3 Climate change
45. In June 2009 we published our Report on Sustainable
Development in a Changing Climate which formed part of our
submission to the White Paper consultation process.[81]
We discussed and made recommendations on a wide range of climate
change issues in that Report and have not therefore repeated our
comments here. This chapter focuses instead on developments since
our Report was published, particularly the commitments on climate
change made in the White Paper and the outcomes of the Copenhagen
Climate Change Conference in December 2009.
White Paper commitments on climate
change
46. The White Paper notes that climate change
will affect poor countries "first and hardest".[82]
In some African countries, for example, agricultural yields are
expected to fall by up to 50% if climate change is not addressed.
There is also likely to be increased water scarcity, deforestation
and sea level rises leading to flooding. Infectious diseases are
also likely to spread more quickly due to temperature increases.
These challenges threaten progress on poverty reduction. The White
Paper sets out an objective of supporting poor countries to adapt
to the impacts of climate change and to invest in low carbon growth.
Published five months before the UN Framework Convention on Climate
Change (UNFCCC) Conference in Copenhagen in December 2009, it
argues that global collective action is needed to deal with the
threat appropriately.
47. The White Paper said that the UK Government's
aims for the Conference were to:
- Agree a new global target for emissions cuts;
- Allocate responsibilities for action between
nations;
- Set out ambitious new agreements on clean technology,
finance, reform of carbon markets, forests, and adaptation for
the poorest countries;
- Ensure that the institutional architecture for
implementing the deal is ready.[83]
48. The Government wanted the target for emissions
cuts to be sufficient to limit global temperature increases to
no more than 2°C. This would involve a 50% reduction in global
emissions from 1990 levels by 2050. The White Paper stresses the
need for developed countries to take the lead in reducing emissions.
Developing country reductions should depend on development status:
more economically advanced developing countries would be expected
to make greater reductions. The Government also sought new agreements
on developing and disseminating low carbon technology and reform
of the carbon market.[84]
49. The White Paper emphasised the importance
of ensuring adequate finance to help developing countries meet
the costs of adapting to climate change and developing low carbon
economies. We had made this point strongly ourselves in our Report,
saying that substantial funding would be required and that this
should be "new, additional and predictable".[85]
DFID uses the UNFCCC estimate of required funding of US$120-$164
billion per year by 2030 and states that the UK will provide new
and additional public finance for climate change over and above
existing Official Development Assistance (ODA) commitments. It
expressed the hope that this will convince other developed countries
to provide additional finance. However the White Paper also states
that DFID will "increase its poverty related expenditure
on climate change recognising that part of the climate financing
gap could legitimately come from ODA." It set an upper limit
of 10% on the amount of ODA which could be used to fund climate
change responses in developing countries. [86]
Copenhagen Conference: expectations
50. In our Report on Sustainable Development
in a Changing Climate, we expressed concern that many countries
were unwilling to put figures for greenhouse gas reductions on
the table in advance of the Copenhagen Conference. We warned that
"too many important decisions are being left until the last
minute, with the danger that agreement may not then be secured."[87]
In November the Secretary of State told us that he wanted a fair,
effective and ambitious outcome, including a legally binding agreement.[88]
At the time he thought the prospects for achieving this were good,
although he acknowledged that negotiations would be difficult.
He thought there was sufficient political will on the part of
the important players such as the USA, China and India.[89]
Copenhagen Conference: outcomes
51. In December 2009 over 100 world leaders and
many more officials and civil society representatives from around
the world met in Copenhagen for the UNFCCC Conference to discuss
a successor agreement to the Kyoto Protocol which expires at the
end of 2012. After five days of heated discussions, at one point
suspended when the developing countries withdrew their cooperation
over the failure of developed countries to agree new emissions
reductions targets, the Conference produced a non-binding political
agreementthe Copenhagen Accord.[90]
52. The Accord includes a number of "intended
actions" towards the goal of stabilising greenhouse gas emissions
at a level which would limit the increase in global temperature
to below 2°C. It does not set out specific emissions cuts
or targets. Instead it asks countries to "co-operate in achieving
the peaking of global and national emissions as soon as possible,
recognising that the timeframe for peaking will be longer in developing
countries." It asked the Parties to the UNFCCC to submit
by 31 January 2010 their national pledges to cut or limit emissions
of greenhouse gases between now and 2020.[91]
This deadline was subsequently extended indefinitely by the then
Executive Secretary of the UNFCCC, Yvo de Boer, who characterised
it as more of a "soft deadline."[92]
By 31 January, 12 Annex 1 countries and 26 non-Annex 1 countries
had provided information to the UNFCCC.[93]
53. The Accord also included:
- A statement of intention that developing countries
will voluntarily cut their carbon emissions;
- A commitment to provide $30 billion in funding
over the three years to 2013 to help developing countries mitigate
and adapt, including funding for reduced emissions from deforestation
and forest degradation;
- Agreement to work towards the goal of achieving
US$100 billion annual funding for developing countries by 2020;
- Agreement that the governance structure for delivering
funding should have equal representation of developed and developing
countries;
- The establishment of the Copenhagen Green Climate
Fund.[94]
There was no agreed deadline for creating a new internationally
binding agreement. However, negotiations involving all parties,
and based on existing texts, are set to continue in 2010 in the
hope of agreeing a legally binding treaty in Mexico at the end
of the year.
