Adapting to Climate Change - Environmental Audit Committee Contents


Examination of Witnesses (Questions 1-25)

DR HELEN PHILLIPS AND DR TOM TEW

1 DECEMBER 2009

  Q1  Chairman: Good morning and welcome. I will keep the introductions to a minimum because we are driving through on quite a tight timetable this morning; we have about 30 minutes or so, and we have two more sets of witnesses after you. Thank you very much for coming in. I know that we have had fruitful private contact as well about this and other issues but it is very helpful to have you on the record this morning, so thank you for that. Can I start off with a general question? The Climate Change Act and the Adapting to Climate Change Programme have created a new framework for managing adaptation. Do you think that puts the natural environment at the centre of the adaptation agenda?

  Dr Phillips: I think that the framework is evolving very rapidly and within Defra's core adaptation programme I think the natural environment is pretty fully recognised. The challenges are about how it is we make sure that this joins up across Whitehall and across government because so much of the dependence of the adaptive response relies on a healthy natural environment. So, for instance, if decisions are being taken about renewable energy we need to think about it in the round. We have had a lovely example from DECC recently where the reality of coastal erosion and the importance of designated habitats have been reflected in their decision around Dungeness not to proceed with that as a proposed nuclear site. However, we have other examples: for example, in CLG where we are somewhat at the pinnacle of strategy perfection about green infrastructure and its benefits, but yet we have a number of blocks and barriers in the system seeing it being implemented and delivered at a substantial scale the length and breadth of the country. I think that this possibly links into the issue about costs and benefits. There is a tendency that is almost unavoidable, but must be avoided in this case, to look at costs and benefits in a particular suite of circumstances and we need to be thinking about the costs and benefits across government. The example I give there is the Department of Health, where of course green infrastructure can substantially have a positive impact on urban cooling and health in depth related to heat. So we need to be thinking while we are planning green infrastructure about what the implications are for the Department of Health and their proposed future expenditure on issues such as that. Finally what I would say is about the importance of the natural environment not being seen as something that can be traded off within any framework. It is not something that is to be traded or balanced with something that is to be another fundamental building block on which the whole adaptive response is considered. Also, I suppose, the responsibility on us as environmentalists to find a currency and a language that is better understood. We had a modest attempt at that ourselves in a recent publication called No Charge—something of a play on words—about the importance of long-term investment in the natural environment. It is about how it is that we can show what the benefits are beyond intrinsic benefits from the environment, but how it is that it props up and sustains the social and economic benefits.

  Dr Tew: I think that last point is absolutely key. There are two very good reasons for enabling the natural environment to adapt to climate change and one, of course, is a moral imperative that we have to allow our plants and animals to adapt, but the second is that a healthy natural environment is the best mechanism to allow us to adapt to climate change, and that is why a healthy natural environment should not be left in the environmental ghetto or with Defra and that is why cross-Whitehall attention on a healthy natural environment is so important because an unhealthy natural environment has implications for health, transport and lots of other things. So in the national framework, where you have the four work streams of evidence, awareness, measuring progress and policy, and you have a thematic approach where the environment is one theme, it is important that the environment does not stay in that ghetto. That is why Treasury, Health and all the other departments need to understand the importance of a natural environment, as Helen has explained.

  Q2  Chairman: Accepting the importance of the natural environment what happens if a department or, indeed, a public body simply does not take account of the natural environment when they are making their adaptation plans?

  Dr Phillips: I think there will be a huge cost to the taxpayer in the longer term. Nicholas Stern's report has been extraordinarily influential in terms of mitigation and governments across the world understand the fact that it is much more cost-effective to invest early in what will inevitably turn out to be more modest sums. The fact that we are locked into a certain amount of climate change already, despite whatever our parallel efforts might be on mitigation, that needs to be a very concerted programme; it needs to be good adaptation rather than bad adaptation, and we need to recognise, of course, that properly planned adaptation can also support mitigation measures. So if we do not we will frankly pay quite dearly.

  Q3  Chairman: Can you hold up a warning flag if you see this happening in another part of the country?

