1 Services and outcomes
1. On the basis of a report by the Comptroller and
Auditor General, we took evidence from the Department of Health
(the Department), NHS England (including the National Clinical
Director for Cancer), Public Health England and the National Institute
for Health and Care Excellence about progress in improving cancer
services and outcomes in England.[1]
We also took evidence from Cancer Research UK and Macmillan Cancer
Support. More than 1-in-3 people in England will now develop cancer
in their lifetime. In 2012, around 280,000 people were diagnosed
with cancer and an estimated 133,000 people died from cancer.
More than 3-in-5 cancers are diagnosed in people aged 65 or over,
and a third of new cancer diagnoses occur in people aged over
75.[2]
2. Cancer has been a priority for the Department
since the publication of the NHS Cancer Plan in 2000. The Department's
current cancer strategy, published in 2011, set out an ambition
to save an additional 5,000 lives a year by 2014-15 and halve
the gap between survival rates in England and those in the best
European countries.[3]
Survival rates in England have improved: 69% of people diagnosed
in 2012 survived for at least one year after diagnosis, up from
65% in 2007; and 49% of people diagnosed in 2008 survived for
at least five years, up from 45% in 2003.[4]
Data are not yet available to assess progress since 2011 in closing
the gap to the best performing European countries.[5]
3. The Department does not have a robust estimate
of the cost of cancer care, but the National Audit Office estimated
that the cost was at least £6.7 billion in 2012-13.[6]
The Department is ultimately responsible for securing value for
money for this spending. Responsibility for commissioning cancer
services is shared between NHS England, through its area teams,
and the 211 clinical commissioning groups. Public Health England
takes the lead in providing access to cancer data to inform commissioners
and help improve services. The National Institute for Health and
Care Excellence reviews new cancer drugs to assess whether they
should be available on the NHS.[7]
4. In 2011 we reported that the NHS had made significant
progress in improving important aspects of cancer services. A
significant increase in resources had contributed to the improvements,
but the progress had also been achieved through clear direction
and high-profile leadership, underpinned by strong performance
management.[8] Since 2013,
however, fewer dedicated resources have been available to support
the improvement of cancer services.[9]
Cancer Research UK considered that there had been a loss of resource,
capacity and leadership, which was having a detrimental impact
on cancer services. For example, NHS England downgraded the position
of National Clinical Director for Cancer from a full-time to a
part-time role. In addition, two of the National Clinical Director's
four days a week have been funded by Cancer Research UK and Macmillan
Cancer Support.[10] NHS
England told us that it strongly supported the role of National
Clinical Director and that it would fund the post in full itself
from April 2015.[11]
5. In addition, across the country, the 28 regional
cancer specific networks, which advised and supported the providers
of cancer services, were disbanded at the end of March 2013.
They were replaced by 12 strategic clinical
networks to support commissioners on a wider range of diseases,
including cancer.[12]
Macmillan Cancer Support said that, while some of the strategic
clinical networks were doing an effective job in pulling together
different parts of the health and social care system, that was
not the position in all parts of the country.[13]
6. Following the reforms to the health system in
2013, the commissioning arrangements for cancer services
are more complex and fragmented.[14]
Macmillan Cancer Support highlighted its recent research, which
had found confusion among commissioners and healthcare professionals
about responsibilities and accountabilities for planning and commissioning
cancer services in the reformed NHS. In its view, there needs
to be one body with oversight of the whole patient pathway.[15]
7. The Department has itself highlighted previously
the importance of information in improving cancer services and
survival rates.[16] The
Health and Social Care Information Centre (an arm's-length body
of the Department) has an explicit obligation to disseminate the
data it collects to help drive improvements in health and social
care. It tightened its data-sharing processes in 2014 after a
review by its predecessor body, the NHS Information Centre, found
significant administrative lapses in recording the release of
data.[17] Cancer Research
UK and Macmillan Cancer Support told us that since then they had
experienced severe delays in getting access to the data they needed
for their research. Public Health England confirmed that there
had been problems with the flow of data.[18]
The Health and Social Care Information Centre told the National
Audit Office that it had simplified the process for applying to
access data and was working through a substantial backlog of applications.
