Examination of Witnesses (Question Numbers
194-344)
Rt Hon Francis Maude MP, Sir Gus O'Donnell
KCB and Ian Watmore
3 March 2011
Q194 Chair: Good
morning and welcome to this session on the reform of the Civil
Service and the principles of good governance. I wonder if for
the record you could just confirm who you are, please.
Francis Maude:
I am Francis Maude; I am Minister for the Cabinet Office.
Sir Gus O'Donnell:
I am Gus O'Donnell, Cabinet Secretary and Head of the Civil Service.
Ian Watmore: Ian
Watmore from the Cabinet Office.
Q195 Robert Halfon:
Good morning. Can I ask you, Mr Maude, if you think that Civil
Service Live is value for money?
Francis Maude:
My understanding is it does not cost the Civil Service anything
to run, because I think it is provided outside, isn't that right?
Gus O'Donnell:
That is right. It is covered by, particularly, Dods, but a number
of other groups get involved in it, and it is a way for us to
get civil servants of all different grade ranges together, particularly
with the change of Government; it was particularly useful this
time for them to hear particular messages from the new Government,
including from the Minister.
Francis Maude:
Yes, I actually had in the course ofwhat was it? Two days?
Three days?
Gus O'Donnell:
Three days.
Francis Maude:
I was able toand I did two visitstalk to the senior
200 all gathered in one place, all the heads of communication,
the senior communication people. I did four things altogether
and from my point of view it was very efficient to have a lot
of officials from all over the country in the same place at the
same time.
Gus O'Donnell:
It might well have cost us more money, because we used it also
to have all of the SCS together for different departments on different
days
Chair: SCS?
Sir Gus O'Donnell:
The Senior Civil Service from different departments, put them
all together in one place. So, normally we might have had to
hire some outside venues, but since we had a venue provided free
for us this was incredibly good value for money.
Q196 Charlie Elphicke:
Why do you think that people like Dods would want to sponsor an
event that they could have nothing to gain out of?
Sir Gus O'Donnell:
Dods are behind the newspaper Civil Service World. I think
what they want is they provide those handbooks, which I think
are just generally useful information, and they are prepared to
do this for their business.
Q197 Robert Halfon:
How many civil servants actually attend Civil Service Live on
average every year?
Sir Gus O'Donnell:
It varies, but it is in the thousands.
Q198 Robert Halfon:
And have you done a cost-benefit analysis of their attendance
at the conference compared with their being at their various posts?
Sir Gus O'Donnell:
It is fantastically useful, at a time when we are not doing much
formal paid training development. We do not pay for any speakers.
They get to hear Ministers directly telling them what the new
priorities are. With a change of Government, this is fantastically
useful. The message I have been trying to get across to them
for some time now is to be more innovative in the way they do
things, and that could not have been better timedwe have
been doing this for a while nowto get them thinking about
"better for less" and how to manage in a situation where
we are doing deficit reduction. I think this is incredibly good
value for money.
Francis Maude:
Just to make a couple of points: this is not a glamorous event.
This was held in Olympia. This is not a sort of highgloss,
lots of bells and whistles event. The second point is: I know
of no organisation that I have ever been involved with that does
not seek to get people together offsite from time to time and
generally much more expensively than this, and there is value
in it.
Q199 Robert Halfon:
Going back to Civil Service Live, when you were there Minister,
you described the vision of the Civil Service in 2020. Have you
got a blueprint to get you there?
Francis Maude:
No, because the Civil Service is a very dispersed organisation.
It is going through intense change at the momentdownsizing
very significantly. The Civil Service will absolutely, inevitably
become much smaller, flatter, less hierarchical. It should do.
I think the professional streams in the Civil Service, which
are stronger than they were when I was last around in Government
20 years agowhen finance directors tended to be generalists,
HR directors, likewiseare all much more professional streams
now. They do not always get accorded the status and the authority
that they need within organisations. Finance directors in a Government
department will typically not have the same kind of clout that
a CFO would expect to have in a private company and that, I think,
is a reform that is needed.
I would like to see the Senior Civil Service managed
in a more centralised wayto be a much more sort of fungible
resource across the whole of Government. We are looking actually
at ways of making the Fast Stream more interchangeable between
different departments at the moment. The brightest graduates
come in as Fast Stream graduates and they get plonked in a departmentnot
quite randomly; that would be overstating it in a not very
scientific way, and then tend to stay there for life and I think
there is huge value in having them much more interchangeable.
Q200 Chair: This
is quite a dramatic change we are trying to implement in Civil
Service culture, isn't it?
Francis Maude:
I think a lot of it is driven by necessity.
Q201 Chair: Maybe,
but we are looking for quite a big cultural change?
Francis Maude:
Yes.
Q202 Chair: This
will be the first time that anybody has tried to reform the Civil
Service without publishing a White Paper or a document, somehow,
to scope and to lead that change. How is it going to happen?
Or is it just something you do to the Civil Service?
Francis Maude:
A lot of this is just common sense. I mean, this is not
revolutionary. Gus and his predecessors have been valiantly trying
to drive reform, and successfully in many respects, particularly
in relation to the professionalisation of those streams, but the
circumstances we are faced with, with a need to cut spending dramatically
in a way that no Government has had to door no Government
has done since the 1920simposes a pretty rigorous discipline.
Q203 Chair: But
what exactly is meant to happen?
Francis Maude:
What do you mean what is meant to happen? In what respect?
Q204 Chair: You
talked about less hierarchical. Your speech said, "Modern
and flexible, high performing, less hierarchical and more innovative".
Francis Maude:
Okay, well why not get Ian to talk a little about how
he is organising the Efficiency and Reform Group, where we brought
together in one place the functions in central Government which
are about procurement, technology if I was being mildly
selfdeprecating, it is, as it were, the unglamorous, dull
part of managing the overhead, which is incredibly important but
does not rate highly in the glamour stakesproperty, projects,
Civil Service managementall that in one place, but Ian
is organising that in a very different way.
Q205 Chair: I
hope you will forgive me; we appreciate that that work is going
on and it is very valuable
Francis Maude:
No, but culturally it is actually a really good exemplar
of how one might do things in the future.
Ian Watmore: Just
a couple of comments; I will try and be brief for you. One of
the issues with the way the Civil Service is structured is it
is very much in teams, where all the communication is up and down
the team. Very few business problems that we tackle are actually
the problems of one team, so we are trying to organise all of
the people much more like a professional services organisation,
where they are assigned to work on projects around key issues.
If you are a director of one of my teams you do not have people
that are permanently assigned to you; you ask for the people to
work on key projects and they come from a variety of disciplines.
So, it is a very different operating model for how the centre
of Government can work, and through that you get a culture change
that I think is behind your question. The other comment that
I would make is, in terms of White Papers and so on, there is
a White Paper coming out in the nearish futureI do
not know the exact dateon public service reform, within
which there will be aspects of Civil Service reform and we have
a job advertisement out at the moment for a director generalso
the second highest level of the Senior Civil Serviceto
lead on that particular area, working to the three of us, in effect,
on the crosscutting role across Government.
Q206 Chair: So
he will be obviously in charge of the change programme?
Francis Maude:
He or she.
Chair: He or she, of course.
Ian Watmore: In
charge of reforming the Civil Service to support the wider public
service reform agenda that the Government is publishing.
Q207 Robert Halfon:
How will you make certain that when you reform the Civil Service
you won't encounter the same obstacles from Sir Humphrey as happened
to previous Governments? Perhaps I can ask Sir Humphrey himself.
Sir Gus O'Donnell:
Give me a break. Francis was talking about the changes that have
happened in the Civil Service. When I joined in 1979 there was
a Sir Humphrey element to it. I looked up and I saw all male
permanent secretaries; there were no professionally qualified
finance directors. You ended up in HR if you could not do policy.
People that did operational work were thirdclass citizens;
they were not even secondclass citizens. That has changed
radically and I think that we are changing that world where people
who do operational issues are really given equality of esteem.
Those things have changed. We care enormously about having professionally
qualified finance directors. I always wonder why the FTSE 100
does not insist on professionally qualified finance directors,
but they do not, so there we are. So, I think there are big things.
On the culture that will change, if we look to the
future, as the Minister said, one of the interesting things we
have now is a really new challenge of cutting backmost
departments will be cutting back by about a third. This is about
managing change well. Now, our staff surveys tell us this is
not one of our strengths, and I think what we need now is to prove,
as a modern Civil Service, not just that we do the policy stuff
but we can actually manage change well. This is our great opportunity
and I think I have examples from places I have visited around
the country where decisions made by the Minister, for example
on stopping marketing spendwe just stopped marketing spend;
that meant that we had some compulsory redundancies in places
like COImeant that people had to innovate.
I went down to see the Patent Office. They have
to tell small businesses how to protect their intellectual property;
they were doing this through marketing spends, through some consultants.
No consultants, no marketing spend; they innovated, and they
found incredibly clever ways of doing it. It comes back to your
point about Civil Service Live. They remembered about things
like Dragons' Den; they got links into those websites and
suddenly entrepreneurs with new ideas that were looking to get
on to programmes like Dragons' Den found out about ways
of protecting their property. It did not cost us. It was much
more effective. So, it was a classic example of better for less.
What the deficit reductions are doing is empowering
civil servantsbecause a) there are not so many consultants
around, and b) they have to think of ways of doing things without
spending moneyto be more innovative, and I think that is
very invigorating to the Civil Service. I think this is our chance
to get that thing that has been persistently a problem for us,
which is our staff do not think we manage change well.
Q208 Chair: How
do you communicate to staff that they are allowed to be more innovative
when it has not been their habit in the past?
Francis Maude:
It is a great question.
Sir Gus O'Donnell:
Civil Service Live was one of the best ways.
