The Impact of Spending Cuts on Science and Scienetific Research - Science and Technology Committee Contents


Memorandum submitted by Professor Andrew Wallard (FC 01)

1.  BACKGROUND AND THE CONTEXT OF MY EVIDENCE

  1.1 am the Director of the International Bureau of Weights and Measures (BIPM), an intergovernmental organization supported by 54 Member States (which include the UK) and 27 Associates of the General Conference on Weights and Measures. Our job is to work towards world-wide uniformity of measurements, to maintain the international system of units (SI) which is the basis of all measurements, and to coordinate the work of the National Metrology (measurement) Institutes world-wide. We work in measurements for physics and engineering with traditional applications in manufacturing industry and traded products which require measurements to demonstrate conformity with written standards for trade and to avoid technical barriers which might come as a result of non-acceptance of measurement by, for example, regulators. Our responsibilities also extend, increasingly, to measurements needed for chemical metrology, climate change, healthcare, etc. The aim is to put as many national measurements on the same basis and to ensure their traceability to internationally agreed standards. More details are on our web site www.bipm.org

  1.2  As a result, I am very familiar with the UK's "national measurement system" and the role of the Government in providing support for research, development and maintenance of national standards as well as for their comparison with those of the UK's trading partners.

  1.3  My attention has been drawn to the forthcoming study by the Science and Technology Committee on the impact of spending cuts on SET and scientific research.

2.  SCOPE OF THE REVIEW

  2.1  Whilst I would imagine that the majority of the Committee's attention would focus on academia and Research Councils, I believe it is important to draw your attention to the small, under-rated, but yet hugely economically important topic of measurement standards.

  2.2  Through BIS, the UK currently spends some £60 million a year on supporting what is loosely called the "National Measurement System" or NMS. The majority is spent on maintaining the country's national standards of measurement and improving them to meet user needs in commerce and society. Day to day measurements in business, universities, hospitals and every aspect of the nation's life have to be traced to national standards if they are to be accurate, reliable and internationally accepted. Much of the work is at the National Physical Laboratory which, once having established national standards which reflect national needs, goes on to provide calibrations and related services for users in industry, the health service as well as other bodies which require accurate measurements in order to achieve their mission. Some of these additional requirements are mentioned in paragraph 5. National expenditure also includes support given to a number of specialised laboratories, and the United Kingdom Accreditation Service, UKAS, which is responsible for making sure that industrial laboratories do their measurements correctly and that they are nationally traceable. All these laboratories and agencies have a degree of private sector involvement in their management (ranging from fully privatized to being managed under contract to the BIS) and in my view are the epitomes, amongst other such laboratories world-wide, of efficiency and effectiveness. By reputation, the UK is universally acknowledged to be in the "big three", together with USA and Germany. Within BIS, the National Measurement Office deals with measurement in the regulated sector, traditionally known as "weights and measures". The Office also works to plan the national strategies, and prioritize the NMS work programmes in all the areas of measurement.

3.  THE WRITTEN SUBMISSION

  There are a number of short points I would like to make to the Committee.

3.1  Awareness and impact of measurement standards (metrology)

  Most people will never have appreciated that about 6% of GDP depends on making measurements.

  3.2  The obvious measurement activity—mature technologies for the most part—which makes up this remarkable statistic are in things like petrol pumps or the day to day dimensional measurements needed to ensure quality and that products fit together wherever the sub-components are made in the world. Don't, though be drawn into a false impression that once standards and their dissemination infrastructures like this are in place, they don't need to be improved routinely. There is always the need to respond to demands for better accuracy or product or process innovation or to new measurements needs even in traditional areas such as dimensional measurements. Just because there is, say a national yard or metre doesn't mean that it can stay as it is without being continually updated and the challenge will, in fact, be for measurements of very small quantities for nanotechnology. The rule of thumb is that uncertainies and accuracies need to be halved every decade to meet what then becomes day to day needs. Developments such as this take time and patience. They are not usually suitable for University research where the normal PhD research project timescales are too short.