  Dr Tew: That is why the design of the reporting powers and the adaptation economic assessment are crucial bits of work to get absolutely right because the second will illustrate the financial foolishness of maladapted, unsustainable adaptation; and the first will direct government departments and local authorities to report in a transparent way on what they are doing and how they are taking the environment into account.

  Q4  Colin Challen: What opportunities does Natural England have to influence policy on adaptation? Do you think you have enough influence and, if not, perhaps you could explain where there are deficiencies and how you might be able to improve matters?

  Dr Phillips: We have talked about an evolving framework and as part of that Defra have created a domestic adaptation programme and we sit on that programme board that is chaired by Defra. We are also part of a very important work stream that sits under that looking at some of the tools and levers that there are to make that come into being, most importantly, of course, the reporting power and how it is that public bodies assess and report on their progress with adaptation. They are important places to play, and of course in our wider statutory adviser role across government we are in a position to advise other government departments on how it is that climate change adaptation could be built in. I suppose that we couple that to an extent with trying to lead by example. So you are probably aware that we spend the best part of half a billion pounds a year in payments to farmers and land managers for good environmental practices on their farms and land. We sourced through the review of environmental stewardship recently to make sure that climate change was an overarching theme and something we could be legitimately tackling as part of those payments rather than something we try to find opportunities to do as we went round the country. Our current estimate is that emissions from agriculture will be 11% higher than they are currently was it not for the measures that have been put in place through environmental stewardship. Of course, we also have opportunities through our pretty close interactions with other bodies, such as National Parks and Areas of Outstanding Natural Beauty, where there is a real opportunity to be at the forefront of land management practices, and so much of the adaptive response, of course, is dependent on land management practices.

  Q5  Colin Challen: You have said that the potential for green infrastructure has not yet been realised or perhaps even fully understood by Government. Given that, I have just had a letter from a company in my constituency that makes permeable paving complaining that local government also does not really recognise its responsibilities in this regard. What do you think can be done to address that?

  Dr Phillips: We really urgently need to get away from a situation where we understand the benefits of green infrastructure, where we have fabulous examples of how it can be done well. On our website our best seller in terms of downloads used to be about newts and protected species and as soon as we put up a new best practice guide giving 36 examples of how to do the green infrastructure well we had something like 1,000 hits within a couple of weeks and this rapidly went up the agenda. We seem to be engaging with the community of the engaged and we do not have simple but mainstream ways of making green infrastructure happen and in our view there are some very simple things that could be done. The first is that we are in the middle of a review of planning policy guidance with a number of planning policy statements being brought together and in those it would be enormously powerful if targets could be set in terms of the amount and the quality of green infrastructure. Some standards have been set in the context of eco towns but, as we know, that is on the margins of development rather than in the main thrust and the main stream of development. Whilst I would be loathe to indiscriminately foist more targets on local authorities who are often beleaguered measuring things, I think a matching indicator of progress against that target in planning guidance would change the landscape. In addition to that—and this goes to the issue of quality—we need to make sure that the green infrastructure is seen as a deliberative response in our approach to adaptation rather than the incidental re-badging of local amenity or local conservation sites. Not that amenity and conservation sites are not very important, of course they are, but, as we know, green infrastructure can be so much more in terms of trees, urban cooling, shading and, indeed, the matter you have come across in your constituency, about sustainable drainage, balancing ponds, soaking up the storm water run-off.

  Q6  Colin Challen: On your website do you also put up examples of worst practice?

  Dr Phillips: No, we do not.

  Q7  Colin Challen: Is it worth considering?

  Dr Phillips: We are getting close to that point. I am a great believer in encouraging good practice and in fact we have gone a bit further with writing in and congratulating local authorities who are doing it particularly well, and we are encouraging that sharing of good practice. We are considering though, in the not too distant future, perhaps letting local authorities see how they are doing not only on green infrastructure but perhaps around a suite of measures such as the indicator that they have currently on biodiversity and, indeed, the responsibilities that they have for biodiversity under the NERC[7] Act. I think it is always a fine balance, is it not? There is so much that can be achieved once this properly captures the imagination, and once they understand what the benefits are to the local economy in terms of considering a whole site for development, that they are not considering housing units but actually considering that entire amenity. So I think with that whole site one has real opportunity. As, indeed, has the Government's initiative on zero carbon homes where we are thinking about the quality of the built environment but we are not thinking about the quality of the associated natural environment that potentially has huge implications for the longer-term running costs of that neighbourhood.