Francis Maude:
Yes. But it is a great question, actually, and we gave
evidence to the Public Accounts Committee a month or so ago and
I think, actually, we raised that question. In a way, Government
tends to be quite prone to take huge macro risks, but then at
working level, at micro level, to be very risk averse and hostile
to innovation. You do not often hear of someone's career suffering
because they preside over an inefficient status quo, but
try something new that does not work and that can blot your copybook
big time. Good organisations learn as much from the things that
are tried and do not work as from the things that are tried and
do work. You need to have a culturewe do not have this
yetwhere people are encouraged to try new things in a sensible,
controlled way; front up if they have not workednot have
a culture that assumes every failure is culpable, and for every
failure there has to be a scapegoatbut actually make sure
that if something is tried and does not work: 1) you stop doing
it; and 2) you learn from the things that have been tried and
what the lessons are. I do not think we are good at that at this
stage and I think, if I could also just finish the point, part
of the reason for that is the sort of audit culture, where everything
has to be accounted for to the nth degree and I think we
waste a huge amount of time and effort in stopping bad things
happening and the result is we stop huge amounts of potentially
good things happening as well.
Q209 Robert Halfon:
Some critics, like Reform, say that you are not prepared to carry
out the radical decentralisation in Whitehall and actually really
radically reform the Civil Service to decentralise power. They
say that the last Government had plans, whilst albeit not implementing
them, whereas you have no plans.
Francis Maude:
Your question, Chairman, about have we got a great White
Paper and a blueprint and a planand I think the point has
been made that there has been a series of plans and blueprints
and reports and White Papers over the years, but actually not
all that much changes dramatically. The rhetoric has often outstripped
the delivery. I am more interested in us doing stuff. Just in
terms of the Reform proposals, Reform suggested a number of things,
one of which was to make it much more political and that is a
major constitutional change: to be much more American, the whole
top tier swept away, replaced by political appointees. Of course
there is an argument for that, but it is a massive changea
massive constitutional change. I actually, being blunt about
it, think the basis for the NorthcoteTrevelyan reforms,
the principles, remain correct. I think having a Civil Service
that is politically impartial is good, which does not mean they
are not allowed to be enthusiastic about what the Government has
donein fact they are expected to be enthusiastic about
what the Government is doing, because they are the instruments
of doing it. But I think the principles are right.
Q210 Robert Halfon:
Dare I say it though, do you have any milestones, to use that
famous term, of actual reform if you do not have any plans?
Francis Maude:
Well, I come back to your point about decentralisation.
We are doing something quite dramatically different, which is
what I call the loose-tight balance, where in any big, complex,
dispersed organisation, like a multinational corporation or a
Government, there are some things you expect to control pretty
tightly from the centre. Those would be strategy; strategic communications;
cash; headcountbecause, particularly in the public sector
headcount is a seriously fixed cost; the big projects that carry
operational, financial, reputational risk; commodity procurement;
goods and services where using the scale of Government you can
drive down price dramatically
Q211 Chair: I
do think we really do appreciate this but
Francis Maude:
Just to make the point about the decentralisation, there are some
things we are centralising and that is a big culture change and
it is being effective and it is working. As a result of what
we have done just in this financial year alone, we will have saved,
we expect, in the region of £3 billion.
Q212 Chair: But
it is very noticeable that what you are centralising is much more
particular and defined than what you are trying to decentralise.
We have speeches and evidence to Select Committees, but I think
we look forward to this White Paper, which will set some milestones
about how you are going to decentralise and how you are going
to change the culture, because I think that is what is required.
Francis Maude:
I sense a craving to have a plan and
Q213 Chair: Yes,
and no big organisation manages a change programme without a plan.
Francis Maude:
If you are talking about decentralising, one of the things that
we are encouraging, for example, is the creation of mutuals; groups
of public sector workers coming together to form cooperatives,
spin themselves out of the public sector but to deliver the servicesmassive
decentralisation. I would recommend, with the interest this Committee
has, going and visiting some of these mutuals because the way
in which they operate, the same people with the same financial
incentives, pursuing the same vocationthey do things fantastically
differently.
Q214 Chair: If
your plan is to develop supreme examples and really good examples
of decentralisation and innovative ways of doing things, well
then set that out, because having a plan is an act of leadership
and without an act of leadership there won't be change.
Francis Maude:
Well, we are doing these things. These things are happening.
When we started talking about how we are going to support mutuals,
the first response was: "Well, we need to have a plan, a
programme, and devise rights and systems and processes."
And when I reflected on that, I thought, "I could not think
of a better way of killing the idea dead."
Q215 Chair: That
may well be true, but that is not an argument against having a
plan.
Francis Maude:
Well no, it is, actually. The right approach is to find
people who want to do this and support them, and as they try and
set up their cooperatives and mutuals find out what the blocks
are.
Q216 Chair: If
that is your plan, set it out.
Francis Maude:
We have done. But that does not have to be a White Paper
and
Ian Watmore: There
is no shortage of plans out there. When the Government came in,
it laid out its structural reform plans for each department.
The White Paper is a unifying document and additive to that.
We have these roadmaps that we follow every month with these structural
reform plan, business plan, milestones on them. The Government
has already set out its big decentralisation policies about health
and education and criminal justice and all of these things. What
we are now bringing together in the White Paper is not just those
things but the other things that need to happen as well, in exactly
the same way as the Minister has just described. I believe mutualisation
will be a big part of that and it will enable the Government to
deliver on the reforms that it has already set out and it will
trigger new reforms as people come up with more innovative ideas
at the front line.
Sir Gus O'Donnell:
Could I just add to that? Chairman, you said that without a plan,
change will not happen. In a sense, change is already happening.
If you look at the size of the Civil Service, that is already
falling; we have programmes to do the things about restructuring
departments, reducing numbers, saving money. They are already
partially implemented across a number of different departments.
That process is already happening; you can see it in the numbers.
The number of civil servants is declining and will carry on declining
for quite some time.
Q217 Kelvin Hopkins:
Much of what I have heard so far sounds splendid, carrying on
the Northcote-Trevelyan, Haldane, even Fulton perhaps, tradition;
more professionalisation of the Senior Civil Service; getting
rid of marketing, i.e. the spin machine, which was so much a feature
of, shall we say, New Labour; I am a Labour member, not New Labour,
I may say. It all sounds splendid. But when we get to decentralisation
we have a phrase from the Prime Minister, who wants to "turn
Government on its head" and give power to the people. Sounds
like the Tooting Popular Front, but I am not convinced by that
yet; I cannot see how that is going to happen. Who are "the
people" if they are not the elected local authorities, elected
central Government, the Civil Service, which is accountablewho
are "the people"? We have heard mutuals as one possibility.
Is it not going to finish up with schools, for example, being
handed over to small numbers of middle class activists in some
areas, to private companies in others? We will lose accountability
for education standards, we will lose accountability for public
money and in the end it will descend into chaos and we will have
to do something about it. Isn't that what is going to happen?
Francis Maude:
I do not think it will be chaos, but I do not think it
will be very tidy either, and, again, there is always a craving
for things to be administratively tidy and conform to some textbook
diagram and I do not think this will. This will be quite untidy
and quite different patterns in different places. But to take
your example of schools, the power rests with parents choosing
where to send their children and exercising that power on the
basis of good information, accountability for standards and the
way that public money is spent. All of these schools, whether
they are set up and run by groups of parents, by notforprofit
organisations or whatever they may bethe proposal we have
for breaking up public sector monopolies in so many areas very
much does draw, and this will not commend itself to you, I know,
on the endeavours of the Blair Government, who wanted to erode
the power, the stranglehold, I think is the way he might have
put it, of the big monolithic public sector monopolies. The accountability
for standards and for public money will come through the fact
that all these schools will be inspected and inspected rigorously
and in, frankly, I hope, a rather less tickbox kind of way
than they tend to be at the moment.
Q218 Kelvin Hopkins:
At the moment, as of yesterday, in London, something like a third
of all youngsters are not going to get their first choice of school
anyway, and quite a few are not going to get a school at all,
as it stands, because the state has not provided enough places.
In the end it is the state that is responsible, and the state
should be accountable for providing sufficient places and for
funding them.
Francis Maude:
That is why we are saying that rather than spending money
going around the country refurbishing and rebuilding existing
schools, it would be better to have the money available for building
and creating new schools, because of exactly the point you raise,
that the dogma has been for a long time, "We must reduce
surplus school places because it is inefficient to have surplus
places." The truth is, if there is not any slack in the
system, you are quite rightchoice becomes constrained.
Chair: I do not want
to get too bogged down in education.
Q219 Kelvin Hopkins:
But looking at other policies, other countries, they depend very
heavily on the state bureaucracy, if you like. L'Etat, in France,
the Préfecture system, is very much a state system that
seems to work very well, and you have got Belgium, where at the
moment they have no politicians at all operating things, but the
state seems to work quite well because they have kept the bureaucracy.
If you get rid of the bureaucracy and damage that, wouldn't we
have serious problems?
Chair: I do not think
Belgium is a great example we wish to follow at the moment.
Charlie Elphicke: Exactly.
Chair: The problems of
coalition Government.
Francis Maude:
It makes ours look like a miracle of speedy and effective formation,
which it was actuallyhe says hastily. But you are righteducation,
you can have two models. You can have the French, totally dirigiste,
so that every 13yearold at 11 o'clock on Tuesday is
opening the same page of the same maths book. That is one way
of doing it. Last time I posed this difference of approach someone
said, "Well, actually, the French systemit is like
that, but does not work well now", or you can have the mixed
economy.
Q220 Chair: Actually
what we need is to ask you to do is square the circle. On the
one hand we want to turn Government on its head and decentralise
and Big Society and PostBureaucratic Age. On the other
hand in the Public Bodies Bill you justified transferring a whole
lot of activities of nondepartmental public bodies back
into Government departments on the basis of ministerial accountability,
the very old fashioned notion. There is a tension there, is there
not? How do you square the circle?
Francis Maude:
I do not think there is a tension at all, actually, because the
whole point behind the Public Bodies Review and the Public Bodies
Bill is to increase democratic accountability and that can be
if an executive agency, for example, is accountable to Parliament
through a Minister, and an NDPB is not.
Q221 Chair: If
you are pushing public service into mutuals and arm's length organisations
they are going to be less accountable, aren't they? I am being
devil's advocate here.
Francis Maude:
No, not remotely less accountable, because a group of
in-house public servants is accountable through the bureaucratic
hierarchy to, if it is within a Government department, a Minister,
and thence to Parliament. Set it up as a cooperative mutual outside
the public sector and there is still an accountability relationship.
