6 Evaluation and conclusions
90. We set out the following evaluation and conclusions
with a view to them informing the consideration of the Bill in
Committee.
The likelihood of referendums
being held pursuant to Part 1 of the Bill
91. Given the troubled history of the Lisbon Treaty,
and that it came into effect so recently, we agree with those
witnesses who thought that it was unlikely that the EU will want
to revise its Treaties through the ordinary revision procedure
under Article 48(2)-(5) TEU for several, if not many, years to
come. It is unlikely therefore that clause 2 of the Bill will
come into play in the near future, except possibly in the case
of an accession Treaty under Article 49 TEU which incorporates
additional transfers of competence or power.[110]
We also conclude that if and when an ordinary revision were to
take place, it would be likely to include several amendments to
the competences and powers of the EU, and so would require a referendum
under one or several of the subsections in clause 4.
92. However, the referendum lock is more likely
to be considered as a consequence of the use of the simplified
revision procedure under Article 48(6) TEUthe quickest
and simplest way for the EU to gain power in a particular field.
Article 48(6) TEU is, for example, the basis for the European
Council's Decision to establish the permanent eurozone bail-out
mechanism, the European Stabilisation Mechanism, which it is due
to adopt in March this year (and which will replace the temporary
bail-out mechanism adopted on the basis of Article 122 TFEU, a
legal base which we regard as unsound).
93. It is also possible that the general passerelle
clause under Article 48(7) TEU, or the individual passerelle
clauses to which the referendum lock attaches, may be invoked
by a group of Member States frustrated that the requirement for
unanimity in the Council is blocking the development of an EU
policy. But we question how likely it is that the Government
of the day will want to give up its veto right if it objects to
a policy. On this point Sir John Grant said:
"The point about the passerelles is that-they're
significant in a way, of course they are, they're there for a
reason-but it's very difficult to use them, whether or not there
is a referendum Bill. It seems to me that what the Government
is seeking to do is to put beyond any doubt its position on the
matter and its assessment of the relative importance of that and
the way it wants to deal with it, but the reason passerelles
aren't used very much is that everybody's got to agree that some
of them are going to be outvoted."[111]
94. Professor Hix made a similar point:
"I think [the Bill] is primarily designed to
put a braketo bind the hands of the current Government
or of future Governmentson what Britain can sign up to
in Brussels, on the understanding that there would never in practice
be referendums on most of these things. That is how I read it.
My question is how credible it is in that aim, and frankly I don't
find it that credible."[112]
95. So notwithstanding the Government's statement
that there will not be a transfer of competence or power, and
therefore a referendum, in the course of this Parliament, we conclude
that:
it
is in reality unlikely that most of the Treaty provisions which
attract a referendum under the Bill will ever successfully be
invoked; but
if one is, one of the exceptions below
may be applicable.
Exceptions to the referendum
requirementsignificance, exemption, and judicial review
SIGNIFICANCE
96. Clause 4(1)(i) and (j) provide as follows:
"the conferring on an EU institution or body
of power to impose a requirement or obligation on the United
Kingdom, or the removal of any limitation on any such power
of an EU institution or body;" (clause 4(1)(i)); or
"the conferring on an EU institution or body
of new or extended power to impose sanctions on the United
Kingdom" (clause 4(1)(j))". (Emphasis added.)
97. Where transfers of power pursuant to these provisions
are, in a Minister's opinion, insignificant, it is not necessary
to hold a referendum (clause 3(4)). We seek clarification from
Government on what circumstances the imposition of new obligations
or sanctions would be considered insignificant.
98. We think the possibility for successful judicial
review of a ministerial decision whether a transfer of power under
clause 4(1)(i) and (j) is significant will, in practice, be limited.
