Rebalancing the Economy: Trade and Investment - Business, Innovation and Skills Committee Contents


Written evidence from the Study Group

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Study Group believes that the government's proposals to restrict immigration of international students will do enormous harm to the UK's second biggest export sector- Education and Training and as a result unbalance the economy. In the second largest global industry - education, second only to Healthcare and almost certainly faster growing, the UK has a pre-eminent position with numerous historical, quality, HE sector and language advantages which give it a competitive advantage that many competing countries will have difficulty to replicate quickly. Government policy should be to encourage export industries that sustain hundreds of thousands of high quality jobs and offer great opportunity for growth in the next decades. Study Group believes that the government should promote the knowledge export sector and treat international students as education tourists, as they have no recourse to public funds, make a substantial contribution to the UK economy and more specifically the funding of the HE sector, culturally enrich our HE learning environment and project "soft power" on their return to their home countries.

The export Education and Training sector is worth £40 Billion per annum to the UK and this makes it the second biggest contributor to the UK's net balance of payments, after Financial Services (and far less controversial). This value is based on British Council research published in 2007 and extrapolated to 2010.

Were the immigration proposals to be implemented unchanged, Study Group predicts significant damage to the UK's economy and the annualised loss of £300 Million and up to 30,000 jobs from our segment of the sector alone, within three years. A real life example of the impact of ill-conceived restrictions on international students in an increasingly competitive global education market can be seen in Australia.

As the single largest educator of international students in the UK, Study Group is well placed to advise the committee on the impact of the proposed restrictions and we would caution a careful impact assessment of the implication of these restrictions before irreparable damage is done to the UK's second largest export sector and thus to the trade profile of the UK economy.

1.  BACKGROUND

Study Group is an acknowledged leader in international education specialising in the provision of world-class university access and English language programmes. Each year over 55,000 students from more than 140 countries enter these programmes in 38 locations drawn by certainty of outcome and the sector-leading quality of our educational provision.

Our global network of education centres and nearly 200 university partnerships across the United States, Canada, the United Kingdom, Australia and New Zealand is on a scale unrivalled in modern international education. Further information: www.studygroup.com.

In the UK Study Group recruit and teach 22,000 international students every year. Our annual turnover approaches £100 million and we employ just over 1,000 FTE staff which increases to 1,700 during the summer period. We have exclusive contractual partnerships with 12 UK universities- Lancaster, Leicester, Sussex, Surrey, Keele, Lincoln, Kingston, Wales, Stirling, Heriot-Watt, Huddersfield and LJMU. We recruit and teach preparation programmes to international students on the campuses of our partner universities, the students then progress to degree studies at those universities. Our Bellerbys colleges teach GCSE, A level and Foundation programmes exclusively to international students and to give you a measure of the quality of those students 45% of all Bellerbys A levels students were accepted by top ten UK Universities, our A level maths results in 2010 at our Brighton Bellerbys College were the best in the country for girls and for boys the best of any independent school in the UK. 98% of our students progress to UK Universities for degree study, but self evidently almost all our courses are at sub-degree level (NQF 3,4,5). Our Bellerbys Colleges are inspected by OFSTED and we are on the register of Independent Schools. All operations are accredited by BAC and several in addition by the British Council. We are members of Study UK, English UK and AIHEP. In terms of Tier 4 licenses we hold 15 Tier 4 HTS licenses and a further 4, Tier 4 sponsor licenses. Our business is exclusively dependent on international students being able to enter the UK to study with us. Further information: www.bellerbys.com.

As the largest single educator of international students in the UK and as a business that also operates in US, Australia and New Zealand, we are uniquely placed to appreciate the damage that the Tier 4 proposals would do to our business and the perception of the UK in the global education sector.

2.  FACTUAL BACKGROUND

A fact sheet that Study Group prepared and distributed to media, stakeholders and some MPs and which is in the public domain, is attached.

3.  VALUE OF THE UK EXPORT EDUCATION AND TRAINING SECTOR

The value of the UK export Education and Training sector being annually worth £40 Billion is derived from a government publication of the British Council of 2007 see: http://www.britishcouncil.org/global_value_-_the_value_of_uk_education_and_training_exports_-_an_update.pdf, which is attached. This assessed the value of the sector to be £28.8 billion, a figure that was quoted by both the Prime Minister and Minister for Education in the last government during 2010. However, the data set that was used related to the year 2003-04 and Study Group's estimate based on our knowledge of sector inflation and growth from 2003-04 to now, is that the true figure for 2010 is circa. £40 billion pounds.

