The role of carbon markets in preventing dangerous climate change - Environmental Audit Committee Contents


Memorandum submitted by the Confederation of Paper Industries

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

  1.  CPI believes that international emissions trading is vital to allow the countries of the world to deliver meaningful greenhouse gas reductions in the most cost-effective way possible. We support endeavours to bring more countries into participation in emissions trading schemes with the ultimate aim of having a single emissions trading currency that is fungible across the world. Many of the problems with the current EU ETS are caused by the fact that emissions trading is not by any means international and companies participating in the EU are at competitive risk from non-carbon constrained economies.

  2.  Phase II of EU ETS has been implemented in a more rigorous manner than in Phase I and the resultant lower cap should deliver emissions reductions for 2008. However, the global economic downturn has resulted in lower production in our sector (and many others) which will in itself result in reduced CO2 emissions. It will be difficult to quantify the effect of EU ETS in 2008 as a result.

  3.  The biggest threat to our industry of participation in EU ETS is the proposed ending of free allocation necessitating the requirement to buy all required allowances. This would put our industry at a significant cost disadvantage compared with less carbon constrained economies and business in the EU will simply close and move elsewhere—with no impact on carbon emissions. The way to address this issue of "carbon leakage" is to provide restricted free allocation to so-called carbon leakage sectors as already planned for Phase III of EU ETS.

  4.  The use of emissions credits can make an essential contribution to world emissions reductions by making these reductions at a lower cost that by domestic action. We think that the approach outlined in the Climate Change Act of allowing the Committee on Climate Change to advise on the appropriate balance of domestic action versus purchase of credits is correct.

THE CONFEDERATION OF PAPER INDUSTRIES

  5.  The Confederation of Paper Industries Ltd (CPI) works on behalf of the UK's paper industries. It was launched in January 2000 and brought together four long-established industry trade associations—the Association of Makers of Soft Tissue Papers (AMSTP), the British Recovered Paper Association (BRPA), the Corrugated Packaging Association (CPA) and the Paper Federation of Great Britain.

  6.  CPI represents the whole of the paper chain starting with the recovery of used paper, papermaking, conversion into finished products and distribution. The paper-making sector, which includes the manufacture of pulp, paper, board and tissue, is the most energy-intensive of all the activities in our industry and "production of pulp and paper" is a listed Annex 1 activity in the EU ETS Directive.

  7.  CPI, through the Paper Sector Climate Change Management Company Ltd, advises the papermaking sector on compliance with the requirements of EU ETS and co-ordinates verification activity on behalf of the mills. There are 44 paper mills in EU ETS at present emitting some 3 million tonnes per annum of CO2 (1% of the traded sector).

  8.  CPI's website may be found at www.paper.org.uk

RESPONSE TO SPECIFIC ISSUES RAISED IN THE CALL FOR EVIDENCE

CONTRIBUTION OF EMISSIONS TRADING TO DELIVERING GLOBAL GHG TARGETS

  9.  CPI believes that international emissions trading covering all developed and developing nations is vital to allow the countries of the world to deliver meaningful greenhouse gas reductions in the most cost-effective way possible. Provided there is a limited supply of fungible allowances at an appropriate price then emissions trading can result in real energy or carbon savings. Trading mechanisms are theoretically efficient and effective which allows required efficiency improvements or emissions reductions to be achieved at least cost.

  10.  We support endeavours to bring more countries into participation in emissions trading schemes. The ultimate aim must be to have a single emissions trading currency that is fungible across the world. This can only work if all schemes are structured in a broadly similar manner and are monitored and regulated with a similar degree of robustness. Many of the problems with the current EU ETS are caused by the fact that emissions trading is not by any means international and companies participating in the EU are at competitive risk from non-carbon constrained economies.

  11.  Carbon taxes have the advantage of simplicity and are easy to apply compared with emissions trading schemes but in our view can be blunt instruments and may not achieve carbon emissions reductions at least cost. Nevertheless, the attraction of taxes in terms of simplicity—especially when compared with the bureaucratic requirements of EU ETS and its overlap with CCAs—leads us to the conclusion that use of carbon taxes should not be ruled out as a part of the UK's portfolio of carbon reduction policies.