There is little coherence in the way in which EU Treaty provisions
have been allocated to national control mechanisms: some with
significant national consequences are subject to approval by motion
without amendment; others with less significant consequences to
referendums. In the absence of clear criteria, we think the Administrative
Court will have difficulty in construing how the "significance
condition" in clause 2(4) is to be applied reasonably. The
expressions "if the Minister is of the opinion" and
"in the Minister's opinion" in clause 4(4) underline
the subjectivity of this process and the difficulty of judicial
review.
EXEMPTION
99. The scope of the "exemption condition"
is similarly unclear. Clauses 2(3) and 3(3) simply state:
"[t]he exemption condition is that the Act providing for
the approval of the treaty states that the treaty does not fall
within section 4". Clause 4(4) appears to give examples of
Treaty amendments that would be exempt, although it does not refer
to the "exemption condition":
(a)
"codification of practice [
] in relation to the previous
exercise of an existing competence", the meaning of which
Professors Craig and Dougan thought would rarely be amenable to
one interpretation.[113]
In our opinion, this exception is significant: it would cover
the practice of EU institutions pushing at the boundaries of their
competence (competence creep), sometimes supported by judgments
of the ECJ, and subsequently codified in a revision of the Treaties.
The Explanatory Notes say that this provision would also cover
use of the flexibility clause[114]
where there was no legal base in the Treaty. Several of the new
legal bases in the Lisbon Treaty were incorporated as a result
of codification of past practice.[115]
(b) "any provision that applies
only to other Member States". This we presume is designed
to cover the European Council Decision to establish the European
Stability Mechanism, and any future Treaties or Decisions that
apply to the eurozone or another forum of Member States excluding
the UK. This subsection is not qualified at all, for example
by a requirement to consider the impact of the provision on the
UK, and so could cover Treaties or European Council decisions
which have a profound effect on the UK even though they are expressed
not to apply to the UK.
(c) accession Treaties, which we think
is anomalous given the effect of the accession of new Member States
both on UK relations with the EU and on the voting power in the
Council (see, for example, the case of Turkey at paragraph
119 below).
100. The Explanatory Notes tell us that this list
is "illustrative rather than exclusive".[116]
Subsequent paragraphs give examples of amending provisions that
would be exempt. These include, with respect to clause 4(b):
"A treaty or an Article 48(6) decision does
not apply to the UK merely because it may have consequences
for individuals or organisations in the UK, such as UK businesses.
Nor does it apply to the UK merely because the amendment imposes
new responsibilities on EU institutions in which the UK participates
and which the UK helps to fund".[117]
(Emphasis added.)
101. We had assumed from the way the referendum lock
has been presented, with emphasis on the consent of the people
being required for EU decisions that affect them,[118]
that provisions which have "consequences for individuals
and organisations in the UK, such as UK business" would be
the type to trigger a referendum, even if such provisions were
addressed to a group of Member States other than the UK, such
as the eurozone. Giving "new responsibilities" to EU
institutions "which the UK helps to fund" similarly
implies to us a transfer of power; but neither is this caught
by the referendum lock. Nor would it appear that any future integration
process which applied to other Member States but fundamentally
affected the UK's relations with one or several of those Member
States, or the EU itself, is caught by the referendum lock (see
further below at paragraph 106).
102. The exemption condition applies to all transfers
of power and competence whether as a result of the full-scale
ordinary revision procedure (Article 48(2)-(5) TEU) or the simplified
revision procedure (Article 48(6) TEU). So it has a far wider
application than the significance decision, which is limited to
two types of transfer of power (clause 4(1)(i) and (j)) agreed
by an Article 48(6) Decision.
103. We conclude that the exemption condition,
read together with clause 4(4) and the relevant paragraphs of
the Explanatory Notes, is sufficiently broad and open-ended to
allow a Minister wide discretion to consider a provision exempt.
The breadth of power again is likely to defeat a successful application
for judicial review. We note again that the clause 5 statement
requires the Minister to state "whether, in the Minister's
opinion, the treaty or Article 48(6) decision falls within
section 4."