54. There was almost universal consensus amongst
commentators that the outcomes of the Copenhagen Conference fell
far short of what had been hoped for. The Financial Times,
for example, said in an editorial:
The agreement cobbled together by the US, China,
India, Brazil and South Africa is merely an expression of aims.
It recognises the scientific case for keeping the rise in global
temperatures to 2°C. It calls on developed countries to provide
$100 billion a year in support of poor nations' efforts by 2020,
but without saying who pays what to whom. It appears to commit
none of the signatories to anything.[95]
The International Centre for Trade and Sustainable
Development expressed a similar view:
Despite achieving agreement among the major economiesalso
known as the major emitterswhose buy-in holds the key to
addressing climate change, the agreement reached in Copenhagen
is insufficient to resolve the most critical elements that will
stabilize the atmosphere, protect vulnerable communities from
harm, and ensure the continued sustainable development of developing
countries."[96]
55. We are disappointed with
the limited and non-binding outcomes of the Copenhagen UNFCCC
Conference set out in the Copenhagen Accord. The UK had admirable
objectives but these proved to be unachievable. Much was made
in advance of the Conference presenting a "once-in-a-lifetime
opportunity" but it manifestly failed to live up to public
expectations. The weakness of the outcomes represents a failure
by the international community as whole. What is important now
is for the major players to submit their national pledges to the
UNFCCC as quickly as possible and for all parties to prepare to
make firm commitments on emissions and climate change funding
at the conference in Mexico in December.
Funding for developing countries
56. Our 2009 Report stressed both the need for
substantial funding to help developing countries respond to climate
change impacts and the necessity that this should not have an
adverse impact on the funding available for DFID's work on poverty
reduction. We therefore view the White Paper commitment to limit
the amount of climate change funding which can be taken from existing
ODA funding to 10% as a key statement of policy. We asked the
Secretary of State how this 10% limit was decided upon. He explained:
10% reflects the fact that there are a number of
our programmes already where it would be the judgment of Job to
try and say, "This is exclusively poverty reduction"
or, "This is exclusively climate adaptation". Indeed,
I would argue that the Chars livelihood programme that you witnessed
and I witnessed [in Bangladesh] is probably an exemplar of that.
Similarly the kind of work we are doing in terms of the livelihood
and forestry programme in Nepal, another example of where I would
argue uncontroversially there are very clear poverty reduction
and climate adaptation benefits to that portion of money.[97]
In 2010, DFID expects to spend about £400 million
on climate change out of its total ODA budget of £7 billion.
This would work out at approximately 6% of ODA.[98]
57. Ahead of the Copenhagen Conference the Prime
Minister announced the creation of a "fast track" fund
which would be available for developing countries for the period
2010 to 2103. He initially pledged £800 million for assistance
with adaptation and for payments to countries which take steps
to reduce deforestation.[99]
The sum was later increased to £1.2 billion and then again
to £1.5 billion.[100]
However the Government was less clear about whether this funding
was additional or would be taken from existing ODA commitments.
