press discussion.

  A further objective has been to demonstrate that the existence of much of private industry, particularly manufacturing OEMs, can generate up to 25% of its turnover for the public coffers. Thus the public exchequer can benefit much more than owners and we all need to take some responsibility for its survival, in all our interests.





 
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