The cost of motor insurance - Transport Committee Contents


Examination of Witnesses (Questions 140-193)

Q140 Chair: Good morning, gentlemen, and welcome to the Transport Select Committee. I wish you all a happy new year. Could I ask you all please to identify yourselves with your name and organisation for our records? Could I start at the end there?

Mark Boleat: Mark Boleat, former Director General of the Association of British Insurers, former claims management regulator, currently a member of the City of London Police Committee.

David Powell: David Powell, Underwriting Manager from the Lloyd's Market Association.

Viv Nicholas: Viv Nicholas, European Secure Vehicle Alliance.

Deputy Chief Constable Ainsworth: David Ainsworth. I am a Deputy Chief Constable. I am representing ACPO, where I have the vehicle crime portfolio.

Chief Superintendent Anwyl: I am Geraint Anwyl, a Chief Superintendent representing ACPO. I am the head of National Road Policing Intelligence.

Q141 Chair: Thank you very much. Perhaps I could start first with Mr Powell. In your submission you say that the motor insurance market has been loss­making since the 1970s. Why then are there so many insurance companies operating?

David Powell: That is a good question. We are now seeing a price correction which will allow insurers hopefully to keep trading. The motor insurance market is going through a period of real difficulty and it is a long period. Motor insurance is a compulsory product; there is a lot of income available out there. It is a £10 billion gross written premium for the entire market and insurers are seeking to corner market share and make a profit. Nobody is in this business to make a loss. But some insurers are exiting the market. We have seen two Lloyd's syndicates in recent years exit the market following poor experience, and a number of other providers in the company market.

Q142 Chair: It is not very convincing, is it? If it is all supposed to be so loss­making, why are so many companies anxious to be involved?

David Powell: Not every single company in the market is loss­making. The market average in 2009 was just over 20% loss, but some companies are better than average and will have better experience; some will have worse.

Q143 Chair: How do the insurance companies make their money? What is the source of their profits?

David Powell: There are a number of sources of income. The primary source is premium income, which accounts for the vast proportion of insurers' income. Connected to that there are credit arrangements for people who pay by instalments, which introduces a small amount of income. They can earn income from investments; from investing the cash they hold to earn a premium. Insurers can earn money from commissions on bundled products sold with motor insurance, such as breakdown recovery, legal expenses, that sort of thing. Insurers do earn some money from referral fees for cases that are passed to claimants' solicitors or credit hire companies.

Q144 Chair: Mr Boleat, would you like to add to any of that or disagree, if you want to, with any of those points?

Mark Boleat: I sort of agree. When I was at the ABI a long time ago I was assured that motor insurance was loss­making. One of the odd features of the way insurers look at this is that they tend to look at premiums and claims, and the difference between the two is called a "loss". It is rather like a football club measuring its profitability by the prize money as against what it pays the footballers and forgetting things like crowd income, television income and merchandising rights. All of the points that David made are all part of the motor insurance business and insurers do not stay in a business for 40 years making a loss. Over the last 40 years the business has been profitable. Over the last five or six years for a number of reasons, I think, the business as a whole has become loss­making and what you are now seeing is a correction, but over the long term the business has been profitable or insurers wouldn't be in it.

Q145 Chair: You say there has been a correction. Do you think that has been a legitimate correction or are there things that are illegitimate going on? Are people being exploited in the way the whole system works?

Mark Boleat: People are not being exploited. It is difficult to think of a more competitive market than this one. One of the things that has happened over the last few years is that insurers, like all businesses, make money out of inertia. The people who stick with the same company year after year are the most profitable. Typically, people look at the premium. If it's roughly the same as last year, it just goes straight through on the standing order. If it's 20% higher, they are going to look at it. More and more people, because of the use of comparison websites, are now looking at premiums and the very profitable people who haven't moved in the past are moving now. In my sample of one, i.e. me, my premium has gone down significantly for the last five years and this year it has jumped. I think that might be fairly typical. I suspect, if you look over the last 10 years, what's happened to premiums is they haven't gone up excessively. If you look this year against last year, you are seeing, in my view, a straight correction.

Q146 Iain Stewart: Could I pick up your point about referral fees as part of the income for insurance companies? In your view, is there an industry­wide move to increase revenue from referral fees as part of your overall income?

David Powell: I think most insurers now take some referral fee income.

Q147 Iain Stewart: Is that going up? Is there a collective mindset in the industry that this is one area where we can increase revenue?

David Powell: I think that would probably be fair to say, yes.

Q148 Iain Stewart: To what extent? Can you quantify that?

David Powell: I can't, I'm afraid. Referral fees are significantly affecting the cost of motor insurance; I have no doubt about that. Insurers are part of that system. It is a dysfunctional system. Insurers are acting in a dysfunctional way on that issue.