After some probing we were told: "The £1.5 billion for
the Copenhagen Launch Fund is new finance, which has not been
previously announced, but it is not additional to ODA." We
were also told that it would be within the 10% limit. [101]
58. We are pleased that the
Government has set an upper limit of 10% on the amount of Official
Development Assistance (ODA) which can be used for programmes
to respond specifically to climate change impacts. We reiterate
our view that climate change funding must be additional to development
assistance, as it represents a new cost to developing countries,
and must not divert existing and much needed poverty reduction
expenditure. We recommend that future DFID Annual Reports specify
the amount of ODA which has been allocated to climate change programmes
during the reporting year and set out estimates for subsequent
years. DFID should also encourage other bilateral donors to fix
similar limits on the amount of funding pledged for poverty reduction
which can be used for climate change work.
59. In the Copenhagen Accord, developed countries
have committed to provide new funds of US$30 billion to help developing
countries in the three year period from 2010 to 2012. This sum
is intended as short term funding before new longer term funds
can be mobilised. There is no indication of who will provide the
funds or on what basis. To date the EU has pledged $3.6 billion
annually. The USA and Japan have also pledged contributions, as
yet unquantified.
60. The Accord also gave an undertaking to try
to mobilize $100 billion per year by 2020 to address the needs
of developing countries in the longer term. It notes that this
funding will come from a variety of sources, "public and
private, bilateral and multilateral, including alternative sources
of finance".[102]
However it does not indicate the balance between these sources
or the proportion of the funding to be provided by different countries.
Questions remain about the willingness of developed countries
to commit to this in the current economic situation. Speaking
after the Conference, US Secretary of State Hillary Clinton said,
"the important point was not to talk about how we would fund
money that we haven't yet agreed to fund, but to make the agreement
that that is what we're going to do."[103]
61. There are many different estimates of the
total amount of funding required. However $100 billion per year
is less than most estimated costs of adaptation and mitigation
for developing countries. In 2009 the World Bank estimated that
between $140 and $175 billion would be needed to help developing
countries take appropriate mitigation measures to keep temperature
rises below 2°C.[104]
A group of 50 African states put forward a figure of US$67 billion
a year by 2020 to meet adaptation needs and US$200 billion a year
for mitigation.[105]
62. The undertaking to allocate
$100 billion per year by 2020 to assist developing countries to
deal with climate change is a step in the right direction. However,
at present it remains simply an intention rather than a specific
pledge. We are disappointed that the sum promised does not yet
meet our criteria of being additional, adequate and predictable.
The UK must continue to work to ensure there is a realistic plan
for raising the funding, based on specific commitments by each
developed country. The first step would be to ensure that measures
are in place to meet the US$30 billion funding target for the
period 2010-2012, and that the funds are disbursed quickly, since
climate change is already a reality for many developing countries.
We recommend that DFID report to us within 12 months on the progress
that has been made in this regard.
MANAGING CLIMATE FINANCE
63. It is important that an efficient and effective
body is in place to disburse and monitor the millions of dollars
which will be made available to developing countries. However,
the management of climate finance is a contentious issue. We discussed
with DFID whether the World Bank was the most appropriate body,
given that it is already the channel for the majority of UK climate
change funding for developing countries, or whether a new body
created by the UNFCCC would be preferable. DFID argues in the
White Paper that the aim should be to build on existing institutions
rather than to create new ones, and that there should be a high-level
coordinating body to make sure finance is allocated where it is
most needed. It does not explicitly identify the relevant institutions
although it does suggest that lessons can be learned from the
World Bank-managed Climate Investment Fund boards which have equal
representation of donor and recipient countries.[106]
The Copenhagen Accord establishes the Copenhagen Green Climate
Fund as "the operating entity of the financial mechanism
of the Convention" and contains a provision that the governance
structure should provide for equal representation of developed
and developing countries.[107]
64. A significant portion of the short-term climate
finance agreed for the period up to 2012 is likely to be channelled
through the World Bank. A number of civil society organisations
have expressed repeated concerns about the Bank's capacity to
manage climate finance in a "transparent, participatory and
accountable" manner.[108]
BOND for example stated that:
Any future role for the World Bank with regard to
climate financing should be dependent upon appropriate institutional
reform, a shift in the World Bank group investment portfolio to
ensure it is supporting low carbon development and a fit with