JUDICIAL REVIEW
104. On four occasions the Explanatory Notes mention
the possibility of judicial review of Government decisions.[119]
We question the appropriateness of this. Firstly on the legal
grounds summarised aboveit seems contradictory to tell
"member[s] of the public it is possible to challenge the
decisions of the Minister" but not to provide clear criteria
by which the reasonableness of the Minister's decision can be
reviewed. So we conclude that recourse to judicial review
is a more illusory safeguard than the Explanatory Notes imply.
105. Secondly, on political grounds. The decision
whether to hold a referendum is ultimately a political one, and
therefore one in which the courts will, rightly, be reluctant
to interfere. This is particularly so where the statutory
provisions lack clear criteria defining when a provision is too
insignificant or alternatively exempt from the referendum requirement,
making it easier but no less unacceptable for a court to make
its own assessment. We draw support for this view from the decision
of the Divisional Court in the Wheeler case. When, in 2008,
it was asked to review the decision of the previous Government
not to hold a referendum on the Lisbon Treaty, it said that the
promise to hold a referendum "lies so deep in the macro-political
field that the court should not enter the relevant area at all".[120]
For this reason as well, it is concerning then that the Explanatory
Notes repeatedly refer to the possibility of judicial review;
several of the expert witnesses commented on this.[121]
CONCLUSION
106. We conclude that the exceptions above have
been drafted to allow the Government to support certain EU policies,
such as strengthening of the eurozone, including through harmonisation
of economic, fiscal and social measures if necessary,[122]
or enlargement, without triggering the referendum lock. This
concerns us because it is not how Part 1 of this Bill has been
promoted: it has been promoted as a referendum lock with minor
exceptions. It also concerns us because it denies access to the
referendum lock even where the issue is profoundly significant
to the UK public, for example where a re-concentration of power
among other EU Member States takes place. See, for example, our
conclusion below on accession Treaties; or on a mechanism for
further integration in the eurozone excluding the UK which would
flow from the comments of the French Prime Minister, François
Fillon, on his recent visit to London:
"In order to consolidate the euro we will need
gradually to harmonise our economic, fiscal and social policies,
hence we are going towards greater integration. We are going to
need to put in place an economic system of governance of the eurozone.
Great Britain is not part of the eurozone; at the same time
the decisions we will take will have great importance to Britain.
[...] We in the eurozone have no other choice right
now than further integration. Essentially the question is whether
the UK wants to exert an influence on this change in Europe or
not"[123] (Emphasis
added.)
Further gaps in the control mechanisms
of Part 1
Extensions of EU competence in
criminal law and procedure and family law
107. Two of the three decisions in clause 9, subsections
(2)(b) and (c), concern clear extensions of EU competence in the
field of criminal procedural law and substantive criminal law:
(b) the provision of Article 82(2)(d) of TFEU (criminal
procedure) that permits the identification of further specific
aspects of criminal procedure to which directives adopted
under the ordinary legislative procedure may relate;
(c) the provision of Article 83(1) of TFEU (particularly
serious crime with a cross-border dimension) that permits the
identification of further areas of crime to which directives
adopted under the ordinary legislative procedure may relate.
108. Both are areas of mixed competence under Article
4(1)(j) TFEU. To be consistent with extension of shared competence
under clause 4(1)(e), the application of both of these provisions
should be premised on a referendum and Act of Parliament, as in
clause 6; not an affirmative vote before the Government's opt-in
decision and an Act of Parliament before it agrees to the adoption
of the legislation.
109. Clause 9(2)(a) "the provision of
Article 81(3) of TFEU (family law) that permits the application
of the ordinary legislative procedure in place of a special legislative
procedure" is in our view of similar if not greater
importance to social or environmental policy and ought to come
within clause 6, triggering a referendum as well as an Act.
