The Future of DFID's Programme in India - International Development Committee Contents


Examination of Witnesses (Questions 29-57)

Q29 Chair: Thank you both, also, for coming in to give evidence. I'd just make the point that we have three times as many questions, and the same amount of time, so perhaps we need to be brisk, both in our questions and answers, but I really appreciate the fact of your coming in. You have obviously been in for the previous session, but just for the record, could you introduce yourselves?

Geeta Kingdon: I am Geeta Kingdon. I am Professor of Economics for Education and International Development at the Institute of Education, University of London. My research interests are mainly in school education, particularly in developing countries, specifically South Asia, and more recently the work has been mostly on India.

James Manor: I am James Manor. I am Professor of Commonwealth Studies in the School of Advanced Study, University of London. I specialise in India, especially politics and development, with a lot of attention to the state level as well as the national level, and most recently made a major study of the National Rural Employment Guarantee scheme, India's biggest poverty programme.

Q30 Chair: Thank you. You obviously will have heard some of the exchanges in the previous evidence session. Perhaps if I may, Professor Manor, start with that particular point about the relationship between DFID and the states. What does that constitute? If I'm not mistaken, to some extent the Government of India determines, rather than DFID. What is the balance between who decides what in relation to the states, specifically Bihar, Madhya Pradesh and West Bengal? When we push the issue of India versus China, for example, DFID's response tends to be that we're engaging in the poorest states, but in reality they're also engaging with the Government of India. What's the balance between central Government and the states, and what should it be?

James Manor: DFID is certainly engaging with some of the poorest states, and the Government of India and DFID, I think, don't have much difficulty agreeing on the importance of these states. The Government of India wants lots of Indian states covered by various donors, so there's a division of labour, and DFID's four states are partly a result of DFID's previous patterns, over decades in some cases. I don't think there's a serious difficulty here about who decides. I think there's a general agreement and spirit of partnership on that particular issue. I should just say that these states are controlled by, I think, four different political parties—four different states—and there is no partisan political consideration in either DFID's or the Government of India's mind when donors are encouraged to go into particular states. Nor indeed is there much partisan consideration in the Government of India's mind when resources are distributed amongst Indian states. That came up a bit earlier.

Q31 Chair: But that being the case, what is the split between the states and the central Government in terms of DFID's relationship?

James Manor: The central Government probably looms larger in dialogues with DFID and in DFID's mind as it engages with Indians. This is partly because one of DFID's purposes is to try out experiments in various states, and then to extend them, if possible, beyond those states more widely. The Government of India regards the federal system as a laboratory in which different state governments generate constructive ideas. It can then take those ideas and apply them more widely. It is of a similar outlook. Everything significant that DFID does needs the agreement of the Government of India—quite rightly; it's a sovereign Government—but I don't think there's a tension in the relationship. State governments in India change a lot; about every five years. They have changed, 70% of the time, every five years since 1980. The exact state government you'll be interacting with will differ from one time to the next, and state governments are sometimes quite imaginative and responsive, and sometimes very difficult to deal with. The variations at the state level also make DFID more inclined to focus mainly in dialogue at the national level.

Q32 Chair: Do you have anything to add to that, Professor Kingdon?

Geeta Kingdon: If I may, I'd just add that roughly 40% of UK aid to India goes through the central Government, and 42% through the state government, the remainder being through multilaterals and through NGOs. It's roughly half and half, state and centre. There is no evidence, as far as I'm aware, of the relative effectiveness of channelling aid via the centre versus via the state government. There are clearly advantages and disadvantages in both of these approaches.

Sometimes it's perceived that giving aid through the state government is going to enable DFID to achieve more pro­poor targeting, but I don't think that is inevitably the case. For example, the education programme—the Sarva Shiksha Abhiyan, the Government of India's flagship primary education programme, a centrally funded programme, which DFID is assisting through the central Government—already has quite a lot of inbuilt redistributive or pro­poor mechanisms. Working through the states has certain advantages: in particular, you can have a more intimate relationship, you can have more contact time with the officials in the government, but it comes at the cost of more transaction costs, a greater degree of coordination, and a greater need for staff—staffing and resourcing implications.

There are these advantages and disadvantages, but I think for certain types of policy influence it is better to work with the central Government. For instance, education policy is made predominantly at the level of the central Government. Although education is both a centre and a state subject, nevertheless important policy decisions, for example about the assessment system or the curriculum framework, are decided at the level of the nation. If DFID wishes to have influence at that level, which then percolates through to practice in all the states, it is good for DFID to be working also at the centre, which it is doing at the moment. I think it's a very good and balanced portfolio.

Chair: About right.

Q33 Richard Burden: Could we look a little bit at issues of governance and accountability, because in a sense you said that balance seems to work. If a particular programme or a particular area of work is centrally funded, you can still build in pro­poor mechanisms when it gets down to local level. In terms of improving capacity and accountability in government at the state level, or even below that, how effective has DFID's work been there? Are there any pointers that you can give on what works in that area, or whether, paradoxically even, a more central approach promotes that at local level, and whether that undermines doing it at state level. What would your views be on that?

Geeta Kingdon: I have to admit that my experience with DFID's work has been mainly in the education field, and that part of DFID's aid is delivered through central Government. I'm not able to give you a clear example of instances where this helps governance in a better way, or less good way, than it would through the state government. But certainly, within the centrally funded programme, DFID has been able to bring considerations of accountability and governance into policy discourse, and ensuring its implementation in practice in some respects as well.

