CORRECTED TRANSCRIPT OF ORAL EVIDENCE To be published as HC 95-i

House of COMMONS

MINUTES OF EVIDENCE

TAKEN BEFORE

INTERNATIONAL DEVELOPMENT COMMITTEE

 

 

DFID'S PROGRAMME IN BANGLADESH

 

 

Tuesday 1 December 2009

PROFESSOR GEOF WOOD and DR MARTIN GREELEY

MR PIERRE LANDELL-MILLS and DR THOMAS TANNER

Evidence heard in Public Questions 76 - 138

 

 

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Oral Evidence

Taken before the International Development Committee

on Tuesday 1 December 2009

Members present

Malcolm Bruce, in the Chair

John Battle

Hugh Bayley

Richard Burden

Mr Mark Hendrick

Daniel Kawczynski

Andrew Stunell

________________

Witnesses: Professor Geof Wood, Professor of International Development, University of Bath; and Dr Martin Greeley, Institute of Development Studies.

Q76 Chairman: Good morning to you. It is very nice to see you. For the record could you introduce yourselves.

Dr Greeley: Good morning. I am Martin Greeley from the Institute of Development Studies at the University of Sussex.

Professor Wood: I am Geof Wood and I am at the University of Bath.

Q77 Chairman: Thank you both very much for coming in. We have visited Bangladesh so we are towards the end of the inquiry and indeed this is the last evidence session before we take evidence from the Minister. This is a situation where we are informed, or at least we have the benefit of what we have seen and heard within Bangladesh, which will obviously come through, I think, in our questioning. One of the things that was made clear to us was that whilst the caretaker government had in many ways set the basis to enable free and fair elections to take place, which had done so and created a government with a clear majority, the indications are that the old style of Bangladesh politics is reasserting itself of winner‑takes‑all, the opposition being shut out and corruption coming back in as a major factor. I wonder first of all whether you would accept that is the situation, given your knowledge over a much longer period than our snapshot, and to what extent you think the activities of DFID in trying to improve governance within Bangladesh are effective and have been effective up until now?

Dr Greeley: I think the analysis is accurate. I have been extremely disappointed with the performance of the current Government and everything I hear about that performance. If anything, it is worse than it has been before. They had a massive victory, they are taking advantage of that and it is very much a case of winner‑take‑all. I have little optimism under the current regime in Bangladesh.

Professor Wood: The Awami League Government, I am afraid, has always had this reputation. It was the party of liberation from 1972 and I witnessed it operating in Bangladesh from 1974. Whenever it has come back to power I am afraid it has reverted to strong kinship, patrimonialism and widespread corruption. There are within the extended family of the formal leadership a range of actors who are not formally in the government, they are not formally in the cabinet, but they remain hugely influential in terms of how people access contracts and opportunities.

Q78 Chairman: To what extent has DFID's budget of £20 million for governance reform, which they are spending and on which they have made some claims, contributed in any way to counter that and indeed is it capable of doing so, or is the situation beyond the ability of either DFID or the international community to influence in any way?

Professor Wood: I think there are, as always, with these situations one or two pockets of hope and it is a question of identifying them and often that means also identifying personalities and building on them. There is a unit that operates within the Assembly, the People's Empowerment Trust, which is a civil society unit supporting the Speaker of the Jatiyo Sangshad, the Assembly, in creating some of the governance structures like the ones we are witnessing here today. There is some possibility of supporting that. I am also currently associated with one of DFID's programmes in Bangladesh, the extreme poverty programme, where we have been able to, at least formally, set up an all‑parliamentary group and we are identifying one or two young MPs who we think we can begin to work with and try and provide them with enough evidence and arguments so that they can be effective. As always, there are some pockets.

Q79 Chairman: Can I just pick out one thing. In our briefing DFID says that they help to ensure the government budget is more responsive to the poor and sensitive to general issues. Do you believe that to be true?

Professor Wood: The present Finance Minister in the new government has definitely produced a far more pro‑poor budget. What is interesting is that the current Governor of the Bangladesh Bank, who is a personal friend of mine, Atiur Rahman, for many years, over 15 or 20 years, annually produced a pro‑poor critique of the annual government budget and he is now the Governor of the Bangladesh Bank and able to pull various levers. I think we have got two people in quite strong positions. I am not sure whether DFID can take much credit or responsibility for that but, nevertheless, I think that there are two people in rather key positions who are looking in the right direction.

Dr Greeley: I think it is good that they are in fact putting a focus on poverty, but if we go back through all the five‑year plans that has always been the case. There was much amusement in Bangladesh when the IMF came in and announced that we had to do poverty reduction strategy papers and focus on poverty. If they had bothered to look at the Bangladesh plans they would have seen that had always been the focus. The problem is not identifying the issue; the problem is how the Government sets about implementing its plans, and the levels of corruption associated with expenditures which are supposed to be for the poor.

Q80 Hugh Bayley: DFID has a civil service training programme which I presume is there in the belief that if you have a professionally trained, capable civil service you help to deal with some of these problems of corruption. Is the theory right and how effective is the training in meeting the goal?

Professor Wood: If I can take this because I evaluated this programme with one of the DFID output purpose reviews two years ago, in December 2007. I think you are referring to what is called the MATT2 programme, Management at the Top, and this is a programme which is trying to create a critical mass of committed, like‑minded senior civil servants at joint secretary and above, particularly identifying those who are likely to rather rapidly move into strong positions. When I was leading this review that meant I did have quite a bit of contact both with the cohorts as well as with the Establishments Division and the reforms that they are trying to take there. On paper, I think there are lots of positives in this programme. I have been trying to say to DFID and Dhaka that they should not under‑estimate the significance of this programme for all their other projects in Bangladesh because, in the end, if you are trying to have projects in relation to the Bangladesh government the reality of that is that you need to have a senior cadre of civil servants on your side sharing the same vocabulary, the same ideas and attempting to see them through. Yes, I was quite impressed with some of this cohort and very impressed with the training. I did have some criticisms because I felt that they were having a cohort of training in Bangladesh and then rather rapidly wanting them to do the same thing as has always been done in the past, and has always failed, which is then send them abroad. Sending them abroad is, frankly, a kind of treat for the civil servants, and their patrons in the Establishments Division resisted my attempts ‑ and my attempts were quite strong in the final briefing ‑ to withdraw that part of the programme in order to divert that funding into the building up of capacity in Bangladesh, whether it is the Institute of Government Studies in BRAC or whether it is the Public Administration Institute in Dhaka University, or whatever, in order to build the capacity in Bangladesh to take them through and maintain this critical mass and a kind of esprit de corps within it. I can only see that as a good move but I am not sure about the patronage/sending them abroad aspect of it.

Dr Greeley: Just to add that the problem even when you have well‑trained high‑calibre civil servants is that there is wholesale change at the top within the civil service establishment when there is a change in government and political friends are appointed from within the establishment, so it is very frustrating for DFID and other supporters of civil service strengthening.

Q81 Hugh Bayley: You both lead me into my next question. Governance is a very important context for development in that better governance tends to produce better development. You can look at Ghana versus the DRC if you like in Africa, which I know better, but, generally speaking, there has been a reluctance from DFID to plunge into dealing with governance deficits within the political establishment, within the Parliament or within political party structures. The Foreign Office does a bit of this but DFID not very much and yet in Bangladesh it is absolutely clear to me that unless you improve the standards in public life in the political parties and in the Parliament you will still have one of your two hands tied behind your back. DFID is putting £5 million or £6 million, quite a large sum of money, into developing the parliamentary and political structures. Do you think this is wise? Is it likely to pay dividends? What role do you think the Westminster Parliament and parties could play in supporting DFID's work in this field?

Dr Greeley: I think if you look at the experience under the caretaker government where there were very deliberate attempts by those in office at the time to enforce political party reform, we see that in fact there was sufficient political leverage with the leadership in both the BNP and the Awami League to resist that, and even when the caretaker government went to extremes of jailing the leadership and otherwise putting them in difficulties, there was sufficient political clout in both parties to resist that. I find it difficult to imagine that even so influential a voice as the British Government's is really going to make very much difference to that, but I welcome the pressure, and I think that continuing to spend in that manner, encouraging reform, is what we should be doing, but do not expect to count your chickens.

Q82 Hugh Bayley: Can I ask you to comment before Geof does himself on Geof's example of setting up an all‑party group within the Parliament to look at poverty reduction. Are you aware of this initiative or other initiatives of this kind and would you put this in the category of "worth trying"?

Dr Greeley: I think the all‑parliamentary approach is good, for sure, but again I am not very hopeful about it. I rather prefer the line that Geof was suggesting that if we are looking at generational transitions within the party political leadership then it is possible to identify some likely winners from a governance perspective and a shrewd level of support but not overwhelming public endorsement would be very appropriate.

