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Angela Eagle: Is the hon. Gentleman saying that he thinks this reform should be proceeding much faster than the 2012 date?
Mr. Waterson: That remains to be seen, because a new Government of any persuasion would be well advised to review why the scheme will apparently take so long. In the real world, there are large numbers of people on lower-middle incomes who perhaps heard vaguely after that nice Lord Turner made his report that something will happen in 2012. However, those people will actually have years of planning blight in relation to their pension savings and there will be a period of non-full contributions that they will never be able to make up in their working lives.
Steve Webb: Does the hon. Gentleman think that an incoming Government conducting a review will add or reduce the planning blight?
Mr. Waterson: The hon. Gentleman’s confidence in either of the likely outcomes of the general election is touching. There are things we can do. I do not want to be called to order, but we have said that we would bring forward auto-enrolment, rather than having it umbilically linked to NEST. Auto-enrolling people into existing, inevitably more generous schemes could be a great prize worth having.
It comes down to issues such as the regulatory framework. One of the penetrating questions any new Minister of any persuasion will want to ask after the general election—it might even be the hon. Lady for all I know—is why the scheme will take so long. Is it a matter of resources or is it inevitable? What are the problems? Why will the most difficult cases in terms of employers and employees and those likely to be on the lowest incomes be waiting until the end of the queue?
Angela Eagle: I was just wondering whether the hon. Gentleman is absolutely certain it is appropriate automatically to enrol people who have quite low earnings into schemes that may have very high charging levels. Essentially, that would be automatically forcing them to go into something that is not in their best interests. Is he confident that a Conservative Government—if the awful happens and there is one—should be taking such an approach?
Mr. Waterson: The Minister is obviously privy to some information that the rest of us are not. She obviously has some clear indications about what the final charging regime will be for NEST. I am happy to give way if she has some hot-off-the-press information on that. I was making the glass half full argument; not the half empty one she was making. Almost by definition, auto-enrolling people into existing company schemes will mean they get higher contribution levels from their employer than they would ever get under NEST.
Angela Eagle: I am anxious to try to get some answers on that. Part of the reason for the Turner commission was the identification of the market failure among medium to low earners in the private sector. In a commercial world entirely, it is not profitable for those people to be served by DC pension schemes because of the cost of providing them. The money they can save gets eaten up in the higher levels of charges. If it is Conservative party policy automatically to enrol people into such schemes, that is surely the beginning of another huge mis-selling scandal.
Mr. Waterson: At the risk of getting too far down the wrong path, we are talking about auto-enrolling people into existing DB schemes on a voluntary basis for the companies that want to volunteer. It seems that every cloud has a silver lining, because if there is going to be such a long delay in setting up a personal account or NEST, that may be the way forward. We will certainly consider that as a serious possibility.
Angela Eagle: I am not sure I heard the hon. Gentleman correctly. Did he say that under the Conservatives the plan is to enrol people automatically into DB schemes rather than DC schemes?
Mr. Waterson: Yes. While the Minister is on the subject—
The Chairman: I am hesitant about calling hon. Members to order, but we are straying a little bit.
Mr. Waterson: I am talking about market failure. The Minister set us part of the scene for the regulations, and I will definitely return to the detail.
It is easy for this Government to talk about market failure, but the fact is that since 1997, the number of active members in the schemes has just about halved. Therefore, the Minister cannot blame the market entirely. A lot of Government action has been involved in downgrading many pension provisions. The needs identified by the Turner commission are even greater now than they were then.
What we all got used to calling personal accounts, we are now getting used to calling the National Employment Savings Trust, or NEST. We have no particular problem with that name—it is a nice, cosy, safe and reassuring sort of name. I do not know what the second and third options were.
Angela Eagle: My lips are sealed.
Mr. Waterson: I do not suppose we will ever know. But it seems slightly eccentric, even for this Government, that when the implementation of NEST, or whatever it will be called, recedes further into the distance, they have spent some £350,000 on the whole re-branding exercise. It would have been better if more priority and resources had been devoted to getting the thing up and running sooner rather than later.
I wanted to touch on some of the specific issues raised in the consultation on the draft orders. A large number of points of interest were raised by the pensions industry. The orders cover only a relatively small number, but there are other issues that we will have the pleasure of dealing with in due course. I guess that many of the issues will be dealt with in a final version of the rules, which I assume would be a matter for the NEST Corporation to produce in due course.