I can discuss examples of that. For instance, the Government of India itself acknowledges—and in fact I will cite what they say about it—their own perception about DFID's contributions in terms of central negotiations focuses exactly on these technical issues, and issues of accountability, probity, improved management and so forth. A Government of India document, which is cited in a paper by Professor Christopher Colclough and Dr De in the International Journal of Educational Development in 2009, cites the following: "It is important to note that, as well as Development Partner money, the external agencies are also providing advice and guidance on pro-poor targeting, greater accountability for outcomes, attention to quality and improved financial management. In addition, the Development Partners have also helped to increase the level of discipline in programme supervision and monitoring and to also raise the quality of technical analysis by bringing in to the policy dialogue international experiences from the developed and developing world … Development Partners are adding most value by bringing more rigour into the monitoring and review process, particularly the Joint Review Missions. The Development Partner contribution is also helping to focus Government efforts on sustainability issues through a dialogue on planning, financial management and community involvement." By its own admission the aspect of donor aid that the Government of India appears to value most is precisely in the area of improving probity, financial management systems, and monitoring of the use of aid monies.

Q34 Richard Burden: If I have understood you correctly, the examples you've given and the focus of that paper was on central programmes delivered locally. It's establishing, or promoting, a more robust relationship and accountability with the central funders and the responsiveness of central funders to what works on the ground.

Geeta Kingdon: Yes.

Q35 Richard Burden: What about at state level? Have you got any sense about where the relationship is at state level, either directly or through experts, funded by DFID or other donors but working at state level, and how that has worked in terms of improving accountability and governance issues?

James Manor: I would just second what Geeta just said, by the way. I was seven weeks in India recently and working with the Ministry of Rural Development, Planning Permission and the Prime Minister's office. I asked them, since I knew I was coming to see you, "What do you think of DFID?" They stressed that they valued DFID's capacity to assist in promoting transparency, accountability and responsiveness of government. This is partly because DFID is quite effective at acting as a conduit of ideas from enlightened Indian civil society organisations into the higher reaches of the Government of India. DFID has a lot of former civil society people on its own staff in Delhi, and it's in contact with a lot of others. This trend of listening to progressive forces in civil society has been very strong since 2004, when Sonia Gandhi, the Congress President, started this herself, systematically.

At the state level, the welcome for DFID's efforts to promote, say, accountability, transparency, responsiveness, bottom­up participation, depends on the outlook of the state government. That changes with changes of government, so that in Madhya Pradesh, for example, one of DFID's states, the governments of both Congress and BJP have been reasonably open, especially the Congress government, to this kind of facility that DFID can offer. But in some other states there's more of a top­down approach to things; control freakery from the apex of the system in some cases. That certainly is predominant in Orissa today, for example. There's a different kind of control freakery under the Left Front government in West Bengal, which is about to be defeated at a state election for the first time since 1977. It's a situational issue when you get to the state level, and there isn't a straightforward answer.

Q36 Mr Clappison: Can I ask you a very broad question about the attitude of India's Government towards poverty? We've been briefed that, notwithstanding the very high growth rates that we've seen in India, the Millennium Development Goal to eradicate hunger will not be reached until 2043. India is apparently home to one­third of the world's malnourished children. If I can ask you a very broad question, what's your view on what the Indian Government is doing itself to tackle these issues?

James Manor: Geeta has quite specific ideas on malnutrition, but let me give you a seat­of­the­pants response before she becomes more specific. I differ from John Toye's comments earlier about political will and the Indian Government's commitment to tackle poverty. The Government of India, between 2004 and 2009, spent in excess of $57 billion on poverty programmes; probably well in excess of that. It's difficult to measure some of this. This is serious money. This is vastly more money than any previous Indian Government has spent on these issues. They did it partly because they think it's good politics. They think it pays to be progressive and redistributive in this way. The Government's attitudes are actually more agreeable than John, with whom I've worked for a long time, was suggesting.

The cultural impediments to this kind of programme, and to anti­poverty activity, are diminishing, and have diminished quite substantially. This is because again, in contrast to what John says, since about 1994­95, we've had very solid evidence from good anthropologists and sociologists working in different parts of India to indicate that the power of caste hierarchy has declined markedly in rural areas, which was its traditional bastion. Caste is increasingly coming to denote not hierarchy but difference, like the difference between ethnic groups. This creates tension and some conflict, but it removes some of the cultural impediments that long stood in the way of serious efforts at redistribution and social justice.

Geeta Kingdon: Yes, I would agree with that, and I would also add that the anti­poverty programmes of the Government of India have existed for a very long time, for example the Integrated Rural Development Project, the Jawahar Rozgar Yojana, which was an employment programme, and so forth. There has been a change—perhaps one could somewhat optimistically call it a sea change—I perceive, in the last five or six or seven years, particularly since the enactment of the National Rural Employment Guarantee Act, which guarantees any citizen of India who wishes to self­select into the programme 100 days of employment under this programme in any given year. That has really made a lot of difference to those people who are landless, who, during the lean agricultural season, do not have access to any source of income. These are public works programmes that the Government of India is getting these people to work on, and it's a self­selection programme. That has really helped in the reduction of poverty, and we are beginning to see that reflected in the data.

Q37 Mr Clappison: Against this background, can I ask you both briefly what you see as the remaining obstacles to alleviating poverty?

Geeta Kingdon: On the NREGA, it's not the panacea that we would hope for, because we know that there are certain obstacles to its effectiveness. One of the obstacles is the leakages and the corruption in the system. However, the Government of India has got smarter on these issues. For one thing, the Supreme Court has seen to it that there is better implementation of this programme through its Commissioners. There's an Office of the Commissioners of the Supreme Court that ensures that its directives in this area are being followed. Secondly, the social order of the scheme, unlike in previous schemes, like the IRDP and others. There is greater reason to be optimistic that this anti­poverty programme is going to be more effective, and the obstacles will be tackled. I know that James has some points about some of the ways in which NREGA has been implemented that reduce the scope for corruption, for instance through paying the monies to the people who work in these programmes through bank accounts, so you can't short­change them. One of the problems in the past, with all anti­poverty programmes, has been huge leakages; the fact that people are given less than what they're entitled to under the programme.

