Transport and the Economy - Transport Committee Contents


Written evidence from London TravelWatch (TE 64)

1.  INTRODUCTION

London TravelWatch welcomes the opportunity to contribute to House of Commons Transport Committee's inquiry into transport and the economy. The impact of the recession has been felt in the transport industry in the form of both reduced revenue and public funding. We urge that the lessons of past recessions are learnt: that delaying investment and contracting transport can result in insufficient capacity when the economy recovers.

London TravelWatch is providing a written submission to the Transport Select Committee inquiry in its capacity as the independent transport user watchdog for London, and the watchdog for rail passengers in the area surrounding London.

London TravelWatch believes that the transport needs of London and its surrounding area are unique in the United Kingdom. The region is the economic heart of the British economy and transport is central to the success and growth of the region, this is illustrated by the following points:

(1)  Central London employment is dependent upon the availability of transport and London as a whole contributes between £14.3 billion and £19.4 billion to the UK economy in the difference between public expenditure and tax paid.[223]

(2)  Public transport in London has a larger modal share of trips than any other region of the UK.

(3)  While there has been investment in transport capacity over the last ten years the average number of passengers per train, bus and tram has also risen in the same period.[224]

(4)  The subsidy per passenger kilometre for London and the South East operators is generally lower than the rest of the UK.[225]

5.  Everyday 1.11 million people commute into or out of London[226], for most of these journeys public transport is the only viable option available to them. It is therefore of great importance to the wider economy that public transport quality and capacity is invested in and maintained.

2.  LONDON TRAVELWATCH WRITTEN SUBMISSION

Have the UK's economic conditions materially changed since the Eddington Transport Study and, if so, does this affect the relationship between transport spending and UK economic growth?

London TravelWatch accepts the premise of the Eddington study that the linkage between transport spending and economic growth is present provided that the investment is targeted. The study provides case studies where lack of investment constrains economic growth in Ireland and India. London TravelWatch argues that this position is the same in London where without investment in the capacity of the network as a whole the disbenefits to the economy will be significant in terms of road congestion and crowding on public transport. As a result we recommend wider road user charging to fund increased investment in public transport, walking and cycling.

The Eddington study also argued for efficient utilisation of existing transport infrastructure and improving its performance. In this context we recommend that road user charging is investigated to reduce traffic congestion, as well as a means to fund improvements in alternative means of transport. The study recommended a long term strategic policy approach to transport provision but with sufficient flexibility to respond to changes in circumstances. Given the long-term view of the Eddington study, London TravelWatch does not believe that there have been material changes to alter the priorities set out by the study.

What type of transport spending should be prioritised, in the context of an overall spending reduction, in order best to support regional and national economic growth?

London's roads

London TravelWatch recommends the retention of existing congestion charging zones and an expansion of congestion charging, but with an increasing level of sophistication. In 2010-11 Congestion Charging is forecast to be £378 million budgeted to fall by £51 million in 2011-12 with abolition of the Western Extension Zone.

The increased sophistication could be in the form of separate zones and GPS technology. This technology could support more intelligent charging for example by varying operating hours for specific areas or charging zones. The income from congestion charging could be used to fund public transport in London, as well as reducing congestion by encouraging behavioural change and modal shift.

London's Public Transport as a whole

Current public transport capacity should be maintained and expanded to meet forecast demand. This may mean additional bus services to compensate for delayed infrastructure.

London has the greatest dependence on its public transport network of any region in the UK. The role of public transport as the only practical means of transport for many commuters means that it is central to the continued economic growth of London. Since the first quarter of 2009-10, public transport usage has grown following a contraction as a result of the recession. This continued growth of transport demand means that there is still a need for investment in the capacity of the transport network. For this reason it would not be in the interests of the passenger to revisit the schemes already specified in the High Level Output Statement (HLOS) or TfL London Underground upgrade. This is partly because of the complexity and time that revision would involve, but more importantly because passengers need the investment in the capacity and performance of public transport.

Buses

In recognition of the role the bus plays in London's transport system, the quality and volume of service should not be decreased. Buses account for 20% of the modal share of journeys in London which is by far the largest share of public transport.[227] London TravelWatch's research into "Bus passengers" priorities for improvements in London' (2010)
http://www.londontravelwatch.org.uk/document/4152/get found that passengers prioritised the following areas for improvements:

1  More buses are on time or within five minutes of when they are scheduled to arrive.

2  Buses run more frequently at times when you want to use the bus.

3  Electronic displays showing the correct length of time until the next bus is due to arrive are available at all bus stops.

4  The correct route number and destination is clearly displayed on the outside of all buses.

5  All bus drivers are helpful and have a positive attitude.

London TravelWatch recommends because passengers' prioritisation of journey time reliability that bus priority measures are extended to increase the efficiency of the bus network by improving journey time reliability. Additional priority measures also have the potential to reduce the cost of bus operation and enable them to transport more passengers more quickly.

