6 BECOMING A MIDDLE-INCOME
COUNTRY
123. Bangladesh aims to become a middle-income country
by 2021. Despite poor governance, witnesses have expressed confidence
that this is an achievable goal. For example, Professor Hulme
commented:
If one makes the assumption that growth will
continue in China and will continue in India and that the financial
system will somehow be repaired, then I see Bangladesh as steadily
growing over the coming years, as long as there is not some sort
of governance crisis; as long as it manages to have this "good-enough"
governance that allows the private sector and just human agency
at the grass roots to operate.[181]
Pierre Landell-Mills, a former World Bank Country
Director in Bangladesh, was also optimistic about Bangladesh's
economy. He thought that it exhibited the capacity to respond
to challenges. It had already made progress in reducing poverty
levels and had maintained steady and reasonable growth rates over
a long period. He thought that, if the economic growth rate could
be raised to 6-7% per year, it would be feasible for Bangladesh
to become a middle-income country.[182]
DFID thought the goal was achievable in 20 rather than 10 years.[183]
124. Potential obstacles to increased growth rates
include Bangladesh's capacity to move from traditional exports
such as garments, towards more high-tech products; whether growth
continues to be fairly egalitarian so that it has a positive impact
on poverty reduction; the impact of climate change on Bangladesh;
and energy and infrastructure problems.[184]
The IMF has also pointed out that the global economic recession
is beginning to impact on the economy, threatening Bangladeshi
exports and remittances from abroad.[185]
The World Bank has warned that the long-term impact of the financial
crisis could mean five years of lower economic growth for developing
countries as they struggle to obtain foreign investment.[186]
The combined effect of these factors means that the achievement
of the goal will be challenging. Moreover, without the necessary
governance reforms discussed in chapter 2, the state will not
be able to direct the economy in the desired direction, or mitigate
the impact of external forces such as climate change or the global
economic downturn.
Private sector development
125. While the state has an important role to play,
the private sector has been the driver of Bangladesh's continuous
economic growth rates. Despite political turmoil, prudent macro-economic
management has allowed the private sector to flourish and power
the economy.[187] In
particular the industrial and service sectors have grown as a
share of the economy relative to the agricultural sector. The
service sector now accounts for 50% of GDP and the industrial
sector 26%. The ready-made garment sector has been the main source
of manufacturing growth.[188]
126. Private sector-led growth is a focus of DFID's
new Country Plan.[189]
DFID support is focused on helping to create jobs for the poorest,
a more enabling business environment, better access by small enterprises
to finance and improvements to the banking system for remittances.[190]
Some progress has been made. For example, DFID reported that the
Bangladesh Investment Climate Fund has simplified licensing procedures
for export-oriented companies, resulting in a net saving of over
£1,000 every year for each firm.[191]
DFID is spending £15.5 million on Growth and Private Sector
Development in 2009-10 and this will nearly double to £30.2
million in 2010-11. The increase is primarily to fund its work
on creating an enabling business environment.[192]
127. Mr Landell-Mills thought that businessmen should
be playing a larger role in creating a better business environment
for the private sector to flourish but said that they were often
part of entrenched political networks and viewed reforming these
as a long and difficult process. He suggested that donors should
be thinking about building the institutions of civil society in
a more strategic manner:
One of the waysand this is a surprising
neglect of all the donorsis to build institutions in civil
societyand I do not mean that of NGOs, because NGOs are
just one part of civil societyto build up a chamber of
commerce and industry, to build up professional associations,
to build up the media, to help the accountancy profession to perform
correctly. There are odd examples of that being tackled, but
generally there is no strategy for dealing with strengthening
the institutions of civil society.[193]
When we asked DFID about this we were told that donor
coordination was improving in terms of exchanging information
but that operations were fragmented with different donors operating
separate and unconnected programmes.[194]
128. On the outskirts of Dhaka we visited a furniture
factory, part of a larger furniture association, which was trying
to improve the quality and design of furniture made in Bangladesh
in order to export to the international market. It was receiving
help from a production consultancy company and the government's
Export Promotion Board to encourage it to build links with the
furniture sector. DFID was also supporting the association. We
were impressed with the quality of the furniture being produced
in the factory and hope that the efforts of the association to
tap into new international markets meet with success.