Q38 Mr Clappison: When you say leakages, where is the leakage going to?

James Manor: I've been living with this one for a while. The leakages, until two years ago, were going to the elected chairpersons of village councils and to bureaucrats at higher levels, and, to some extent, elected politicians at higher levels, stealing money in different ways. We identified 18 different ways to steal money from the programme. I should say, before I go any further, that it's harder to steal money from this programme than from any other programme that the Government of India has ever run, because of transparency mechanisms that are built into it, but leakage was still there. Twelve of the 18 devices used to steal money from the programme were more or less stopped as a result of the requirement that workers be paid through bank accounts and not through cash handouts. Now, the elected chairpersons at the village level find it almost impossible to steal significant money from this programme, because of the bank account. Therefore, the squeezing that's going on, the stealing, takes place at higher levels, the sub­district and district levels, with sometimes money going at the state level. But you can't steal money from workers' wages from this programme, which is 60% of the programme. You can only steal money from the 40% that is committed to the purchase and transport of materials—cement, sand, whatever. That kind of theft is difficult under this programme. The leakages are there, but there's far less leakage in a proportional sense than in any significant programme of this kind in the past. If a man or a woman today, in Madhya Pradesh—and almost half the workers are women—goes to work for one day on this programme, they're paid 88 rupees. That is enough to buy subsidised food, from the Chief Minister's subsidised rice and other programmes, to sustain a family for about two weeks, with two solid meals a day, which is a huge difference from the past. The potential impact of this kind of programme on things like malnutrition is very substantial.

Q39 Mr McCann: Could I move on to education? We know that many more primary school­aged children are attending school in India. To whom do you attribute that success?

Geeta Kingdon: One strong driver has been the increase in demand for education. That is driven by the fact that the economic rewards of education have increased in India, particularly at the higher levels of education. There is a stronger economic incentive to acquire education, but I think that's not the only factor, because if it was frustrated demand, we would not see greater levels of children. The fact that the demand could be satisfied was because the Government supply response has also been good. Part of the reason for increased or improved education can be attributed to Government­funded programmes including the donor­assisted Sarva Shiksha Abhiyan programme.

Q40 Mr McCann: In terms of DFID and other donors' input to both federal and state education, what is the significance of those funds? What proportion are they in terms of the direct Government input and the aid?

Geeta Kingdon: If we look at the Government of India's flagship education programme, the SSA programme, donor assistance is 10% of total expenditure under this programme, and DFID's contribution within that is of the order of 3%. So, in other words, 3% of the total expenditure by the central Government on this programme is from DFID. On the impact of this aid on the education sector outcomes, my colleague Paul Atherton and I have done a study, in fact commissioned by DFID, looking at the value for money that the British taxpayer has got through its investment in this programme. As part of this study we did a rate of return calculation of the investment that has been made by DFID. We came up with the estimate that the rate of return on this investment has been in the order of 12% to 14.4%, depending on some adjustments for data issues. That is a fairly good rate of return compared with most alternative potential uses that that money could have been put to. There has been a positive and robust return on DFID's investment in Sarva Shiksha Abhiyan.

Q41 Mr McCann: You've just second­guessed my second question, which was: how effective is DFID's contribution? So thank you for that as well.

Geeta Kingdon: No, that's okay.

Q42 Jeremy Lefroy: Thank you very much. Inequalities based on wealth and other matters are continuing to keep children out of school. What effort is the Government making at the moment to address these inequalities, and how successful do you think they are?

Geeta Kingdon: It is absolutely correct to say that there are inequalities in education. They are smaller today than they were, let's say, 15 years ago, when the District Primary Education Project started—again, a donor­funded project, including DFID assistance—but nevertheless they are enduring, and some of them are rather difficult to do away with. The aspects of the education programme of the Government of India, with which DFID is assisting, that seek to address those inequalities are, as I mentioned earlier, the pro­poor elements of it.

In particular, there are several sub­components of this massive education project that are specifically aimed at encouraging girls' education. For example, there is the Kasturba Gandhi Balika Vidyalaya programme, whereby every district in India has been provided with a school for girls that come from scheduled caste and scheduled tribe families. These are secondary schools, addressing both gender inequalities and caste­based inequalities, in one dimension. Another component of Sarva Shiksha Abhiyan that addresses gender inequalities in education is the Mahila Samakhya programme. This is a wider programme that has to do with women's empowerment, gender sensitisation, assertiveness training, and so forth, but it has a strong component of girls' education, as well. There is another programme, MPEGEL, which I can't remember the full name of, but it is another component.

In addition to that, there are certain pro­poor subsidies, for instance, conditional cash transfers that are given, within this programme, specifically to children from scheduled caste and scheduled tribe backgrounds. There are also certain other incentives such as free uniforms and free textbooks given to girl children and children from these low­caste backgrounds.

Q43 Jeremy Lefroy: Thanks very much. Following on from that, does the Government of India, or indeed state governments, encounter obstacles to implementation at the local level? How do they go around this? Do they use the courts? What can they do?