THE EU EMISSIONS TRADING SCHEME

  12.  It is too early to say with certainty how successful Phase II has been—2008 is its first year and we must wait for the results due to be published in May 2009. The allocations in Phase II were much tighter than in Phase I, correctly so as Phase I was clearly over-allocated by many Member States (although not by the UK). This reduction in overall cap will mean that emissions must come down. Indications are that there will be a surplus of allowances in 2008 and this may well be a result of the current global downturn: our sector—and this will apply to other sectors as well—has seen production cutbacks which will result in fewer emissions. The allocation for Phase II was based upon a certain growth rate for each sector and we will not see that growth rate in 2008 or 2009, although we hope 2010 will bring some degree of recovery. CO2 emissions for our sector will certainly have reduced compared with 2007 although the effect of emissions trading policies on this reduction will be hard to quantify.

  13.  UK paper mills have responded to EU ETS—and also to the incentives given by participation in our sector's Climate Change Agreement with Government—by increasing their energy efficiency over the past few years. In addition, we are seeing a strategic investment in biomass fuels in the industry. Three of our larger mills have replaced, or are replacing, fossil fuel-consuming boiler plant with biomass fuelled equipment. This investment will, in small part, be funded by the sale of surplus ETS allowances but more importantly will set these mills up as important contributors to the low-carbon economy of the future.

  14.  The biggest threat to our industry of participation in EU ETS is the proposed ending of free allocation necessitating the requirement to buy all required allowances. This will put our industry at a significant (perhaps £100 million per annum) cost disadvantage compared with less carbon constrained economies and business in the EU will simply close and move elsewhere—with no impact on carbon emissions.

  15.  The way to address this issue of "carbon leakage" is that of providing restricted free allocation to so-called carbon leakage sectors as planned for Phase III of EU ETS. We believe that the methodology proposed will allow the pulp and paper industry to qualify as a carbon leakage sector and we will therefore get a degree of free allocation. It is important to note that even with a notional "100%" free allocation one has to remember that the "100%" is based upon an overall emissions cap (21% lower than 2005 by 2020) and the allocations within this cap will be based upon benchmarks derived from the average of the best-performing 10% of installations in a sector. Therefore, even to emit on the 21% reduction trajectory some 95% of installations in a sector will get fewer allowances than they need.

  16.  The auctioning of allowances should not be seen as a source of unrestricted tax revenue for Governments. We believe that a significant proportion of auctioning revenue should be hypothecated for further emissions reduction initiatives to make such revenue raising reasonable. In the paper sector, a barrier to investment in low-carbon combustion technologies such as biomass CHP is the sheer cost involved. It should be noted that the saving in fossil fuel emissions and the subsequent income from selling emissions allowances (at 30 Euros per tonne) would typically only cover 2-3% of the investment costs per annum—with current allowance prices of less than 10 Euros the contribution is much smaller. The high capital cost means that only the larger paper companies can contemplate taking such actions. Provision of environmental subsidies in such cases could help the spread of such investments to smaller companies.

DEVELOPMENT OF A GLOBAL CARBON MARKET

  17.  We do not have sufficient expertise to comment on the development of emissions trading markets in other countries. However, on the issue of Kyoto mechanisms such as CDM, it seems clear that any credits created by such mechanisms must be verified in a rigorous manner to establish that the emissions savings associated with such credits have actually occurred.

UK CARBON BUDGETS

  18.  We understand the tension between the idea that it does not matter where global carbon savings are made (and hence unrestricted use of emissions credits should be allowed) and the necessity for countries to take domestic action to reduce their own emissions (and hence impose some sort of limit on the amount of emissions credits that may be used). The use of emissions credits can make an essential contribution to world emissions reductions by making these reductions at a lower cost that by domestic action. We think that the approach outlined in the Climate Change Act of allowing the Committee on Climate Change to advise on the appropriate balance of domestic action versus purchase of credits is correct.

  19.  It seems that some of the Kyoto mechanism credits available now may not qualify with the requirement to prove their additionality as they would have progressed in any event. There also seems to be an issue concerning HFC credits. It is important that the UN regulations are seen to be fair and not able to be subverted, especially if such credits are to be used to meet the UK Carbon budgets or for compliance with EU ETS obligations.

  20.  It is important that the public understands the issues around carbon offsetting. Although only recognised credits may be used to meet UK carbon budgets there is a huge market developing in offering various other forms of offsets to the public. Definition of these offsets should be standardised and criteria established to determine their true validity. The publication last year of the BSI PAS 2050 on carbon footprinting, the consultation on carbon accounting and the latest DECC consultation on the definition of "carbon neutrality" are welcome steps towards this goal.

March 2009





 
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