There are a number of significant challenges with respect to raising the participation age, and this revolves around education policies that are still emerging, given the change in the political change. These challenges are described below.
18.
Increased demand for Apprenticeships: places required in schools and FE are affected by the numbers choosing to go into Apprenticeships. Currently we have approximately 1 in 20 on apprenticeships and if we were to achieve the desired 1 in 5 we would need considerably less places in schools/ colleges. It is difficult to predict the future demand for Apprenticeships without clarity about vocational learning (wolf report) and progression to HE. In addition we face some challenges around employer engagement and ensuring that Information, Advice and Guidance given to young people is impartial and accurate. Unless there are vacancies for Apprenticeships we can not promote this pathway to young people successfully. We would want to be assured that the highest achievers in schools are not signposted purely to academic pathways.
19.
Lack of Capital funds: Peterborough had plans to develop provision for learners with learning difficulties and/or disabilities (LLDD), but is unable to do so because of a lack of capital funding. Most of our LLDD learners travel outside the LA area, but if transport costs covered by that provider cease, we will not be able to meet those needs locally and those learners will drop out.
20.
Our city-wide needs for post 16 are predominantly for Level 1, Level 2, and FE provision: it is difficult to maintain a city-wide strategic view if we only have access to data on the LA maintained sector. A successful RPA is not about overall places but takes into account location, learning environment, learner needs and the curriculum on offer. For example, we need to develop more Level 2 provision in order to meet learner needs at 16, due to current lower performance at Key Stage 4.
21.
Lack of data or strategic considerations for Academies and their offers: We currently have four Academies out of 11 secondary schools, with one more converting in September 2011 and another with an application outstanding. This would leave five LA maintained schools, making it extremely difficult for the LA to ensure the right type of provision exists in the right place at the right time.
22.
Agreed increases in Academies places without regard for local needs: our pressure point is FE places in suitable venues with appropriate programmes for the most vulnerable. However, we have restricted growth because providers are being funded on lagged learner numbers. By exception, Academies have seen growth.
23.
Providers attracting out of area learners: Academy providers can spend their additional growth money on attracting out of area learners, which has no impact on our ability to meet local resident RPA.
24.
Market place economy planning: We have a desperate need to grow Level 2 provision. This year we have growth above lagged learners but is funded in three Academies, who almost without exception provide only Level 3 provision. This doesn’t meet local needs and simply will displace provision elsewhere. Meanwhile our Level 1 and Level 2 provision can not be funded.
25.
The funding squeeze on post 16 might also change the provider landscape as many will not survive the financial challenges. This uncertainty in the provider base makes it hard to engage in medium/longer term planning.
26.
The impact of minimum levels of contract values (within work based learning providers) will limit smaller providers offering tailored provision.
27.
Changing HE landscape: this will have an impact on the decision young people make at post 16 in terms of whether or not they stay on in school or college or enter the workplace.
28.
Wolf report: the outcome of the Wolf report will be critical in planning, and will inevitably significantly alter the offer providers make, and substantially alter the local landscape. We can not predict the demand for vocational provision until we see what the Government vision is around this.
29.
Schools ability to meet the demands of RPA for their own cohorts depends greatly on funding availability, and in times of financial hardship where more is demanded from less funding, they will not be incentivised to grow places for young people who fall outside their ‘comfort zone’ or existing resources/staff, such as in Level 1/L2 provision, where it is desperately needed.
30.
FE Colleges are in a better position to respond to demand and put on courses that meet local needs, however the FE setting is not always the most appropriate venue for vulnerable learners.
31.
There are too many changes currently to be able to predict with confidence the pattern of engagement. We have a high number of New Academies and this in itself changes patterns of engagement and historic data is not necessarily a good indicator of future trends. The outcomes of the Wolf report are significant in that the view of vocational learning by government will impact on learner demand and provider willingness of interest in delivering vocational learning. The financial challenges for post 16 providers will no doubt lead to further changes in the provider base. Equally the ability/willingness of employers to offer Apprenticeships will also be significant and whilst we continue to work hard with NAS and other stakeholders we can not be sure of future volumes with any level of accuracy. Further the access to HE will also have a significant impact on young peoples’ decision to stay on in learning.
32.
Providers need to be considering their place in the new competitive market place and would think that their progress with this is variable. The tools on the DfE website around supporting schools to tightly embed their financial planning with other curriculum and workforce development planning is welcomed but on its own will not be sufficient, for some of our schools.
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