Geeta Kingdon: I think you're right; they do face problems in these. For example, one of the programmes under the Sarva Shiksha Abhiyan is the provision of the midday meal to children, but historically, for reasons that have been mentioned in the earlier session as well, there are sensitivities around caste. Inequalities in caste are a very powerful reason, a lingeringly important reason, particularly in rural areas. Sometimes we hear of cases where the parents of high­caste children refuse to allow their children to sit together and eat a meal with the low­caste children, or sometimes, where the cook is of a low caste, children of high­caste parents refuse to eat that meal. So yes, there are obstacles of that nature, and there is legislation in place against such discriminatory behaviour. I'm not aware of particular instances of how they have sought to deal with this kind of behaviour, but most of the time it is dealt with through administrators coming and saying that this is not going to be acceptable. I've seen it dealt with in that way, but I am not aware of any cases that have reached court level and been dealt with in a legal manner.

Q44 Jeremy Lefroy: Finally, on that, there's been quite a lot of concern about bonded labour and particularly child labour. What's your perspective on that, and whether the initiatives that state governments and the Government of India are taking are having an effect on that? That's quite a major concern in this country.

Geeta Kingdon: It is certainly a very concerning issue. The Government of India does have some policies against child labour, with a view to encouraging the children who are child labourers to enter school instead. What you hear of—through the popular press, for instance, but also this is consistent with Government policy—is that the police will often find, for example, children from rural Bihar doing that kind of work in Maharashtra, in Mumbai in particular. You will hear of instances where the police have escorted children back to their home, their native state, and put them back in schools, but often this is unsuccessful because the children are found a few months later back in Mumbai, working. I think that the reason for the inefficacy of this policy is partly that the schooling system is not functioning at a level of quality that really attracts these children to stay on. The economic returns perceived to be gained from such low­quality schooling are not seen to be worth the while to spend their time in school, quite apart from the opportunity cost of spending time in school if you are near destitution levels of poverty. There are some complex issues there that are not directly addressed through the education programme, except in so far as it tries to improve the quality of education.

James Manor: Could I just add, on that front, that I think economic growth is making a significant difference in reducing the incidence of bonded labour and child labour. Some of the poverty programmes that the Government of India and state governments have developed have reduced the migration of families. Many families used to migrate from Orissa, one of the poor states where DFID has worked, to the brick kilns of Andhra Pradesh, a kind of hellish, Dickensian place to work. The entire family would work there, and then migrate back again, and the kids didn't get any education. The kids were basically working. They weren't bonded labour, in this case, but they were working. The earnings from the National Rural Employment Guarantee Scheme, and other things, have substantially reduced the out­migration, what's sometimes called distress migration, from states like Bihar and Orissa, to places for this kind of work. I think they were also having an impact.

Q45 Jeremy Lefroy: Just finally on this, what do you both believe are the most helpful approaches from donors to address these entrenched inequalities? Clearly they're very sensitive issues, cultural differences and so on, but clearly they also have to be addressed if we are going to see progress.

Geeta Kingdon: A better, more nuanced Government policy can go a long way in redressing these issues. For that, donors like DFID can actually assist the Government of India most through research and analysis. For example, a recent research paper by Dr Anjini Kochar of Stanford University pointed out something that nobody else had noticed, but with hindsight is pretty obvious. There is the well­intentioned Government of India policy of providing guaranteed education in small habitations, so that those children who are stuck in remote areas in small habitations, the poorest areas, will have access to schooling. It was a very well­intentioned policy, but spatial patterns of settlement are such that low­caste people are usually marginalised in habitations a little bit outside the village, half a kilometre outside the village. So they're a small habitation, and they get a school of their own, as part of the education guarantee scheme, but it ends up segregating children on the basis of caste, and these schools are often low­resourced, and so on and so forth. Well­intentioned policies can have unintended negative consequences. This research study alerted the Government of India to this fact. This is the kind of thing that donors can do.

This probably goes back to some issues that were raised in the morning session: it's quite right to say that DFID's assistance is such a small part of the totality of social sector expenditures in India that one might say: "What difference does it make?" From my point of view, the difference that I think it makes is not in the quantum of aid that is given, but more in the catalytic nature of it. This tiny amount can nevertheless provide the research and analysis base, put evidence on the table, sponsor surveys, sponsor research studies, and have conferences to inform Indian policymakers about international findings on these issues. It can do the analysis for India itself, and put that before the Indian Government so that policy on these issues is not based on hunch or opinion or ideology or political expediency, but based on evidence. That, I think, will be the value added.

Jeremy Lefroy: Thank you.

James Manor: My response echoes this. DFID's role as a catalyst amongst the donors—because DFID has a much more sophisticated understanding of poverty and development issues in India than most of the donor agencies in New Delhi have got—is very important. It plays that role, and it is also a source of constructive, fresh ideas, perhaps for experimentation, with the Government of India and state governments itself. It is able to do that because it works with enlightened civil society organisations, which are immensely formidable in India; much more formidable than almost all other less­developed countries. It draws them into the policy process. The Government of India is now happy to have that happen. It used not to be, but it is now. These are constructive things.

The other thing that DFID does is that it focuses on poverty not just in economistic terms, as a severe shortage of assets, incomes, etc, but in a broader sense, of poverty as a severe shortage of opportunities, of political capacity. Poor people tend to have very little political capacity, very little confidence, very little skill, very little in the way of political connections, very little political awareness. Participatory policies, that give people a chance to participate and enhance their political capacity, so that they can operate appropriately in the public sphere, are a way of tackling another dimension of their poverty, which reinforces the economic shortages. DFID is very good on these fronts, and it should be encouraged.

Q46 Hugh Bayley: DFID has been increasing the amount it spends on health over the last few years, working on some national programmes and strengthening health systems in the target priority states. Does that make sense, and should health remain a priority for DFID in years to come?