The National Association of Pension Funds’ central concern was to ensure that NEST remains focused on employees without access to a workplace pension. No doubt it will be relieved by what the Minister and the orders say about the restrictions on transfers in and the annual limit of £3,600, up-rated for inflation, as indeed am I. The association also rightly takes the view that NEST should be as free as possible from political interference. There has clearly been some movement in the right direction on the power to remove trustees and on workers without qualifying earnings.
I want to make a point on the target for NEST and its awareness raising. The original proposals would have charged the trustees—NEST—with raising awareness of the scheme in general. The NAPF was concerned that that wide-ranging duty could distract NEST from its central purpose, which is to extend workplace pensions savings to low-income groups that currently do not have access to them. There is now, as one would have no doubt spotted, a subtle change. Under article 14, trustees may now engage in awareness raising so that
“employers and individuals who may be admitted as members of the scheme may assess whether they wish to use the scheme”.
That appears to tighten up the wording, although the precise implications are unclear. Will the Minister clarify that issue?
The original proposals would have given the Secretary of State the power to remove trustees. The NAPF thinks that she should be able to use the power only in certain specified circumstances. I am pleased to see that the power has been removed from the final version of the order.
Again, the original proposal said that the employers’ and members’ panels should be established within one year of the start of the scheme. The NAPF argues that they should be in place from the start. There is no change in the final version, and it remains a concern. Perhaps the Minister would like to explain why strong governance arrangements should not be in place from the minute the scheme is launched.
Article 29(7) of the final version of the order gives NEST extra powers to limit the number of occasions on which a member may choose where his assets are to be invested and the number of investment funds to which the scheme’s assets may be directed. Why was that not included at all in the original consultation draft?
On article 27, the Association of British Insurers said that it
“provides that the trustee must make deductions from members’ pension accounts to contribute to the general costs of the setting up, administration and management of the scheme. In the draft scheme order...the word ‘general’ did not appear.”
Is there any significance in that?
There is also the public subsidy issue. As the Minister knows, because it was aired at some length during the passage of the original legislation, the Opposition are not wholly convinced by the public service obligation argument. It obviously applies to the post office, or the Royal Mail, for example, but we do not accept that it applies to personal accounts or NEST. There are serious issues about the level of public subsidy in the first instance, about the state-aid rules under the European Union, over what period the NEST structure is meant to become self-funding, and how long a payback period is projected. Can the Minister help us on that?
Steve Webb: Again, just to be clear in my mind what the hon. Gentleman has just said, he seems to be saying that NEST, the subject of the orders, in his world would not necessarily be obliged to take all-comers, so would be free to turn down potential scheme members and employers—for example, if it thought the cost of servicing them was too high. Does he have particular categories or types of people in his world whom he envisages NEST would want, or would be able to say no to?
Mr. Waterson: I do not know about my world—that is a slightly grandiose concept. The answer is no, we are not suggesting that. I am saying that I do not think it is directly comparable, for example, to the Royal Mail obligation of being able to post a letter in the Outer Hebrides and have it delivered in London the next day, or the next week, or whatever it may be now. We are certainly not suggesting any discrimination against individual potential members.
Angela Eagle: Without the public service obligation—if NEST has to accept any employer that comes to it and subsequently any employee of that company—how will the hon. Gentleman achieve the aim of no discrimination?
Mr. Waterson: I am not suggesting that at all. I am saying that I do not think that that justifies a significant public subsidy in the early years—assuming it is the early years—of the operation of NEST.
That brings me to my next question for the Minister, which is when will the Government be publishing decisions on the charging level and structure for the scheme, and why have they not done so to date? There is a lack of transparency about the funding arrangements for NEST. The Government have now to their credit virtually completed all the legislative architecture for NEST, yet there has been no disclosure to date on scheme charging and funding. We know PADA, or NEST, is already running up huge set-up costs, and other costs are being incurred by the DWP, the pensions regulator and so on. We need to have an idea of the sums involved and what subsidy and payback period is envisaged.
On charging, it could take up to 20 years on some projections to recoup the set-up costs, which have been estimated at anything between £1.7 billion and £4.5 billion, requiring some Government funding over that period. Is that a period that the Minister recognises and agrees with? There is also the issue of economies of scale. The Government have said in various debates that there will be economies of scale in NEST, but the Association of British Insurers’ Oxera research shows economies under fund management reduce significantly once funds reach a value of £500 million, and are virtually non-existent for funds in the region of £1 billion. Serious issues still need to be addressed on the funding of NEST in its early stages, where that funding is to come from and over what period it becomes effectively self-financing. Will the Minister please give us an idea of when the charging structure will be put to bed?