  3.3  In order to maintain their competitiveness, companies continually have to exploit better measurement to do better in the market place. For example, the Airbus wings can only be made in the UK and fitted together with the fuselage in France because of a very sophisticated measurement technology in the UK. Rolls Royce engines demand the finest measurement tolerances and have continually to be upgraded to improve efficiency and make sure that they compete with General Electric and others.

  3.4  Other measurement work covers the relatively esoteric such as creating the next generation of "clocks" for initiatives like the European Galileo programme—as well as maintaining national time scale (the "Pips") and ensuring it is consistent with the world mean. Surrey Satellite Systems were helped to be awarded the recent high prestige Galileo contracts because they can access the best measurements in the word. In other areas, measurement impacts directly on all of us who, for example, need dosimetry treatment for cancer. Metrology ensures that the patient receives the correct dose by calibrating standards in hospitals against UK national standards, which are themselves compared with those in other countries so that if treatment is needed abroad, the patient can be confident that the metrology is correct.

  3.5  This is classic "public good" support and fully reflects market failures as no one user organization would take on the responsibility on behalf of all other users. Cuts would raise the very real prospect of damage to a unique and vital element of the nation's infrastructure. Cutting the "here and now" would lead to increases in costs to industry or to companies being forced to try to find a solution to their needs elsewhere. Cutting development work, for which users have already been identified, would mean that there would be no measurement infrastructure or expertise on which to draw. There is a wealth of examples that touch on the day to day economic life of the country: cuts would put all that in peril.

4.  THE EXTENT OF ANY DAMAGE FROM CUTS

  4.1  Maintaining current services is a no brainer—it has to be done but where would the UK be without a measurement infrastructure on which to rely for the future? Developing and proving a new standard takes time to create confidence in its accuracy. UK is up with the best, but in this game, as elsewhere, reputations matter and cuts will damage the essential new developments as well as international collaboration.

  4.2  Frankly, this could not have come at a potentially more damaging time. The UK has led—no-one doubts this—a major European collaboration programme which has resulted in a cost shared programme. It will, I believe, lead to a sharing out of responsibilities in due course: the UK may, for example, hold the temperature standards for Europe, Germany may be responsible for lighting: France for some electrical measurements. This the first time in the world that such an ambitious and thoughtful programme will be mounted. If there are cuts, then the UK "50%" will not be available and all the hard work of the last 10 years will be jeopardised.

  4.3  And every aspect of science relies on measurements—that's what scientists do every day of the week and without an accepted infrastructure that addresses new challenges as well as underpins existing activity, UK scientists would be unable to compare their results with those made elsewhere. Measurement leads innovations: of nearly all the recent science Nobel prizes in physics, the first application is a measurement one or the subject has been developed by metrologists. President Obama's Secretary of State for Energy used to be a leading laser metrologist. Here's what he had to say about measurement and new science:

    "Accurate measurement is at the heart of physics, and in my experience new physics begins at the next decimal place".

  Under his influence and that of other US Departments of State, huge investments are being made in measurement related topics …climate change, new industries, biosciences and health care and others such as those illustrated in this submission. The USA, despite its own economic difficulties, is not stinting on upping its game.

5. MEASUREMENT UNDERPINS ALL THE CURRENT GREAT CHALLENGES

  5.1 Measurement underpins much of what the Government has stated as its key policy objectives, and which are broadly cross-party. For example,

    — climate change is moving to measurements based on international standards (I am actually currently collaborating with the World Meteorological Organization to put the international structures in place from which the UK and others will base their measurements). The Deputy Director is a total convert. "How", he said, "can you take decisions when large uncertainties exist in measurements related to climate change" and that (without measurements) "we don't know how to achieve the desired level of accuracy". UK metrologists are just about the best in the world in this area.This is a relatively new area where investments are being made and cuts would weaken, if not loose entirely, an ability to continue to make a world-leading impact and to sustain the UK's reputation in the area, let alone enable the UK'sindustrial and economic interests to be appropriately protected in the ensuing debates. The next step is the measurement element in the carbon economy and traceability in carbon trading which will mean that all operate from the same quality and accuracy of measurement. The economic impact, the sums of money, and the impact on competitiveness and the "level playing field" will be huge