Professor Wood: You are going to listen to Pierre Landell‑Mills after us and I am sure he will have comments on this as well. Part of the problem clearly with an all‑party parliamentary group idea, just to pick that up, is that we can be absolutely sure for the moment that the opposition will not play into this. You are a mixed group here from a range of parties. This does not happen in Bangladesh and one of the ways that the opposition parties attempt to de-legitimise any government in power of course is not to play ball in the Assembly, on the main floor of the house as well as the committees, so this is going to take a long time.[1] I think you can only do this if you are prepared to see it holistically as a combination of pressure from civil society, good journalism, holding MPs to account and asking them why they are not participating in some of the business that they should be as opposition MPs. I think we just have to modify our aspirations and ambitions here. One of the problems with the aid business generally is that it expects results too quickly. Obviously that is a problem for governments in our own country where we try to justify taxpayers' money against programmes of support that may take a long time to materialise.

Q83 Chairman: I take that point but John Battle put that question specifically to the Prime Minister about having an anti‑poverty committee, which she was enthusiastic about and said she was going to take forward, but what you are saying is, is there no way that pressure can be brought to bear on the opposition to say, "So you care so little about poverty you are not prepared to take part?"

Professor Wood: Exactly.

Q84 Chairman: Does that have any effect?

Professor Wood: I think that is where the pressure has to be applied. There has to be an element of embarrassment-creating processes.

Hugh Bayley: Thank you, that was very interesting.

Q85 Richard Burden: Could we just examine for a minute how the extent to which providing basic services through NGOs fits into this whole picture of accountability and what that means. In the evidence that you have put forward and the things you have said you have described Bangladesh as a "franchised state". Perhaps you could say to us what you think the developmental implications are of that and to what extent the state, with all the accountability issues we have been talking about, actually does have an influence or control over the policy and the strategic direction of basic services even if not the actual delivery of them?

Professor Wood: I suppose I ought to kick off since that is a reference to my arguments here. For those of you who may not have come across this it is just a simple point that I was making in the late 1990s that there is a bit of a contradiction between having a lot of donor aid supporting the NGO activity in Bangladesh and the growth of it and so on, particularly in the area of the delivery of basic services ‑ education and health and so on ‑ and at the same time the donors being concerned about governance. Because it seems to me that what you have is NGOs effectively taking on the functions of the state but in a non‑statutory framework in which they have no statutory obligation to their clients; it is a voluntary relationship essentially, so you have this problem. I think this is a big development problem in Bangladesh because clearly Bangladesh is famous for, and has led the world in the creation of, a series of NGOs, some of whom are now international as well like BRAC, who have done huge scales of work and implementation and brought ideas and so on to Bangladesh. So there is a lot of praise to be given for that process, but it does seem to me ultimately that there is a danger in over-privileging NGOs as a target of aid and strategic partnerships for DFID, say, the World Bank and anybody else, because it seems to me that then you have a self‑fulfilling prophecy in that you are undermining the capacity of the state and you are getting in between the relationship between citizen and state and reproducing that accountability issue. I would make one more point. I know that Martin Greeley has a lot of familiarity with BRAC, as indeed I do, and you may have been given copies of this book, and I saw Abed a few weeks ago in Dhaka myself, so there is huge respect for an organisation of this kind.[2] I do not think we are yet there with the thinking but I wonder whether we have to say with a society like Bangladesh perhaps the political settlement about policy and about the strategy and strategic priorities and implementation is one involving political party governance alongside large NGOs. However, at the moment when democratic parties are in power then they seek to marginalise the NGOs from the policy process as far as they can. Ironically, it is only when you have military governments that they are concerned to have strong alliances with NGOs as part of their reach‑out to the constituency.

Q86 Richard Burden: Maybe, Dr Greeley, you will have something to say about this. If that would be the kind of settlement that donors should be looking at, what in practical terms would that mean as far as donor policy is concerned? How would that be different to what happens now?

Professor Wood: I think it is not realistic at the moment to propose to governing political parties that have won through the ballot box ‑ and I think actually fairly in this last election ‑ that they have got to share their winner‑takes‑all approach with a set of NGOs in a significant strategic way. However, it does raise this question - what do we think about NGOs? Are we saying that they are guides to policy, they are innovators, they show the way, but in the end they are not the ones to do the macro-delivery, or are we saying they are big enough and significant enough in Bangladesh to bring them far more into the policy and implementation process. I think that is the strategic dilemma.

Q87 Richard Burden: And you ultimately come down on the second of those?

Professor Wood: No, I think I come down ultimately on the first of actually hanging in there with democratic parties and state responsibilities.

Chairman: I think we might pursue this in some more detail. Mark Hendrick?

Q88 Mr Hendrick: Just on that point. You are saying the opposition are not playing ball and therefore they are not doing their job as an opposition. Government is not doing the things it should be doing because if it was doing them you would have no need for organisations like BRAC. When we were in Bangladesh and we met with BRAC, the head there Abed was saying that he does not want to get involved with governments because then he is showing political bias to one party or another party. How do you get round this?

Professor Wood: I think he is right. That is why I opt for the first of the two solutions but I simply open up a second one.

Q89 Mr Hendrick: If you are saying then let us not be reliant on NGOs, this is a job of government and government is not doing it, and we stop supporting NGOs like BRAC, then what is going to happen? The whole place is going to go even further down the drain, surely?

Dr Greeley: We are not doing justice to NGO thinking on this issue. Abed and his colleagues at BRAC are extremely aware of the need for transition. If we take for example the education sector, last year DFID agreed to support a new programme with BRAC and BRAC put in a budget to the donors of over US $450 million and the donors rightly turned round to BRAC and said, "Why should we give you $450 million for primary education when we are also giving $800 million to the government under the primary education development programme, phase two, at the same time? What is the point in doing this?" BRAC had developed an idea of public/private partnership in their original documentation and this was very much a response to pressure from donors to demonstrate that they were working with government. In fact, we tore up that draft and we rewrote it completely because it is not up to the NGOs to say, "We are going to form a partnership with government." Government has to come to the NGOs and make that request, so what, in effect, happened in the outcome of all this was that BRAC said, "Okay, we will continue to provide education services where the government cannot reach, in remote areas, to ethnic minorities, to the poor. We will continue to support the training of government staff in the teaching programme and we will try to ensure that there is a process of transition so that in five years' time we will not be looking at BRAC schools but we will be looking at BRAC teacher training and BRAC support to government systems." I think they are very aware of it, but the timing of transition and the modalities of transition do depend upon initiatives from the government and there is a critical role for the donors to play in supporting that transition in ways which do not undermine the political neutrality of the NGOs.

Q90 Andrew Stunell: This is a very interesting line of enquiry. We have focused rather on BRAC, which is clearly quite an exceptional organisation. There are of course many other NGOs operating in the education sector, for instance, and in some cases it seems to be almost the other way round in that the government does not really acknowledge the work that the NGOs are undertaking. Could you say something about that relationship between the government and NGOs in general when it comes to the delivery of health and education and whether that relationship is sufficiently robust?

Dr Greeley: I think it is important to distinguish amongst the community of NGOs in Bangladesh. There are lots of them. What we have seen, for example in the education sector, was that upon occasion when the government decides that its chosen modality for service delivery is through the NGOs, as it has in some of its urban education programmes, that what happens is that politically minded individuals set up NGOs in order to access these programmes, and the record shows this has happened for example with major World Bank programmes in the education sector with really very, very poor outcomes for children. I think talking about NGOs in general is risky but if we talk about some of the bigger NGOs that have been there since shortly after independence, such as BRAC and some of the smaller partners which are supported and nurtured by international NGOs, then we are looking at organisations that can deliver quality services. I am a strong supporter of DFID and others providing them with resources to do that. It seems to me it is not reasonable that we should put achievement of the MDGs and the removal of extreme poverty on hold until the political process in Dhaka has sorted itself out, which may take a very long time.

Q91 Andrew Stunell: Which way round does this relationship actually work? What seemed to us was that the NGOs spring up and then the government kind of accepts them or not rather than the government initiating a process, but tell me about these political NGOs, are they party‑based NGOs?

Professor Greeley: They are set up by individuals with connections to the political parties who are willing to pay to politicians to get access to financial resources through programmes such as the hard-to-reach out-of-school children programme.

Q92 Andrew Stunell: So it is a way of siphoning off some money rather than delivering an education?

Professor Greeley: It is a way of siphoning off some money. You have to be careful which NGOs you work with. It is a very mixed bag in Dhaka.

Q93 Andrew Stunell: Do you think at the strategic level the government of Bangladesh has come to terms with how to form those relationships and monitor those relationships?

