Changes to Housing Benefit announced in the June 2010 Budget - Work and Pensions Committee Contents


Written evidence submitted by the Residential Landlords Association

SUMMARY

1.  Over 75% of those respondents say that they will not be prepared to reduce their rental levels as a result of the Government's proposals. 54% say that they intend to stop letting to LHA claimants.

2.  Landlords do not have to provide accommodation to LHA customers and they will only continue to do so while it is economically advantageous to them.

3.  There is already evidence that landlords are moving out of the LHA sector. These proposals will accelerate this trend. Landlords are able to find other tenants.

4.  The RLA believe that the cuts will not be realised in the first place or they will increase the cost to the Treasury in other areas. They will not help benefit customers into work. They could lead to barriers to work being erected because benefit customers will be driven into ghettos.

5.  The overall reduction in landlords' income will result in the loss of the amount of accommodation for the low paid and those wholly benefits.

6.  Reduction to the 30th percentile point coupled with linking of LHA rates to the Consumer Prices Index will have the most impact.

7.  Some many think all landlords represented are crying wolf. This is not the case. Landlords are not going to simply swallow the reduction and continue to rent as at present to LHA customers.

8.  Beside the budget proposals the main concern of landlords is that LHA is normally paid direct to tenants. This jeopardises landlords' income. Landlords want to see the return to the old system so that tenants can choose. This is already causing withdrawal from the market for LHA customers.

9.  The RLA does not accept this Committee's views on direct payments when it reported on this in the previous Parliament. We believe that arranging for direct payment is part of managing the tenant's financial affairs.

10.  Landlords are generally small business people. Our survey results indicate the average number of properties rented out to the housing benefit/LHA market is an average of 8. Loss of income can have serious consequences.

11.  Previous RLA surveys show that 90% of landlords of those who are on LHA benefits had to apply for direct payments because the tenant was more than 8 weeks in arrears. 97% of all respondents support the change back to the old position.

12.  The Government and the Committee have chosen to ignore the fact that in the social/public sector rents are still paid direct/rebated. Helping tenants to improve their financial responsibility does not seem to matter in the case of public sector tenancies even though there are more tenancies in that sector who are assisted by HB .

13.  Small landlords in the PRS less able to take the knocks resulting from non payment. If direct payments are to continue to tenants then LHA rates ought to be higher to reflect the financial risk to landlords.

14.  The RLA recognises the need to curtail public expenditure and supports the Government's objective of getting people into work and off dependency on benefits. However, the purpose of HB/LHA is to support individuals by helping them meet their housing costs. We do not believe that it should be used as a tool to force people into work.

15.  HB/LHA must not be looked at in isolation. They are part of a wider benefit system. If you cut the level of LHA it impacts on overall household income whether this is received from other benefits or tax credits or wages.

16.  The worst off in society will be hurt. We already have some 13.4 million living in poverty.

17.  Poverty levels will rise as a result of these measures.

18.  If LHA falls short of the amount required to pay for accommodation recipients will have to look at other sources of income and if they are solely supported by benefits these are the benefits already set at the basic minimum anyway.

19.  The RLA does not believe that the individual tenants will be able to trade down to find alternative accommodation. This is not practical or realistic.

20.  The woeful shortage of housing overall is at the heart of this problem.

21.  Landlords have to compete to purchase properties with owner occupiers. They have to find capital and need a proper return on that capital investment.

22.  PRS rental levels inevitably reflect an investment. This is unlike the situation in the public sector where there is no requirement for a return on investment.

23.  Returns in the private rented sector are not excessive. Rental returns are inadequate anyway and landlords are dependent on capital returns which are not available at the present time.

24.  HB/LHA customers are not able to access public housing because there is not enough of it. Without support in the PRS they will be homeless.

25.  The purpose of HB/LHA is to support housing costs and this helps low wage earners find accommodation. Wages have to be kept at a low level to provide jobs and ensure competition is retained globally.

26.  The RLA does not think that they are going to be able to find alternative cheaper accommodation. The very proposals themselves will make it even more difficult because of the reduction in the percentile to 30%. They will be shut out 70% of properties in the market from LHA customers.

27.  The first option is for the tenant try to negotiate the rent with his/her landlord. Our survey evidence is that landlords will not be willing to concede a reduction. Landlords themselves are already operating on a low return. Those with loans are facing higher margins from banks. The position could become worse as interest rates rise.

28.  It is not easy to expect tenants to move to cheaper areas. The position is even worse in and around London.

29.  By expecting tenants to move to obtain cheaper accommodation will be a major adverse consequence on society with ghetto-isation and more degraded poor quality areas with sub-standard accommodation.

30.  Increasingly, local authorities have been asking the PRS to house the homeless because there is insufficient social housing. Our evidence is that PRS landlords will turn away benefit customers again this will increase the level of homelessness.

31.  HB/LHA's role is not to incentivise people into work. You cannot look at one means tested benefit in isolation and expect this policy to succeed in this object.

32.  HB/LHA is not a subsidy for the PRS. It is intended to meet housing costs so that individuals can obtain decent/affordable accommodation. They are low paid or wholly dependent on benefits and cannot afford accommodation without support to meet its full cost.

33.  These proposals in any case bear down equally on the low paid as much as those who are dependent on welfare benefits.

34.  The Government's proposals assume that work is available. The RLA does not believe that it is at the moment nor in the foreseeable future that this will be the case. The reduction in public sector jobs will make the position worse.

35.  The main tool to get people to work seems to be the 10% reduction in job seekers allowance after 12 months. What will happen however if there is a break in continuity of claims? Landlords will refuse tenancy applications from those in receipt of JSA or if they are already in a tenancy will have steps to evict them/refuse to renew the tenancy.

36.  Even though this measure is postponed until April 2013 we do not think that unemployment will have fallen sufficiently by then other this will just increase homelessness.

37.  If, as a result of the Government's proposals the level of support for housing is reduced particularly for those in work it eats into their wages/tax credits. This will be a disincentive for work because they incur other costs such as travel to work costs.

38.  It is likely that more and more LHA customers will be concentrated in the areas of low value, poorer quality accommodation which they cannot get out of. This will reduce job mobility.

39.  Of particular concern is the particular impact on all of this on low paid workers.

40.  The PRS market is made up of a number of sectors of which LHA is only one. Landlords will look to let their properties to non benefit customers. This is going to be particularly easy in certain areas such as the South East/London where there is considerable demand.

41.  Levels of rents vary across the country. Cost of acquisition/value of the properties is of vital significance. A flexible system of housing support dependent on local market rents is extremely important.

42.  PRS rent levels are not excessive when measured against the social/public rented sector. This is subsidized in other ways, eg the £37 billion spent on decent homes programme.

43.  The RLA believes that the PRS gives good value for money and compares well when comes to tenant satisfaction surveys. The PRS faces challenges because of its older stock. Low rents mean poor quality accommodation which is not well maintained.

44.  Breaking the link between market rents and LHA rates by linking LHA to CPI is of particular concern.

45.  The Government believe that landlords will accept a reduction in rent because of landlords renting properties to HB customers in the PRS do charge less and supposedly according to emerging research those not on benefits pay around 10% lower. Landlords will not agree to this reduction particularly because their income from LHA claimants is far less secure. This is shown by the results of our survey referred to above. This process of disengagement from LHA customers has started already because of the current system of direct payments to tenants. It is all about security of income.

46.  RLA research shows that nearly 45% of landlords have experienced problems due to the tenant failing to pay rent from LHA received. 24% have experienced administration problems. About one third are concerned because they have been unable to secure direct payments.

47.  If the Government were to rethink its position in relation to direct payments then this may persuade a number of landlords to continue letting properties to LHA tenants.

48.  Rental levels are improving as is demand from tenants. This shows that landlords in PRS can let to tenants other than benefit claimants.

49.  As the quantity of accommodation available to LHA tenants decreases this itself will push up rents. In turn this will reflect through into LHA rates thus cancelling out some of the supposed savings.

50.  When it comes to looking at regional variations of more concern is differences within individual broad market rental areas. LHA had started to break up ghettos but the old situation is going to return.

51.  In London there are going to be particular problems because of the caps (coupled with the abolition of five bedrooms) as well as the reduction to 30% BMRA/LHA levels.

52.  Normally, LHA does not underpin market rental levels. Even in those areas where there are more benefit customers market rents depend on other factors because some tenants still work and rents also reflect capital values/investment. The LHA market does not exist in isolation even in these areas. The level of borrowings and the cost of borrowings are also important factors. Landlords may have little choice in setting their rent levels.

53.  So far as shortfalls of rent are concerned, landlords try to recover these but currently experience difficulties in many cases. Many tenants already have considerable shortfalls (£23 per week is the average). Having to repay previous overpayments can also cause shortfalls.

54.  As shortfalls increase as a result of these proposals landlords' attitudes will harden. Linking rates to CPI will worsen the gap.

55.  Landlords are not going to be prepared to accept this situation and it is going to lead to eviction/refusals to renew tenancies.

56.  Shortfalls are exacerbated by the current system of direct payment to tenants. This leads to rent arrears. Landlords have to look at the real return on their investment.

57.  Undoubtedly, the Governments' proposals will lead to increase the number of evictions because of rent arrears. Landlords will refuse to renew tenancies which run out. Tenants, as a result are going to find themselves homeless.

58.  Landlord confidence is at a low ebb as a result of these measures. This links in with reduction in rent levels and the shortfalls/rent arrears. Coming on top of the situation regarding direct payments to tenants this will push landlords over the edge.

59.  Community cohesion is going to be adversely affected. Tenants are going to be forced to move out of areas. As already pointed out this is going to lead to ghettos.

60.  The RLA welcomes the allowance for an extra room for carers. However, no provision has been made for couples who have to sleep apart due to medical conditions.

61.  The RLA has campaigned for the abolition of the under 25 rule. The position for them is going to be made worse by these measures.

62.  Problems can be made worse for larger families. There is already a shortage of four/five bedroom social housing anyway. With older families because of the uprating in non dependent allowance there will be pressure on children to leave home. They may not be able to find accommodation at all but ironically if they can this will cut back on savings because of new LHA claims.

63.  The proposals can lead to an increase in overcrowding. There will be more hot bedding and sofa surfing. Landlords will be blamed for this when it is not their fault.

64.  Since the deregulation of rents in 1988 LHA has been tied into market rents. Breaking this link will have adverse consequences. Levels of rental support will drop and tenants will have to raid other benefits/low wages to try to make up the difference. Many will not be able to do so.