Geeta Kingdon: I don't feel very qualified to answer that question, because I'm not really an analyst of health sector issues at all. But in common-sense terms, health is an extremely important aspect of human capital. It affects people's productivity, it affects their wellbeing in a fundamental way. There are a range of efficiency­based reasons as well as equity or moral reasons why one should want to invest in health, particularly in a country where we know malnutrition levels are absolutely abysmal. According to the Global Hunger Index, which is produced, I think, by IFPRI, in Washington, DC, there are 22 sub­Saharan African countries where malnutrition levels are lower than they are in India. On those bases it is critical to invest in health. I am not really able to say much more than that; that there is this developmental case for this investment.

James Manor: Like Geeta, I'm not an authority on health, but I do know that state governments, and the central Government, have generated some extremely promising ideas for improvements in the health sector in recent times. These are very popular politically, which encourages politicians to stay committed. This is an area in which DFID could make a contribution, but a vast amount of health service delivery, in rural areas especially, is produced by the private sector, and not the public sector. This makes health a rather different kind of sector in which to work from some of the others. The health professionals, and especially bureaucrats who specialise in health ministries, tend, to my certain knowledge, to be more open­minded towards constructive ideas for change than bureaucrats in other Indian Government ministries, for complicated reasons.

Geeta Kingdon: Might I just add a sentence?

Hugh Bayley: Please.

Geeta Kingdon: We know that, in India, user fees for health care have not been done away with, which is an absolutely critical reason why half the women in India do not have access to even the most basic health care at the time of childbirth. What DFID could be doing in that area is, again, providing technical assistance to do an analysis of how this kind of health care provision, which is free of user charges, can be provided, using international practice, perhaps in partnership with the WHO, but bringing that kind of evidence to bear to produce some policy options to consider. That is what is needed.

Q47 Hugh Bayley: I sense that India is reluctant to look at the aid relationship as a gift relationship, and wants to develop the idea of partnership with other countries. Where in the field of health care is there a basis for partnership? We've relied, obviously, for many years in this country on doctors being trained in India and practising medicine here. India is an aid donor to countries in Africa. Maybe we should be working with them to deliver our aid programmes in Africa? They've got a big pharmaceutical supply industry, if not a pharmaceutical research industry. Where are the areas, using health as an example, where we ought to be looking at two­way technical co-operation?

James Manor: If the examples you want are from the health sector, the two of us are probably not equipped to provide them.

Hugh Bayley: Okay.

Chair: That's a fair and honest answer.

Q48 Chris White: It depends on what you've just said, really, but it was just that you clearly recognise that health is such a fundamental matter to development. I was just wondering whether you think—as clean water and sanitation is one of the most important things to support health—that the 1% of aid going into sanitation and water from DFID was sufficient?

Geeta Kingdon: Did you say 1% of DFID aid is going into that area?

Chris White: Yes, 1%.

Geeta Kingdon: Again, not really being an expert in that area, I'd prefer not to comment on that.

Chris White: My apologies.

Q49 Richard Harrington: I just wanted to ask a couple of questions on malnutrition, particularly amongst children, but I suppose it's to do with the whole aid system in India, because it seems to me everyone says that child nutrition is a priority. There are a lot of programmes, and yet I read in the press—not even things from people doing proper research like yourself—about red tape and bureaucracy stopping aid to young children getting through. There was that issue with the nut, the Plumpy'Nuts, which I'm sure you've heard about, where it was just deemed, for no logical reason, as far as anyone could tell, by the Indian Government to be unsuitable. I'm not talking about middle­income stuff at all, I'm just talking about children and malnutrition. Could you comment on why, after all this, hunger and malnutrition still endures so much in the subcontinent, and to what extent is this lack of progress the fault of the Indian Government, as far as you can say?

Geeta Kingdon: Again, not too much expertise in this area, but just one or two quick comments. One is that it's absolutely true that malnutrition is at an alarming level. If you look at a survey such as the National Family Health Survey, of which we have three—we have a survey for 1993, 1998, and 2005­2006—there has been hardly any change in malnutrition over time. Roughly 46% to 47% of children under the age of five are wasting, i.e. are underweight, in both these years. It seems somewhat of a puzzle as to why it is that despite this apparent rapid economic growth, malnutrition levels have been so high.

Jean Drèze and Professor Angus Deaton of Princeton University, in their study, say that one of the reasons, though certainly not the only reason, why this may be the case is that growth in consumption perhaps is not as high as we think it is. There are two ways of calculating consumption increases. One is the National Accounts System, which is quoted in the FT and in the Indian press and so on. That shapes our perceptions about India's economic growth rate and consumption increases. However, there is an alternative source of data on this, which is the National Sample Survey data. According to the National Sample Survey data, growth in consumption has not been nearly as high. There's quite a lot of discrepancy between the National Accounts Data and the National Sample Survey data.

Outside that, because it seemed like an important thing, Drèze and Deaton say that one reason, although certainly not the only reason, that other things are not improving at the rate one might expect, things like malnutrition and so on, in such a rapidly growing economy is that the economy is not growing quite as rapidly as the data show. I think that that really has to be taken into account as a potential explanation. I'm not an expert on these data, or an expert on poverty, but to the extent that consumption has not been growing as fast as we hear in the press, that could be one reason why malnutrition has not been addressed. Other than that, I am not sufficiently an expert and knowledgeable.