Professor Greeley: No, it has not. It has an NGO watchdog which has had good leadership on occasion and which has had reasonable relationships with some of the bigger NGOs. It could potentially fulfil that role and be an effective watchdog. It has the law behind it, it has clout, but it is not trusted because it is perceived to be political in the way in which it goes about its business.

Q94 Andrew Stunell: Does the government intend to have a pro-poor preference in terms of the way it supports NGOs in their programmes in different areas?

Dr Greeley: Yes. If you take the example of their support to microfinance, the government runs a major apex body which supplies microfinance, targeted only at those NGOs which are targeting the poorest households. Government has been able to have quite a decisive influence, in fact, on the way in which a particular sector has developed and helped it to develop in a pro-poor way.

Q95 Andrew Stunell: I think we were offered a fairly rose-tinted picture of the work that NGOs did on the one hand, in contrast to what the government was able to do on the other. You are painting perhaps a more realistic picture. Would you like to comment on where the advantage of governance lies in delivering a pro-poor policy in a rural village in Bangladesh between money channelled through an NGO and money channelled through, say, the Department of Education.

Professor Wood: One issue that really has to be understood about Bangladesh, and it affects how you think about NGOs, in the way that Martin has been saying, but it also affects how you think about government, is that you have prevailing cultural forms of doing business. These are patron-client type relationships that stretch across the country and they are extended kinship groups controlling different bits of business and so on. You are never looking at open, transparent relationships in the way that projects are selected and in the way that money is managed and handled and invoiced and all the rest of it, and it is terribly important to acknowledge that NGOs are no more insulated, in the ways in which they work on the ground, from those prevailing cultural forms of doing business, than the government. There is an organisational culture which is strongly patron-client, strongly kinship/friendship/contact-based, and that operates, as it were, beneath the surface of the formality. That is the case for non-government organisations, as it for government. When we talk about issues of governance and democracy and accountability and so on, we are really talking about trying, as it were, to take formal political and development actors, detach them, as it were, from the prevailing cultural forms of doing business that surround them, and they of course have to meet those expectations and pressures within their own societies, within their own families, amongst their own clients, so you can have very flashy, formal-looking organisations at the apex, but the reality on the ground will always be influenced by these cultures of doing business. One of the things that we have particularly noted in research over the last few years is, for example, the phenomenon of the mastaan. I do not know whether anybody mentioned this to you, but we used to think of mastaan as simply gang leaders in urban situations (recognising that power in the countryside in the past was landlords and money lenders and so on) but we are now seeing what we call a 'mastaanisation' of the countryside; that is to say, these political brokers connected to political parties and connected to business, connected to projects, contracts, engineers who are taking the big infrastructure contracts. The way in which that is done, the way in which labour is managed on rural works programmes and any contract, is all filtered through these kinds of relationships, and it is pervasive. That is why this is a long haul business and - while I remember to say it - why you need people in DFID in Dhaka who have that field exposure and understanding rather than keep churning people over on a three-year basis who really do not see all of that.

Q96 Chairman: BRAC is such a unique organisation.

Professor Wood: But not insulated from what I have just said.

Q97 Chairman: No. That was part of my question. It is huge in Bangladesh and internationally, and there are a number of aspects of that we want to explore. On the point you have just made, before I ask a general question and then bring in John Battle, there is the Public Procurement Bill which is being brought through. I am anticipating your answer would be, "What a good idea, but it will take years to take effect," but what is your general view about how effective it can be?

Professor Wood: For your efficiency, I suggest you really do ask that question to Pierre Landell-Mills.

Q98 Chairman: All right, if you think so, we will come back to that. The meeting we had with Dr Abed. BRAC is an inspirational organisation, although perhaps a little paternalistic and patronising in some of its approaches, but it is difficult to imagine what Bangladesh would be like without it. DFID perhaps understandably said it wants a strategic alliance with it. You have partially answered that question, saying, "That's all very well, but you have to build the state up as well." Do you think DFID is in danger of going up the wrong track, or do you think it is possible to do that whilst building up the state or, indeed, necessary to do so? Is it also a shortcut: BRAC is so big, DFID is a big organisation, it is very easy to deal with BRAC, it saves all the trouble of dealing with lots of other NGOs (who are clients of BRAC in many cases.) Do you think DFID is moving on the right path there, or is it in danger of going down the wrong path?

Dr Greeley: It would appear to be a sensible move from both DFID and BRAC's perspective, in that it should reduce the transactions cost of doing business. DFID has several different contracts with BRAC at the moment, supporting a variety of their programmes, but that could be centralised. It appears to be a major advantage. I worry that this is looking at it too narrowly and looking at it just from a DFID and BRAC perspective. How carefully has DFID thought through the consequences of the ways in which a government might look at this relationship? How well have we thought through how the rest of the NGO sector - which is very important for service delivery as we have been discussing - looks at this? What signals does it send about the relative importance of the NGO sector versus the state in the thinking of DFID Bangladesh? Whilst I can understand the reasoning behind it, it is making a major statement about British understanding of the development path in Bangladesh, and I worry that all the implications of that have not been thought through.

Professor Wood: I am very glad Martin said that, because he is closer to BRAC then I am, but that very much is my view. It is worth saying, also, that about 10 years ago DFID went into an over-privileged relationship to BRAC, supporting its microfinance work, and supporting the evolution of the BRAC Bank, and I had a lot of arguments with DFID at that time because by setting up the relationship exclusively with BRAC to enable the bringing about of the BRAC Bank, DFID effectively undermined other negotiations that were going on to create a bank for the NGO sector as a whole, to enable a whole lot of other microfinance organisations to move into the same banking relationships with the poor as Grameen obviously already had and BRAC was able to evolve. I think that DFID at that time behaved quite non-developmentally across the sector and I think on our over-privileged relationship with BRAC it will do the same.

Chairman: Thank you.

Q99 John Battle: We visited BRAC's Challenging the Frontiers of Poverty Reduction programme. We went out and saw a pre-school, we went to a village where a woman called, if I remember rightly, Chanka told us that she had lost her husband to TB. She had nothing and there was a scheme to give her a grant, that enabled her to use good husbandry - from chickens to goats to cows - to get enough money by selling milk to get a loan to put a tin roof on her home. Then we met the village Poverty Reduction Committee that was managing this. We sat round and I was impressed by BRAC's blending of livelihoods, legal advice - as well as barefoot medics, barefoot lawyers -and for women in the Muslim context as well. That blend was quite impressive, but I have come away asking: if I liked the community development/integration that is going on, what impact does it really have? They have coined the phrase "the ultra poor" but what impact is BRAC having in Bangladesh on tackling the percentage of ultra poor, making sure they get access to resources and development? Are they the only ones in the game? What are the main challenges in seeking to expand the programme? How large is it? Really whether it is making a structural impact on poverty reduction targets nationally.

Dr Greeley: This programme emerged from a recognition that the main vehicle for poverty reduction in Bangladesh had been the delivery of microfinance services. Research demonstrated that the ultra poor, the extreme poor, were not getting access through these services. BRAC took a long time developing that programme. I am really pleased that the Committee had the opportunity to visit this in the field. It is one of the most important programmes in Bangladesh. It was very influential in the development of DFID's other programme, the Chars Livelihoods Programme. Many ideas were borrowed and it has also been useful for those partners working in DFID's Shiree Programme in partnership with the government. The important thing about this programme is that it is an innovation that provides an alternative model to two main pathways to development. It is not a programme of pure social transfers, it is not a programme of economic empowerment through the market, it is a blend of those two. By providing a grant element initially and the support for health and for legal services, it provides the basis for households which otherwise would not be able to do so, to engage effectively in the market. It is a one-off lift-me-up, a promotional safety net. It is a model which is now being copied in seven other countries. It is called a graduation model, somewhere between the social transfer and the market-based approach. The research on the long-term benefits to the clients is coming in now. There are some very scientific studies underway. The initial evidence is extremely positive. The most positive element that visitors time and time again repeat is the transformation that they observe in the behaviour, attitudes and aspirations of the clients. If you see these households, particularly the women in the households, prior to programme participation and after they have been there two years, it is absolutely incredibly. You will not need to look for science. You can see it in their eyes. You can see the transformation.

Q100 John Battle: I was very impressed. I learned about the blend. What I enjoyed the most was the legal element and I would readily transfer the model, with some tweaking, into inner city Leeds, where there are all kinds of challenges. I thought that legal element would really work for community engagement in some of the minority communities in my neighbourhood. It added a new dimension about their personal, community and family empowerment and I thought that was a very radical model that had a much wider blend and a  deeper mixing, as it were, of the issues than I had ever seen anywhere in the world. I was impressed. I would still come back to the question of the sustainability of it, however. It was on a small scale, in one village, and they needed to choose seven people in the village to give a grant to to get them going. I wonder how replicable it is across the country and how sustainable it is against really big shocks, such as if a flood comes in or there is salination of all the fields. How sustainable is that model of development?

