Documents considered by the Committee on 9 December 2009 - European Scrutiny Committee Contents


10 Implementation of Community obligations under the Kyoto Protocol

(31131)

16037/09

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COM(09) 630

Commission Report on progress towards meeting the Kyoto objectives

Legal base
Document originated12 November 2009
Deposited in Parliament18 November 2009
DepartmentEnergy and Climate Change
Basis of considerationEM of 1 December 2009
Previous Committee ReportNone
To be discussed in CouncilNo date set
Committee's assessmentPolitically important
Committee's decisionCleared

Background

10.1 In order to meet the environmental challenges presented by global warming, the 1992 United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) requires industrialised countries to return their emissions of greenhouse gases by the year 2000 to the levels obtaining in 1990. However, in 1997, the Kyoto Protocol went on to set legally binding emission targets for industrialised countries to meet by 2012. The Community of 15 accordingly undertook to reduce its 1990 emission levels by 8% by the period 2008-2012, with reductions being apportioned between the individual Member States under the Burden Sharing Agreement (see Annex I). Of the new Member States, all but Cyprus and Malta have individual reduction targets under the Protocol, equivalent to 8% (except for Hungary and Poland, where the target is 6%).

The current document

10.2 This report provides a description of historical trends in, and projections of, greenhouse gas emissions for the EU-15 and EU-27, based on information provided by Member States, and is the fourth of a series of annual reports required under Decision 280/2004/EC. Historical emissions are shown between 1990 and 2007 (the latest year for which data is now available), whilst projected emissions are provided for 2010 (the midpoint of the first commitment period) on the basis of those measures currently in place and the additional policies and measures being introduced, as well as the effect of the planned use of the Kyoto flexible mechanisms,[27] and the projected use of carbon sinks (Land Use, Land Use Change and Forestry (LULUCF)) allowed under the Kyoto Protocol.

10.3 The report notes that emissions in the EU-15 in 2007 decreased by 1.6% compared with 2006, and are now 5% below base year emissions, despite an increase in GDP of 44% since 1990, whilst, for the EU-27, emissions were 1.2% lower than in 2006, and 12.5% lower than the base year. It says that the EU-15 is now currently on course to meet, or over achieve, its Kyoto target, assuming current and planned measures deliver as expected. Also, with the possible exception of Austria, each of the Member States concerned is on track to meet its individual Kyoto target, whilst the ten EU-12 Member States with targets are all expected to meet them.

10.4 The Commission also says that provisional data for 2008 suggest that emissions from the EU-15 fell by a further 1.2%, taking them to 6.2% below base year levels, and that EU-27 emissions are estimated to have fallen by 1.1%, to stand 13.6% below the base year. It adds that these figures reflect the effect of the global economic recession.

10.5 The Commission goes on to note that the Community has agreed to reduce greenhouse gas emissions by at least 20% by 2020, with separate targets for those sectors within and outside the Emissions Trading Scheme, and with Member States in the latter case being set targets according to relative levels of current and projected per capita GDP, and left to define and implement the necessary measures in those areas not covered by Community provisions. It also says that there is a significant gap between the 20% target and Member States' projections, requiring a much steeper emissions reduction path after 2012, as compared with 1990-2012, and that this underlines the need to implement the measures agreed in December 2008 (covering such areas as the share of renewables in the energy mix, new rules on carbon capture and storage, and on the reduction of carbon dioxide emissions from cars).

The Government's view

10.6 In her Explanatory Memorandum of 1 December 2009, the Minister of State at the Department of Energy and Climate Change (Joan Ruddock) says that the Community and the UK have taken a leading role in calling for, and taking, action to tackle climate change. She adds that in 2007 the UK's emissions of the six greenhouse gases regulated under the Kyoto Protocol were 18.4% below base year levels, and projected to decline further over the period 2008-12, meaning that the UK has already over-achieved its target of 12.5%. She adds that, as a result of the policies and measures set out in the Climate Change Programme, the 2007 Energy White Paper and the 2009 Low Carbon Transition Plan, emissions are projected to be about 23% below base-year levels in 2010 (taking into account the effect of the Emissions Trading Scheme).

10.7 The Minister also observes that the Climate Change Act 2008 establishes a long-term legally-binding target for 2050 requiring a reduction of at least 80% in emissions of the six Kyoto gases against 1990 base-year levels, and introduces a system of carbon budgets capping emissions over five-year periods. The carbon budget for the first budgetary period, which coincides with the first Kyoto commitment period, has been set at a level in excess of the UK's Kyoto commitment, and requires emission reductions of just over 22% below 1990 levels. In addition, the Climate Change Act requires the UK to calculate the difference between its carbon budget and Kyoto commitment, and to ensure that this is not available to offset emissions in the UK or overseas. To comply with this, the Carbon Accounting Regulations 2009 requires that a number of carbon units equal to the difference are put beyond use by being cancelled, and that this will have the effect of reducing the margin by which the EU-15 is forecast to over-deliver the Kyoto target.

10.8 The Minister says that the UK welcomes the report as a useful signpost of the progress being made, and that, whilst all Member States should now meet their Kyoto targets, the Government is concerned that the EU-15 should not rely on over-compliance by some Member States. It, therefore, believes that the report will sustain the pressure on Member States to ensure that the necessary existing and planned measures deliver fully.

Conclusion

10.9 This report is the latest in a series of assessments of the Community's progress towards meeting its Kyoto targets, and provides some interesting and useful information. As in previous years, we think it right in clearing the document to report it to the House, noting that the Commission now estimates that, provided current and planned measures deliver as expected, the Community should meet those targets.

Annex: Member States' commitments under the Community's Burden Sharing Agreement (percentage changes for 2008-2012 relative to 1990 emission levels)

Austria
-13
Belgium
-7.5
Denmark
-21
Finland
0
France
0
Germany
-21
Greece
+25
Ireland
+13
Italy
-6.5
Luxembourg
-28
Netherlands
-6
Portugal
+27
Spain
+15
Sweden
+4
UK
-12.5



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