James Manor: Another important element in the explanation of this kind of problem is appalling inertia in sections of the bureaucracy, both in the central Government bureaucracy and in state government bureaucracies, especially in the middle and upper­middle reaches of the bureaucracy. There is a kind of breathtaking complacency and occasionally a tendency for bungling. One then has to ask, how does this ever change? How do we get to grips with this? What we've seen in India since 1989, when it became impossible for any party to win a majority in Parliament, is a massive redistribution of power away from the Prime Minister's office to a lot of other institutions at the national level, and to state governments. Some of those institutions at the national level, the Supreme Court—and the High Courts at the state level follow suit—but also investigative institutions, like the Comptroller and Auditor General's office, certain Parliamentary Committees in New Delhi, etc, have begun to probe into the horror stories, but also into the basic problem of complacency and inertia in the bureaucracy. The word gets to the media. The media, as you will see when you turn on your television, are constantly shouting about outrages of one kind or another. This builds a fire under some of these bureaucrats. I think the redistribution of power has made the system work better, even though it looks worse, because you hear more about the bad things that are going on, because the media is now more assertive. That's changing things, but we have a long way to go.

Q50 Richard Harrington: Do you think there's anything DFID should be doing on the malnutrition front that it's not?

James Manor: Not that I know of.

Geeta Kingdon: Can I just add a sentence to what James has just said? I would agree with that, and also say that, drawing a parallel, the functioning of the public sector, whether in health or education, is not hugely different—

James Manor : Yes.

Geeta Kingdon: —in the sense of efficiency and complacency and so on. Certainly in the education sector, if we look at surveys such as the absence rates among public servants, a survey done by the World Bank in nine countries, in India absence rates among health sector workers was extremely high, probably the highest among the nine developing countries on which the survey was done. That just substantiates James's point about the complacency and the lack of accountability, and this is true in the education sector as well. The reasons for this are really to do with the political economy of the country. These are endemic, long­standing problems: high teacher absence rates, high public health sector worker absence rates. The reasons appear to be that, although there are some accountability structures and procedures that can be brought to bear, public servants are never actually hauled up if they are frequently absent or chronically lax in their work. It seems that unions are a strong part of it—labour unions, teachers' unions, health sector worker unions—and these are seen as lobbies that one must satisfy. They act as an obstacle to being able to successfully bring to book lax work on the account of public workers.

James Manor: DFID have supported programmes, and they have people who know how to support programmes, which undercut absenteeism in the health and education sectors in mainly rural areas, for complicated reasons. They have supported schemes, for example in Madhya Pradesh, to give elected local councils at the village level the control over releasing the pay of school teachers and health workers in the locality. When local councillors can withhold pay when the workers don't show up for work, then absenteeism declines radically.

Just on your question of malnutrition and what DFID can do, I should caution you. This issue of nutrition is a very hot political potato at the moment, because the Supreme Court of India, which is very powerful, has challenged the Executive of India over its failure to release sufficient food grains in a time when malnutrition is a serious problem and the food grains are plentiful. This is very embarrassing for the Government of India, and a very difficult one politically. The kinds of issues DFID needs to avoid are those which are inflamed politically, because then the Government of India will be even less likely to listen to DFID or anybody else from outside if it's a touchy issue.

Geeta Kingdon: I have to slightly disagree, James, with your statement about how local government can now withhold pay from public servants if they're not deemed to be performing properly.

James Manor: They should be able to. I'm not saying they can.

Geeta Kingdon: Yes, because, for example, the original draft of the Right to Education Act, which was enacted a year ago and implemented as from April 2010, contained a provision, which was taken out before it was enacted, that would have given school development management committees and village education committees the right to do precisely that—to withhold payments from teachers if they were chronically absent, and so forth. That provision was taken out from the Act before it was enacted. What political pulls and pressures led to the taking out of that particular provision, we shall not know, although we know there was lots of union lobbying and so forth that went on. This really is a political economy constraint that affects not only the health sector, but also the education sector.

Q51 Jeremy Lefroy: As far as I'm aware, the evidence is quite clear that malnourishment or being underweight has considerable impact on personal development, education and health. Given that, do you feel that malnourishment or nutrition is being treated too much in a silo and not as something that should be dealt with directly together with education and, to a lesser extent, health? Following on from that, I noticed that almost the major cause of death among under­five­year­olds from WHO statistics from 2008 is pneumonia. A couple of us were in Uganda last week, and it was very clear to us that pneumonia is a major problem there. Pneumonia, when treated early, should not be a cause of death, at all. I just wondered if you had any particular comments on that.

Geeta Kingdon: Not on pneumonia as such, but on your previous point about whether malnutrition, or nutrition, as an issue has been treated as a silo, I think it's a very correct perception. The synergies that exist between, for example, health, nutrition and education have not been exploited. These responsibilities sit in different Government Departments and the overlaps and the benefits are not being sufficiently realised. That is being addressed, to some extent, by the fact that school is now being used as a site for delivery of the school midday meal programme. That has certainly been a very positive step, but school as a site for vaccination, for instance, is not something that is being done at the moment, but could be.

Q52 Jeremy Lefroy: Sorry to interrupt, but is that something where DFID could make a specific contribution through research on that? You think about, say, the Progreso programme in Brazil, which I think has elements of that in it.

Geeta Kingdon: Indeed.

Jeremy Lefroy: Would it be possible for them to have a look at that and advise in relation to the Indian context?

Geeta Kingdon: Absolutely. That is precisely the sort of thing in which DFID can bring value added and make its mark and its contribution. Other than that—of course, the Progreso programme was a conditional cash transfer programme—

Jeremy Lefroy: Yes.

Geeta Kingdon: —which is not the same as the Government of India's Sharva Shiksha Abhiyan programme, but there are certain elements of conditional cash transfers even in the SSA programme. There are lots of other examples in addition to the Progreso programme that can also be brought to bear on this issue. I agree that there is not sufficient research in this area. For example, there is very little research in India; in fact, I believe that my study, together with my co­author Courtney Monk, is the only paper that looks at the impact of nutrition on children's learning achievement levels. We need more research as well.

