The impact of the 2007-08 changes to public service pensions - Public Accounts Committee Contents


Written evidence from HM Treasury

PAC HEARING ON 2 MARCH 2011

At the PAC hearing on Wednesday 2 March on Public Service Pensions, I promised to provide you with notes explaining the following:

(i)  Contracting out, and increasing the basic state pension;

(ii)  Senior civil service pensions; and

(iii)  Long-term GDP growth projections.

(i)  Contracting out, and increasing the basic state pension

The State Pension has two components:

  • The basic State Pension is a contributory pension—the amount an individual receives depends on the number of qualifying National Insurance years they have. A full basic State Pension is currently £97.65; and
  • The State Second Pension is the earnings-related State Pension paid on top of the basic State Pension.

Individuals can choose to "contract out" of the State Second Pension. In return for not accruing rights to the State Second Pension in later life, an individual and their employer both receive a National Insurance rebate. From April 2012, those in defined contribution pension schemes will no longer be able to contract out. This change has already been included in the public finance forecasts.

The Committee discussed by how much the basic State Pension could increase if contracting out were to be abolished and the money recycled into the basic State Pension. The following analysis is based on the published cost of the contracting out rebate calculated using the current rebate levels.[1]

The contracting out rebate (given current rebate levels) is forecast to cost £6.8 billion in 2012-13. And 12.7 million individuals are forecast to receive a basic State Pension in 2012-13. This implies that ending contracting out could fund circa £10 a week rise for each basic State Pension recipient.

However, not all basic State Pension recipients receive a full basic State Pension. Further, the increase in basic State Pension could reduce the amount of income-related benefits some pensioners receive. If these effects were taken into account, ending contracting out in 2012-13 could increase a full basic State Pension by circa £15 a week.

While this change would be funded in 2012-13, there would be a net Exchequer cost over time:

  • The number of basic State Pension recipients is increasing, and this additional basic State Pension would increase by the triple guarantee (as the basic State Pension rises by the highest of earnings, prices, or 2.5%). However, the cost of the rebate in cash terms rises more slowly. This could lead to an unfunded cost of circa £1 billion in 2016; and
  • Those individuals who are no longer contracted out will now accrue rights to the State Second Pension. Although these costs build more slowly (for example circa £100 million in 2018-19), there would be a significant increase in spending in the long term. Abolishing contracting out and increasing the basic State Pension represents an intergenerational transfer from working age people today to current pensioners.

(ii)  Senior civil service pensions

Individual employers' Remuneration Reports (in Departmental Resource Accounts) include details of the pension benefits and Cash Equivalent Transfer Values (CETVs) of each of the members of the department's senior management team. These are available online on an employer by employer basis, but are not collated centrally.

However as an example, the following central departments had scheme members with CETVs near or above £2 million as of 31 March 2010:

DepartmentName £ million
Cabinet OfficeSir Gus O'Donnell 2.322
Stephen Laws2.401
Foreign and Commonwealth OfficePeter Ricketts 1.812
Home OfficeSir David Normington 1.988
Peter Makeham1.916
Ministry of JusticePhil Wheatley 1.891
HMRC and Treasury
None

BACKGROUND TO CETVS

The Cash Equivalent Transfer Value (CETV) is the capital value of an individual's pension and is calculated using guidance from the Scheme Actuary. It is an assessment of what it costs the scheme to provide the pension benefits. MyCSP, who are the Civil Service scheme's administrator, provide CETVs as of 31 March each year.

(iii)  Long-term GDP growth projections

The OBR published its Economic and Fiscal Outlook in November 2010, in which it projected real economic growth of 2.2% per year on average, between 2016 and 2050. This was based on assumptions about growth in productivity (output per head), the population and employment.

Longer term growth rates will be updated annually in the fiscal sustainability report due to be published in the summer.

9 March 2011


1   In February 2011, the Government announced that the rebate on earnings will be reduced from April 2012. This change has not yet been included in the published public finance forecast. Back


 
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Prepared 26 May 2011