129. Creating effective producer associations
is an important way of linking smaller producers and creating
a larger constituency to lobby for help with marketing or general
improvements in the investment climate. This type of assistance
is also a very practical example of aid for trade. We support
DFID's efforts to assist such associations as they seek to create
a more dynamic private sector in which small businesses can flourish
and contribute to poverty reduction. However we have seen little
evidence to suggest that donors have a coordinated plan for strengthening
such commercial associations. We accept that demand for change
must come from Bangladeshi society but consider that donors can
and should work to encourage the creation of more producer and
professional associations in a more strategic and coordinated
manner.
Reducing corruption
130. Bangladesh could do better economically if the
investment climate was made more attractive by reducing corruption.
Bangladesh ranks 139th out of 180 countries on the
2009 Transparency International Corruption Perception Index.[195]
This is a significant improvement on its 2008 ranking during the
period of the Caretaker Government. Nevertheless its score remains
below the acceptable threshold indicating a pervasive level of
corruption across all levels of society. Mr Landell-Mills told
us "almost every transaction somehow has a corrupt element
to it."[196] Corrupt
practices reduced efficiencies:
At the moment there is so much interference in
the transactions that you have a very high level of inefficiency.
One must try to get those who are corrupt to see that certain
actions are so damaging to their own interests that that corruption
can then be tackled, although they will always be searching for
other ways of being corrupt, that is for sure. For example, at
Chittagong Port, it takes 18 days to turn a ship around, while
in Singapore they can do it in 36 hours.[197]
He estimated that 15% to 30% of every contract was
lost to bribery. In the construction of the Jumuna Bridge, for
example, efforts were made to ensure there was no corruption.
Nevertheless all the contractors took account of expected bribes
in their tenders so that, while the formal system would look as
though there was no corruption, in fact it had been built into
the project.[198] The
extent to which corruption permeated society was also made clear
to us in Dhaka during our discussion on strengthening public administration.
131. Tackling corruption involves a long term commitment
to building better and more accountable institutions. We discussed
the importance of this in chapter 2. Transparency International
said that the improvement in Bangladesh's score was related to
the change in government in December 2008, with the new government
pledging to stop corruption as part of its election manifesto.
The Executive Director of Transparency International Bangladesh
noted:
Whether or not the improvement achieved by Bangladesh
will be sustainable and whether further progress will be achieved
will depend on the new government's will and capacity to deliver,
especially in ensuring integrity, independence, impartiality and
effectiveness of key institutions like the Parliament, Anti-corruption
Commission, Election Commission, Information Commission, Judiciary,
law enforcement agencies, the public service and the Human Rights
Commission.[199]
132. We are pleased to learn that Bangladesh has
improved its ranking on the Transparency International Corruption
Perception Index since 2008. This is a positive development but
the score indicates that there is still room for significant improvement.
Tackling corruption robustly is important. Current corruption
levels are creating inefficiencies in the economy which will thwart
Bangladesh's desire to become a middle-income country. In its
dialogues with the Government of Bangladesh and the private sector
DFID should emphasise the importance for Bangladesh of challenging
corrupt practices and the need to put in place more effective
measures to deter it.
Working with Bangladeshi communities
133. There are approximately 500,000 British Bangladeshis
in the UK.[200] In
our public meetings in Birmingham and London we asked about their
views on DFID's programme in Bangladesh and ways in which the
Bangladeshi diaspora here might make a contribution to the poverty
reduction effort in Bangladesh. The most frequent comment made
to us was that Bangladeshi people in the UK did not know about
DFID's programme in Bangladesh. In addition it was felt that DFID
had not harnessed the desire of the diaspora to contribute to
development projects in Bangladesh.
134. Written evidence from Christian Aid said:
We are concerned by how little information about
DFID's projects in Bangladesh is publicly available. In view of
the size of the UK's aid programme, we believe that DFID should
be much more proactive in communicating details of its programme
to the UK public.[201]
Subsequent to our meeting in London the International
Forum for Secular Bangladesh wrote to us saying:
Many second generation British Bengalis feel
passionate about Bangladesh. They want to get involved and contribute
to the development of Bangladesh but lack the necessary information
and contacts. Connecting the second generation British Bengalis
with their parents' country of origin could be beneficial to the
UK and Bangladesh.[202]
When we asked the Minister about this, he assured
us that the Department did engage with the Bangladeshi population
here and that it did make an effort to send out information about
its programme and to meet with representatives of the Bangladeshi
diaspora in the UK.[203]
135. It is clear to us that, despite its efforts,
DFID is not reaching the Bangladeshi public in the UK effectively.