Mark Boleat: Chair, may I disagree with that point because I think it is a very important point of difference. Referral fees are a symptom and that they are not a cause. I am a consultant; I can't double my marketing costs and then expect my client to pay. The market doesn't work like that. Referral fees are high because there has been enough money in the system that lawyers have been willing to pay them. That is partly because of the claims process reforms that were introduced in the late 1990s. I guarantee that, if referral fees were made illegal tomorrow, first of all it wouldn't work and, secondly, premiums would not move by one penny.

Q149 Chair: When you say "referral fees are a symptom", a symptom of what—of dysfunction in the insurance market?

Mark Boleat: It is a very odd notion that marketing is regarded as a dysfunctional aspect of the market. You all stood for election last year, I guess some of you did a bit of canvassing; you had manifestos. Everybody knew there was a general election. We all knew we could look at your manifesto and we could go on the website, but all of you felt the need to do a bit of marketing. Why is this business any different?

Q150 Chair: You see referral fees simply as marketing. We have had a lot of evidence suggesting that that is one of the main reasons putting prices up.

Mark Boleat: I think you have, with respect, Chair, no evidence on that. You have evidence that referral fees are high. That does not mean they put premiums up. It is not a cost-plus business. If this is a problem for insurers, very simply, they can try to operate without referral fees. If lawyers don't like paying referral fees, there is no obligation on them to pay them to get business. They can get business in other ways. There is overwhelming evidence, however, that if lawyers do not pay referral fees or do marketing they get no business. It is no different from you MPs; it is no different from the Government advertising for people to be careful about flu. Everybody knows we have flu and there are websites. Marketing is a part of everything that we do. This is no different.

Q151 Paul Maynard: Clearly I am probably a very stupid human being, but as a candidate I did not charge my voters when I knocked on their doors to canvass them, I did not charge them to deliver a leaflet; i.e. there was no cost associated with my marketing activity that I passed on to my voter. Why is it therefore that motor insurance companies, who are seeing their claims exceed their income, are looking for alternative revenue streams that they then generate from those who are drivers who are looking for insurance? Is that happening? Is that the structure of the market and what is driving that? What are these different revenue streams and, in your view, is that a legitimate way for them to go about their business?

Mark Boleat: I think the motor insurance market is highly competitive and if those in it do not exploit every revenue stream available to them and keep costs to the minimum they will go out of business.

Q152 Julie Hilling: A person has an accident and a claim is made, but along that route it seems to me there are an awful lot of people who are taking a share of money, which must put up the cost to the payer in the end, the payer being the insured and the insurance company. I am very confused by your comment that referral fees and that whole process doesn't put up the cost. I am just wondering if you could explain how that referral fee and that chain of process that happens doesn't put up the cost.

Mark Boleat: I guess the water in this bottle (of mineral water on the table) costs about a penny. The bottle of water costs, I don't know, 80p. All of that money is taken in the chain from getting the water from wherever it is, putting it in a bottle and marketing it. The supermarkets are taking, I don't know, 20p a bottle. That is how the market works. Referral fees are just a marketing cost and most solicitors regard the most effective means of getting business is to pay people who have got claims to get them. They don't have to pay referral fees. Any solicitor can simply wait for business to come through the door and, arguably, on that sort of analysis, they would make a lot of profit because they wouldn't be paying a £600 referral fee. The bad news is they wouldn't have any business.

Q153 Julie Hilling: So your argument is that the whole of that sort of food chain for people, when an accident occurs, is totally legitimate.

Mark Boleat: Yes.

Q154 Julie Hilling: And it doesn't actually affect the customer or the market?

Mark Boleat: It is absolutely legitimate.

Chair: Isn't the point that all of this leads to increased premiums? Premiums have absolutely leapt. There has been, generally speaking, about a 30% increase over the last year. They have leapt particularly for young male drivers—up 46%—and for female drivers—up 58%. We are looking now at the way the actual market is operating.

Q155 Kelvin Hopkins: We are looking at administrative costs essentially and not at the costs which are incurred by paying out insurance claims. Some concerns have been suggested in our papers that the market is actually inefficient and that more regulation might be helpful—if enforcement of drivers having insurance was much more effective. One suggestion I have made, and I will make again here, is that the driving age ought to be raised from 17 to 18, to the age of majority. That would save a lot of problems. It seems to me that there is a lot of emphasis on how much is spent on advertising and whatever, but we don't focus on the costs of paying out claims, which could be reduced by more enforcement and legislation.