However, this process is taking longer than expected.[19]
8. The increase in the number of people being diagnosed
with cancer each year is being driven by population growth, the
ageing population, and increased public awareness of cancer signs
and symptoms. However, survival rates for older people with cancer
are considerably worse than for other age groups. For example,
just 57% of cancer patients aged 75-99 survive for at least one
year after diagnosis, compared with 77% of those aged 55-64. Older
people are also less likely to receive treatments such as surgery
and chemotherapy.[20]
For example, Cancer Research UK told us that the proportion of
patients aged 75 to 84 with kidney cancer who have surgery is
almost half that of patients aged between 15 and 54.[21]
And analysis by the National Audit Office shows that patients
aged 60 and over are much less likely to receive chemotherapy
than those aged under 55.[22]
9. Some of the variation in survival rates and access
to treatment will be explained by the fact that older people are
more likely to be frailer or less fit for treatment, to have comorbidities
or to choose not to have treatment. However,
Macmillan Cancer Support told us that it believed there was under-treatment
of older people and that there was some evidence that clinicians
were prescribing based on chronological age rather than fitness
to receive treatment. More research was needed to understand why
outcomes were poorer for older people. NHS England acknowledged
that it was not able to explain the disparities in access and
outcomes between age groups.[23]
10. NHS England told us it has set up an expert advisory
group involving elderly-medicine doctors and oncologists to assess
how it can ensure that access to treatment is based on an assessment
of physical fitness, rather than age.[24]
It highlighted that attitudes had changed in places where these
groups of clinicians had worked closely together. NHS England
also recognised that it did not know enough about the attitudes
of older people to cancer. It needed to listen more to the preferences
of individual older people, and had commissioned a national survey
on attitudes to cancer.[25]
11. When we reported on cancer services in 2011,
we raised concerns about unexplained variations in the performance
of cancer services across the country.[26]
These geographical variations persist. For example, the National
Audit Office found that, for every newly diagnosed cancer patient,
the average number of urgent referrals by GPs varied across clinical
commissioning groups from 3.9 to 6.2 in 2013-14 (after excluding
the highest and lowest 10% of groups), indicating that GPs make
variable use of this referral route.[27]
And in 2012, the percentage of cancers diagnosed through emergency
presentation varied from 13% to 30% across the 211 clinical commissioning
groups. This is important because people diagnosed in this way
are around twice as likely to die within a year of diagnosis as
those diagnosed via an urgent GP referral.[28]
12. In some cases neighbouring clinical commissioning
groups are performing very differently against waiting time standards.
For example, in North Lincolnshire, 98.3% of patients were seen
by a specialist within two weeks of an urgent GP referral between
July and September 2014, compared with 87.1% in Lincolnshire West.[29]
In addition, the percentage of patients who started treatment
within 62 days of an urgent GP referral for suspected cancer was
89.3% in North Lincolnshire, compared with 73.7% in Lincolnshire
West.[30]
13. NHS England acknowledged that such variation
was unjustified, and the Department stated that unacceptable variations
should not be tolerated.[31]
NHS England is responsible for overseeing the performance of clinical
commissioning groups and holding them to account. However, the
National Audit Office found that it was unclear how in practice
NHS England was monitoring the performance of clinical commissioning
groups against cancer-related outcomes indicators.[32]
The Department and NHS England told us that they expect that greater
transparencycollecting and publishing data on the performance
of local cancer servicesand peer review by commissioners
and clinicians should lead to reduced variation.[33]
14. The NHS has an important target that 85% of cancer
patients should be treated within 62 days of being urgently referred
by their GP. NHS England described this target as 'a weather vane
of system readiness'.[34]
However, the NHS is struggling to cope with the growing number
of casesthe number of urgent GP referrals for suspected
cancer increased by 51% from around 900,000 in 2009-10 to 1.36
million in 2013-14, and the number of people being diagnosed with
cancer is also rising.[35]
For the first three quarters of 2014, the NHS failed to meet the
62-day waiting time standard. This meant that, for example, between
July and September 2014 some 5,500 patients had to wait more than
62 days for treatment.[36]
15. The NHS also failed to meet two other cancer
waiting time targets at points during 2014. First, it did
not achieve the standard that 93% of patients should be seen by
a specialist within two weeks when referred urgently with breast
symptoms (where cancer was not initially suspected) between April
and June 2014. This was the first time this standard had not been
achieved since early 2010.[37]
And second, it did not meet the expectation that less than 1%
of patients should wait 6 weeks or longer for a diagnostic test,
