Cutting crime: the case for justice reinvestment - Justice Committee Contents

Annex B

DEMAND OPTIONS CONSIDERED BY THE LORD CARTER TEAM

NUMBERS INDICATE THE REDUCTION IN DEMAND FOR PRISON PLACES OF EACH OF THE OPTIONS

		GREEN							AMBER					RED
		Reform ofIPPs for thosesentenced inthe future	Apply 50%release rulefrom CJA2003 tooffences priorto April 2005(excludingcases alreadyreviewed bythe ParoleBoard)	Fixed termrecall of 28days for non-violent non-sexualoffenders	Presumptionof no remandfor summaryoffences	Credit againstsentence fortime oncurfew	Limit SSOsto indictableand triableeither wayoffences	Reducemaxima andremovestatutoryminima forburglary,theft andhandling	Make drivingwhilstdisqualifiednonimprisonable	Makeshopliftingless than £200non-imprisonable	Makecriminaldamage lessthan £5k non-imprisonable	Reducemaxima andrelatedstatutoryminimum forall drugsoffences	Automaticallyrelease IPPoffenders withtariff ofearswhen tariffserved	Apply 50%release rulefrom CJA2003 tooffences priorto April 2005(for casesalreadyreviewed bythe ParoleBoard)
	Max impact	2,180	504	953	200	210	433	453	608	460	98	912	980	944
	Date of max impact	Jun-14	Nov-09	Sep-09	Jan-09	Jun-09	Jul-10	Jul-11	Mar-09	Jan-09	Feb-09	Jun-14	Aug-10	Jul-08
Jul-08		0	79	0	63	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	944
Aug-08		0	130	268	110	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	434	848
Sep-08		0	178	380	140	0	-75	0	152	115	25	0	457	778
Oct-08		2	240	471	163	66	-153	0	228	172	37	0	479	613
Nov-08		4	282	544	181	104	-225	22	304	211	45	8	502	541
Dec-08		7	316	609	196	132	-285	44	342	249	53	16	525	483
Jan-09		9	347	665	200	154	-324	54	380	460	62	19	548	420
Feb-09		11	379	710	200	170	-355	65	418	460	98	23	570	348
Mar-09		13	415	755	200	185	-332	71	608	460	98	25	593	283
Apr-09		48	420	795	200	198	-284	102	608	460	98	28	616	231
May-09		82	430	832	200	210	-236	134	608	460	98	31	639	184
Jun-09		117	447	866	200	210	-170	166	608	460	98	34	661	132
Jul-09		151	426	898	200	210	-137	192	608	460	98	35	684	91
Aug-09		189	448	927	200	210	-83	218	608	460	98	36	707	61
Sep-09		227	462	953	200	210	19	244	608	460	98	37	730	36
Oct-09		265	499	953	200	210	91	270	608	460	98	38	752	105
Nov-09		303	504	953	200	210	85	283	608	460	98	38	775	92
Dec-09		341	454	953	200	210	130	296	608	460	98	39	798	76
Jan-10		379	422	953	200	210	256	309	608	460	98	39	821	68
Feb-10		416	405	953	200	210	298	323	608	460	98	52	843	57
Mar-10		454	423	953	200	210	322	336	608	460	98	65	866	52
Apr-10		492	424	953	200	210	379	349	608	460	98	77	889	46
May-10		530	378	953	200	210	421	362	608	460	98	100	911	39
Jun-10		568	338	953	200	210	430	368	608	460	98	122	934	36
Jul-10		606	346	953	200	210	433	375	608	460	98	144	957	33
Aug-10		641	330	953	200	210	433	381	608	460	98	166	980	27
Sep-10		676	318	953	200	210	433	388	608	460	98	188	975	24
Oct-10		711	332	953	200	210	433	395	608	460	98	210	970	20
Nov-10		746	320	953	200	210	433	401	608	460	98	232	965	18
Dec-10		781	293	953	200	210	433	408	608	460	98	254	960	16
Jan-11		816	273	953	200	210	433	414	608	460	98	276	955	15
Feb-11		851	278	953	200	210	433	421	608	460	98	298	950	14
Mar-11		886	272	953	200	210	433	427	608	460	98	320	945	13
Apr-11		921	281	953	200	210	433	434	608	460	98	342	940	13
May-11		957	279	953	200	210	433	440	608	460	98	364	936	13
Jun-11		992	258	953	200	210	433	447	608	460	98	386	931	11
Jul-11		1,027	246	953	200	210	433	453	608	460	98	408	926	10
Aug-11		1,066	226	953	200	210	433	453	608	460	98	424	921	9
Sep-11		1,106	209	953	200	210	433	453	608	460	98	440	916	9
Oct-11		1,146	195	953	200	210	433	453	608	460	98	460	911	8
Nov-11		1,185	188	953	200	210	433	453	608	460	98	480	906	7
Dec-11		1,217	176	953	200	210	433	453	608	460	98	500	901	6
Jan-12		1,249	160	953	200	210	433	453	608	460	98	520	896	6
Feb-12		1,281	160	953	200	210	433	453	608	460	98	536	892	5
Mar-12		1,313	157	953	200	210	433	453	608	460	98	551	887	4
Apr-12		1,345	158	953	200	210	433	453	608	460	98	566	882	3
May-12		1,377	144	953	200	210	433	453	608	460	98	582	877	3
Jun-12		1,409	131	953	200	210	433	453	608	460	98	597	872	3
Jul-12		1,441	122	953	200	210	433	453	608	460	98	613	867	2
Aug-12		1,473	123	953	200	210	433	453	608	460	98	628	862	2
Sep-12		1,506	119	953	200	210	433	453	608	460	98	643	852	2
Oct-12		1,539	123	953	200	210	433	453	608	460	98	659	843	2
Nov-12		1,571	118	953	200	210	433	453	608	460	98	674	833	2
Dec-12		1,604	113	953	200	210	433	453	608	460	98	690	823	1
Jan-13		1,637	110	953	200	210	433	453	608	460	98	702	813	0
Feb-13		1,670	104	953	200	210	433	453	608	460	98	714	803	0
Mar-13		1,702	99	953	200	210	433	453	608	460	98	727	794	0
Apr-13		1,735	97	953	200	210	433	453	608	460	98	739	784	0
May-13		1,768	86	953	200	210	433	453	608	460	98	751	774	0
Jun-13		1,801	86	953	200	210	433	453	608	460	98	764	764	0
Jul-13		1,833	85	953	200	210	433	453	608	460	98	776	754	0
Aug-13		1,865	76	953	200	210	433	453	608	460	98	788	745	0
Sep-13		1,896	77	953	200	210	433	453	608	460	98	801	735	0
Oct-13		1,928	77	953	200	210	433	453	608	460	98	813	725	0
Nov-13		1,960	78	953	200	210	433	453	608	460	98	825	715	0
Dec-13		1,991	78	953	200	210	433	453	608	460	98	838	696	0
Jan-14		2,023	80	953	200	210	433	453	608	460	98	850	676	0
Feb-14		2,054	76	953	200	210	433	453	608	460	98	863	656	0
Mar-14		2,086	74	953	200	210	433	453	608	460	98	875	637	0
Apr-14		2,117	74	953	200	210	433	453	608	460	98	887	617	0
May-14		2,149	74	953	200	210	433	453	608	460	98	900	598	0
Jun-14		2,180	71	953	200	210	433	453	608	460	98	912	578	0

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Prepared 14 January 2010