65.  There is a technical objection to the use of CPI which has been raised by the Institute of Financial Affairs/Royal Statistical Society. CPI impacts adversely on those who live on benefits.

66.  The RLA is opposed to the abolition of the excess entitlement. As 47% of LHA claimants receive this it does give tenants incentive to negotiate their rents. This incentive will disappear and landlords will simply put their rents up to the LHA rate. There will be an adverse impact on child poverty in particular as well.

67.  The Government could look to save money by centralising LHA administration. Direct payment to landlords would also mean less financial transactions were involved with less cost.

68.  The amount made available for additional discretionary housing payments is woefully inadequate. There need to be clear transparent policies in place as to how these amounts will be administered.

69.  The RLA is perturbed at the lack of transitional arrangements for those already in receipt of LHA

70.  The RLA has set out the rationale which underlines its views looking at the macro position due to the lack of overall housing provision including public/social housing. Only the PRS could cater for the extra number. However, the PRS will only be prepared to provide accommodation for LHA claimants if it is economically viable to do so. Low earners/benefit customers are dependent on financial support to access housing in the PRS and if support is inadequate to meet what landlords want as a result then landlords are not going to cater for this sub-sector of the market.

71.  Even though the State may try to dictate the price it is not to say landlords will accept it. They will look at alternative markets. The position is worsened by there being lack of security for landlords' incomes. Tenants themselves have no realistic alternative resources because they are on minimum incomes anyway.

72.  Housing support is vital to enable the low paid/those on benefit to live. Landlords are not going to provide the accommodation without there being a proper return.

73.  Confidence on the part of landlords as providers of this accommodation is falling. A change back to the old system of payment of benefits could help, particularly due to the current hostility by landlords to the present method of direct payments to tenants.

About the Residential Landlords Association ("RLA")

1.  The RLA is one of the three bodies representative of residential landlords in England and Wales. Two of these organisations, of which we are one, have direct membership. The RLA has over 8,000 subscribers representing over 13,000 members (as corporate membership entitles those members to five memberships). Our membership continues to grow. Members who include letting and managing agents rent out properties in all subsectors of the private rented sector ("PRS") including letting to those who are in receipt of housing benefits ("HB") or local housing allowance ("LHA").

RLA Survey/Information gathering

2.  To help in the preparation of our evidence we have recently conducted a survey of landlord's concerns/intentions. This is at Appendix 1 [not printed]. 71% of respondents say that they would not be prepared to reduce their rental levels as a result of the Government's proposals. 53.5% state that they intend to stop letting to LHA claimants. These figures make disturbing reading. Details of this survey have been sent not just to members but more widely through our data base of over 40,000. We received around 860 responses. We have also conducted a focus group discussion in Hull with landlords who are involved in letting to the LHA market to establish their opinions. Additionally, we have had contact with landlords and others on an individual basis who have contacted us to give us their views on the Government proposals. RLA Directors have hands on experience of the HB/LHA market.

The RLA's general view of the proposals

3.  As the RLA is representative of landlords some may well say that our evidence is tainted by self interest. At the end of the day, however, landlords are the providers of a service. Ultimately, they do not have to provide accommodation if they do not want to. They will only continue to carry on with this service so long as it is economically advantageous to them to do so and they receive a realistic return on their investment. If, however, they can find alternative buyers for their services and it is more advantageous for them to deal with them they will abandon the HB/LHA market. We therefore feel that we can best service inquiry by reporting to the Committee on landlords intentions and concerns as well as setting out what we believe will be the consequences once these proposals start to take effect. The evidence put before the Committee reflects the providers view.

4.  Many tax payers no doubt welcome these proposals. They see them as reducing public expenditure, penalising the work shy and cutting back on landlords' incomes. However, the RLA believes that these cuts will be imaginary because they either will not be realised in the first place or they will increase costs to the Treasury elsewhere. In themselves they will not have any significant impact on helping benefit customers into work. In fact, perversely, they could lead to barriers to work being erected as benefit customers are driven into ghettos. The reduction in landlords' incomes will result in a loss in the amount of accommodation provided both to the low paid and those wholly dependant on benefits. All of these factors will have adverse consequences which we will highlight in this evidence.

5.  The Government's proposals bear down disproportionately on those in receipt of LHA. Initially, it is the reduction to the 30th percentile point in determining rent levels, but, later on, it is the linking of LHA rates to the Consumer Prices Index (CPI") which will have the most impact. The loss of up to £15 in the excess payment and the caps (coupled with the abolition of the five bedroom rule) will also operate to reduce LHA payments and caps in particular will have a significant impact in London. The abolition of the £15 excess rule will increase the level of poverty generally and child poverty in particular. It will also be counter productive in that it will mean that rent levels will equal the LHA rate across the board (unlike at present).

6.  The Government are clearly looking for a 10% reduction in the LHA level (see Table 1 of the Impact Assessment). According to the Government's Impact Assessment the average current LHA rate is £126 per week which will be reduced by £12 per week as a result of a package of measures across the board. This figure is based on March 2010 statistics but the latest DWP statistical survey, June 2010, showing the position at March 2010, shows that the current average award is in fact just short of £113 per week, which is significantly lower than the figure used in the Impact Assessment Study. Very importantly, this ignores the subsequent linking of increases in the benefit to CPI, which will mean that over time the impact will be far greater and have a more significant adverse consequence which we explore further in this evidence.

7.  The big question is whether landlords who let currently to HB/LHA claimants will accept this and reduce their rents commensurately. Alternatively will landlords maintain their rent levels and expect to recover the shortfall from tenants. If they do this, in turn, will the tenants affected be able to afford these shortfalls bearing in mind the other impacts on household budgets currently anticipated, eg the increase in VAT rate, reduction in other benefits, below inflation wage increases (where they are in work) and rising inflation eg for food stuffs. The other option open to landlords is simply to leave the benefit market altogether, where they can. Our evidence is that this is what will happen. Significant numbers of landlords will not reduce their rental levels and will desert the market for LHA customers.

8.  Landlords themselves may of course not have freedom of choice, because they in turn face their own financial pressures, particularly the need to service loan repayments. Landlords also want to see a worthwhile return on their investment. In all of this much will depend on whether landlords find that they have an alternative market, particularly renting out to non benefit customers.

9.  The RLA opinion is that in the current climate, as the private rented sector expands, more and more landlords will be able to rent out their properties elsewhere Landlords, therefore, will be able to shift their customer base away from the LHA market. Some may well say that landlords are "crying wolf" and in reality they will not do so. We believe that if the Government is assuming that landlords will simply swallow the reduction in rental income and continue to rent as at present to LHA customers then our view is that this is a misplaced assumption.

10.  The estimated cost of LHA for 2009-2010 was £2.6 billion (Hansard 26 March 2009). The overall cost is only around x% of the overall cost of the HB budget so the proposed cut backs are bearing down disproportionately on this sector.

Direct payment of LHA to customers

11.  Beside the budget proposals the main concern on the part of landlords, so far as LHA is concerned, is that LHA is normally paid direct to tenants; rather than landlords as was the case under the HB system. This puts landlords' incomes in jeopardy. Repeatedly landlords and their representatives have argued for a return to the same system as under HB; that is to say a system of tenant's choice. Prior to the General Election both Parties now comprising the Coalition Government stated that they supported a return to a system of tenant's choice so that, if the tenant wanted it, the benefit could be paid direct to the landlord. Since the General Election the Coalition Government has been silent on this issue, despite Parliamentary questions. The Government has indicted that it will be looked at as part of the two year review of LHA. However, the DWP Paper, 21st Century Welfare, indicates a single payment system, including housing costs, paid to the tenant.

12.  The feedback which the RLA is receiving from its members and landlords more widely is that if, as now seems likely, the current payment system direct to tenants is retained, coupled with the reductions in the level of LHA resulting from the Emergency Budget, will lead to a refusal to lower rental levels coupled with wide scale withdrawals on the part of landlords from providing accommodation to LHA customers. The ongoing lack of security of income, coupled with a reduction in that income, will mean that landlords will no longer consider it economically worthwhile to rent properties to the LHA market.

13.  This Committee addressed the question of change in the method of payment in its report on the local housing allowance in the last session of Parliament. Whilst acknowledging that its finding was controversial the Committee found that direct payments to tenants resulted in a positive increase in personal financial responsibility and financial inclusion. However, the Committee also thought that direct payments to tenants added to the time spent on administration.

14.  Whilst the RLA agrees that it is important to try to enhance financial responsibility on the part of tenants, the RLA strongly disagrees with the Committee's views believing that the arguments in favour of retaining the present system of payment is far outweighed by other important considerations.

15.  The arguments advanced by the Committee as to why direct payments to tenants (rather than landlords) should continue are as follows:

  1. i.  By signing up to direct payments to their landlords tenants are abdicating financial responsibility. They do not have to bother.
  2. ii.  It is not a real choice (ie landlords insist on direct payment).
  3. iii.  It diminishes tenants powers over rent levels.
  4. iv.  It is part of the dependency culture.
  5. v.  It is worthwhile noting that under LHA 72% of benefits are paid to tenants and 28% to landlords, whereas before it was 46% to tenants but 54% to landlords.

16.  Quite rightly the Committee did acknowledge that more help was needed for tenants particularly more supportive vulnerability policies than those currently operated by most local authorities.

17.  The RLA evidence to the Committee that choice as to where LHA was paid was part of financial management was acknowledged. We do not consider that actually having to handle the cash is an essential part of financial management. Making a choice as to how benefit is paid is just as much a choice. Indeed, unfortunately, by making the tenant receive the cash this immediately puts temptation into the hands of the tenant so that the money paid as housing support costs ends up being used for something else. Landlords view this as fraud.

18.  The fundamental consideration for landlords is security of income. Landlords are generally speaking small business people. Interestingly, our survey results indicate that the average number of properties rented out to HB/LHA claimants by respondents was on average 8.13. Loss of income from just one property can have a severe and disproportionate effect. Unfortunately, experience shows that where direct payment is made to the tenant there is a very considerable risk that the rent will go into arrears.

19.  At Appendix 2 [not printed] is an earlier survey conducted by the RLA and analysed by PDRC carried out in December 2009. This showed that 90% of those who currently had LHA tenants had had to apply for direct payments because the tenant was more than eight weeks in arrears. 97% of all respondents supported a change to the regulations. The risk of non payment coupled with the "hassle" factor associated with LHA claimants are the two major factors which deter landlords from renting out to LHA claimants.

