Third Report of Session 2013-14 - European Scrutiny Committee Contents


26   European Security and Defence Policy: Policing in Afghanistan

(34908)

Council Decision amending Council Decision 2010/279/CFSP on the European Union Police Mission in Afghanistan (EUPOL AFGHANISTAN)

Legal baseArticles 28, 42(4) and 43(2) TEU; unanimity
DepartmentForeign and Commonwealth Office
Basis of considerationEM of 8 May 2013
Previous Committee ReportNone; but see (34057) —: HC 86-xx (2012-13), chapter 19 (21 November 2012) and HC 86-viii (2012-13), chapter 16 (11 July 2012); also see (31557) — and (33003) —: HC 428-xxxiv (2010-12), chapter 16 (19 July 2011); (31557) —: HC 428-i (2010-12), chapter 55 (8 September 2010); (31071) —: HC 19-xxxi (2008-09), chapter 3 (11 November 2009); (30100)—: HC 16-xxxv (2007-08), chapter 14 (12 November 2008); (29517) —: HC 16-xv (2007-08), chapter 7 (12 March 2008); and (28556) —: HC 41-xviii (2006-07), chapter 16 (25 April 2007)
Discussion in CouncilBefore 31 May 2013
Committee's assessmentPolitically important
Committee's decisionCleared

Background

26.1  EUPOL Afghanistan was established on 30 May 2007 with a three-year mandate; this was extended in 2010 for another three years, until 31 May 2013. It was set up to:

—  assist the Government of Afghanistan in implementing coherently its strategy towards sustainable and effective civilian policing arrangements, especially with regard to the Afghan Uniform (Civilian) Police and the Afghan Anti-Crime Police, as stipulated in the National Police Strategy;

—  improve cohesion and coordination among international actors;

—  work on strategy development, while placing an emphasis on work towards a joint overall strategy of the international community in police reform and enhance cooperation with key partners in police reform and training, including with the NATO-led mission ISAF and the NATO Training Mission and other contributors; and

—  support linkages between the police and the wider rule of law.

26.2  The full history of the Committee's consideration of developments since then are set out in our previous Reports.[95]

26.3  The draft Council Decision that the Committee cleared in July 2011 set the budget to 31 July 2012 at €61 million: a €6.4 million increase on the previous 14 month budget of €54.6 million, but €3 million less than originally proposed. The "geographical" Foreign and Commonwealth Office Minister (Mr Alistair Burt) expressed full support for EUPOL Afghanistan: without it there would, he said, be no international operation focused exclusively on providing civilian policing expertise; it also brought in other Member States in support of a UK foreign policy priority. The successful delivery of EUPOL Afghanistan's mandate was a Government foreign policy priority, and had an important role to play in the international community's effort in supporting the Afghan Government to develop its police force. However, while its performance had improved, it was still not fulfilling its full potential. The Minister was therefore committed to supporting recent momentum so that the mission could achieve its objectives before the end of its current mandate in May 2013. Effective evaluation of EUPOL's activity would, the Minister said, be a top priority to ensure that the new budget represented good value for money. The Committee commended the Minister and looked forward to hearing, when the next budget was presented, about this evaluation of EUPOL's impact and value for money.

26.4  The Council Decision that we considered on 11 July 2012 set EUPOL Afghanistan's budget for 1 August 2012-31 May 2013 at €56.91 million. The Minister for Europe (Mr David Lidington), said that though this was a €1,090,000 reduction on the €58,000,000 initially proposed by the External Action Service, as it covered only 10 months, it was effectively 11% higher than the 12 months budget up to 31 July 2012. The principal reason was, he said, that the mission needed a greater level of security and more close protection teams, in response to recent attacks on international advisers, as well as a heightened threat environment, and was consistent with the increased security arrangements of others in the international community. A further reason was that the number of EUPOL international staff was now at its highest: 353, up from 182 at the start of 2009. He continued to stress that, without it, there would be no international mission focused on providing civilian policing expertise or the professionalization of the senior police leadership, and that it involved other Member States in support of a UK foreign policy priority. He also noted that the UK was a major contributor, providing a total of 16 police officers: 12 in Kabul and four in Helmand, in key positions such as Deputy Head of Mission: as such, the Minister said, "we lead EUPOL's work in Helmand."

Our assessment

26.5  That other Member States were now putting more of their shoulder to wheel was, we felt, welcome. However, the principal reason for the budget increase — a greater level of security and more close protection teams, in response to recent attacks on international advisers, as well as a heightened threat environment — was sobering, to say the least.