  Q8  Colin Challen: Do you come across much evidence of, shall we say, moral hazard where people think that by not adapting to climate change nevertheless the Government will act as insurer of last resort and just pay for anything that goes disastrously wrong? I am not saying that this is true of any part of the country that is currently afflicted by floods, but if you believe that the Government will pay for the rebuilding of your destroyed bridges then you may decide that is not a current priority for capital expenditure and you will just make things last a bit longer. Everybody is under a lot of financial pressure at the moment.

  Dr Phillips: Absolutely, and the issue in that regard that is most frequently talked about in the context of green infrastructure is maintenance costs. So often it is easy, either through development contribution or, indeed, through the local authority's own capital grants to put things in place in the first case but then there is often real anxiety and, indeed, a lot of evidence that they are not looked after in the long term. There is that lovely example in Milton Keynes where a lot of the green space has been put in public trust. It works there; there is no reason to say it will work everywhere, but we do need to think about what those mechanisms are in the longer term and that the whole life cost is a consideration rather than the more short-term consideration.

  Dr Tew: The examples that you raise get to the crux of the problem here, which is equity, inter-generational equity and, indeed, spatial equity. Who bears the cost of coastal erosion or flooding? This is a deep societal challenge. Part of the argument, of course, is to say that the insurance companies will mop up after the floods but it is the premium holders that pay for insurance costs and it is more expensive to pay for the damage than it is to manage the Uplands and prevent the damage. These are deep issues of equity that is the problem.

  Q9  Joan Walley: In what you have just said you have stressed the importance of the cost cutting agenda across Whitehall and I am really looking at the role in the Treasury in all of that. I am interested to know how you think the signals that the Treasury is actually sending; to what extent they are supporting and enabling adaptation. I wondered what your comments are about how effective the Treasury is in getting the right messages across.

  Dr Phillips: I always think that Treasury is to government what the national curriculum is to our collective desire to have schoolchildren taught things. There is no getting away from the fact that they are very pivotal to this and there is one comment I would make before Tom says some more. That is we were really pleased to see the work that the Treasury and Defra have done together in the supplementary guidance on the Green Book, and that could be quite an important driver in terms of investment.[8]


  Q10  Joan Walley: I am sorry; did you say updated guidance on the Green Book?

  Dr Phillips: Updated, supplementary guidance on the Green Book in the context of climate change.

  Q11  Joan Walley: How is that effectively sending out messages about what needs to be done?

  Dr Phillips: The Green Book is something of a bible for those who are thinking about making investment or de-investment decisions and it talks very fully about the important principles of sustainable development and, by implication, sustainable adaptation. I suppose one criticism of it would be that it talks about effectiveness and efficiency and equity; it does not explicitly talk about the natural environment. Consequently, our concern would be that when people come to do cost benefit analysis they think literally about the cost and, as we all know, sometimes the environment is a marginal cost where there is a lower cost solution but does not give you a sustainable solution in the long-term. So if we could see a more explicit reference to that I think it would make a big difference. As it would if we made sure that whatever it is we were measuring in terms of progress towards climate change adaptation included a measure about the quality of the natural environment because unless we have a response to adaptation which is based on an investment in the natural environment and that all measures are actually leaving a more resilient natural environment we will not have the fundamentals in place for that longer-term response.

  Dr Tew: Absolutely. We think that the Treasury are trying hard and they are moving and it is very welcome, but one sometimes thinks that they think the environment is someone else's job rather than it being a job for society, and I think that was probably reflected in the National Audit Office assessment.[9]


  Q12  Joan Walley: It is a bit of a bold comment to make, is it not?

  Dr Tew: The one I have just made?

  Q13  Joan Walley: Yes.