Mark Boleat: I also sit on the Government's Regulatory Policy Committee at the moment so I am very much into Government's policy on regulation, which I think generally is against any new form of regulation or you need to make the case. The question of the age at which one can drive is a political matter. If you put it up from 17 to 18, a lot of the accidents that people have when they are 17 they would have when they are 18. You might get a bit of a reduction—

Q156 Kelvin Hopkins: But there would be one year less of people driving.

Mark Boleat: Yes, but there is a cost to that of denying people the opportunity, but that, I think, is not for this panel. That is a political matter. But you are absolutely right: if fewer people are allowed to drive, there will be fewer claims, but I don't think that would affect insurance premiums.

Q157 Chair: Do the other members of the panel have any views on regulation in this particular area? What about the way that credit hire firms operate? Is that seen as dysfunctional? Mr Powell, do you have any comments on that?

David Powell: Yes, it is dysfunctional the way the credit hire market currently operates. This is a circumstance where two people have an accident; one person is at fault and the other is not. The person who is not at fault will be contacted by various means, offered a replacement vehicle, typically for longer than they might need it, at a greater cost than it would cost an insurer to provide that vehicle, and the overall impact on claims costs is significant. The figures that I have from my members are that it can add £600 or £700 to a case where a credit hire company is involved.

Q158 Gavin Shuker: I do want to turn to the other witnesses, but just more broadly on the market, we have sketched a picture of a market which is in places dysfunctional and where there is a major market correction going on presently, to summarise your collective argument about what is happening with premiums. Do you believe that premiums will level off or do you believe they will continue to rise significantly, say, beyond inflation, over the next five, 10 or 15 years?

David Powell: On that I would say I don't think we will see a correction over the next 12 months like we have seen over the last 12 months, but I would expect premiums to keep increasing because the claims costs are increasing and the claims frequency is increasing.

Q159 Gavin Shuker: If we were to divorce what has happened in the industry over the last 10 years, say, from this moment where there is a major correction going on, you believe that the cost of claims is going to be the biggest factor in increasing the premium to the end consumer.

David Powell: Claims including credit hire costs and similar, yes, I do.

Q160 Chair: Fraud is another area of concern. We have had a number of concerns expressed that the insurance industry isn't taking this sufficiently seriously. I wonder if any members of the panel would like to comment on that. I know ACPO have made statements on this.

Deputy Chief Constable Ainsworth: Indeed. In the written statements that I made, the facts, analysis and estimates concur with our view of what was being reported on the ground. I collate the information nationally in relation to vehicle crime, which includes the fraudulent activity, but my colleague collates it in relation to the roads policing activity, in other words uniformed presence on the roads.

The trends that are reported concur with what we are finding on the ground: increased driving without insurance or at least without valid insurance, particularly amongst younger members of the public who are higher risk people often driving under insurance validated by their parents, often called "fronting". We have seen certainly increased personal injury claims and that has aligned to reduce attendance to road traffic collisions on the police service and, yes, we have seen a small increase in fraudulent activity, often quite well organised fraudulent activity. You do get some bits at the lower end of the range where it is an exaggeration perhaps—somebody claiming an injury that has not occurred. But at the other end of the scale we see organised activity that can be patterned across the country by certain groups.

The response to the fraudulent activity is patchy across the country, I'll be honest. The fact is that the police service has seen a steady decline in the amount of resources committed to vehicle crime squads and also to roads policing, and my colleague will talk about that. We have capacity issues in dealing with this increased fraudulent activity, but we also have capability issues because some of the expertise that is required to investigate these matters is quite specialist in nature. The points that we were advocating were that perhaps we could work more collaboratively with the insurance sector and put some specialist units together, for which there are precedents already, one within the City of London which one of my colleagues will talk about dealing with the fraudulent activity in the financial sector, and I have an arrangement nationally with the Finance & Leasing Association to deal with fraudulent activity in relation to the purchase of cars. When you have that single source of expertise there is merit in working collaboratively. So we have capacity and capability issues in dealing with it and we are looking to work more closely with the insurance sector.

Q161 Chair: You say that the response you get is patchy across the country. What is the nature of that difference and why do you think the insurance industry is reluctant, apparently, to be more involved in detecting fraud?

Deputy Chief Constable Ainsworth: There are a number of reasons why it is difficult for a local officer to engage. Quite often it will go across several force boundaries and so it requires a co-ordinated effort. So in this respect, when you get a pattern that transcends one force area and, in fact, three, four or five co-ordinating that, it is a lot more difficult on a local basis. A national or a regional capability would be better in our view. Also, as I say, these are complex matters with a number of players and actors involved, and to uncover that requires quite significant investment and resources at a time when of course the police service is looking to make significant cuts and sustain its front-line services. These are the realities that police chief constables are facing up and down the country.

Q162 Chair: Chief Superintendent Anwyl, is there any more you want to add to that on tackling fraud and how it can be done more effectively?