It turns then into a contractual relationship, not an employee
relationshipthat is the only difference. But it is just
as accountableactually, arguably, more accountable.
Q222 Chair: So
a Secretary of State will still answer for the failing of an individual
school?
Francis Maude:
No, and I hope they won't. Why on earth would we want
a system where Ministers are held responsible for the performance
of every school? That is a ridiculous idea.
Q223 Chair: That
is the system we have at the moment.
Francis Maude:
I know and it is bonkers.
Q224 Chair: Right.
So decentralisation does mean a stretching of the elastic bands
of accountability in the traditional sense.
Francis Maude:
Yes, totally.
Chair: Right. That
is clear.
Q225 Kelvin Hopkins:
Just one more question. What people demand is equity and quality
and accountability. All of these three things will be destroyed
if we go for this almost Maoist revolution. Is that not the case?
Francis Maude:
No, shortly. You say everyone wants equity and everyone wants
quality. You cannot have total equity and a drive towards quality,
because quality improvements do not happen uniformly. Quality
improvements happen because a group of people in one place think
of a better way of doing things and they do it. They do not have
a White Paper that tells them, "This is how you must do it";
they do it. They think of it and they do it.
Again, I do not want to be boring about the mutuals,
but I can point you to some fantastic ones where people are just
thinking in sometimes tiny ways, ways of doing things differently,
that deliver a better service for less money because they have
thought about it. And they are not subject to some hierarchy
and some set of rules that prevents them doing it. They just
do it. So the quality of the schools will come from groups of
people doing things differently, that then permeating out and
that is
Q226 Chair: Could
you furnish us with a note of some of the things you would like
us to go and look at?
Francis Maude:
Yes, absolutely.
Q227 Paul Flynn:
I think I feel inspired by this bornagain socialism that
we are hearing this morning. You do not believe in plans, which
is unfortunately not Maoist, but there we are. But you do believe
in doing stuff, as you have said. Now you have been doing an
awful lot of stuff lately. Was it not naïve of the Government
to believe that dumping a whole mountain of data incomprehensible
to the average person into the public domain was somehow going
to improve accountability? It did not go well, did it?
Francis Maude:
No, it went very well. Is it all perfectly useable and perfectly
understandable? Probably not but
Q228 Paul Flynn:
Can I give one example? Your hallelujah chorus of praise that
comes daily from the Daily Mail commented on it: "The
database is too vast and of no use to anyone but computer and
data experts." Many others said the same.
Francis Maude:
Except you would also find that the Daily Telegraph
and The Guardian, both of whom are leaders in terms
of the digital exploitation of data, not only were enthusiastic
about it but actually set their developers to work immediately
on finding ways into the data. Now, to the question: is it all
perfect? No, it isn't. The thing I said absolutely at the outset
in our approach to transparency and data release is that speed
trumps accuracy. It is important to get the data out there because
that brings its own discipline in terms of improving it.
One of the conclusions of Sir Philip Green, when
he came in to do a fairly rapid and vigorously expressed review
of some aspects of efficiency, was that the quality of Government
data in many respects is lamentably poor and inconsistent. Expose
that, as we are doing, and you start to build in disciplines within
the organisations that provide the data to improve the quality.
So, rather than trying to sanitise it all and make it all perfect
and lovely and totally useable to begin with, the view we have
taken is put it out there; let people get to work on it; find
out from the public who want to use it and the developers and
the different organisations that want to use the data what things
are going to be useful to them, rather than us sitting back at
the centre and saying, "This is what we are prepared to divulge
and in this way."
Q229 Paul Flynn:
Speed trumps accuracy.
Francis Maude:
Yes.
Q230 Paul Flynn:
So it does not matter if parts of those data are inaccurate?
Francis Maude:
Some of it will be inaccurate. For sure. Absolutely certain;
I absolutely guarantee that.
Q231 Paul Flynn:
But speed is important. These are daring concepts, I think.
Francis Maude:
I will take that as a compliment.
Q232 Paul Flynn:
The references were generally hostile to your release of data.
How are you going to measure its success? If we look at the
newspapers
Francis Maude:
No, the comments were not generally hostile. I am sorry;
I cannot let you get away with that. Britain is now seen as a
world leader in transparency, in opening up the workings of Government
to public view, and this is pretty uncomfortable. There are high
levels of discomfort.
Q233 Paul Flynn:
Can I just make a point? I mean you can talk all day about it.
Professor Martin Smith said to us: "The problem with the
plans at the moment is that large amounts of very crude data are
being released. It is difficult to know what, first, ordinary
citizens will make of the data and how they will be able to use
them." Now, how are you measuring how you have improved
accountability by dumping this data?
Francis Maude:
I think that is a really oldfashioned view, because
some of these data
Q234 Paul Flynn:
Inaccuracy is the modern view.
Francis Maude:
If the data is inaccurate, the data is inaccurate, and better
to expose that, and, as I say, that brings its own discipline
in improving the quality and accuracy of the data.
Q235 Paul Flynn:
Isn't this a swing of the pendulum? Your party was very impressed
by what Tony Blair said: that in his first couple of years he
did very little to change, but in fact don't you think that when
Lord Cameron might write his autobiography in about 20 years'
time he will start off by saying, "I rushed in where angels
feared to tread"? Aren't you doing too much stuff?
Francis Maude:
No. Again, I take that as a huge compliment.
Q236 Paul Flynn:
Wouldn't it have improved this release of data if you had had
a plan?
Francis Maude:
We did have a plan. We set out the plan. The Prime Minister
wrote round Government departments almost as soon as we started,
which set out the plan. We made the commitments: we will publish
organograms; we will publish salaries, which is actually not a
particularly new concept. I am told that in 1970 Whitaker's Almanack
published the salaries of all Senior Civil Servants, so it is
not a new concept.
Q237 Chair: Isn't
the point here that obviously any member of the public will have
access to this data, but actually you are no longer going to be
relying on the monopoly intermediary
Francis Maude:
Exactly.
Chair:for the statistics,
which is the Government and the Statistical Service. But aren't
you encountering some resistance from within the Statistical Service
across Government that unexplained data, data without metadata,
is dangerous because it will be used and abused, and The
Guardian and the BBC and the Daily Mail will get
hold of the wrong numbers and draw the wrong conclusions and everyone
will go running off at tangents. Hasn't this got to be tightly
controlled and explained? As you can see, I do not quite believe
the question I am asking.
Francis Maude:
Well, the only resistance I am encountering is from Mr
Flynn, actually, at the moment.
Ian Watmore: Two
quick points on this. What the Minister said about getting the
data out there is important. The feedback we are getting is they
want it out there in more accessible format, and that is what
we are now working on.
Q238 Chair: So
it is still going to be censored and doctored before it comes
out?
Ian Watmore: No,
accessible format in terms of the computer systems that people
use.
Q239 Chair: So
we are not going to put raw datait was put to me by a very
senior statistician that raw data is about as useful as raw sewage.
Francis Maude:
That is one of those easy, glib phrases that does not
mean anything at all.
Ian Watmore: Perhaps
the bigger issue is less about the informational aspects than
what it enables people to do. So if you go to a very outstanding
organisation like Netmums, which has created a whole community
of ability to serve mothers in this country, they have great need
for information from Government in order to be able to then serve
Q240 Chair: But
they will be an intermediary?
Ian Watmore: Yes,
exactly. And we are getting that sort of pressure from them in
order to be able to help put more information out there so that
very valuable and worthy organisations, like Netmums, can take
that data and turn it into information for their customers in
the way that they want to do.
Sir Gus O'Donnell:
Could I just make one point on this? It is absolutely right and
I think the raw, unadjusted data in innovative areas is really
incredibly useful and we should let the experts intermediate that
process. There is, of course, the need for things like national
statistics, where accuracy has to trump speedthe other
way round. So there you take a standard issue like seasonal adjustment;
you would want to have figures that are seasonally adjusted, for
example, by standard, accepted methods, and you could put the
raw data out there but then we would have arguments about the
methods of seasonal adjustment and all the rest of it, which I
could talk about at great length, but I am sure you do not want
me to.
So you do need to distinguish, but I am very much
with getting the data out there in a raw form so that then the
intermediaries can use this, develop it, look at it, find ways
to handle it and we have done it. I think the bicycle accident
data was a classic example of Government just sticking data out
there and the user groups finding really interesting and new ways
to do it, which were great for the public.
Q241 Paul Flynn:
Can I just counter this dastardly suggestion that I am isolated
in my wisdom here? I have the might of the Daily Mail
behind me; I have Professor Martin Smith, and Nigel Shadbolt,
another professor, a member of the Transparency Board, no less,
said that "the eagerly awaited comprehensive spending data
from the Treasury (COINS) disappointed manyit was hard
to fathom and difficult to interpret." I have the joy of
representing the Office of National Statistics and these matters
are discussed at great length, and the feeling is that your Governmentwe
come to this lateris running away from the professional
standards of statisticians and going into this populist binge
of yours with policies that have inaccuracies built into them,
where there are no plans and which are bound to end in a car crash.
Francis Maude:
Point one: Nigel Shadbolt, who is on my Transparency Board and
was at the meeting we had of the board yesterday, strongly supported
us putting the data out there. The fact that he says it is imperfectI
completely agree with everything he said. This data is not perfect
but it is the data we have, so it is a very quick, simple thing
to do, and there was lots of interest for people in combing through
it and finding lots of stuff to query.
Q242 Paul Flynn:
How are you going to measure whether it is working or not?
Francis Maude:
People will tell us.
Q243 Paul Flynn:
You have not got anything in place, any mechanismplan,
dare I use the word?
Francis Maude:
This craving for plans.
Paul Flynn: Clearly, you
have some phobia about plans and accuracy. It is all great stuff;
it is all very daring stuff.
Francis Maude:
People will tell us. There is a huge community of people who
develop applications that use this data in different ways, which
exploit it, sometimes for commercial gain, sometimes for social
gain, and this is unplanned. This is fundamentally unplanned.