  Dr Tew: I think that the environment is everyone's responsibility and we are trying to provide costed examples to illustrate why putting the environment at the heart of adaptation is the most cost-effective solution for society and that is why I think the economic assessment of adaptation is critically important.

  Q14  Joan Walley: Can you tell me when the latest revision of the Green Book came out because the perversely called Green Book has been a matter of concern to this Committee for a long time because we have not really felt that it has been doing green things, although it might be called the Green Book? Which update are you talking about in terms of the revision to it?

  Dr Phillips: The supplementary guidance published in June of this year.

  Q15  Joan Walley: Because that does not come along very often, so are you saying then that that supplementary guidance is absolutely fit for purpose?

  Dr Phillips: No.

  Q16  Joan Walley: You are not?

  Dr Tew: We are saying that the supplementary guidance, which talks about effectiveness, efficiency and equity, is a good place to start defining sustainable adaptation.

  Q17  Joan Walley: But would it not have been better to have actually got it right rather than just doing something that now needs to be changed and adapted and adapted even further?

  Dr Tew: We do not think that it has the environment at the heart of the guidance in the way that we would like.

  Q18  Joan Walley: So how are you or how is Defra or how is this Committee going to put pressure on the Treasury to get the environment at the heart of that Green Book so that it can genuinely be a Green Book from the Treasury that is underpinning investment decisions across Whitehall?

  Dr Phillips: Could I give you an anecdote from the publication of our recent report called No Charge, which will share the difficulty we had and possibly the difficulty that Treasury are having?

  Q19  Joan Walley: Please do.

  Dr Phillips: We set out with grand plans for this publication and were very much hoping that we were going to build the report up to a crescendo on the back page that would show investment strategies for five, ten, 15, 20 years, saying that if you invest this much in the natural environment the payback or, indeed, the cost avoided will be as much, so there is a very clear example of an investment strategy for a relatively long period of time that says this is a no-brainer. Despite having used our own best brains and having worked with colleagues in academia, and indeed elsewhere, and environmental economists there was a lot of anxiety, despite a lot of encouragement from me and others to do just this, about the quality of the evidence and about how robust it was. So instead we ended up publishing a report that contains about a dozen fabulous case studies, they are all peer reviewed, they are all assessed and there are not holes or flaws in them and consequently we can hold our head high about people who produce evidence-based studies, but invariably we find ourselves looking at examples. There is a lovely example about the importance of investing in the Uplands in terms of retaining water, reducing flooding impact downstream, about reducing cost to water companies of cleaning up water when it gets to the treatment works, about the benefits to biodiversity. There is a similar lovely example about the end-cost benefits of managed treatment; for example, on the Humber Estuary moving the flood bank back and creating intertidal habitat has afforded much greater degree of protection to homes and to land at a lower cost and with much less requirement for ongoing revenue to contain that. So until such a time as we create a greater awareness and indeed more confidence that these are indeed cost beneficial ways and sensible investments for the long term, and until such a time as we can find a way of mainstreaming that into the language of economics rather than pointing out good examples of where it has happened, there is a degree of nervousness of putting this as a requirement or imposition on others.

  Q20  Joan Walley: But surely that is the role of Defra's Adapting to Climate Change Programme, to actually influence the Treasury to do just that, because you say until the time comes when we can do it but we do not have the time to do it because the time to take action is now?

  Dr Tew: Yes, and the Cross-Whitehall Programme Board illustrates the desire and the willingness for co-operation across government. The problem is that the cost is this equity issue—who bears the cost and who pays the cost—and that is spread across time and space and these are complicated decisions for local planning authorities to make. We think that by illustrating, using examples as Helen says, one or two clear cases, over the course of 20 years it is cheaper to realign the coast than it is to build a concrete flood wall. It is simply cheaper over 20 years; there are less maintenance costs and there are more positive side-effects and those side-effects include carbon sequestration and nutrient recycling and commercial fish species and places for people to go and enjoy and they are more resilient than a concrete wall and they are more adaptable to any future changes. Those illustrations are hard won. We are looking at existing realignment schemes and it has taken ten or 15 years to start to report on them. So I have sympathy for Treasury, it is not easy to come up with quick and clear examples of why it always makes economic sense.