20.  In their previous findings the Committee ignore the elephant in the room. This is the fact that there is direct payment to registered social landlords and rebates for tenants of local authority landlords. Thus, there is no attempt to lift them out of benefit dependency. We regret to say that this is the fundamental flaw in this argument. There are significantly more tenants in the social rented sector in receipt of housing benefits. The total number is 3,288,000 as against 1,428,000 (based on March 2010 from the DWP statistical return for June 2010). It is clear that for local authorities and registered social landlords security of payment is the overriding consideration. Indeed, much concern was expressed by the lenders who have funded registered social landlords at the prospects of the loss of direct payment to landlords; so much so that the former Government did a volte face. Thus the multitude of small business people who make up the PRS who let to HB/LHA claimants are sacrificed on the alter so as to educate their tenants in personal financial responsibility but an entirely different rule applies to the public/social sector. You have to set the same rule for all. Indeed, there is an argument that because small landlords in the PRS are less able to take the knocks it is even more important that they should have the security of payment which would be afforded by a return to the previous rule allowing payment to landlords at the choice of the tenant. Indeed from a financial perspective there is a strong argument that LHA rates should be higher to reflect the lack of security of income. One has to look at the real income received by landlords net of arrears/shortfalls rather than the notional income suggested by levels of LHA awards. We will return to this issue again when looking at the individual topics which the Committee are considering in this inquiry.

Government's reasons for change

21.  The Government argue that the purpose of the proposed changes is to control and reduce the overall cost of housing benefit. They say that the measures announced will provide a fairer and more sustainable housing benefit scheme by taking steps to ensure that people on benefits are not living in accommodation that will be out of reach of most people in work. They argue that this will begin to address the disincentives to work in the current system created by high rates of benefit (see Explanatory Memorandum dated 23 July 2010 sent to the Social Security Advisory Committee).

22.  The RLA recognises the need to control public expenditure and the RLA supports the Government's objective of getting people into work and off dependency on benefits. Nevertheless, the purpose of HB/LHA is to support individuals by helping them meet their housing costs whether in whole or in part dependent on their individual financial position. This should not be lost sight of and the RLA does not believe that this series of measures will help achieve Government's objectives but, rather, it will be counter productive for the reasons we demonstrate in this evidence.

HB/LHA in context - the macro overview

23.  The RLA does not believe that HB or particularly LHA should be looked at in isolation whether from the wider benefit system, the part it plays in overall housing provision or its role in the wider economy. HB/LHA provide the necessary financial support towards the cost of accommodation, a roof over ones head, which is one of the essentials of survival. It is but one of a series of benefits. Other income related benefits be they income support ("IS"), Job Seekers Allowance ("JSA") or Employment and Support Allowance ("ESA"), or Incapacity Benefits ("IB") all go towards meeting the other essential elements such as food, water, heat and light. Together they make up a package of support which along with tax credits provide assistance for those in work, the elderly, and those who are entirely reliant upon welfare benefits. HB/LHA provide the housing costs element of this support for those who rent. Indeed, the cost of accommodation will be the single most expensive element in this package of support. As a result of the Government's proposals tinkering with the housing support element particularly in relation to LHA will in turn impact on the overall household income whether this is received from other benefits, tax credits or wages.

24.  These proposed cuts are aimed at the worst off in society. We already have some 13.4 million living in poverty (ie at or below 60% of the median income). It is inevitable that as a result of these proposals this number must rise.

25.  It is important to recognise that if one benefit, such as HB/LHA, falls short of the amount required to pay for the essential commodity/service in question, accommodation in this case, then recipients will have to look to another source of income. If that other source of income, is a means related benefit, is already set at the basic minimum requirement. Thus, in this situation, the individual has "nowhere to go" financially. The alternative is that the accommodation is lost.

26.  These proposed cuts are predicated on the individual affected being able to shop around and trade down so far as finding alternative accommodation is concerned. For reasons which we explain in the next section we do not believe that in many cases this is either practicable or realistic. It also pre-supposes that there are landlords out there who will still be willing to provide the necessary cheaper accommodation.

27.  Looking at this in the overall context, the woeful shortage of housing in this country is very much at the heart of this problem. We simply do not have enough accommodation available. This forces prices up and in turn leads to increased rental levels. It is no good blaming landlords for this situation.

28.  After all, landlords have to compete predominantly with the owner/occupied sector in order to acquire properties to rent out in the PRS. As with any investment, a landlord has to provide the capital to acquire the property and quite possibly to also refurbish it to make it fit for letting. As with any other investment the landlord expects to see a realistic return on his/her investment. The acquisition cost is one of the major factors in setting that level of return. As a result of the last boom in house prices culminating during 2007 landlords have increasingly had to pay more and more to acquire properties to rent out. Since the advent of the credit crunch due to the restriction on available mortgage funds, despite falling house prices, it has become increasingly difficult for landlords to be able to raise the funds to acquire properties anyway. This will continue to be the case until there is an easing in credit conditions.

29.  PRS rental levels will, inevitably, reflect the investment. On the other hand in the social/public sector the reason why rental levels are lower is that they are essentially based on cost of provision and are not required to show any return on investment. Over the years successive governments on behalf of the tax payer have chosen to provide accommodation and set rental levels which, unlike the PRS do not show any return on that substantial investment. Furthermore, unlike the PRS, there has of late been a significant investment in the public/social sector through the Decent Homes Programme. Communities and Local Government (CLG) have estimated that up until March 2011 this amounts to around £37 million (not far short of the annual defence budget) and that there are according to CLG some £6 billion worth of work still outstanding. To all intents and purposes, with the virtual abolition of grants, no such financial assistance is made available to the PRS. The PRS has to maintain its stock from its own resources. Often, in contrast particularly to RSL stock, this is older pre-1919 stock with consequent higher costs of maintenance and repairs.

30.  The RLA does not consider that the level of return on investment in housing in the PRS is excessive. Landlords are not making huge profits, contrary to popular misconception. In any event rental yield in itself does not give a sufficient return. Residential landlords rely partly on rental yield but also on increased capital values over the long term. Traditionally, rental returns on residential accommodation in the PRS have been in the region of 3 to 4% per annum. The IPD UK Residential Investment Index 2009 showed a return of 2.7% for the year 2009. For the previous three years to the end of 2009 it was 3%, for the five years up to December 2009 it was 3.27% and over the previous nine year period up to December 2009 it was 3.8%. These are hardly large returns based purely on income when compared to returns on a Building Society account. Rather, the market is very much looking at a return on capital as well but this has largely disappeared at present due to the recession. Over the past nine years the combined return on income and capital has been 10%; again not a huge return. However, the past three years up to 31 December 2009 the return on capital was only 0.1% reflecting the slump in property prices as a result of the recession.

31.  In fact these figures, being national figures, disguise considerable variations as between the different regions. For example, in northern England the total return over the last three years up to 31 December 2009 is in negative territory at approximately minus 3.5% (combined capital and income) according to IPD. When compared with other investments, taking into account the risk and the substantial amount of capital required, one can hardly argue that residential landlords are receiving excessive returns for their investment, having regard to the risk of default and voids.

32.  HB/LHA enable the low paid/those not on benefits who would not be able to afford owner/occupied accommodation and who are not able to access the social/public sector (due to the lack of available accommodation in that sector) to obtain support for their housing costs. Without this support they would be homeless.

33.  Looking at this across the wider economy, by providing support for housing costs HB/LHA helps the low waged in particular to find accommodation. Both due to competition in a global economy and to avoid the danger of increased wage levels pricing workers out of the jobs market, the tax payer has no option but to subsidize housing costs in the form of rents. This is a part of the macro overview but we look in more detail at this aspect when looking at the Committee's topic regarding incentives to work.

Can tenants obtain cheaper accommodation elsewhere?

34.  In theory, if an individual is faced by the reduction in their income they have to shop around and try to find cheaper goods or services. This theory breaks down if you are already at rock bottom. After all, if you already shop at Aldi or Lidl, rather than Tescos there is hardly anywhere else cheaper to go. At least with food supermarkets are well stocked. You have no problem finding the alternative; it is simply a matter of price. Likewise with electricity. You can try to switch electricity supplier but once you have found the cheapest at any one time you cannot get any cheaper. Suppliers are nevertheless out there The position with accommodation is rather more complicated. You have to try to negotiate with your landlord for a rent reduction if that is possible or, alternatively move, so as to trade down. Unlike the supermarket or the electricity supplier the question is much more whether there is any accommodation elsewhere when and where you need it; let alone is it available at a cheaper price? Also, associated with moving accommodation are the inevitable expenses (eg van hire to move your furniture; possibly finding a deposit and so on).

35.  The very proposals themselves are designed to make it even more difficult to move. The reduction in the percentile for fixing rents in each broad market rental area is reduced from 50% to 30%. DWP's statistics show that at the moment across the country just over 50% of the market is available to LHA tenants. By definition, this will be reduced once the change in the percentile level takes effect. They will, therefore, be shut out of approximately 70% of the market because of the rental levels.

36.  As already indicated the first option is to endeavour to agree a rent reduction with landlords. Our survey evidence shows quite clearly that landlords are not generally speaking willing to concede any reduction in rent. We look further at the issue surrounding this when it comes to looking at the topic of rental levels. Landlords themselves are already operating on a low return on their investment in income terms, face the attendant difficulties with benefit customers as regards obtaining payment, face banks demanding higher margins on their lending and the option of alternative lets to non benefit claimants, are hardly likely to agree a reduction in rent.

37.  It is often extremely difficult to expect tenants to move to cheaper areas particularly those who have families. We have to consider the consequent upheaval and, where applicable, a change in children's schools, even if cheaper accommodation is available. Again, as already pointed out this presupposes that landlords are prepared to reduce rental levels which are charged to tenants.

38.  The position is even worse in and around London. Here, unlike the rest of the country the caps come into play. Tenants who are no longer able to afford accommodation in Inner London are presumably expected to move further afield into the outer London boroughs. Again, will the accommodation be there for them? Bearing in mind the severe shortage of accommodation available generally in the London area for those on a low income, we do not believe for one moment that they will be able to move. Overall, the RLA's view is that by expecting tenants to move to obtain cheaper accommodation will have major adverse consequences on Society, particularly community cohesion, which we address later in this evidence. There will be ghetto-isation for those benefit claimants who are even lucky enough to find accommodation in poor quality deteriorating areas.