This is a market, a mixed ecology, if you prefer that word, where
lots of activity is going on
Q244 Paul Flynn:
Chaos.
Francis Maude:
No, untidy. Not chaos. But very untidy. There is a difference
between statistics and information, and Gus is completely right
that the statistical process must be rigorous and accurate to
the best extent that it can be. There is a difference between
putting data out there and allowing other people, other organisations,
to use it in different ways.
Paul Flynn: I think
your comments will come back to haunt you in future.
Q245 Chair: I
thoroughly approve of all this.
Francis Maude:
Good.
Chair: But when I visited
the conference of the Government's statisticians earlier this
year and extolled the virtue of putting raw data out, it was greeted
with gasps of horror and astonishment. Is this just a slightly
sort of closedshop mentality? Is the national statistical
service greeting this with open arms as much as you suggest or
has there got to be a culture change there as well?
Francis Maude:
Is there resistance on the basis that it is a competing
approach? I have not particularly sensed that, but I think that
we do have to be very clear that a lot of what we are doing is
getting in management information and publishing it so that we
can be held to account very directly for how we spend public money,
for example. The statistical processes are different and they
should be.
Sir Gus O'Donnell:
The distinction is between what is a national statistic and what
is data that is being put out, and they are two very different
things.
Q246 Chair: That
is a very good distinction, thank you for that. Moving on to
efficiencies and funding cuts as drivers of reform, Cabinet Secretary,
we went through a period where we were told that new money was
necessary to facilitate reform. We are now in a different ballgame,
where we are told that reductions in public spending are the great
opportunity to drive reform. How is this going to be done and
is it happening?
Sir Gus O'Donnell:
Yes, it is happening. I think we have created, as it were, the
classic burning platform. Every department has got to cut its
admin spend by roughly around a third. This is helped by all
the things they learned at Civil Service Live; they are thinking
of innovative ways of going about this. We are already seeing
people coming up with brand new ways of doing things, or ways
of not doing things: just deciding that there is something that
actually the Government was doing but does not need to do anymore.
It can find other ways to achieve the given outcomes that we
are after.
Q247 Chair: There
are one or two departments who are not subject to the same cost
pressures. How confident are you, for example, that DFID is being
put through the same reorganisational mill as, say, the Ministry
of Defence or DEFRA?
Sir Gus O'Donnell:
Right, well I think you saw that yesterday, where the Department
has released its aid effectiveness review, where they are looking
at all of the money they spend through all the different channels,
through the multilateral channels
Q248 Chair: But
what about their administrative overhead?
Sir Gus O'Donnell:
They are required by Treasury to cut back on their administrative
overheads. Now, it is an interesting question for them. They
have, if you like, an even bigger challenge than other people
because of the amount of money they have to spend, because of
the 0.7% commitment, is actually increasing at the same time that
we are requiring them to hit the efficiency standards of other
departments. So, whereas other departments quite often are dealing
with spending totals that are falling, they are dealing with spending
totals that are increasing, so they have a double challenge.
Q249 Chair: MOD
are losing in totalwhat? 25,000 people. How many people
are DfID losing?
Sir Gus O'Donnell:
I do not know the number off-hand, but DfID is tiny compared with
MOD.
Q250 Chair: But
in percentage terms? Are we expecting them to lose the same sort
of percentage?
Sir Gus O'Donnell:
Yes, I would think in terms of their admin budget, it would come
down by similar sorts of amounts.
Q251 Chair: So
30%?
Sir Gus O'Donnell:
I would say in the 20% to 30% range.
Q252 Paul Flynn:
I get the impression of the Government as being like someone trying
to drive a brand new car on an unfamiliar road with no street
lighting, and there are two mechanics under the bonnet trying
to redesign and refit a new engine in it.
Francis Maude:
While we are driving it?
Ian Watmore: It's
good fun. Formula 1.
Paul Flynn: There have
been a number of mistakes and apologies and times when you have
had to go back. You had the evacuation of British citizens from
Libya this week; there was the climbdown on the idiotic idea to
sell off the forests; the building schools initiativeanother
Uturn on that. You have not been in power very long to
have had so many humiliating Uturns and now you have got
a sort of fire brigade in at 10 Downing Street to avoid these
future disasters. Wouldn't a plan have been possible in the early
days to avoid the elephant traps that the Government has fallen
into?
Sir Gus O'Donnell:
Well, we have had plans and have plans.
Q253 Paul Flynn:
What has gone wrong? Why have there been so many Uturns?
Francis Maude:
There have not been that many.
Q254 Paul Flynn:
Looking back at past Governments
Francis Maude:
We are a Government that does things. You earlier were
saying we are doing lots of stuff, in a way that made it sound
rather dismissive, but I took it as an immense compliment, actually.
If you do a lot of stuff and do a lot of things and you press
ahead at speed, as we are doing, is everything going to be perfect?
Probably not.
Q255 Paul Flynn:
I think experience showed us that doing stuff, major reforms,
major reorganisations largely do not work and do not deliver benefits
that account for the disorganisation and the chaos of the processes
themselves. Generally I take a conservative point of view and
you seem to take the revolutionary point of view.
Francis Maude:
If I may put it like this, you are taking the reactionary point
of view.
Q256 Paul Flynn:
Chairman Mao would have been proud of you.
Francis Maude:
You are taking thewas it Lord Melbourne who said,
"Change? Aren't things bad enough already?"
Q257 Paul Flynn:
Indeed. A very profound comment.
Francis Maude:
I mean they are deeply reactionary, and splendid. It
is very good to have the forces of crusted reaction represented
here.
Q258 Paul Flynn:
Could we take the Civil Service? Are they still a Rolls-Royce
Civil Service, as we like to boast that they are, or does it need
fundamental reform?
Francis Maude:
I do not think anyone would claim that it is perfect.
Sir Gus O'Donnell:
It is not perfect but let's have some objective measures. If
you look at our university students, where do they want to go?
Where do the best of them want to go? There is an objective
measure: the Times Top 100. We are number three. We are swamped.
We are trying to devise ways not to have quite so many applicants,
because it is really difficult to get through the tens of thousands
Q259 Chair: It
is not the quality of people coming in then; it is the way they
are trained and deployed and used. There is a sense I get from
informal contacts with Ministers and special advisers that the
Civil Service ain't what it used to be. The command chain is
much more elastic; it has got into bad habits.
Sir Gus O'Donnell:
It ain't what it used to be. Like I say, when I arrived my finance
director in the Treasury, who had no professional qualifications,
spent his time negotiating the oneyear deal with each individual
department. You know, come on. The idea of an HR person having
an HR qualification was just completelyso it is very different
from what it was before. It is much more professional.
Q260 Chair: I
think the reason why FTSE 100 companies are not obsessed with
qualifications is because a qualified finance director is no guarantee
that he is a good finance director.
Sir Gus O'Donnell:
Absolutely.
Q261 Chair: And
just because you have not got a qualification does not mean that
you are a bad finance director. So sticking labels and qualifications
on people is no guarantee of quality of administration.
Sir Gus O'Donnell:
True, but I think it certainly helps. In the old days, when I
arrived in the Civil Service the main job of the finance director
was to negotiate for that department with the Treasury to get
as much money as possible. That is what it was about.
Q262 Chair: The
National Security Council, presumably, approved the Prime Minister's
suggestion of a nofly zone for Libya, but forgot to understand
that we do not have any carriers or Harriers in order to take
part in such a nofly zone. There seems to be more and more
disconnects like this emerging.
Sir Gus O'Donnell:
No, absolutely not. The point the Prime Minister was making in
his statement to Parliament and his request to the National Security
Council was that there was contingency planning going under way,
and when you are in a situation as you are in Libya it is absolutely
right there should be contingency planning. That contingency
planning is being done by NATO as well. That is absolutely right.
Q263 Chair: Does
that contingency planning include the possibility of bringing
Ark Royal and the Harriers back into service?
Sir Gus O'Donnell:
In terms of access, I cannot think of an area where you have not
gotyou have Malta, you have ItalyI really do not
think that is an issue. We have been able to manage getting military
flights into Libya, like I say, mostly from Malta.
Q264 Paul Flynn:
I am delighted to hear that you visited Newport and you could
have dropped in for a cup of tea if I had have known, and I would
have brought you up to date that it is no longer called the Patent
Office; it is called the Intellectual Property Office now. But
I was delighted to hear that you praised the innovation of the
staff there, which is good news. We were told by Professor Christopher
Hood that with the slash and burn and the reductions of staff
and all the other things that are going on under this Maoist Government
that it is going to strip from the Civil Service probably some
dead wood but also a great deal of the memory of past decisions
made, a great deal of the genuine expertise, and the Civil Service
will be poorer because of the loss of so many experienced and
knowledgeable people. Isn't this true?
Sir Gus O'Donnell:
No, I do not think it is true. The key for usand this
is about managing change wellis that we manage this process
and we improve the average quality of the Civil Service through
it. So we need to make sure, as we go through this process of
reducing our numbers, that we end up withand one of the
reasons I am sure that we will do this is the Minister agreed
that we would keep the Fast Stream going, so we will keep that
source of really good quality graduates coming into the Civil
Service. I think it is fair to say that as we go through these
redundancy programmes we will find that we will not let the best
performers go. We will raise the average standard; there is absolutely
no question about that.
Q265 Paul Flynn:
What impact has publishing the monthly updates for each department
had on the efficiency of the departments?
Sir Gus O'Donnell:
Which particular monthly updates are you talking about now?
Q266 Paul Flynn:
Well, how many monthly updates do you have? We have a plethora
of them, but I understand
Sir Gus O'Donnell:
There are monthly updates on business plans, but I think what
that is doing is holding people to account. If you take something
like the Cabinet Office, we have hit 85% of our commitments.
Francis Maude:
We have a lot more than anyone else as well.
Sir Gus O'Donnell:
We have a lot more than anybody else; that is absolutely true.
Q267 Chair: Do
you think your milestones are creating too much pressure to make
announcements?
Sir Gus O'Donnell:
No, I don't
Francis Maude:
It is a very good question, actually, because we have not hit
all of ours in the Cabinet Office. We do have a huge number and
some of them are crossGovernment, so they are not wholly
within our control. That is fine. The excuse is
Q268 Chair: I
am rather encouraged that you are taking time to think about these
things.