Professor Wood: I have a slightly different take. I have a lot of experience with another organisation, PROSHIKA, which was very large on the ground for a long time - and still is, although it is having some problems with its leadership at the moment. The kinds of programmes that we talk about here are not unique to BRAC. They have been in Bangladesh for a very long time. There is a particular problem in that a lot of the poverty reduction strategies in Bangladesh have been of this kind. The legal services aspect has been in Bangladesh for 20 years: it started in Madanpur in the South many years ago, and there was an organisation called GSS, which now is also a bit defunct - you have to remember NGOs do come and go in Bangladesh.

Q101 John Battle: Everywhere.

Professor Wood: GSS pioneered the legal services ideas quite a time ago. All of these kinds of ideas are around, but the particular point I want to make is that generally in Bangladesh and amongst its donors there has been a kind of small-scale entrepreneurialism model, "empowerment through the market" type approach. I have been involved in lots of programmes which have supported that. We always say that people need to walk on two legs, they need to have economic empowerment in order to have political empowerment and to be able to have the confidence politically to change a lot of the institutional environment around them. No problem with that. If we look at these definitions that we are seeing: "ultra poor," "extreme poor," "hard core poor," et cetera, et cetera, all of this language and some of the definitions that we are using for this, we are still talking about 35 million people in Bangladesh who may not have the capacity - not just a mental/educational capacity, not just an asset capacity, but a relationships capacity within these patron-client relations and so on - for the kind of counterpart action that is required for those sorts of programmes to work. It is worth remembering that in this country (i.e. the UK) the welfare budget outside health and education exceeds the global quantum of official aid annually, and this is in a vastly rich country. We have a huge social protection safety net programme in this country, which runs into £120 billion or whatever annually, so it seems to me that we have to be very careful when we are looking at the extreme poor - and some of that is geographical, in terms of particular areas of Bangladesh that are always going to be subject to shocks and floods: they are going to be tripped up, they are going to have crises in their livelihoods and so on, and then there are others who are idiosyncratically poor, in the sense that they are disabled, they are old, they are orphans or in a whole lot of other categories there - and we do have to look at the stronger aspect of the blend, the social protection safety net side of it. That is where we come back to the previous discussion about the state, because, in the end, if you accept an element of that agenda, then that has to be through the state and that has to be through wider taxation. One of my worries about short-term/medium-term development thinking about donors is that they do tend to encourage, as it were, the immediate short term - which is your point about sustainability - whereas one of the things that is needed is to pressurise the state in Bangladesh to tax its rising middle classes and to be prepared to engage in a political settlement that has a stronger social protection, safety net element to the blend. I do not want to knock anything out, but I want to alter the balance a bit.

Dr Greeley: These programmes do contribute to the resilience of households to deal with risks such as climate-related risk, by building their asset base and providing them with the means to cope with shocks to income in the short term. I have a more positive view than Geof about the way in which these short-term benefits can translate into longer-term economic empowerment of the household unit. The BRAC programme, in particular, and also the DFID‑supported Chars Livelihoods Programme are extremely well-designed programmes: very thoughtful, based on lots of experience, and are very well implemented on the whole. They do provide a model which is quite distinctive from a social protection model. They are taking not the lame, the halt, and the blind, but other people in households who are capable of benefiting from the market but do not have the assets, perhaps do not have the connections, in the way that Geof was describing currently, but can be provided with them. It is a short-term lift which makes a long-term difference.

Q102 John Battle: Do developmentalists always work in the south of the world and not the north? My obsession is asking whether we could do some reverse engineering. In my neighbourhood the thing that is missing is legal aid. It is one of the social protections that has dropped out. I am living in a neighbourhood where we have quite a lot of domestic violence issues in some of the communities where women have no protection. I know BRAC have gone into Africa on the developmental model but does anybody ask, instead of BRAC having an office in London to campaign for support for Bangladesh, whether BRAC could work in inner cities in the North.

Dr Greeley: There are microfinance programmes which have borrowed their ideas from the South.

John Battle: Indeed, but it is more of that connection, including that legal framework that was in the village. Has anybody done any research on it or tried to experiment with it in North America, Britain, Germany or wherever else?

Q103 Chairman: They are moving into the Netherlands.

Professor Wood: Oxfam have done quite a bit of reverse engineering. It is important to recognise that Bangladesh and Bangladeshis have taught international NGOs and international civil societies a lot. I absolutely agree with you on reverse engineering. We may have some slight variance of strategic differences, but I am always looking at these programmes and asking, "Why haven't we got them in the UK?"

Dr Greeley: Now DFID is in discussions, including with our institute, and looking at ways in which British aid can help BRAC promote South-South Learning, through the university as well as through its service delivery programme. That is a very good initiative from the DFID Bangladesh office.

John Battle: I am encouraged to follow that up.

Q104 Hugh Bayley: The Chars Livelihoods Programme has almost become a cliché of a success story. A small group of us went to visit one of the chars and it seemed to be delivering. It seemed to be modelled on this part cash transfer/part engagement in the market BRAC model, but I wonder whether it is cost-effective compared with other interventions. I particularly wonder why it is managed by an international company, Maxwell Stamp. The guys in Maxwell Stamp seem good, but why build that layer into a programme? It must add 50 % to the cost.

Dr Greeley: Yes, I certainly worry about the role of management companies and the extra costs associated with them, but I think DFID are doing it because they do not have the personnel themselves to manage directly, and there are, as we know, these massive issues of governance in Bangladesh, so bringing in a London company to do the business makes sense. At least they have some form of guarantee or at least they hope that their money is being well spent. In fact, if you dig down a bit more, the quality of spend is not always that much better because of having these companies in. If you compare the cost-effectiveness of the two big models of BRAC and this Chars Livelihoods Programme, I would imagine that BRAC will come in at something less than a half of the cost per client moved out of poverty. I worry a bit about it, but at that price you do get some guarantees about what is being delivered, and it seems to me that in the Bangladesh context that is not a bad thing to be sure about, if there are no other mechanisms to be sure that you are getting it.

Q105 Hugh Bayley: It is going back to ground we have covered, but are you saying that you would get less of a guarantee if you funded it through BRAC or an NGO?

Dr Greeley: No. As I said before, the NGO is a big world in Bangladesh and there are different qualities. BRAC have been investigated in depth by DFID, looking at their books, crawled over with a fine-toothed comb more than once, and there have been absolutely zero issues. They are transparent and they are clean and it has been evident through heavyweight audit activity.

Q106 Hugh Bayley: What is the argument, then, of going for a more expensive way of purchasing insurance?

Dr Greeley: Diversification.

Professor Wood: Let me come in - and I should declare an element of conflict of interest because I am involved in the Shiree Programme. The Shiree Programme is clearly taking an element of the model from the Chars Livelihood Programme. It is also taking a model from something else which you may have encountered in your visit: Manusher Jonno, the human rights governance programme. That model, if I remember the figures, is £13 million from DFID for funding, initially, a contracting management company, but to hand over a challenge fund to Bangladeshi management - which is now the case - and that is to support civil society governance activity in Bangladesh. The Sheering Programme at the moment is a management company, Harrow Well. I think that some of this is a principal agent problem: How much do you trust your agent? The point about BRAC: clean, all the rest of it, reduced transaction costs, looks hugely attractive as a partnership because of all of that. The danger, as we have already said, is over-privileging that. What signals are you sending, who are you excluding, and what else are you undermining in that process? With Shiree, it is £65 million DFID, and it is roughly 40:15:10, and the £40 million is for scaling up NGOs which have already proved that they can do a whole lot of stuff - non BRAC, because obviously there is a DFID line of funding to BRAC anyway. There are six substantial NGOs. Some of them have an international mix. They are scaling up known ideas - these blended models and so on, because they are all over the place. Then there is a £15 million budget for innovation (Where can we experiment?) and, crucially, there is £10 million for lessons learned and policy transformation. This is where the All Party Parliamentary Group formation comes in and lobbying and taking the evaluation and research into policy. There is an issue, and it is absolutely current right now. I am slightly detached, I am on the National Steering Committee with the Bangladesh government overseeing this programme, and I have been slightly worried that the management company has been too proactive in auditing its partner NGOs. In a sense, it has almost been distrusting of them and doing very fine audits - the principal agent issue - whereas my developmental instincts are: if, through a fair amount of scrutiny, we have brought these NGOs into a partnership, then we have to have some trust here because this has to be co-ownership. This programme might disappear, and what we need is those NGOs and those ideas sustainably implemented on the ground long after the management group has left. There are those principal agent issues here.