We believe that the Bangladeshi population in the UK can make
a useful contribution to DFID's work in Bangladesh. More importantly
the Bangladeshi population in the UK wants to maintain links with
Bangladesh and to help improve the situation there. We recommend
that DFID support this by reassessing its communications strategy
for its Bangladesh programme and that it make or strengthen links
with local councillors and community leaders here.
136. As well as a lack of awareness of DFID's programme
in Bangladesh among the UK Bangladesh community, witnesses have
expressed the view that it is difficult to meet with DFID Bangladesh
staff and that they seem overstretched and unable to get out and
see what is going on outside their project areas. Naomi Hossain
told us that:
DFID staff in Dhaka appear increasingly pressed
for time, partly because larger programmes are being managed by
fewer professional staff [
] Even committed professional
staff lacked adequate time to engage with the evidence, travel
beyond the capital city, or to develop the relationships that
would be necessary for a rounded and fully-informed perspective
on the issues on which they work."[204]
She also thought that DFID's reputation in Bangladesh
had suffered as a result of its decreasing visibility.[205]
Professor Hulme commented on the high turnover of DFID staff and
said:
Staff reductions and budget increases mean that
the average "spend per adviser" has increased. This
means that advisers cannot allocate time to the innovative low
spend/high impact initiatives that "improving governance"
programmes often need.
At the public meeting in Birmingham a contributor
said he had tried unsuccessfully to meet with DFID Bangladesh
over a four week period to discuss a proposal for training village
doctors. Others commented that there was no evidence of DFID working
in Sylhet, the region from which most UK Bangladeshis originated
and where they still had family connections. Sylhet is also one
of the areas which has been experiencing the benefits of economic
growth.
137. The DFID Bangladesh team comprises 80 Bangladeshi
and UK staff based in Dhaka.[206]
It is managing a steadily rising budget and the UK is now the
largest bilateral donor.[207]
We had been told that DFID staff were working to full capacity
and that staff reductions coupled with budget increases placed
pressure on the management of time-intensive programmes.[208]
This issue has been raised with us on a number of occasions and
we remain concerned about the impact of staff reductions on a
Department with a rising budget.
138. DFID argues that "a joint British High
Commission and DFID Bangladesh Communications Team offers novel
opportunities for strong cross-HMG working and presentation of
UK's partnership with Bangladesh"[209]
It told us that visits were important for all its staff, even
at administrative level and that 200 days of visits outside of
Dhaka had taken place in 2009. In an office of 80 this only means
about two and a half days of visits per person. DFID did point
out that most of its work was in Dhaka since it had relationships
with the different line ministries.[210]
It also told us that Bangladesh was one of the trial countries
for the new DFID logoUKaidand that this should help
to improve the visibility of DFID in Bangladesh.
139. DFID needs to have a greater visible presence
in Bangladesh, in towns and villages outside of Dhaka, and perhaps
especially in Sylhet, from where the majority of Bangladeshis
in the UK originate. The new "UKaid" logo may improve
matters but it is also important that key DFID staff get out of
Dhaka regularly to visit programmes and talk to those who benefit
as well as those who do not.
181 Q 30 Back
182
Q 111 Back
183
Ev 72 Back
184
Q 30; See also World Bank, Poverty assessment for Bangladesh,
2008; IMF, Bangladesh- 2009 Article IV Consultation, Preliminary
Conclusions of the IMF Mission, 2009 Back
185
IMF, Bangladesh: Semi-annual economic update, April 2009 Back
186
"Five years of weak growth for poor nations", The
Daily Telegraph, 21 January 2010 Back
187
Ev 72, Q 12. See also World Bank, Poverty Assessment for Bangladesh,
p 18 Back
188
World Bank, Poverty Assessment for Bangladesh, p 5 Back
189
Ev 67 Back
190
Ev 68 Back
191
Ev 72 Back
192
Ev 72 Back
193
Q 114 Back
194
Q 188 Back
195
Transparency International, Corruption Perception Index 2009,
www.ti-Bangladesh.org Back
196
Q 116 Back
197
Q 124 Back
198
Q 118 Back
199
Transparency International, Corruption Perception Index 2009,
www.ti-Bangladesh.org Back
200
Ev 73 Back
201
Ev 61 Back
202
Ev 91 Back
203
Q 153 Back
204
Ev 83 Back
205
Q 8 Back
206
DFID, Bangladesh Country Plan, 2009 Back
207
Qs 139-141 Back
208
Evs 83, 65 Back
209
Ev 67 Back
210
Q 191 Back
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