Francis Maude:
The point is absolutely right: that we could have found some way
of spatchcocking something together that would have enabled us
to tick the box and we have not done that.
Q269 Chair: Take
longer over House of Lords reform, please.
Francis Maude:
The normal intervals in terms of House of Lords reform tend to
be in the range of 90 years. I think it is much better that we
should say, "No, we have not hit this milestone, and this
is the reason," so explain it, rather than try and lash something
together at short notice just to tick the box, and we are not
going to do that. But it is a good discipline.
Robert Halfon: Unlike
my friend opposite, I am fairly Maoist when it comes to reform
of the Civil Service.
Paul Flynn: Hear,
hear, comrade.
Q270 Robert Halfon:
I asked this question of Oliver Letwin and it comes back to my
earlier question: isn't what you are doingwhich is very
worthy and nobleinternet 1.0 rather than internet 2.0,
3.0? In essence what you are doing is providing information,
doing some modest reform, but you are more encyclopaedia than
Wikipedia. You are not actually doing really fundamental reform
that gives people the real chance to make a difference.
Francis Maude:
In relation to what in particular?
Q271 Robert Halfon:
In relation to the wholein the way you describe itflexible
and adaptable and decentralised Civil Service and open Government,
which I am fully in favour of. I think it is a good initiative,
but it is really doing what people have done for the last five
or 10 years. Okay, Government has been behind, but you are putting
the information there but people have no input and feedback into
what is going on. In other words it is an encyclopaedia of information
rather than a Wikipedia of information, and that is the same with
the reforms that you are describing: they are very modest and
incremental, rather than fundamental.
Francis Maude:
I think they will turn out to make a lot of difference but I do
not think they are easily encapsulated into a plan. It goes back
to this idea: is there a big, grand plan or are we, in Mr Flynn's
phrase, just doing stuff?
Paul Flynn: That
was your phrase.
Francis Maude:
Was it? I think a lot of the stuff we are doing actually
adds up to things at the end of it being done in a very different
way. For example, flattening structures: the Civil Service is
very hierarchical and modern organisations do not have that many
layers and over time we will see those layers eroding. That has
happened in some agencies already.
Q272 Kelvin Hopkins:
There is the theme about, "We don't think the Civil Service
is as good as it was". We used to recruit the best minds;
they were not just the most intelligent, but the intellectuals,
almost, of our society, and I get the feeling it is not as good
as it was. At our peril we will dismantle the Civil Service and
get rid of that collective intelligence.
Francis Maude:
I agree with that; well, I agree with the last partat our
peril. I do not agree that the Civil Service does not attract
very, very good, bright people.
Sir Gus O'Donnell:
The idea that we recruited the best mindsI am sorry, we
didn't. If you believe we did, then why was it that there were
no women at the top? Do they not have the best minds?
Q273 Kelvin Hopkins:
That is another point. We say it is the best minds amongst the
men, maybe.
Sir Gus O'Donnell:
No, it is not another point; it is exactly the right point. We
farmed in a very small pool. Now we are looking across the whole
range to get the very best people, wherever they come from
Q274 Kelvin Hopkins:
Society has been sexist
Sir Gus O'Donnell:
and I think we are, as a result, getting much better people.
I would say the quality has gone up considerably.
Ian Watmore: Personally
I agree that it is not what it used to be; I think it is much
better than it used to be. I seriously do and in so many different
ways. We have many more skills to call upon in the Civil Service
even in the time I have been there, which is only seven years.
It has been fantastic the way that we have brought some of the
really best people from the private sector, the third sector and
local government into the Civil Service and blended them with
the traditional Civil Service skills.
Sir Gus O'Donnell:
I do cringe when I look back on when we did monetary policy in
the Treasury and it was done by classicists.
Francis Maude:
Very clever classicists.
Sir Gus O'Donnell:
Very clever classicists, but give me a break.
Q275 Chair: But
isn't it rather sad, for example, that we do not have a scientific
branch of the Civil Service anymore?
Francis Maude:
We do, don't we?
Q276 Chair: Very
much eclipsed from what it used to be.
Ian Watmore: I
used to have responsibility for this in a previous department.
In the department now known as BIS we have both the Government
Chief Scientist, who is John Beddington, and Adrian Smith, who
oversees the whole science and research budget. They are two
of the world's best at what they do, not Britain's best.
Q277 Chair: But
we are relying on a few individuals rather than a culture of
Ian Watmore: And
in every department, near enough, there is a leading chief scientific
adviser. John Beddington meets with them every week; they are
a very tight
Q278 Chair: But
they are rather more political appointments than they used to
be, aren't they?
Ian Watmore: Well,
no, I do not think so.
Sir Gus O'Donnell:
They are not political appointments. If you look across the professional
groupstake statisticians. The number of statisticians
since 2000 has doubled. The number of economists I think has
tripled. The number of people with strong professional backgroundswhen
you go back to Yes Minister, do you remember the Yes
Minister episode when the Minister was very impressed by the
person who knew the answers to all his questions and had solutions
and said, "Why hasn't that person got on any further?"
and the answer was, "Well, he's a specialist." Actually,
that cannot happen anymore. You do have a specialist that can
get to the top. That is a very, very good message about the professionalisation
of the Civil Service.
Chair: We will be coming
back to the decline in strategic thinking in Government later.
Q279 Charlie Elphicke: So
Francis, the other day in the Chamber you told me that you would
be bringing forward new rules to stamp out lobbying by quangos.
Can you tell us when those rules might be likely to be brought
forward?
Francis Maude:
No, but I will go from here and make a plan and announce
it. There is not a huge amount that needs to be done.
Q280 Charlie Elphicke:
You will do some stuff.
Francis Maude:
Yes, exactly. That is right.
Q281 Charlie Elphicke:
Thank you. Sir Gus, I think I am right in saying you were previously
at the Treasury, and spent many years at the Treasury. Can you
tell us what involvement you had in the merger that formed HMRC?
Sir Gus O'Donnell:
Yes. I did join the Treasury. It is an example of coming in
and not getting your first choice of department, actually. I
was involved in that process. I wrote a report about it, and
the big issue for me was that there were only, I think, two countries
in the world that separated out the collection of indirect tax
from direct tax, and one of them, I think, was Israel, which has
now changed; the other one, I think, was either Malawi or ChadI
cannot rememberand it just seemed to me incredible that
we had a situation where one set of tax people were going in to
collect VAT and another set were going in to talk about corporation
taxmassively burdensome on departments.
Francis Maude:
And on business.
Sir Gus O'Donnell:
And on business.
Q282 Charlie Elphicke:
This was, then, very much your baby and your project, and you
led it.
Sir Gus O'Donnell:
No. Obviously, it was decided by Ministers, but I certainly worked
very closely on that reportabsolutely.
Q283 Charlie Elphicke:
What lessons have you learnt as a matter of the change programme
from the fact that it has been a total and unmitigated disaster?
Sir Gus O'Donnell:
I do not think that is true for a second. I think, when you look
at the record they have internationally in terms of how efficiently
they collect revenue, the reduction in the burdens on businesses,
I think it has been a success.
Q284 Chair: Take
out the barb at the end: what lessons have you learnt from that
in terms of the change programme?
Sir Gus O'Donnell:
Lessons I have learnt? When you are making big changes like this,
you do have to think very, very carefully about culture change.
We were putting together two different groups. It is classically
said that the Inland Revenue, basically, always wanted to negotiate
a settlement, whereas Customs' view was, "Let's bang them
up," basically, and putting those two cultures together was
going to take quite some time. I think, in the decades to come,
we will certainly do this. Like I say, what we have done is put
together a single tax authority, which virtually every other country
in the world did before us, and that is what I think we needed
to do. Now, I think what we also have done since has helped,
in that we have moved it towards a tax authority, and some of
the things that were within it have moved to other places, which
I think has been a good thing.
Q285 Charlie Elphicke:
The point I am trying to get at is, if you look at the case of
that particular organisation, you had a number of things present:
a change programme plus a massively reducing budget, which is
what we got in a larger steer across the whole of Government.
What we found there is the usual IT disaster. This matter was
debated in the House of Commons yesterday at great lengthand
Mr Hopkins is an expert on it as welland we found in the
course of the debate that the telephones are not answered very
effectively, that there is total dislocation, that there has been
a lot of change and it had not gone well, and so, as a result,
HMRC is at the bottom of all departments in terms of morale.
What I am trying to get at is you have a special place and special
experience; having seen what happened and been involved in that
process, what lessons would you apply and have you taken in relation
to the wider reform of Government that we are now likely to have
to ensure that it does not end up as a huge version of HMRC's
restructure?
Sir Gus O'Donnell:
I think one of the things we did there was set up somewhat too
complex a management structure, with cross-responsibilities that
meant that the accountabilities were not as clear as they should
have been. I think that is one of the clear lessons; also, that
it takes time to change cultures and that you need to be patient,
but I think we are already seeing a lot of benefits, both in terms
of reduced burdens for business and in terms of increased effectiveness
of our revenue-collection agency, which is admired around the
world, I stress.
Q286 Chair: Was
it a mistake to finish up with people who knew about income tax
finding themselves collecting VAT, and people who knew about VAT
working on people's income-tax returns? We have all had cases
in our surgeries where people have been struggling with the consequences
of that.
Sir Gus O'Donnell:
I think the biggest mistake, which we are trying to put right,
was that people thinking about VAT were thinking about VAT and
not thinking about the business that they were collecting the
VAT from, and somebody else was thinking about collecting corporation
tax from the same business, and the two were never speaking to
each other. That was the problem.
Q287 Charlie Elphicke:
In terms of departments' ability to step up to the plate, some
departments are going to be less inclined to reform and are more
backward looking. We had a seminar with some permanent secretaries
a while back, and the Department for Transport was picked out
as a particularly backward-looking department by those civil servants.
How will you ensure that those departments come forward and are
brought forward and reformed effectively?