26.6  What the Minister had to say at present was essentially a brief statement of mission activity, and in no way an evaluation of EUPOL's impact and value for money over the past 12 months. Given the cause of the budget increase, effective evaluation of EUPOL's activity was all the more important — as, therefore, was the strategic review to which the Minister drew attention.

26.7  We therefore asked the Minister to deposit it once he had received and studied it, with his views on its findings and on its implications for the right way forward, and explaining where matters stood on evaluating its impact and value for money.[96]

The Minister's letter of 8 November 2012

26.8  The Minister's detailed response is set out in detail in our most recent Report. In brief, the Minister said that he had achieved the key UK objectives of a continued focus on Afghan National Police senior leadership, a tighter and more focused EUPOL presence in the provinces and a further review in 2014 to determine the shape of CSDP engagement after transition. EUPOL's role was vital in developing a more capable, legitimate, accountable and sustainable Afghan National Police (ANP), and complementary to the work of the US and other international police reform programmes, which focussed on recruitment, equipping and providing basic training for new police recruits. By 2014, EUPOL would be in Kabul and three to four other locations, down from 10 at present.

26.9  Looking ahead, the Minister said that a planning document would now be drawn up, looking at the role of the Mission until the end of 2014. Prompted by the UK, the new EUPOL Head of Mission was preparing to establish a "pure benchmarking system" for the mission: the Minister looked forward to updating the Committee on this in due course. Other Member States, like France, were also keen for evidence of EUPOL's impact. Effective benchmarking, monitoring and evaluation would become ever more important, since only then would Member States be able properly to determine whether EUPOL had achieved its objectives, assess the impact of what was now five years of costly training and answer his key question — could the Afghans continue this training beyond 2014 with a much reduced international presence? EUPOL needed to get better at measuring this. With 14 CSDP missions globally, and the potential need for more, Missions needed to provide Member States with more comprehensive evidence of their effectiveness and to show that stretched EU resources were being used to deliver maximum impact.

Our assessment

26.10   We presumed that that the planning document would pave the way to the next major review, determining the best post-2014 option, and looked forward to hearing more from the Minister when he submitted the next Council Decision for scrutiny.

26.11  In the meantime, we reported these developments to the House because of the widespread interest in the situation in Afghanistan; and for the same reason, also drew this chapter of our Report to the attention of the Foreign Affairs Committee.[97]

The draft Council Decision

26.12  The draft Council Decision extends the EUPOL mandate and sets out a new €108 million budget from 1 June 2013 until 31 December 2014.

The Government's view

26.13   In his Explanatory Memorandum of 8 May 2013, the Minister for Europe (Mr David Lidington) says that EUPOL is the only organisation "doing for the police what the Officer Academy will do for the army: help the generational shift in Afghanistan by training a cadre of professional and able senior leaders." By 2014, the Minister says, the majority of basic police training will have been completed. Then, he says, "the principal gap will be on senior leadership, which is both EUPOL's area of focus and the area the UK considers key to a sustainable Afghanistan National Security Force." In the meantime,

"EUPOL is performing well in the delivery of key areas of police training in which it adds the most value — intelligence-led policing, CID, and community policing — through projects such as the Police Staff College, the City Police and Justice Programme and the Crime Stoppers hotline".

26.14  The Minister reiterates the points he made last November concerning EUPOL's unique role in developing a more capable, legitimate, accountable and sustainable ANP and in complementing the US and other international police reform programmes (such as NATO's Training Mission Afghanistan, NTM-A). The operating environment over this new mandate "will see a flux in security forces, and therefore it is important that UK officials continue to scrutinise the mission, and allow for Mission flexibility to adapt to any change".

26.15  A further review in the autumn of 2013 will determine the shape of CSDP engagement after transition.

26.16  With regard to costs, the Minister says that he is "mindful" of the Committee's interest (and that of its House of Lords counterpart) in this, as with other CSDP missions, and therefore provides the following detailed analysis:

"The pro rata difference between this €108,050,000 budget and the previous budget is negligible; however, budget lines within the statement have changed. A comparison of the new budget to the previous budget is set out below. The UK has worked hard to ensure budgets on all CSDP missions are fit for purpose. I am content that this budget is consistent with the activity of the Mission. As set out above, it is expected that the operating environment will change over the new mandate and need the Mission to be flexible in adapting to this. Therefore, a 19 month budget was accepted on the condition that a detailed report is issued at the 12 month mark, to update EU Member States on budget consumption and possible modifications to the budget in line with the mission's requirements.