  Dr Phillips: It does underline the case though for having planned adaptation and a wide scale plan about the extent and scale and pace of the adaptation measures we are going to put in place and consequently the reporting framework we have talked about and behind that its progress towards that rather than some indiscriminate measures of things that might help in the future.

  Q21  Dr Turner: You have embedded adaptation throughout all of your operations in Natural England, which seems to put you well ahead of most government departments. How have you approached that job: top-down, bottom-up? Could you tell us about how you evolved your strategy?

  Dr Phillips: I am happy to tell you. It is like most things, I think it has met in the middle. There have been some top-down initiatives and a lot of innovation from the ground up. To give you a few examples of some of the stuff we have done. We inherited as an organisation a framework about the character of England. The English landscape is divided into 159 character areas, and some decades ago we beautifully described those and, indeed, we went to the trouble of describing the pressures of those areas of landscape. Somewhat surprisingly, we never described what the desired response in any of those landscapes would be; nor did we think—and perhaps not unreasonably at that time ago—what the desired response under various scenarios of climate change would be. So we have taken four of those areas and done just that. I suppose not surprisingly we see both differences depending on the type of habitat, whether it is the Cumbria High Fells or the Norfolk Broads, but also a degree of similarity about the things that need to be done, which often involve making sure that the habitat that is in good condition is kept in good condition; where there are opportunities to extend it it is extended; or where it is in poor condition it is restored; and, indeed, that the land management practice is such that it is keeping that land in good condition. What we really thought was important—and this is some work that Tom is leading for us—was to expand that into looking at the functions that are provided by a healthy ecosystem because there are a lot of functions that we are dependent on land managers to produce that only the natural environment can produce; that we need to be very careful to guard the public funds that are used currently to incentivise various practices to reduce those things that only those folk can provide for public good rather than necessarily or exclusively personal gain. So we are doing that and that will then form the basis of a very important contribution to our own adaptation framework. We are also working alongside others because you know that this is quite a big responsibility on public bodies, so Anglian Water, for example, would obviously be very much at the forefront of this in an area that will become increasingly water stressed. We are working alongside them and ensuring that what their response looks like perhaps will provide a good example more widely across the water industry. From our own perspective we have agreed with Defra to become a voluntary reporter under the scheme, so hopefully we will be able to help others in that way too.

  Dr Tew: If I may make one other point, which is that across all of our work programmes, which we organise into communities, each and every work programme is being asked to complete an assessment of the threats and opportunities for their work presented by climate change, and to identify responses and actions; and we are now writing guidance for the staff to know how to do that. We will have an internal programme board to review what that looks like as a whole, to review the independencies, to agree overall risks to our work programme and then to embed actions and resources for dealing with climate change in our corporate plan, and that is the kind of thing, as Helen says, that we have volunteered to report to Government as an exemplar of good practice.

  Q22  Dr Turner: Fine. What do you find to be the benefits of incorporating climate change in this way into your risk management and what lessons can you draw from your experience for other central Government departments seeking to embed adaptation into their programmes?

  Dr Tew: We are delighted to be finding that it is cheaper and more effective to adapt and to prepare for climate change than to deal with the consequences afterwards. There is evidence for that in our management of our own sites, in our influence over National Nature Reserves. It is better to prepare and plan ahead, and those are the lessons we draw. We are finding, in purely financial terms for instance, that our own target to cut our own carbon emissions by 50% in two years not only clearly has an input to society's mitigation but actually is a cheaper and more cost-effective way for us to work. It raises a whole suite of challenges for our staff, but it saves us money and makes us more effective and contributes to climate change.

  Q23  Dr Turner: Can you point to any practical examples which prove that this approach is working?

  Dr Tew: Practical examples of mitigation I just talked about there of cutting carbon. Our people are travelling less; we have fewer offices open; we are encouraging flexible working and that is saving us money.

  Q24  Dr Turner: Can you point, for example, to where extreme weather events have produced results which are not as bad as you thought they might have been in other circumstances?