an overall financial governance system that ensure that all decisions
on finance distribution (nationally, regionally, sectorally) are
taken under the auspices of the UNFCCC.[109]
65. In our 2007 report on DFID's relationship
with the World Bank, we questioned whether the Bank should seek
to take on the role of a "bank for the environment"
as we feared this would detract from its primary objective of
poverty reduction.[110]
Our report on Sustainable Development sought assurances
from DFID that it would be able to monitor properly the funding
which it plans to put through the Bank, since it would not have
a direct role in determining to which projects or programmes it
was allocated.[111]
The Government told us that it had rigorous mechanisms in place
to monitor the UK's contribution to the World Bank's Climate Investment
Funds (CIF).[112] More
recently DFID told us that the CIF would "begin to show that
adaptation and mitigation finance is feasible through the multilaterals"[113]
While it argues that the UNFCCC must be the authorising body for
finance, it says that only the Bank has the track record to disburse
such large sums of money effectively. [114]
The Secretary of State told us:
Our position [
] is to say we recognise the
legitimacy of the UNFCCC process and the primacy of the UNFCCC
process in this whole area of policy making. Indeed, there were
some concerns expressed in relation to the strategic climate funds
which we were, I hope, genuinely able to allay on the basis of
misunderstandings as to what would be the role of the Bank and
ultimately what was our vision of the Bank's role in the future,
given the concerns that both NGOs and some governments have expressed
in terms of the environmental track record of the Bank in the
past. In terms of Copenhagen, which will be key in determining
this whole issue of new and additional funding for climate finance,
we are clear that we see the UNFCCC as being the lead.[115]
66. We welcome the fact that
the principle of equal representation of developing and developed
countries has been acknowledged in the establishment of the Copenhagen
Green Climate Fund. We share DFID's view that the UNFCCC should
take the lead in determining arrangements for allocating new funding
for climate change. It may be necessary for the World Bank to
play a role in disbursing funds, in the absence of other competent
mechanisms for channelling such large sums of money to developing
countries. We would, however, reiterate our view that the World
Bank's primary focus should remain poverty reduction. Moreover,
DFID should take the lead in ensuring that steps are taken to
allay the misgivings of recipient countries and civil society
about the appropriateness of the World Bank taking on this role.
NEW SOURCES OF FUNDING FOR CLIMATE
CHANGE
67. Our report on Sustainable Development
suggested two different methods for raising funds through taxation
to help developing countries in their response to climate change,
including a tax on aviation.[116]
The Government's response to our Report stated that the Treasury
did not favour pledging money by law for a specific purpose, commonly
referred to as hypothecation.[117]
We were therefore surprised when a few months later we learned
that the Government was considering a tax on financial transactions
to help fund climate change response measures in developing countries.
The Secretary of State told us there was as yet no agreement on
this but that, as a result of the financial crisis, the policy
space had opened up to have such a discussion at international
level:
Traditionally, the British Treasury has not been
the greatest advocate or the greatest fan of hypothecated forms
of taxation generally, as the exchequer function likes the discretion
to be able to allocate income against expenditure. In that sense
I did see the Prime Minister's statement in St Andrew's as being
an exciting opportunity rather than yet an achievement.[118]
A coalition of charities, unions and aid agencies
has recently been formed to lobby the UK Government to push for
a global tax on financial transactions, with the aim of raising
up to £250 billion a year to be spent on tackling poverty
and climate change and protecting public services.[119]
The Prime Minister said in February that he hoped agreement could
be reached on a "global bank tax" at the G20 Summit
in Canada in June.[120]
68. New, innovative sources
of finance will need to be found to help developing countries
respond to climate change. Although there is as yet no international
agreement on this, we broadly support the principle of a tax on
financial transactions to raise money for this purpose. We recommend
that the UK continue to work to secure agreement amongst its international
partners in advance of the G20 Summit in June.
Transforming development practice
on climate change
69. We have frequently stated that climate change
should be central to DFID's work in developing countries. However,
in our previous Report we commented that "we found that limited
progress had been made on ensuring that climate change informs
all policy decisions ('mainstreaming')" and that DFID needed
to move on from discrete projects to comprehensive climate change
programmes.[121]
70. The White Paper sets out how DFID envisages
climate change will impact on the way it works in developing countries.
It gives an undertaking to seek to integrate climate change into
development policy and to conduct a strategic review of the UK's
development programme to assess how it can improve its efforts.