  • "Personnel Costs: €48.8m

o     "Change: €4m increase on the previous figure (pro rata per annum).

-   "In accordance with new guidelines on daily allowances, approved by Council, the Afghanistan rate of per diems has increased. The changes to per diems across all CSDP missions remains cost neutral, so does not have an impact on the UK contribution;

-   "There is an increase in local staff salaries as a result of upgrades to local staff contracts to ensure compliance with international best practice;

-   "The insurance has increased. This is not a standard amount as it is not a framework contract; each Head of Mission requests it.

  

  • "Mission Costs: €751,525

o   "Change: €58,963 decrease on the previous figure (pro rata per annum).

-   "This reflects a decrease in the predicted number of visits from Mission personnel to Europe.

  • "Running Costs: €53.3m

o     "Change: €1,782,214 decrease on the previous figure (pro rata per annum).

-   "IT and maintenance costs have increased due to an ongoing need for consultancy services to produce further efficiencies on the internet and IT systems by Autumn;

-   "Communications costs have also increased due to the need for multiple providers of satellite phones for wide coverage, and to increase operability around jamming devices;

-   "Increase to accommodation costs covering increased staff in Kabul (having moved to the capital from other regions where there are no accommodation costs);

-   "These increases are offset by a number of decreases in budget lines reflecting actual costs of contracts. A large decrease in programme costs is due to the shift in focus from small tenders (provided by external bodies) to set piece projects e.g. conferences and official visits to Europe.

  • "Capital Costs: €4.3m

o     "Change: €2,127,351 decrease on the previous figure (pro rata per annum).

-   "A decrease in capital costs was expected as many of the required assets for the Mission were bought in the previous budget, e.g. armoured vehicles. However there are still some investments to be finalised. This includes new provisions for computers and communications equipment which have reached the end of their life.

  • "Representation / Contingencies: €841,216

o     "Change: €36,296 decrease on the previous figure (pro rata per annum).

-   "This slight decrease is consistent with the requirements of the Mission on representation and contingency on any unforeseen problems the Mission may encounter, including changes in security requirements.

"UK officials will continue to evaluate the impact of EUPOL over the new mandate, to ensure that the mandate remains flexible and appropriate for the operating environment, whilst maintaining value for money, and assess the spend of the budget allocated to the mission when each six-monthly report on mission performance is issued, as well as a more detailed examination specifically on the budget after 12 months."

Conclusion

26.17   We are happy to clear this Council Decision on the basis of the information provided at this juncture, and thank the Minister for his detailed analysis of the budget. However, we are also even more interested in effectiveness and value for money.

26.18  There are two important milestones between now and the end of 2014 — the first being the autumn 2013 review. We presume that it will focus on the Minister's key question of last November — will the Afghans be able to continue this training beyond 2014 with a much reduced international presence? We hope that he will be able to deposit this for scrutiny in the normal way. If, however, its sensitivity prevents him from so doing, then we ask him to supply the sort of full summary that he provided last November.

26.19  The second is the detailed report that is to be issued at the 12 month mark. We hope that, finally, it will provide some evidence of effectiveness, rather than activity analysis (c.f. paragraph 26.9 above). By the end of 2014, the mission will have cost over €220 million.

26.20  We recall the discussion that we have had with the Minister about the audit by the Court of Auditors of another similar, lengthy and costly mission, EULEX Kosovo, which found that it had been effective only in a limited part of its mandate. Our discussion revolved essentially around the wider implications of this unprecedented audit, which we suggested should be applied to all CSDP missions. Though the Minister, rightly, pointed out that it is for the Court of Auditors to set its own priorities, we felt that the message was nonetheless clear — notwithstanding the political considerations that tend towards the quickest possible establishment of each new mission, they need to be: given clear, measurable objectives and a time limit; be benchmarked; be rigorously assessed along the way; and be wound up if those objectives are, for whatever reason, not being met effectively and not providing value for money. Thanks in no small measure to the stamina and persistence of UK Ministers and officials, EUPOL Afghanistan has finally been brought to the point where, at least in theory, it is to be subjected to at least some of these key elements. If not now, then certainly by mid 2014 we need to see detailed evidence of its effectiveness, so that the lessons can be identified and then applied to other such CSDP missions in similarly challenging circumstances.



95   See headnote. Back

96   See (34057) -: HC 86-viii (2012-13), chapter 16 (11 July 2012). Back

97   See headnote: (34057) -: HC 86-xx (2012-13), chapter 19 (21 November 2012). Back


 
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