39.  All of this is occurring at a time when the waiting lists for social housing are increasing. The latest available figure is that there is a waiting list of 4.5 million for affordable housing. In the year 2007-08 only 30,677 new affordable homes were built, primarily by housing associations. The previous Government had a target of building 3 million new homes by 2020. This involved an additional 240,000 units per annum. David Orr the Chief Executive of the National Housing Federation is reported as saying that we will be lucky to achieve 1.6 million by 2020. (This was his prediction quoted in the Daily Telegraph on the 18 September 2008). This was before the full horrors of the credit crunch struck home. We simply do not have nor are they likely to have enough houses available in the social/public sector. These shortages of available affordable accommodation, with the problems facing the owner/occupier market, are one of the reason why the private rented sector is now such an important expanding sector. The size of the Sector has risen from less than 10% in 1988 up to just over 14% of overall housing stock. We do not believe that when these proposals are put in place LHA tenants will have much of a role to play in this expansion going forward. Our local housing allowance survey showed that in 2009 the nature of the LHA penetration had plateaued.

40.  Increasingly, local authorities have been looking towards the PRS to house the homeless and to cater for those who are unable to access social housing. Applicants for this kind of accommodation are normally benefit customers. Increasingly, however, the evidence available to the RLA shows that the PRS landlords will turn away from benefit customers and look elsewhere to fill their accommodation. Many local authorities have operated housing options or similar schemes to facilitate PRS lets to benefit claimants. Local authorities who have been hostile towards the PRS in the past have turned to the PRS to look for accommodation for these cases. This trend is going to be turned on its head and the social/public sector housing is in no position at all to deal with the consequences.

Topics which the Committee wish to consider

41.  We believe that it is important to give an overview to put matters in context before embarking on considering the individual topics upon which the Committee seek evidence. In any case, inevitably from the landlords' perspective there is much overlap between some of these topics, particularly levels of rent, shortfalls in rent, levels of evictions (and impact on homelessness) and landlord confidence. We now turn to put forward our evidence on the individual topics.

Incentives to work and access to low paid work

42.  The Government argue that its proposals will incentivise work. However, the RLA does not believe that this is a purpose for which HB/LHA should be used. It is not their role. In any case, one cannot look at one aspect of the means tested benefit system in isolation to try to achieve this purpose bearing in mind the point which we have already made that it is simply one element of the overall package of benefits although a very important element.

43.  HB/LHA is not a subsidy for the PRS. The function of HB/LHA is to support those in need to meet their housing costs so that they can obtain decent and affordable accommodation for themselves and, where applicable, their families. It is not the role of HB/LHA to try to force individuals into work.

44.  By definition, by and large, those who require support for their housing costs via HB/LHA and who are working will be low paid. Many of them provide essential services; services without which the economy and Society could not function. They cannot pay the full cost of accommodation and they need a support for their housing costs.

45.  There is something of a contradiction in terms in the Government's case because the Government's proposals bear down equally on the low paid in work and those who are wholly dependant on welfare benefits. With the exception of the 10% cut after 12 months for JSA there is no distinction between the two categories, so far as those of working age are concerned. It is therefore difficult to see how the main objective of these proposals of incentivising work will therefore be achieved via these measures.

46.  In the longer term, if we lose sight of the purpose of HB/LHA i.e. subsidised housing costs this will be to the detriment of the economy and Society more generally.

47.  The Government's proposals are based on the assumption that there is work available. Unfortunately, at the moment and for the foreseeable future, the RLA does not believe that this is the case. So far, it is fair to say that jobless totals have not risen as much as anticipated as a result of the recession but we consider that this is about to change as a result of the forthcoming Comprehensive Spending Review (CSR). It has been predicted as a result of the CSR that up to 600,000 jobs in the public sector will be lost over the next 4 years. It is not, however, just about direct job losses. In many areas of the country, particularly the north and former industrial areas, local economies are heavily dependant on the public sector. The private sector also depends on the public sector e.g. for contracts.

48.  Furthermore, the low paid face competition for jobs from EU migrant workers, particularly from the recent Accession States. The recently announced Government changes to immigration policy do not affect this sector at all.

49.  Obviously, the main tool to try to compel the unemployed into work is the 10% reduction in JSA after 12 months. In the first place, there does not seem to have been any consideration about breaks in continuity of claims. For example, if a JSA claim is broken for a fortnight does this restart the 12 month clock.

50.  To put matters into context if a family on JSA is receiving LHA of £300 per week then a 10% reduction will reduce the rental payment by £30. How is the benefit customer going to make this loss of benefits up? They will already be on minimum benefits through JSA anyway.

51.  From the landlords' perspective, in the first place a landlord will refuse a tenancy application from anyone already in receipt of JSA, especially nearer the end of the 12 month period for fear of a benefit cut. If the benefit customer is already a tenant then very quickly shortfalls will mount up and the landlord will take steps either to evict or will decline to renew the tenancy once it has come to an end. Thus, this measure is going to shut the most vulnerable out of accommodation altogether.

52.  This change is trying to take effect from April 2013 by which time presumably the Government consider that unemployment will have come down. We find this hard to believe since there is still talk of a double dip recession. Furthermore, the direct job losses in the public sector are scheduled to take place over the next four years starting from April 2011, although some have already taken place already. The RLA does not think for one moment that by the time this measure is implemented unemployment will have fallen sufficiently. If there is no job to find then there is no job to find and the inevitable consequence will be the 10% reduction in benefit. One only has to watch television and read the newspapers to see stories of unemployed who have submitted countless CVs to prospective employers and do not even receive one acknowledgment let alone an interview.

53.  The Government's proposals are predicated on the ability of tenants to find work. We do not believe that there will be sufficient jobs particularly with the forthcoming public sector cut backs. If there is not enough work to go around particularly with an expanding working population, exacerbated by the elderly having to stay in work longer due to shrinking provision pension, coupled with inward immigration from the EU, however hard individuals try there are no jobs to be had. The position is even worse in the older industrial areas. However hard people try to get a job will be penalised. Unfortunately, landlords will not be able to differentiate between them and workshy. The consequences are going to be the same; either a refusal of accommodation for someone who is already on JSA or eviction if they are in accommodation because they can no longer afford to meet the rental payments. A landlord in Barrow in Furness has drawn the situation there to our attention. There is a persistent problem of long term unemployment in that area. This is just one example of this problem.

54.  Unfortunately, the inevitable consequence of this measure rather to incentivise individuals into work, will simply be to increase the levels of homelessness with all the consequent costs incurred by local authorities in dealing with those concerned.

55.  So far as the low paid are concerned as from the autumn of this year the national minimum wage for an adult will increase to £5.93 per hour. About 750,000 members of the work force are paid at the minimum wage (representing 3.2% of all jobs held) according to the Low Pay Commission. The national minimum wage is set roughly at 51% of median earnings. Obviously, the national minimum wage level underpins wage levels certainly for the lower paid. Since the national minimum wage was introduced in 1999 the national minimum wage level has risen by 61% whilst during that period average earnings have risen by 48% (according to the Low Paid Commission). For those in receipt of the national minimum wage or on low pay generally, clearly LHA plays a vital role to supplement earnings by supporting them with some, but often not all of their housing costs in the form of rent. If, as the result of the Government proposals, the level of this support is reduced then it eats into their wages or tax credits, which have to be used to contribute even more towards their housing costs. For them surely these measures will operate as a disincentive to work; not an incentive. One has to bear in mind the other costs associated with work, particularly travel costs and possibly some element of child care costs.

56.  Perversely, the Government's proposals could actually provide a barrier to work. It is perfectly foreseeable that the consequence of these changes will be that over time, in many parts of the country, more and more LHA customers will be concentrated in areas of lower value, poor quality accommodation. These will be in decaying areas resulting in lower rental levels, simply because that is all LHA claimants will be able to afford. This will, in turn, accentuate the benefit and dependency culture with an increasingly sense of hopelessness. LHA claimants will not be any better off in work. Their job mobility will be restricted because they will not be able to afford to move nearer work to get jobs and out of the ghetto areas which will be created. The situation will result because PRS landlords will look more and more to let to non benefit claimants in other areas.

57.  Another concern in relation to the low paid is the impact on essential workers. Often they have to work unsocial hours. They need to live close to work. Again, if as is likely we see a marginalisation of accommodation into poorer areas these are likely to be away from city and town centres with consequent travel time and costs. There is clearly a shortage of social/public sector housing available for these workers, again particularly in London and the South East. If they do not receive the necessary support via LHA to contribute towards meeting their housing costs how are employers such as the NHS expected to recruit workers to these essential positions?

58.  We have to look at these issues in the context of lower paid workers such as street cleaners, shop workers and so on. All of these lower paid workers need adequate support to meet their housing costs. One of the important elements of the current HB/LHA system is that it is sufficiently flexible to meet to deal with local PRS rental conditions. These vary widely from place to place across the country. The result of these Government proposals will, however, be to stigmatise benefit claimants. The problem will be both those in work and those out of work. The reduction to the 30th percentile when fixing rents will impose a squeeze at both ends. It will make it much harder for benefit customers, including those in low paid work, to find suitable affordable accommodation. It will bear down at the other end of the market because more and more wherever possible landlords will seek to let to non benefit claimants. Landlords will look at alternative markets. The point must be made that LHA is only one subsector of a varied market. This was identified by Julie Rugg and David Rhodes in their reports on the private rented sector for CLG. They, quite rightly, identified a considerable number of sub-sectors in the PRS of which the HB/LHA market is but one sub-sector competing with others.

59.  In some areas, particularly under the South East, it will be relatively easy for landlords to disinvest from the LHA sector and let to other market segments. There is always a high demand for rentals in these areas. This is also true of other areas particularly major cities such as Birmingham, Manchester and Leeds which have more vibrant local economies. Even in other more deprived areas such as Hull this is happening. Increasingly, however, in other areas wherever possible landlords will be looking for non benefit customers as their tenants in the future as a result of these proposals, coupled with all the problems associated with the system of direct payments to tenants.

60.  When it comes to the minimum wage we have to accept that if this is increased in real terms significantly beyond its present level it will mean that the low paid cannot access jobs. Jobs for them will disappear. This has been accepted by successive Governments and by successive reports of the Low Paid Commission. It is the reason why the national minimum wage has been generally accepted by employers. At the same time, we have to compete on an international level and keep our labour cost levels down. Germany, for example, has recently been very successful in containing its wage costs and is now enjoying considerable success again in an export led recovery out of the recession. A price has to be paid for this. Housing costs for those in the rental sector have to be subsidized. Individual families need to be kept out of poverty so that they can live at a decent level. To do this their housing costs have to be supported by HB/LHA. It is a modern form of the Speenhamland system linked to rental levels rather than the price of corn.