This will be piloted in eight countries and rolled out in all
priority countries by 2013.[122]
DFID told us it recognised that it had to do a lot more to integrate
climate change properly "into the DNA of DFID" and acknowledged
that it was "still climbing up the curve" on climate
change.[123]
71. We have previously expressed
our concern that DFID is not yet able to demonstrate that climate
change is informing its policy decisions in all the countries
in which it works. We have visited many of these countries and
seen good examples of discrete climate change projects but less
evidence of a fully integrated programme. We expect DFID to continue
to build on its strengths and fully integrate climate change into
the broadest spectrum of its work. The White Paper has made an
important commitment to work towards this goal and to conduct
a strategic review in eight pilot countries. We recommend that,
in response to this Report, DFID provide us with more detail on
progress with the review of its climate change work in the pilot
countries.
81 Fifth Report of Session 2008-09, Sustainable
Development in a Changing Climate, HC 177-I Back
82
DFID, Eliminating World Poverty: Building our Common Future,
p 47 Back
83
ibid, p 48 Back
84
ibid, p 51 Back
85
Fifth Report of Session 2008-09, Sustainable Development in
a Changing Climate, HC 177-I, Summary Back
86
DFID White Paper 2009, Eliminating World Poverty: Building
our Common Future, p 52 Back
87
Fifth Report of Session 2008-09, Sustainable Development in
a Changing Climate, HC 177-I, para 149 Back
88
Qs 125, 130 Back
89
Qs 125-126 Back
90
"Copenhagen climate summit negotiations suspended",
14 December 2009, www.bbc.co.uk Back
91
COP, Copenhagen Accord, 18 December 2009 Back
92
"Countries take first step to comply with Copenhagen Accord",
4 February 2010, www.ictsd.org Back
93
Annex 1 countries are mainly developed countries. They are called
this because they are listed under Annex 1 of the Kyoto Protocol.
Non-Annex 1 countries are all other signatories including countries
such as China and India. www.unfaccc.int/home Back
94
COP, Copenhagen Accord, 18 December 2009 Back
95
"Dismal outcome at Copenhagen fiasco", Financial
Times, 20 December 2009 Back
96
ICTSD Bridges Copenhagen update, High level politics meets
low level ambition: Taking stock of COP 15, 21 December 2009 Back
97
Q 128 Back
98
Q 129 Back
99
"Brown unveils fund to tackle climate emergency", The
Guardian, 28 November 2009 Back
100
See Oral Evidence taken in the inquiry into DFID's programme
in Bangladesh on 16 December 2009, Q 199 Back
101
See Third Report of Session 2009-10, DFID's Programme in Bangladesh,
HC 95-II, Ev 110 Back
102
Copenhagen Accord, 18 December 2006, para 8 Back
103
"Copenhagen's one real accomplishment" 20 December 2009,
www.nyc.com Back
104
ICTSD Bridges Copenhagen update, High level politics meets
low level ambition: Taking stock of COP 15, 21 December 2009 Back
105
"Africa says poor need billions to fight climate change"
Reuters, 20 April 2009. See also Q 128 for an explanation of why
there are so many different figures being used. Back
106
DFID White Paper 2009, Eliminating World Poverty: Building
our Common Future, p 54 Back
107
Copenhagen Accord, para 10 Back
108
Bretton Woods Project, Don't Bank on it: challenging the World
Bank's role in future climate finance, 4 December 2009. Back
109
Ev 47. See also Ev 94-95 Back
110
Sixth Report of Session 2007-08, DFID and the World Bank,
HC 67-1, para 106 Back
111
Fifth Report of Session 2008-09, Sustainable Development in
a Changing Climate, paras 62-67 Back
112
ibid, para 64 Back
113
Q 4 Back
114
Q 135 Back
115
Q 134 Back
116
Fifth Report of Session 2008-09, Sustainable Development in
a Changing Climate, paras 74-77 Back
117
Fifth Special Report of Session 2008-09, Sustainable Development
in a Changing Climate: Government Response to the Committee's
Fifth Report of Session 2008-09, HC 1008, p 10 Back
118
Q 152 Back
119
"Call for 'Robin Hood tax' on banking transactions",
The Independent, 10 February 2010 Back
120
"Global bank tax near, says Brown", Financial Times,
11 February 2010 Back
121
Fifth Report of Session 2008-09, Sustainable Development in
a Changing Climate, HC 177-I, Summary Back
122
DFID White Paper 2009, Eliminating World Poverty: Building
our Common Future, para 3.60 Back
123
Q 4 Back
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