4.  VALUE OF INTERNATIONAL STUDENTS TO THE UK ECONOMY

The assessment of the direct value to the UK economy of international students, of £10 Billion per annum, is based on tuition fees and living costs (using the UKBA's own minimum financial resources figures eg £600 per month and £800 per month for London). The segments that are included within this are:

300,000 non-EU students in HE @ £25,000 a year fees plus living costs = £7.5 billion

25,000 non-EU students in FE @ £15,000 a year fees plus living costs = £0.375 billion

600,000 EFL students (EU and non EU) @£2.5,000 per course + living costs = £1.5 billion

25,000 non-EU students in independent (boarding) schools @£25,000 a year = £0.625 billion

100,000 non-EU students in private sector tertiary colleges @ £15,000 a year fees and living costs = £1.5 billion.

5.  ARE INTERNATIONAL STUDENTS IMMIGRANTS OR EDUCATIONAL TOURISTS?

The crux of the issue is whether international students are immigrants and therefore a contributory component to perceived public concern over immigration or whether they are actually valuable education tourists, who should not be counted in the immigration figures and have no recourse to public funds of any kind. The Home Office's own figures (from the Home Offices publication-The Migrant Journey) show that only 3% of students actually achieve settlement rights and the public perception of tourists is that they visit and contribute to the economy of the UK and sustain jobs and then leave. This is what the vast majority of students do and when they are contributing on average £20,000 per year, then we should be happy that they stay as long as they do- in our students' cases up to seven or eight years. If the definition of a migrant has to be anyone in the country for 12 months, then why do we count international students who are clearly domiciled abroad and who return to their home country for summer holidays for c. eight weeks every year and also include student visitors who by definition stay for less than 12 months? In addition, the industry does not understand why net migration of students' ie total number of new student visas issued, less all those leaving the country is not the metric that should be of interest. That the net figure increasing is good news, because the UK is successfully attracting international students and we are competing effectively in the second largest and fastest growing industry sector in the world.

6.  IMPACT OF UKBA PROPOSALS TO RESTRICT INTERNATIONAL STUDENTS FROM COMING TO STUDY IN UK

The following points and impact assessment relate to the UKBA Consultation on The Student immigration System (December 2010)

Study Group's assessment is that £300 million and 30,000 jobs are at direct risk from the implementation of the proposed restrictions on international students, by our government.

(a)  Raising the level of courses students can study

Study Group supports the concept that only Highly Trusted Status sponsors can sponsor students for NQF 3, 4, 5 level study. However the private sector will insist that the same criteria to gain and retain HTS sponsorship status are applied by the UKBA in the same way for both public and private sectors. It should also be noted that there are some 700 institutions that offer degree level study in the UK (vs some 130 Universities), many accredited to do so in a variety of ways by other degree awarding bodies. Study Group would propose that only institutions with their own degree awarding powers or HTS level licenses should be able to sponsor students for degree level study or above.

(b)  Introducing tougher entry criteria for students

As a global organisation recruiting and teaching 55,000 international students every year, we can say with absolute certainty that English level on its own is no indicator of ability or intention to study or indeed risk of absconding. Tightening English level may be a surrogate control mechanism if focussed on high risk groups, but broadly applied, the proposal to lift the minimum English level to B2 will be disastrous to Study Group and the whole HE sector in the UK. The US, Australia, Canada and others accept students for sub degree study on much lower levels of English precisely because the preparatory courses that we and others offer cover study skills, academic subjects and English- specific for study at University. We estimate that 80% of our academic students who come to Study Group and study in the UK in order to prepare themselves for degree level programmes at UK universities currently arrive with English below B2- and yet 97% gain successful entry to UK universities, and among the best (11 of our students gained entry to Oxbridge last year). Self-evidently English level on its own is not an indicator of academic potential.

(c)  Ensuring students return overseas after their course

The Home Office statistics (The Migrant Journey) prove that students do return home after their studies but of course they may have several visas issued by several sponsors during the course of those studies, over potentially a maximum of eight or nine years (eg GCSE, A level, Bachelors, Masters and possibly PhD). This proposal would make the UK significantly less competitive internationally, if students were forced to leave the UK each time they needed a new visa or extension - expensive and logistically inconvenient

Closing the Tier 1 Post Study Work Route is unwelcome as many international students see the opportunity to get a quality education and also gain valuable work experience in the UK (maximum two years) which is often not available in their own country, as very attractive. Our competitors are strongly promoting differentiation in this area. UUK believe that there is no evidence to suggest that these international students are taking jobs from UK graduates and Study Group would support the tightening of the Tier 1 Post Study Work Route so that it is restricted to skilled and highly skilled occupations. We do not consider that the alternative of Tier 2 migrants, as a practical alternative as this route is already ridiculously restricted, to a level that negatively impacts our own competitiveness. Why restrict the global competitiveness of the UK's businesses further?

