The Ministry of Defence Main Estimates 2014-15 - Defence Committee Contents


2  The Ministry of Defence Main Estimate 2014-15

RESOURCE AND CAPITAL EXPENDITURE REQUESTS

4. The MoD is requesting total resources of some £39.9 billion plus capital of some £7.5 billion for 2014-15. The MoD told us that its spending plans for 2014-15 were based on the final year of the Spending Review agreement in 2010.[5] The main components of the MoD's budget are given in Table 1.

Table 1: Components of the MoD's budget for 2014-15
Resource Spending within Departmental Expenditure Limit* £ million Percentage
Provision of Defence Capability: Programme

Administration

33,732

1,866

93%

5%

Operations 8392%
Total Resource Departmental Expenditure Limit 36,437 100%
Annually Managed Expenditure* 3,425
Total Net Request for Resources 39,862
Capital Expenditure
Provision of Defence Capability 7,484 100%
Operations 23-
Total Net Request for Capital Departmental Expenditure Limit 7,507 100%

Notes: * Departmental Expenditure Limits (DEL) are firm plans for three years for a specific part of a department's expenditure. DEL covers all administration costs and programme expenditure except where some programme expenditure cannot reasonably be subject to close control over a three year period or spending relates to non-cash costs other depreciation and impairments.[6]

Annually Managed Expenditure (AME) is spending that does not fall within DELs. Expenditure in AME is generally less predictable and more difficult to control than expenditure in DEL.[7]

Source: MoD Main Estimate[8] and MoD Memorandum[9]

5. The overall Resource Departmental Expenditure Limit (DEL) for 2014-15 is some one per cent more than that for 2013­14 and the Capital Departmental Expenditure Limit is some 23 per cent less. A comparison of estimated expenditure for 2014-15 and 2013-14 is given in Table 2.

Table 2: Comparison of the Request for Resource and Capital Expenditure
Resource spending 2014-15

£ million

2013-14

£ million

Percentage change
Defence capability 33,732 31,5087%
Administration 1,866 2,096-11%
Operations 8392,651 -68%
Total Resource DEL 36,437 36,255 1%
Annually Managed Expenditure 3,425 2,47139%
Total Resource spending 39,862 38,726 3%
      
Capital spending     
Defence capability 7,484 9,429-21%
Operations 23325 -93%
Total capital DEL 7,507 9,754 -23%

Source: MoD Main Estimate[10] and memorandum[11]

6. In its memorandum on the Main Estimate, the MoD provided information about the cost of its Resource DEL split by type of expenditure such as personnel costs, which total some £8.8 billion for the Armed Forces and a further £2.3 billion for civilian personnel. The split of MoD planned expenditure by function for 2014-15 is given in Table 3 below. We note that the 2014-15 Estimate for Defence Equipment Support costs increased by some eight per cent from 2013-14. The MoD told us that this increase was due to the following:

    The Equipment Support Programme costs have increased with provision, for example, to reflect the entry into service of the A400M, an increase in the number of Voyager Aircraft and flying hours, T3 Typhoon additions and a major infrastructure build programme at Atomic Weapons Establishment.[12]
Table 3: Planned expenditure by function in the Main Estimate for 2014-15
Cost Type Total

£million

Direct Resource DEL
Service Personnel Costs 8,816.1
Civilian Personnel Costs 2,298.4
Infrastructure Costs 4,482.6
Inventory Consumption 1,835.9
Equipment Support Costs 6,441.3
Other Costs and Services 1,929.3
Research and Development 1,041.6
Receipts and other income (1,114.1)
Cash release of provisions 241.9
Arms Length Bodies 171.9
Total non-ring fenced Direct Resource DEL 26,144.9
Depreciation and Impairments-MoD 9,450.0
Depreciation and Impairments-Arms Length Bodies 3.0
Total 9,453.0
TOTAL ESTIMATED DEL COSTS 35,597.9

Source: Ministry of Defence[13]

ADDITIONAL COSTS OF MILITARY OPERATIONS

7. The additional costs of military operations are met from the Treasury Reserve and not from the MoD core budget. The Treasury has asked the MoD to request only 80 per cent of the cost of operations in Afghanistan in the Main Estimate and to request any remaining funds at the time of the Supplementary Estimates. The MoD told us that the Treasury agreed that it would fund any additional costs at the time of the Supplementary Estimate:

    The costs of operations are significantly driven by the tempo of operations, affecting equipment support cost, attrition, fuel and ammunition consumption. In addition, exchange rates, fuel prices and actual costs incurred with contractors can all also vary during the financial year. MoD has involved HMT [Treasury] in formulating the estimate to reassure them of the rigour applied and to inform forecasts of wider Government spending. The ME [Main Estimate] provides funding now for 80% of the forecast net additional costs of operations in Afghanistan this year, recognising that the costs are subject to change due to the reasons outlined above. There is explicit agreement with the HMT, however, that they will fund in full any additional costs at SE [Supplementary Estimate].[14]

8. The MoD identified the costs of operations in Afghanistan separately in its memorandum. The amount requested for these operations in 2014­15 is some £775 million, a reduction of some £1,495 million from the sum requested for 2013­14.[15] The reduction in planned expenditure reflects the withdrawal of UK Forces in Afghanistan by January 2015. There is no planned expenditure in the Operations section of the Main Estimate other than that for Afghanistan.[16]

9. The concept of the Deployed Military Activity Pool (DMAP) was introduced for the first time in the 2013-14 Main Estimate. The MoD described the DMAP as follows:

    The DMAP is a new joint Treasury and MoD initiative to make available resources to fund the initial and short term costs of any unforeseen military activities, as authorised by the National Security Council. As with the policy for Afghanistan and the Wider Gulf, only the net additional costs of certain activities are charged. The Special Reserve element is £25 million and is matched by £25 million available within the MoD's allocation for Defence Capability.[17]

10. A summary of the cost of operations in Afghanistan and planned expenditure on the conflict pool and the deployed military activity pool is given in Table 4 below.Table 4: Main Estimate 2014-15 forecast costs for operations in Afghanistan, the Wider Gulf, the Conflict Pool and the Deployed Military Activity Pool
Operation Total Estimate 2013­14

£million

Direct Resource DEL

£million

Non cash Resource DEL

£million

Capital DEL

£million

Total Main Estimate AME request

£million

Total Main Estimate 2014-15

£million

Afghanistan 2,269.8 596.4152.8 23.22.6 775.0
Wider Gulf 45.00 00 00
Conflict Pool 55.8 64.40 00 64.4
Deployed Military Activity Pool 25.025.0 00 025
Total 3,195.3 1,849.8 621.3 325.4 3.5 2,800

Source: Ministry of Defence[18]

11. The estimated cost of operations in Afghanistan as at the time of the Main Estimate for 2014­15 broken down between the main cost headings, such as personnel costs, is shown in Table 5 below.Table 5: The Estimated Cost of Operations in Afghanistan in the Main Estimate for 2014-15
Cost Type Total for Afghanistan in 2014-15

£million

Direct Resource DEL
Civilian Personnel 6.8
Military Personnel 55.0
Stock/Other Consumption 170.6
Infrastructure Costs 199.4
Equipment Support Costs 620.2
Other Costs and Services 108.9
Receipts and other income (9.3)
Cash release of provisions 2.9
Total Direct Resource DEL 596.4
Non cash Resource DEL 152.8
Total Resource DEL 749.2
Capital DEL
Capital Additions-single use military equipment (SUME) 13.3
Capital Additions-fiscal 9.9
Total Capital DEL 23.2
TOTAL ESTIMATED DEL COSTS 775.0

Source: Ministry of Defence[19]

12. The MoD told us that operational costs in Afghanistan reflect the planned UK force levels in theatre in support of the NATO-led international mission in Afghanistan for 2014-15. The costs are significantly driven by the tempo of operations which affects equipment support costs and fuel and ammunition consumption.[20] The MoD also told us that the net additional costs of the UK's contribution to the Afghan National Army Officer Academy and the institutional development of the Afghan National Security Forces were funded from the HM Treasury Special Reserve and were part of the planned operational costs. The estimated costs of this support in 2014-15 are £14.5 million.[21]

Armed Forces Pension and Compensations Schemes Main Estimate 2014-15

13. The Armed Forces Pension and Compensation Schemes came into force in April 2005. The Compensation Scheme provides compensation for injury, illness or death which is caused by service on or after 6 April 2005. For injury or illness, the Scheme provides a tax-free lump sum for pain and suffering, the size of which reflects the severity of the injury or illness. Payments range from £1,200 to £570,000. For those personnel with more serious injuries and illnesses, the Scheme also provides an income stream known as the Guaranteed Income Payment. This is a tax-free, index-linked monthly payment which is paid for life from the point of discharge.[22]

14. The Schemes' spending plans for 2013-14 are based on the expected take-up of pensions of retired Service personnel and the expected claims under the Compensation Scheme, taking account of anticipated mortality within the existing pensioner population. This Estimate covers the payment of pensions and compensation; the costs of administering the Schemes fall to the MoD Main Estimate.[23] This Estimate requests provision of Net Resources of £6,749 million leading to a Net Cash Requirement of £2,418 million. The number of pensioners in the scheme has increased from 398,840 in 2010 to 412,402 in 2013,[24]


5   Ministry of Defence Main Estimate 2014-15 Memorandum (MAI 0001) Back

6   Public Expenditure Statistical Analyses 2011 (Cm 8104) page 205 Back

7   Ibid , page 202 Back

8   HM Treasury, Central Government Supply Estimates 2014-15 Main Supply Estimates, HC 1233,, 29 April 2014 Back

9   Ministry of Defence Main Estimate 2014-15 Memorandum (MAI 0001) Back

10   HM Treasury, Central Government Supply Estimates 2014-15 Main Supply Estimates, , HC 1233, 29 April 2014 Back

11   Ministry of Defence Main Estimate 2014-15 Memorandum (MAI 0001) Back

12   Ministry of Defence Supplementary Memorandum (MAI003) Back

13   Ministry of Defence Main Estimate 2014-15 Memorandum (MAI 0001) Back

14   Ministry of Defence Main Estimate 2014-15 Memorandum (MAI 0001) Back

15   Ministry of Defence Main Estimate 2014-15 Memorandum (MAI 0001) Back

16   Ministry of Defence Supplementary Memorandum (MAI003) Back

17   MoD Main Estimate 2013-14, Second Report of 2013-14 (HC 571)Ev 1 Back

18   Ministry of Defence Main Estimate 2014-15 Memorandum (MAI 0001) Back

19   Ministry of Defence Main Estimate 2014-15 Memorandum (MAI 0001) Back

20   Ministry of Defence Main Estimate 2014-15 Memorandum (MAI 0001) Back

21   Ministry of Defence Supplementary Memorandum (MAI003) Back

22   http://www.veterans-uk.info/pensions/afcs_overview.html  Back

23   Armed Forces Pension and Compensation Schemes Main Estimate 2014-15 Memorandum (MAI002) Back

24   Ibid Back


 
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Prepared 4 July 2014