Sir Gus O'Donnell:
One of the things that I started some years ago was to do capability
reviews of departmentsand this was very radical; the NAO
welcomed it which was to publish our view about their capability
in terms of strategy, delivery and the like. I think those programmesI
think everybody acceptsresulted in big improvements in
capability in departments, and we will move on to a slightly different
form of the same thing now we are in this change programme as
well.
Q288 Charlie Elphicke:
What role do you think the Cabinet Office should take in terms
of coordinating transformation programmes across Government and
how will you avoid the box-ticking culture that infected the past,
which has done so much harm?
Sir Gus O'Donnell:
The Cabinet Office will play a big role. Partly, the Minister
is pushing us from the centre to be much tighter, if you like,
on a number of key issues like consultancy spend, marketing spend
and the like, but also centralised procurement; but we are also,
as a collective, as a Civil Service, getting together at various
times to learn lessons about our different change programmes.
Like I said, we are all going through this process of reducing
our admin spend by about a third. We are all going at it in ways
that are suitable for departments. Obviously, you take a department
like DWPtens of thousands of people: it is rather different
from somewhere like DCMS looking to have a cutback of around 50%some
of the others somewhat smallerbut we are trying to learn
the lessons from each other and learn from the private sector
in terms of getting people in who have experience of this, and
we are using, as well, our non-executive directors, who will be
incredibly useful for this process.
Q289 Charlie Elphicke:
Do all the permanent secretaries tend to sit around and meet together
and discuss these things?
Sir Gus O'Donnell:
They certainly do.
Francis Maude:
He said wearily.
Q290 Charlie Elphicke:
Does the Cabinet Office and do Cabinet Office Ministers take much
part in those meetings, or are they more about shaking the head
at the Minister?
Sir Gus O'Donnell:
No, no. Again, coming back to the importance of Civil Service
Live with the new Government coming in, it was Ministers giving
the messages about the changes they wanted, and that was very
clear and we carry on. Since then we have had Top-200 meetings,
where we have got the 200 top civil servants together and got
the Prime Minister and Deputy Prime Minister. I think the last
one we did in the Treasury, and we had the Chancellor come and
talk about change, so we do it all the time. For us, like I say,
this is the big challenge: can we meet these cuts in our admin
budgets and our staff, and do better with less?
Q291 Charlie Elphicke:
Finally, could I just put to the Minister: the risk is, with a
plan, as Mr Flynn says, you just end up doing stuff. I think
it is important to have a concrete plan, but there can be and
has been in the past a tendency to tick boxes and say, "Oh,
well, that is fine. We have ticked this box and ticked that box."
You then end up with this whole disastrous culture that has built
up, where no one takes responsibility and it does not matter what
happens so long as the box is ticked. How will you avoid that?
Francis Maude:
By, I hope, being fairly rigorous about the stuff we do being
substantive, and to say what we are going to do and then do it.
The structural reform plans, which are basically to-do listsand
very useful from that point of viewdo put a discipline
on you, and I do not think have led, as I said before, to a box-ticking
approach. We want the stuff that we do to be substantive and
serious. It might be useful to get Ian to talk about the transformation
stuff in the shared services.
Ian Watmore: On
your last question, we used to have a phrase called "hitting
the target and missing the point", which I thought kind of
summed it up quite nicely. The Cabinet Office's role in helping
departments in the change is very widespread now. That is part
of my responsibility. I have a director in my team who is focused
on everything that is going on in my particular department, so
that there is real knowledge and understanding, and there are
probably two key roles that we play. One is we help people share
what they are doing, so that department A knows about what department
B is doing, and put the two of them together so that they can
learn from each other, which is incredibly powerful.
The second thing we are trying to do is create shared
capabilities that everybody can useshared services and
so on. For example, when we went to renegotiate the supplier
contracts across Government, we did that as a whole of Government,
not each individual department, and we found expert commercial
directors in different departments who would then go and sit down
with a company like BT or Fujitsu or whoever and renegotiate the
contract on behalf of the whole of Government, and we saved £1
billion in that way, which gave benefit back to the departments
in that way. We are also, following Philip Green's report, looking
to bring commodity procurement together into a single place, to
take that burden away from all the individual departments, both
to get a better price and to do the actual procuring more efficiently
in itself. There are quite a number of ways in which the Cabinet
Office is helping and leading, but ultimately, obviously, departments
have to change themselves, and we are also very cognisant of that.
Francis Maude:
There are some other cross-cutting things that we are leading
from the Cabinet Office as well. For example, on public-sector
fraud and error, and uncollected debt, where the National Fraud
Authority recently concluded that there was around £21 billion
worth of public-sector fraud. There is a yet unquantified amount
of error and there is quite a
Q292 Chair: £21
billion?
Francis Maude:
£21 billion, which is a lot of money, and so what we are
doing, I now, at the Prime Minister's request, am chairing a taskforce
with a lot of people from around Government, but also from the
private sector, where, again, without having a plan, what we are
doing is a whole lot of pilots to look at: where is the low-hanging
fruit and how can you use data analytics to find out where the
likelihood is? The HMRCnow recently just slightly reviled
herehas done a very interesting pilot onI cannot
remember what the phrase issingle-person fraud, where people
claim to be living alone but are not. The data analytics threw
out a sample of 1,000 people who were high-risk. They wrote 750
letters. As a result, without any follow-up at all, they have
saved £1.5 million a year from people who have simply said,
"I am stopping claiming the benefit".
Q293 Chair: Because
they think they have been found out.
Francis Maude:
Because they have been found out, and is that fraud or is that
error? Apparently, there is a classification of deliberate error,
which is
Chair: Can we move on?
We might have to do an inquiry on public-sector fraud.
Q294 Robert Halfon:
On reducing the costs of administration, are you going to cut
substantially the costs of departmental Government conferences?
For example, the Department for Work and Pensions spent £115
million on management conferences over 10 years; the Home Office
spent £43 million. The figures go on and on and on.
Francis Maude:
These conferences tend to come under the classification of marketing
spend, and they have to come to me for approval.
Q295 Chair: Why
can't they be like Civil Service Live and be free?
Francis Maude:
A very good question, and the answer is: a lot of them can be.
Ian Watmore: A
good example of that is that the finance profession now has its
quarterly meetings sponsored as well so that they are free.
Q296 Robert Halfon:
What are you going to do to stop the spending of millions of pounds
going to conferences by management of departments?
Ian Watmore: I
think that managers of departments are nowthis is true
for all of us; I can say it as one of them. Genuinely, you challenge
every one of those requests, and it has to be absolutely top-value
before you
Q297 Robert Halfon:
Have you cut the spending? That is what I am asking.
Ian Watmore: Yes,
definitely. Marketing spend is
Q298 Chair: I
am sorry; we are going to move on. We are pressed for time.
Coming back to the change programme, I think the most chilling
evidence we have had so far is from Professor Kakabadse, who told
us, "About a third of major change programmes that I have
seen"and he does research into this subject"succeed,
and there is one fundamental reason: the top is pulling together.
I do not see that here." What have you got to say to that?
Ian Watmore: I
actually do change for a living as well and have researched a
lot of these things, and he would be right to say that change
programmes work. One of the necessary conditions is that top
management is a unified team and focused on a single agenda.
Probably, for me, the bigger lesson of successful change programmes
is that that is necessary but, by far and away, insufficient.
What is sufficient is when the staff are actively engaged in
that change programme and it is done by them and for them, not
to them. I would say, from my observation around the Whitehall
departmentsand I am looking at them all, as well as just
us in the Cabinet OfficeI think there is a real unity of
purpose in the top management teams. This is where we get into
one of these catch-22s: to engage with the staff, usually we have
to get them together to talk to them. And then we get castigated
for wasting money on conferences. It is a really important part
of the lesson, and I think we are managing these change programmes
extremely well.
Q299 Chair: I
am sorry, I am moving on. If you did a private survey, Cabinet
Secretary, of all the permanent secretaries, how many would believe
in the virtue of decentralisation, the post-bureaucratic age and
the Big Society?
Sir Gus O'Donnell:
It depends how you define all of those terms. I think they would
strongly believe that there is a change programme here and these
are Government policies, and they will get on and implement them
and they will do so with commitment and passion to show that they
can manage this change successfully. I think the proof of that
is that we are. One of the really interesting statistics for
me is we do this people survey every year and we ask aboutclassic
to the points that Ian was makinghow engaged our staff
are. Our engagement index was 58%. We did this again after the
Spending Review, when people knew that these big cuts were coming,
and it went down to 56%, which is a very small change. Actually,
I think people are up for this and they understand it, and we
will be able to track those numbers through time. We will be
able to show that we have delivered this change and we have improved
the engagement of our workforce. It is a great challenge for
us but I think we are definitely up for it.
Q300 Chair: He
went on to say: "From all of my research, any change programme
that is deep takes at least three to five years to bed in."
He goes on to say: "If people who are implementing the change
feel that what they are told to do is out of keeping with what
they are actually finding, there will be resistance, and there
is resistance the nearer they are to service provision
five
years could extend to seven years. You could get something called
change fatigue."
Ian Watmore: Again,
I recognise everything he says there. Particularly where the
change involves deep cultural changewe were talking about
it earlierit can be longer. Many merged companiesI
do not want to name examples but I can think of several that came
together from Company A and Company Bstill, 10 or 15 years
later, refer to the Company A culture or the Company B culture,
so he is absolutely right.
As far as we are concerned, the urgency of the change
that we are doing in the Whitehall departments is to reduce the
head-office costs, because if we do not reduce the head-office
costs, we will impact the frontline costs, so we are putting a
lot of effort into the head-office costs and the avoidable costs,
to get that out of the way now, so that, over the rest of this
Parliament, when the wider policy reforms come in, we have got
a solid and focused leadership team on delivering that change.
You are absolutely right: it will take that sort of timeframe.
Q301 Chair: Then
he says that this decentralisation "is a fundamental change
of mindset, and that change of mindset has bedevilled many an
organisation, and the investment that many organisations have
put in to facilitate that change of mindset has been extensive."
Then he goes on to say that you probably get considerable redundancy
because some people are too expensive to change or retrain, so
"if you don't want that, you are going to have a very different
Civil Service and a very different set of values" in order
to achieve this change. So, are you going to be able to achieve
all that?