I want to raise one final, separate issue, which is the rather weighty impact assessment that accompanies the order. We are still looking at the projected annual cost of all the new regulation and new structure on micro and small companies of a mere £100. I cannot remember off the top of my head the figure that was projected when the Bill was being enacted, and I have not had time to research it today, but I have an uncanny feeling that it was exactly the same amount. On any view £100 is a risible amount to suggest that a small or micro-employer would end up having to spend additionally to comply with the new NEST system. Could the Minister tell us how that figure is arrived at? Even for a medium-sized company it is only £400 and for a large company such as Marks & Spencer, for example, it is only £1,900.
These seem absurdly low figures. If we are going to be straight with possibly up to 1 million employers who will be involved in auto-enrolment, particularly the very small ones, we need to be clear exactly what it will cost. Perhaps the Minister could tell us how much the numbers are based on consultation with bodies such as the Federation of Small Businesses.
We do not intend to vote against these orders. They are necessary as part of the transition from one body to another. There are some altogether meatier measures to come. I do not know whether you will have the pleasure of chairing those, Mr. Cummings. There are still some issues of detail that we would like to have some answers on, but broadly we support the orders.
5.1 pm
Steve Webb: Good afternoon, Mr. Cummings. It is a pleasure to serve under your chairmanship. The role of these new things—they used to be personal accounts and they are now NEST eggs—is to fill a gap in the pensions market. It is to provide workplace-based pensions for people who would not otherwise have had them. The Minister did not wholly reassure when I intervened on her so I shall try to clarify the point.
Paragraph 7.5 of the explanatory memorandum on the regulations states:
“There will be a ban on the transfer of accrued benefits into and out of the scheme”.
The argument seems to be that if this NEST product is to undercut the existing financial services market, people should not be able to move money from a Scottish Widows pension or whatever into a NEST pension. So there is a ban on that in the orders. Is there not a danger that these orders will be thwarted in their intent if instead of NEST being predominantly filled by people who never had a pension before, it is filled with people who had other pension provision but are facing higher charges than those envisaged in the NEST pensions?
Let us hypothesise a parliamentary researcher, indeed all our collective parliamentary researchers. Let us suppose they are in an existing scheme where there is an employer contribution of 10 per cent. and the charge is 1 per cent. I do not know whether that is accurate for the Portcullis scheme, but let us suppose it is that for the sake of argument. These regulations come in and NEST eggs become available and the charge is 0.5 per cent. My employee comes to me and says, “Hang on minute. 0.5 per cent. of my money going into my pension every month is going in charges that are not necessary because there is a 0.5 per cent. pension out there. You are an employer and this is a workplace-based pension scheme. I insist that you approach NEST and tell it that you want to offer me a NEST pension rather than a Portcullis pension.”
We have just heard that NEST cannot turn me down because it will not say no to anybody. It cannot turn my employee down even though they already have a pension because although they cannot transfer money in, they can start from scratch. Who are the people most motivated to go into NEST pensions? Presumably it is the people who are pensions literate and who are already in pensions. If the Minister allows voluntary employers to go into the scheme in 2011, which I think she said was the case, what will happen if I am the first one in the queue? I turn up at the doors of NEST on the day it opens and I say, “I’ve got an employee who is fed up with paying 1 per cent. She wants to go in at 0.5 per cent.” NEST will then spend perhaps the first years dealing with large numbers of people for whom the scheme was never intended.
Is the prohibition on transfers in a fig leaf to keep the financial services industry happy and it will not achieve that goal because it may not get transfers in, but it will get potentially millions of people who are in higher cost pensions who will see the NEST pension as a better value for money pension? All the financial pages of all the papers will advise them, if they are paying more than 0.5 per cent., to go to their employer on the first day the scheme is open for business and get them to enrol them in NEST. I wonder how far PADA and NEST are prepared for that. To what extent do the Government think that that will happen? If, as we have discussed, there is a public expenditure subsidy for the process at some point, to what extent will that divert subsidy to those who are already pensioned and away from the target market for NEST? I had not really thought about that until I read the consultation responses in the explanatory memorandum but, unless I am missing something, it strikes me as entirely plausible that the early days of the scheme could be swamped by the wrong people. I hope that the Minister will address that.
 
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