Q107 Andrew Stunell: I wonder if the Professor might like to drop the Committee a note on some of the points just raised, which obviously raise issues about other organisations. To come back to the Chars Livelihoods Programme, is it holistic enough? With the village we visited, the school was miles away and there were no health workers. They are comparatively short-term investments because the islands themselves are not there for a long time. Can you comment on whether the programme should look more holistically at the provision of other services or is it even just a waste of time?

Dr Greeley: I wish I knew the answer to that. It is very difficult to be clear about what the right solutions are for the chars' populations. Sometimes we think the only real solution in the long term is migration away from those areas because robust livelihoods are impossible. But then you ask: migration to where? Then you visit Dhaka and you see the problems there with migrants, so you have a think again about alternative solutions. I am an optimist: I think we will find suitable solutions, but it is extremely challenging at these very low levels of livelihood. If the programmes are successful - and they appear to be moving in the right direction - in strengthening the resilience of households to floods and other weather-related events, it will be easier then to put pressure on the government to deliver the other services more effectively than it is managing at the moment. There is some evidence that success in strengthening livelihoods will have wider benefits, but, I agree, at the moment, just with livelihoods without attention to service delivery in the social sector, it is an incomplete programme.

Professor Wood: The coastal areas are going to be rather similar, as climate change will have an impact. You may be asking some questions about that later. The other point to make is that the Bangladeshi population moves around quite a lot and the rural population is quite mobile - obviously women less than men. When you are taking the whole picture, you do have to look at rural-rural as well as rural-urban migration patterns. People are accessing employment, they are accessing services away from where you might have visited, even though they have residences there, and of course a lot of these families are remittance dependent - and I do not mean necessarily overseas remittance dependent but internally remittance dependent - so when you look at the livelihoods picture you have to look at that total picture rather than just investing in what is there in that particular place.

Q108 Andrew Stunell: That is okay for the men, but we visited a village where most of the women had not had education and there were 200 children who could not access education. Is there a role in terms of advocating a broader approach to service delivery on the chars with local government or regional government or whatever it might be?

Professor Wood: Local government, yes.

Dr Greeley: Support for strengthening local government initiatives to deliver in those areas. There is scope for DFID to play an important role there. I would strongly endorse that, yes.

Professor Wood: On your point about women, if you are looking at female-headed households or female-managed households where men are not evident, then you absolutely have a point, but it is also worth remembering that a lot of the time you are looking at a female-managed household where there are mobile men contributing resources to the household.

Dr Greeley: The point I would make is that I would not see that service delivery as a component of the Chars Livelihoods Programme. We know from experience with humanitarian assistance that you set up independent provision and then transitions to state provision become difficult. It has to be through the health department, through the education department and finding ways and means to encourage them to provide services which they are legally bound to provide anyway and they are not doing.

Andrew Stunell: Thank you.

Q109 Chairman: Chars is a livelihoods programme but it is also, to some extent, a food production programme but there are gaps in the year when that does not work. What more needs to be done to give them food security throughout the year? In the context of that, what strategy is needed to sustain it through the climate change? One is more short term, but for the longer period is it social intervention or is it something else. In the context of climate change, is it a losing battle?

Dr Greeley: In the short term, the provision of food security, we are sort of pushing against an open door here, because the issue of the hungry season in the last few years has become a huge political debate. There is wide press coverage as well of incidents of the so-called "monga" or famine during this period. There is scope for DFID and other partners of the Bangladesh government to support innovation and this would be in the form of enhanced public distribution systems with access through some form of targeted ration card. That system exists at the moment. There is scope for strengthening it. At the moment we have what are usually not bad but ad hoc responses, which are opportunities taken by politicians as well as responses provided by humanitarian NGOs. That is the short term. For the longer term, it is a crystal ball. I would not like to predict what the consequences of climate change are going to be. The types of intervention that DFID are making through the Chars Livelihoods Programme are contributing to household resilience and I think that is the main thing that we have to do in this era of uncertainty about the impact of that expected climate change.

Chairman: I would like to thank you both very much. They were very helpful answers. Probably our questions were better informed having been there, but your long experience adds a huge amount to it. Thank you very much.


Witnesses: Mr Pierre Landell-Mills, The Policy Practice and Partnership for Transparency Fund, and Dr Thomas Tanner, Institute of Development Studies, University of Sussex, gave evidence.

Q110 Chairman: Welcome and thank you very much for coming to this evidence session. You obviously heard the earlier evidence and I am sure you can embellish on it. For the record, I would ask you to introduce yourselves.

Mr Landell-Mills: Pierre Landell-Mills. I am a Principal of The Policy Practice and President of the Partnership for Transparency Fund

Dr Tanner: I am Tom Tanner from the Institute of Development Studies at the University of Sussex.

Chairman: We had a very useful session, although we did not expand on everything we could have done, and you may well be able to add to it. I am going to ask John Battle to take the first question.

Q111 John Battle: Just on the general overall economic position of Bangladesh, someone said to me, "Bangladesh, you might as well forget it, because China will hoover up all manufacturing halfway through this century." We visited a furniture factory that was making furniture that was quite an interesting supported project. Where do you see the economy of Bangladesh going? Can it get beyond garments and shrimps to higher technology? Will it hold its own against China? What can donors do to help expand the international linkages for a market economy that would help them sell their products?

Mr Landell-Mills: The economy of Bangladesh has always surprised people. It is remarkably resilient. It has been remarkably innovative in meeting its challenges. The fact that it has been growing 4 or 5 % consistently over a long period of time - and with the population growth rate declining per capita incomes have been growing even more rapidly over time, over 3.5 % - it is certainly above the norm for poor countries. IDA[3] countries have an average of 1.8 %, and Bangladesh is over 3 %, so I think one should be reasonably confident that the Bangladeshi economy can respond to challenges. When the Multi-Fibre Arrangement came to an end, it was expected that this would be a dramatic challenge for Bangladesh and that they would be overwhelmed by competition from Vietnam, in particular, because we are looking at the very lowest end of the production chain, but in fact they have maintained their market share and they are doing quite well. The evidence is that Bangladesh could substantially increase its rate of economic growth if it could only address the governance problems that we have been talking about and the bottlenecks to growth which result from that. For example, a completely dysfunctional port at Chittagong; energy crises because they have not been addressing the very serious management issues in the energy sector which are not technical - the technical solutions are there - but are managerial and governance again. We always come back to the governance issue. I would say with regard to the previous discussion that if we remember that the most significant way of drawing people out of poverty is faster economic growth, and if you look at the very substantial reduction, the halving almost, of people in poverty from the time of independence, it is largely due to economic growth, if we could only get the economic growth rate up from 4 or 5 % to 6, 7, 8 % - which is totally feasible, given the potential and the inefficiencies in the system, if you could get the inefficiencies out of the system. One of the challenges is not to get bogged down so much in the detailed discussions on livelihoods and to say: "Why can we not help raise the growth rate of Bangladesh from its present level another two or three percentage points?" That would, I think, make Bangladesh a middle-income country in the space of 10 or 15 years, and I would propose that one should focus on that. How could DFID contribute to that? What is it in fact that is preventing this move from the current highly inefficient management of the support for development and allow the private sector, which has demonstrated its vitality, to deliver?

Dr Tanner: I have less expertise on the economics side, but this paradox of Bangladesh, that despite all the constraints you have significant growth and poverty reduction, is worth bearing in mind when we think of China potentially hoovering up the garment trade. You have seen these kinds of challenges before, and despite that there is an incredible resilience. We see that through the resilience to climate shocks and stresses as well. But I would add, on top of Pierre's comments, that I am not a firm believer that economic growth is the only way: I think there is a strong role for redistribution, as has been mentioned by the other witnesses here, about increasing the taxation system and the state providing for social protection and welfare in the country, and, also, considering the environmental sustainability of those actions. We have seen the garment industry, in particular, having severe environmental consequences which then had knock-on effect particularly on the poor and most vulnerable, particularly in terms of water quality and air quality.

Q112 Chairman: One of the first visits we made in Dhaka was to the Scope School in Mirpur. It was a technical college, effectively, vocational training, I would say, comparable to the best I have ever seen anywhere, including here in the UK and better than some. We were told that it was providing skills in the usual things that technical colleges do, like electricians, plumbers, joiners and so on, and they were guaranteeing 95 % employment take-up for the graduates of that school. The point was also made to us that they were providing skills which were imported from around and about, so that if you needed your fridge repaired or your car repaired, the chances were it would be imported labour that was doing it. Is that the way forward? Is that not a classic area where there could and should be public/private partnership, because the beneficiaries of these skills are mostly private sector companies?

Mr Landell-Mills: Absolutely. One of the tragedies in the past was that so many good projects were started and then 10 years later had succumbed to bad governance or wider dysfunctional societal cultural factors that Geof so well described. I hope that that school will continue to do good work, but the challenge is to continue to try to keep these kinds of institutions functioning properly.