Levels of rent, including regional variations

61.  Whilst there can be local variations which can depend on the cost of transport or the extent of competition, broadly speaking the price for commodities such as food or fuel is the same from one place to another. Likewise, for the cost of electricity and gas. Rents are, however, entirely different. Across the country, rent levels vary considerably and, of course, rent levels vary according to the type size and location of a particular property. The cost of acquisition/value of the property is of vital significance when it comes to setting a rent and this will depend on these various factors. This is why a flexible system of housing support dependant on local market rents is so important.

62.  Implicit in the Government's case for their purposes is somehow the suggestion that PRS rent levels are excessive when measured against those in the social/public rented sector. This is an illusion. The reality is that when one looks at the private sector, (both owner/occupation and private renting), as against the social sector has the appearance of being a cheaper alternative but this is not the case. As we have already pointed out there is no element of return on investment. This is the vital difference. Although we have not built a Council house for over 25 years (a slight exaggeration but not far from the truth) £17-18 billion is still owed in repaying borrowings to pay for local authority housing stock. This is currently paid for by the tenants through rents (subsidised by housing benefit) ("The Reform of Housing Revenue Accounts Subsidy - House of Commons Library Briefing Note - SN/SP/4341). The Decent Homes Programme in the public sector (which is not even yet complete) will have cost at least £37 billion by March 2011, as we have pointed out above. Low rents mean poor quality properties as we are discovering following years of low rents as a result of the fair rents system in the PRS. Likewise, the provision of affordable housing by housing associations is subsidized in various ways by grant and is not entirely dependant on rental income. Landlords in the PRS receive no such public subsidy.

63.  To give some idea of the comparisons taking a three bedroomed house in Milton Keynes the position is as follows:

Local authority stock rent   - £79 per week
Housing Association - £94 per week
Private rented sector LHA amount £129.50 per week

64.  Currently, local authorities/arms length management organisations are undergoing a programme to bring their rental levels in line with those charged by RSLs/housing associations.

65.  The position is confirmed by the averages disclosed by Table 1.1 in the Housing Benefit/Council Tax Benefit statistics in the DWP Statistical Summary dated 15 June 2010.

Tenancy Type - Average rents -

Local Authority tenants - £67.44.
Registered social landlord tenants (housing associations) - £77.02.
Private regulated tenants (ie the old so called fair rent system) - £75.91.
LHA tenants - £112.94.
Non LHA tenants (ie HB tenants) - £103.65.

66.  The RLA would contend that the PRS gives good value for money. It compares well with the public/social sector when it comes to tenant satisfaction surveys. The PRS, however, faces significant challenges because compared to other sectors its stock is made up of older properties.

67.  Landlords in the PRS letting under old style regulated tenancies (ie subject to the Fair Rent Legislation) are being compelled to provide the same kind of subsidy to their tenants as the social/public sector is having to provide to theirs. It is well known that these private regulated tenancies often represent properties which are in the poorest condition/state of repair. As already indicated the same has happened in the social/public sector resulting in the need for the Decent Homes Programme. This is inevitably what happens when actual rents are divorced from market rents. This will be what will happen if the link is broken between market rents and LHA rates once benefits are up rated by referenced to CPI.

68.  The Government's proposals are based on landlords in the PRS reluctantly accepting a 10% reduction in rental levels where their tenants are in receipt of LHA. In support of this approach the Government seek to rely on two assertions. Firstly, they argue that landlords renting properties to the reducing HB sector of the market (ie non LHA tenants) charge approximately 10% less to those tenants. Secondly, they rely on what they say is emerging research as to rent levels charged by landlords to those not in receipt of HB/LHA. They claim based on this research that landlords letting to these tenants charge a little over 90% of the going LHA rate. We have not seen this research so it is difficult to comment on it. For example how far are those in work actually in receipt of tax credits to help them meet their living expenses?

69.  The RLA strongly believes that if this is the Government's approach then they have miscalculated. We would refer at this stage to the results of our survey, 71% of respondents say that they would not be prepared to reduce rental levels at all as a result of the Government's proposals. Only 22.5% say that they would be prepared to reduce the rent by the required 10% which would be needed to meet the Government's objectives. Coupled with this is the fact that some 53.5% of landlords say that one way or another they will cease to provide for LHA tenants at the end of their current tenancy either by re-letting elsewhere or selling/redeveloping their property. But it is clear that landlords will vote with their feet so suggested savings will not materialise because of the resulting costs in other directions.

70.  These two key findings from our survey should serve as a stark warning to the Government of landlords' intentions in response to these proposals. Additionally, we discussed this issue with our focus group of Hull Landlords. During the discussion it became clear that many landlords who had previously rented out properties to LHA claimants were not renting these properties to benefit customers. The key reason given was the difficulties experienced as a result of the change over to direct payments to tenants. Thus it is clear that disengagement from LHA claimants is already occurring on a large scale. Hull is one of those areas where one might expect it to be more difficult to get away from the LHA market but clearly this is not the case from discussing the situation with local landlords. Again, this should serve as a warning to the Government of what will happen. These do not appear to be idle threats. Landlords are going to abandon the LHA market.

71.  In Hull currently LHA recipients are predominantly those who are out of work. The breakdown between different categories is as follows:-

  1. (1)  Those who are working age but there is no one in the household working so they receive LHA and entirely dependent on benefits - 35,385 - 76.51%
  2. (2)  Those who are of working age who are in work (whether full time or part time) but claim LHA - 1,281 - 17.31%.
  3. (3)  The elderly above working age who receive LHA - 435 - 6/18%.

NB: out of these 435, 10 currently have some earned income.

It can therefore be seen that as landlords from Hull progressively withdraw from the LHA market, as they are doing, the impact will be greatest on those who are out of work. It is disturbing that in Hull where there is generally speaking over supply of accommodation in some areas but landlords are able to find other tenants.

72.  The reluctance of landlords to engage with HB/LHA customers can be seen by looking through newspaper or other advertisements for properties to rent. Often the advertisements state "no DSS". Alternatively, they may say that only a certain type of applicant is acceptable eg a professional person. Indirectly, by asking for rental deposits many LHA claimants are shut out anyway because often they are unable to raise the money for a deposit. Just as an example the Barnsley Chronicle on 27 August 2011 Property to Let Section has the following:
Total number of advertised properties to rent 54
Number stating no DSS11
Number otherwise indicating DSS tenants not acceptable 4
Number stipulating a deposit21
Three only expressly said DSO tenants are welcome.

73.  Of course, that is not to say that in other cases landlords will check with applicants and refuse to take benefit customers even though this may not be mentioned in the advertisement. This is a well recognised ongoing phenomenon and is again significant evidence to demonstrate the reluctance of landlords to take on LHA customers.

74.  Why then are landlords so concerned as to these proposals affecting LHA tenants when compared with PRS tenants who are still in receipt of HB/LHA or those in work? This comes back to the security of payment point which we made at the outset. It is the fact that benefit is paid normally to the tenant rather than the landlord which is a key factor. It is human nature that if you are secure in your income and do not have problems in obtaining payment then you are prepared to accept a loss. It is the difference in interest rates between secure and unsecure lending. The secured lender always takes a significant lower rate of interest.

75.  In any case those tenants still in receipt of HB instead of LHA are longer term tenants who have not moved for some time. The landlord knows where he/she is with these. Those in work are found by landlords to be more reliable when it comes to payment. Our survey shows why landlords are concerned about LHA. 41.7% have experienced problems due to the tenant failing to pay rent from LHA received. 24.3% have experienced administration problems by the local authority. Significantly 34% are concerned because they have been unable despite trying to do so to secure direct payments. Much concern has been expressed about the way in which local authorities operate their vulnerability policy when it comes to direct payment of LHA. The earlier survey at emphasises the concerns. Often, in practice, the landlord has to wait until the rent is eight weeks in arrears. By then anyway it is too late to retrieve the situation and the damage is done. As we have already pointed out, if you are going to take a 10% hit on your rent and you experience all of these difficulties in getting the rent is paid then this is the reason why landlords are not going to be prepared to accept the Government's proposals.

76.  Clearly, if the Government were to rethink its position in relation to direct payments it is likely that significant number of landlords may be prepared to reconsider their views going forward as to whether they are prepared to continue to rent out their properties to LHA customers.

77.  Independently of concerns regarding LHA the most recent Royal Institution of Chartered Surveyors Residential Letting Surveys (July 2010) reports that the outlook for rents remains firm on rising tenant demand. They report that rental growth has risen for the second consecutive quarter and that yields have improved for a second consecutive quarter with this being the fastest pace since the back end of 2008. As we have already pointed out the IDP survey shows that the current income yield is 2.7% which is historically low. The RICS report therefore points to a correction occurring. This means that if rental levels are again rising this will make it easier for landlords to find suitable alternative tenants.

78.  Importantly, rising rental levels must seriously call in to question of the Government's projected savings. Whether set at the 30th or 50th percentile rising rents will mean increased LHA rates which will cancel out or at least reduce the projected savings. This is as a result of the major structural issue which we have already pointed out. It is due to the overall lack of housing provision and particularly social provision. With a waiting list of 4.5 million currently and no signs at all of any significant investment the social sector is not going to be able to take up the slack anyway. This is going to cause the upward pressure on rents. The structural imbalance between supply and demand which we have already highlighted is going to cause ongoing rental increases. Divorcing LHA rates from the market by linking them to CPI is not going to solve the problem either. It will mean that there is increasing shortfall in housing support for those individuals who need it with the consequences we have highlighted elsewhere in this evidence.

79.  The Committee seek evidence on the question of regional variations in rental levels. The data provided by the Government's own impact assessment gives a flavour of the different rents payable for different types of accommodation in different areas across the country. These differing rent levels reflect differing housing conditions in the broad market rental areas but they can only give a broad brush overview. Very significantly, it is the differences within these areas which can be very important. Take Leeds or Sheffield both of which are each a broad market rental area. Both have affluent areas (the north in Leeds and the south west in Sheffield) with significant student populations as well. Each have poorer areas with lower rental levels. The RLA fees that just looking at regional variations does not really give any meaningful picture but only a flavour of the situation at best. You need to burrow within the individual areas and look at the impact on localities. The affluent areas will not be touched. The question which has to be looked at is within the broad market rental areas and what will happen in the poorer parts of the area as a result of the Government's proposals. As we said in our evidence to the Committee when it was reviewing the local housing allowance we believed that the LHA had started to break up the ghettos. We gave the situation in Leeds as an example. We now believe that the Government's proposals will reverse this trend and will again lead to ghetto-isation for LHA claimants with all the adverse consequences which result. The trend will be for LHA claimants to concentrate in poorer degraded localities which will be islands of deprivation.