Chief Superintendent Anwyl: I would certainly support the fact that the police are not fully sighted on the amount of fraud because many of these incidents are not reported to the police in the first place. However, the competing demands placed on road policing units now are such that we have fewer than 6,000 road policing officers in England and Wales who are full-time specialist road policing officers. Many of them are now adopting other roles, supporting uniformed colleagues and general police duties. Therefore, the priorities are always competing against this type of crime. It is, by the reports that we have, regional in nature and it requires a regional approach—a national approach—because it is organised, it is linked very strongly to organised crime and it is beyond the capability of single forces to deal with it in isolation who have different numbers of road policing specialists available.

Q163 Chair: Would you say most fraud is linked to organised crime?

Chief Superintendent Anwyl: The major frauds that are occurring, yes, are linked to organised crime.

Q164 Julian Sturdy: Just on that point, isn't the number recognition technology that has come forward making it easier to detect fraud and potentially cheaper in the longer run?

Chief Superintendent Anwyl: Certainly the use of automatic number plate recognition has been a great advantage and as a result of that the police service are seizing over 500 uninsured vehicles a day off the roads. But, when it comes to the staged collisions or the induced collisions that are occurring, then it becomes very difficult because behind that technology you need the human resource to co-ordinate, to gather the intelligence and then to implement operations to tackle it. That does not exist on a regional basis, which is what is required to deal with this issue.

Q165 Julian Sturdy: You are actually seizing more and more vehicles now through the new technology?

Chief Superintendent Anwyl: Yes, we are. Obviously we have to overcome countermeasures to automatic number plate recognition, which is for ever evolving, but we are seizing as a police service 500 vehicles a day without insurance. We are interrogating ANPR, when it comes to those frauds and those induced and staged collisions that we know about, in order to collect intelligence information about vehicles that were present at the time. But there is an awful lot more that can be done.

Q166 Chair: Can you give us an example of an organised fraud?

Chief Superintendent Anwyl: Yes. I can give you an example without going into specific details where they set up their own claims management company. They have a doctor who could be a member of the family. On the legal side, a solicitor could be a member of the family. The victim of the collision is also part of that organised crime group, as well as the offender being part of the organised crime group. The entire incident is contained within a group who are well known, and often related, to each other. Fraud can happen in that a collision is induced—caused to occur—which is a very high risk. When it started off in the United States fatalities occurred and, clearly, we have been very lucky in this country thus far, but the magnitude of some of these collisions is such that it is only a matter of time before we see some very serious injuries to those involved. They will be induced collisions. Others are staged collisions, and then there are collisions that are fictional. There is an audit trail of the collision having occurred and there is a vehicle. All the main players are there but, actually, a collision never did occur. It is quite varied in its nature, but it's very highly organised and clearly very profitable, but it is a high-risk activity.

Q167 Chair: Are there any particular parts of the country where this is prevalent?

Chief Superintendent Anwyl: This is the regional nature of this. In the spine, right up to the centre of England and including the north-west of England, we see this occurring, and it moves. If it was based in certain locations and remained in those geographic locations, it would be easier to tackle, but it is by its very nature transient and the groups are moving along the spine of England largely. That is where it's happening and that's why it requires a regional approach to tackle it effectively.

Q168 Julie Hilling: Just on that, would a group operate, though, within a relatively small geographical area or would that same group be operating on a wider basis?

Chief Superintendent Anwyl: You can have both types occurring. You will have groups that will be moving across the country—organised groups talking to each other and going into each other's areas. You will also have some that will be locally based. When you have claims management companies established, the medical support, the doctors and the solicitors will be localised. However, the collisions themselves can occur anywhere along that spine. Some of them are local and it is much easier to address those issues, but these groups are very well organised and because the return is so lucrative it is worth them travelling in order to make detection so much harder. They are aware of the technology and they are aware of the policing operations and how we go about business.

Q169 Steve Baker: Mr Boleat, earlier you said that it's not a cost-plus business. Just thinking about the conversation we have had, what I have understood is that there has been a lot of pressure on the industry, which suggests that the just price for an insurance contract is the sum of the input costs. Could you just explore that? How, in general, is an insurance premium formulated? Is it just the sum of the input costs, including things like referral fees, or is there something much more subjective about that? You gave the example with the water. Beyond that, just one very short addition to it, what is the single largest constraining factor on the price that can be charged for an insurance contract?