Q113 Chairman: One of the Members of our Committee said that, just looking at it, it was a no-brainer and DFID was putting in a substantial amount of money. It was extremely efficiently run by a retired brigadier, so the discipline was clear. The point to make is that the Bangladesh government was not supporting it. If you are arguing that what you need to look at is how you raise the growth rate by 2 or 3 % per year, is it not the simple fact that if the government would support those kinds of institutions, that would be a simple way of helping to achieve that?

Mr Landell-Mills: It depends how the government supports them. If they take it over, you may find that it starts to function like a government institution and does not function in the way that you have described. Bangladesh is littered with wonderful examples of wonderful things that have been done by different people, private initiative or individual initiative or even within government. Occasionally individuals have done wonderful things, but the trouble is that they are islands in a much larger dysfunctional government.

Q114 Chairman: That may be a cultural point. When you walk into a place like this particular school, you can see the benefit that Bangladesh gets from the skills provided, you see the benefit the private sector gets from the availability of those skills, and yet neither the government nor the private sector is making a contribution. How do you break that cycle?

Mr Landell-Mills: It is a very short-term perspective that people have. The businessmen could provide a very strong lobby for governance reform. Yet all the businessmen are integrated into these cultural networks, political networks, and reform is perceived as taking a long time. A businessman wants his customs clearance next week. It is much easier to pay somebody to get that done than to mount a programme of reform of the customs organisations. There has to be some kind of reconciliation between the short-term interests of businessmen and the longer-term perspective; and the issue is how to create that longer-term perspective. One of the ways - and this is a surprising area of neglect by all the donors - is to build institutions in civil society - and I do not mean that of NGOs, because NGOs are just one part of civil society - to build up chambers of commerce and industry, to build up professional associations, to build up the media, to help the accountancy profession to perform correctly. There are odd examples of that being tackled, but generally there is no strategy for dealing with strengthening the institutions of civil society. The only way in which governance is going to be improved is that pressure comes internally from a broad spectrum of stronger civil society institutions that infiltrate, as it were, the whole political culture.

Chairman: We have a few questions that are going to follow that up.

Q115 Andrew Stunell: Bangladesh has very low rates of revenue collection which means obviously it cannot really pay for services. We were quite struck by a story we were told that MPs are now all paying tax - but, on the other hand, they get a coupon to re-claim it, so it is not a very effective system. Do you see this as mostly a question of administrative capacity or is it political will? Where are the barriers? What would be an effective route for DFID or other agencies to take to improve the situation?

Mr Landell-Mills: The barriers are those that Geof described. It is the whole society that is embedded in a cultural system that does not make that very easy. How can DFID or the donors generally make an impact? They can do so by a very long-term persistent effort, working with government on reform. There has to be a very clear sense that this is not a short-term issue because they are long-term issues. There has to be a clarity of purpose which the donors have never had that takes the reform programme forward over 10, 15, 20, 25 years, and keeps trying to strengthen that system. A very good example is DFID's support for the accounting system which was initiated in the mid-1990s: a very successful programme, but one which in the end did not deliver anything like the results that were expected because it was not continued into phase 2, phase 3, phase 4, phase 5. Once you start an institutional reform in a country like Bangladesh, you have to recognise that you are in it for the next 10 or 20 years if you really want to get results. If you think you can do it in five or six years or you have evaluation systems that say that if you have not finished the job in five or six years, you move on to something else, you are undermining the very basis on which change takes place.

Q116 Hugh Bayley: What can you tell us about the level of corruption in Bangladesh? What proportion of the state budget is currently diverted away from purchasing public goods? What is DFID doing about this and what is it not doing that it ought to be doing?

Mr Landell-Mills: The estimates would be wildest guess estimates. Almost every transaction somehow has a corrupt element to it. While I was there - and it may have changed since: I spent 5 years as the country director for the World Bank - a minister of public works was "selling" regional engineering director positions for half a million dollars.

Q117 Hugh Bayley: The budget of a regional engineer during the period ----

Mr Landell-Mills: It would have been a number of millions, but he would only get a part of whatever he collected because he has to distribute it around the whole system. I would think that you should be thinking of 15 to 30 % is getting siphoned off.

Q118 Hugh Bayley: It is staggering. What is DFID and the Bank perhaps doing to address the problem and reduce its own vulnerability for the problem? What more could be done?

Mr Landell-Mills: There are various ways of reducing it. You obviously can make sure that your own operation ostensibly does not have any corruption in there, in the sense that you track every transaction, you make sure that the accounting system is good, but the fact of the matter is that anyone who bids for a contract knows that he is going to have to pay off people and so everyone will include an element for that in their bid, otherwise they will find out that they cannot carry out the contract. If you take something like the construction of the Jamuna Bridge, one of the largest projects ever undertaken in that part of the world, there was an enormous effort to make sure that that was not corrupt, but everyone knew that payments were going in all sorts of different ways. The formal system would say there was no corruption, because there was competitive bidding, the contracts were coming in as expected, they were being delivered as expected, but the fact is that everyone had taken account of that in making their bids.

Q119 Hugh Bayley: If you had that level of corruption in an African country, other than possibly in the mineral extraction sector, you would get no foreign investment at all because it would be more trouble than it was worth to work in that kind of economic environment, and yet Bangladesh does attract inward investment. Why?

Mr Landell-Mills: You get investment if you can make a profit. You take account of the fact that there is corruption involved in transactions. There is much activity going on and it is obviously profitable activity. I think that is a problem. If you take the recent surveys, the 2005 surveys which were done on investment climate, nearly 80 % of the people said that they would expect to make payments in order to do business.

Q120 Hugh Bayley: You overheard the earlier exchanges that we had about DFID funding governance improvements within the parliament and the political parties. Does that seem maybe a long-term but nevertheless sensible strategy?

Mr Landell-Mills: There are two sides to governance reform. One is supply side and the other is demand side. The donors have concentrated, DFID in particular, very largely on the supply side; that is to say, how can we make accounting more efficient or more accountable and less corrupt. How can we make procurement less corrupt? How can we see the public finance system being managed in a non-corrupt way? There are all sorts of methodologies for achieving that and they have worked on those consistently for a very long time. But if there is not a demand side, and if there are no sanctions, ultimately, for misbehaviour, you are not going to get rid of the corruption. There has to be a focus now to try to get the balance right between the demand side and the supply side of governance. The demand side comes from civil society.

Q121 Chairman: Is the Public Procurement Bill going to make any difference?

Mr Landell-Mills: I think it would make a difference, yes. But you need civil society watchdogs, you need the media to be watching - you need to be sure that somebody is watching to make sure that it is being implemented correctly. Passing a law does not achieve anything if it is not implemented correctly.

Q122 Hugh Bayley: Civil society and the media are important. I simplify the argument but in our earlier exchanges I think we were being told that the older generation, the current leadership of both parties, is so culturally attuned to this way of doing business it is never going to change but maybe there are some younger elements who perhaps have had international exposure who could be persuaded to build reputations for themselves by doing politics in a different way, in the same way that some of the NGO leaders have won international reputations for themselves by building a capacity for delivery of public goods in an accountable way. Do you think it is worth pursuing that?

Mr Landell-Mills: The fact that younger people are exposed to an international environment, getting educated at reputable universities overseas, maybe working for a while in environments that have integrity systems in place is all for the good. Obviously what you get, in a sense, is a family that has young people coming back who are appalled at the corruption. Whether they can avoid getting drawn into it is the issue. Some will get drawn into it but some will fight it. They will be the key elements for the long-term reform.

Q123 Hugh Bayley: It seems to me that until you break this stranglehold that the political class has, this malign influence that the political class has over the economy, you are going to abate development by 3 or 4 % a year. It is going to have a long and invasive negative effect. Even though it may be a long haul, donors like DFID ought to be working on governance within the political elite as well as the administrative Civil Service.

Mr Landell-Mills: My observation in Bangladesh was that if you went down all the significant reforms, administrative process types of reform and governance reforms, all of them had been promoted by the donor community over decades. There was no significant reform that took place that I knew of which had not been the subject of endless donor pressure. The fact that that is being achieved is reason to continue. If you take the telecommunications sector, it is slowly being opened up and made more competitive; before a few people were simply milking the telecommunications monopoly for their benefit. The very fact that modern technology is unavoidable and is bringing in all sorts of new ways of doing business which make corruption more difficult is really significant. For example, e-procurement will be a really important move. When I was there, if one of the more powerful groups wanted to tender, they would surround the office where you delivered the tender with mastaans, and anybody who was not part of their group would simply get beaten up. e-procurement will allow the submission of bids which cannot be interfered with in that way. Land titling had always been an extraordinarily corrupt business, because you could go into the land title registry and change things. If it is all computerised, you can see that those records are available, and you can track any person who goes in to change any record, if you have electronic records, you immediately can transform the land registry administration. Customs is hugely corrupt, but if you carry out most of the transactions electronically and all the payments are made electronically, it makes it much more difficult for the customs people to take their share. There are lots of things that can be done to curb corruption.