80.  Whilst regional local variations are important, also of importance in the RLA's view is the number of tenants seeking accommodation in the different areas as well as the different sub-markets which can exist within a particular area for rental accommodation. For example, in London where there will be swingeing reductions in benefit levels due to the 30th percentile rule but more particularly the caps, there is already an over supply of tenants anyway. Economically London and the South East are recovering faster. They do not have the problems suffered by the North, particularly with its higher dependence on the public sector. Likewise, other regional Cities such as Manchester, Leeds, Nottingham etc have more diverse local economies with greater demand for rental accommodation from working people, young professionals, students and so on.

81.  In the RLA's opinion in particular localities much will depend on what alternative markets are available but having said that it is our view that wherever possible landlords will now seek to disengage from the LHA market and seek available alternative lets.

82.  The reality is that the 30th percentile rule, coupled with the cap, will have the effect of squeezing the market from both ends. At the cheaper end less properties will be available to LHA customers anyway. At the other end of the market there is a better chance anyway for landlords to obtain alternative tenants who are not in receipt of LHA anyway.

83.  Perhaps to some extent the question of levels of rents is based on the idea that in some way HB/LHA underpins rental levels. The RLA does not believe that this is the case generally speaking, although it may be true of certain areas where there is a concentration of benefit customers. Away from such areas there is a very real market. The landlord has a choice whether to take on benefit customers or not. In these areas rental levels are not driven by HB/LHA rates but rather by earnings levels and the value of properties.

84.  We do have to acknowledge that in certain localities (Blackpool and Hull are sometimes cited as examples) the market is more dependant on the level at which LHA is paid. At this lower end of the market benefits do have a much more significant role. Even here we must not lose sight of the reality that tenants in these areas do go in and out of work, often perhaps on a part time basis so that, as with the general market, the level of earnings is also a factor in determining the going rate in those localities. The HB/LHA market certainly does not exist in isolation even in these areas. We have already pointed out the results of our focus group discussions with local landlords in one of these areas, Hull, where in depth discussions with local landlords indicate that they are moving away from the LHA market and that it is possible for them to do so.

85.  As we have already pointed out in our evidence it is essential to look at the total income in a household. This may be supported by HB/LHA. There may be earnings. It is not just about the workers; it is also about the low paid and the elderly who are, of course, no longer of working age so that they are reliant on pensions. We view the impact on rental levels as a result of the proposals as being at least as detrimental for these groupings as for those who are out of work. This is why, in our view, that the impact of these proposals must be viewed in a holistic way; in the round which is why, as we have already argued, it is wrong to isolate HB/LHA not just from benefits as a whole but from household incomes. If LHA rates are insufficient then Peter will have to be robbed to pay Paul and there will be a significant adverse impact as a result on people's lives. It is vital to consider the human consequences.

86.  An important issue for many landlords, in setting rental levels, is the level of their borrowings. This is particularly true of new entrants to the market, those thinking of investing in the market and those existing landlords who have acquired new properties in the recent past. The PRS is heavily dependant on borrowings to acquire properties. Whilst official interest rates may be low (Bank of England Base Rate currently being at 0.5%) as a result of the credit crunch banks have aggressively sought to increase their margins. They have also altered the terms of lending so that interest rates are now much more based on LIBOR rate (London Interbank Offered Rate); rather than bank base rates as has historically been the case in the past.

87.  The number of buy to let mortgage products on offer now stands at around 260 (Source Northern Rock) whereas before the credit crunch there were 2,000/3,000 such products on offer. The current cheapest offer is one at effectively 5%. However, it is not just about interest rates nowadays; it is also about initial set up charges, arrangement fees etc, all of which increase the effective rate of interest. Whilst being historically low interest rates can only go one way. Inevitably they must increase because they are being held at an artificially low level. Due to the increased margins landlords who have significant borrowings face substantial increase in interest costs in the future.

88.  Landlords therefore have little choice in setting rent levels in these circumstances. They must ensure that their rents are sufficient to service repayments as well as the cost of management repairs etc. There are other pressures due to possible breaches of loan covenants which we look at the next section.

89.  Landlords have always been unhappy with the way in which local reference rents have been determined for the purposes of HB. This is still relevant, albeit to a declining number of benefit customers. It lacks transparency and was open to interpretation/manipulation. The current system for LHA is somewhat more transparent. Some landlords still voice concerns as to whether LHA allowances do correctly reflect the going rate for market rents within their areas. This adds to landlords' lack of confidence in the system.

Shortfalls in rent

90.  When it comes to any shortfall in the rent as between the amount contractually payable on the one hand and the amount of HB/LHA landlords are inevitably the losers. The general experience of landlords is that if a top up payment is due it can be hard to obtain payment. "Blood and stone" comes to mind in some cases. In other cases tenants struggle to pay shortfalls. 48% of people on LHA already suffer a shortfall. The average is £23 per week currently (Hansard 5 March 2020). At the moment one of the ways in which a shortfall can arise (usually unwittingly from the landlords perspective) is that the tenant is having to make a repayment in respect of previous benefit overpayment. This is clawed back from the benefit and it means that the landlords encounters a shortfall situation.

91.  It is fair to say that at present landlords usually attempt to recover such shortfalls but, on occasion have to accept the inevitable and write them off. The Government's proposed changes to LHA will result in a change in attitude, in all likelihood a harder attitude. Inevitably, short falls are going to increase in amount as well as in the number of tenants affected. The position in this regard will be significantly exacerbated once benefits become linked to CPI as the gap between rents and LHA levels widen. Likewise, once the new rule comes in so that JSA claimants who have been unemployed for more than 12 months suffer a 10% reduction again this will give rise to shortfalls.

92.  Inevitably landlords will no longer be able or willing to accept the increasing levels of shortfalls which if the tenants are unable to pay are irrecoverable now are going to be even less likely to be recoverable they grow in size. Some tenants will inevitably try to dip into other benefits/income to make good these shortfalls. Bearing in mind that they are at minimum levels already clearly they will struggle to do so. They may well have to go short elsewhere.

93.  The RLA believe that as the level of shortfalls rises then landlords will seek to evict tenants and refuse to renew tenancies once they have run their course. Importantly, as already pointed out elsewhere, this will be a very good reason to avoid benefit customers as tenants anyway and to let properties to non benefit claimants, particularly those who are working.

94.  The issue of shortfalls is compounded by the current system of direct payment to tenants. Shortfalls and arrears are intermingled. The landlord also loses out because money paid for housing support is used for other purposes which will again lead to evictions, refusals to renew or a disinclination to take on benefit customers in the first place.

95.  In all of this one has to take into account the cost of tenancy changes. These inevitably impact on landlords. It is not just a matter of rental loss due to voids but there are also potentially advertising costs or fees paid to letting agents for finding tenants. Work may need to be done to the property on a change over of a tenancy.

96.  Shortage in rents received may well cause problems for those landlords who have mortgage commitments. They are significant in number. Lenders lay down a requirement that the rental income must usually cover the mortgage interest repayments by 125% and stipulate loan to value ratios. Rental levels are also critical to valuation and again lenders lay down loan to value requirements. Yields govern capital values. At the moment many lenders are engaged in re-examining their security because of the recession. They are stipulating that properties should be revalued. If there is a shortfall in rent for whatever reason then interest cover covenants may be breached or properties may be down valued because of the rental reduction leading to breach of loan covenants as regards loan to value ratios. All of this is occurring against a background of values which have fallen by around 20-25% from their peak. In the Nationwide Housing Survey published last month (August 2010) shows that in the last two months house prices have fallen. This will further exacerbate problems with lenders.

Level of Evictions etc

97.  Eviction may be a misleading term in this context. Often landlords will prefer to wait until the end of the tenancy and then rely on Section 21 of the Housing Act 1988 to obtain a possession order. Tenants, of course, may in some cases choose to leave voluntarily. As tenants will be treated as homeless in this situation they will be advised by local authorities to stay in the property until the landlord at least obtains a Court Order. In the meantime the landlord suffers because shortfalls/arrears of rent continue to grow.

98.  One concern is where benefit shortfalls cause rent arrears how far local housing authorities will treat this as being intentionally homeless. Local authorities will be under increasing pressure to house the homeless so the experience of landlords is that authorities will use every reason they can to avoid their statutory homelessness duty.

99.  For their part new landlords will be reluctant to take on tenants who have been evicted/not had their tenancy renewed because of arrears. Usually landlords obtain references wherever they can and these will disclose the arrears history.

100.  The question also arises as to whether landlords will accept the shortfalls and live with them. For the reasons we have explained elsewhere we do not believe that they will as they increase in number and size. A lot of landlords will not be in a position to do so financially anyway.

101.  The level of evictions will depend on the extent of the shortfall in benefits/arrears. This will cause particular problems in London where tenants will have a cap to contend with along with major reductions in benefit levels. Likewise, for those with five bedroomed accommodation.

102.  From talking to local authorities even if they are able to provide accommodation which is clear that the number of four bedroomed or larger houses is severely constrained in the public/social sector anyway.

103.  The increasing reluctance on PRS landlords to take on benefit customers will mean that there is less and less accommodation available in the PRS to house the homeless. In 2009 - 75,520 people were helped by local authorities as being homeless according to CLG statistics and around half of these were rehoused in the PRS.

104.  The majority of landlords only have small portfolios. Many have four or less properties. It is going to be extremely difficult for them to ride out arrears or to accept reductions in rents. The inevitable consequence must be that the proposals will lead to an increase in arrears/non renewal of tenancies. After all every benefit customer is affected by these changes according to the Government's Impact Study. One has to look at the cost to the sector overall even allowing for tenants themselves making up shortfalls/the limited impact of discretionary LHA payments. We have some 936,000 people affected with an average reduction in rent just due to the 30th percentile rule of 10%. Based on the Government's own figure of £126 per week at £12 per week this means that the total amount of LHA taken away from tenants (for them in turn to pay their rent) is going to be in the region of £560,000,000 although the Government estimate says it is £452,000,000

105.  Even if tenants are able to struggle and make up the shortfall at the extent of say one half (which is purely a guess) the income to the sector from LHA claimants is going to be of the order of £280,200,000. This is not an income loss which small business people are able to stand. Added to this will be the impact of savings due to the cap and the abolition of the five bedroom rate.