including those for cancer, in 2014. At the end of September 2014,
just under 16,200 patients had been waiting more than 6 weeks
for diagnostic imaging tests, up from just over 11,900 at the
end of September 2013.[38]
16. NHS England told us that one reason why the waiting
time standards were not being achieved was the 'diagnostic bottlenecks'
that exist in the health system. It suggested that, although the
NHS was providing more diagnostic tests, in some parts of the
country there was a shortage of sonographers (healthcare professionals
who specialise in diagnostic imaging), whereas in other areas
there was insufficient access to diagnostic equipment.[39]
NHS England told us that trusts that struggled the most to meet
the waiting time standards were usually those which diagnosed
and made decisions to treat patients late in the 62-day waiting
time period, meaning they had less flexibility to cope with increases
in demand.[40] NHS England
told us that it has established a waiting times taskforce, led
by the National Clinical Director for Cancer, to improve understanding
about the reasons for the variation across the country and identify
how performance can be improved.[41]
17. Radiotherapy is one of the main types of treatment
for cancer. Research indicates that between 40% and 50% of patients
could benefit from radiotherapy treatment at some time during
their illness. Although access to intensity modulated radiotherapy
treatment, an advanced form of radiotherapy, has improved, the
overall proportion of patients receiving radiotherapy has remained
at around 35% since 2009-10.[42]
Those hospital trusts with a low percentage of patients in their
catchment area receiving radiotherapy in 2010-11 continued to
have low rates in 2013-14. NHS England said that there could be
valid clinical reasons why some areas might make less use of radiotherapy,
but acknowledged that there may have been less focus on radiotherapy
compared with cancer drugs, an imbalance that needed to be redressed.[43]
18. England has 5.2 radiotherapy machines per one
million people, fewer than most other high-income countries, including
Belgium (14.5), Denmark (12.6) and Iceland (12.6).[44]
This analysis does not consider the efficiency with which radiotherapy
machines are used in different countries, and the Department and
Public Health England suggested that the machines in England may
be used more intensively than those in other countries. However,
within England there has been wide variation in the use of machines
between trusts. For example, in 2013-14 the average number of
attendances per linear accelerator varied from just below 6,000
at the five trusts with the lowest usage to more than 9,000 at
the five trusts with the highest usage.[45]
19. NHS England highlighted that the current stock
of linear accelerator radiotherapy treatment machines is coming
to the end of its life, and that machines would need to be upgraded
or replaced around the country over the coming years. NHS England
told us that, as the national commissioner for radiotherapy services,
it would be seeking to achieve a nationally consistent approach
to procuring radiotherapy machines. It expected to save up to
20% of the cost of new machines by procuring them centrally.[46]
It said that the procurement would be supported by the radiotherapy
clinical reference group, which would provide expert advice on
the configuration of radiotherapy services around the country.
For example, there could be a smaller number of centres to deliver
complex treatment, supported by a network of local services providing
more general treatment.[47]
1 C&AG's Report, Progress in improving cancer services and outcomes, Session 2014-15, HC 949, 15 January 2015 Back
2
Q 126; C&AG's Report, para 1 Back
3
C&AG's Report, para 2 Back
4
C&AG's Report, para 3.3 Back
5
C&AG's Report, para 3.9 Back
6
C&AG's Report, para 2.7 Back
7
C&AG's Report, paras 4, 1.10 Back
8
Q 173; HC Committee of Public Accounts, Delivering the Cancer Reform Strategy, Twenty-fourth Report of Session 2010-11, HC 667 1 March 2011 Back
9
C&AG's Report, para 1.7 Back
10
Qq 3-14, 17-24 Back
11
Qq 173-174, 176 Back
12
Q 2; C&AG's Report, para 1.7 Back
13
Qq 14-15 Back
14
Q 24; C&AG's Report, para 1.6 Back
15
Qq 4, 24 Back
16
C&AG's Report, para 2.2 Back
17
C&AG's Report, paras 2.11-2.12 Back
18
Qq 24-26, 117 Back
19
C&AG's Report, para 2.13 Back
20
C&AG's Report, paras 8, 10, Appendix Three - pages 32, 37, 40 Back
21
Q 34 Back
22
C&AG's Report, Appendix Three - page 79 Back
23
Qq 32-33, 137-138 Back
24
Q 130 Back
25
Qq 126, 136 Back
26
HC Committee of Public Accounts, Delivering the Cancer Reform Strategy, Twenty-fourth Report of Session 2010-11, HC 667 1 March 2011 Back
27
C&AG's Report, para 3.7, Appendix Three - page 56 Back
28
C&AG's Report, Appendix Three - page 60 Back
29
Q 85 Back
30
Q 90 Back
31
Qq 86, 98 Back
32
C&AG's Report, paras 1.5-1.6 Back
33
Qq 83-84, 96-102 Back
34
Qq 27, 90 Back
35
Qq 27, 55; C&AG's Report, paras 3.3, 3.5 Back
36
C&AG's Report, para 3.5 Back
37
Q 55; C&AG's Report, Appendix Three - page 67 Back
38
C&AG's Report, Appendix Three - pages 62, 67 Back
39
Qq 32, 55, 86 Back
40
Qq 90-91 Back
41
Qq 86, 89 Back
42
Q 120; C&AG's Report, Appendix Three - page 73 Back
43
Qq 119-120 Back
44
C&AG's Report, Appendix Three - page 78 Back
45
C&AG's Report, Appendix Three - page 73; Qq 121-123 Back
46
Qq 124, 167-170 Back
47
Qq 125, 167 Back
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