Financial Regulation: a preliminary consideration of the Government's proposals - Treasury Contents


4  Micro-prudential Regulation

The PRA as a subsidiary of the Bank of England

81. The daily regulation and supervision of financial firms, or micro-prudential regulation, will be carried out by a new Prudential Regulation Authority (PRA). It will be a new subsidiary of the Bank of England, and will be responsible for sectors such as deposit-takers, investment banks and insurance firms. It is anticipated that approximately two thirds of the existing FSA staff will join the PRA.

82. The PRA will be chaired by the Governor. Hector Sants, the current Chief Executive at the FSA, will remain to oversee the transition and will become Chief Executive of the PRA and a Deputy Governor of the Bank. Andrew Bailey, the Bank's Chief Cashier, will be Deputy Chief Executive in the new regulator, and will help with the transition. The Deputy Governor for Financial Stability (Paul Tucker as it stands) will also sit on the PRA Board.

Combining financial stability and micro-prudential regulation

83. The rationale for combining macro- and micro-prudential supervision is clear. Policy-makers must have an intimate understanding of how the relevant financial institutions behave and what risks they run if they are to safeguard the stability of the financial system as a whole. And changes in the macro-economic environment affect the risks faced by individual institutions and may warrant across-the-board changes in the intensity and focus of micro-prudential supervision. As Clive Briault, the former FSA director of retail markets, has argued, there are potential synergies with conduct of business supervision, so the case for separating the 'twin peaks' is not necessarily watertight .[73] But the evidence of the recent financial crisis suggests that mixing functions can contribute to a lack of focus on rising macro-prudential risk and difficulties in moving to a 'war footing' when that risk becomes substantial. In addition, the incentives are different. For example consumer protection can be well served by keeping a bank open, while stability is well served by closing it.

84. The current proposals combine both aspects of prudential policy within the monetary policy institution. That goes beyond the Australian twin peaks arrangement, where Australian Prudential Regulation Authority (APRA) combines the two aspects of prudential policy outside the central bank, the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA). The reasons for this separation of prudential regulation from the central bank were:

The combination of deposit taking, insurance and superannuation regulation is unlikely to be carried out efficiently and flexibly by a central bank whose primary operational relationships are with banks alone and whose operational skills and culture have long been focused on banking;

Separation will clarify that, while the central bank may still provide support to maintain financial stability, there is no implied or automatic guarantee of any financial institution or its promises in the event of insolvency; and

Separation enables both the RBA and APRA to focus clearly on their primary objectives and will clarify the lines of accountability for the regulatory task.[74]

The arrangements proposed for the United Kingdom also differ from the arrangements in countries such as Finland and France, where the central bank has close connections with the supervisory authority but no longer has direct and sole responsibility for monetary policy.

85. Nevertheless, a case can be made for a close relationship between monetary and prudential policy-makers because of the impact of a central bank's policy interest rate on financial conditions and the impact of regulatory tools on the monetary transmission mechanism. That case is stronger in a setting where regulatory tools are adjusted more frequently as a means of mitigating macro-prudential risk, as the reform proposals currently suggest they will be (although much remains to be done to understand precisely how changing bank capital ratios and liquidity requirements might affect the monetary transmission mechanism).

86. That is not, however, the case advanced by the consultation, which argues that combining prudential regulation and responsibility for financial stability within a single organisation means:

There will no longer be a gap in which responsibilities are unclear, and regulatory powers uncertain. The FPC will be able, within the remit of macro-prudential policy, to require the PRA to take regulatory action with respect to all firms.[75]

However, the FPC is to have the authority to direct the CPMA, which is a free standing organisation. Further consultations should give a fuller explanation of the reasons for making the PRA a subsidiary of the Bank of England.

Non-zero failure = regulatory success?

87. In evidence to us the Governor said:

The purpose of prudential regulation, unlike the regulation in either market enforcement or consumer protection, is not about checking whether the individual institution has or has not done something, will or will not fail, it's about the risks to the system as a whole. That's the sole purpose of prudential regulation. We will not be setting out to ensure that institutions never fail. Institutions will fail. The crucial point, as Paul [Tucker] said, is that they can fail without causing disruption to the rest of the system.[76]

During his appearance before the Committee, Hector Sants concurred:

[The PRA] should not be judged on stopping firms failing for idiosyncratic reasons, firm-specific reasons: it should be judged on whether those failures then carried costs to the system. [...] We are not trying to take idiosyncratic failure out of the system. If you do that, you do not get innovation and you do not get economic growth and a vibrant economy. So, the PRA should be judged by whether it can avoid failure which comes with a cost to the system, not whether it can avoid failure. Orderly failure should not be seen as poor performance by the PRA.[77]

88. In a recent speech, Mr Sants has appeared to move away from this position:

[...] the PRA is likely to spend a relatively higher proportion of its resources on reducing the impact of firm failure than the FSA has done, and relatively less on reducing the probability of failure. Supervision of low-impact firms will likely centre on resolvability, on monitoring compliance with rules and reacting to any issues that may arise. This is an extension of the model currently employed by the FSA for smaller insurers and credit unions.