Mark Boleat: The way that insurers fix premiums, and David can add to this no doubt, is that they have to assess what the claims are likely to be and what the costs of taking on an insured are likely to be. They will then want to charge a premium sufficient to cover that and to make a profit, and the constraint on them is that somebody else is charging less. So they have to make a judgment as to whether they want to be in the market. At any one point of time some insurers will want to buy market share, which is a perfectly legitimate tactic. They will say, "We need to get a critical mass so that we can reduce our average administrative costs. Therefore we are prepared to buy market share." The constraint is what other people are charging.

Once an insurer is in the market, it can't just come out. If they say, "We are just not going to bother", they are left with a lot of business and all the admin costs. So you can't go in for one year and then come out. Once you are in, I won't say you are in for life, but when you decide to come out it's a long and expensive process to come out of the market and you can't then go back in the next year. You can adjust it a bit and insurers will take a view, "We are not going to buy business this year; we are prepared to accept lower premium income." But on all of those things they have just got to make a judgment themselves. An insurer will also have to judge, "How much motor insurance do we want?", as opposed to other forms of insurance.

Q170 Steve Baker: Mr Powell, did you want to say something?

David Powell: I agree with all of that. Setting a price for an insurance product is quite a complicated process, but it basically involves a number of risk factors which are assessed about the person buying insurance: how old they are, where they live, their gender, the vehicle they are driving, the cover they want and so on—all those basic characteristics of the risk. Then, in addition to that, you have to set a price for your costs: the amount of claims that you are having to pay, the costs related to your capital, marketing and other related costs. Quite a lot of factors go into setting a price.

Mark Boleat: But I would add in income of course. The other income you could get from selling that policy is part of the equation.

Q171 Steve Baker: Would you agree that there is a substantial amount of subjective entrepreneurial judgment involved in setting those prices?

Mark Boleat: I would say less so in motor than in most other businesses because it's so big. If you are dealing with earthquake insurance or with a really big million pound premium to a business, you don't have the evidence. In motor insurance, there is evidence on age, sex and location.

David Powell: Indeed. It is heavily driven by known statistical factors. It is a mass market. Over 20 million policies are sold every year[1].

Q172 Kwasi Kwarteng: In all these submissions I am still very unclear as to what the panel thinks is driving these costs, because clearly that is something we all accept: we all know that the costs of premiums have gone up very sharply very recently. You were talking about a 40-year horizon, but we have seen in the last four or five years a very sharp increase in premiums. There is a debate obviously about referral fees and the panel have slightly different opinions. But, if it is not referral fees, what is driving up the cost of premiums?

David Powell: In the LMA submission we identified quite a number of factors which are driving up the cost.

Q173 Kwasi Kwarteng: Sure. What is the single cost?

David Powell: The single biggest factor?

Q174 Kwasi Kwarteng: Yes. What do you think?

David Powell: Claims costs make up the biggest proportion of spend, of premium, and they have increased by 50% in five years.

Q175 Kwasi Kwarteng: Why do you think that is the case?

David Powell: I think it's because we have a system that encourages middlemen to become involved in incidents and encourage claims. By "middlemen", I mean claimants' solicitors, credit hire firms, accident management companies and their agents, all of whom can make a profit out of finding somebody who wants to make a claim and encouraging them to do that.

Q176 Kwasi Kwarteng: Would you say that fraud is more or less than it was five years ago?

David Powell: Fraud has hugely increased. Certainly the amount of detected fraud has increased. But the spend on investigating fraud is not such a big a piece of the pie as routine claims costs.

Deputy Chief Constable Ainsworth: Certainly at the front end, that is our experience. People are almost encouraged to claim compensation and almost asked to say, "Are you sure there are no injuries from that?" There are increased litigation costs and certainly increased claims for accidents, and often those that we have not attended and are reported to us late. In law, of course, you should report if there has been an injury accident but, of course, whiplash injuries can occur some time afterwards or at least be felt some time afterwards. We certainly find that at the front end of the business there are more people being encouraged to explore the options after a road traffic collision.

Q177 Chair: Mr Nicholas, would you like to comment on this?

Viv Nicholas: Yes. Historically, there are always peaks and troughs within many industries. This industry is particularly cyclical in the sense that they go too low and then they go too high and there are always periods of adjustment. In this particular peak—and you have heard evidence in previous sessions as well—there are particular instances that all seem to be going the wrong way in the sense that they are all going to increase the costs.

There is a fundamental about why you insure. Originally you insured because you wanted protection and support if you had a problem. It now seems that there are many, many more people who are out there to beat and abuse the system. One of the things that has happened over the last five years or so is that that whole ethos about insurance is to make sure you take more out than you put in and that is a relatively new phenomenon, given the plethora of the sorts of temptations and opportunities that are put out there for motorists to abuse and beat a system rather than accept the fact that you want to be within one.