Q124 Mr Hendrick: Whilst you can do some things electronically, under-the-table payments can still take place in cash. Certainly from my knowledge of Central and Eastern European countries, what we would regard as corruption they either see as commission or hospitality. Is there not an element of that in the culture still? Will it not be almost impossible to eradicate that?

Mr Landell-Mills: You will not eradicate it, of course. We have not eradicated corruption in this country and we have not eradicated it in other European countries, so it will go on. It is a constant battle. It is a battle for integrity. But I think the important thing is to try to get the systems functioning with a reasonable degree of efficiency and integrity. At the moment there is so much interference in the transactions that you have a very high level of inefficiency. One must try to get those who are corrupt to see that certain actions are so damaging to their own interests that that corruption can then be tackled, although they will always be searching for other ways of being corrupt, that is for sure. For example, at Chittagong Port, it takes 18 days to turn a ship around, while in Singapore they can do it in 36 hours. In relation to the inefficiency of having ships waiting to come in and waiting to go out, there is a huge benefit to be achieved by transforming Chittagong into the Singapore situation that could be shared by everyone. You could try to build a coalition of interested reformers to carry that reform out and that is the way forward. It is the fact that corruption in individual cases benefits a relatively small number of people and a very large number of people who are damaged by it. If you can mobilise the many people who are being damaged to put pressure on the few that are gaining, then you will make progress. It is a matter of just how you manage that process.

Q125 Chairman: Thank you. Dr Tanner, climate change is absolutely the central issue for Bangladesh. The impact of climate change is already happening there. Could you give us your up-to-date thinking on the current impacts and the developing impacts of climate change as it affects Bangladesh? For your information, we did meet with the Prime Minister and, of course, she is certainly going to be in Copenhagen and will be making strong points on behalf of the country for their need to have substantial funding for adaptation, but it would be useful from the Committee's point of view to hear your take on where Bangladesh is at the moment on this issue.

Dr Tanner: Bangladesh is rightly up there with the most vulnerable countries. It always claims it should be amongst the group of the Small Island Development States, the most severely impacted by climate change both now and in the future. Given that they have more islands than any of those countries and they have more people on the largest island than all of the other small island countries put together, that is regularly trotted out. I will not give you a rundown of the latest IPCC[4], other than perhaps to stress that the thing for me and for many people that was missing from the IPCC fifth assessment report is the impact on sea-level rise, and, particularly, the impact of ice changes, which was basically ignored in the IPCC fifth assessment report. It was seen as too difficult because of so much uncertainty. I think they made a wrong decision to leave it out on that basis rather than put it in and say, "We accept that there are large uncertainties around this." There was a report released even today from the Scientific Committee on Antarctic Research looking at the Antarctic ice sheets, which have been under-explored (the focus has always been on the Arctic rather than the Antarctic). The estimates of sea-level rise were under-estimated in the IPCC report and it kind of took the wind out of the sea-level rise element of climate change somewhat that has always been there in Bangladesh because of the low-lying topography. There is reason for concern. In the Bangladesh context - and I do not think you went down to the coastal areas - my experience there was really seeing that this is not about creating a line on a map and saying "Sea-level rise will inundate this much," but it is about patterns of flooding and waterlogging. Just as important as flooding, is waterlogging. That is heavily constrained by human activity. The extent to which the land is drained and has adequate drainage has been heavily compromised. That brings me to the point I want to drive home most strongly, which is that the reason why Bangladesh is vulnerable is in part because of its geography and natural hazards, but it is as strongly informed by its human development, the human component of vulnerability. It has very large numbers of poor people, who are poorly equipped capacity wise and living in very marginal areas. You went to the chars, for example, and you will have seen just how marginal those are. That is an important element. It tells us that development solutions are these core development issues which previous witnesses and I am sure you in your previous dealings have dealt with. It provides some new challenges but it provides the core development challenge of beating poverty and increasing assets.

Q126 Chairman: The impact has three different directions, does it not? It is a greater volume of water coming down the river from the ice melts of the Himalayas, the increased frequency of devastating cyclones, and rising sea levels. It is coming at them from all sides. What capacity do they have to deal with this? You could say, in a sense, that what we saw in the chars was a practical response to seasonal flooding, measured by what they know the levels are and the raising of the plinths. We were told, "Yes, you could manage that, you know what level it is" but cyclones are unpredictable. Of course if you have a situation of the sea level rising and more water coming down the rivers, then things are going to happen which are not predictable or which are way above what is predicted. In terms of anticipating those things and in terms of doing anything about it, does Bangladesh have the capacity? Perhaps I could put it in this context: if at Copenhagen they got what they wanted, if they were to be told, "We are going to give you a fund," what would they be able to do with it?

Dr Tanner: The level of resilience not just to economic but to climate shocks and stresses in Bangladesh is quite remarkable. Is it sufficient at the moment, the answer is most certainly no, given the current level of shocks and stresses. We see significant falls in GDP as a result of climate related shocks and stresses, so that suggests there is much that can be done there, but there has been great progress. If you look at the example of cyclones, for example, although they are not readily predictable, you can have cyclone early warning systems and you can have improved cyclone shelters and improvements in the construction and the thought processes around construction: having the ability to take animals into the shelters in the low levels, and using them as multipurpose, as schools, as well. The example of Cyclone Sidr, which was devastating economically, and in some cases in terms of lives, is nothing compared to the shocks in the 1970s and earlier cyclones in terms of lives lost. We have seen dramatic progress. Government capacity to respond is stretched, as it is for much service delivery, but Bangladesh does have significant experience in this and in that sense it is ahead of the curve compared to some countries which are getting very new shocks and stresses and do not have the history that Bangladesh has.

Q127 John Battle: If the sea rises, it is salt water that, in a sense, infects the fields and they cannot grow things. Is that a risk now? Is salination - if that is a word - a real problem? How do you solve salination?

Dr Tanner: I do not know whether it is salination or salinisation. Yes, that is a very real concern. That is already a concern for, again, a mix of human and natural. There is evidence that there is greater saline water coming further inland now. Some of that is to do with a change in climate and sea levels which are already rising, and some of that is to do with drought conditions which can be either climate-related or human-related, because in the dry seasons you have upstream river control through sluices and dam barrages. Saline ingress has been steadily increasing and this is as important for drinking water as it is for field systems.

Q128 John Battle: Is there a filter system? Are there technological answers to that or do people just have to move if the salt water rushes in and floods your rice fields?

Dr Tanner: The low-tech solution would be to think about how you change that system. Are there different varieties of rice or whatever crop you are growing that are more saline tolerant? Then there is the moving to a different type of crop or different agricultural system. There are lots of examples of moving more to agriculture. There are lots of examples of crab fattening and shrimps. The final one is: when do you actually move? Another example is floating gardens, so you float reeds on the water hyacinth and then plant crops on that.

Q129 John Battle: So there is some technical imagination going on. In Bangladesh DFID use the Opportunity and Risks of Climate Change and Disasters (ORCHID) methodology to assess its programmes for climate risk. You have worked on that assessment. What lessons have been learned from the ORCHID assessment about the vulnerability of DFID's programmes to climate change?

Dr Tanner: There are two things. The main lesson, I guess - and this is common across many donors - is that we need to start considering climate within our due diligence processes. Currently they exist for the environment, through environmental impact assessments and often environment screening procedures, particularly in the multilateral banks where you have infrastructure, and it is all about the impact of the development on the environment. Now the thinking is about the impact of a changing environment on the project. The IFIs[5] met last week here in London and a major point of discussion was how to include climate. In DFID the ORCHID pilot exercises in a few of the countries have contributed to that change as well. That is ongoing now, and there is a commitment in the White Paper to integrate climate and environment and disaster screening for its portfolio as part of policy.

Q130 John Battle: Has that been built into the new Country Assistance plan, for example?

Dr Tanner: In Bangladesh the evidence on the programme side of individual programmes that we looked at?

Q131 John Battle: Yes.

Dr Tanner: I am happy that there has been a consideration of climate in those programmes. In the country programme it is reflected in a much stronger emphasis on how different aspects of development can contribute to climate. It is not: "Here is the one solution." They look at how governance can help improve resilience to climate and other shocks and stresses. What it misses is perhaps the regional dimension, particularly through international water management, and the migration question. DFID has a role to play, given its engagement in other countries in South Asia. That, for me, is the bit that was missing in the recommendations from that work.