In the case of medium-impact firms, the PRA will also be prepared to tolerate failure. Given the failure of such firms may have a non-negligible impact on the financial system (or be resolved at non-negligible cost), the PRA will seek to reduce both the probability and the impact of failure through its supervisory strategy.

For high-impact firms, given that—even with resolution tools—the impact of failure is uncertain, the PRA will have a low tolerance for such events. It will focus supervisory resource, particularly senior management resource, on delivering intensive, intrusive, judgement-based supervision focusing on issues that really matter to the safety and soundness of the firm.[78]

89. While there may be circumstances in which public authorities need to prop up a particular firm to avoid systemic risk, we are concerned by the implicit acceptance that any failure of a high-impact firm should be avoided. In a recent working paper for the Peterson Institute, Nicolas Veron and Morris Goldstein have identified the following problems if institutions are "too big to fail" (TBTF):

First, such institutions exacerbate systemic risk by removing incentives to prudently manage risks and by creating a massive contingent liability for governments [...]

Second, TBTF institutions distort competition. According to Moody's, the 50 largest banks in 2009 benefited from an average three-notch advantage in their credit ratings, which has been understood to be at least partly related to official support (BIS 2010). [...]

Third, the treatment of TBTF institutions lowers public trust in the fairness of the system and undermines the framework of responsibility and accountability that is supposed to characterize capitalist economies if and indeed when it boils down to the privatization of gains and socialization of losses.[79]

We note that in its recent financial stability report the Bank of England identified an implicit subsidy of £100bn in 2009 for those firms considered too big to fail.[80] A statement that the regulator will have "low tolerance of failure" for certain firms both reduces market discipline on such companies and risks distorting the market further in their favour.

90. We note that conduct of business issues may on occasion lead to systemic risk and that the CPMA is also expected to identify behaviour which may give rise to systemic risk. In evidence, the Financial Secretary to the Treasury agreed that the PRA would take a "fairly active supervisory role" and that he was:

very clear [...] that we want both the PRA and the CPMA to engage much earlier in the process, to identify risks at an earlier stage and to be proactive in trying to tackle those risks.[81]

91. We are also concerned about the suggestion that the PRA's efforts will be focused on what it considers to be medium and high-impact firms. As the case of Northern Rock demonstrated, the failure of a company which was apparently 'low-impact' engendered a systemic loss of confidence. The PRA will need to have a strong justification for reducing the supervisory effort for such 'low-impact' firms.

92. We agree that regulatory success does not and should not mean that no firm will fail. The Prudential Regulation Authority's aim should be, not to prevent firm failure, but to protect taxpayers and the wider economy from the consequences of such failure. Hector Sants' suggestion that the PRA will have a low tolerance for the failure of high impact firms is a source of concern. The assumption that certain firms cannot be allowed to fail results in market distortion, entrenches the market power of large incumbents and thereby stifles competition. That lack of market discipline may, over the long term, itself engender systemic instability. Although there may be combinations of circumstances in which individual firms require support to limit systemic risk, we reiterate our predecessor Committee's recommendation that no firm should be too important to fail. Competitive markets need both freedom to exit and freedom to enter.

Away from 'tick-box, light-touch regulation': a more judgement-led approach

93. The consultation paper notes "The PRA will be established as a subsidiary of the Bank, so that it will benefit from the Bank's judgement-driven culture."[82] Hector Sants has also signalled that the PRA will carry out a more judgement-led style of prudential regulation than the FSA used before the crisis.[83] In effect, this means supervisors spending more time understanding firms' business models and strategies, and using their judgements to investigate and tackle risks and vulnerabilities within individual firms.