Opt-in decisions
110. The reasons given by the Minister for Title
V TFEU opt-in decisions not being included in the Bill[124]
are contradicted by clause 9, which attaches as a pre-requisite
Parliamentary approval by motion without amendment before three
opt-in decisions can be taken by the Government and an Act of
Parliament before the final legislation can be adopted (see clause
9(2)(a)-(c)). It would seem to us consistent with the aim of
Part 1 of the Bill for all opt-in decisions to be subject to formal
Parliamentary approval.
Enhanced cooperation and internal
passerelles
111. We recommend that a decision by the UK to
enter enhanced cooperation where the voting procedure has been
changed from unanimity to QMV be subject to a referendum
lock.[125]
Inadvertent breaches of the provisions
contained in Part 1 of the Bill
112. We recommend that the Minister consider an
amendment to the European Communities Act to avoid inadvertent
breaches of the provisions contained in Part 1 of the Bill being
automatically incorporated into national law.[126]
Compatibility of Part 1 with
EU and international law
113. Both M. Piris[127]
and Professor Craig[128]
raise serious doubts about whether some of the domestic control
mechanisms introduced by Part 1 of the Bill are compatible with
EU or international law. Again, we recommend that this be addressed
during the Bill's consideration in Committee.[129]
Article 352 TFEUthe flexibility
clause
114. The purpose of the flexibility clause, Article
352 TFEU, formerly Article 308 EC, is to provide a residual "power",
when none is available elsewhere in the Treaties, for the institutions
to attain any of the objectives set out in the Treaty. Our predecessor
Committees, concerned by the wide reach of this aptly-named clause,
closely scrutinised its use to ensure that it addressed a legitimate
Treaty objective where no other power existed. They also took
evidence on it from the Commission and Council Legal Services,
Professor Alan Dashwood CBE, and the then Foreign Secretary (Margaret
Beckett).[130] We
welcome the default control mechanism of an Act of Parliament
which clause 8 introduces before Article 352 TFEU can be used
as a legal base, but recommend that the exceptions to the requirement
for an Act of Parliament in clause 8, subsections (4)-(6), be
carefully considered in Committee.
Implementation of the referendum
lock
115. Since 1973, nine referendums have been held
in the UK, one of which has been nationwide.[131]
A further nationwide referendum on the alternative vote system
for the election of Members of Parliament is planned for this
year. By contrast, this Bill introduces 56 Treaty provisions which,
if ever invoked, would trigger a referendum. The majority of them
does not concern major issues of national policy, such as changing
the currency of the UK, but a change in the voting system in the
Council from unanimity to QMV.
116. The evidence from Professor Hix was that referendums
should be reserved for "major constitutional questions"[132]
rather than "procedural issues"[133],
for example he thought all the previous EU amending TreatiesMaastricht,
Amsterdam, Niceshould have been subject to a referendum;[134]
that voter turn-out would be low on a referendum on a procedural
passerelle (potentially less than 25%)[135],
which would undermine the legitimacy of the result of the referendum;[136]
and that voters who did turn out would be unlikely to focus on
the particular procedural question but rather on broad policy
issues.[137] He made
an important point about why a referendum should address a major
constitutional question:
"I see a range of issues that I would categorise
as being clearly of a fundamental constitutional nature and that,
therefore, would only be regarded as legitimate by future generations
if they are ratified in some way through a referendum. I think
that those questions are inherently and fundamentally significant
enough to answer all the other questions that have been raised
about whether there would be sufficient turnout, whether there
would be a proper debate on the issue, whether people would really
form their opinions on the questions that were on the table and
so on. I think that they do by their nature."[138]
117. We are concerned whether the Government has
considered the important issues raised by Professor Hix. Similarly,
it is not clear to us that the Government has considered the potentially
profound constitutional implications of the referendum lock provisions
for the principles of Parliamentary democracy and direct democracy
in the UK. We trust the matter will be addressed by the Minister
during the Bill's consideration in Committee.