This whole area of compliance, I think, is very important. As a society we need to encourage people to see that there is value in being compliant and actually joining the club. But many people now want to get out of the club and beat the club rather than remain a member of it. That is something that has happened, and particularly your own evidence can show that happening, over the last five years or so.

Mark Boleat: In the report I did for the Ministry of Justice last year I had a little chapter entitled "Access to Justice or Compensation Culture", because the two are the same thing. There seems to be a suggestion on the part of some people that it's terrible that people are claiming because they've had an accident. There is no doubt that the proportion of people who have claimed in relation to the number who are entitled to claim has increased. More people have access to justice, but anything that makes access to justice easier also makes fraudulent claims easier. That goes together. What you have had over the last 10 years, as a result predominantly of the changes in the claims process system, is that more people who are entitled to claim are claiming, and that pushes up costs absolutely and that's proper, but, equally, you have had more fraud because fraud is easier to commit.

Q178 Gavin Shuker: Do you believe that there is space in the market for a more basic insurance product?

David Powell: I am sure there is space for a lower cost product. There are lower cost products available but people don't tend to buy them. You could buy basic compulsory cover and nothing else, but the actual difference in price between that and full comprehensive insurance is pretty marginal and people don't tend to buy the cheaper one.

Viv Nicholas: It is a very eclectic and very competitive market; so, if there is an angle or a benefit, in time it will come about. A point I would like to make is that we should look at what happens overseas as well: what are the learnings and the good practice and better practice that there is overseas? Again, you have had evidence, particularly on whiplash, for example, of cultures and environments where that is managed better than it is here. Also, certainly I would also say, in relation to this management of fraud and the joint partnership working between enforcement agencies and the insurance industry, that there are many instances where that seems to work much more effectively than it does within the United Kingdom.

Q179 Gavin Shuker: Just, finally, Chair, do any of the witnesses take a view on the Jackson proposals?

David Powell: We are fully supportive of the reforms that have been suggested by Lord Jackson and also Lord Young on a similar theme. The recommendations are seeking to reduce civil costs: that is the cost of bringing a claim. Lord Young's report includes recommendations to reduce some of the high pressure marketing and so on which we are seeing, which we think is a good thing.

To pick up on Mr Boleat's point, I would like to make the point that people bringing legitimate claims is absolutely no problem, of course, and the insurance market is there to respond to those claims. The difficulty—and this is the great issue that needs to be tackled going forward—is to clamp down on fraudulent and unmeritorious claims, without affecting people bringing legitimate claims. That is the great difficulty that we are wrestling with.

Q180 Iain Stewart: It is on that point I wanted just to explore a little more the role of the middlemen, the claim management companies and others. Looking at the proportion of fraud—not fraud in the sense that they have manufactured an incident but in the way that they egg that on by enhancing the injury and damage—first, what evidence do you have that that goes on? Secondly, what measures does the industry take to explore if someone makes a claim for whiplash or some other injury? Do you assess that that is genuine and to what extent do you just say, "Okay, that's a claim. We'll pay it"?

David Powell: It is a very difficult matter for insurers to get to grips with. The hurdle that a claimant has to get over under the civil law is pretty low. The evidence threshold is very low. A basic medical report confirming that somebody reports pain following an accident is sufficient for a case to be paid. An insurer will need very good objective evidence that the accident didn't take place or that the person is not a credible witness, for reasons they can demonstrate. There would need to be very specific evidence for an insurer to be able to repudiate the claim where fraud is suspected. It is very difficult to do, very expensive and resource-intensive.

Q181 Iain Stewart: Do you think the middlemen are taking advantage of that?

David Powell: Some. It's not fair to say that middlemen are universally manufacturing fraudulent claims. That would be completely wrong. But, some are.

Q182 Iain Stewart: Can you give a rough estimate as to the proportion between the absolutely legitimate claims and those which are enhanced, for want of a better word?

David Powell: I don't have data on that on which I could rely.

Q183 Chair: Mr Boleat suggested a dedicated group to tackle insurance fraud within the police but supported and financed by the insurance industry. Is that a practical proposition?

Deputy Chief Constable Ainsworth: It is. As colleagues have said, there are precedents for this already. Here, within the UK, in relation to fraudulent activity in the purchase of vehicles, it is something that my unit do, funded by the Finance & Leasing Association. Mr Boleat is aware of financial support for fraudulent investigations in the City of London Police. So there are precedents here. There are also precedents, as Mr Nicholas has said, overseas, where a dollar per premium in the United States is paid towards enforcement activity.