94. Making judgements is always difficult, and can have an element of the subjective. The industry is concerned that this new regulatory approach will bring uncertainty to firms. It has also raised concerns whether the existing FSA staff are equipped to move away from the 'tick-box' approach to exercise judgements on supervision and making regulatory decisions. The Financial Services Practitioner Panel told us that 'judgement led regulation is only acceptable on the basis of clear and transparent principles which are applied on an equal basis.'[84]

95. AFME agreed that the quality of the supervisors would be crucial in this judgement-led approach:

[...] the success of more judgement-led regulation will ultimately rest on the quality and competence of the staff that take individual, firm-specific decisions. To ensure consistency and fairness, the authorities will need to have streamlined and clearly articulated procedures, which are transparent, provide reasons for a decision and give firms wishing to challenge a decision a fair hearing.[85]

96. Angela Knight explained the importance of having the right people:

[...] if you have higher calibre people, higher quality supervision, you will get a better outcome. Judgements, I think, do have to be exercised and that means that you need people who can exercise those judgements. [...] whatever regulatory structure you have has to be attractive to people as part of their career; attractive to people of a seniority and of a type that may have not been attracted certainly in sufficient numbers to the FSA.[86]

97. The Investment Management Association agreed that "the key to this will be to ensure that only staff with the highest levels of skills, training and experience—including experience in the industry—are entrusted with such judgements."[87]

98. Judgement-based regulation can cover a number of approaches, from challenging a company about how it would perform under a variety of market conditions, to substitution of the regulator's judgement for that of the company management. The aim should be to ensure that companies can fail without undue adverse impact, rather than to attempt to second guess management approaches. We are also concerned about how the PRA will manage situations in which members of the board of a supervised firm, who have personal legal responsibilities, do not agree with its judgment.

REGULATION AND AUDITORS

99. Practice Note 19 of the Auditing Practices Board, dated January 2007 stipulates:

the auditor of a regulated entity should bring information of which the auditor has become aware in the ordinary course of performing work undertaken to fulfil the auditor's audit responsibilities to the attention of the appropriate regulator without delay when:

(a)  the auditor concludes that it is relevant to the regulator's functions having regard to such matters as may be specified in statute or any related regulations; and

(b)  in the auditor's opinion there is reasonable cause to believe that it is or may be of material significance to the regulator.[88]

100. The House of Lords Economic Affairs Committee is currently inquiring into auditors. Amongst its questions is "Can auditors now contribute to better regulation of banks?" We note that on 17 January 2011 the Financial Reporting Council and the FSA agreed a memorandum of understanding on the relationship between the Audit Inspection Unit of the FRC. It states:

The FSA and AIU will maintain a close working relationship to deal with relevant issues arising in relation to the conduct of audits of authorised persons. Those issues include policy issues and issues arising in relation to particular authorised persons or their auditors.

The FSA and AIU will meet regularly, and at least four times a year. The timing of the meetings will be aligned with their work programmes, to enable them to inform each other of topics or issues of mutual concern or interest and to enable them to take account of such discussions in planning their future work.[89]

We welcome the memorandum of understanding between the FRC and the FSA on audit. The regulator needs to be confident that auditors will share their concerns directly and they should have a duty to do so. The regulator should also be able to obtain any audit information it needs from the auditors.


73   Briault, Clive (1999): The Rationale for a Single National Financial Services Regulator 6 (Fin. Servs. Auth., Occasional Paper No. 2) Back

74   The integration of financial regulatory authorities - the Australian experience, Paper presented by Jeremy Cooper, Deputy Chairman Australian Securities and Investments Commission to the Comissão de Valores Mobiliários (Securities and Exchange Commission of Brazil) 30th Anniversary Conference, 'Assessing the Present, Conceiving the Future' Back

75   Cm 7874, para 1.5 Back

76   Q 779 Back

77   Q 707 Back

78   Reforming regulatory practices: progress to date, Speech given at Thomson Reuters, 13 Dec 2010, http://www.fsa.gov.uk/pages/Library/Communication/Speeches/2010/1213_hs.shtml Back

79   Peterson Institute for International Economics, Too Big to Fail: The Transatlantic Debate, Morris Goldstein and Nicolas Véron, January 2011 Back

80   Table 5.9, Bank of England Financial Stability report, 17 December 2010 Back

81   Q 866 Back

82   Cm 7874, para 3.29 Back

83   Reforming regulatory practices: progress to date Back

84   Ev 232 Back

85   Ev 212 Back

86   Q 118 Back

87   Ev 209 Back

88   The Auditing Practices Board, Practice Note 19, The Audit of Banks and Building Societies in the United Kingdom, Revised Back

89   See http://www.frc.org.uk Back


 
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