Potential impacts of the Bill
on UK-EU relations?
118. We began this section of the Report by asking
what the impact of the Bill might be on UK-EU relations. The evidence
we received was mixed. When it came to Treaty revision, Sir John
Grant thought that there was such little appetite among Member
States for a new Treaty and that the matter was shelved. In any
case it was thought unlikely that the UK Government would countenance
or want a new Treaty, European Union Bill or not. For Professor
Hix, Treaties were not the main problem; in a Treaty negotiation
many issues were on the table and it was possible to conclude
a package deal. The potential for gridlock lay rather in issue-specific
negotiations, should other Member States also adopt domestic constraints
on passerelles or the special amendment provisions in the
Treaty. It seems clear that whatever the reason for the Bill,
strengthening the UK's bargaining position is not its primary
purpose. Nevertheless, is hard not to conclude that the Bill
is intended to send a signal, even if it is not as strong as to
"accentuate British exceptionalism".[139]
EU enlargement and Accession
Treaties
119. In addition to the constitutional impact, the
political, economic and social consequences of Turkish accession
might be thought significant to the UK public. Yet it remains
the case that a stand-alone Treaty on Turkish accession with nothing
of a constitutional nature added to it would not trigger a referendum.
For Professor Hix the reason was political pragmatism. He commented
that the Government, "would like Turkey to be a member of
the EU, and they would not want the British public to stop it.
Such a provision is therefore excluded from the Bill".[140]
We agree with Professor Hix; the whole question of excluding
the accession Treaties implies that one major item of constitutional
change in the EU has been left out of the Bill because it suits
the Government to do so, and we regard this as anomalous.
Devolution
120. EU affairs are reserved matters for the UK Government.
Neither the Explanatory Notes to the Bill nor the FCO's evidence
make reference to the devolved administrations. The submission
from the European and External Relations Committee of the Scottish
Parliament points out that given the nature of devolution, the
powers or competences to be transferred from the UK to the European
Union could be ones that have been devolved under the Scotland
Act 1998.[141] The
impact of the transfer of such powers or competencies might be
quite different in Scotland (or other devolved areas) to the UK
as a whole. It is not clear that the Government has considered
the implications of this and we trust the matter will be addressed
by Ministers during the Bill's consideration in Committee.
110 See clause 1(4)(b). Back
111
Q 93 Back
112
Q 55 Back
113
See paragraph 48 of this Report. Back
114
Article 352 TFEU; formerly Article 308 EC. Back
115
E.g. civil protection; energy, see footnotes 45 and 46. Back
116
Para 55 Back
117
Para 57 Back
118
See for example paragraph1 of this Report. Back
119
See paragraphs 21, 41, 61 and, in relation to clause 8, paragraph
82. Back
120
R (on the application of Wheeler) v The Office of the Prime
Minister and the Secretary of State for Justice [2008] EWHC
1409 (Admin), as per the dicta of Lord Justice Richards at paragraph
43. Back
121
For example, Ev 76, Q 103 (HC 633-II) Back
122
See below. Back
123
The Times, 13 January 2011. Back
124
See paragraph 52 of this Report. Back
125
See paragraphs 53-55 of this Report. Back
126
See paragraphs 56-58 of this Report. Back
127
Ev 39 (HC 633-II) Back
128
Ev 13 (HC 633-II) Back
129
See paragraphs 59-61 of this Report. Back
130
Article 308 of the EC Treaty, Twenty-ninth Report of Session
2006-07.HC 41-xxix. Back
131
House of Commons Library Research Paper 10/79, 2 December 2010,
page 13. Back
132
Q 22 Back
133
Q 15 Back
134
Q 27 Back
135
Q 8, Q 15 Back
136
Q 8, Q 22 Back
137
Q 18 Back
138
Q 22 Back
139
Op cit Back
140
Q 46 Back
141 Ev
38 Back
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