Q132 John Battle: I hope that is not just a conversation going on in DFID. Good though that is, is that shared with the government of Bangladesh, so that they are on side for that agenda and properly co‑operating in that risk assessment?

Dr Tanner: The ORCHID work started while I was working in the government of Bangladesh, strangely enough. They were involved in that work but they were involved through the Ministry of Environment, and so the question is: is that the place where you get much traction? It is a fairly weak ministry. Since then, obviously, the topic of climate change has been taken much more upstream: to the Ministry of Planning, the Ministry of Finance and the Prime Minister's Office. For me, the thing which perhaps has not filtered through, which is central to the ORCHID methodology, is the idea of adaptation as a process, as being about cycles of reflecting on what you are doing, on what the impacts of climate are, and on what your response is like - that kind of monitoring and reflection - and that being central to the adaptive process. I do not think that has quite got embedded as much as awareness around what specific adaptation options might look like.

John Battle: Thank you.

Q133 Andrew Stunell: Following on from that, if you were in charge, what would DFID do over the next five years in supporting Bangladesh to adapt to climate change?

Dr Tanner: I am optimistic that DFID in Bangladesh has made significant changes to its portfolio oriented towards climate change. It recognises what a huge threat it is. That is a huge change from the last Country Assistance Plan, which really had it as a token environmental issue, if you like. I think it does not provide enough of a driver to all its programming, so there is still some element of, "Okay, when we get a parliamentary letter, these are the projects that we flag, that we are doing, and the rest is development." Things like the primary education programme; economic empowerment for the poorest,; whether there are mechanisms in place to ensure that those programmes that are under development and underway have a climate lens attached to them. That is not clear from the plan. Second, as I have said already, is the regional aspect of the problem. These regional country plans are very country specific and I do not see that being matched by South Asia division's plan for work that includes India, Bangladesh, Nepal.

Q134 Andrew Stunell: Yes. We visited Nepal as well and it was interesting to see the interaction between the issues in the two countries. What steps do you think that DFID can take to help the Bangladesh government get climate proofing into its own policy and development programmes?

Dr Tanner: The step is already made in trying to build capacity not just in the Ministry of Environment, but also working in the Ministry of Food and Disaster Management and other ministries as well. That is an important first step. There are limitations to what the government can deliver that have been raised already. In terms of getting the screening procedure in place, that conversation is not being had with the government. There are existing deficits to the environment screening procedure, but at present the discussions between DFID and the government on climate change are at this much higher level. They are on strategic planning, on the movement from the NAPA[6] to the Strategic Action Plan, and on getting the Prime Minister's Office involved and Copenhagen being at the top of that agenda. The nuts and bolts on how to get down into the government structures are not really on the table. The natural way to do it is through the environmental impact assessment procedures, which are internationalised and there are norms for. They are fraught with the same problems of corruption and accountability as other areas of government in Bangladesh, but, nevertheless, it is an interrelated topic and work to internationalise standards and norms on climate risk management is urgently needed to be able to inform that process of change where a country like Bangladesh can integrate those in a more systematised way.

Q135 Hugh Bayley: The government has grand policies: a National Adaptation Programme of Action and a Climate Change Strategy. To what extent do they identify the government's funding priorities as far as donors are concerned?

Dr Tanner: NAPA, as you know, was released back in 2005 and it is now largely dead and buried, overtaken by the Bangladesh Climate Change Strategy and Action Plan. There is a lot of criticism of NAPAs. I see them as very worthwhile, very cost-effective. It has been overtaken by something that is much more government-owned. It is not a UNDP[7] project; it is something that is being led by the government. One of the problems with the NAPAs was they created a shopping list for priority actions to take, and so do not demonstrate the process underlying that. Creating a cross-government committee to create a NAPA was the first time you had this kind of engagement from different sectors that are likely to be affected by climate change. The Strategy and Action Plan that has resulted seems to have very sensible headings in terms of its headlines. The priority actions underneath those, which are all being fought out now as to which will get implemented and how quickly, is a much more political issue. My worry is that civil society groups in particular have not had much say in what those priorities are, so the priority for action now in the money that has been allocated this financial year is very much around infrastructure. It is around dredging canals, tree planting on embankments, and refurbishing existing cyclone shelters. For me, there is a worry that this focus on infrastructure can deliver literally concrete outcomes, so it is politically very attractive and it also means a nice leeway for corruption. It also demonstrates action to people on the ground, and I think there is a real desire to move away from just awareness raising. On how that pans out in terms of the priorities underneath, my worry is that it will not be dictated by needs and influenced by civil society groups who have a better view of what those needs are, but, instead, it will be dictated by what is politically expedient.

Q136 Hugh Bayley: Christian Aid said in their evidence that it was noticeable how little money donors had put up to fund the government's priorities. Is this because of fears about corruption or fears about priorities being wrong? How could and how should donors use funds to address priorities? Should it be through NGOs or how?

Dr Tanner: There is the Multi-Donor Trust Fund, which I am sure you have heard a lot about, which intentionally was joint with the government. The government now has its own trust fund and there is a donor trust fund separately. The issue is fiduciary management. There is an international responsibility for any international body giving money, whether it be DFID, whether it be through the adaptation fund, or whether it be under the UN Framework Convention, that this money is spent responsibly. It is crucial, first of all, that there are clear lines of access for civil society organisations to be able to access that money, that there is work undertaken in the Multi-Donor Trust Fund - which is managed by the World Bank, but to the chagrin of some - to improve the capacity of the government to be able to take on that role in the future. One of the areas of evidence is going to be: what is the process that the government goes through now in implementing its own trust fund? We can look at the transparency, the fiduciary management, the access by different parties and the impacts and the areas that it funds as an evidence-base for their suitability to implement a multi-donor, larger trust fund in the future.

Q137 Chairman: Perhaps I could just finish on that point. As you say, some people are not keen on the Multi-Donor Trust, although inevitably the international community tends to favour it. You have explained to Mr Bayley some of the problems of the country's own proposals. Of course many people say they want country ownership. How valid are the criticisms of the World Bank Fund? The Bretton Woods Project say that it is too costly, that it is donor-driven rather than country-driven, and that the World Bank has a poor record on environmental issues. They quote specifically the project causing the destruction of the oldest mangrove forest in the sub-continent. How valid are those criticisms? As a Committee we have learned that there is a sort of inbuilt position from which certain NGOs come to that; but, first, we have to evaluate whether or not their criticisms have validity.

Dr Tanner: Yes, and if they are two-handed economists on the one hand, and on the other hand ... I do not wish to speak on behalf of the Bank, but I recognise the need to lobby hard against the World Bank subsuming climate change project finance in the normal World Bank way. This is not the same deal - although this is ODA[8], which I am sure you have also found has been raised. The concerns about the amount of money the Bank will take in commission are not very well-founded. The figure that was put out in the press and by CSOs[9] in Bangladesh is far greater than the reality. I think it is more favourable than the UN off-take, which is about 12.5 %. This ends up at being about 8 or 8.5 % from the Bank. Again it is more favourable than a private contractor, and it is more favourable, if you take Mr Landell-Mills' estimate, than the amount that might be lost through corruption. One of the important considerations is that this fund is committed through ODA from DFID. I know they justify that repeatedly as being part of the 10 % of the additional funds that are going to come from ODA, but I think it sends the wrong signals. That a significant new trust fund, designed specifically for climate change, is committed from ODA at a time when the Prime Minister is announcing that we need £100 billion new and additional on top of ODA is a little bit out of sync. It may just have been that the timing of that budgeting decision with a decision and an announcement from the Prime Minister was off, but it strikes me as ----

Q138 Chairman: The Committee has some concerns about that. In terms of the trust fund being used as the delivery mechanism, you sound as if you are reasonably satisfied, in the circumstances.

Dr Tanner: In the circumstances it is about fiduciary management. What is crucial is that there is a transitioning process that builds the government capacity to do that job and, also, looks at the evidence of the government's own trust fund, to ensure that within a set number of years - and I do not think we should be thinking too short term here - this is a fund that is likely to increase and grow, so we can look at 10- and 20-year time horizons rather than two, three, five. That is the crucial element for me.

Chairman: That is extremely helpful in terms of us being able to make useful recommendations. Thank you both very much for your contribution. It has added a lot and fleshed quite a few things out. Thank you very much indeed.



[1] Subsequent to this meeting, I addressed the APPG in Dhaka on 7 and 8th December 2009, and to my surprise, there was all-party membership.

[2] Fajle Abed, Director of BRAC. The book referred to is Freedom from Want by Ian Smillie.

[3] International Development Association, the development arm of the World Bank

[4] Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change

[5] International Financial Institutions

[6] National Adaptation Programme of Action

[7] UN Development Programme

[8] Official Development Assistance

[9] Civil society organisations