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Mr. Burns: To ask the Secretary of State for Justice how many indeterminate sentences for public protection handed down (a) between 14 July and 31 December 2008 and (b) in 2009 were given with tariffs of fewer than 24 months. 
Table 1 in that answer shows the number of offenders who have received an indeterminate sentence of imprisonment for public protection (IPP), if they are over 18 years of age, or a detention for public protection (DPP), if they are under 18 years of age, with a tariff of two years or less, as calculated from date of sentence to the date of tariff expiry. The figures shown are as notified to the National Offender Management Service (NOMS) at 5 February 2010.
The figures in that answer were taken from the Public Protection Unit Database (PPUD) in NOMS, and, as with any large scale recording system, it is subject to
possible errors arising from either data entry or processing. The PPUD is a live database, updated on a regular basis. As a result, snapshots taken in consecutive days will contain differences reflecting updates.
Mr. Burns: To ask the Secretary of State for Justice how many prisoners serving an indeterminate sentence for public protection have been in prison three or more years beyond their tariff; and how many of those prisoners are in an open prison. 
Maria Eagle: As at 4 March 2010, there were 95 of prisoners serving an indeterminate sentence for public protection who have been in prison three or more years beyond their tariff. Of these, 10 were in open conditions. These figures include those prisoners being held within the juvenile and female estates.
The fact that a prisoner is held in custody past-tariff does not mean that he is being detained in custody unfairly. The tariff is the minimum period for punishment and deterrence which must be served before an indeterminate sentence prisoner may be considered for release.
However, whether the Parole Board will direct the release of tariff-expired indeterminate sentence prisoners depends on whether the board determines that it is no longer necessary, on the grounds of public protection, for that offender to be detained in custody.
The figures to answer each question were taken from the Public Protection Unit Database (PPUD) in the National Offender Management Service, and, as with any large scale recording system, it is subject to possible errors arising from either data entry or processing. The PPUD is a live database, updated on a regular basis. As a result, snapshots taken in consecutive days will contain differences reflecting updates.
Mr. Grieve: To ask the Secretary of State for Justice what estimate he has made of the size of the prison population in each month up to the end of 2015 following ending of the End of Custody Licence Scheme.  [Official Report, 30 March 2010, Vol. 508, c. 7MC.]
Mr. Straw: The Ministry of Justice produces annual projections of the prison population in England and Wales, most recently in August 2009. These project the prison population under three different scenarios, based on different assumptions about future sentencing trends.
Other impacts included in the projections, such as those of legislation and processes, are applied equally to all scenarios. These cover the anticipated impacts of policy and process initiatives that have agreed implementation timetables. These assumptions and anticipated impacts have remained unchanged since 2008 projections.
End of Custody Licence (ECL) was introduced on 29 June 2007. Under this scheme a prisoner who was given a determinate custodial sentence between four weeks and four years can be released on licence up to 18 days before the end of their sentence.
Because there was no agreed timetable for its conclusion, its effect was included throughout the projection period. In the second half of 2009, the caseload of prisoners on ECL has been between 1,000 and 1,200:
The scheme ends on 12 March this year as was recently announced. As result of this, it is expected that by the end of March 2010, the prison population will be 1,000 to 1,200 higher than was anticipated in the current published prison population projections.
| Note: These figures will be revised in this year (2010) publication.|
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