106.  Of particular concern in relation to evictions is the 10% deduction of benefit customers who have been on job seekers for 12 months. This will come in addition to the other shortfalls/arrears and clearly in that situation a landlord is going to be even quicker to react and to evict tenants/refuse a renewal. That is if a landlord will take such a tenant in the first place.

Landlord confidence

107.  Coming on top of all the problems associated with direct payment to tenants, these proposals will push landlords over the edge so far as LHA claimants are concerned.

108.  If the Government do go ahead with their proposals then the RLA believes that the consequences are clear. We do believe that to some extent, without incurring extra costs the Government may be able to slow down the process and reduce its impact by altering the method of payments so that the norm is no longer that tenants are paid direct. The arguments in favour enhancing financial responsibility are, we feel, shot to bits because this rule is not being applied in the public/social sector. Having put this evidence before the Committee we fear that this will be one of those cases where it will give us no pleasure in five years time to say "we told you so".

Our survey (of which over 95% of the respondents rent to tenants claiming LHA) shows landlord confidence at two out of five (one equals low and five equals high). When coupled with the intention of respondents both as to what will happen to LHA tenants when tenancies end and intentions regarding rental levels mean that the proposed measures will in our view amount to a body blow for the LHA market.

All of the reports which we receive are surveys and our discussions with landlords indicate that landlords are out of patience with LHA and have lost confidence in the system. We have already set out our evidence in relation to rent levels, rent shortfalls and evictions. All of these issues clearly undermine landlord confidence in LHA. As a result wherever an alternative tenant can be found landlords will cease to rent out to LHA customers. The shortfall in support available for those in work will be as much a problem for those as those customers who are entirely dependent on welfare benefits.

Community Cohesion

109.  In our evidence to the previous Select Committee on LHA we cited the position in Leeds where ghettos had developed in south Leeds prior to the introduction of LHA. Landlords experience was as a result of the introduction of LHA and LHA customers were enjoying increased mobility. This is now bound to come to an end.

110.  Landlords are well aware that up and down the country in cities and towns there are often poor areas where benefit claimants and the low paid tend to congregate. These are often run down areas of older accommodation. Each member of the Committee will be aware of this from their own constituencies. Because it is poorer quality and in a worse area inevitably the accommodation is cheaper and this is what attracts benefit customers.

111.  Our prediction based on experience and the evidence we see is that there will be again increased ghetto-isation for benefit claimants. They will be left with no option but to move to these low quality areas and to live in less than decent accommodation. There are only some 1,500 qualified environmental health officers in the country and no doubt local authorities will face cuts in the housing regulatory function. As we have testified to CLG Select Committee we do not believe that the current system of housing regulation is working. The reality is that it concentrates on the generally compliant responsible landlord rather than homing in on the rogues. Housing regulation is therefore not going to help these individuals and at the end of the day if the rent is insufficient the landlord does not have the wherewithal or incentive to maintain let alone improve the property. As we have already pointed out earlier this was amply demonstrated by the impact of the fair rent system under the Rent Acts.

112.  The problem of degraded areas into which benefit customers have moved can only become worse as a result of these proposals. Worst still will be the position of those who are made homeless. There will be those who have to sofa surf or live in overcrowded conditions. The RLA believes that an underclass will develop once these proposals become effective.

113.  All of these factors destroy community cohesion. We face even lower levels of educational attainment, health problems, increased dependence on drugs and alcohol and loan sharks preying on the hard up.

114.  We have already referred to the level of poverty and this will inevitably increase; again with adverse impacts on community cohesion. There will be increased levels of crime and begging. The Conservatives have made play of the broken society and these proposals can only exacerbate this.

Disabled etc

115.  The proposal for an extra room allowance for carers is to be welcomed. One issue not addressed by these proposals is cases where for medical reasons a couple cannot sleep together in the same bedroom, particular problems are elderly people. An extra room ought to be allowed in this situation.

116.  Although probably not strictly termed as being specialist housing in the sense the Committee may employ the term, the RLA has for a long time voiced concerns about the operation of the under 25 rule and called for its abolition. This age group will be further penalised by the Government's proposals. By way of an example in Leeds on present projections the single room rate will drop from £65 to £57 per week. This is going to hit home hard and these individuals are debarred from finding self contained accommodation already and it is now going to be even more difficult to find a place in a shared house because of the reduced housing support available because of the changes.

Older people, larger families and overcrowding

117.  This particular topic links in with concerns over community cohesion. At the moment it is fair to say that many benefit customers are currently still in receipt of HB rather than LHA. This is born out by the statistics which we have obtained in Hull for the breakdown between working people and the elderly and for Leeds . . However, as our survey shows in 2009 the percentage of elderly tenants catered for by the PRS was around 12%.

118.  Landlords predict that as the population ages and as access to social housing becomes more difficult more and more the elderly will have to turn to the PRS. They are then going to face exactly the same problems as those at working age because of the reduction in the available benefits as a result of the Government's proposals. They are on fixed incomes. They are unlikely to have any personal pensions available and will be dependent on state pension/pension credits. In many cases they are unlikely to have the option of finding paid work or will be unable to undertake it anyway. Effectively, they are stuck on benefits. Thus, it is likely as time goes on that these proposals will disproportionately bear down on this group.

119.  Large families also face particular hardships. Very large families will be disadvantaged by the abolition of the five room rate. We have already pointed out the lack of larger accommodation available in the social sector. The uprating of non dependent deductions is going to hit home particularly harder with this group as children grow up. They face the double whammy of not being able to obtain adequate assistance themselves but at the same time they will come under increasing pressure to leave home. It is well known that older children living at home are not able to contribute/do not contribute to rents anyway and there are no separate benefits available to them for this purpose. Ironically, in some cases, it may well put increasing pressure on the HB/LHA budget because some of them may be driven to seek accommodation themselves if they are able to find it. This is because they will have to leave home.

120.  Overcrowding is also a serious concern. It is note worthy that successive Governments have not overhauled the overcrowding standards since the 1930s although they are generally acknowledged as being unsatisfactory, with the possible exception of houses in multiple occupation (HMOs) accommodation. Licensable HMOs are subject to room size criteria/control of numbers and there is power in the case of non licensable HMOs for individual overcrowding notices to be served. Across the board there are powers under the housing health and safety rating system (HHSRS) to deal with overcrowding on a risk basis approach. With limited resources and the problems associated with finding alternative accommodation, as individuals are rendered homeless, it is questionable how far local authorities would seek to use these powers other than in the case of HMO accommodation anyway.

121.  Our information is that as it becomes increasingly more difficult for benefit customers to obtain housing inevitably overcrowding will occur. For single people it may well take the form of sofa surfing or hot bedding. For example, we are aware of one case involving trainee chefs who work very long hours where the local authority found that 12 people in London were sharing a two bedroomed flat paying a rent of £55 each. Whilst we deprecate this kind of exploitation unfortunately it is an inevitable consequence. Rogues will take advantage of this situation. They always do where shortages are concerned. This gives rise to reputational concerns for the PRS.

122.  In particular, it is likely that the overcrowding problem will become serious in London where there are already considerable pressures regarding the availability of accommodation across the board.

123.  The RLA's particular concern is that landlords will be blamed for this situation. Some may even be prosecuted or subject to enforcement action because of overcrowding. In reality this will not be their fault in many instances but it will be a direct result of the proposals once these are in force.

Up-rating of non dependent deductions

124.  The major up-rating of non dependent deductions is going to cause considerable problems for particular families with older children, as we have already mentioned. Inevitably, this will lead to tensions within households and at the extreme insistence on adult children leaving home. It will exacerbate the problem regarding shortfalls in rent.

Up-rating of benefits according to CPI

125.  Whilst the Committee has not expressly called for evidence on this issue the RLA believes that it is one of the most detrimental of all of these proposals. When market rents were introduced by the Housing Act 1988 the then Government gave a promise to link housing benefit rates to market rents. The successive Governments have honoured this, at least in principle. Now, for the first time the Government want to move away from this principle.

126.  Between 1998 to 2010 private rented sector rents have risen by 63% from an average of £79 per week to £129 per week (CLG survey of English Housing). Over this period average earnings have roughly risen by about 48%. This has resulted from the structural problems which we have already referred to in the housing market due to shortage of supply. With the ongoing shortage of supply no doubt this trend will continue. The gap between market rents and LHA rates will widen over time.

127.  Clearly, the result of this will be that increasingly LHA will not provide sufficient support for housing costs and the shortfall in rent will increase. This will lead to all of the problems we have outlined in the earlier section regarding this topic. As we have also pointed out already it will mean that benefit customers will have to try to make up the difference from their other already minimum benefits or if they are working it would eat further into low wages making it less and less financially worthwhile for them to go to work in the first place.

128.  The Government has chosen this measure of inflation not just for this purpose but for uprating other benefits because it is beneficial to do so CPI is, however, less representative of the depreciation in the value of the currency than RPI.

129.  A particular technical objection which has been raised is in relation to how CPI is compiled to show how the worst off will be badly affected by this change.. This was highlighted in an article in the Daily Telegraph on the 30 August. As the CPI Technical Manual explains, CPI uses geometric averaging as opposed to arithmetic averaging. The RPI methodology is based on the assumption that people buy the same goods as in the previous year. It measures the average price change on the basis of the changed expenditure of maintaining the same consumption pattern for households (see paragraph 9.1.2 of the Technical Manual). There is also a different treatment of housing costs. RPI methodology assumes that people buy the same goods as in the previous year whereas in the CPI methodology they are assumed to spend the same amount of money on goods as the price increases. In other words the amount of goods purchased falls in exact proportion to the rise in prices. The amount of money spent does not vary.

130.  The Government contend that CPI better reflects the spending of those receiving benefits. Both the Institute for Fiscal Studies and the Royal Statistical Society have also questioned this claim. Under RPI it is assumed that as the price of goods rise people look for cheaper alternatives. Whilst the assumption that people spend the same amount will apply for most people rather than the assumption that they buy the same amount of goods; this, however, does not necessarily apply in the case of benefits recipients. Those on minimum levels of benefits are only being provided with sufficient amounts of money for them to get by. It is inherent in this that they cannot respond to price rises by buying less. They are already at minimum levels. Over time this means that those already at these minimum levels will be able to consume less and less because benefits will be cut in real terms. As the Article referred to argues the Government appear to be punishing the poor by lining benefits, including LHA, to CPI rather than RPI.

