1 Securing the benefits of the programme
for consumers
1. Under the Smart Metering Implementation Programme
(the Programme), which is being led by the Department of Energy
and Climate Change (the Department), energy suppliers must replace
53 million meters in homes and small businesses across Great Britain
with smart electricity and gas meters by 2020.[1]
Smart meters are intended to give consumers near real-time energy
consumption information and allow suppliers to collect meter readings
remotely. The Department expects smart meters to help consumers
reduce their energy consumption, shift demand away from peak times,
facilitate switching between suppliers and encourage take-up of
new tariffs to reduce bills and carbon emissions.[2]
The Department estimates that the Programme will cost £10.9
billion and bring economic benefits of £17.1 billion by 2030,
giving estimated net benefits of £6.2 billion.[3]
It also expects smart meters to bring further, as yet unquantified,
benefits from stronger competition between energy suppliers resulting
from easier switching and enabling a smart electricity grid.[4]
2. On the basis of an update report from the Comptroller
and Auditor General on preparations for smart metering[5]
and a progress report from the Department[6],
we took evidence from the Department and the Office of Gas and
Electricity Markets (Ofgem) on the progress that has been made
on smart metering since our previous report on preparations for
the roll-out of smart meters published in January 2012.[7]
3. The Department's analysis of the impact of smart
metering on energy bills assumes that the costs to energy suppliers
of rolling out smart meters will be recovered through higher energy
bills. Furthermore the Department assumed that the extra costs
will be offset by consumers changing their behaviour and using
less energy, and the expectation that competition will lead to
energy suppliers passing cost savings to consumers.[8]
The Department estimates that the impact of suppliers' net costs
will peak at £11 a year in 2017, and, when expected consumer
energy use reductions are taken into account, that smart meter
roll-out will result in short-term transitional energy bill increase
that is expected to peak in 2015 at around £6 a year for
the average dual-fuel consumer. By 2020, once roll-out is complete,
the Department predicts net savings on energy bills to average
£26 a year, rising to £43 a year in 2030 based on changed
consumer behaviour. The Department acknowledged that, against
a background in which the average household energy bill is £1,328
a year, these are quite small savings.[9]
4. The Department's estimates of average energy bill
impacts are net impacts and do not provide information about the
extra costs of smart metering versus the savings over time. The
Department told us that the capital cost of smart metering equipment
and the installation process costs amounted to £214.80, but
it has not provided separate figures on how the gross costs of
smart metering would impact on bills and what savings consumers
would expect to achieve.[10]
5. The Department has not put a cap on the costs
consumers will bear. The Department stated that it was "reasonably
confident" that suppliers' own commercial incentives and
industry competition, in combination with regulation, would keep
Programme implementation costs within the cost envelope it has
set and deliver the expected benefits to consumers. But Ofgem
confirmed that it had proposed referring the retail energy market
to the Competition and Markets Authority in March 2014 for a market
investigation reflecting its concerns about the effectiveness
of competition in the industry. The Department also expressed
the view that there were problems with competition in the industry.[11]
Subsequently Ofgem announced that it was referring the energy
market to the Competition and Market Authority for a full investigation.
In doing so Ofgem noted that a recent assessment it had prepared
with the Office of Fair Trading and the Competition and Market
Authority had showed "increasing distrust of energy suppliers,
uncertainty about the relationship between the supply businesses
and the generation arms of the six largest suppliers, and rising
profits with no clear evidence of suppliers reducing their own
costs or becoming better at meeting customer expectations."[12]
6. Both the Department and Ofgem maintained that
they have a wide range of powers to require energy companies to
give them information and that they were using those powers to
obtain data from suppliers to monitor Programme implementation;
and to verify that the business case for smart metering was being
delivered. The Department told us that, if they were not satisfied
that plans were on track, they would consider the case for either
tightening licence obligations or, in certain cases, fining the
companies concerned.[13]
7. HM Treasury Green Book guidance recommends that
departments should consider how policy interventions will affect
different sectors of society, for example low income households.