James Manor: One reason why pneumonia is a real threat is that poor village people—especially poor village women, because women are the gatekeepers between the household and the wider world on issues of health and to some extent education—are extremely reluctant to take their children to health centres. In health centres, doctors wear strange white garments, and carry things like needles, which look very intimidating. DFID has done work with state governments that supports strengthening elected local government in ways that make an impact on this. The state health bureaucrats in states where local councils are strong, which is not every state, indicate that when local councils are strong, the uptake on health services increases. Elected village councils contain women representatives, who learn about the things that go on in health centres, and realise that ante and post­natal care reduces mortality, that vaccinations are a good idea, etc, etc. These elected village councillors, who are just local women, are much better able to explain the utility of health services to ordinary poor people in the villages, their neighbours, than are the health professionals. The health professionals speak a different kind of language and are middle­class people for the most part. The uptake increases quite substantially when democratic decentralisation is allowed to flourish. DFID has assisted in enabling it to flourish. This has made a significant impact on infant mortality and no doubt on pneumonia.

Q53 Chair: We have just two or three more questions; we have to hold a quorum, so if we can be brisk. You, Professor Manor, have praised DFID and the quality of their staff, and several times pointed out their connections with civil society, civic society. In a sense, I think you also, Professor Kingdon, quoted the Indian Government as saying that DFID's value to them is openness, transparency, accountability and so forth. This gives the impression that, effectively, DFID is almost like a resource for the Indian Government. Indeed if a high proportion of its staffing is recruited locally, you could almost get to the point of wondering, is DFID a British Government agency, supporting the Indian Government, or is it an Indian Government agency financed by the British Government? I'm not saying it is there, but it's somewhere in between the two. Do they have the balance right? Can they move further down the Indianisation of DFID, or would that be confusing?

James Manor: They do have the balance reasonably close to right. DFID Delhi is a British Government institution, manned substantially, or populated substantially, to be politically correct, by extremely gifted, knowledgeable, constructive Indians. DFID is hugely shrewd in taking this line, because the truth is that the Indian staff members in New Delhi tend to make a more constructive contribution than the British staff members. The bungling that occasionally one encounters with DFID, in the cases I know about, is the result of action by the British staff members. It's certainly not an Indian Government agency. It's an agency of the British Government, consisting predominantly of Indians, which is, for that reason, immensely constructive. I wouldn't say they need to go much further down the road, but if they're going to tip the balance, they should tip it further in favour of Indians.

Geeta Kingdon: I would just add that I do not see it as Indianisation of DFID. I'm not aware of the proportion of the staff at DFID who are local staff, versus the ones who go from the UK, but whenever I've been there as a consultant and sat in the offices, it doesn't seem that there is such an imbalance or a preponderance of one group or the other. A more substantive point is that DFID maintains its independence, and indeed the Indian Government makes sure that it maintains its distance from DFID. Access to Indian officials is very, very precious. It's very difficult, because of the number of obligations and duties that they perform. It is necessary therefore that that distance is maintained. It is not the case that they have access to, and that it is a cosy cabal with, the Indian administrators. It's not like that at all. That distance is maintained, and I think that DFID is not Indianised in the sense that, from what I have seen of DFID's work, it is bringing new ideas. It is bringing ideas from the whole of the international community to the notice of the Indian Government, rather than having become—I don't know what the word is for it—somebody that sees the local situations and responds to them locally. It is looking at the situation in India and the problems of India, not only with the local context in mind, but always keeping an eye on what the rest of the world is doing, and how that can inform what India does.

Q54 Chris White: What is DFID's role with the wider donor community? Supplementary to that, what is the Government of India's approach to the donor community in a wider scope?

Geeta Kingdon: The Government of India's approach to the donor community seems quite positive to me, despite the occasional grandstanding, which may be consistent with national self­pride, statements in front of the media and so on, occasionally, or before an international audience. Despite the occasional grandstanding of that nature, it is clear that the Government of India values DFID aid. There are several instances that prove this. We know that it has recently asked for DFID assistance of at least £90 million for the secondary education programme, the RMSA. We know that it has put on record its appreciation of the donors, which I read out earlier. The Government of India welcomes DFID aid through NGOs as well, by permitting civil society organisations to receive this aid. I think it wants that aid. It has a very positive attitude towards the donors. There was a previous Indian Government, the BJP Government, which had a different stance, but that, historically, has been a very unusual stance. Historically, India has always welcomed assistance.

In relation to DFID's relationship with the other donors, from what I have seen in the education sector work, that relationship is extremely collaborative. It's bringing people, and the different agencies, on to a common platform, and providing a service to the Government of India that is a unified approach. It reduces transaction costs. I'm not saying that they're providing exactly the same kinds of inputs, or the same kinds of resources; the quantum of resources is different from the EU, the World Bank and DFID. The areas of focus are also sometimes different, but by and large they are co-operating very well. I'll give you an example. DFID has jointly funded a survey of 1,400 schools—aided schools and private schools—which the World Bank carried out. DFID is funding the PISA study, with the encouragement and support of the other donors, as well. There are quite a few areas in which there is joint funding of projects, and when you sit in the Joint Review Mission of the Sarva Shiksha Abhiyan project, it seems a collegial and smoothly functioning relationship. When you go and present papers at these forums you get good feedback. There are always people present there doing joint conferences and sponsoring events together. It's a very positive dynamic between the donors.

