Spending Review 2010 - Treasury Contents


Written evidence submitted by the New Local Government Network (NLGN)

ABOUT NLGN

  NLGN is an independent think tank committed to promoting the decentralisation of power, public service reform, enhancing local governance and empowering communities. Through expert research and our diverse networks we seek to influence the political and policy agenda.

1. The manner in which the Spending Review was conducted and, in particular, the decision-making process

  The spending review was carried out in a traditional robust fashion characterised by strong conversations between spending departments themselves, and between spending departments and the Treasury. It has to be questioned whether this approach creates the right balance between a healthy dialogue within government and effective decision making.

  In short, the settlement was undermined by a lack of spatial awareness. It also failed to consider fully, in-the-round, the purposes to which public money could be put most effectively. Research into area-based budgeting over recent years has demonstrated the scope to achieve major reductions in public spending whilst retaining or improving service outcomes. Savings have been estimated at over 10% in worklessness and nearer 20% in health services when decisions are devolved to the correct level. It is doubly unfortunate that, when the Government's main purpose was to achieve its ambitions for deficit reduction, one of the most persuasive mechanisms for achieving this was effectively ruled out by the approach taken. The commitment to 16 Community budgets for family-related services, though welcome in its own right, represents a poor return on the work that local areas have engaged with and a missed opportunity to maximise taxpayers' investment in public services.

  A more positive dynamic would have been for the Treasury (on behalf of all departmental spending) to have engaged in a similarly forceful negotiation process with local areas to define a settlement across departmental boundaries for localities. This could have included the outcomes that national and local politicians wished to see achieved and the resources that could be applied to these goals.

  Serious consideration should be given as to how future spending reviews can be approached in a more sophisticated fashion.

  For a Government committed to localism, the spending review indicated a surprising reluctance to question the vested interests and supremacy of Whitehall fiefdoms. Questions have to be posed as to how the process of the spending review facilitated or impeded the agenda of decentralisation and localism to which the Government is committed.

2. The decision to ring-fence and partially ring-fence particular areas of public spending

Protection of specific parts of public spending and its impact

  The Government's decision to ring-fence and partially ring-fence budgets across the public sector has undermined the equity of the spending review.

  The question is not whether any parts of public spending should be prioritised, but the method by which this has been done.

  The impact of the protection of specific domestic budgets has been that local government has had to shoulder the largest budget reductions after the Treasury (not itself responsible for frontline service delivery) and Defra. NLGN's analysis in summer 2010 demonstrated that by protecting major spending departments such as the Department of Health, budget cuts were being past onto other departments.

  NLGN questions the basis for this decision. Local government has proved the sector of government most ready and able to make efficiencies in recent years, over-achieving on the targets set out in the 2004 Gershon efficiency programme. Conversely, the NHS has seen productivity fall by 3.3% between 1995 and 2008 (according to estimates from the Office for National Statistics) and yet has remained relatively immune from budget reductions.[7] The demographic and lifestyle changes that are pushing up costs for the NHS are not exclusive to the health service; in fact, as the Government has acknowledged, local authorities face major demand pressures in adult care. Costs of adult social care alone are estimated to rise by £6 billion by 2014-15 (dwarfing the additional £2 billion allocated to it). Since 1997, while health services have seen increased investment of 90%, funding for non-schools local authority services have risen by only 14%.[8]

  Councils also face significant demand and cost pressures in children's care, waste disposal, environmental taxation, equalisation of pay and workforce pensions.

WHITEHALL REFORM

  Neither is it clear how the protection of specific budgets links to the Government's decentralisation agenda. The spending review offered an opportunity to initiate major inroads into public service reform and necessary changes in Whitehall. A smaller Whitehall will have a very different role to play in interacting with local areas, different elements of the public sector, communities and citizens in the future. It is important that the Government engages with this agenda quickly to develop a more strategic and facilitative central government that can provide the framework for local policy responses.