The Department admitted that it did not have enough robust evidence
from international or national trials to undertake the necessary
analysis and was therefore not in a position to quantify the potential
distributional impacts of smart metering. The Department added
that, based on the small amount of evidence it had, it was reasonably
confident that smart meters would be welcomed by less wealthy
consumers. The Department told us that it was doing research on
consumer behaviour, to be published this summer that would help
provide a better understanding of the impact of smart meters on
different groups. The Department also stated that it would work
closely with Ofgem to capture and analyse information on distributional
impacts during mass roll-out and that it was developing its methodology
so that it has the data it needs to monitor the Programme, and
make sure that it is delivering the business case set out.[14]
8. The Department confirmed that all smart meters
would be able to accommodate prepayment but not all energy suppliers
have yet developed viable systems to allow them to offer prepayment
services to customers.[15]
The Department told us that it was very important that prepayment
customers were capable of benefiting from smart meters and it
was confident that, by the end of 2015, all major suppliers would
be ready to offer a prepayment option.[16]
However, while the Secretary of State for Energy and Climate Change
has urged suppliers to provide smart meters to prepayment customers
by the end of 2016, it is not a regulatory obligation for them
to have prepayment options available.[17]
The Department said that a regulatory requirement could be introduced
if suppliers were not making sufficient progress, but believed
there were strong commercial incentives for suppliers to provide
smart meters to prepayment customers, because the cost of providing
the service through traditional meters was much higher. [18]
9. The Department and Ofgem expect smart meters to
facilitate switching between suppliers and encourage take-up of
new tariffs.[19] The
Department said that since 2010, 12 new energy suppliers had entered
the market and there were now 19 independent suppliers in the
domestic market.[20]
The Department told us that smart metering technology provides
for interoperability so that when consumers switch suppliers,
the new supplier will be able to use the existing smart metering
equipment and will not have to replace the equipment with its
own. But this may be a particular issue in cases where the smart
meters installed are rented rather than owned by the supplier.
The Department considered that there were strong commercial incentives
for suppliers to carry on using the existing equipment when consumers
switched, rather than installing £200 worth of new equipment.
However, neither the Department nor Ofgem could confirm that existing
regulatory requirements would prevent suppliers replacing smart
metering equipment when customers switched from one to another.[21]
1 C&AG's Report, para 1 Back
2
C&AG's Report, para 5 Back
3
C&AG's Report, paras 3 and 2.2 Back
4
C&AG's Report, paras 5 and 2.5 Back
5
Comptroller and Auditor General, Update on Preparations for the roll-out of smart meters,
Session 2014-15, HC 167, 5 June 2014 Back
6
Department of Energy & Climate Change, Smart Metering Implementation Programme:
Progress update report to the Public Accounts Committee, March
2014 Back
7
House of Commons Committee of Public Accounts, Preparations for the roll-out of smart
meters, Sixty-third Report of Session 2010-12, HC 1617, January
2012 Back
8
Qq 2,11; C&AG's Report, para 2.8 Back
9
Qq 26-28, 128-136; C&AG's Report, paras 11 and 2.9 Back
10
Qq 128-144 Back
11
Qq 3-13, 122-127; C&AG's Report, paras 4, 9, 12, 2.5, 2.8 and 2.27 Back
12
Ofgem Press release dated 26 June 2014 Back
13
Qq 110, 122 Back
14
Qq 107-110; C&AG's Report, paras 16 and 2.10 Back
15
Qq 95-103; C&AG's Report, paras 15 and 1.20 Back
16
Q 95 Back
17
Qq 99, 106; C&AG's Report, paras 15 and 1.20 Back
18
Qq 98-99, 103 Back
19
C&AG's Report, paras 5 and 2.5 Back
20
Qq 48-50 Back
21
Qq 59-63, 68-77 Back
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