Abolition of £15 excess

131.  In its previous evidence to the Select Committee and also in its response to the Social Security Advisory Committee (SSAC) the RLA opposed the removal of the £15 excess entitlement. It gives tenants the incentive to negotiate their rent with landlord on the basis that they could keep any excess and not to the maximum allowed. Statistics show that this has worked in 47% of claims. It was argued by the then Government that this helped empower tenants and give then greater financial responsibility. If this is no longer to be the case one of the key elements of the LHA edifice has been broken. The removal of the £15 excess rule means that in future there will be absolutely no incentive for tenants to try to and get a rent reduction because there is nothing in it for them. We are also concerned at the resultant adverse consequences in the terms of child poverty. The ability to retain an amount of up to £15 has provided a very useful supplement for those who are on the lowest incomes anyway. Furthermore, as we pointed out to the SSAC previously landlords will have absolutely no incentive to keep their rents below the local housing rate and we do wonder how far this aspect has been taken into account by the Government in their calculations regarding savings which will result from their own proposals overall. Landlords will still be receiving an appropriate rent for their properties (or, in realty much less than it should be) so clearly they are not "ripping off" the system. Quite rightly SSAC oppose this measure and we would again reiterate our opposition to this particular proposal.

Administration and its cost

132.  The RLA think that if the Government is looking to save money this can be achieved by more efficient administration of the system. The views of the RLA on local administration have changed. We have always appreciated that there is the linkage with Council Tax Benefit (CTB) in administration. The local link has been valued by landlords. Now our considered view is HB/LHA should be administered on a national basis alongside other benefits. The current system necessitates a huge exchange of information (often the same information) between the DWP and the local authority (and vice versa). Whilst Job Centre Plus has streamlined the system to a limited extent, the RLA now believes that significant savings to the costs of administration, as well as improvements in efficiency, can be achieved by merging HB/LHA administration under the auspices of the DWP. As to CTB administration Council Tax could be rebated on the instructions of the DWP. The administration of the CTB system so far as it concerns the collection of Council Tax could be administered through existing Council Tax offices; rather than by separate benefit sections.

133.  The RLA also believes that the restoration of the former system of direct payment to landlords and tenant's choice would achieve significant savings. At the moment local authorities have to operate costly vulnerability policies with extra staff trained to deal with difficult issues. These have to of necessity be dealt with within a short time frame because of the eight week rule. Otherwise, vulnerability policies are meaningless anyway. We also believe that a smaller number of bulk payments to landlords must be a less costly way of administering the payment system. Under the old system if the tenant chose direct payment to the landlord this could be logged and then acted upon via bulk payments. Local authorities only had to administer the eight week rule for those not on direct payments; not vulnerability policies. At the moment considerable expenditure is having to be incurred in supporting tenants as part of the process. Obviously, this would have to continue where the tenant preferred payment to himself/herself but there could be large savings achieved in those cases where direct payments to the landlord were put in place.

134.  It also has to be remembered that where direct payments are made to the landlord should the landlord be held liable for over payments then there is far more chance of recovering the overpayment from the landlord (who will have assets) than from the tenant. That is not to say that where the tenant is at fault in such a situation the tenant rather than the landlord should be pursued for the over payment.

Discretionary Housing Benefit payments

135.  The Government have announced an increase from £10million per year to £40million per year in respect of the allocation to local authorities for discretionary housing benefit payments. It has been reported that a calculation has been made which indicates that even with this increase only 4% of LHA claimants could be helped. Coupled with the fact that there is no provision for transition from the old system to the new system for existing benefit customers, clearly there is going to be a wholly inadequate fund available to help those who are hardest hit by these measures. As local authority finances are constrained following the CSR in October then there is going to be no additional funding available from local authorities themselves. Experience shows that local authorities are not prepared to augment central Government funding for this purpose.

136.  It will be very important for local authorities to adopt proper robust transparent policies for determining how they will allocate payments under the discretionary housing benefit system. These will be well publicised both to tenants and landlords for them to be able to assist their tenants to be able to obtain such payments in appropriate case.

Transitional arrangements

137.  The RLA is perturbed at the lack of transitional arrangements for existing benefit customers. Historically when changes have been made, particularly changes of this magnitude, either existing customers have been protected altogether or at the least the changes have been phased in over a period of time. There is no such protection here and, indeed, the change over will be on a hit or miss basis depending on what is the date of the anniversary of the claim. We would strongly urge that consideration is given to phasing in these changes or, alternatively, making a substantially greater sum available for discretionary housing benefit payments.

Rationale of the RLA view

138.  The underlying rationale for the RLA's views is as follows:

  1. (1)  There is a fundamental problem with housing provision in this country because of the lack of supply.
  2. (2)  The availability of public/social housing is inadequate, the size of the sector relative to other sectors has declined and there are no prospects of any real increase, resulting in ever lengthening waiting lists.
  3. (3)  This situation exists against the background of increasing demand for housing due to a growing population and an increase in the number of households, especially due to change in demographics leading to smaller household sizes.
  4. (4)  The only possibility therefore is to look to maintain and increase the number of benefit customers housed in the PRS.
  5. (5)  The PRS as a private sector provider will only be able and willing to provide the necessary accommodation, so long as it is economically viable to do o i.e. there is sufficient return on capital and the PRS is able to defray its costs.
  6. (6)  Investment in residential property is not a separate asset class. PRS providers have to compete with owner occupation. Increased house prices (although they have fallen back to a certain extent) coupled with the structural problem and the overall lack of supply have inevitably forced rents up in the PRS and this trend will continue.
  7. (7)  In any event PRS investment is dependent on a combination of income and capital yield; not income return alone. Returns are not excessive.
  8. (8)  Low income earners and benefit claimants (whether or working age or the elderly) are dependant on financial support to access housing in the PRS and need such support to be able to afford decent accommodation.
  9. (9)  The State on behalf of the tax payer dictates the price which it is prepared to pay and the extent of the financial support which it is able and willing to given in the case of benefit customers.
  10. (10)  The private sector providers do not have to accept the price that the Government fixes and it may not be economically viable to do so. In many cases matters may be out of their hands anyway because of the need to service loan repayments.
  11. (11)  PRS landlords have alternative markets.
  12. (12)  All PRS landlords do not have security of income because of the current system of normally paying tenants direct and this makes them increasingly reluctant to accept benefit customers as tenants together with the problems surrounding arrears and delays in payments.
  13. (13)  It is the tenant who is contractually liable to pay the full rent. If housing support is insufficient the question is then whether benefit customers have alternative sources if income shortfalls.
  14. (14)  The benefit customers who are wholly dependent on benefits are already at the minimum by definition. They will not be able to have the essentials of life. Therefore they will be unable to find sufficient money from elsewhere.
  15. (15)  For their part landlords will not be prepared to accept increasing shortfalls because, again it eats into to the real return on their investment and prejudices their ability to meet their costs.
  16. (16)  For those who are in work but who claim benefits they will be in receipt of low wages and in a lot of cases at or just above the national minimum wage. They have other costs associated with working. As their earnings increase benefits are withdrawn so rapidly it makes little sense for them to work. They will also struggle to meet shortfalls.
  17. (17)  To remain internationally competitive and to ensure that workers do not price themselves out of a job wage levels have to be kept low for many jobs. The State has to provide financial support for these individuals for their housing costs.
  18. (18)  If this support is insufficient then landlords will not provide the necessary accommodation in the PRS because the returns are insufficient and benefit customers themselves are not in a position to meet the shortfall in this State provision.
  19. (19)  The net result is that it is no longer economically worthwhile for PRS landlords as providers to continue to provide the accommodation and they will either disinvest altogether or seek alternative markets. There is no prospect of social/public sector meeting the shortfall.
  20. (20)  Alternative markets are already available and PRS landlords are already moving away from benefit customers, not least because of their concerns over the current payment method.
  21. (21)  The Government's proposals which reduce the level of state support housing costs for benefit customers in the PRS, which is already insufficient, will cut this provision further in the short medium and long term. The speed of withdrawal by landlords from provision to benefit customers will increase markedly.
  22. (22)  If you do not relate the price which the State is willing to pay to the market cost then the effectiveness of the benefit, in this case housing support, breaks down.
  23. (23)  The Government's case is based on an increasing number of benefit customers taking up work but this pre-supposes that there is work available for them and the RLA's view that this is unlikely.
  24. (24)  As landlords continue to withdraw from providing accommodation for benefit customers the smaller pool of available accommodation will in itself push up rents even further. This will track into and increase the level of LHA rates which will be self defeating so far as cost cutting is concerned. The switch over to the CPI link for uprating will not solve this problem because it will simply exacerbate the situation by further decreasing the available supply and further reducing the overall income for benefit customers.
  25. (25)  The consequences are that additional costs will fall on Government in other areas which will have the effect of cancelling out any apparent savings.

Confidence on the part of landlords as providers is falling. The Government could go a long way towards reversing the current trends by restoring the former payment method, ie payment to landlords if the tenant chooses. This will help reverse the trend of a real fall in return on investment.

Conclusion

139.  Whilst the RLA acknowledges the need to constrain public expenditure, we believe that the Government's intended savings will either not occur at all or if they do will be offset by significantly higher public expenditure elsewhere. Just as important, we believe that as is so often the case these policies will have other consequences both intended and unintended. These consequences will either damage the social fabric and be so counter productive that whilst not always measureable in monetary terms will outweigh the apparent savings with the Exchequer. The major consequence will be the refusal by landlords to take on LHA customers as tenants and will also lead to eviction/termination of existing tenancies once they have run their course.

140.  It is vital to reiterate that it is not just these Government proposals but it is the current system of direct payment and tenants. One cannot over emphasise how hostile landlords are to this payment method for LHA. A major disengagement for LHA housing provision is already underway and this will be speeded up by the Government's proposals in the emergency budget in June 2010 as these are implemented. The reduction to the 30th percentile will shut out many existing tenants from the LHA market anyway. Ironically those who can obtain accommodation even though they receive LHA rents will have to pay higher rents. This is already the trend as demonstrated in this evidence but inevitably as LHA accommodation in the PRS becomes more scarce rents will also rise. This will put up rental levels thus influencing LHA rates even though they are set at the lower 30th percentile. Moving over to up rating according to CPI will not end these difficulties because that will have different but just as adverse consequences over time. The Government's agenda is one of fairness but do not think that these measures will achieve this.

September 2010


 
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