  Dr Tew: I see. That is very difficult and that is a challenge for us who espouse the doctrine that sustainable land management in the Uplands will reduce flooding because you have no control and then you get a one in a thousand year event, as we had last week, and people say to you, "That did not work then, did it?" So that is a significant challenge. As Helen says, we are setting up three very large pilot projects in the Uplands and I am working very closely with the Research Councils of this country to put in place monitoring in those projects because we have to start attempting to address that question. We would like to demonstrate how a new approach changes land management—in other words, land managers are rewarded for delivering a range of services and change their management accordingly—and produces a change in ecosystem services, such as better flood defence or higher quality; and we would like to demonstrate how that also produces a higher environmental quality, but it is not something you can do overnight.

  Dr Phillips: Very briefly, if I may, to take a link between your question back to Ms Walley's question, which is about urgent action is required now and we cannot wait until we have all the evidence in place, and I really could not agree with you more. That is something that we are trying to do in our review of our Sites of Special Scientific Interest notification strategy, because you get detractors who say, "Why are you protecting all these places? Under climate change scenarios they will no longer be important for the species or habitats they are designated for; why are we continuing to make this big investment?" To which there is a fairly simple answer, which is that they are the areas that have been most heavily invested in, the highest quality natural environment and despite what the natural succession might be in them they will still be more resilient as we experience higher temperatures and more variable patterns. The other evidence that is coming to the fore, albeit that it is less well based than we would like, is about the importance of connectivity and connecting different areas of habitat. So we are now trying to make sure that our notification strategy in the future and, indeed, for instance some of our work on initiatives such as the coastal path are actually thinking about where there is a real opportunity to join places up so that when species do inevitably have to move inland, uphill or north that there are more opportunities for them to do so. Also, and in fact I am sure that this will come up in the Secretary of State's announced review of ecological designations, how it is that landscape designations and ecological designations might come together because we are often talking about having to work on a much wider area, on a landscape scale rather than a site scale, so could those landscape designations that have been very successfully looking after areas of great beauty or areas where there is real opportunity for amenity and recreation legitimately bear a wider set of criteria that would also take into account some of the things that we need to do in response to climate change, where we could get large tracts of land for that purpose, not in a way that excluded other uses but in a way that could be integrated alongside places where people live and work.

  Q25  Mr Caton: In your memorandum you made the point that future monitoring and reporting arrangements should include measures to show whether adaptation is leading to a healthier and more resilient natural environment. How should this be done, by whom and do we already have the measures and the data sources to be used?

  Dr Tew: I think you are hinting at the answer there, which is that what we cannot do is throw all our environmental monitoring schemes away and start again. We already in this country invest significantly in environmental monitoring and, indeed, Natural England supports or runs many of those programmes. There is a wide range of environmental monitoring that we already do and that now needs to be bent to answering the question of whether we are adapting successfully to climate change; and it needs to do so in an integrated way. We think that the future of monitoring is integrated monitoring and we are working closely with everyone else who is involved in this field via the Environmental Research Funders Forum to look at synergy between monitoring, to look at cost-effective and streamlined monitoring and to look at novel techniques in monitoring, for instance satellite monitoring and so on. All of our existing monitoring schemes must now bear in mind that we need to start answering the question of how we are adapting to climate change and whether that adaptation is being effective, and that will range from everything from understanding whether butterflies are migrating north via the data collection of thousands of volunteers, all the way to a satellite-based analysis of sea level rise and coastal geomorphological changes. A significant gap in the evidence base and in monitoring are these indicators of adaptive process and then indicators of effects, and the Committee will know that Defra are working on this at the moment and we are working closely with Defra. One of the things that we mentioned earlier, for instance, is green infrastructure. There may be some very good proxies for measuring societal response to climate change adaptation, so we think that all of those need investigating.

  Chairman: Thank you very much. We very much appreciate your coming in.





7   Natural Environment and Rural Communities Back

8   HM Treasury, The Green Book: Appraisal and Evaluation in Central Government (and Supplementary Guidance) Back

9   National Audit Office, Adapting to Climate Change: A review for the Environmental Audit Committee, July 2009 Back


 
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