London Underground and National Rail

The last recession in the early 1990s led to delays in infrastructure spending which ultimately meant that supply did not keep pace with demand once passenger numbers started to grow. Demand in 2009-10 has now started grow following the impact of the recession. Given the long lead times for investment, delays would not be in passengers' interest as the levels of forecast growth, while lower than prior to the recession, are showing an increasing level of transport demand over the next 20 years.

For London Underground and the national railways, maintenance and renewals must continue in order that performance does not decline.

We recommend a gating strategy is developed for London to systematically increase revenue collection. There are also substantial benefits for passengers from gating in terms of potential means to fund increased levels of staffing and the perceived sense of security at stations. There are a number of strategic gaps in gating in certain areas such as south east London. However, a combination of revenue support and the allocation of the London Travelcard revenue make it hard to justify individual investment by a single operator. A strategic approach by TfL or the DfT, however, could capture significant volumes of revenue currently lost, by looking at gating schemes across entire areas.

How should the balance between revenue and capital expenditure be altered?

It is the goal of the "Delivering a Sustainable Railway" (2009) White Paper that the balance of contributions of passengers should increase and the proportion of tax-payer funding should decrease over the period up to 2014. For TfL, its 2010-11 to 2017-18 business plan also sees fares revenue forming a greater percentage of its income.

London TravelWatch is concerned that only 48% of national rail passengers in the last National Passenger Survey were satisfied with the value for money of their tickets. This indicates that passengers are not getting what they deem a sufficient service given the cost of travel. As a result, we recommend a strategic fares review in London and the South East to ensure that passengers get the best value for money and that the system is fair across the whole region. This review could also be linked to the role of fares in contributing to the funding of the rail industry. This review might consider:

  • The fairness and value for money of fares.
  • Review of the Travelcard boundaries.
  • Value for money from the perspective of the passenger and tax-payer.
  • Review of concessions: For example, an end to the 0930 concession for Freedom Pass as the peak resource requirement drives the main element of cost, or a limit (albeit generous) on free children's travel concession.

In a more general sense, a review of the balance between capital expenditure and revenue should consider the impact of deferral of capital expenditure on the future ability of the transport network to cater for demand in the future.

Are the current methods for assessing proposed transport schemes satisfactory?

London TravelWatch has concerns about the potential for increased private investment in the rail network to distort funding decisions in favour solely of financial rates of return on investment. Affordability is a key requirement but public spending should also take into account the wider economic benefits of transport. London TravelWatch has a specific concern about longer rail franchises, which relates operator investment to extend the franchise beyond the 15 year maximum. In our experience, operator investment tends to target more lucrative longer distance passengers at the exclusion of suburban metro passengers. London TravelWatch would not want to see operators "cherry-pick" lucrative routes for investment. We recommend, therefore, wider economic benefits must also be factored into investment decisions.

In terms of appraisal methodology in the DfT's Transport Analysis Guidance, there are always weaknesses with any assessment methods because the future is, necessarily, an uncertain place. However, in the context of the rail industry the standard forecasting tool MOIRA is in need of update because its methodology is only really appropriate for incremental changes to the network. It is not able to forecast accurately the impact of new journey possibilities not previously possible by rail.

How will schemes be planned in the absence of regional bodies and following the revocation and abolition of regional spatial strategies?

London TravelWatch has contributed extensively to the Draft Replacement London Plan and its predecessors. Outside of Greater London, the revocation and abolition of regional spatial strategies has the potential to make planning decisions less certain about strategies for employment and housing growth. Both of these factors have a key influence over the long term requirements of the transport network. There are therefore challenges that are created by the absence of regional bodies and revocation of regional spatial strategies.

3.  CONCLUSION

In the context of potential cuts in service provision and for increased fares or congestion charge revenue, there will be an impact on those in society least able to afford transport costs. It is very important that all levels of decision makers within Government and transport operators seek to minimise the impact on the people in society who are least able to afford rises in the cost of transport, and who will be most affected by declines in quality and quantity of services.

Decisions about transport spending priorities need to protect the core functions of transport in London and its surrounding area to ensure that capacity is present both now and in the future. Decisions about transport priorities should take into account the potential future impacts on the transport network and not made on short-term cost cutting grounds.

September 2010


223   Source: Page 102, London's Place in the UK Economy, Oct 2009, City of London. Back

224   Source: Travel in London Report 2, 2010, TfL. Back

225   Source: ORR Statistics 2008 http://www.rail-reg.gov.uk/upload/xls/nrt-tables-ch6-misc-240610.xls  Back

226   Source: Travel in London Report 2, 2010, TfL. Back

227   Page 44, Travel in London Report 2 (2010), TfL. Back


 
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