(d)  Limiting the entitlements of students to work and sponsor dependents

Study Group would generally support these proposals except that there have already been substantive curtailments of the right to work while studying and for some students this work experience is a key part of the educational experience. The opportunity to work to sustain an educational course is important for some international students from less advantaged backgrounds.

(e)  Simpler procedures for checking low-risk applications

Study Group would welcome this implied focus of resources and attention on higher risk categories. Study Group has incurred substantial incremental cost to the business of complying with the Tier 4 system (£100,000 per year in new compliance roles and costs of accreditation, inspection and UKBA licenses). Whilst we have taken on more of the burden that hitherto was the responsibility of government via the UKBA, there is a limit to what we can sustain as a business whilst the government reduces the resources of the UKBA and cuts public sector jobs in this area. For more costs and responsibility there should be benefit to those complying and investing in that compliance with the increasingly onerous burdens placed on the sector by the UKBA.

Study Group though its long experience, 30 regional offices and 200 staff in markets from which we recruit students, is well aware of the differential risks from students from different countries and even regions (in the case of China). We support the focus of attention of limited resources on higher risk areas and this is the principle that is applied by Australia. We are best placed to assess that risk and in order to retain our HTS licenses we proactively manage those risks.

Differential treatment according to a sponsor's rating is sensible in principle but as long as the criteria for gaining and retaining those licenses are transparent and fairly applied across both the public and private sectors.

(f)  Stricter accreditation procedures for education providers in the private sector

The implication of this proposal is that there is, or should be, a different standard of quality and accreditation applied to the private and public sectors. In the long term interests of the competitiveness of the UK's education sector and our quality image, we cannot support this. Study Group would support a tightening of the accreditation regime for Tier 4 across the board and believe that there are too many accrediting bodies with inevitably different standards. The quality, knowledge and experience of the inspectors that we have dealt with, particularly from the UKBA have been poor and we have little confidence that the UKBA has the resources to effectively manage the Tier 4 license sponsor system. There have been numerous examples of slow process (four to five months), subjective and opaque decision making - leading the sector to see the HTS mechanism as slow and risky and therefore a threat to commercial business, continuity and planning. See the Annual Report 2009-10 of the Independent Chief Inspector of the UKBA for further evidence of this (see http://icinspector.independent.gov.uk/wp-content/uploads/2010/03/Independent-Chief-Inspector_Annual-Report-2009_20102.pdf).

Despite the removal of some 2,000 educational institutions from the Tier 4 sponsor register (in comparison to pre- PBS), there seem to be on-going concerns as to whether so-called "bogus colleges" are still operating. It is not in the interests of quality education providers such as Study Group for this to continue and in order to sustain the globally recognised quality image of education in the UK, effective action must be taken, without causing collateral damage to quality providers in both the public and private sectors.

7.  The Economic Impact of Increasing the Minimum English Level to B2 would be:

  1. Loss of 600 jobs at Study Group UK in Brighton, Oxford, Cambridge, London and all University campuses where we teach (see university list above).
  2. Loss to UK universities of 4,000 full fee paying international students per year (directly from Study Group courses).
  3. Loss to UK universities of £180 Million revenue per year after three years (typically international students spend three years with universities with a three year bachelor programme and then many continue to Masters programmes).
  4. Total loss to the UK economy of £300 million per annum by year three.
  5. Loss of 2,300 jobs in UK universities and 2,300 jobs in local regions.

(see research by UCU on the calculation of job losses per £1 million loss of revenue: Summary issues and regional revenue-employment/output multipliers

http://www.ucu.org.uk/media/pdf/t/a/ucu_universitiesatrisk_dec10.pdf) attached—see pp27-32).

If we assume that Study Group represents 10% of the sub degree university preparation market in the UK, we believe that we can estimate the economic impact of this proposal to be the loss cumulatively of c. 30,000 jobs (this includes regionally dependent jobs).

If the committee wishes to see a real life example of the impact of ill-considered visa restrictions, we would point them to Australia where the student visa restrictions (among other factors) is now recognised to be having a material negative impact on Australia's GDP and has already led to the loss to 300 university sector jobs with many more to come and Study Group has also been forced to retrench over 100 positions so far.

The proposals to restrict international students is ill-considered, not based on any rational fact or evidence and has the potential to be extremely damaging to the whole HE sector and UK economy if implemented.

January 2011



 
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