Ian Watmore: A
lot to agree with, and I think there are some great case studies
around, but one I particularly like, one of my favourite chief
executives is Justin King at Sainsbury's, who, on the first day,
when the whole of head office was lining up by its desks waiting
for him to come in, with some trepidation, never turned up and
spent the whole day in a store. It completely sent a message
through head office that, actually, this was different: that head
office was not head office anymore, telling stores what to do;
it was actually there to support the stores in the way they served
customers. I think that is a great analogue for what we are trying
to achieve in the public services. We are trying to get the front
line to be enabled and for head office to support.
Q302 Chair: Cabinet
Secretary, what are you doing to prepare for this change? Are
you going to go and work in a social security office?
Sir Gus O'Donnell:
I get out a lot and go around the country. Like I say, Newport
was an example. I have been to visit a number of the Government
Offices of the Regions that are shutting. I get out. I think,
as part of being Head of the Civil Service, you have to do this.
The thing I would say is the point about the front line: what
motivates civil servants and public-sector people in general is
being able to deliver a really good service for the public. That
is what gets them out of bed in the morning. If we can empower
them with better ways to improve public service delivery, we will
get this change going. A lot for us is to deliver, and some of
these Pacesetter programmes, the Lean programmes, are all about
getting the front line telling you how to improve matters. So,
I think we are in a good position, where, if we get this change
right, we will be able to get a more enthusiastic, engaged front
line.
Q303 Charlie Elphicke:
Sir Gus, who is the change officer at the Treasury?
Sir Gus O'Donnell:
The change officer is Nick Macpherson, the permanent secretary.
He has got to be in charge of the change. You have got to lead
this from the top.
Q304 Charlie Elphicke:
Is that the case in each department?
Sir Gus O'Donnell:
Absolutely. It is up to the permanent secretariesand I
will hold them to accountto make sure that change happens
within their department. Obviously, when you are in a department
like DWP, it is massive, so you need help. You will get someone
who is dealing with the individual change programmes but ultimately
this is all about leadership, and I think the culture changecoming
back to what you were talking aboutis that we have got
to get that leadership throughout the organisation. There are
people who are going to have to have some honest and tough discussions.
I have had to go and talk to groups where we are making a number
of them compulsorily redundant, where we are starting voluntary
redundancy programmes. The one thing that will not change is
our values: we will still stick with honesty, objectivity, integrity
and impartiality. That is absolutely crucial, but you need to
do it with pace and professionalism, and a bit of pride and passion
as well.
Q305 Chair: We
must move on to the questions we want to ask about the Chair of
the UK Statistics Authority, but in our call for evidence you
will have seen we have suggested some principles of good governance.
But it has been put to us we should not be proposing principles;
you should be proposing principles. Would you, in response to
that suggested list of principles, perhaps submit to us your own
proposals for a list of principles of good governance that match
the challenge you are facing post-bureaucratic age, decentralisation,
openness and transparency, and the Big Society?
Francis Maude:
I think that is a good challenge.
Chair: Thank you very
much.
Sir Gus O'Donnell:
The one thing I would just say is there are lots of these principles
around.
Q306 Chair: We
want to know what yours are.
Francis Maude:
If you do not like them, we have got others.
Q307 Chair: You
have not got a plan, but we would like to know what the principles
are.
Sir Gus O'Donnell:
No, we havewe have a Code, which specifies our values.
Ian Watmore: We
now have a plan to create plans.
Q308 Chair: I
look forward to that. We are now moving on to the issue of the
Chair of the UK Statistics Authority. Can you say on what basis
you decided that the time commitment for the new chair should
be reduced from the current three days a weekand, in fact,
the current chair says he is doing four days a weekto merely
two days a week?
Francis Maude:
It is my understanding that the current chair started on three
days a week but then, at his suggestionand I think this
was part of the original arrangementreduced it at some
stage last year to two days a week.
Q309 Chair: That
is not our understanding. We are going to be taking evidence
from him ourselves. Our understanding is he is very concerned
that the job is being downgraded.
Francis Maude:
No, it is not being downgraded. It is still an extremely senior
job but it is going to be paid less, as most of us in the public
service are being paid less.
Q310 Chair: Yes,
but the job is being cut. It won't affect him, of course, but
the salary paid to the Chair is going to be cut by two-thirds.
Francis Maude:
Sir Michael, who I have the highest regard for, started on three
days a week at £150,000 a year and came down in the course
of last yearis my understanding; Gus may knowto
£100,000 a year for two days a week.
Q311 Chair: Now
it is going to be about £50,000 a year for two days a week.
Francis Maude:
£57,000 a year for two days a week. It is the same salary
as the Prime Minister. Our general principleyou asked
for some principlesis that people should only exceptionally
in the public service be paid more than the Prime Minister.
Q312 Chair: Are
you aware that there is very widespread concern that this will
not attract a suitable candidate?
Francis Maude:
I have heard that concern. I do not believe it and we will see
what the field of candidates is. It is a very high-prestige appointment,
but it is in the public service and
Q313 Chair: Who
did you consult about this?
Francis Maude:
I would have received advice, I guess.
Q314 Chair: Did
the Royal Statistical Society express any views on this?
Francis Maude:
Not that I can remember; not directly to me. I would completely
understand that the world of statisticians would want this to
be paid morethat is not a complete surprise to me.
Q315 Chair: There
is a view that Sir Michael Scholar has been a bit too outspoken,
a bit too difficult, and you want an easier UKSA in the future.
Francis Maude:
No, but as a general statement I would say we have slightly fallen
into the trap in the public service of thinking that you calibrate
the status and importance of a job by the salary that is attached
to it, and I contest that. I think people do not primarily take
on demanding public-service roles for the money; if they do, they
are insane. They do it because it matters. I think the public-service
ethos is very strong. I want the person who takes on this role
as chair of the UK Statistics Authority to be someone of great
independence and authority and seriousness, and not someone who
is doing it for the money.
Q316 Paul Flynn:
This is a splendid view of society that we are having this morning:
this sort of monastic dedication that someone comes into a job
of this kind, regardless of the money.
Francis Maude:
I am an idealist.
Q317 Paul Flynn:
It is the sort of thing you get from a Cabinet of millionaires,
whose life continues whether they get paid or not. Nothing changes
things to believe in such arrant nonsense. This is a downgrading
of the job from £150,000, which it was originally, to £100,000,
to £57,000, and of course you will get people who think twice
about it. They might not be able to get jobs for the rest of
the week. It might be part of the Big Society: he may be expected
to volunteer for the third day, perhaps. Perhaps this is the
concept. But we know that Sir Michael Scholar has done his job
and been a thorn in the side of Government, and attacked Governmentparticularly
one Government department. He has also attacked the Opposition
in this way. What we see the longer one stays here, you notice
that when there is a change of Government, there is a change of
scripts. The attitude from this Government seemed to be very
similar to some of the caution from the other Government, who,
to their great credit, introduced the UK Statistics Authority,
which was a major advance to have a body that would have integrity,
that would be above the political fray. He has done that, and
now the job is being downgraded by this reduction in salary.
Can you tell me how many people have applied since 27 February
for the job?
Francis Maude:
I do not have the slightest idea.
Q318 Paul Flynn:
Would none be somewhere near the mark?
Francis Maude:
It could be, but if that is when the advertisement closed, which
was
Sir Gus O'Donnell:
Opened.
Francis Maude:
If it opened five days ago or whatever it is, I would not expect
there to be a huge amount.
Sir Gus O'Donnell:
Always, when we get these things and we advertise, it takes some
time. It is usually right at the end that people apply.
Q319 Chair: Have
you got anybody in mind to fill this job?
Sir Gus O'Donnell:
I know a number of people who could do it well.
Q320 Chair: Would
they be former civil servants, by any chance?
Sir Gus O'Donnell:
It is really important that we have people like Sir Michael Scholar.
We were just sayingand I completely agreethat he
has done a magnificent job, so I think ruling out former civil
servants would be a massive mistake, but it will be done by fair
and open competition.
Q321 Paul Flynn:
The job descriptions are virtually identicalthe one in
2007 and the one last month.
Sir Gus O'Donnell:
It is slightly different in the sense that
Paul Flynn: I will read
them to you, if you like.
Sir Gus O'Donnell:
No, I think there is one big important change in that what Michael
did, to his enormous credit, was set the thing up from the start.
That is a massive job, and now what we are doing is someone needs
to build on what Michael has done, and carry this organisation,
which has created great credibility for itself, and carry that
forward. It is a different job in that sense.
Q322 Paul Flynn:
There are other members of the authority as well. Have they been
consulted on this salary reduction and this reduction in the number
of days?
Sir Gus O'Donnell:
It is a decision for Ministers in the sense that this has been
a policy decision that goes across the whole range.
Q323 Chair: That
is a no, thenthey have not been consulted, have they?
Sir Gus O'Donnell:
I think we are very aware of where other members of the Board
stand.
Q324 Chair: There
is a very strong sense that the Government is doing this to the
UKSA rather than this being an independent organisation, which
is obviously what it should be.
Ian Watmore: I
am not personally involved in this issue, but I would say that
the whole benchmark of the Prime Minister's salary is something
we are applying on a whole range of jobs across Government.
Q325 Chair: Statistically,
it is a rather arbitrary measure of the right salary.
Ian Watmore: It
is and, at all points, we say
Q326 Chair: It
passes the Daily Mail test. I do not think it passes the
Office for National Statistics test.
Ian Watmore: It
is not a question of passing anybody's tests or not; it is a question
of the fact that all you asked was: was this being particular
because of an issue with that particular body? I am saying the
application of the Prime Minister's salary is something much broader
and, therefore, if your job is two days a week, it is two-fifths
of the Prime Minister's salary, and that is the right number.
Q327 Kelvin Hopkins:
Just to follow this theme, the key to it all is we must trust
what we get from the national statistical service. If the Chairman
is appointed by Government to be a Government patsy who will do
what he is told by Government and pressurise his staff to go along,
in a senseI am exaggerating slightlywe will not
trust those statistics anymore. I taught statistics at a modest
level, I use statistics a lot, and I want to know that we have
got somebody like Michael Scholar in charge in future, who will
stand up and speak the truth.