  At the broadest level, therefore, the Spending Review was an opportunity lost. With the imperative to cut budgets sharply and decisively whilst enjoying the political capital of a new administration, the Government was uniquely positioned to take on historic vested interests and drive a localist response to the cuts which would have resulted in a more responsible and less severe impact on public services.

  The danger is that the ring-fencing and protection of specific parts of public spending may actually reinforce the silo-mentality within Whitehall departments and departmental agencies. It may also increase the isolationism of central government departments. Such ring-fencing may also undermine efforts to link up approaches and pool budgets across traditional service divides, such as in health and social care.

REDUCTION OF RING-FENCING IN LOCAL GOVERNMENT

  NLGN welcomes the Government's move to reduce ring-fencing and the commitment to abolish the restrictions applying to 80 of the 90 ring-fenced grants for local authorities. This is a move that NLGN has been recommending for a number of years. As research by NLGN and others has shown, discretion over spend is fundamental to coherent, joined-up, citizen focused state activity.[9]

  However, NLGN is concerned that there may be unforeseen consequences of decisions on ring-fencing and de-ring-fencing budgets. NLGN's research indicated that, because of the nature of the specific grants, the in-year cuts for 2010-11 fell disproportionately on more deprived areas. More deprived areas are likely to be hit harder by cuts to grant because funding is distributed, in part, on a needs-resource basis or targeted towards problems associated with high deprivation.

  NLGN's analysis has also shown that through the process of removing specific grants and ring-fencing there may be consequences for more deprived areas. This dynamic has already played out after the in-year cuts announced in the Chancellor's Emergency Budget: the 10 local authority areas that faced the maximum 2% in-year cuts for 2010-11 were all in the top quartile of areas in the country in terms of multiple deprivation.

Figure 1

INDICES OF SOCIAL DEPRIVATION SCORES FOR LOCAL AUTHORITY AREAS CORRELATED WITH PERCENTAGE CUTS TO THEIR IN-YEAR REVENUE GRANTS FOR 2010-11[10]


  Many specific grants are targeted at more deprived areas and removing these ringfenced grants or transferring them into formula grant could have a distributional impact that means poorer areas will loose out. Care must therefore be taken in reconsidering these grants and providing additional freedoms to local areas. If this money is simply put into formula grant then it may disproportionately disadvantage those areas most in need.

3. The impact of the Spending Review on the long-term growth potential of the UK economy.

  Local areas are becoming increasingly responsible for driving economic growth. As the Government has admitted elsewhere, different interventions are likely to be necessary in different localities.[11] The significant budgets reductions will make it crucial for local authorities to be given the tools to revitalise and re-balance their economies. NLGN is therefore concerned that councils and local businesses will have little strategic input into skills or worklessness commissioning.

  NLGN welcomes the additional funding put aside through the Regional Growth Fund. It will be key to ensure that the criteria for allocating this money are not defined narrowly.

  NLGN also welcomes the Government's commitment to Tax Increment Financing, which should present a significant addition to the armoury of local authorities as they re-energise their local economies and plan for growth.

  However, as the Treasury admitted, the announcement that the rate of borrowing from the Public Works Loans Board is set to increase is likely to result in reduced infrastructure investment generated locally. Set alongside the significant reduction in capital grant, it means that urgent action is needed to develop alternative capital financing mechanisms to support economic infrastructure across the country. NLGN is keen to explore in more depth opportunities to access money from local government pensions schemes and the municipal bond market. It is imperative that these solutions are facilitated as quickly as possible.

November 2010










7   Kings Fund, Improving NHS productivity More with the same not more of the same (2010). Back

8   LGA Briefing on the Comprehensive Spending Review, October 2010; LGA, Spending Review 2010 Local Government Group submission (2010). Back

9   Nigel Keohane and Geraldine Smith, Greater than the sum of its parts (NLGN, 2010). Back

10   Nick Hope et al, Scanning Financial Horizons (NLGN, 2010). Back

11   BIS, Local growth: realising every place's potential (2010). Back


 
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Prepared 26 November 2010