In answer to your question about the degree of insurance fraud, the Insurance Fraud Bureau investigate this and try to pattern the activity. Quite often it is clear that an operation will be going on within a specific locality. A number of claimants within one street perhaps from an extended family will be claiming at the same time. That sort of patterning of claims will illustrate that somebody is involved in something that's not quite right, and that needs investigating. Whilst the Insurance Fraud Bureau exists, it doesn't have an executive arm to go and investigate those anomalies and that is what we would initially tackle in the first instance. I think we would find that, for every pound invested, the return on that investment would be significant. So there is a growing momentum to examine this and we would like this Committee to support and encourage that.

Q184 Chair: Are there any active discussions taking place?

Deputy Chief Constable Ainsworth: The honest truth is that it is at the very early stages, looking to the way in which the insurance sector has worked with us in relation to the Finance & Leasing Association and the fraudulent activity there. We are using those models, but we are at the very early stages of examining that and this Committee's timing therefore is key for us.

Q185 Chair: Mr Nicholas, you have some international experience, haven't you?

Viv Nicholas: Certainly there are organisations that do a very fine job in the area of bridging this area between the insurance industry and the police. The other point I wanted to make, really, was a more general one about the propensity to be non­compliant and about the offender. It's not just in one area; it's in all areas. If you find a criminal or someone who wants to beat a system, they are looking at it in every area. So that supports, I think, a much more capable and all-embracing way of building bridges between the insurance industry and other members of the enforcement community.

Q186 Kelvin Hopkins: Mr Nicholas touched on overseas systems in other countries. I understand that in some countries they don't like insuring cars because the repairs are horrendously expensive and people are very casual about damaging their cars if they know they can get the costs back on the insurance. I understand southern Europe resist it. Some think it is laughable that we insure our own cars against an accident that we might have. Obviously, insuring people against accidents is one thing, but insuring the car on your own part, so third party only, is one thought that might make things cheaper. It might also make people more careful about driving because they know they won't get anything back if they damage their own car. That is one big question. The other question is that I understand that some places such as New Zealand some years ago—I don't know if it is still the case—had state motor insurance. The state system was automatic on licensing car ownership and overcame many of these problems. Are those two possibilities that you might consider?

Viv Nicholas: I suspect that there are many people prepared to comment on that. My own personal view would be that for the state to be out of anything in life is a good thing, so I certainly wouldn't want to support any involvement or commitment.

Q187 Chair: We are having to stick to motor insurance today.

Viv Nicholas: I wouldn't want state insurance. I don't think that would be very effective. I think third party in this country is often now more expensive than fully comp, which is a bit bizarre. But, in time, if we are informed and particularly for young people making a transition into becoming insured, these are really critical issues where we need to find pathways, products and outlooks that are going to mean that we recover from the system we are in at the moment, which is frankly a mess. "Dysfunctional" is a very interesting word and it is one which the insurance industry themselves have put up. For an industry to say that it is dysfunctional is cause for concern for us all. Within the insurance industry as well, I am sure a spectrum of insurance companies have different strategies as to how they are going to address this. We should encourage the ones that are doing the right things and hopefully they will make some more money out of it as well.

David Powell: I just wanted to come back on that specific question about third party cover and whether or not that might be a viable option. I think I touched on this earlier. The reality is that such a large proportion of the premium is based around paying for third party claims and the high cost and frequency of those claims that there is not much difference in price between a third party only product and a fully comprehensive product. That option is already there in the market. There are plenty of insurers who will offer that cover, but the price is actually not very different from the fully comprehensive price.

There is another minor point about why third party insurance premiums seem to be higher than comprehensive premiums in some cases. That's not quite the case. The situation is that the average third party premium is higher because the people seeking those premiums are looking to minimise their costs and, in fact, they are high risk drivers and they have a higher average premium than the average comprehensive driver.

Q188 Julie Hilling: It seems to me the industry has a captive audience and they are saying, "There are all sorts of things that are wrong in it at the moment but all we'll do is put the premiums up." My question is: what is the industry doing about the fraud aspect and not just about saying, "We should have a police unit"? What are you doing about the sharing of information, etcetera?

David Powell: Can I make a differentiation between two types of fraud? There is organised fraud or organised crime on the one hand, which we have heard about, on which the insurance industry response is very good, and, in fact, organised fraudsters now have a very good chance of being detected, caught, prosecuted, having their assets seized and going to prison. There is a very real and large scale reaction from the insurance market in co­operation with the police and Government agencies on that score.

The other type of fraud that is worth talking about is opportunistic fraud. This is the cases of people inflating claims where an accident did happen but perhaps exaggerating the nature of their injury and so on. That is a much more difficult area to get to grips with. Insurers are spending big to try and tackle this. They have set up the Insurance Fraud Bureau. The industry is setting up a new database to help improve data sharing. One of my members told me recently that they investigated 50% more cases in 2009 than they did in 2008. So there is a significant operational spend taking place to try and get to grips with this issue and it is a very challenging one.