James Manor: I tend to agree, but I would just stress that DFID is a significant source of sophistication about India and about development to other donor agencies, some of whom know they lack sophistication and some of whom don't. Much of the sophistication that DFID brings to that relationship is sophistication that it gleans from ideas within India. India is immensely productive of constructive ideas for development in general. Because DFID is in India, gleaning those ideas, DFID Delhi is a resource of significance for DFID globally. Most other countries don't generate the kinds of constructive ideas that India does.

Chair: That brings us on to our final questions, relating to the UK's developing role in India across the whole piece.

Q55 Richard Harrington: Very much so. We need to expand it across the whole geopolitical relationship between India and the United Kingdom. Obviously the Prime Minister went to India, and we hear a lot about increasing the ties, commercial and otherwise, between ourselves and India. It would seem to me that DFID is the lead agency in doing this. I wondered if you'd like to comment on the role that aid plays in the overall relationship. We know it's of no financial significance, compared with the total, but is it of real political significance? Also, would you mind commenting on how you think DFID works with other Government Departments such as the Foreign Office and UKTI, and whether the aid gives the UK much influence in India, compared with the other commercial efforts and everything like that.

James Manor: I don't know much about how DFID interacts with other UK agency representatives in India. I really wouldn't know where to start on that.

Richard Harrington: Fair enough.

James Manor: DFID earns the UK huge respect and warmth amongst the political establishment in India, because of the work that it does. If you begin to appear to connect DFID's activities to some of these wider concerns, you may undermine the trust that DFID generates in the Indian establishment. You may put at risk the wider benefits that DFID's relationship yields for Britain. I would be quite scrupulous about separating.

Q56 Richard Harrington: It's almost because it's non­political and non­commercial that it has the influence and effectiveness that it does?

James Manor: Yes. It's also sophisticated, and there are all of these very bright Indians working for DFID who are respected by the Government of India. Some of them are former Government servants, Government servants on secondment. There's a level of trust, and if you begin to give the appearance that aid to India, or DFID in India, are instrumental to another, ulterior purpose—

Richard Harrington: Part of another agenda. I understand.

James Manor: —you might undermine both DFID and the ulterior motive. Brits are very good at being subtle and sophisticated, and handling these things. I think you'll be all right.

Geeta Kingdon: DFID is really part of this bigger picture of this relationship that goes from cricket to the Commonwealth to the British Council to trade and all of these things. DFID's presence there confirms the notion that Britain is an ally, a friend, and a well­wisher. I would agree with the wider comments that James has made in this regard.

Q57 Chair: Just a final point on that. I had the advantage of being in India in September, and met with our High Commissioner and also the Deputy Foreign Minister. I take your point entirely about the importance of keeping the separation, but equally I think Professor Kingdon is right in saying that it is a very inclusive relationship. When you're engaging with interlocutors, all of these other things will come into play. It's important to have that backdrop. In the context of DFID, what should we be looking to achieve five years from now? By that time India will firmly have graduated out of IDA. It will be in a different space, if its growth continues, and the aid relationship will clearly therefore move into a different space. What should we be hoping to achieve over the next five years?

Geeta Kingdon: In the next five years, DFID should firstly continue the very good work that it has been doing so far. I think it has been outstanding; certainly in the education sector the work has been very, very good. The area where DFID can make most contribution is in this catalytic role, in sponsoring research, funding the production of new information and the generation of data, bringing that data to the table of discussion and dialogue, and thereby helping to improve policy-making. I think that is the major route for influencing policy in India. It's best done at the national level, without reducing the scope of work that DFID is already doing at the state level. That is where DFID can really make its contribution.

As well as saying that it should do what it's done, there are certain things that it should do better. For example, in the generation of new evidence, it is important to engage new, robust methodologies that are capable of establishing causal impacts from policies on to outcomes. DFID's research portfolio needs to be modernised a little bit and made more relevant, and utilise more modern techniques; for example, doing studies of what works and what does not work, using methods that are now known to produce good results.

James Manor: I broadly agree with what has just been said. DFID should continue to emphasise poverty reduction as an exceedingly important goal, and to attempt to do new things, based on new ideas it's getting from Indian civil society and academia in that vein. A couple of minor points: one, it contracts Indian organisations to do studies or to do projects, civil society organisations in particular, but also Government agencies, to some extent. DFID, I think, should be a little more restrained. It occasionally seems rather intrusive, seeking to investigate and micromanage all the time. This seems insensitive and counterproductive to the very good people that DFID locates to conduct these projects. I would probably hope that DFID did a little less of that, and that DFID was a little less inclined to be enchanted by technocracy in India. The principal person in DFID's recent history who was utterly enchanted by someone purporting to be a genius at technocracy was Clare Short, and she made some very serious mistakes in Andhra Pradesh by going in whole hog. She was hoodwinked by a charlatan. That sort of problem is not so severe as it used to be, but there is a tendency for DFID representatives to be taken in by people who purport to be extraordinary technocrats, and they should beware.

Chair: Very salutary advice, now all our Labour colleagues have left.

Geeta Kingdon: Can I just add one more point? Another area of strong value added by DFID is in technical capacity development. I've seen this work very well in the education sector, or at least I've seen the need for it; the desperate need for India to join modern international practices of assessments, impact evaluations and so forth. This is an area in which DFID has started recently to provide technical assistance, and these are slightly longer term projects. Technical assistance projects and capacity development projects have somewhat longer gestation periods for showing results, but I think they're very important.

Chair: Thank you for that. That's consistent with some of our own recommendations about the role of DFID's research and its wider accessibility. Thank you both very much. You've been very well informed and very insightful from our point of view. It's slightly unfortunate that we're not now going to India in two weeks' time, but more like six or eight weeks' time, but this is all on the record and will still be extremely helpful to us. Thank you.


 
previous page contents


© Parliamentary copyright 2011
Prepared 14 June 2011