Postal Services in Scotland - Scottish Affairs Committee Contents


Supplementary written evidence from the Royal Mail Group

1.  THE ACCESS REGIME

As a result of European Union postal directives, the UK postal market is now fully liberalised. The regulator, Postcomm, introduced competition in a number of stages from 2001 leading to full liberalisation of the UK market in January 2006. This was much earlier than most EU countries. Some of them have still not fully introduced competition into their domestic markets.

The regulator established a regulatory framework allowing competitors access to the Royal Mail network. As part of that framework, the access price was set through the first contract negotiated between Royal Mail and a downstream access applicant (UK Mail). That first contract established a groundbreaking access agreement, not seen before in the UK or elsewhere. Had the two parties not reached an agreement, the regulator would have exercised its powers to determine the price and non-price terms under which access would have been provided by Royal Mail.

The access price has increased annually within the constraints (i.e. below inflation) allowed within Royal Mail's Licence. There will no doubt be different views as to whether the price established was appropriate at the time or not. We note that Postcomm in their evidence to the committee said that they felt that the price agreed was higher than they thought appropriate.

The key point is that the price set then was based on a number of assumptions and market conditions at that time, including views by both parties and industry experts that the mails market would grow. Things have changed considerably since 2006. In his report, Richard Hooper acknowledged that the UK letters market is now in major structural decline: the volume of letters in the UK is falling year on year and average daily letter volumes have reduced by 16m items in the last four years. The Hooper report indicates that letter volumes may decline by up to a further 40% over the next five years.

In addition, there is now significant competition in the UK letters market with some 10 significant operators in the downstream market alone. Over 60% of bulk mail and over 45% of all mails is now handled by Royal Mail's rivals.

Royal Mail now faces a situation where, on average, the access price has increased below inflation. Also, Royal Mail volumes overall have fallen sharply since full liberalisation in 2006, to an extent not envisaged at the time and not adequately reflected in the Price Control settlement. The current situation is that Royal Mail loses on average 2.5p on every item that it carries for its competitors. This in effect means that it subsidises access to the tune of some £160 million p.a. Moreover, the current regulatory regime leaves Royal Mail in the position where it is not only loss making on access, it cannot compete upstream on price because of the headroom guarantees provided to its competitors within its Licence.

2.  GOVERNMENT FUNDING AND THE SPEND IN SCOTLAND

In November Government announced that it had committed funding of £1.34 billion over the next four years to refresh and modernise the Post Office network. It has laid out the Post Office policy approach that this funding will support in its document "Securing the Post Office in the Digital Age". Given that these funds have only just been allocated, and that there are still to follow through processes underway—such as seeking the necessary State Aid approval from the European Commission—we are not in a position to provide a breakdown of how much of the Government funding will be spent in Scotland.

However, given that the funding and associated policy approaches of modernisation and maintaining network sized / accessibility levels will apply across the UK, clearly an appropriate proportion of the funding will be used to achieve the desired policy aims in Scotland.

3.  POST OFFICES FOR SALE IN SCOTLAND

There has always been a commercial market involving post offices where an incumbent puts their current business on the market (and might also include the residential property attached to it within the sale) and will sell the business to an incoming business person who will apply to Post Office Ltd to take over the role of subpostmaster.

The decision to put his or her business on the market is a private one for the subpostmaster and Post Office Ltd may only become aware of this, if the incumbent subpostmaster resigns in anticipation of completing a sale of his / her business. There may well be subpostmasters who put their business on the market to test price conditions, and then decide to withdraw the business from the market, but we would not have information on this. A market in businesses containing Post Offices has always been in place and can be a healthy indicator. Historically up to 10% of post offices may change hands within this marketplace each year.

Although we cannot therefore gain information for all sub post offices in Scotland that may be considered to be "on the market", we can identify the number of resignations that have occurred and the number of current cases where we are advertising / recruiting a subpostmaster. This indicates about 100 cases in Scotland currently at various stages - which is broadly consistent with the historical levels at which Post Office change hands.

4.  MUTUALISATION AND THE STAKEHOLDERS

The Government has proposed that, "in time, Post Office Ltd could be converted into a mutual structure, with the ownership and running of the Post Office handed over to employees, subpostmasters and communities". It believes that "a mutually owned Post Office Ltd could be ideally suited for the economic and social role that the Post Office network provides in communities up and down the country".

In taking this forward it has said that "any move to mutual ownership must put the views of subpostmasters, employees, business partners and customers first". It has therefore asked Co-operatives UK—the national trade body for co-operatives—to look at the proposal, seek the views of the Post Office's major stakeholders, as well as those of a range of experts, and report back to Ministers in spring 2011. This process has now started. We will therefore be clearer as to the kinds of options that are identified and how they related to the various stakeholders when that work is concluded.

Government has made clear that "before making any final decision on whether to move to a mutual structure, we will conduct a public consultation so that the British public can have their say, as both customers and taxpayers."

We believe that mutualisation can provide a positive way forward for Post Office but, as the Government points out, "for a mutual to be successful it must be able to build on solid foundations". We see our role in the next few years as working with subpostmasters and other stakeholders to build those solid foundations through maintaining and modernising the network and ensuring we are a successful, sustainable business focused on serving our customers well.

20 December 2010


 
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