What we need is more data sharing between Government agencies and the industry and more active enforcement. It is incredibly difficult to get police and the CPS interested in prosecuting a low level fraud. At this point the insurer might have successfully repudiated a claim but would like to see that person prosecuted criminally, for the criminal act of seeking to defraud an insurance company, but it is incredibly difficult to find a police force that would be willing to put that through.

Q189 Chair: What are the problems the police identify?

David Powell: As I understand it, it is to do with cost and resource. The police obviously prioritise high level fraud and higher orders of crime. If it is a fairly small claim, maybe £5,000 or £3,000, something of that order, which is very common, it is very difficult to attract attention. The cases require a lot of preparation before they can be presented to the CPS. There is lots of to-ing and fro-ing between the insurer and the CPS to make sure that they have got the case they need to make an assessment of whether it is in the public interest to prosecute. It just almost never happens.

Q190 Chair: Deputy Chief Constable, would you agree with that?

Deputy Chief Constable Ainsworth: I would agree with those comments about it. You have to take a pragmatic decision about what a prosecution might secure in terms of an outcome that is different to what has already been secured and whether it is in the public interest given the weight of other matters that require the CPS's attention and court time. There is additional evidence required to prove beyond a reasonable doubt as opposed to repudiating a claim. It is a pragmatic decision quite often of how much investment for how much return on behalf of the public. So, yes, I agree with those remarks.

Q191 Paul Maynard: There seems to be a general consensus that premiums have risen sharply and that has an adverse impact on the consumer—the person taking out insurance. What I have not quite detected yet is whether there is a consensus that this is a problem which the industry itself can solve or whether Government is required to take action over and above existing reforms in the Jackson review. I have not yet detected from any of you what you think the next step needs to be. Is this something you can solve amongst yourselves or do you need Government to do more still?

Mark Boleat: I think, Chair, it is an area Government should on the whole stay out of. It is very difficult to see why the Government should be seeking to intervene in the motor insurance market, which is a highly competitive market. The increase in the volume of claims, though, is partly caused by Government action in respect of the claims process.

The Jackson reforms are currently being considered. I don't go along with what Lord Justice Jackson has said on referral fees. I just think he is absolutely wrong. His assumption was that people know that you can claim; you can just go on the internet, find a solicitor and do it that way. The market does not work like that. No market works like that. I am sure you will hear from other witnesses later this morning that, if we are reliant on that, people who are entitled to claim wouldn't be. So I don't agree with him on that.

I do think more needs to be done in respect of fraud and I agree with what has been said already. A fair bit is being done. The insurers are doing a lot and the police are doing what they can. There is a need for a bit more to be done and I think there are useful discussions going on in that respect, but other than that I think it is a market issue. The consumer will best be served by a highly competitive marketplace.

Q192 Chair: Does anyone have any different answer to that or any different points?

Viv Nicholas: There isn't, frankly, enough work being done to discourage fraudulent activity. In terms of what the Government can do, the Government could start thinking about aspects of its purview of encouraging people to be compliant and not to become non­compliant, which obviously means there are areas of safety, for example, where one can try and reduce the frequency of claims. There are issues around young drivers, which clearly are a real concern, to make sure that young drivers do join our club rather than think it's just impossible for them to do it. In terms of how we train young drivers, I think that's very important. The quality of the records which we have as a Government is not good enough, down at DVLA, both on vehicles and drivers. If we want to make an investigation, we should be able to do it more effectively. Those are many things which the Government can do in areas where it has control.

Clearly this is a very complicated market and for the Government to think that it can begin to paddle in this very difficult market is probably unrealistic. But in terms of just illustrating that there are concerns, which I know the Committee has done, it is to be congratulated. There is undoubtedly better working between the police and the insurance industry and other enforcement agencies, which has come on apace. Clearly it needs to happen because we are not in a happy place at the moment.

Q193 Chair: Are there any other short points? Can you be as brief as you can, please?

David Powell: Sure. In terms of Government actions, I would suggest that the reforms which are on the table should be pushed through. I am talking about the Jackson report, which as a package of measures, which includes clamping down on referral fees, we would support. I think it is in the public interest. Similarly with Lord Young's proposals, with continuous insurance enforcement, which is about to kick off, we support all of those reforms, which we hope will help.

The one area which we have not touched on and there perhaps isn't time to go into, is about the risks presented by inexperienced drivers and whether there ought to be new restrictions introduced in that area to try and reduce the risks. The final point I would make is that to get the price of insurance down you have to reduce the risks, you have to reduce the costs and the premiums will follow. Those are the issues we have to get to grips with.

Chair: Thank you very much, gentlemen.



1   Note by witness: This figure should be 30 million. Back


 
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