Ian Watmore: I
think that is a quality issue.
Sir Gus O'Donnell:
We agree with you.
Francis Maude:
I think your Committee does pre-appointment scrutiny, don't you?
Q328 Chair: I
will come on to the scrutiny process. When Sir Michael Scholar
was appointed, the Government announced that there would be a
Motion on the floor of the House to endorse his appointment.
Do you envisage a similar arrangement this time?
Francis Maude:
I had not thought about it but I would expect that.
Q329 Chair: We
are thinking about. We think it is very important.
Francis Maude:
No, sure. Making it up on the hoof, I would say yes, definitely.
I totally agree with what Mr Hopkins has said. I think it needs
to be someone of clear authority and independence, and I absolutely
do not want it to be a Government patsy.
Q330 Chair: Should
we be looking at a different selection process, rather more like
the Office for Budget Responsibility, which was established by
the Treasury Select Committee? We have got no complaint about
Sir Michael Scholar and how that was done, but shouldn't it be
made a more independent appointment process along the lines of
OBR?
Sir Gus O'Donnell:
I would stress what we said about this appointment, like many
others, is that it would be subject to scrutiny in the sense of
going to the Committee, and there is a vote on the floor of the
House, as you say, so this seems a very strong way of doing things.
I hope that we will get someone as good as Michael Scholar, but
the last process seemed to work very well, so I hope we will be
able to
Q331 Chair: May
I just put you on notice: I think we are going to come forward
with some proposals on this, and could we have a discussion about
it?
Francis Maude:
Yes, definitely. I
Q332 Chair: Particularly
with the question mark over some people saying that the office
is being downgraded, a transparently independent appointment process
is probably more important than ever. Would you not agree?
Francis Maude:
I understand that.
Q333 Charlie Elphicke:
Just to be totally clear in my own mind, are you saying that,
in relation to this appointment, this Committee will be able to
have an appointment ratification hearing or be involved in the
process more widely?
Francis Maude:
Ordinary pre-appointment scrutiny will operate, clearly. It sounds
like you have got some ideas about how that might be enhanced,
which we will obviously look at.
Q334 Charlie Elphicke:
What I am trying to get at is: in, I think, the OBR, the Treasury
Select Committee had to approve the appointment of Mr Chote, if
I recall correctly. Is the intention to allow this Committee
to have a similar process in relation to the head of the authority?
Francis Maude:
The difference with the OBR appointment over ordinary scrutiny
was that they had a veto, whereas ordinarily the Select Committee
can make a recommendation, and I think it has only once happened
that the Governmentit was the last Government, I stresshas
ignored the Select Committee's recommendation. We will look at
that. I absolutely understand the case and the argument, and
we will consider it.
Q335 Chair: Thank
you. Finally, on the issue of pre-release, it was the policy
of Her Majesty's Official Opposition to look at the whole question
of pre-release of statistics to Government departments much more
rigorously than is now the Government's policy. Why is this?
Francis Maude:
The pre-release rules are much more stringent than they used to
be. Gus will be more familiar with the detail of how they operate
now.
Chair: But they are not
the same as what you personally advocated when you were in opposition.
Q336 Paul Flynn:
Having sat through the entire Bill that went throughthe
Statistics BillI saw your representatives from the Conservative
party and the Lib Dem party constantly advocate getting rid of
the pre-release period, rightly pointing out that, if you are
going to have faith in Government statistics, you should not continue
to allow the Government Ministers and advisers to have 24 hours
in which they can spin their reaction to it. This was your consistent
positionDominic Grieve said soand if we are going
to build up faith in the integrity of Government statistics, we
must get rid of that pre-release period; otherwise, the accusation
will come again, as it came before, that the Government is spinning
the figures before their release. Why on earth should there be
a pre-release period?
Francis Maude:
They are not spinning them before they are released because
Q337 Paul Flynn:
Why do you want 24 hours, then, to have the figures before anyone
else does?
Francis Maude:
I think, certainly in relation to some economic statistics, there
has always been a view that it is important to have some interpretation
around
Q338 Paul Flynn:
This is not what you said in Opposition. This is not what you
said before you were elected.
Francis Maude:
Gus, do you want to deal with this?
Sir Gus O'Donnell:
Sure. It is complex, because you are looking at some statistics
that are, on the face of it, difficult to explain and you need
to understand the detail behind them, and understand whether this
is a matter that is just because of seasonal effects or something
else. We have reduced the amount of time and the number of people
who have access to figures on the pre-release, so there have been
changes, but Ministers decided to keep a certain amount of time
and a certain, smaller number of people
Q339 Chair: Isn't
that the problem? So long as this remains a decision for Ministers,
isn't this suspicion inevitable, and shouldn't, actually, the
whole question of pre-release be handed over to the UK Statistics
Authority for them to determine when Ministers and civil servants
can make representations? Isn't there a bit of a conflict here?
Here we are, we have just been talking about data, openness,
transparency, and now, when the really hot stuff is coming out,
"Oh, no, we cannot let the people have that straight away.
We have got to have a chance to look at it and make sure we really
understand it so, when it comes out, we know exactly what to say."
I know that Government is a very difficult and pressured process,
but shouldn't this be handed over to the UKSA to regulate?
Francis Maude:
I am perfectly sympathetic to what you are saying, and I completely
understand the argument.
Q340 Paul Flynn:
In 1988, I was approached by a group of statisticians from my
constituency who were very concerned that their department was
being transferred, I believe, from the Cabinet Office to the Treasurythe
department that had the greatest vested interest in fiddling the
figuresand I wrote to Margaret Thatcher at the time about
that. That suspicion has gone on all that time, and the great
problem that the UK Statistics Authority was meant to address
was the fact that there is very little credibility in Government
statistics: people just do not believe. They believe that politicians
fiddle the figures, and what you are doing is adding to that,
unless you get rid of the pre-release period.
Francis Maude:
I contest that there is no trust in Government statisticsthere
is. There is a high level of trust in them. While I understand
and have listened sympathetically to the arguments about pre-releaseand
I do absolutely understand the argumentI do not believe,
actually, that that contributes hugely to any loss of trust in
statistics, but I understand the case.
Paul Flynn: Would you
ask the Authority
Chair: We are running
out of time, I am afraid.
Q341 Kelvin Hopkins:
Just on this point, if we want transparency, should we not have
transparency as to how the statistical authorities calculate the
statistics, so they can explainnot the politicians but
the statisticianshow they do it? Like seasonal adjustment,
for example; if that was explained by the statistics people and
not by the politicians, people would trust it.
Francis Maude:
I think it does happen to a much greater extent now, doesn't it?
Sir Gus O'Donnell:
That is exactly what happens. Let me give you the example of,
I suppose, the most recent, when the GDP figures for the fourth
quarter were a shock to the market. The market's forecast was
absolutely right, apart from the sign. That was met by the statisticians
giving a press conference at the ONS, and they explained the details
of the figures, the make-up, the adjustments they had made and
all the rest of it, and the fact that, when we put out the first
release of Q4 numbers, you have not got all the data so you are
market some estimates, and they will be revised. We put out a
flash estimate rather ahead of other countries, so it is somewhat
more unreliable, but it gets better, obviously.
Q342 Kelvin Hopkins:
I trust Michael Scholar but I do not trust SpAds in Government
departments.
Sir Gus O'Donnell:
This is really
Chair: There is no need
to respond to that.
Sir Gus O'Donnell:
Just one thing: this is Jil Matheson. This is the ONS. There
is a board up there, but you are kind of
Kelvin Hopkins: Yes, fair
enough.
Chair: She may be on our
side on this one, though she may not be able to say so.
Q343 Charlie Elphicke:
Sir Gus, you are sitting, I believeor will be sittingon
the panel in relation to the recruitment of this person. Can
I urge some things on you in the light of the National Security
Council, or can I ask you
Chair: We are about to
discuss who is on the panel.
Charlie Elphicke: Fair
enough, but if you were to be on the panel, could I ask you for
your view
Sir Gus O'Donnell:
Which particular job are we talking about now?
Q344 Charlie Elphicke:
This oneChair of UKSA. If you were on this particular
panel, could I ask you: in the light of the National Security
Council appointment, do you think it would be healthy not to have
a retread civil servant; to have someone who is in favour of the
principle that the data belongs to the people and not to the experts,
and that the popularisation of data should happen as much as possible?
Also, I would hope serious consideration would be given not to
being the usual old man, but maybe this time we should have a
woman.
Sir Gus O'Donnell:
Your reference there to the National Security Councildid
you mean the National Security Council?
Chair: You mean the National
Security Adviser, I think.
Charlie Elphicke: Yes.
Sir Gus O'Donnell:
The National Security Adviser. I am sorry. I think there is
a job description, which the panel will be looking at and asking
who best meets that, and we will advertise it openly and fairly,
and we will do it on the principle of meritocracy. You seem to
be wanting this person to adopt certain attributes related to
current Government policy, and yet, as I understand the Chairman
and many other people, they want this person to be strongly independent
of Government policy, so I kind of put that challenge back to
you as to precisely what you want.
Chair: Touché.
Sir Gus O'Donnell:
But we will be looking for the best possible person. You talked
about retreads from the Civil Service, and yet, at the same time,
we are saying Michael Scholar did a tremendous job, which he absolutely
did. I think it would be wrong to rule out any particular group,
but I strongly agree with your point about gender. I am very
proud of the fact that, if you look at the Civil Service and look
at what we have done with permanent secretaries, the proportions
are incredibly good and, when you look at the FTSE 100 executive
directors, they are 5.5%2% for FTSE chairs.
Charlie Elphicke: Trade
unions are shocking too. They are Luddite dinosaurs dominated
by old men and it is a disgrace. That should be dealt with as
much as corporates.
Chair: I think that is
moving off the point. We may well report on this question of
the role of UKSA and the chairmanship of UKSA. We will be taking
further evidence and we may do a call for evidence. May I thank
you all very much indeed for coming and joining us this morning?
I think it has been a very productive session. Thank you to
my colleagues as well.
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