Public Accounts CommitteeWritten evidence from the Nuclear Decommissioning Authority

PROJECTS IN THE PLANNING AND DESIGN PHASE

(a)

(b)

(d)

(e)

Project

Description

Year project initiated

Years in planning/
design stage

Estimated cost at initiation

Estimated cost in performance plan
May 2011

Estimated cost as at March 2012

Estimated cost as at September 2013

(£m)

(£m)

(£m)

(£m)

Bulk sludge and fuel
retrievals3

Provide assets needed to support the export of ponds solids, wet bay solids and sludge

2004

8

73-229

227

233

330

Pile fuel cladding silo3

Design and build a new waste retrieval plant

2005

7

150-495

342

341

750

Box encapsulation plant product stores comprehensive import/export facility3

Design and build a store with an import/export facility for containerised intermediate-level waste; this project has now been replaced by the Direct Import Facility (DIF)

2006

6

108-119

277

281

192

Silos maintenance facility3

Build a high contamination workshop to keep machines functional or permit their replacement during retrieval operations

2006

5

49-180

165

165

238

Highly active liquor storage tanks3

Build replacement tanks to hold highly active liquid waste from reprocessing

2007

5

83

474

474

474

Silos direct encapsulation plant 3

Build a treatment plant to deal with hazardous legacy waste

2010

2

560-669

668

1,281

1,324

Ponds solid treatment plant technical underpinning
project 7

Complete a series of studies to define solutions for the management of ponds

2010

2

29

29

21

21

Total

1,052-1,804

2,182

2,796

3,329

Total (excluding highly active liquor storage tanks)

969-1,721

1,708

2,322

2,855

(g)

(h)

(i)

(j)

Variance against original upper estimate
(e) - (a)

Variance against upper estimate at initiation

Variance against performance plan estimated cost
(e) - (b)

Total spend to March 2012

Total spend to September 2013

Planned delivery date when initiated

Planned delivery date in 2011 performance plan

Estimated delivery date as at March 2012

Estimated delivery date as at September 2013

Variance against delivery date when initiated
(j) - (g)

Variance against delivery date in 2011 performance plan
(j) - (h)

(£m)

(%)

(£m)

(£m)

(months)

(months)

101

44

103

132

186

December 2012

November 2016

November 2016

January 2018

61

14

255

52

408

117

186

October 2019

August 2017

August 2017

January 2023

39

65

73

61

-85

43

60

January 2019

October 2017

October 2017

October 2018

-3

12

58

32

73

21

39

October 2011

May 2017

February 2017

February 2018

76

9

391

471

0

39

44

March 2013

March 2018

Cancelled

Cancelled

0

0

655

98

656

207

315

November 2018

June 2017

October 2017

August 2020

21

38

-8

-28

-8

3

11

March 2015

March 2015

March 2015

Scope moved to other projects 7

0

0

1,525

85

1,147

562

841

194

138

1,134

66

1,147

523

797

194

138

NOTES

1. The cost estimates at initiation are the ranges based on historic data used in the business cases for each project.

2. The costs in this table are 'P50' estimates (meaning there is a 50 per cent probability of the projects being delivered either under or over budget), which include allowances for risk and uncertainty.

3. Cost and schedule estimates are provisional due to high levels of uncertainty.

4. Figures quoted for the 2013 update are in 2013 money values, original estimates have not been escallated from the 2012 position, so the delta is slightly overstated

5. The Authority took a strategic decision to cancel the highly active storage tanks project in May 2012.

6. Five of these projects were initiated before Nuclear Management Partners Limited was appointed.

7. The Ponds solid treatment plant technical underpinning project is no longer classed as a major project. Main scope moved to BEP, rapid fuel drying and containerisation studies.

PROJECTS IN THE CONSTRUCTION PHASE

(a)

(b)

(d)

(e)

Project

Description

Date passed design gate

Estimated cost at design gate

Estimated cost in performance plan May 2011

Estimated cost as at March 2012

Estimated cost as at September 2013

(£m)

(£m)

(£m)

(£m)

Local Sludge Treatment Plant

Construct storage tanks to hold radioactive sludge and a building to house them with settling plant, utilities and ventilation equipment

May 20063

32

63

63

63

Buffer Sludge packaging plant1

Construct storage capability for radio active sludge until it can be processed into a suitable waste eform for final disposal

September 20063

108

202

234

240

Encapsulated product store3

Construct new store for intermediate-level radioactive waste from reprocessing and future hazard reduction programmes

October 20063

94

103

103

105

Magnox swarf storage silos retrievals

Construct equipment and systems that can safely remove radioactive waste from a storage silo

March 20073

243

421

387

729

Separation area ventilation

Construct a 120 metre high chimney with associated plant room monitoring room and substation

August 20083

144

120

138

224

Evaporator D

Construct a new evaporator to reduce the volume of highly active liquors (a by-product of reprocessing).

April 2009

397

398

641

660

Box transfer facility

Construct a tunnel and associated mechanical devices to transport processed waste contained inside of 3m3 boxes

December 2011

148

158

193

189

Total

1,166

1,465

1,759

2,210

(g)

(h)

(i)

(j)

Variance against design gate estimate
(e) - (a)

Variance against design gate estimate

Variance against the performance plan estimated cost
(e) - (b)

Total spend to March 2012

Total spend to September 2013

Planned delivery date at design gate

Planned delivery date in 2011 performance plan

Estimated delivery date as at March 2012

Estimated delivery date as at September 2013

Variance against delivery date at design gate
(j) - (g)

Variance against delivery date in 2011 performance plan
(j) - (h)

(£m)

(%)

(£m)

(£m)

(£m)

(months)

(months)

31

97

0

63

63

March 2008

January 2012

Delivered March 2012

Delivered March 2012

48

2

132

122

38

172

220

June 2008

October 2013

March 2014

March 2014

69

5

11

12

2

99

103

September 2010

August 2012

November 2012

April 2014

43

20

486

200

308

167

235

April 2015

June 2023

June 2023

Jan 2023

93

-5

80

56

104

106

149

August 2011

January 2013

November 2013

December 2016

64

47

263

66

262

375

532

July 2014

May 2014

December 2015

March 2016

20

22

41

28

31

40

61

November 2018

January 2017

March 2017

February 2019

3

25

1,044

90

745

1,022

1,363

340

116

NOTES:

1. The costs in this table are "P50" estimates that include allowances for risk and uncertainty. This means there is a 50% probability of the projects being delivered either under or over budget.

2. Figures quoted for the 2013 update are in 2013 money values, original estimates have not been escallated from the 2012 position so the delta is slightly overstated

3. Five of these projects passed the design gate before the appointment of Nuclear Management Partners Limited

Prepared 10th February 2014