Transport and the Economy - Transport Committee Contents


Written evidence from Skills for Logistics (TE 83)

SECTOR SKILLS COUNCIL FOR FREIGHT LOGISTICS INDUSTRIES

Skills for Logistics (SfL) is led at Board level by logistics employer representatives. We work alongside companies in the UK that are involved in moving, handling or storing goods. We work with logistics employers to provide free, specialist and impartial advice with regards to learning and skills development; with the aim of improving business performance and articulating their demand to external stakeholders.

The response to this consultation has been produced after communications with staff from within the organisation who engage with operational companies and have experience within this environment. The only focus of our response is, as the Skills for Logistics remit, the impact that such schemes would have on the skills of the employees of the industries that we support. Therefore, the questions that have been answered are limited to this remit, as follows:

Have the UK's economic conditions materially changed since the Eddington Transport Study and, if so, does this affect the relationship between transport spending and UK economic growth?

Transport's role in supporting the productivity of the UK economy is vital. The freight Logistics Sector employs 2.3 million people (8% of the UK's workforce) across 190,000 workplaces[270]. Evidence from the Annual Business Inquiry 2008 suggests that the logistics sector approximate Gross Value Added totalled £103 billion - 11% of the UK's GVA.

SfL commissioned research (unpublished at present) indicates that there is a strong relationship between global performance and logistics performance. At a lower level, the environment in which logistics operates has been shown to affect the overall performance. There are six ratings and our findings show that infrastructure (the quality of trade and transport related infrastructure (e.g. roads, ports, railroads, information technology)) has the strongest significant relationship on performance. However, the UK logistics is ranked 16th from 155 countries - behind a number of European competitors, US, Japan and Singapore. The UK is ranked within the top ten for the other five areas - customs, international shipment, logistics competence, tracking & tracing and timeliness.

We have also determined a link between logistics performance and training. Training can impact all of these areas and hence further increase the performance of the sector. While we advocate training across the sector, it is also vital to maintain transport investment schemes that benefit the logistics sector.

Since the Eddington Report the government has published Delivering a Sustainable Transport system: the logistics perspective (2008). It is recognised that freight transport however has a number of environmental impacts. The transport sector accounts for 21% of UK's domestic greenhouse gases emissions, with CO2 representing about 96% of the emissions. Freight transport (HGVs and vans) accounts for 31% of these emissions, which represents around 7% of the overall figure.

The Logistics Sector can help reduce carbon emissions in two ways; firstly by supporting a shift to new technologies and fuels, and secondly by promoting lower carbon choices. However, the sector is particularly interested in finding solutions that can create win-win situations, i.e. solutions that are not only good for the environment but also for profitability of the company and thus the economy.

What type of transport spending should be prioritised, in the context of an overall spending reduction, in order best to support regional and national economic growth?

Evidence shows that the sector has and is expected to grow. The turnover of the UK companies operating in the freight and distribution sector totalled £86.54 billion in 2008, having increased by 1.8% compared with the previous year (see table 1). Over the last five years, turnover in the sector has increased by 32.7%. The sector has experienced a downturn in 2009 as a result of the recession in the UK and world economies.

The main issue facing the sector over the next few years is the likely length of the recovery. There are many uncertainties regarding the future, but it seems likely that the recovery will be slow, with a return to trend growth rates expected in 2011. Overall growth of 23.1% is expected between 2009 and 2013. From 2011 growth year on year is expected to be around 7%.

All subsectors are anticipated to grow, year on year, from 2009 to 2013 (please see table below). Supporting transport activities (i.e. warehousing and freight forwarding) and road transport are anticipated to see the largest growth, with 28.7% and 25.4% respectively.

Rail is expected to increase by 18.3% with turnover increasing from £925 million to £1,062 million, while freight transport by water is anticipated to grow by 12.1%, air by 13.9%, postal and courier activities 8.3%. If the anticipated grow is to happen then the infrastructure to accommodate this would have to be in place.

Table 1

FORECAST TURNOVER OF UK COMPANIES AT CURRENT PRICES, 2007-13 (£ million)
20072008 20092010 201120122013
Rail 925957 898906950 1,0041,062
Road26,33827,717 25,38925,69327,389 29,52631,829
Water2,0202,080 1,9932,0052,071 2,1522,235
Air892898 855861893 933974
Supporting Transport Activities40,327 39,45235,72936,208 38,88142,28546,001
Postal and Courier 14,508 15,43814,99215,053 15,38815,80016,231
Total85,014 86,54279,856 80,72685,573 91,69998,331
% change year on year10.3 1.8-7.7 1.16.07.2 7.2

Source: Key Note 2009. Market Review Distribution Industry.

How should the balance between revenue and capital expenditure be altered?

Unable to comment as SfL's focus is purely around skills development

Are the current methods for assessing proposed transport schemes satisfactory?

One of the reasons for road's high freight market share is the relatively short distances that much freight travels. Analysis of the origins and destinations of goods shows that, on average, around 70% of road freight has its origin and destination within the same region of the UK. The East and West Midlands are significant destinations for freight (given their agglomeration of national distribution centres).

These key origins and destinations lead to concentrations of freight traffic on particular parts of our national networks. Key road routes include the M25 (particularly the north eastern section), the M1 (particularly south of Nottingham), the M6 south of Manchester, and parts of the M62, A1 and A14. The routes used by most rail freight services broadly follow the same spatial patterns, with the East and West Coast Main Lines carrying the bulk of the traffic. Partly because freight is ultimately travelling to and from major population centres, these key routes are also important for commuting, business and leisure traffic, and so there appears to be some commonality with the routes of most importance to other traffic. Across the road network as a whole there is an overall average of 16 cars and vans travelling for every one HGV. (DfT Sustainable Strategy Report)

Sir Eddington's Report stated that "urban areas are likely to deomonstrate the characteristics that would be expected of rapid economic growth: high levels of congestion; high wages; and high land prices. It seems clear that these large urban areas will be the drivers of UK growth over the next few decades. In turn, it is clear that their respective transport networks will continue to play a crucial role in supporting their ongoing success ….."

This is still very much the case and therefore when it comes to assessing proposed transport schemes small scale projects and their ROI should be looked at (page 38 1.99 The Eddington Transport Study: The case for action) along with current Government policies around the Green Agenda and new technologies should be taken into account.

From a skills point of view, SfL is fully aware that such agendas have an impact of the development needs of employees in the sector forming a circle - Government Agenda impacts on decisions being made around planning = new infrastructures come into play = new skills are required of the logistics workforce to accommodate these decisions.

How will schemes be planned in the absence of regional bodies and following the revocation and abolition of regional spatial strategies?

There are a number of key strategic partners who produce Labour Market Intelligence (LMI) which could be used constructively when planning takes place. Tapping into industry related forums, trade associations , SSCs and data supplied by blue chip organisations would enhance this process

September 2010


270   Skills for Logistics, 2010. Sector Skills Assessment UK Report. Back


 
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