    — health, especially the measurements made on, for example, cholesterol or other hospital measurements are coming into the ambit of the NMS as the clinical community realises that only by making accurate, reliable measurements can clinical diagnoses be correctly based. The World Health Organization accepts that biological standards like the activity of insulin have to be traceable to the International system of Units rather than subjective assessments in vivo. This was unheard of five years ago. Once this is done, progress will accelerate and the NMS must respond or the UK drug and pharmaceutical industry will be at a competitive disadvantage. Sports drug testing comes into the same category—and is being developed for the London Olympics with the World Anti Doping Agency;

    — trade benefits because there is a system, accepted by countries which represent about 95% of the world trade, that recognises the accuracy of measurements made nationally. There are numerous case studies of savings of many millions of pounds because companies don't have to re-test for exports. In this system, the world's experts get together to assess each others' measurement capabilities and so agree to accept tests and measurements made in the something like 40% of world trade that requires compliance with specification standards; and

    — new technologies depend on measurements for knowing what is what. For example, legislation in nanotechnology will, sooner or later, require measurements on, for example, particle size. This is not easy but places like the NPL are world-leaders.

6. ECONOMIC IMPACT

  6.1 Unfortunately measurement is largely taken for granted, as the NMS works well and it is very rare that there are errors. The consequence is that metrology lacks the glamour of, and attention given to, particle physics, genome programmes or astronomy. Yet the economic impact of the UK's investment—modest in relation to those in most other developed countries—is enormous in public expenditure terms. There are many many studies, which date from the days of the DTI, and which show that, for example:

    — the £60 million investment leads to national economic benefits of about £5 billion;

    — a Canadian study found an eight-fold benefit from public investments; and

    — a recent European study showed that investments produced a rapid rate of return of 3:1 from investments at the European level.

  There are also a number of UK and US studies which demonstrate rates of return of between 10 and 30 to 1.

  6.2  These rates of return—even given a degree of professional scepticism from politicians or economists —are amongst the highest from any sort of public investment: the irony is why there is not talk of an increase rather than a decrease in the spending.

  6.3  Whatever is said and done, there can be no doubt whatsoever that the return achieved from support of measurement science and technology is demonstrable, immediate, sustained and creates an economic and social impact now. The paradox is that the UK is benefiting from a good level of support in the past. It's not as much as in some other countries, but UK is amongst the top three in this business- although rapidly now challenged by Japan, Korea and China as the Asian economies ramp up this support. All developed and especially developing countries realise that they have to have these infrastructures to trade, protect their environment and to be a player on the world scene. As a response, UNIDO has several hundred million dollars earmarked for investments in measurement infrastructure. I recently met with the Secretary General and his Deputy Director responsible for sustainable development and who said that " UNIDO doesn't do enough to help developing countries who have no choice to show compliance with measurements if they want to trade in the world". If this is true of the developing world, it is significantly more important for an economy like the UK which is hugely dependent on technically competitive exports.

  6.4  The good news is that these are—sustained benefits delivered on a day to day basis, rather than promised for the future. It really is "jam today". These are not wistful academic hopes of a possible application; they are real benefits being ploughed into the economy and sustaining economic development everywhere. So pulling back makes no sense. They would hurt UK industry, slow down innovation in new technologies and mean that the UK would not be able to work in the leading edge groups dealing with the measurements related to the Great Grand Challenges, to our way of life, and to industrial development and growth.

  I am very happy to amplify my remarks to the Committee should it so desire.

Professor Andrew Wallard

Director, International Bureau of Weights and Measures

January 2010






 
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